of that capacity, it is resulted in the yellow river drying up seriously, affecting one of iraq's 2 major river sources. the tigris iraq has been suffering significant water shortages in several other regions with the flows of the tigris and euphrates rivers. the country's life lions also obstructed by dams built by turkey, expert se, unless a deal can be achieved on a lot of supplies. hundreds of thousands of her tours of agricultural lands could disappear. and that could cause a major population shift in the region. without brewer had al jazeera india or province eastern iraq. ah, hello. the headlines on al jazeera us president joe biden has called the arrival of the 1st evacuation flight carrying off guns. an important milestone. $221.00 off

guns including children, landed in virginia early on friday. thousands more. who are afraid of taliban retaliation are waiting to be resettled. james base explains why the u. s. is undertaking such a huge mission. let's look at the context of the big picture. the u. s. have been in afghanistan for 20 years. they had many, many partners here. they had all of the nato allies, that 30 countries and all plus many other countries who were involved fighting alongside nato in the ice f coalition. remember, they were also n g o z here, security contract his media. so many people. so many afghans, particularly in cobble, have been working with the international community. clearly the us now feel their security is at risk. the 1st person to be tried under beijing's national security law in hong kong, has been sentenced to a total of 9 years in prison. song and it was convicted and stated, especially on terrorism. he was arrested last year for writing a motorbike into

a group of police officers law flying a fly, calling for hong kong liberation. the philippines is restoring a defense packed with the united states that allows for a joint military exercises. the move was announced during a visit by us defense secretary lloyd austin, olympics host country. japan has expanded its data for emergency after reporting a record number of proven 1900 infections restrictions will continue until the end of next month until 2, where the games are taking place. organizers say they've been there been $27.00 new infections linked to the event. that's the highest so far. shina is bodily. it's 1st major over $900.00 break and month. hundreds of thousands of people are locked down in jang. zoom province. an internal report by the us centers for disease control and prevention says the delta variance is contagious as chicken pox. copy of the document shows the variance is more transmissible than the viruses that cause ebola. the common cold and the seasonal flu inside story is coming up

next on al jazeera. thanks for watching. ah, ah, ah, ah ah, ah, this is president. we shuffled his cabinet, hoping to show up his popularity. but there's growing public discontent. job both sonata was trans accuse of mishandling the covered 19 times and angry protestors say he should step down. so who's likely to win based on this is inside story. ah, ah

hello and welcome to the program. i am rob matheson brazil is president, is under pressure again during the course of this year general. so nato managed to unite left wing parties, trade unions, and social organizations, because they're trying to get him impeached. is mainly accused of mishandling the pandemic, and possibly being responsible for the death of thousands of people. brazilians have also accused him of corruption, a disregard for the environment and policies. they say a feeling the economic crisis in his latest response, most and auto announced a government re shuffle. but that's only angered more people who say the president is a threat to democracy. i am here against this government that i consider genocidal, responsible for not purchasing the vaccine. and many people died for a lack of vaccines that the government did not buys. i am here claiming the right of all brazilians, the right to democracy without fascism and both the noro out. nobody can stand this

genocide in the country anymore. i'm for the amazon for the indians and for the truth. and that's why i'm here because both scenario is a liar. i didn't vote for him, but i also didn't think he would be so genocidal. we're going to go to our guests in a moment, but 1st let's take a look at both sonata was presidency. the populace done conservative president took office in 2019 after defeating leftists, has ruled for decades. victory was seen as part of growing support for the far right in many countries has been criticized for favoring torture and praising the nation's former dictatorship. as comments on race, gender and sexual orientation have also provoked control oversee the president has labeled corona virus, are a little flu, is pushed for quarantine measures to be lifted and sent contradictory messages about masks and social distancing. and he's been sued by indigenous leaders at the international criminal court for damage caused by his environmental policies.

the okay, like to bring in our guests joining us from south palo, we have shut out. those are connie's and offer brazilian political analyst. and in new haven, connecticut, we have nissan massaging. he's an associate professor that international studies that are queen university and also from south palo. we have claudio cotto is a political scientist. he's also associate professor. these are truly vargas foundation. welcome to you all gentlemen. this, i'm sorry, i want to start with you. what do you think the president is trying to achieve with this re shuffle? well, one of his main objective is to establish and solve for to keep. the president entered the next 2 elections. so there are attempt of impeaching him, as you said, in your introduction notes by dr. industry shuffle. and then by

bringing in a t r to get out to his government, he wants to confirm his alliance with what is called in brazil said go to avoid the near term of impeaching. and so because my from my point of view, the main, he's main objective, an alternative objective is to allow him to counsel more effectively the narrative that is being driven by the coven inquiry commission of a defendant. one of the very direct call sequences of this re shuffle is that he's sudden will be fit in as a potential participant in the commission. so this will allow him to defend himself and his narrative in fighting the coffee

and then you can present. so these are his german objectives. there are others, but for the time you start to jo survival rather than strategy of a mean for the long run meant. but we didn't election. others are trying to. we hear a lot of course about the people in brazil who are opposed to the president. let's talk about the support that he has. what is the state of both in our support in brazil at the moment? do you think think he reached a floor standing on the support of his, the hardliners, the extreme right supporters that, that probably make up about 1520 percent of the electorate, depending on how you measure it. these people are people that benefit or their policemen. there, fireman, there in the military, there's some ruler. realists, people that benefit from his policies, son,

christian of angelica's, that align with his conservative ideas. and for, for these core group of supporters, there was also not into the it doesn't really matter much what, what he does or what he says if he contradicts himself or even the impact the results of his policies. these people just have been following him since the beginning and they think they'll stick with him into the n. claudio cotto. when the changes and opinion about the president that we have seen in brazil over the last 12 months, say, how much of that is done to people who will post them in the 1st place. and how much of it is people who had voted for me, do you think, who are now seeing a different side or choosing to interpret what he's doing differently? i think that when we consider the balls that show the popularity or the,

or the laws of popularity of both. so now we can say that about a half of his former voltage in 2018 now don't support him. this is what the numbers show to us and to have to do. of course, we've his be his behavior as a president and he has a very peculiar kind of behavior. he's a very aggressive president. he doesn't respect the tradition of the behavior that all the president had in terms of how to talk with people, how to talk with the representatives of other branches of the government. and it has to do, of course, again with the policies. and mainly in this case, the policies regarding the health and the policy you guys and how both. so not dealt with the funding mix, not only in terms of sabotage in all the time and the measures that were necessary to keep people apart. one from the other in terms of health security measures, but also in terms of the crime vaccines are prescribing medicine that really don't

work and even the have the present, the show, the consequences for the people. and so we've considered this, this whole thing. we can say that people now of a weight both so and worse than they used to do before. as i said before me, he's still relies, his support and on a very hard course. busy that is comprised by that far right? people by an extra amuse people from the security forces. and this is our now with something like that 20 percent of the prison population. since he had more than 50 percent of the votes, we can say that he lost the support of at least 30 percent of resilience. for those of us who don't follow brazilian politics closely, what was things like in brazil from the election took place and john both sonata was put in place? well, i think that both. so now he was elected because he present themself at that time.

as a kind of outsider, he said, just to say that both so natalie is a real outsider. both on are, is much more marginal insider than properly and outside there since he was a federal representative for 20 years. all his sons are members of the political class. the one of them is a center right now. the other one isn't again, a federal deputy. the other one is a cd counselor and so well, so i was a member of this is that he was able to present himself as an outsider. and since there was no widespread feeling about the bleeding, politics in brazil in terms of really reacting against the traditional political part is against the traditional politics against the representative needs to show that don't work properly. accordingly, to the perception of the brazilian people, both on how to present himself is one that will destroy everything,

to rebuild it in a different manner. and now we have to re shuffle his glove and we can see that while he's not doing that is, i'm sorry, let's talk about this re shuffle. given the fact that he appears to be able to actually, i'm going to come on to get all this on because there's all the you want to make it a point there. yeah, i had this, i may jump in to the last question and looking forward in the, in our last election in 2018, we're also coming out of ears of the the consequences of the shop to scandal, the car wash love. i shall opperation that dealt with corruption in the political system marginalized the workers body to day. many of some of the politicians were arrested, particularly president lula former president. mueller. at the, at that time in 2018 lola was leading to polls. and it's a counterfactual,

but it's likely that he would go to run up with both. and if he was allow, of course, his political rights were, were denied. also at that time, we had before the election, we had the sense that the more traditional, right, we stablish man or center, right, being stag, which meant would put forward a candidate in the person of jed all the while me had a broad, very broad coalition of of body supporting him had a lot of tv time, which is a big deal in brazil and politics. so there was this sense for many politicians from establishment for some t, v analysts that the center right, would come true that all of these operation to put last side and put the workers body aside all the re anger against the lack of government that would lead to a more mainstream stablish man, right,

being candidate coming to power and then that is complete and will happen. cloud you just described how bush or not was elected coming from the fringes coming from the outside. but in a sense that still the same predict member face herself today little as political rights were reinstated. he might run next year, both on of course, still with a very strong political force and the center or the right. the right things are center right. coalition is, is completely lost. they don't know exactly what to do. they don't know if they find themselves a boss or not. they don't know if they try to promote a new candidate. so all of these will play out and next year should all the thank you, i want to come on to nissan massage. go back to the question that i was going to ask, which is about the re shuffle itself with the, the appointment or this move towards, including more centrist candidates within,

within his cabinet, within his organization. is that all this? do you think that supposed to not always sell himself risks undermining his own authority if you're like, if he a centrally dilutes the level of power that he has by having to move it out to other people in order to be able to appease his opponents? absolutely. perfect question, and you're absolutely right. as he deepened these alliance with this group of visiting politicians which are imputed through our imputed to be in among the most corrupt fusion president politics. he contradict. first of all, he's a message of 2018 when he run as the candidate would bring honesty to politics. so he contradicts that, not only he control the medicine that not that from 20 gene, but he put himself at the mercy of this group of petitions who do politics the traditional way and who will bargain for every single support of

supported volunteers. give the government which we can, the government will weaken the government further and further, which means that the group of what addition will not care about improve in the economy or the social standing of the population. what matters to them of their own interests and their survival. so as long as they are serving their own interests, this group of politicians will provide the will. so now we support this support. we not mean that was on or we improve a performance as president. it will only mean that this group of what addition will be provided with the support you need to avoid an encounter part of which they really be serving their own. so this is the conundrum in which most are notifying himself right now. let me just interrupt because i want to go into

claudia coat and go back to go back to a point that geraldo was making with regard to the elections that we're going to be seeing in several months time. geraldo was saying that the one of the problems was that the opposition had relied so much on both, both scenarios, lack of electability in a sense that they, they were concentrating on different things. they essentially took their eye off the ball because they didn't think the ball sonata was going to get elected. do you think that the opposition in brazil has changed enough and realized their mistake, their previous mistake? enough to be able to cook because a cohesive force against both sonata run and about a year's time. well, i think they did, but the point is that we don't have just one position, but we have different factors of the position today. the perhaps the more competitive sector is the one represented by lula, the, the laughter traditional left in brazil. and there is another sector that now

people call that the 3rd way will be something in the middle of lowland both. so now we can be a center candidate can be a moderate right? this candidate we don't know is what it is. but these guys, they know that they must be competitive against both on the chemical by he's a space in the political dispute next year. it's impossible for this group to occupy the space that is already or by, by bullet, from the left until the center left and even a part of the center. and so it is very important for the sectors of the political spectrum to weaken both. when i do even more in order to occupy this space, the point is that we don't have just one candidate. and so there is not an unified capacity of competition for the next election. and besides that, there is also a difficulty in presuming a real competitive and the feeling candidate is not only

a problem of the demand. we have that demand for centuries or centers, right? this candidate. but we don't have a candidate that can fill this blank and is capable of convincing people that they are a best alternative. then the other 2 candidate. and, but we really realized that both when i was no, not only a freak, has some people perceived in 2018, that would be impossible for him to be elected. considered, for example, to think that he said, i would say that he was elect because of the things that he sets in this things that are the ones that allow him to present himself at a real positive of the establishment. but now he's establishment and he's a different kind of a stab. and so these people can present themselves as an end table. so not a book. it depends on what parts of the position we are talking about that we've talked briefly earlier about the, the, the involvement of the security. so obviously the support that he has from the military and so on. i want to ask you about how the military and brazil views about

financial presidency. and do you think that there's any possibility the military might intervene if it looked as though a bolton out of presidency was going to fail? that's a great question and i'm glad you asked it. i think one of the, the consequences of the cabinet we shuffle, we saw is a down play of the role of the military in person. i was government, don't get me wrong. well, so not who has thousands of military officials in to beat and boasts is the most number of military men in the government since they dictatorship, it even suppresses what we had in our military dictatorship. here, he has a very strong support from the military and from the military leaders from the minister of the science from the chief of the forces. but in putting you don't get any been bringing this part of the collisions or parties. he's giving the driving

seat off the government to the politicians, not to the military. data lines though will not, will not go away. he still has a strong support from, from the military, from the, from the leaders. he recently shuffle position from, from the, the, the branches in the navy, in the army. and, and there seems to be what we hear from the military is at least the leadership. they will not stand for renew lula government for the lula election, which is a conser since right? that's not their option. it's. it's like putting democracy in the hosted seat, but we, we have, we have been getting the signals and i think it, sorry, turns out,

but i wanted to, i don't miss sorry about the fact that i would imagine that given that that was only emerged from the military dictatorship, back in 1985. how fresh is that in the brazilian mind when they see the way that job both and, and his government are operating some most impression in people's memories. i'm one of the things that saves balsam from the beach. that is the fact that he's, vice president is another not another he's a general retard general. and even some sectors are concerned. for most of our you can be reached, it will be more our will become president more brings more the military institution even done both. now, because he's a general, he's a retired general, the military and he's part of about

a fringe of the military look, believe that define the military as a moderate can force in present in politics. you know, the asian feed up interviews when things go bad. when things go south, so he, if he's involved as a president, there is a risk for a major is probably just in politics from visiting democracy. so this is still fresh in people's memory and people and many politicians would refrain from pitching both on our own because of this, the risk of bringing the military back to power in 2021. i think perhaps not as evidence may take issue with being called or not, but move on from there. let me talk about the elections that are coming up. no judge wilson out, it was getting increasing the critical about the election process in brazil. is it too much of a coincidence to suggest that this is happening while his approval ratings are

plummeting? claudio coach and yeah, yeah, that is exactly what is, what has happened says both on i realized that to be very difficult for him to when the next elections. he says, all the time that the political system, the legal system of elections, it doesn't work properly. it's not really reliable that fraud had or red open today, for example, who present some evidence. he says that there are some evidence that there was a, for all the major political fraud in the elections of 2014. when do my research was elected instead of iso nav as opposed to them? they even asked never, don't, don't, don't think this way. he recognized that the war fighter elections. but this is not the novelty in terms of both on our, even sometime before the elections of 1010. he was a read talking about this, the problems that doesn't exist. we don't have evidence of that in the,

in the political system of elections. i think that the problem, the main problem personnel is not only discrediting the electro institutions in case of a he lose the election, but is also a part of his general perspective. it's general strategy of weakening political institutions of brazilian democracy and sees one of the most important institutions of resume democracy are the electoral system and electro institutions. it's very important for him to week. this kind of thing, even though they are, let me ask news on my daughter. that's because we're getting close to the end of the program for those who are opposing both in our in brazil is taking to the streets and registering their protest publicly. the only thing they can do is there any other mechanism apart from political impeachment that can be used to remove both sonata by the public? or do we have to wait for the elections briefly if you was politically,

from my personal bike both but is to wait for the election because portraying are pursuing impeachment or other strategies might allow for some, for a victimization process. would allow him to regain credibility with his followers. so from what all of you, the best way to do to deal with this is just to allow to wait for the elections bought. right. we're going to leave it there. thank you very much. these to all i guess is that others are around offer brazilian political analysts from so part of nissan, saudi associate, professor of international studies at alco wayne university from new haven, connecticut, and also from south palo claudio koto political scientist and associate professor the utility of august foundation, i'm thank you to you too. for watching you can see the program again any time by

visiting our website, odyssey, or dot com for further discussion. go to our facebook page, that's facebook dot com, forward slash ha inside story. you can also join the conversation on twitter handle is us page insight story, me rob madison and the whole team. bye for now. the news news, news, news lies and elicit market for the rich and powerful i was needing special undercover. just yours investigative unit exposes the inner workings, have key players in the murky underbelly of football finance. he's

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rashid mac, luthey for the jury and national liberation front. with his feet rashid mackenzie, and the f. l. n. team on al jazeera. we understand the different cultures, the cost of what moves the news and calling to find that massive t. oh i it's $1200.00 g m t on come all santa maria. these are the top stories on al jazeera. he was president joe biden is called the arrival of the 1st evacuation flights carrying afghans. an important milestone. $221.00 afghans including children, landed in virginia early on friday. thousands more afraid of taliban retaliation are still waiting to be resettled. what's your message to those that have no choice

but to stay a 1st i want to reiterate. we're through this action.