is your and sending all fear of the virus is reading browser. you have ours itself . already to pandemic, bobby infected that all the quantity would rely heavily on board them and about it like that. while there is no tradition of carnival in senegal, there is tradition of using music costumes and dance to tell a shared history and get people moving to the beat of their culture. no matter where they're from. nicholas hawk al jazeera de carr. ah, this is al jazeera and these are the headlines. japan has announced it spanning foreigners from entering the country after the discovery of the new army, chrome variance, prime minister for mucus. she that says other measures are also being considered. tony chang has fallen. developments from bangkok, borders and are close to foreign business people and foreign students,

many of whom were celebrating after being allowed back into the country several weeks ago. for some japanese nationals will be able to return burg quarantine protocols are going to be introduced once again. so japan really stepping back very quickly there that did cause a dip in the markets across asia this morning, although they appear now to have started. a mass vaccination drive is underway in the philippines. only 40 percent of the population has been fully inoculated so far . the government is also tightened its border controls in an efforts to limit the spreads of the army con variant. honduras has left one candidate, seal, mar, castro has claimed victory in sundays presidential election. she told supporters, voters have reversed authoritarianism. the governing national party has also announced its candidates, had one minority hello, has more from the hunter and capital is a bit of jovial environment. people very much happy celebrating. and we're val,

or we've already heard from us, your mother counsellor herself who came in and spoke to her supporters stopping short of declaring victory would say that today the people of honduras have one and promise a government reconciliation saying that it's early as tomorrow she wants to meet with the under other candidate to form a government of reconciliation. our government that's really serves all of the people of honduras, the trial of george, his former president, because philly is set to resume. he says, corruption charges against him are politically motivated. and the caribbean island nation of barbados is cutting ties to the british monarchy. prince charles has arrived to port transition ceremony, which was the queen elizabeth removed as its head of states. and that's the up to date. they stay with us in saint story is coming up next. talk to al jazeera, we ask, how would you describe taliban relationship with the us?

we listen copies 90. it is not all for coffee. 19 has been terrible demonstration of the failure of human. so we meet with global news makers and talk about the stories that matter on al jazeera tensions. a high once again, between russia and ukraine, moscow's deploying troops along the border. and here is warning of a possible invasion. what's triggered this crisis, and can it be contained? this isn't a story. ah, [000:00:00;00] with her well come to the program. i mean, we're on con, ukraine is accusing russia of mobilizing tens of thousands of soldiers near the shed border. the movement of russia's 41st army units is raised phase

a military offensive might be on the way. it's the 2nd time this year. moscow is a mass combat ready forces in the region. on friday, ukrainian president vladimir zalinski said russia was planning a qu, to overthrow his government. moscow rejected those allegations. i'm blamed care and the us for the escalating tensions. president joe biden says he's likely to speak to both leaders to ease the dispute. russia seized ukraine's at crimea region in 2014 and back separatists territories in the east. nato has warned moscow that any attempt to invade ukraine would have serious consequences. we'll get to again shortly, but 1st this update from charl stratford in easton, ukraine ross's intentions of course, remain unclear, but one thing is certain, and that's moscow. continuously denying that it has any intention of invading ukraine. and that's the kind of language, the kind of accusations that are being made by certain western leaders and the

international media language that the kremlin is described as being both malicious and hysterical. we also know though, that president putin is very unhappy with ukrainian leadership here, describing it as foot, dragging in implementing it side of a peace agreement signed in 2015. an agreement that so many analysts say is very much weighted in russia's favor and could potentially give russia too much control of ukrainian internal affairs. and meanwhile, the international community, ukraine's allies in nato, the us, france, and germany, for example, warning russia of serious consequences. if indeed, there was to be a further escalation, but it remains to be seen just how far they would go to protect ukraine. if indeed such a disaster was to happen, char stradford for inside story in abbey of cur, easton ukraine. the annexation of crimea in 2014 worse and ties between the west and russia. moscow sees the region from ukraine in march,

2014 prompting international condemnation and sanctions. and the following month war broke out in east, in ukraine between russian backed separatists and the ukranian army. more than 13000 people been killed in the fighting. and at one point about a 1500000 people were displaced. now, in 2015, france and germany broke had a peace agreement for efforts to reach a political south went, have failed. ah, that's brigand guess. joining us live from care of alexey her an a professor at the kia, the maria academy, and the director of research at democratic initiatives foundation from fairfax, virginia john herbst. he's the senior director of the atlantic councils, erosion center, and a former us ambassador to the ukraine and from moscow. pavel falcon. how he is a defense of military analyst and a column is fur nova gazette, a warm welcome to you all. let's begin in care of 1st with

a lexi harangue. there's no way vladimir putin is actually going to invade. is he? well, we don't know. we don't know what does the calculations of what we need to know. busy that actually a invade the ukraine in 2014. he and that crimea in violation of all the international agreements including gradually cranium. and then he moved, he's a regular groups in the bus, in the east. oh, great. so i put him, invaded the ukraine. russian troops here and despite all the agreements that were assigned to regarding squire and the 1st 5 also signed in 2014. and that's been 2015. ringback you have, you met us, use fire now you also use fire,

but i've just checked the pool. the daily report of special when you are in mission, all or se, organization for security done corporation in europe. and just yesterday there were 800 violations, all cease fire one d. so basically that he's on point grass and ukrainian always ups and downs. we don't see a large military offensive right now. but at any time, there could be a possibility. but so alexi, what you're saying is, effectively the war never ended from 2014, the continued violations. yeah, yeah, i see is that you are sincerely surprised, but this is a fact because ok, as i have said, grania is all you buy and even don't bus. one 3rd of them boss,

which is around 2 percent of ukrainian. that is what you're buying by russia eats, pop, it seems, and 0, there are violations every day. and ukrainian soldiers and civilians are being killed. well, let's bring in papa fell. going to how i hear from moscow, what do you make of those comments that the war never ended? the civilians are dying every day. oh, yes, it didn't really, and there is no political solution. and skirmishes have continued in the done boss for many years already. though the line of control has not changed. so it's a kind of standing. it's a crime for it. you can call a fully frozen because skirmishes continue. but that's a very low level. and since there is no political solution right now, there seems to be no meaningful negotiations,

even plan and an arm and the so called format has be now so frozen. that means there is a possibility of a escalation of the fight thing. and the rhetoric on both sides is becoming increasingly toxic, i mean on all sides. and that's a very dangerous situation. it's not an imminent conflict, maybe escalation, but it's potentially very serious and could come in months or maybe even a number of weeks a pub. we'll just talk to me about vladimir putin so thinking why now, and why this level of escalation, all the level of escalation has been building up during the years, and especially in the year 21. we're lucky break out into our big region alone. but the threat,

as there are moscow has said many times that they are red lines, that integration of ukraine into nato and the urine. so they go, america military assets on gradient territory is totally unacceptable for russia and meaning that most likely rushes in the last resort is ready to go to war to prevent that. but there is a possibility of still resolving the thing without a confrontation, but with each passing month, the possibility our regional war is growing. well, one of the players in the conflict will be, or is in fact a joseph biden. the u. s. president, we have the former us ambassador to the ukraine, a john hub, still sat with us in fairfax don't. i mean, is it? he's in a rock and a hard place. he'd like, how does biden deal with this? if he doesn't act on you crying, he's going to be seen as being weak. but if he does act, there's a, there's

a threat to russia there. look, i think by understands will the dangers of the current situation. um mosque l or st. an aggressive war against ukraine in 2014, which continues to this day. they ceased crimea, and they began as cover military operation done boss. the court military operation done boss was designed to crush a key if to pursue the end is pursuit of a western leaning for foreign policy. hooton's operation done boss to sell is limited. limited military aggression in don boss has not moved ukraine direction. he was that's what he's threatening escalation by unrecognised escalation would be a. ready very bad thing for american interests. that's why he stayed very clearly. and his secretary of state and secretary of st offense have stated very clearly

that there will be punishing additional sanctions on russia if couldn't escalate substantially. we are also sending more military supplies to ukraine. so the ukraine will better be able to defend itself. now it's true, the russian military is much stronger than ukrainian, or russian probably sees any point in ukraine. it wants to use its full conventional military forces including its air force includes navy. but it's also true that many russian soldiers will die like this. and the russian public has said multiple times and polls conduct by the live auto center. they don't want russian troops fighting in ukraine. they don't want russia to be fighting against you. so for bruton to escalate substantially is a very serious gamble. and by and i think is speaking in clear and strong terms about what would happen if bruton doesn't and care a likes he just had will august in virginia has a had to say, now ukraine gets a lot of military aid from the u. s. government already has been getting it since 2014. it's got

a partner effectively in the u. s. is the us going to be able to be a broker for p, say old. you think their role is it's, it's far too complicated for law for something as simple as that. so 1st of all, oh we, we here since 2015 we hear us from again, does. russian needs to invade ukraine because of threats from naples. and this is thought ally, ally, because before to actually 2014 ukraine had known block status support as of nato in the ukraine. we're all we're seeing minority because we ukrainians believes that we could have good match the correlations was the rush. we had the treaty was rush, we had the budapest memorandum where russia, rome is to be

a guarantee that all ukrainian territorial integrity. so there was no talk about later in 2014. and then in 2014 ration aggression stuff. and it completely changed the views of you great, that we saw that in any case we're, even if you grade is outside of even if you grade is in utica, it doesn't prevent from russian aggress. that's why i definitely will need the support from service. and we understand that nobody will fight for ukraine because we are not in the go. so what we are asking since 2014 is military hill. unfortunately, this military held was believed president obama billy provides was his help. ah, the javelins and they've done a weapons,

a ukrainian started to receive only on the comp administration. so i would say that the military support is quite limited. a worker, i see scenes that, oh, we had the red line because of nato because of american build up in ukraine. totally ally because the russian troops, i live inside united, russia, if you're buying you. so what is important definitely at c spoil is an increase of military support. first of all, and then 2nd point to one, russia, it bowed extension economic sanctions. now's the right mix sanctions against russia . one is important east, one quote, that in case that it will have dramatic consequences for russia in economics for let's bring in pablo, forget how her and moscow, where's the root wiggle room, where is the negotiation room here?

if president biden does follow up on his comment, that he will speak to both the leaders of here and a moscow in order to try and de escalate the situation. what's he going to go in and negotiate? well, yes, this is some with being prepared right now. both washington and moscow white house and the crime when they're working on the agenda, it should happen before you year. it's going to be virtual. it's going to be kind of now maybe a screen and telephone conversation. but your grade is going to be very high on the agenda, but i do in moscow hubs that brief ship that being right now use a possible regional war with the threat of an escalation into all european or i don't know, global conflict that that will move the united states to change and worth it's

position to put pressure on here to become more flexible and fall, give russia was once on the so called agreements. so that's most likely right now. going to be the thing because there's a lot of talk of russian forces on the wonder if they are there for some i'm already, but the time of year right now is wrong for any kind of major military escalation. a winter campaign can begin. second half of january, but not earlier than that. so now is the time for negotiations, and apparently there will be happening. but how intense and how effective they're going to be. it's not clear. well, let's bring in a journal herbs her. i mean, i guess the moscow says the negotiations are not clear, but they do need to happen. what can the americans offer, and what would the russians take in order to de escalate? can i don't think i don't think negotiations necessary at all. i think what's

needed is a strong wanting to put in, but the nasty things happens is roneesh itself. and russia, if in fact proven escalators is our aggression against you crate. again, talking about major sanctions, talking about military assistance to ukraine, is the way to go on the war and done boston when put in decides that it's no longer his issue of then negotiation. the import for the oceans are important right now. what's important right now is a strong stamp that becomes a basis for eventual negotiations. ready but newton needs to meet with bride in order not to escalate. that's fine. but what again, most important to prevent this from becoming a wider war, is a very strong warning to putin about the dangerous things that will happen. tim to russia, if he again escalates crush yet, but i only works if biden actually follows through. i mean, you're giving the javelin anti tank defense systems already. you've got billions of

dollars worth of military aid going to the ukraine. all of those things. russia says actually have escalated the situation, those need to be withdrawn, and then we might be able to talk. i mean, you got to follow it through, right, right. but the spacing what, what would you just the outline is i think puzzles, logic. logic is correct. that putin as trying vibration shipped to gain concession . why in the world should we accept this? no, the, the, the, the situation around your pain is certainly dangerous and it become more dangerous . but it's not as dangerous as the berlin crisis in 1961. if you're in missile crisis, 962, when, when kremlin brinkman ship, ah, brought the world to thermonuclear war, the threshold with them on the war. we are much stronger than russia today. oh, there's no reason why we need to panic. so again we, we produce a strong reaction, i think by just doing that. and then the russians want to talk, that's fine. but the most important thing is that strong reactions to put knows the

consequences, the nasty consequences for his team. if in fact he escalates alex, i am going to bring you in here in just a moment by do and a half from puzzle and moscow. what do you make of that? john hobbs cummins most we hear from bradford and moscow different opinions coming out of washington and in the present situation, even from the bio ministration. but those of course there have been warnings and there have been contacts. they'll be more like way more in moscow also have different opinions there. those are the diplomatic, the foreign ministry defense ministry, kind of party of war guys who believe that now is a good time to make the have a final solution of the gradient problem. and there are those in with, in the president, booking surrounding to believe that that's a bad idea that russia will very

b c come under very serious economic financial sanctions. and that's not good. that's bad for internally and externally and put in is a time balance in these different opinions and he has the final solution. last spring, a really big rush and contingent. i mean, hundreds of thousands of were mobilized and the concentration of forces in the black sea and the all new premium border was much higher than today. but we didn't give the go ahead and we don't have a war in 21. we won't have. so it's possible that when you come to the brink and be treat from it, but more consolidating message coming from washington would be better than hearing different kinds of voices. like say, america, if it was up to john hubs,

would definitely have you back. do you believe that president joe biden is go, has the ukraine's best interest at heart? you think he's your guy? look, every kind of day is that? well, what a sink by the nose. you couldn't very well when he was vice president obama's administration. he was actually responsible for relations with was ukraine and he knows ukraine very well in those forms pro, process in the ukraine. so he understands secret, i will say. so what we need also to understand is that basically we look, this is politics, you know, and we don't know what exactly who to do as bottle said, oh, put, it may be only just, you know, increasing stakes in a gamble. but what he would like to receive, he is then he will decrease the state and he would like to receive something in

exchange. that's the whole idea. that's what happened in spring 2002 springs this year. because i believe why put in increased tension is to push through non stream to. so basically he paid a large on them to build up and bought the own ukraine than he was drawn. he said, ok, you see, i'm not going to war less push for north street instead. so that's what bruton would like to have. i guess i hope the president biden and his administration would they do understand will put in one's own, they will bet you great look points and will be watching announced peace with ukraine. if you grant could be too late. if you green accepts, put in terms of piece of book and said ok,

i'm fine with. so the problem is that you know, that states and europe, they do not sacrifice ukrainian national in this that's important. john hubs. when is nato in all of this? oh they to, i think is playing a, an important role in the current crisis. and when you see an increase in nato ships in the black sea, all was a way of similar single to moscow. oh, so it clearly has a role. ready but i think you see an even greater role played by individual nato countries. started with united states, but also canada, the u. k. and poland and both who all understand very clear fashion. the threat of what mr. brewton is up to warn you. cranes, voters one final comment then from puzzle fog, and how you've heard what john has to say about nato's role? surely, that's the one thing that really does anger. vladimir putin, him behind

a lot of what is going on right now. actually, i don't know. the extension of major is seen as the ultimate threat for quite some years already. and that's the backbone. now, put in foreign policy to resist the nato extension. and, but it's not only, of course, thank you. as a sweetener. i'm a member of nato, but it's right now providing help and training or help to your, the grading. and so it's not even more than later, it's kind of less i to try and balance the russian pressure on your grade. this is a, what i'm really afraid of. i would say, if the troops begin to move somewhere, january go, begins to actually do it. it's $3430.00 plus 30, moving to recruits from european countries from america. actually do romania and poland. russia begins moving troops. if we go on to that stage of a confrontation,

it would be very hard. i want to thank all our guests, alexey her, and her john herb's to and a puzzle full gonna. and i want to thank you guys as well for watching. now you can see the program again any time by visiting our website out there, dot com. and for further discussion, go to a facebook page. that's facebook dot com, forward slash ha inside story. and you can also join the conversation on twitter or handle is at ha, inside story. for me around con and the whole team here, bye for now. i from the al jazeera london broke up fantastic to people in thoughtful conversation with no host and no limitation. it relieved as a person of color, it was a struggle here. it would be much easier for me to wait for that white people part

to go into cheddar and singer songwriter skin. so carry other people's away is that it when you get way down, you stop what you're doing and they've won studio b unscripted on al jazeera. this is al jazeera, it's november the 15th day, one of a new era and television news. if you have known that, that was the scale of bloodshed would you have still gone to go to miss all landed about a 100 meters away from us. we're on the front line, but it's on the road. we saw the union army flag hoisted high in the city. many people here have told me that the war will not end until they secret duffy and his sons brought to justice. gonna get 90 seconds for this song here. beat all the different army is very real. it is coming. our way buying brides is lack of

respect for women and lack of any value that the home and i was just the peer guard by the police on purpose my there's at least 20000 for him to refugees who live here. i'm on l 20. i got to commend you, you're not trying to push people to believe in this or believe in that the atmosphere has completely changed. you with the board al jazeera offices in garza, our house in that building time. the tower has come down. the other before in human history has the once per steam environment to the arctic. didn't such peril compelling journalism we keeping our distance because it's actually quite dangerous . ambulances continued to arrive at the scene of the explosion inspired program making. i still don't feel like i actually know enough about living under fascism

was light. how much money did you make for your rural and deliverance? i might. fabric al jazeera english proud recipient of the new york festivals broadcaster of the year award for the 5th year running, lou japan becomes the latest country to band foreign visitors in response to the new coven 19 variant. ah, other that i'm had them are hitting, they sees al jazeera life from doha, also coming up mild, very, very mild symptoms. the doctor, if you 1st attacked it's the only crone variance says patients have suffered only

mild illness. so far. supporters of leftist opposition candidates, jamara castro celebrates in home doris claiming victory in the countries of