tv Inside Story Al Jazeera April 12, 2022 3:30am-4:01am AST
3:30 am
it's all to be voted this week, but it may be postponed or voted from one day to the next. ellen musk has announced he won't join twitters bought mosque was offered a seat when he became a site's largest shareholder last week. he made several suggestions for to it to including turning its headquarters into a homeless shelter and the ban on advertising. ah, i'm carry johnston with headlines on al jazeera, ukraine says it expects russia to launch a huge new offensive on its eastern region. imminently u. s. officials say they believe russia is reinforcing and re supplying its troops in the don bass region. you foreign ministers have been discussing a proposal to air market $544000000.00 for the delivery of additional weapons to
3:31 am
ukraine. the blocks of foreign policy chief, joseph burrell, says there's also been talk of more sanctions against russia. essentially, we continue discussing about how to implement the sanctions to avoid any kind of loop holes. we measure the impact of the sanctions as having on your russian economy. and we will continue discussing in order to see what else can be done. nothing is on the table, including sanctions. norland gas, the un security council has heard that rape has been used as a weapon of war and ukraine. the head of you and women has called for independent investigation into allegations of violence against women. ahead of us, women has called for independent investigations, chavez sharif as been sworn in his pocket stones, new prime minister after being elected by the national assembly. he succeeds in ron khan who was removed and no confidence on saturday. sharif would need the
3:32 am
government until august, the next year, when general elections of june israeli army has arrested 14 palestinians around janine in the occupied west bank. the rates follow a series of gun battles and arrests in the city. hundreds of people took part in the funeral of a palestinian teenager. he died over night one day after being shot by israeli forces. tensions in the occupied westbank had been rising after a series of attacks in israel. killed 14 people, the last 3 weeks. french present, emanuel macro and returned to the campaign trail the day after coming on top. in the 1st round, the presidential election, he spent mundane in northern city of n a. he's looking for extra votes before a runoff against the far right challenger, marine the pen. those are the headlines and these continues here and i'll just 0 off the inside story. ah
3:33 am
yet again, emanuel macaroni murray le pen will fight for the top job in france. the 1st round of the big finish with no play went up. it's a tight race in the 2nd round the can the far right when. and what would that mean for from this is inside story. ah hello, welcome to the program. i'm nick clock. president macro is in the north of france already campaigning for a runoff election on april the 24th. he's on top after the 1st round of voting took
3:34 am
place on sunday, and he wants to become 1st french president to be reelected in the last 20 years. but his content them are in the pen is not far behind. determined to start her own presidency by winning the runoff polling suggests a much tight erase this time than when the 2 laws faced each other back in 2017. then more than 26 percent of the population abstained from costing appellate on the 1st round. but as my father's report now from pears, emanuel micron only did one campaign rally, but the man who bruns himself, a centrist, did enough to have a chance of being the 1st incumbent french president in 20 years to win a 2nd term. again though, you'll have to beat the fall rights at 2, no completely a he says so tony, the left assume to all the french who chose to have slain or the vote on the extreme asked is either because they're angry, faced with persistent inequality, a damaged planet is though every day insecurity, the difficulty to make
3:35 am
a decent living display working hard and it is what i want to convince him in the coming days. his opponent in the 2nd round of voting will again be maureen le pen leader of the national rally. it's manifesto includes a promise to make it illegal for muslim women to wear, had scarves in public places. they were converts deep on a, fisher, your vote depends all over the french territory on the legitimate preponderance of the french culture and language. the customs of our agents and the french way of life on republican laws and values, he can le pen might pick up votes from supporters of air exam or another extreme right candidates. the former t v pundit has asked his supporters to backer in the 2nd round. the far less john luke melon shown had hoped that this time he might make it to the run off. but again, he didn't quite get enough votes. francis, traditional right and left wing parties continue to hemorrhage support the
3:36 am
conservative, the republicans party on the valery pay. chris saw their share of the vote collapsed a single digits. the socialist and an hidalgo had been all but wiped out their share of the boat, barely registered. the beneficiary of those former conservative and socialists votes seems again to be micron. we ought to be asked the. ringback rental to support the to the and you've been friends for the next turn of the election in 2 weeks of huntington, i believe we have a good record and we have a wacked out plan with the vision for the future for the young, our country. and for the workers often to the left, micron has promised higher pensions and more staff in health care for the right thousands more police officers and judges, and a rise in the retirement age from 62 to 65. so now they'll be 2 weeks of intense campaigning for emmanuel micron, a marine la pen. most of the losing candidates have urged their supporters not to let the pen wins of a cron could benefit from their votes. but the far right when
3:37 am
a combined 33 percent share of the vote in the 1st round. so an upset cannot be ruled and bernard smith, inside story, paris, where the merging of the right wing into the far right is one of the biggest of elements of this election. a marine le pen and exit. moore's combined poll ratings amount to an unprecedented 30 percent plus for the far right in front. his parties are more united than those on the left. the far right agree on what they say is the necessity for france to re establish if fuel is full sovereignty from the european union. they also want to limit or end immigration. and some of the right wing go as far as saying islam is incompatible with the frank republic. over the past 2 years, they have spread from a fringe movement to a mainstream political force in france. and that's been fueled by economic grievances and security phase after ice of attacks on french soil. ah, all right,
3:38 am
let's bring in our guests from paris. we have jack, we're alarmed, who is the senior research fellow at the global policy institute from newcastle in england on skype id on ballgame, who's as see the electra in french and politics at north humbly at university. and elizabeth mutate joins us. she said paris based columnist for the telegraph and unheard online magazine, a war, welcome to you all. everybody will look at the results 1st and then we'll project on to what might happen in the 2nd round. and the crucial parliamentary elections in the coming tv debate. but 1st, the 1st round results and, and elizabeth, you have written how append was almost a write off 3 months ago. what happened? well, i also wrote last week that she had made an extraordinary come back, actually almost a resurrection. and it's very interesting because it's combination of what she been trying to do for the past, at least for 5 years. and a situation in which she,
3:39 am
a mechanically looked more, quote, unquote moderate because of the advent of innings in a new player who's a former columnist for refusal and who looked and sounded more hard line than she she did. so suddenly, the entire effort that she's put into rebranding her party changing the name from national front to natural rally, which is more consensual turning down had cat form. and we can talk about this further, herb, and even sort of of giving off personal vibes of her personality as being somebody who was milder and was less abrasive. somebody who gave us more rallies on her competitors and didn't shy from admitting to mistakes from saying that things were sometimes think went wrong. all of this built up a kind of constituency that related to her and m a u b. everybody is sort of been counting the removal vote into the marine le pen vote in 2 weeks time. she is
3:40 am
actually, she's got a call consistency. there were people that voted communist 25 years ago. and she at least one 3rd of resorted men, awful. the hob left as voters may actually vote for her into each side because she speaks for the working class and she has a very left wing social program in terms of benefit and changes, except that she wants it only for the french, the other m. okay. do you agree with other what, what's your overview of how this pan bout? yeah, i agree with with what so being said, i think as strategy paid off, she decided very early on that she would focus on cost of living and it has been wrong thing. and from the i've just been said she was made even more moderate by buying more. and i think as well who for me had a really bad campaign in the 1st round. it started very late. he refused to do any,
3:41 am
any but messaging with parable because the main take away that voters order revolt is we don't have time for the nation to read through the program line by line. the only thing that they remembered was you have to work longer. so it's a strategy paid off and there was also some tactical voting from voter and from the republican right just to ensure that she's in the 2nd round. so i agree. ready what's been said, but i think we shouldn't underestimate. also had a campaign in my, in my opinion, or macro had a bad campaign shack jack red lawn. do you think the 1st round ended up being tighter than a manual macro thought it would? yes, i'm sure. yes, i agree with both both speakers that both look bad,
3:42 am
maybe would combine my co major reward campaign. and after you suffered from hovers that you're not especially the reform of the pension that she wants to raise to 65 . you announced it in his 1st being addressed to the french people at the time, why was roger you got 32 percent in new opinions both but in some measure, which as actually is priest. many people in france work into 65. it was and slowly getting some super jury benefits to extra work or training on the part of workers that has upset that other people on the left. add that swear. yes. to gain some support. that's why many people on the left is pretty far ask very bowers to michael. there's a sense of atrial even tools towards him and no e f. and he's realized mistake. and that each time before that he needed to take
3:43 am
votes away from the battery because but as we see, but it because it's 405 percent. so the, the many votes to get there, if he wants to gain votes into so going around in depth to go from the left. so delay job campaign we'd have to judge. you would have to come pay much war analysis or measure add that would giving debate and he asked to show to the french people that his program, you know, just very liberal are right when program. but as it's a balance program with measures to help do working job is to for the week, which is which is starting to take him by going campaigning on the hunting around the farthest all georgia rather not in the pending and france, you know, town where the majority of people voted for my son, and he has to convince them that is what he sees will be more beneficial to those
3:44 am
of lupin and i don't think it would be difficult because lupins is going to be program lupin as a lot of promises to people to speech she made last night. there was money for everyone. she was be just, you know, we do 40 older, you'll sit there are, it was released. it was a catch. sure. got up. okay. all right. well, we'll be back with g living on lives with. jack says jack right on says i was with it, the micro has realized his mistake. will it be enough? or he in self admits, said it is certainly not over yet. and poll predictions for the 2nd round, a well within the margin of error as a reporter, bernard smith says it's not out of his world to imagine that the pen could when i think yes, it's very interesting because the cross voting and the people who sort of voted on one side are going to vote for somebody who you wouldn't think at 1st hand is, i mean major just i've just mentioned that been awful. voters voting for
3:45 am
a minute there. but on the other side you've got, you've got, i know the more voters who will vote for emmanuel mccord because they felt like you're raleigh, that their candidate was still forward looking and modern. and wanted to create a sort of lod right wing party, that would have been something like, i don't know if you in british terms, the tory party with added nigel for our, for instance. whereas they caught, they find that name, append is much more rigid and, and back is looking and that constituency does exist a it's, i mean it's a calling, it's very complicated to calculate to be a vote on either side. i think the manual michael probably should win it, but the entire campaign has been painted in the 1st and 2nd round as the 1st round is very new. as a kind of what again the british would call project fear. the other one is evil. so on, on the, on the hard right. you people say a blog, emmanuel mccoy is the man who's bringing in foreigners,
3:46 am
he's the man who is abandoning sovereignty of frogs to europe. all sorts of things . and only other side. you got essentially the great line of, you know, let's find, let's have a new of home open for she isn't which was a great movement. again, fascism in the 1900 is in france and it's not going to be a very grown up campaign. and well, the end of end shrewd that is, that she's always brings back of the situation with the hardships that people are experienced. and especially now that inflation is giving up my whole now suffers from something from last time. last time he was new, and many people voted for him because he was a new guy. he was younger, he annoyed all the others and therefore he was a safe populous vote. you to somebody who still had of the competencies within the french tech, new structure, and somebody who are annoyed, the other candidate encumbrance rested left and right. this time he's been in power for 5 years. in his big rally, athletic falls, west paris. he talked about
3:47 am
a care homes, personal talk to not doctors, he talked about also the people who were suffering and the immediate reaction of so many people as well. it who, who was president at that time you were so it's, it's going to be diet is difficult to predict. i still think like the book makers that michael, will it squeeze through, but it's going to be, is going to be difficult. there is a long lasting discontent. isn't there ever over his person, over micro personalities deemed arrogant by many and maybe that was, that arrogance was on display in the fact that he didn't take part in much of the electoral campaign. ariano again, how do you see it putting out this the 2nd round. ready again, i agree, it's going to be much tighter than in 1717, it was the new kid on the block. a lot of people get into, but if you know the cumberland, you know, we have a whole presidency under itself. people know what did he generated a lot of anger,
3:48 am
hatred, some quarters, a lot of these conferences and so it's much easier for me to point out. this is what do you want this thing for 5 job. 117. it was i, i, professors of what, what he might do. i think it will really come down to the center right. on the left to how many voters, 3, how many middle should we switch to loop? and there was a study this morning, i believe that suggested 30 percent sign of mental both to 30 percent vote for the ben. this is going to be the crucial point. how high the sumption going to be on the left, and how many choices for middle shall be switch thinking might squeeze through, but it's not going to be, you know, 6634 like it won't last time. right? shock that's, that's very interesting, isn't it? it will be key. the number of abstentions went it because i, you know, isn't abstaining effectively a vote from the pen. yes,
3:49 am
the fall has been optional. so them appeal was too sensitive. people do not vote for money to pay. but, you know, say, vote for my coat, right. you'll see, but that's been, that's been the case for most of the leaders except if, except exam move. and it's your t as a republican. because becca. so there's a few people of called for vote to what to and they quite looked at said even the left you a call to ga dot go of clearly said value, because i scared he said that she will should vote for my call as photos in more of a diagram with and he's a read them some, some of them will not want to vote for a pen because to think of it can be programmed is incoherent. and thus, we can see dividing process mccall peters to, to the false,
3:50 am
the french while doing well and not pen up is 2 doors. well, you talk to make ends meet, but into debate. that's why i think the key point would be for my call to show in the next 2 weeks. that is program is the one who is best suited to the interest of the working class. people watching out towards repair and it gives you that says is got something to back it up because is record is very good, especially unemployment. during his mandate ball that 1200000 jobs were created in france. improvement rate is that it's lower than it's been for a long time. it was not even an issue. the issue was the cost of living. and even dep, my call will be able to prove. if there is a debate, debate on television will be crucial. whether that in japan as improved or competence in the feel of it been a mix, right?
3:51 am
because because she really struggled back in 2017 and she was the jack says the tv debate, i think it's on the 20th is going to be a real pivot point. yes, definitely. i mean, last time raleigh was, it was a count crush and it really cost a deity. i mean, she appeared to incompetence in 2017. so you would think that she would have learned from it unless she would be a bit better row. but yeah, it is going to be crucial. you know, we'll have to, you know, to push on all coming from it. because if you look at a program, you know, something for ethic would be great, but how do your finances? so he will ask, or for those questions, you have to whole go, she does much better in 17 because otherwise it would be very easy for michael to, to highlight that she does. she's in commented the she doesn't have to come to and
3:52 am
so she doesn't know how to, you know, to deal with christ is the way you have to do during, during these present presidency. so that the bass case what is essential in mikey? ok, i'd like to continue that conversation, but we got to move it on. i want to talk about the, the french, traditional parties and lives. but we're going to got 6 or 7 minutes left. what does this mean? what's happening here for french politics is that it for the traditional policies for the conservative right in the session is left. i think it's, i think it's our t brother bad because what we end up having is a one candidate of the great and the good who is immigrant for us to essentially bogey men or women 30 purses and. and that's not good for democracy. you know, they're having a position do who you disagree with, but uh they are honorable people and that's a real problem. and that is entirely the doing of the manual. michael,
3:53 am
he came 5 years ago, seemingly out of nowhere. he been in the cabinet for 18 months or were foster and on so soon as he was not a member of the socialist party himself. when he came in, he said, i'm going to do things on them to at the same time. left and right. you don't have to choose between left and right. and he started shaving off personalities from the the right on the left. and you always picked sort of compatible josiah personalities. and he gave them jobs and forbade them to have political ideas of their own. and then the people, the national assembly with essentially close of himself in many ways and the result was a sort of anemic and national, some politics life which reduced the the, the, the extent of the debate that i think is about the democracy. i think he because he, at the end of the day who his nature is that he's a source of it. he's a top mandarin. he was at the minister finance. he graduated top of his class, all the top of his class at another branch government school. he's used to people
3:54 am
a bang him and not people talking back to them. okay. and that's really why he decided that he would make a new system at hazard, which i think is really wrong for democracy jacket. do you think, in a sense, a macro, your, by emasculating, the traditional parties is, is actually empowered his own opposition? at what is very interesting is, yes, mccaul destroyed the socialist party into melbourne. 17. and now he has destroyed the derived director. we couldn't talk to bobby's, we shall do me a fresh, critical life for the last 50 years in tatters. so was going to happen after my call as a catch your goal already to be door. and what you're going to see on the right is a red composition. i have dried loop and the important read for me can party will back to the bed like shoot the right wing. we're probably going
3:55 am
to, we're split like discussion is sprint in 2017. between governance and, and more radical press does the more voters, all of that would add up to very all right. all the underwrite, which could gather about 3025 percent of the of the, of the voters as of british sees, have been similar to the british story party. very russia, that is a very protection is and i just same died a very style to foreigners. so that's, that's likely it will be likely to up and we'll see during our monterey addiction. ok, i would shake it up. if i do that, i get it just because i need to be given to parliamentary elections already. got a couple minutes left. i'm sorry to interrupt jack abbey and a president with no majority has no power. we got the parliamentary elections coming up in the summit traditionally, you know the winning presidency,
3:56 am
the majority in parliament. jake is going to be a different ball game this time around. yes. oh, certainly is, might have been ways we know ever since they've changed the timing of the parliamentary election and put them after the residential election. there's a momentum going in. however, i don't know been winnie or not street majority just on the road. we also know how i tracked, i'm sure she would be able to attract people, you know, coming from the traditional, right? possibly even people from the left to all the kind of summer, summer and it so her initial, sorry, left. but it is going to be difficult to get a majority. and obviously, depending on maturity she would be able to implement a program or not. we might even end up in a period of computation. you never know if she wins and people suddenly fail, right. ok, we better refine this, we might end up with
3:57 am
a socially left wing prime minister. so it's very much, i think you're right to the point inside the parliament. your election is the key election because a majority print is, you know, half power. if not, when i think it's more likely for him to have a maturity, maybe not an absolute majority, but no crate. you know it kind of coalition of the willing so to speak. ok. i will constantly thought of it goes out there over the next 2 weeks, very close, been dated. so we got time for jacqueline, a lot of younger game and is, but we say we do appreciate your time and your perspective on this. thanks a lot. thank you. too, for watching, you can see the program again any time by visiting our website, our dessert dot com and for further discussion, just go to our facebook page. that's facebook dot com, forward slash ha inside story. you can also join the conversational twitter handle
3:58 am
is at a j inside story from maine, the clock, and the entire team here. and it's a ah it's the largest war with europe since world war 2. this president putin reclaiming what belong to russia. was natal coming to close? and what does the end game look like? an in depth look at the war in ukraine, hooton's bland, or the what neglected ukraine, the seeds who,
3:59 am
who are just, you know, we understand the differences and similarities of cultures across the world. so no matter what movie we've been using, kind of for that matter to you from the al jazeera london broadcast center t people, unprompted uninterrupted. the social media space is as dangerous as the street. so it came to be and least as much as the street part to have journalist nestle, malik, and right to and political analyst, angelina, paula, i want people to be attentive to the commercial interests that shape these platforms. studio be unscripted on al jazeera, harmful pathogens are increasingly affecting our lives with terrible consequences. a new documentary asks why that we've learned any lessons from the h. i. v. epidemic in the fight against coven 19. how we ignore the global. so to
4:00 am
put profits before people and it won't cost ah, time of pundents on august ah, on carry johnston indo are the top stories here on al jazeera. ukraine says it expects russia to launch a new offensive in the east of the country. imminently u. s. officials say they believe moscow is reinforcing and re supplying its troops in a dumbass region. meanwhile, in southeastern mario polt, soldiers say they are preparing for lost battle after weeks of siege. robert mcbride reports from the viv drive through the ruins of what was once a bustling suburb.
54 Views
Uploaded by TV Archive on