the 12 year old i still have today. how do you sunday marks the final stage of the festival, dawn as the up arrow as it draws to a close, many hold that it's brought some respite from the misery of corbett. 19 fernandez. are just the ra candy ah exactly half past the hour. these are your top stories from out to 0. the taliban says it will not extend the deadline for western forces to leave. afghanistan. us president jo biden's under pressure to keep us forces on the ground beyond august, the 31st to continue the evacuation. rob mcbride is incapable. this deadline is tumbling a moveable feast. originally. it was that it may the 1st or event, but that was under the trumpet, ministrations piece, deal with the taliban last year. now as part of that deal,

the taliban agreed to hold talks with the then african government. they didn't whole talk. so joe biden felt justified, i think in april when he extended the deadline to the symbolically very important september 11th. now, since then, they biden in july brought the deadline forward to august the 31st. so he set that deadline in theory, he can now unset it at the taliban, has threatened before with the extension of deadlines, etc, that it would take action. it would target us troops. i think it remains to be seen whether that's going to happen, mr. vite and says the lifting of americans and vulnerable afghans has accelerated, more than 28000 people have been lifted to kind of enter control of cobble. china says it's closely following developments in afghanistan. it's foreign minister is calling for the formation of an inclusive government. paging census prepared to work with the taliban. at least 22 people have been killed during flooding in the

american state of tennessee. it follows record levels of rainfall on saturday. rescue crews are searching for dozens of people who are still missing the power because there are hampering those rescue efforts. tropical storm only is battering a stretch of the northeastern coast of the us, just hours after being downgraded from a hurricane. more than 100000 people in new england don't have any power. it's one of the most powerful storms in the region. in 30 years, us vice president comma harrison singapore, to reaffirm washington alliances in the asia pacific region. harris met the singapore in precedent and the prime minister that discussed a number of issues, including some dispute islands in the south china sea. it comes amid widespread concerns of weaken u. s. commitment across the region. you are right up to speed with all the top stories here on al jazeera. the news continues on this channel. after inside story, i will see you very soon news

news. news. united states is out of luck, ghana, san, but the country strategic location of boston. also is remain who stands the benefit from the american exit? what does it mean for regional security? this is inside story. ah, hello, welcome to the show, i'm sammy's a than as planned. the american military occupation of afghanistan is coming to an end. the pull out has been criticized as a major defeat,

but was the 20 year war complete failure of for years. american military presence gave it an advantage over rivals in the region. it also allowed civil and military contract is to make millions of dollars. and the long war opened the window for mineral exploitation estimated to be worth billions. so if the war was so lucrative, could we see another one? moscow in beijing do not seem alarmed by the thought of bonds takeover. and they've already shown interest in supporting the future of afghanistan. jewels on coolie, china encourages, i've gone taliban to presume moderate and study religious policies and establish an open and inclusive political structure with the other parties. peaceful and sunday, foreign policies, especially towards his neighbors. so as to realize the reconstruction of afghanistan and iran controls almost all the rest of the all the cold including the

capitol. these are yellow and it's from these realities that one must see preventing the collapse of the gun will begin our discussion in a moment of 1st, let's take a look at once that state for the region. the security environments in afghan assigned is still precarious. china, india and the u. s. have voiced concerns about the tommy bon harboring armed groups . tony bond says it will not. it's estimated afghan, the stan has billions of dollars worth of natural resources. and dozens of countries including rivals, india, and pakistan are looking to benefit by helping afghans extract them with the prospects of a new government. political influence in afghanistan is up for grabs. china is seeking to secure it's belton road initiative. and i've kind of stand support would be essential for its corridor with pakistan. the. now for me on this, i'm joined by our guests. we have joining us from miami june teufel drayer,

a professor at the university of miami and a specialist on asia economy and security. she's also written extensively on mineral mining in da hash met, muffler and independent african analyst. schmidt is covered up kind of stand extensively and is one of the 1st journalists to have interviewed the tardy bomb after $911.00. good. have you with us? so if we can with hash, then for the last 20 years i've gone this town has been a center for us power throughout central asia. how much of a radical change in the balance of power takes place right now? well, we have to look at the u. s, they're all going to in the life of the why the security concerns of the us regionally and globally, the u. s. government has learned that when you destroy and nationalists, the stomach movement locked up all of on as they did similar groups in iraq, the remnants or the left over fighters and go on and joined the stomach state. and

they will pose a much more potent threat to the u. s. interest in the region. overall, the threats of kaiser and the stomach state is seen by the us security analyst, that persistent condition and not as an existing show threat to the u. s. strategic interests in the region and globally, also the stomach, a state has been engaged in africa and the deserts of syria. and they are basically contain their use would like to keep the fighting, confined to those areas. and the main issue for the use of the moment is the re emergence of long term strategic competition from russia and china. and for that reason, the u. s. does not want to be bulk down in the streets. i'm going to stand trying to keep peace and security and they would like to hand that over to the regional allies. and then the focused on and focused on has very close relations with oliver

and focused on it will stop contracts that use interest to the tolerable and the following will go on to sub contract, not to the local and on those. and the tribal elders will then subcontract that to the individuals with the currency of religion. but the coming of religion is not going to get them far in their fight against the threats office. stomach, a state, the fall of $1.00 bond would soon need some dollars. if not, i'm going to call in the collapse of the all of them. because the u. s. want to help with the internet. can he, he does not want to help. the taller one will not use the limited resources to find the isis in effect. the isis has become an asset for the all of our resorts for the college and the regional government. all right, that's an interesting way of looking at it june. will the us then continue to exert some influence? do you think in afghan, a stan especially through economic factors,

the supply of dollars and i've kind of stands foreign reserves. i think our excellent arguments had suggested for the us applying some dollar city asking on economy. as a matter of fact, today's financial times has a very interesting article by someone who says that the failure of the united states in afghanistan was a failure to support economic reconstruct economic construction in afghanistan, after the united states invaded. and i'm not an expert on afghanistan, but i do watch with the u. s. government was doing and it was trying very hard to create infrastructure in afghanistan. the problem being whenever they would build something like power station, the taliban would come and blow it up. and unfortunately, despite the good arguments for united states, remaining it in, in some kind of supportive role. if only to mitigate the influence of china or

russia, the public opinion in the united states is going to be dead set against doing math . so, and public opinion in the united states now just went down by not only the biden administration, but the state department and the intelligence community for not warning them that this is coming. so i think it would be a very hard sell to get bills. ating, afghanistan, the taliban government, through congress. at this point, i do mention their national, the influence of russia and china. i'll the us concern over that, judging by statements we've heard, at least so far from russian officials, we think moscow believes it can reach an understanding with the taliban, which would help its project, its power after the u. s. withdrawal. yeah, i just wanted to say one thing 1st that i'm not aware of all of them attacking

power stations and destroying power stations or dams. the following did our lines, but they did not the main infrastructure of the dams. the failure of the us policy . and i've gotten into the economy was mainly due to its following a market economy model and not a mixed economy, like the europeans did. the 2nd world war, where the government was run off of essential, essential parts of the economy. and as for support for russia, for all of on the russia, the more pragmatic ideological when it comes to the foreign policy towards i'm going to stand at least now after the soviet collapse, the unity then hash met. absolutely. the russians do see an opportunity not going to sun, especially if they want to keep security, or that in their 1000 a border through the independent countries of those like to come and also china.

good luck was going to start to become a hub for islamic state from which they could recruit or of china and create trouble for the chinese government. so the fact that i think, you know, get this done is a double edged sword with a ton of on, and it remains to see how they get into play. this call. i've opened up a lot of things that take them apart. now june, starting with the influence of china, the opportunity for china, do you think beijing sees an opportunity for its influence to grow enough kind of stand post the us withdrawal and a ton of bon rise particularly for solve it economic interest there? well, trying to definitely season opportunity, but china also sees a lot of risks. and as a mom had said, there is a, there is a good relationship between the taliban and elements in pakistan. not necessarily the pakistani government and, but their, their chinese are also very wary of what,

what is going on in pakistan, just a couple of days ago, several of their nationals were killed in a raid on the china pakistan economic corridor that goes through water and also through believe she territory and they believe she are not very happy with this corridor. and there would be more of that. and we keep talking here about the taliban government, the taliban government, the taliban government. and clearly they're, they're going to be in charge and cobble. but that doesn't mean they're in charge of the rest of afghanistan, and there are a lot of other ethnic groups who are not especially happy with the taliban. and there is, are reports and you know how much you're there. i'm not, i deferred to your greater knowledge, but according to today's papers, the taliban are engaged in battles with resistance forces in northern afghanistan.

and i don't think those people are going to give up and go away very easily. so we have to contend with, to what extent is the taliban going to be in charge of all of the afghanistan and what can be done if china goes in and says yes, here are billions will help. and china has also become more wary. i think of how much good is billions are doing because it has been burned in places like 31. the malaysian government has been unhappy. there are concerns with dams in paris that don't behave the way they should and so on. so i don't think china is going to play santa claus very easily and ask dana, stan especially since conditions there are apt to be troubled for a long time to come. but do you think i actually, you've opened up another issue and hush my nose the north can stand very well. so

let's take this point to him and hush my talking about some of the key figures in the punch in the valley in the north. do you think we'll see international or regional banking emerge for people like atmosphere, food, the son of the famous african commander mc chalmers food, all the former vice president on the la sala was now declaring himself to be the rightful acting president of afghanistan. ok, so there are 2 issues here and the issue of trying to our lives out and i'd like to come back to that. but the issue of resistance in punish valley against the taliban . it's a very, very complex and interesting and future making complex conflicts that is emerging in function funny. the color on need international recognition. they want a peaceful transfer of power from the old government to the thought of on so that they can claim international legitimacy. so that they can stop any resistance against them as being a legitimate resistance. so therefore,

the car is now with pressure valley and the former vice president, amber law, solid and resistant forces rallying around, much, almost with the order negotiating with us on a bomb to concede power in exchange for certain policy changes on the side of the dollar bond and power sharing with autobahn and also bringing in other groups around the fall of one. but let's not forget the major victory off. it's all about has being that they broke through the ethnic lines in the last 340 years. and you, in demick, corruption within the government of going to where the villages, where they used to consist the backbone of resistance against all of them, the people shifted towards the collarbone, stopped fighting, and they stopped supporting the national army. they stopped supporting the local commanders lock, jumbo like jungle dist on, and the other commanders in my hon in the west. these,

there's so much into the government that has a foot in the government, the food outside of the government. they patch with the people with no per base and when it matter that you have that local base, people move, it wasn't all of them. if this was an election, it would have been a lot like it was a follow this time around. if you notice the thought about managed to capture northern cities before the capture, south and city, and we know that the thought of a donna soon. so the thought about brooks and ethnic line and know the situation that we called for fond power power to play in the north of afghanistan with the u. s. i know that my food has been calling for us support. would there be a us appetite for that? would the russians allow some of their former soviet states to return to the sort of arrangement in the ninety's way? you saw taja korea back backing for powerful ethnic figures to destabilize the

taliban grip on power and the taliban. while they allowed groups opposed to the governments into gk stan and was becca stan, top right from afghan territory. can we expect that kind of calculus to reemerge? i think the us, 1st of all that you will realize is that a collapse or failed to stave off, get us on the follow bar and continued ward is not in your interest. i am sure the focused on is have managed to convince the americans that is not in their best interest. the washer, the absolute, the terrified often junior was not going to stop because it will spill over into the castle and thought you could. because remember, the thought of on condition is what the us and others that you help us, we help you. it's a ton of them, a lot helped. then all of them cannot be held responsible for a groups emerging and going across and causing security concern for russia. so i don't see any of those states willing to give the resistance inside any military

support, but the biggest support they could give is that to tell the all about who not like you are not hands over united nation seek to you will not have economy relations with you, unless you reach a settlement with the northern alliance or the flight of gathering around the form of government, which is at the moment, which is technically a, he's the vice president and he holds that position at the moment. so this is the best card and the problem, and i think they know that they do not want to take over power by force and then allow a situation of reality on the ground politics, the mistake with the loss of all of them. and some would not, they also told them do not want to repeat the mistakes of how much because there's government where they said that the fall of one not defeated. that not being the, all of on into the formation of a new government about going on to create a new list. and they can bounce back to where they are. now. it's quite possible

that over a long time, if that donavon are not recognized and they continue control, and the northern fighters or the fighters, of under the guise of the for my government can to fight. i'm going to still only become unstable, insecure. i don't see that month, our takeover will often and doesn't sound like from what we're hearing from, i guess most of the global and regional pals. one that right now it sounds like they all see a, an interest in keeping afghanistan stable, even if it is under taliban control, june. even if that's the case, the u. s. continues, of course, to freeze afghan assets. there will be a lack of dollars flowing into afghanistan, the sort of arrangement which the former african government had of dollars coming in from the us to pay salaries. that's all going to come to bad very soon. right

june. that's going to bite the afghan economy. very soon, i suspect are there are negotiations going on even now about what to do about those assets and the, that i also suspect that the united states government and not to be very careful here. you know, we keep talking about united states, united states, united states, moved in the united states now is get the heck out of afghanistan and leave it to its own devices. and it is going to be very, very difficult. no matter how wise people and the biting and administration have ideas for yes, it would be in the best interest re knighted to help stabilize that they're going to have to overcome severe domestic resistance. and i don't see the path forward for the taliban, stabilizing the country. to be that easy. this morning i saw

a video made by mohammed moore, who is a charging warlord, who fled to afghanistan when i think it was ms. are you sure refill? now? nice words, and he is saying will fight our resistance will continue. and then he says, only if we, well, if we are gal to enter the power equation, are we willing to play ball with the taliban? and he said, where we won't become slaves to be outside hers. and i want his phrase, we will not go to others tables for decoration, we want to be a partner in power show. i don't see that the taliban being able to, to stabilize the country that easily. and until the united states is convinced that

there is a stable government there, it's going to be very reluctant to unfreeze those assets. hi smart. we should talk about pakistan as well. they have one of the biggest regional winners from the change in of power and cobble right now. absolutely. and let's also not forget that it is not only america that has security concerns. the gulf region also has security concerns. iran has security concerns. india has security concerns and those regional powers do not want that's all about the claps. and i'm sure that some top cash injection into the all about government agreement just to keep the float for the near future will happen. and i think it would be a responsible thing, polluting interesting hash value for india in that group. judging by the tone, at least in india and media, they seem very keen on the idea of supporting and the legitimacy of under

a law follow and supporting asthma, masoud. yeah, absolutely. and there will be a balancing act, some will support the follow up on and make the fall of on dependent on their dollars. and so the for dollars all are going to have to listen to them. and india will support the much, much with sun under commanders in the north to make them dependent on the policy to be a proxy negotiations keeping the security of the region in the image of those nations in mind. and that will continue. but if one side allows the other side to take the better of the other one, like to see if the northern fight just come up. the india i've actually lost america, lost a bargaining chip and other potential governments in the region that would like to see the fall of on more pain last the bargaining chip. so now the fight is in punch she'd rather than she'd, by the way, it's a very strategic value or very small cut off from the stuff i'm going to send. i've been there giving some of the resistance against the telephone. but it has

a very strong strategic depth and it sits right over the capital cobble they can come back. but i think the leaders in the north and the all my government are banking on this dissatisfaction of the people by keeping the economic stronghold over the thought a bond. and therefore making what they can at least stop and then getting them to turn against the olive on its own game of getting the people against the government . otherwise, on june, from an economic perspective hush, matt was saying that there will be some regional powers, pakistan, iran that will want to see the tommy bon administration at least survive. can any one fill the void? i mean, you look at some of the, the numbers, frankly, international aid accounted for around 75 percent of us can stand budget and 43 percent of its g d p. can anyone fill that void whether it's china or pakistan or iran? i honestly, i think africana stan is and for

a long period of and sticking with t and i think international agencies are going to try to meet the basic needs of people for food and shelter. but beyond that, i don't see great generosity emanating given the instability of the country. now if the taliban can stabilize the country, that's another issue. that's another ball game, but i don't see that happening in the near future. all right, we've got a final 30 seconds. i think we'll give it the hash map i think that went to world bank, 60 percent of going to sense economy is dependent on agriculture. and so 60 percent of the economy, the graduate level will just survive, but what will collapse?

what will be? what will suffer is actually the government process. teacher is the security forces and all that. all right, and good to get your thoughts on this next time. con gas, very much, june teufel, dryer and hash mont mostly. and thank you to for watching. you can see the show again, any time by visiting our website al jazeera dot com for further discussion head over to our facebook page. that's facebook dot com, forward slash a j inside story. then also join the conversation on twitter. our handle, there is a j inside story from me, sammy's a, that i'm a whole team here for now and go find the me i lose

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ah ah, ah, ah, ah ah, i'm how am i, he didn't doe, how would the headlines on al jazeera, the taliban says it will not extend that deadline for western forces to leave afghanistan? yes, president joe, by then it's under pressure to keep american troops on the ground beyond august the 31st to continue evacuation efforts. but my pride reports from cobble this deadline is something of a movable feast. originally it was that it may the 1st or that, but that was under the trump administrations piece deal with the taliban last year

. now as part of that deal, the taliban agreed to hold talks would be then african governments. they didn't whole talk. so joe biden felt justified, i think in april.