news and current fast to, to use out there on the the, i'm not madison and don't the top stories on ours is 0. respect the sees far or risk spiraling into a crisis. that's the warning from the united nations to ethiopia as government and rebel fighters into getting more than 2000000 people are on the verge of starvation because of the fighting. the conflicts began 8 months ago. millions have been trying to escape the violence. that's a good defense force says it's committed to cooperating with a partners and allowing access, catherine, so i has the latest from august about was it the grand forces have been saying, and they've been showing pictures of men who appear to be your p and federal

soldiers. being paraded along the streets, emacula, ca, people, thousands of them being taken to prison. we spoke to the spokesman of this, the grand forces who said that they have in the last 7 days, captured thousands of european soldiers while doing fighting in areas around mccalla. he also said that healed to military has suffered major casualties. and the grand forces have also managed to seize important military equipment. at least 20 people have been reported missing after a month slide in japan's coastal town of tommy southwest of tokyo. by mister yoshi, he the saga has called an emergency cabinet meeting under chicago reports for days of torrential rain, loose and soil above the town. around 10 30 am local time on saturday it all came sliding down the mountain. black mud cascaded through the streets in

waves, crashing into homes in the quiet japanese resort town, south west of tokyo. the japan self defense forces had sent teams to help local police and firefighters. japan is prone to mud slides and flooding during its annual rainy season. japan is very much a natural disaster country. i mean there may be no country on earth that has as many natural disasters and smaller is japan. does. you know volcanoes, earthquakes, landslide floods it's, it's gets hit very heavy. and so the self defense forces, one of their missions is to, to go to these disaster zones. and to kind of add some manpower to a situation where, you know, otherwise local authorities might be overwhelmed elsewhere. and she's a prefecture cruiser rescuing people from flood waters rains. are expected to

continue in several areas in the next 2 days. inter chappelle al jazeera, indonesia rolled out more restrictions in his capital jakarta and the main island of java, as well as the 2 is have a bali, mosques, restaurants and shopping. malls have been close after a record number of new daily infections and deaths. malaysia is typing pandemic restrictions in color, poor and other areas surrounding the capitol. the countries under a national lockdown and reported nearly 7000 new cases on thursday. the government set a date for parliament to reconvene next month after it was suspended in january. let his job numbers in the united states. so a big increase in the number of people going back to work. 850000 jobs were added in june. the u. s. economy groomed by more than 6 percent in the 1st quarter, and it's expected to show growth of more than 10 percent in the 2nd quarter. we've now created over 3000000 jobs as it took office,

more jobs. they've ever been creating the 1st 5 much of any presidency in modern history. actually incredible work in the entire team. this is historic progress. pulling our economy out of the worst crisis in 100 years, driven in part by our dramatic progress and vaccinating our nations and beating back to pen damage. that i get to you and bye talk to paved way for elections in libya, have failed to find common ground. the week long negotiations in geneva were expected to confirm the terms of the presidential and parliamentary vote. elections would be a critical stephan efforts to bring stability to libya. those are the headlines. the news continues here on august era. after the bottom line we back enough and goodbye. the. ready news

hi, i'm steve clements, i have a question with donald trump back in the limelight, who should be more scared? democrats or republicans? let's get to the bottom line. ah. how long has it been since you've heard this voice? we won the election twice. and it's possible we'll have to win it a 3rd time as possible. yes. spoke to the 2nd coming of trump or the 3rd, depending on how you count the former president is back with a vengeance. and from your reaction to that clip, you can tell where you stand on the american political spectrum. do you long for the time when he filled your days and nights with pox of his grievances, personal pet peeves, culture wars and anger? or is it the exact opposite? and you're wondering why we're still talking about him? well, love him or not this week. donald trump's been holding campaign like rallies around the country, repeating the big lie that he won the last election, promising revenge against the republicans that don't agree with him. vilifying

immigration and immigrants, and of course blasting the media and the democrats and throughout all he did. what he does best tease the media about whether he'll run for president, again in 2024. so is it a smart strategy for republicans to indulge trump and tie their future to him? but at the same time, is it safe for anyone to pretend that he doesn't exist? today we're talking with one of the democratic party leading political strategist. so linda lake, who advice candidate, joe biden, countless democratic candidates over the years, and it's the president of her own pulling firm lake research partners and dan hopkins, professor of political science at the university of pennsylvania, whose research focuses on american elections and public opinion. it's really great to have you both here. so let me start with you, and i'll just ask you the same question. who we had president trump back in ohio. then back to the border is going to be in florida. who should worry more of the republicans or the democrats about his, you know, returned to rallies. well,

i think american public to worry the most because it's a return to the division and strive and personal politics that a lot of voters remember, we won by 7000000 those rejected in this last election. but i think the democrats should be worried if they ignored him, and we don't, we don't take for granted. or we also have no idea what kind of impact you'll have on the off year election. what he's not actually on the ballot. and the republican should be very worried that they're taking a short term fix. that is a long term addiction. dan. i love to get your views on this, but i was very, very taken with an article that you wrote recently and 538 my audience. i'll tell you, go to 538, dot com, and you can read his piece called how trump redefine conservatism. and in it you taught start with the story of senator pat to me for my audience center. a pat toomey may not be a household name, but he's important. he's

a senator from pennsylvania and he used to be the face of then new conservatism, anti tax, you know, really a hard core conservative. well, i had a friend who had lunch with pat to me today in pennsylvania, and they were talking about the times this friend was a leading brand name democrat who lamented the loss for the country of pat to me. so i guess if pat to me has been moved to the fringe, what has happened to the republican party? i really appreciate your pointing out that study. and yes, senator pat, to me is my home state senator here in pennsylvania in 2004 pat to me primary and almost be a long time incumbent republican arlen specter. and you're right for years with the face of republican anti tax kind of fiscal conservatism. but with a study in a study that i did with my colleague cons, know all. we found that very quickly after trump emerged on the political scene,

political activists right and left, started to define who is most conservative, not in terms of traditional tax ben politics. but instead in terms of politicians, relationship to donald trump. so in our april $22021.00 survey, what we found is that the politicians who active it's rated as most conservative or consistently either president for president trump himself or those in president trump orbit. might pen. josh holly. and i think that is a testament to the fact that donald trump, through running and serving as president for 4 years did manage to redefine and who, who is conservative and who is not like by home state senator pat toomey. right now we seem to have the civil war is going on a both party. so the real question i have for you is one of the preeminent pollsters and political advisors in this country is, what do americans want and are the parties as we see them today? realigning reorganizing themselves in ways that are going to be very surprising for

us. well, i think that one of the things is that everyone has remarked on, it's just how polarized everything is. and people are really struck. i mean, we can take a streamline positive policies, but the infrastructure viola, the family back and you just put it in front of it. joe buys plan the infrastructure bill and we get republicans switching for me for the thing by 60 percent to be against the thing by 67 percent. so it's really striking how part of suddenly polarized things are. i will say that the democrats are not very divided and when you look at the polling data, 8695 percent of democrats are behind are united actually. even when there's somebody that we might disagree with on a one end of the party or the other democrats are united with getting this plan forward, moving the country forward and they're really remarkably united behind the agenda.

i think one of the biggest questions out there is one in 20222024 way to young people start to take over. the electric went in 2024. they will be the biggest share of the electric jan's. ears are bigger than millennials, people don't realize this, but the jim, the cohort that is coming down the pipe and doesn't all vote right now is in all eligible. busy is going to be bigger, even though the millennials combined their style of the democratic and everything that the republicans are doing right now. to sure up trying to reinforce their party to save themselves in the short term makes it harder for them to win this both. and they use vote in the long term, the culture award, the cancer called share the racism in tolerance, the transgender politics, the women's rights, all of that is making it much, much harder to hold on to these young voter linda, before we go broader,

can you tell our audience, what the age range is for gens ears in millennials. and are they all democrats? are they split? you know, do you have divides within these gen z and millennial voters that are coming online as a really good question? and there are some disagreements. i love my colleague, dan here to, to jump in as well, but the young voters are generally considered either under 39 or under 34. and the miller and the gen fears are considered to be under $24.00 under $22.00. there's some disagreement because it's the cohort, but that gives you an idea of who they are. there are divisions, obviously big divisions by education, by race, some of the same things that promote divisions among older voters. but what ever cohort you're looking at? the younger voters of that cohort, whether it's college educated. busy or rural, or small business owners or whatever you look like the younger people in that

cohort, or significant way more democratic than the older people in that cohort. and that includes on issues to like young evangelicals, very supportive of climate change politics. so again, whatever covert you're looking at, whatever demographic group, when you look at the young ones are significantly more democratic. overall, the org is about 60 percent from democratic right dan. hi, dan. how do you look at those divides, dan, how do you look at those divides and, and, you know, when you, when you sort of look at what this next generation coming on was, you know, to you for whatever it's worth. and you know, it's basically a small slice of life. when i look at donald trump at these rallies, i do see a lot of young people, but i don't know how what, how larger, smaller percentage of that is of all young people, but your thought. so these are great questions, and i think one of the things to know about younger generation is that they are the

most ethnically in racially diverse generation as linda, sad. and so even if young generation simply voted in the ways that they're older compatriots did within their ethnic and racial group, you would still see because down the younger generations are more hispanic, more african american, you would still see them, meaning, democratic. it's also interestingly the case that generations often carry the experiences of their kind of late adolescence in early adulthood through for generation. so you can still see today in registration statistics and in partisan identification, the echoes of roosevelt of eisenhower, of kennedy. and i think that one of the cylinder was saying, you know, this doesn't mean that the democrats are destined to win elections or republicans are destined to lose them. but it does mean that there is now a generation entering the electorate who means democratic and that i would expect

for certainly 20222024. those voters who, you know, under 30, who are just coming into the electorate, are going to lean democratic and going to help the democrats offset losses they may have with older voters. well, let, you know, part of the reason i really want to do this show with both of you is that donald trump is back. he's, you know, maybe, you know, i think he made less headlines with his return than maybe a lot of other people you know, hoped for. but nonetheless, he's back and he's sending signals that he might run in 2024. and it's linda just said, at least he's trying to influence the race in 2022, and slid in your ear or the smartest democratic pulse right now. as you kind of look at 2022, you got to 50 to 50 balance of senators the united states senate, and i think what you've got 5, i don't know the number, but i think is about how 5 feet or something house. do democrats understand that while they hear your numbers and the demographic change, they're really in

a fragile situation and they totally understand it. and i think democrats are very, very concerned about the 2 year where voters just decide, well, let me balance the president even if i like him, were very, very worried about structural changes like geron, man, during and the voter suppression. and of course, there been more loss and damaging was passed than ever before, which shows the republicans there were a do. were worried about winning down ballot races like attorney general's and secretary of state because they can determine a lot what happens with the elections in the state. so i think that there's a lot to be concerned about in 2020 to $1.00 of the reasons we're talking about modifying the filibuster, passing things to reconciliation is i think the democrats salvation will come from delivering results. and some of those results will be, was with republicans, and some of those results will be without them. and then those republicans are

going to have to explain, why did you vote against the subsidy chest? why did you vote against child care tax credits? why did you vote against elder care for my mother? and they're going to really have to explain that to women. dan, is there a reckoning coming for those republicans who voted or didn't vote the way? so linda said, i mean one of the reasons i like your piece so much is a great analysis you are, you didn't run away from the politics of it. and i'm just asking like in this moment, if, if attorney general bill bar is no longer a good republican and he was like one of tom's biggest, if vice president mike pants is no longer is now booed and called a traitor and they have, you know, pictures of a hangman's noose with mike pence on it. i guess my question is on one hand that seems scary. on the other hand, maybe democrats, this is a good side show and then you kind of look at the country in the independence or out there say, let the media are alive. wow. well, there's a lot there. i think one key thing to keep in mind is that and so linda alluded to

this very, very reliably, the party that holds the president, the loses seats in mid term elections. right? there has only been 2 exceptions in the last 90 years. so for our audience, just let me interrupt. so for our audience, mid term elections, we're talking about is 2022 next year. so just wanted to punctuate that point. go ahead. absolutely, and i think what's critical to know then is yeah, the democrats go into this election facing headwind having to defend senate seats in traditionally republican places like arizona in georgia. and at the same time yeah, clinging to a very, very narrow house. majority right now. and facing the prospect of redistricting that could alone tip the balance even before. busy we, you know, the voters get their say, i think it's also really important to distinguish the periodic. you know what happens in elections when millions and millions of voters get to cast their views from the what's going on right now, which is positioning within the parties for

a much smaller audience and activist and journalists. and i think that when we thinking about donald trump's kind of return to prominence, to rallies and whatnot. one of the critical questions is about the maneuvering within the republican party. is these fights over who's going to define what the republican party stands for? and i think that what we should expect is, in 2020 to the democrats arm are likely to lose seats, certainly in the house of representatives and quite possibly in the senate. and so i think that there may well be a reckoning, but the extent to which a reckoning comes, it's going to come more from long term and intro party dynamics than i think it's going to come be delivered from voters who, you know, everything we know about republican primary and general election voters right now is that, you know, donald trump is, is their idea of a very strong candidate. i appreciate that. so linda, as you know,

i've spent some time with president biden, when he was vice president. i interviewed him a good number of times and i, you know, i think if truth be told, he basically thought that in the, in the last, in the election of donald trump, it hillary clinton, a donald trump, is going to pull it out because he said to me, you know, in an, on the record, the democratic party had become a party of snobs that it looked down on people that it had forgotten how to connect with real people and their suffering and where they were. and so when you kind of go through many of the rights causes, you just laid out and others, and you kind of like, i mean, i know this over simplifies it, but you take brooklyn, new york, which used to be street, but now it's become pause and you try to take brooklyn is the frame that doesn't look like something that has an on ramp for a lot of americans. does the democratic party and its structure even under joe biden, still have a snob problem. i think it does have a snob problem and that comes particularly when it's around the economy because

number on the voters are more interested in the economy then in what doctor says their kids are reading in school. now if we engage in debate back, then we become part of the problem to what's good news is the republicans are running on that and, and joe biden and president biden is not taking the bait. he is focus solely on cobra and the economy and getting a stanford going again. and we have a game changing opportunity here. if we kind of knew recovered. and if we can pass the jobs in the family plan and people see us better on the economy, then we will change politics. 7 the country for the next 10 years, up and down the ballot. democrats do not when, when we're not ahead on the company. and in 2016 we were behind on the economy. it's one of the reasons we live. so pulling up on who's going to be good for jobs, who's going to be good for your kitchen table economics, your pocket book. this is a game changing opportunity for us. and there's one person in america who really

gets that it's president by dan, i'm going to ask you to respond the same thing. but i want to ask you slightly different. i spent a lot of time with republicans and democrats, all different levels and colors and flavors and around the country. but one of the things that becomes very clear to me is that the way that people on different sides of the aisle is it's define. now donald trump conservatism, what they care about, how they look at the government, you know, how they look at the wars in afghanistan, you know, whatever it may be. it's very different. you know, it's, i wouldn't even call it partisan. it's just gravity works differently on this side at, from way gravity works on this side. and, you know, i think a lot of people recklessly call this the cult of donald trump, or the, maybe they, you know, talk about the q and on conspiracy. they talk about evangelicals, which may all be part of that. but my question to you is, isn't irrationality on their side, on, on the republican side, or are there off ben to, you know,

genuine dimensions to their support for president former president, trump that are rational and logical that the other side is not understanding. that makes sense, it does make sense. and i mean, one of the oldest questions i could go grab many books from my bookshelves right here on this question of whether we think, you know, is the public rational. i think that maybe one way to frame it is that republicans are interested in a set of cultural, often symbolic issues. they are some of the issues that our foremost, particularly in the minds of some republican activists, are not actually the subject of public policy right to donald trump mean waves. when early in his term he attacked football players who wouldn't stand for the national anthem. no, he wasn't considering any executive action, any legislative push related to that. it's simply a symbol of where we are as a country. and i think that one of the challenges is that the republican party,

certainly the, the trump wing of the republican party, which has been attendant, is very interested in the set of issues. you know, we mentioned doctor says, somewhat viciously. but it's interested in a set of cultural issues that critical race theory that are, to some extent, not the objects of public policy. and so i think that we to, we also do ourselves a disservice if we focus on today's hot issue on twitter and, and get away from it. i think so, i was making this point in a way by, by pointing to this and charlie, the economy rate, voters are not engaged in the day to day attacks that happen on twitter or even on, you know, ever for it on, on, even the best you know television show, right, but voters do engage on the question of what is the economy look like? how is you know, how the president and his or her party doing? and i think that, you know, those of us who follow politics religiously,

want to know what ted cruz said this morning or where he flew on vacation. but for many, many voters politic is not the 1st thing. it's not even the 10 thing on their mind . and i think they come when we get towards election, they're then going to ask themselves the kinds of questions that the lender with enough about the conditions, the economy, about how the 2 parties are doing. but i think that politics is that you might think of it as a kind of play where there are a few of us who are watching very closely. but most of the audience is out in the lobby and missing most of the screaming. thank you. so linda, you both have said today that, that in quino, classically historically and elections that mid term election that 2022 election is usually a balancer against the president's party. and so we have this coming up but, but so linda, you know, you're not helping the republican side to need to see the future and see in the christ of all your help. the democrats are there, things they can do. you've talked to in the past about health care,

but are there issues or framing or scaffolding that can change that historic pattern in your view? significantly enough. so that, that donald trump serge, which we're seeing right now with him coming back when you effect it, is less significant than it might otherwise be. yes, and i think the administration is doing a lot of that. there are 3 things we can do. point number one, when the and i think this administration is trying as hard as it can to when the economy and it's not when the macro economy or when the number of the council economic advisors, when the economy a kitchen table. this thing we can do is get out our boat and we need to re i, our boat is not debating whether to vote for joe biden or somebody of our our folks drop off more and off year elections. we had some turnout issues, especially because of coven, and getting out our boat is going to be absolutely critical. and then the 3rd thing i think is that to elect donald trump the donald trump, as much as he can be,

particularly just suburban women and suburban moms. we are back to the days of the waitress and the soccer moms being the determinant vote. and the 2020, i'll make a prediction right now women, it will women, you will decide. what funny do alexis, do they vote providing democrats, and then the men vote for the republicans and let donald trump be donald trump as much as he can be. i was kind of very he didn't coverage because that's the fact that that and that rejected again. well folks, unfortunately were out of time. this is really terrific. i'd love to get a one word. you have a one word answer, dan, on what matters most in the election. you've got, you've got a chance. i'm a professor. one word, it's impossible or suburbs. there you go. well, listen, it's a great conversation. thank you both democratic strategist, linda lake, political science professor, dan hopkins. thank you both for being with us today. really appreciate it and we'll see what happens. so what's the bottom line? millions and millions of americans still believe that donald trump is their great

white hope for them. he's a straight talker who doesn't abide by the rules. doesn't care about traditional lines between conservative and liberal, or democrat, and republican and he does whatever he likes. they love it, trump is rude and obnoxious, and you could care less about your feelings. maybe that's really what trump ism is about for so many people, they're frustrated and they vent their anger through him. as for his pugnacious policies, while they're just collateral damage for the nerds to worry about, we have to deal with it. the scariest thing about his strategy is that it might just work again. my guess, think that democrats are scrambling to appeal to a majority of americans, but are they succeeding? it's really hard to tell. the cold reality is it in about 3 years. donald trump, or a trump like clone, could be back in the white house in american politics. never say never. and that's the bottom line. ah.

the world's lungs are being seen. the amazon rain forest is diminishing it. a rate of 2 football pitches per minute to meet the market insatiable appetite for logging, mining and farming. as both scenarios, government seek to relax conservation laws and increase production. indigenous communities on the brink of extinction. no, it's the bite of their life. people empower brazil's amazonian battle on al jazeera, with bank energy, and say to every part of our universe or small to continue the change all around the shape, my technology and human ingenuity. we can make it work for you and your bill.

ah i'm not madison and don't have the top stories analogies in if you appears government in rebels into guy are being warned by the you and to respect to cease fire or risk spiraling into a crisis. more than 2000000 people i said to be in the verge of starvation because of fighting, which is last 8 months. the guy defense forces says it's committed to cooperating with agencies and allowing them access catherine. so i has the latest from either sub about whether to grand forces have been saying and they've been.