could find some form of biological control. that would be my idea of proactive approach of her as co ship has the party advantage since the current of ice pandemic began, but it wasn't old elevations. ah, hundreds of people demonstrated again c m s, orchestra. they say launch ships shouldn't pass through the city because of environmental and safety concerns. bennett the top destination for cruise ships accommodating more than 600 of them carrying nearby 700000 passengers in 21900. ah. so again, i'm fully back to bore the headlines on al jazeera, the u. s. is donating 750000 corona's eyes vaccines to taiwan. after the island accused china hindering its efforts to secure doses. a delegation of 3 american

senators made the announcement during a meeting with taiwan president, sighing when thank the us for what she called life saving jobs. as the island struggles to contain a recent spike in infections, the senate has pledged continued support. last year, a global pandemic came from new hon china that was characterized by a lack of transparency and a lack of international cooperation by the chinese communist party. today. in dramatic contrast, the united states is leading international relief efforts in an open and cooperative spirit with our friends and partners and allies. yelman's government says 17 people have been killed and a mis i'll attack at the actual station was hate in the city of marie about 120 kilometers east of the capital. santa information ministers. fleming, who rebels. so launch i renewed offensive on the city. in february,

iraq's military says to drones have been intercepted and shot down over the aisle aside base, which hosts us forces last year. iran a task besides in retaliation for the assassination of general custom ceremony in the us as strike. and al jazeera reporter, arrested by israeli police, was covering a demonstration in occupied east jerusalem has been released by g via but dairy is now bod, from entering the neighborhood shift around for 15 days. she's accused of harassing israeli security forces and not presenting a credentials. claims for dairy and al jazeera strongly denied. and the g 7 group of advanced economies as reach a deal to make it more difficult for multinational companies to avoid paying tax. they've agreed to set a minimum doubled corporate tax rate of 15 percent. you're up to date with a headlines on al jazeera. i'll have more news for you right after inside story to stay with this. thanks for watching on county, the call back gonna sans war economy gives way for more security at the u. s.

withdrawal through how the congo set loops. billions in a deal with them. israeli 1000000000 at floss. the oil giant losing for environmentalists and investors. counting the call on al jazeera iran presidential candidates go head to head while anger man about how they would chosen critics say, the odds have been hit in the front runners favor of world powers hold talks to revive the 2015 nuclear deal. what impact will this boat have? this is inside story. ah, ah. hello and welcome to the program. i'm pete adobe. as he runs presidential candidates, whole, the televised debates. there's a much bigger debate about the election itself. only

a handful of the hundreds of people who applied to run were approved by the election watchdog and the supreme leader, ayatollah ali. how many says some of those rejected work quotes wronged? iranians now have a choice between 7 candidates, 5 so called hard liners and 2 seen as moderates. be contentious elimination processes up the prospects of hard line judiciary chief abraham racy, who's favored to win. gracie is an ally of the ayatollah coming to e, but anger about the candidate bands and the weak economy may dent the supreme leaders. hopes of a high turn out. i will badly ask, has only has thank you, bob. oh no, you someone to give up the judy to participate in the election with absurd reasons . it is the will of the enemies, the enemies of iran, the enemies of islam, and the enemies of religious democracy on al jazeera. as i begs into iran, he says there is a definite lack of enthusiasm. this presidential election has been notable,

not for mainly who is standing, but who's been disqualified? 3 times former speaker of parliament learn. johnny was disqualified by the guardian council. this vetting body, but also the former president minute. i didn't a judge. now the latter came out and said that he would not be voting for anybody and would be throwing his support behind any candidate. now, yesterday, the supreme need to know how many came out and he said that there had been an injustice done in terms of the guardian council of decision. and we thought that the garden council may reverse this decision, but they stood by it and learned johnny, who was backed by the moderates and reformist, is still disqualified, and not allowed to stand. now the frontrunner in this entire election president election campaign is the judiciary chief bryan right now. he is the establishment choice. he is a conservative, some consider him a hard liner and they have thrown the support behind him. some of the other candidates are not as prominent, not as well known,

and there are many here that think that this is a done deal. the iranian right you see will become the countries next president. nevertheless, there are still some pressing issues for these candidates to debate. one of the major issues is the economy. inflation is very high, unemployment is high and the economy has been ravaged by us sanctions and day to day. what really affects people here is their livelihood across the cost of goods and finding jobs for younger generation. but one of the main concerns for the establishment though, is voter turnout last year in the parliamentary elections. so the lowest will to turn out that the start of the revolution in 1959. and there is concern that there will be another, a low voter turnout. now the supreme need to know how many has come out and said that people need to come out duty to come out and vote for the dignity of the country and for the establishment, but as a but so far we have not seen that much enthusiasm elise hair on the streets of thereon. ah, okay,

there we are. here we go. let's bring in today's guests. we have journalist and iran affairs analyst mustafah across cheshire into iran in washington. we have mark, it's patrick, the acting director of the non proliferation program at the international institute for strategic studies and out of london. an essay by sir. it's a breezy, a senior research fellow and head of the middle east and north africa program at the royal united services institute. welcome to you all my stuff. coming to you 1st with this election. what's at stake? hello, and thanks for having me. as a matter of fact, so after quite a long time, 8 years, honey was in the office with one single plan that entail they talked with the united states in order to remove the factions to move forward. and the j. c. p o, a has failed to, you know, meet the expectations of the public. now it seems that those that were the

proponents of this program are not going to stage a very large tear now, but polls in support of the same view and those that are critical of you will be the core of participants. and this relation not only with regard to the candidates, but also with regard to the turn out that we expect. so it could be predicted pretty well that the next administration will be completely different from the one that's roll in the country under president jaime right now. and foreign policy as well as economy and especially economy with experience is strategic and very fundamental shit relying more domestic capabilities as well as expanding ties with the neighbors. they talk with the neighbors as well as expanding ties into strategic cooperation with latin america, with africa, with china,

russia and others that are not mainly in the western block. so the countries expect a major shift and to say passivity to breezy in london predicted turn up, possibly bottoming out less than 40 percent. 35 percent of people who are polled, saying we're not going to vote. what's the point? well, i think we are definitely in a situation in which elections are going to be interesting to watch. we have seen previous actions in which they did to my c face not republican has very much be linked to their voter turnout. i think in this case, establishment is depicting a different picture, which is that's the continuation that you see. this is what really matters more than water turn out. they have some room of mine over to say in terms of obviously

cool the and the fact that these can be blamed for their turn out. but really, i think people are aware that this is very much thing to, to they're offering off the candidates for the debate. and ranges of you is much more limited than before. and that's obviously increase the apathy if you wish and give interest by the population to participate in this election. i think what is going to be interesting is the seeing the fight at all. who is going to be a prevailing? i'll be very strict range of candidates and what this will mean more important than before iran for policy posture. moving i had bought fitzpatrick in washington on that idea of to ron's foreign policy posture. chances are, all the indicators are that mister honeys about to be replaced with someone who is at a political dna level if you will, hostile to the west. how does that dovetail or not, with the biden administration?

well, the bind administration will deal with whomever is in power. in iran the administration wants to restore the deal that was struck in 2015 in order to block iran potential pass to a nuclear weapon. and it looks like this deal will be restored, implementation will be tricky, but i think by an administration will provide for enough sanctions relief so as to give the next administration in iran a leg up whoever went to the election is going to benefit from the restoration of the j. c. p a. and one last point it's interesting that the binding ministration was not really in a huge hurry to restore the j. c p. o. a. they didn't want to make unnecessary concessions just in order to get a deal with the roof. honie current administration biden realizes that ronnie will

be replaced and so let the, let the negotiations continue and however long it takes, but they do want to restore the deal with stuff a construction there into iran. was there as much surprise into iran as there was across the region. when mr. lottery, johnny was barred because he so well connected. it's part of his political bone marrow. he's well connected. he knows all the top people you've got to do that. you've got to be that person, and yet the guardian council said no, you should not, you will not stand. oh, there were some surprise at the beginning, but later when we came to know that there were 3 reasons that his he was not qualified and was not in the final list of 7. mainly the 1st reason which was mentioning that he came on their attack and his reputation with banners for that

which is the others residence. and then in the united states, which came to be not true actually later. and what the rainy leader asked yesterday was asking the uranium media, the intelligence ministry, and every one to extend an apology to a lot johnny. for this reason though, he was not wild if i could never qualified for 2 other reasons actually. so the decision, the same off the wrong reason actually was being mentioned among the public. that's why the reading and either ask every one to extend an apology. but considering that a lot johnny, which is kind of hon, is logic and rationale towards foreign policy and economy. he would not actually have much of a chance to win the election unless the election season would go to polar and, you know, unless for the basketball,

mrs. the principal is or the revolutionary camp lottery. johnny would not have a good chance to win this election, and he said to breezy, is it wrong to describe iran? forgive me if this sense only simplicity. is it wrong to describe iran as a course democracy? last time those election 2017, more than 1600 people put themselves forward to be candidates. the guardian council chose 7 people. so point number one is the word democracy wrong and point number 2, who actually runs the country? well, i mean, i think we would need to stay here for hours to talk to the structure of the iranian system. but i think simply put your on a republic. so i think the best definition of how you're wrong works is a mix of islamic component and a mix offer public a component in some cases that one dominates versus the other. and i think in these

particular elections that have been probably a lot of consideration about what are the republican components have been taken enough into account compared to the past. but because obviously the restriction that we have heard of also when, when it comes to large, anybody thought or candidates have been perceived that even within the, i would say those within the publish mode as to restrictive even the for that is not mac republic consideration. so i think obviously, you know, it doubles between these 2 criteria. and i think of these is what makes it very complicated that very difficult to understand, but also very difficult to predict in which direction i would go in terms of the outcome of the election. but also in terms of sense, the mexico international marks, it's patrick in washington. how much momentum is there been? no, the 5th going into the 6 thrown of talks about the 2015 nuclear deal,

or maybe i frame that question the runway. how much inertia is there within that process? because the reality surely is that tyrann tyrann has made its own advances. and once you accept that, you can't on see it, you can't not know about that. so the negotiations have been proceeding in an orderly fashion and sometimes the one participant, or another, talks about with optimism about the progress as that has been made. but as i see it, there are still some considerable sticking points and negotiations won't be completed until one side or the other fundamentally changes its posture. and this regards a couple of things, but most importantly on the issue of sanctions, iran has been demanding that all sanctions imposed by president trump be removed. he had over 1500 designations of people and entities put on the treasury

blacklist. now some of these people and entities were put on there for very legitimate reasons involving their human rights violations, their interference in us elections, their support for terrorist groups, sometimes the, the counter terror counter. terrorism designations were kind of a sham because the real purpose was to impede jump successor from restoring the j. c. p. away. biden has said as team has said that all sanctions that are inconsistent with restoring the j. c. p. o, a will be removed, but they're not going to remove sanctions on people who interfered in the u. s. the election or who slaughtered hundreds of iranian demonstrators. so if the ron insist that all sanctions be removed, they're going to have to artfully read the 5. what all means, and i don't think the iran leadership is ready to do that,

maybe until after the election. they don't want to have any big news that might impede what looks like a coordination of, of you know, right. you see that this is a sham election and you know they needed to proceed without incident and then afterwards, they can allow the negotiations to be completed must offer on that idea that there's a change of posture, has to come from somebody someplace or somebody has to blink, 1st, we don't have ours on the show to drill down into who actually runs the country. so would the guardian council go with the idea of reform, or a change of posture if whoever replaces rew honey said, that was a good idea because article 4 of your countries constitution, correct me if i'm wrong here, article for of your country constitution says this, the all laws, all new reforms or changes have to be islamic. and it's the guardian council that decides where the new laws are or are not islamic or the j. c p o. it has already

been introduced by the parliament and guardian council. it's, you know irina foreign policy under the constitution district goals are specified by the uranium leader. but the government, the governments are very much effective on this path because the uranium leader has proved to be working with. and the kind of government from reformers part. i mean to ro honie or i'm at the shop. they offer their strategies to the leader, and he works with them the same way that he allowed to honie to start jason deal a lot, but i am estimates. there was the result and he has been true to be right in every aspect. so basically speaking, if they strike a deal with the administration and i believe they have their best shot now. and if the next government comes, they don't care really much for what the us ones, it doesn't mean that they will be radical. they want to increase patients know, of course not what we see right now in the 1st presidential debate on economies

telling us that they have a well detailed plan in order to use the u. s. bank. in order to use the us containment strategy. where the us actually donald trim and binder they had been building off or layers of similar, identical sanctions with concerning the results of these factions. and they want to strike the nuclear deal and get back to the deal again. ok, only remove one of them in a way that it doesn't work. you would not be released from the pressure sanction. and they want to get more and more and more from your running this island, this regional power and so on. so for long know that pretty well that's why no matter who ruled the country, you launch the all these sanctions after the j. c, p o, a should be removed here. okay. be given, it will come on to the thanks back and i make a very valid point because that's why the middle classes have suffered. and that's

why the economy suffered. and that's why the currency has suffered as well. and se procedure, it's a breezy in london. if it is mister, right, you see he's on already a us designated list of being rather how can i put it delicately questionable? how do you get everyone else involved in this process to get the j. c, p. o a back up and running with a good healthy heartbeat. how do you talk to a president who's on a us list of people that we don't like? well, i think it's a very good question, but i think the assessment here is that to deal would be read wrong resume before then new precedent would be. so we are talking a very, very strict timeline. it's true that there are still a lot of speaking points, but there is also that, that my in for the agreement between iran and e, which expires on the 24th of june. so i think there is

a lot of push for getting something done. if not before the elections, at least before the expiration of these newly renewed agreement, which obviously poses a lot of concerns for the us european countries in particular. and i think the idea is to have the agreements signed and noun, so then and then implemented between june and august before the president's committee, johnny speaking. i think it's going to be challenging for us to engage with the new president. if not on the front. i mean, we already have to look at god for instance, which is a, for of a bad they normally the picks it up one off of the potential for the 2 sites or to engage not just and i don't care, you should, but also a broader issue so i think there is going to be a broader question mark about how the us will be able to engage with the wrong but obviously right. see just one figure and the $33.00 is not the one that normally

engages in. make sure we have specific people who are busy committee to negotiate or, and use to our knowledge are not appointed yet. we don't know if that will be if it is, if at all. okay. but it's patrick coming back to you in washington. i'm sure must offer into iran. would mind me paraphrasing what he had to say in his last on. so it's my last question. when he was talking, he was basically saying that there is a certain optimism in a certain desire to engage with this process again. but what if, despite whoever becomes iranian president, what if the iranians then say, actually, dear fellow interlocutors, we want to talk about a missile capabilities, because correct me if i'm wrong, him up the original j. c. p o, a. when it was all contract, the 20142015, they were very, very clever because they took mis style ambition and they kind of put that on the back burner. and they said no, this is about generating nuclear power. this is about meeting your. ready power, energy requirements, 1st and foremost,

and there are other issues which we can talk about down the line. so the binding administration and his european partners definitely want to get on to other issues after the j. c. p. o is restored. they want to talk about iran missiles and the missiles that iran has been sending to its partners like come off, which range them down on israel. this is a big issue throughout the western world. iran so far has said that it won't talk about these other issues, but, but the supreme leader did say that if the united states, we establish or establish this trust by implementing the j. c, p o, a, and it can be verified. then he opened the door to talking about other issues. i think it will be 2 rounds advantage. and iran already is talking with saudi arabia, of course, about yemen and possibly other regional issue. so, you know, i think there are, there will be avenues to engage with the right. maybe not with my mr. i. you see,

who is a murderer. but with his foreign minister, the united states does deal with, with orange of government and other countries, myself across trash and into iran. you shaking your head. i just want to move on to a slightly different area in our discussion today. assuming for a 2nd, despite a low turn, despite a record low turn up, possibly if it dicks below 40 percent, that will arguably strengthen home and ease position at home. given that how much trust will then flow from tehran to washington, wrapped up in an expectation that washington will give to a rom what it wants up here, give me. oh, give me a minute. it's it all. i'm truly sorry to hear that one of the guess is insulting my country. i'm sorry, and the election in my country and me myself and the uranium people by calling one

of the presidential candidates murder of calling the system of election in iran is a sham. you know, when you have the presidential election in the united states with donald trump that everyone knows, we still respect that you and your system of election. nobody would allow a 1000 people to go. busy or, you know, the vote and people would be confused to do with 1000 people, especially considering that they need to have enough time. there was this big one, tv channels and on the internet and so on, so forth. so it's not possible to give a 1000 people the chance, similar chances to re present their ideas. so entry has a system under where they have to. i'm going to have to interrupt you there for which i sincerely apologize in 10 seconds. how much trust is there now into iran? aimed at america? nothing. absolutely nothing but united states performance with regard to j. c. p. o,

a has made iranian ship, their idea about who should run to the country. the ranges are not on the park. there's like a party, they'd like to figure, and now the figures that i see on tv presenting a well detailed plan about the economy and how to deal with the united states. vivian rationally and courageously. i believe there was when the election because they have a well detailed plan that would end this deadline with the united states eventually . okay, we must leave it there. thank you so much to, i guess they will stop by caution mark fitzpatrick and se, but see it, it's a breezy and thank you to for your company. you can see the program again. anytime there are web site al jazeera dot com, and for more discussion, go to our facebook page at facebook dot com forward slash ha. inside story. we're on twitter. of course, our handle is ha insightsquared for me, pete, adobe, and everyone on the team here. and so, thanks for watching. we will see you very soon. for the moment.

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