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tv   [untitled]    November 18, 2021 10:30am-11:01am AST

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here that of the produced is on rust was reckless. people are seeing red on western australia, christmas island as millions of crabs begin the annual migration every year. the creatures move on mass to the beach to mate. road been closed at a small bridge has been built to help them on their way. some people have been able to leave the homeless due to the large numbers of crustaceans, it's about 2 weeks or in about 2 weeks. the cramps will leave their eggs on the beach and claw their way back to the jungle. ah, hello, this is al jazeera alive from dough. hi, adrian finnegan, here with the headlines health workers in sudan, so that at least 15 people was shot dead by security forces on where to stay during another protest against last month's military take over. the central committee of soup these doctor citizens were injured. russell sarah has more now from counseling
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yesterday, has been there the deadliest day and did the highest that tool for a single day since the middle to take over 1 october 25th. so the security forces have used an excessive force industries at in, in, in that squares, and that the place that i was in 6th grade and then that, that the booted district. i could see that how i did the excessive force was exercised by the security forces. they how fire the tear gas over the protesters and use their live ammunition as well. and chasing after t of after people deal into dead. the bice, the treats as wild philippines is accused of a jing of sabotaging a resupply mission in the disputed south china sea. it since the incident happened on tuesday, the sprightly islands, the chinese coast guard is said to have blocked ships and fired water cannon. a state of emergency as an effect in canada's british columbia province. after heavy
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rainfall triggered flooding, mudslides troops have been deployed to help clear blocked roads. at least one person has died. the speaker of libya's house of representatives is to stand in next month's presidential election. aquila sala has led the eastern parliament since 2014 and joins high profile candidates that include warlord hobby for hafta. and the son of the country's late dictates at former gadhafi, $300.00 iraqi migrants and refugees trapped it to the poland. baylor roost brought up a sent to fly home later on thursday, but thousands of other refugees migrants are still living in makeshift camps on the freezing conditions that arose to set up some shelters. but there's no sign of a resolution to withstand, off with poland. south korea has recorded its highest number of coven 19 cases in a single day. more than 3200 people tested positive on thursday. and those were headlines bonnie's be here and i was 0 after today's inside story,
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coming up next. we know what's happening here, we can, we know how to get to places that others hang on. i was thrown. dear guy by the police on purpose. if there's a film william with you tell the 3 isn't what can make a difference. complete but not operational. the nor stream to project is put on hold. germany has halted approval for this pipeline that will bring russian gas into europe. so is it a politically motivated decision and what does it mean for gas prices that are already hi, this is inside story. ah
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hello, welcome to the program. i am hashem, hell butler, a pipeline created to supply gas from russia to germany. and europe has suffered another setback. germany is, and as the regulator has suspended approval of the north stream to it, once the russian company behind the project to form a local subsidiary to operate the german part of the pipeline, thus pushed up a whole se gas prices in the u. k. and e u, and as the price as well ready, high after the winter in europe last year, put pressure on supplies. the u. s. and many european countries say the project would increase europe's reliance or russian energy and could be weaponized by moscow. but russia maintains it will solve the continence energy crisis. last month president vladimir put in announced moscow could start supplies as soon as it gets the green light from germany. get a little boise, i don't know part of it. well,
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the full in the gossum, as i've already told you, is 18500000000 cubic meters multiplied by 2 men as 9 billions of guest non delivered on the european markets by the americans and the middle east partners and 22500000000 shortage. because of to keesing production, he, european gust markets could now face a shortage of 70000000000 cubic meters of guess that's a lot usually meet you understood if it's in north pipeline of the north seem to is full of gas. and if the gym and regular to hands have clearance for supplies to morrow, supplies of 17500000000 cubic meters will start the day after to morrow. in december, all the technical work to fill the 2nd pipeline of north gym to will be finished. in total, the amount will be 55000000000 cubic meters void. ukraine opposes the nor stream gas pipeline and welcomed the german regulators. decision. uri with ranko has the energy company nasser guys and says,
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the move said just that the journal regulates us, shies, our position. that certification can not only apply to the pipeline in germany. he says it should apply to the entire pipeline from the territory of the russian federation to the territory of germany. nasir him to is expected to double the volume of gas coming from russia into europe. the 1200 kilometer pipeline is owned by the russian energy giant gas brawl with investment from several european companies. it will carry 55000000000 cubic meters of natural gas a year north rim to was bill to run under the baltic sea and bypass poland. and ukraine is predecessor nor stream one used the same brought were launched. the 2 pipelines could account for up to 60 percent of russia's gas ex boss, to europe. in august, the u. s. impose sanctions of russian vessels laying the pipeline for the project.
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ah, let's bring in our gas in berlin or rick broke. now, professor of political science at stanford university in belinda in moscow, a part of the old fagen hower is political commentator and columnist 4 and a via gazette in burn. cornelia meyer is an economist, and oil and gas specialist welcome to the program or rick, to what extent was the german watch those decision to suspend the approval for the nord stream to purely technical and based on administrative grounds? well this is hard to say on the one hand, it's not a court the extra independently. so an agency report to the government. and that was exactly the reason why the european court of justice criticized the status of the federal agencies for network approval. that the data should become more
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independent in order to avoid political influence. so that's current state. it can be influence, they can receive orders from the government. but the question is, who's calling them? because we are in the middle of a handful from the medical administration to the new as we call it, street lights coalition with 3 parties involved. and therefore, no one is really in the driver's seat. at this point. puzzle, i understand the general sentiment in russia would be the basically, this is a politically motivated decision. well, naturally the kremlin says they believe it's not that this is a technical kind of a cup that russian kind of sponsor or nor street to a g, which is registered in switzerland and owns and operates. and should operate north
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street. do i will have to create a german, procedurally that will take 4 to 6 weeks to create and then the german agency, you again begin the process of certification and in general, the period of certification which is 4 months beginning from a deborah, that means january, they are complete, there's a problem that after that the issue may go 4 or more months in the european commission a. so it's not clear when they're actually no more stream do is going to be operational. and that's not seen very good in brush cornelia, given the current situation, it seems that this is going to take at least 8 months for the paperwork to be processed in germany to ensure this is going to be under you jurisdiction. and you have the same time energy crunch, which is likely to further strain the economy in europe. how do you see this moving
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forward in the upcoming months? well, it's not easy and i don't think it has to take 8 months to a certain degree while unfortunate. i understand what the german regulator has done because switzerland is not in d, e. u. and anything under swiss or you know, under swiss are law is not, is not subject to the european court of justice. so if they want to get the pipeline approved by d e u, this may not feed the dumbest move that they have done. and so what, what, what really is important is to get to really fast track did that this incorporation on the move off the assets and then fast track the approval and give them the energy crunch that we have. i think it's in, in most people's interest to, to, to get this done quickly. however, as some our colleague in berlin has pointed out,
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we are in, we are in between a interregnum. we are between 2 governments and the new government. you have the social democrats, the s p day who is very pro on balance, very pro nordstrom to and you have to greens who are very against no adstream too. so this is not gonna be, it's not gonna be the easiest of times for nordstrom to bah, oh rick, unless until a few months ago, the general feeling in year of that, russia was not pumping enough gas into european continent choosing. instead, what it described as the new to refill its own stocks. and this explains why many have been saying that russia is weapon isaac, it's a gas. do you think that this decision by the german washington comes against the backdrop of this ongoing, a row over how to do with gas supplies in europe?
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well, we have seen several winters in which russia, weaponized gas supply for a t o strategic reasons. and one can read the latest developments in a similar way, because we are currently in rather hot phase of cold conflict that includes bella roles and it includes the ukraine. and it certainly in russia, the best interest to see very high gas prices. while inside the european union, we see a number of countries being heavily dependent on russian gas that differs from country to country. and that also explains why we have a very california hawkins called these days when it comes to think of shallow north stream to be opened as soon as possible to lower the gas prices. where is this just another wilkins hands that can be turned against the european union as a whole puzzle. i mean the gun giant gospel decided to reduce the ship most through
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the amal europe pipeline. that goes through below rows and also poland. things that instead in need of this particular moment to prioritize the refining of its own domestic storage facility, which lead men to think or, you know, what russia squeezing the gas supply for political reasons. oh, of course moscow rejects and you kind of say such notions and says that the higher gas prices in europe are result of very higher gas prices in the k share region. and that a 5 gas supplies by tank for go in that direction instead of going to europe because the prices are higher there. and the gas problem is, is actually honoring all it's contract obligations. ok, but the problem of course is very much there. i guess prices must the says,
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it's not that interested, that's interested in a stable situation. but it's also clear as russia would want to have an option not to use the ukranian, a gas transport system at all, or to put pressure may be on ukraine or also if there's any kind of serious where on the border between ukraine and russia, which could technically even stopped by the transit gas re bray. then russia have options through to buy and actually for them because they're 2 black ones, each with 2 pipes though you through, under the baltic sea. and of course, another one, the other pipelines going through turkey. so russia and could bypass a possible confrontation zone and continue to keep europe supply and maybe incent europe not to intervene or any kind of where ups that could happen in
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eastern europe. cornelia, you have winter and you have energy crisis. how are we to blame? is it the post pandemic recovery? is it russia or is it weather related events, particularly last winter? it is the perfect storm you had last winter. you had such a cold winter that starch was on plenty shed, and i have some sympathy for gas brom again for 1st filling their own storage because they had a cold winter to. so dare, storage shoe, it was, was deplete that to, for 1st you know, you 1st look after your own people and then then you go further. so, so that's one thing. then we have obviously the competition as was mentioned between them, asia and europe for l. n. g, big because china is importing more and more l n g this year, china will become the largest import, the globally of l. n. she, it will, it will supercede japan in that position. and so, so we have another cbs,
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some geopolitical tensions, but, but, but mainly it's the perfect storm of supply and demand. and when he comes to price, yes, obviously the high l n g prices are partly to blame. but we also have to see that i have of the european take off his index to i am. and so when oil prices go up, pipe of the part of the indexation goes up as well. so, so it's, it's tough and for europe, the question is, how do we get enough gas and how do we ensure that we don't put the poorer segments of the population for it to chart to, to stark choice of do i eat or do i heat? now or root for the governing coalition. in germany, you have a decision that is made now, which is most likely going to result in low stores levels in europe, an energy crisis, different economies, sectors affected. is there any contingency plan here for germany and for europe?
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well, it's interesting that every member of the upcoming new government announces that we need to radical changes when it comes to climate change. and they are all pushing for renewables that more needs to be done more than what the previous government has done. and given that we've seen the rising gas prices that could potentially be leveraged on the stand, that it's now high time and we shouldn't discussed the nitty gritty is of how distant is when male next to building or all the reasons why it didn't meet the targets that have been defined before, so they are certainly a push coming from the current. what was described as a perfect storm that we'll see more efforts and more investment in renewables and decreases the cio strategic dependency from russia. pulse. this is
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a crisis moment. everybody's looking for leverage. oh it comes to ukrainians. the seem to be pretty much excited about the potential. what might happens next particular because they are now going to be part of the consultation process. do you think that the ukrainians now are given this unique opportunity where they have to put more pressure on all the parties for whatever happens in the future? oh yes, the your regulator, including the ukranian representative in germany and the gas there are gas transporting company into the certification process. but of course it doesn't have any power you, craig, an opinion taken into consideration, but no more than that. it's kind of nice at the but it doesn't give you a grain, any kind of say, and they are worried that if russia. ready managers to get
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a more stream to our crew. we opperation or any time soon in the coming year in the beginning of the coming year. that may give russia opportunity to do something more drastic in military terms of the your brain. and also of course, the gradients apply through your grade may be dramatically, and that means they won't have to use the so called virtual reverse system to get russian. yes, but officially not coming from rush, it's coming from. so you're somewhere, but actually it's russian gas and they won't get that. so there are also problems this winter and general further on. so yes, the gradients are very, the number of issues concerning russia and they're very, very cornelia, how do you respond to the argument that one of the main reasons why in the past the russians were trying to deliberately withhold gas from europe is particularly
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because they were trying to push the europeans to shift from the spot market for chases to the uni online platform based in st. petersburg, so that the russians will have a bigger se on the, on the trade it trading of gas. well, actually the russians prefer, prefer not spot markets, but long term agreements, which when you know how much investment is needed into getting gas from the gas field to the, to the end user to the burner tape is, is, is perfectly understandable. and i, i would not, i would not take big stock on that. and when it comes to ukraine is the ukraine is, is difficult. it's tricky. but i would also like to remind us that russia has supplied europe with gas for the past 50 years or so without essentially missing a beat, even, even when the former soviet union was breaking up. so yes,
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there are to politics and, and, and obviously did. they're playing politics, but in the end, over all russia has been a pretty reliable supplier. it also needed the foreign currency from, from europe. i would just like to quickly respond to our colleague in germany in terms of absolutely the german government wants to move to more renewables, but to get from here to dare they will still need gas. let's not forget, they want to get out of coal there. what am i getting out of nuclear? so somehow you need to have the base slowed to produce the electricity that everybody needs. ok, eric says we're scientific that are the ultimate go and game for all the parties here. now, europe, supplies of natural gas remain tight, which means of the prices are definitely going to continue to go up, which is most likely going to push many countries. germany in particular, to revisit dirty fuel, particularly for coal and fuel oil. is this
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a good option given that the coalition with the grid is part of it, are definitely going to dismiss it. well, it is too early to predict what exactly the new coalition government will designed, what they keep everything secret, not only on energy policy and she was strategic questions. but the whole coalition agreement is kept the secret. and we will, you know, next week what the various compromises will look like. and one can read the decision today as a way to buy time for the new government to decide how to balance the conflicting interests, how to fulfill the requirements from the european union to divide the operation and the network. this is technically an important reason for the agency. why decide of the way decided, but i think it's also an additional geopolitical guardianship and the ongoing
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discussions with russia and ross. if one makes a move another country makes another move. and this does not even need to have anything to do with energy. pavel says this is definitely a crisis with geopolitical proportions. now, the russians because the supply 35 percent of the gas impulse for the european union have a leverage. but ultimately, their biggest concern is that if they have any future problems with a russian, it means that a huge chunk of the revenues the use to get from the european bucket is going to be massively affected. is this something which is likely to push the russians for a balancing act here? well, if europe needs rush and rush and gas and of course ration needs a you or do russia is supplying natural gas japan to
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china. but the year that europe is a essential quiet. so russian euro bar tied together there of the future has problems with the c o 2, a signature on that station coming in effect in europe with european union saying that they will oppose any kind of extraction of gas or oil in the arctic. rushes, rejecting right now, so they are serious problems in the future. their problems right now. problems in the future. how rush is going to be seen in how russia is going to be interacting with your own supply and gas? not only gas pressure supplies many other oil and methyl fertilizer and lots of other kind of model. so these are russia, europe have to work together. but right now there's a lot of problems in
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a lot of misunderstanding. it's very complex and very dangerous. cordelia is said there is going to be a long way to go for the germans to before they have their own diversified to nibble energy platforms for the time being. do you think that bringing none russian oil to the european market is going to be easy tapping into potential resources nearby or looking for alternatives? is this something which is feasible in the short term? well he already, we already, c l, n g from all sorts fights of the world to come to europe, to l. n. g terminals. we have them pipelines coming from the mediterranean, from north africa, through the mediterranean. but mind you there again, we have if you look at libya, if you look at dodge area, we have to your political tensions. so, so, so there, again, we need to it's, it's just europe. well, need to get the gas sent the oil from where they can get it and russia will,
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will. we will remain a major, a major supplier of oil. we will see the geopolitical tensions and, but it will remain very important for the time being because given energy transitioning haven that especially countries like germany, switzerland want to get out of nuclear. everybody wants to get out of coal. i don't see how you get old gas. so rick, a less than a minute of your door. my. the european green deal is it's something that is likely to be a moment for the europeans to. so, you know, and it's about time for us to look into a deep carbonized developed economy instead of this reliance that has been going on for generations with russia, which seems to be a major source of concern for the europeans. now this became certainly a mainstream perspective, not only in germany as a for climate change policies because we can't afford it. but it's also what
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the european union of the european commission as the driver off there's put as the top priority. and this bottom line, the russian business model that is massively dependent on having partners that are still willing to burn fossil fuel. of course, it is a transition matter and it's a question of how long it's going to take. but it will certainly change no mutual relationship between russia and the european union. if the queen and your changes the energy mix towards more renewables, quite fascinating as the story unfolds, that many people are thinking that the u. s. could step in and offer an alternative to supply for the europeans in case they decide to part ways with the russians. maybe banks will be seen whether the shale capacity and whether the americans will be able to fit in the gap and the void left by the bushes. if there is a split, a rick broke. now a hollow canadian. my,
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i really appreciate your insight. thank you very much. thank you to for what you can see the program again, any time by visiting our website. i'll just, you know, the call to further discussion goes our facebook page. that's facebook dot com, forward slash a j in size. or you can also join the conversation on twitter. i'll hand it, hey, j insights. what if on the house about, and the entire team here in the ha, ah, oh, african narrative, lou from african perspective. a new series of short documentaries, by african filmmakers from across the continent. this is really get to lead to per handled africa direct. coming soon on al jazeera
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