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tv   The Bottom Line  Al Jazeera  February 19, 2022 3:00pm-3:31pm AST

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our own financial system, and we now need to prepare ourselves for the russian playbook of deception that governs every operation of this kind. there will be a cascade of false claims about ukraine, intended to spread confusion almost for its own sake. and even now, there are plans being laid for staged events spinning a web of falsehoods designed to prevent any russian attack as a response to provocation. we've already witnessed a fake military withdrawal combined with staged incidence. the could provide a pretext for military action. we knew this was coming, we've seen it before, and no one should be fooled. and we have to steal ourselves for the possibility of a protracted crisis with russia, maintaining the pressure and searching for weaknesses over an extended period. and we must together,
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refuse to be worn down. what europe needs is strategic endurance. and we should focus our energies on preserving our unity and on deepening transatlantic cooperation. but for that to work, we must also be prepared to devote the necessary resources to carry a greater share of the burden of preserving our continents security. and to demonstrate that we are in it for the long haul. for now, we should continue to do everything we can to pursue the path of peace and dull. there is a way forward if president putin is minded to take it, there is a discussion to be had about the threats that he claims to see. because in reality, as we all know, those threats are an illusion. they are the product of the gremlins, chronic thought, misguided view of nato as a supposedly in circling and intimidating alliance. that is not nato's function.
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nato is a peaceful and a defensive alliance. and we are willing to work with president putin to demonstrate that point and to give him the assurances that he may need. we could point out that until he invaded ukraine for the 1st time. in 2014 nato did not permanently station any troops anywhere east of germany. and it was as recently as 2017 that the u. s. the u. k. and other nato allies established the enhanced forward presence to protect poland and the baltic states. and even then, the total deployment of fewer than $5000.00 troops posed no conceivable threat to russia. and it is only in the last few weeks in response to the current crisis that we have dispatched reinforcements. those did a numbers that constitute no possible threat until 2014 european allies were
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cutting their defense budgets and shrinking their armed forces. perhaps foster them was safe or wise. and to the extent that this was changed, it is because of the actions of president putin and the tension that he has created . if nato forces on are closer to russia's border, it is in response to his decisions and the justified concerns. they have provoked among our allies, and there are many things said about what a male may not have been a said in the closed door meetings of 3 decades ago as the berlin wall fell and germany was reunited. but there is no doubt that we all agreed legal obligations to protect the security of every country in europe. and what happened in those amazing years was the dissolution of the iron curtain and the fulfillment of the vision of
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a europe whole. and free was one of most incredible moments of my lifetime as nations at the heart of our continent regained their liberty and their sovereign right to control their own destiny and seek their own alliances. we will not abandon the hope, an impulse of that era made possible by the courage of millions of ordinary europeans. and that's why nature opened its doors to 14 states, up to 1999. and we cannot allow our open door to be slammed shot. but if dialogue fails, and if russia chooses to use violence against an innocent and peaceful population in ukraine, and to disregard the norms of civilized behavior between states and to disregard the charter of the united nations than we at this conference should be in no doubt
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that it is in our collective interest that russia should ultimately fail and be seen to fail. i believe that in preparing to invade ukraine, a proud country whose armed forces now exceed 200000 personnel considerably more expert in combat to day than in 2014, president, putin and his circle are gravely miscalculating. i fear the lightening war would be followed by long and hideous period of reprisals and revenge. and insurgency and russian parents would move the loss of young russian soldiers, who in their way are every bit as innocent as the ukrainians. now bracing themselves for attack. and if you crane is over, were overrun by brute force, i failed to see how a country encompassing nearly a quarter of a 1000000 square miles. the biggest nation in europe, apart from russia itself,
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could then be held down and subjugated forever. after a generation of freedom, when i was staring into generation of bloodshed and misery, i believe that russia would have absolutely nothing to gain from this catastrophic venture and everything to lose. and while there is till time i urge the kremlin to deescalate, to disengage its forces from the frontier and to renew our dialogue. every nation at this conference shows a vision of secure and of a secure and prosperous europe of sovereign states deciding their own destiny and living without fear or threat. and that extends that vision, of course, extends to russia. a nation whose cultural patrimony we revere and to sacrifice in the struggle against fascism was immeasurable. russia has as
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much right as any other country to live in peace and security. and we should never cease to emphasize that russia has nothing to fear from our vision which threatens and marginalizes no one. and as we come together in unity and resolve, we must also show wisdom and moderation. because it's precisely by that unity that we show to day that we have the best chance even now at this 11th hour of averting disaster. and ensuring that good sense can still prevail. and it is that message of unity that we must send from this conference to day. thank you very much. because from the bar stools mer speaking at the munich security conference,
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we have to be unflinchingly honest about the situation today. he said, we must be united because there is no doubt what is at stake if you crane is invaded, the shock waves will reverberate around the world. the economic and political shock will be felt on the far side of the world. we don't know what putin's intentions are, but the omens of grim we must therefore stand strong together will make it impossible for russia to raise finance in london. if it invades ukraine. if putin believes he can drive back or intimidate, may to heal, find the opposite. it is vital that we learn the lessons of 2014. johnson said, we can't allow countries to be blackmailed by russia. we must wean ourselves off putin's oil and gas. we need to prepare ourselves for the russian playbook of disinformation. the threats that put in sees from nato are an illusion, and he urges the kremlin to deescalate, while there is still time, let's bring in our diplomatic editor james base who's at the munich security conference and was listening to that speech by prime minister johnson. what did you
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make of it, james? well, it was very clear that he is speaking on very much the same page from many other speakers that we have here. the 2 themes that we're hearing are won the unity of the allies, that they are all united in opposing any possible invasion, all ukraine and they will stand together and their response will be united with that was to take place. and also the other thing that we're hearing from many speakers here with the strongest, richard johnson, is the effects on russia. it goes ahead. what president, why he has said is now a likely invasion of ukraine. he says that the russian meta has made the decision. and the u. k. prime minister presidency johnson, making it clear that would be effects on russian finances because of these new
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sanctions they gotta put in place that he said, are going to be much more sophisticated, much more devastating for the russians. he said, as far as the pay is concerned, that the capital markets russian will not be able to raise any money that he described. some of the russian investments in the past is a goal. that's one of those goals. russian dollars, you open, there's another doll inside, very carefully hidden, i think he said, and they're going to work through those to try and find out where those russian investments are. so i think to some of those around to, to who may have invest in the k those that could be a threat. i also think it's important to propose russian families, if there is an evasion of ukraine, going to see soldiers coming home. dad, he said that will have an effect on the russian population because he said if there
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is an evasion, ukrainians are going to fight back. he said that will be reprisals. they'll be an insurgency. and he also talked about the not only the effect on rushes finances, but the affected global finances. he said this is going to be a political and economic chart. it's going to be home on felt around the world. and it's worth telling you, agent. we've heard of the private lives speaking just before him was the state council for china, wine and china is position. i think it was russia really does have to take into account if it does decide to launch in operation against ukraine. launch an invasion of ukraine because russia and china have a growing alliance. we saw president putin at the start of the olympics there. busy in china, but when ye, although he said that russia security concerns need to be respected. and he said
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that the mince agreements are the only way forward that needs to be a new road map to get back to them instruments. he also made the point that the territorial integrity and sovereignty of all countries should be respected. well, if you were to, if you, if a russia was to, to, to invade ukraine or that would breach the territorial integrity and sovereignty of ukraine. it also would be a breach of article 2 of the un charter, the founding document of the un, or that came into force at the end of world war $2.00 and $1.00 of the key documents in international law. also, he was keen, he mentioned it more than once in a speech about what nato actually is in the fact that it poses no threat to were to president putin. it's a defensive alliance, only made up of sovereign states and that he was russia was even welcome to,
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to come to the table and, and talk about how it could perhaps join these her to yeah, that is something of course, it seemed a long, long time ago. but i remember the time when there were very serious discussions about where the russia to join nato and russia got much closer to nato russia. russia nato council was set up, and russia even used to have its own missions, his own embassies at nato. and was it nato headquarters and that was how close at one point it seemed they were getting it so different. now, i think one of the key things that the u. k prime minister reminded us of was that there were no nato forces any further east than germany until russia annexed ukraine in 2014. and since then, you have seen nato pudding, forward troops into some of the nato allies that are closest to russia, particularly poland,
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and the baltic states. and in recent weeks we've seen further reinforcement of them . and interestingly, when she spoke earlier on cobbler harris, the u. s. vice president, making it clear that be a further reinforcement or that eastern flight if there was an invasion or a james from the moment many thanks. indeed, automatic editor james bay is reporting live there from the munich security conference. will the early of the head of the european union till demand executors a conference that russia is making what it calls a blatant attempt to rewrite the rules of the international order? well, the very reason that the union, the european union was once created is that we wanted to put an end to all european wars and that the world has been watching in disbelief as we faced the largest build up of troops on european soil. since the darkest days of the cold war,
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because events of these days could reshape the entire international order. meanwhile, president putin is overseeing strategic nuclear exercises. the kremlin says its warships and submarines successfully ors hypersonic weapons and cruise missiles during the drills. it denies the war games will further inflame tension out as the restore. such berry is in moscow. this is an important day for a lot of report. and of course, we heard of the news that he has given his signal to start these nuclear exercises . just before the u. s. vice president took the stage of the munich car security conference. i think it's not a coincidence. of course, this was an exercise that was scheduled to take place in october, but the defense ministry announced that they moved it up to february. and lot of we, we understand is at a strategic center. they've called it to oversee these drills alongside that bella, russian president alexander shanker. now the 2 men are overseeing these nuclear
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exercises that include all aspects of brushes, naval air force and army. and these drills are certainly going to be on a larger scale than anything else that they usually do in terms of exercises rushing back to purchase leaders in eastern ukraine of order the food ministry mobilization. they say that civilians in the breakaway region of don bass being evacuated to russia, a shilling, intensifiers between separatists and ukrainian government forces. the cranial army says that one soldier has been killed. joe stratford is in nava silica in eastern ukraine. will of course he crane and military would never admit to returning, well they would say would be returning fire. they always say that, you know, they are the ones being targeted. but we know over the years that they have regular exchanges, a fight between by both sides,
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along the 420 kilo much contact zone with respect to the evacuations going on in the self declared donate scandal ranks people's republic. we've spoken to people inside donates this morning. they say that buses have beaten foot that be made available for this evacuation. some people are getting on to those buses. certainly the people that we've spoken to said that they're not going to evacuate at this stage. they saying that to, well, we live to the worst of the hostilities in 20142015. they're still skeptical that there could be some sort of military escalation, despite the kind of language coming out from the separatist leaders. we're also hearing reports, certainly reports by the russian media showing pictures of what they say is the whole hole in the ground in the roster region of russia, which they say is a ukrainian shell hall. now we have to be exceptionally careful here and what we
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report in because as we know, certainly according to the cranium, government and the backers, there is a danger of the separatists, the russian back separatists and russia using what is described as false flag incidence. these are incidents to the fabricated in order to give a pretext, to either the russian back separatists or russia to launch some sort of a military escalation. of course, russia continues to deny that it has any plan to do so far as love present as a senior research fellow at the center of post soviet studies of the russian academy of sciences. he says, it's ukraine that's being aggressive, not russia. we see a lot of proven, honest and exceptional expectation that russia next they will attack ukraine in 2 days while know all these promot this know, finally implemented. and finally, what we see now, you green started the tension waste board of the west. so,
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and we just see a great game around your brain. and the problem is that nobody in your brains and nobody in the west, in reality, doesn't care about life. people population don't vaskins money. but then these are just leverage ratio in russia. and russia had been poor in the same light. there is no money for the seizure form. there is room for resolution of these conflict means agreements. but nobody, nobody in the green. some of the going to for d. c green, or because this is not going to be inches where it's called russia an aggressive, but no. any evidence of show stable freshman concentration of russian troops
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along the border with the green. this is an answer for the support of your brain, aggression statements with no one evidence, no one plans to do something. and last night started to attention. we started last night. yes. show that it was me from ukrainian side. previously yuki in the united states. we do the se observers just in order to, to color most of color the real source of the sanction or another issue that's been under discussion in munich. the efforts to revive the 2015 iran nuclear deal delegates say the deal could be just days away. indirect negotiations between the u . s. and iran resumed last week in vienna, after a 10 day break. the us state department says that substantial progress has been made and that an agreement is possible if iran shows seriousness. i was just here
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as ali hush and has more from vienna where those negotiations are under way. that old reasons for being cautious with these, with this optimism, because this might be also a kind of laying the infrastructure for the blame game, just in case that talks faith. now, what, what's, what's left, what's left is how to make this, the sustainable. we are a, just a witnessing the iranian, and the europeans and americans are talking in different on different occasions. just minutes ago, the iranian talk negotiator, alley walker. he left this building behind me. he was sitting there with the europeans here. now with respect to what is a, what are, what are we waiting here for? we're waiting for an announcement. when are they going to announce that they are? i've got to do this is something that might take days. it might take weeks, which is something that a is,
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is left to what the iranians are going to announce in the coming days or what's going to come from america. so this is mainly what everyone is waiting, gets a kind of a wait game. everyone is waiting daughter size to blink 1st. however, there is substantial progress as the united states officials are saying also, the iranian foreign minister, yesterday, in the unit, said that there are big decisions to be taken. the iranian side would want to see guarantees, real guarantees for them to get back to the, to the deal. the united states of america wants to see a big gap between iran and the a nuclear threat of threshold. so this is right now what's being discussed and as we know the, the devil lies in the, in the, in the details. at least 10 people have been killed and a suspected suicide bombing in ballard, when city in central somalia. it's believed that some politicians were
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present at a targeted location. lawrence, next on that as when we get gunmen have killed at least 8 soldiers in marley, the defense ministry there says the government forces were attacked near the northern border with burkina faso fighters linked to isolate, accused of killing at least 40 civilians. there. this week delays in the implementation of a peace deal in the door for region of sudan are raising concerns about security and the delivery of aid. it's nearly 2 years since sedans, governments signed the agreement and years of conflict with aunt groups and our for us aren't as heroes. hipaa morgan reports now from alpha, russia in north door for converting the words of the deal into action is proving to be slow and frustrating. oh, the soldiers at a camp in a fashion in north, at are for 3rd may day with the morning assembly. there with the army group,
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justice and equality movement which fought for years against the sudanese government. but they still waiting to start implementing a peace agreement which was reached in 2020 another alcohol at that that harker. there has been an order that on groups should move to gathering points to start the security arrangements of the deal, but to were waiting for logistical supports, such as fuel engine oil spill parts for the car and supplies and other administrative issues to move to the gathering centers hartaman acclaim the dar for conflict, killed at least 300000 people, and left more than 2000000 displaced. the peace deal allowed for those displays during the fighting, to return to their villages and for the region to be developed. it also provided some power to the former rebels. all arm groups that have signed the piece agreement are supposed to be integrated into the national army before the end of the transitional period. currently scheduled for july next year. but more than a year after the deal, very few of the security arrangements have been implemented. and further de mays
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are causing security concerns. embassy dates, and in the dark for region, world food program temporarily halted operations after an attack on its warehouses . the government responded by ordering all armed groups to leave the main cities. but the people of old fashion are still worried about 50. my mahogany sidwell. there are robberies. there are killings. the country is not very safe and that makes things hot. m, as in papa, the security situation is terrible with the killings and robberies. the war has ended, but insecurity remains with your mother. north, dar for his governor has getting the deal to work is not proving easy to live at the huddle as, as he murphy euro. does. he has, he has guido, the feasel, but for condo, i think the main issue and delaying the implementation is political will, which was absent but is now there. the other issue is the financial issue. those who supported the deal were supposed to assist,
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especially the part of the security arrangements because it involved the disarmament disintegration and rehabilitation of those who won't be part of the armed forces. and that needs funding either that them. meanwhile, and military camps fight as a way to stop the next phase in the agreement, while the security situation in the region remains fragile. he but morgan, alta 0 and fashion north dar for malawi was certified as pony of free years ago. but the detection of a new case there is being seen as a setback for the fight against the virus. a little girl in malawi has been paralyzed by the 1st known infection in africa, in almost 6 years. local. so report a decades long battle believe to have been one has renewed 2 years after the announcement, polio had been eradicated in africa. the 1st case of the wild pole you virus has been confirmed in malachi. the world health organization says the strain is linked
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to one circulating in pakistan. we don't know the chain of transmission. we're working with that this is an important case, but on the ground timing with the worst case scenario. but we must strengthen the beta rapidly with quantity initiates a financial campaign to break with the chain of transmission hole you usually affects children under 5 years and can cause is reversible paralysis, sometimes depth. the disease remains endemic into countries of cornerstone and they bring pakistan. there is no cure, but of polio vaccine protects children for life. 25 years ago, thousands of children in africa, the past lives by the virus. but a series of vaccination campaigns led to it being declared, wiped out. that's now changed. one case is now
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to make us declare these public health emergency lead being quoted, this must have been spreading, lead to the continent silently. the case does not change the country, not africa status. as being free of wild poll you, the region will increase surveillance and authorities, and malachi, us tapping up immunization programs. this topic from spreading consume. jesse to the president of brazil has been seeing the scale of destruction caused by slumps and glanced lives in the mountain city. of patropolis, the latest casualty count is at least 130 people dead and 200 missing al 0 monica yar. kia reports, after returning from russian hungry, brazil's present jade will,
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sonata surveyed the destruction in the city of patropolis during a helicopter fly over. he said it was like a war zone with unfortunately we could see the seriousness of what's happened here and patropolis tuesday heavy rains and mudslides tore down buildings in this historical brazilian town. more than 130 people have been killed. so far less than half of the victims have been identified and at least $200.00 people are still unaccounted for. sirens and friday warned inhabitants that other parts of the city could collapse and that they should leave urea immediately. that is up when i blow the whistle, we start evacuating them as calling on them, i don't, is decided to risk his life and stay behind. i'll jazeera accompanied him on his mission to find the bodies of his neighbors, even me as one which my mother has been living in the same house for 48 years. she was there when the mudslides tore it down. she was with my 2 nieces and my nephew.
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on that, i had told the runa he had found her mother in the living room. the bodies of 13 year old neela and 6 year old daniel had been dragged by the water to the bottom of the hill. the family album was salvaged. but 11 year old stephanie is still missing with all family. oh, don't worry, i won't stop looking until i find her. yeah, she's here somewhere. families of other missing people have used instagram to post their pictures and contact numbers do up in the mail time. there's a huge rock that's about to fall on my house. i had to leave, but my neighbor is still under the rubble. nobody can find her, nor her 12 year old child. funeral home safe donated 200 coffins. meanwhile, the search for survivors continues. monica, and i give, i'll jazeera, ah.

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