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tv   Inside Story  Al Jazeera  April 12, 2022 10:30am-11:01am AST

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nike fall, jazeera, brazil, ya. a metal rich asteroid, orbiting the sun between malls and jupiter may soon habits. first visitor from of nasa is conducting final tests before the launch later this year with us mission to explore a minor planet composed of metals instead of ice and broke it all with the asteroids . psych, vinny, any 2 years is pulse with a mission. ah, this is our desert, easier, top stories. ukraine says it expects russia to launch a huge new offensive on its eastern region. imminently is official say they believe russia is reinforcing. i'm re supplying its troops. indeed, don bass region also has chancellors become the 1st e leader to visit vladimir pierson's interests of the invasion colony hamis as he is raised, the issue of serious war crimes. didn't see any signs of progress yet,
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generally, generally speaking, i have no optimism. i can take from this meeting with president putin. the military offensive in the east of ukraine is already well prepared for it. asia parliament has passed a landmark bell to tackle sexual violence. the new law will provide a comprehensive legal framework for cases of sexual abuse. now she alone, indonesia saw nearly 240000 cases of violence against women. the real number of cases could be much higher. jessica washington has moved to carter indonesian ministers have really described those numbers is just the tip of the iceberg. because indonesia, like many countries around the world don't have a problem with and reporting when it comes to sexual violence. and part of the reason for that is that in the past avenues with justice, all survivors of sexual assault have been limited. and there are hopes today going forward with the policy of this bill that can change with now clearer avenues for
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survivors of sexual abuse to build a case and to secure convictions against perpetrators. is there any forces have withdrawn from jeanine in the occupied west bank, often retaining more palestinians? 17 people have so far been held in israeli raids in the occupied territory. is where i launch the operations off the palestinian government shots and kill 3 israelis and televi late last week. and the u. s. has told its non emergency staff to leave shanghai because of surgeon cove in 19 cases and sean is handling the outbreak. aging has come on the criticism for the measures. it's used to control the virus sinusoid entire population of 26000000 is on the strict locked down. people are only allowed out of the homes once a day to get food. okay, those i had ones in fi stories. next one day i might be covering politics or in the next,
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on my terabyte process from serbia to hungry to what's most important to me is talking to people understanding what they're going through so that i can convey the headlines in the most human way possible. herodotus era, we believe everyone has a story worth hearing yet again, a manual macaroni and marine la pen will fight for the top job in france. the 1st round of the big finish with no play when it is a tight race in the 2nd round to can the far right when and what would that mean for from this is inside story. ah hello, welcome to the program. i'm nick clock. president macro is in the north of france, already campaigning for a runoff election on april. the 24th. he's on top after the 1st round of voting
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took place on sunday, and he wants to become a 1st french president to be reelected in the last 20 years. but his content them are in the pen is not far behind. determined to start her own presidency by winning the runoff polling suggests a much tighter race this time than when the 2 laws faced each other back in 2017. then more than 26 percent of the population abstained from costing appellate on the 1st round. but as smith filed this report now from pears, emanuel micron only did one campaign rally, but the man who bruns himself, a centrist, did enough to have a chance of being the 1st incumbent french president in 20 years to win a 2nd term. again, though, you'll have to beat the fall rights at 2, no completely a he says so tony, the alleged assume to all the french who chose to have sign or the vote on the extreme asked is either because they're angry, faced with persistent inequality, a damaged planet is though every day insecurity the difficulty to make
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a decent living display working hard and heavy wooden. i want to convince him in the coming days. his opponent in the 2nd round of voting will again be maureen le pen, leader of the national rally. it's manifesto includes a promise to make it illegal for muslim women to wear, had scarves, in public places. they were covered. the barn official, your vote depends all over the french territory on the legitimate preponderance of the french culture and language. the customs of our agents and the french way of life on republican laws and values, he can le pen might pick up votes from supporters of air exam or another extreme right candidates, the former tv pond. it has asked his supporters to packer in the 2nd round. the far left john luke melon, shawn had hoped that this time he might make it to the run off. but again, he didn't quite get enough votes. francis traditional right and left wing parties continue to hemorrhage support the conservative, the republicans party,
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and the valerie pay. chris saw their share of the vote collapsed a single digits. the socialists on the ann hidalgo had been all but wiped out their share of the vote. barely registered the beneficiary of those form a conservative in socialist votes. seems again to be my cron. we ought to be asked the french rooted to support the to the a sir on you've been friends for the next turn of the election in 2 weeks repugnant . i believe we have a good record and we have a white cap plan with the vision to the future for the young, our country and for the workers often to the left, micron has promised higher pensions and more staff in health care for the right thousands more police officers and judges, and a rise in the retirement age from 62 to 65. so now they'll be 2 weeks of intense campaigning for emmanuel micron, a marine la pen. most of the losing candidates have urged their supporters not to let the pen when some a cron could benefit from their votes. but the far right when
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a combined 33 percent share of the vote in the 1st round. so an upset cannot be ruled and bernard smith, inside story, paris, where the merging of the right wing into the far right is one of the biggest developments of this election. a marine le pen and exit moore's. combined poll ratings amount to an unprecedented 30 percent plus for the far right in front. his parties are more united than those on the left. the far right agree on what they say is the necessity for france to re establish it. fuel is full sovereignty from the european union. they also want to limit or end immigration. and some of the right wing go as far as saying islam is incompatible with the french republic. over the past 2 years, they have spread from a fringe at movement to a mainstream political force in france. and that's been fueled by economic grievances and security phase after ice of attacks on french soil. ah, all right,
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let's bring in our guests from paris. we have jack were alarmed, who is the senior research fellow at the global policy institute from newcastle in england on skype id on ballgame. this is seely electra in french and politics at north humbert university. and elizabeth mutate joins us. she's a paras based columns for the telegraph and unheard online magazine, a war welcome to you all. everybody will look at the results 1st and then we'll project on to what might happen in the 2nd round. and the crucial parliamentary elections in the up coming tv debate, but 1st, the 1st round results and, and elizabeth, you have written how append was all my so right off 3 months ago. what happened? well, i also wrote last week that she had made an extraordinary come back, actually almost a resurrection. and it's very interesting because it's combination of what she'd been trying to do for the past, at least for 5 years. and a situation in which she am a mechanically looked more quote, unquote moderate,
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because of the advent of innings in a new player who's a former columnist for luciano and who looked and sounded more hall line than she she did. so suddenly, the entire effort that she's put into rebranding her party changing the name from natural front to natural rally, which is more consensual turning down had cat form. and we can talk about this further, herb and even sort of are giving off personal vibes of her personality as being somebody who was milder and was less abrasive. somebody who gave us more rallies on her competitors and didn't shy from admitting to mistakes from saying that things were sometimes think went wrong. all of this built up a kind of constituency that related to her. and i'm a, you, everybody is sort of been counting the removal vote into the marine le pen vote in
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2 weeks time. she is actually, she's got a call consistency. there were people that voted communist 25 years ago. and she at least one 3rd of sonic min awful, the hob left his voters may actually vote for her into he. so because she speaks for the working class and she has a very left wing social program in terms of benefit and changes, except that she wants it only for the french that i remember gauge you agree with other what? what's your overview of how this pan bout? yeah, i agree with what's been said. i think a strategy paid off. she decided very early on that she would focus on cost of living and it has been wrong thing. and from the i've had just been said she was made even more moderate by by the more and i think as well, who for me had a really bad campaign in the 1st round. you know,
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it started very late. he refused to do any, any but messaging with parable because the main take away voters order revolt is we don't have time for the nation to read through the program line by line. the only thing that they remembered was you have to work longer. so it's a strategy paid off and there was also some tactical voting from voter and from the republican. right. so just to ensure that that she's in the 2nd round . so i agree. ready what's been said, but i think we shouldn't underestimate. also had a campaign in my, in my opinion, or macro had a bad campaign shack jack right along. do you think the 1st round ended up being tighter than a manual macro thought it would? yes, i'm sure. yes, i agree with both both speakers that both look bad,
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maybe would come back, my call made a terrible campaign. and after you suffered from hovers that you're not especially the reform of the pension h that he wants to raise to 65. you announced it in his 1st being addressed to the french people at the time, why was roger got 32 percent in the opinion, both, but in some measure, which as actually is priest. many people in france work into 65. it was and solely king some super jury benefits to extra work or training on the part of workers that has upset that other people on the left. add that swear. yes. to gain some support. that's why many people on the left is pretty far left. are very opposed to michael. there's a sense of atrial even tools towards him and no e f, and he's realized mistake. and that each time before that he needed to take your
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votes away from the battery because but as we see but it, it because it's 405 percent. so the, the many votes to get there if he wants to gain a votes into. so going around in daft to go from the left. so the lead job campaign will have to judge you would have to come pay much war analysis or measure ad that would be debate. and he asked to show to the french people and that his program, you know, just very liberal or right wing program. but as it's a balance program with measures to help do working job is to for the week, which is which is starting to take it by going campaigning on the hunting around of the honest, all georgia rather not in the pending and france, you know, town where the majority of people voted for the bed, and he has to convince them that is cuz he sees will be more beneficial to those
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of the bed. and i don't think it would be difficult because lupins going to be program lupin as low as i promised all people to speech she made last night. there was wonderful everyone she was be just, you know, we do 40 older. you'll sit there are it was released, it was a catch. sure. got out. okay. alright. we'll be back with g living on lives with. jack says jack right on says i was with it that micro has realized his mistake. will it be enough or he himself admit, said it is certainly not over yet. and poll predictions for the 2nd round, a well within the margin of error as a reporter, bernard smith says it's not out of his world to imagine that the pen could when i think yes, it's very interesting because the cross voting and the people who sort of voted on one side are going to vote for somebody who you wouldn't think at 1st hand is, i mean major just i've just mentioned that been awful. voters voting for
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a minor. but on the other side you've got, you've got, i know them will voters who will vote for amendment mcclure because they felt like you're raleigh, that their candidate was still forward looking and modern. and wanted to create a sort of lod right wing party, that would have been something like, i don't know if you in british terms, the tory party with added nigel for our, for instance. whereas they caught, they find that name, append is much more rigid and, and back is looking and that constituency does exist a, it's, i mean it's a calling, it's very complicated to calculate to be a vote on either side, i think in menu, or michael probably should win it, but the entire campaign has been painted in the 1st and 2nd round as the 1st round is very new. as a kind of what again the british would call project fear. the other one is evil. so on, on the, on the hard right. you people say a blog, emmanuel mccoy is the man who's bringing in foreigners,
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he's the man who is abandoning sovereignty of frogs to europe. all sorts of things . and only other side. you got essentially the great line of, you know, let's find, let's have a new, a formal quote for she isn't which was a great movement. again, fascism in the 1900 pounds. and it's not going to be a very grown up campaign. and well, the end of end shrewd that is, that she's always brings back of the situation with the hardships that people are experienced. and especially now that inflation is giving up my whole now suffers from something from last time. last time he was new, and many people voted for him because he was a new guy. he was younger, he annoyed all the others and therefore he was a safe populous vote. you to somebody who still had the competencies within the french tech, new structure, and somebody who are annoyed, the other candidates encumbrance rested, left and right. this time he's been in power for 5 years. in his big rally, athletic falls, west paris. he talked about a care homes,
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personal talk to not doctors, he talked about also the people who were suffering and the immediate reaction of so many people as well. it who, who was president at that time you were so it's, it's going to be diet is difficult to predict. i still think like the book makers that michael, will it squeeze through, but it's going to be, is going to be difficult. there is as long lasting discontent. isn't there ever over his person over michael's personality is deemed arrogant by many and maybe that was that arrogance was on display in the fact that he didn't take part in much of a electoral campaign. ariano again, how do you see it putting out this? the 2nd round? yeah, again, i agree. it's going to be much tighter than in $1717.00. it was a new kid on the block. a lot of people get into, but if it would not be covered, you know, we have a whole presidency under its belt. people know what he did. he generated a lot of anger, of hatred in some quarters,
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a lot of these conferences and so it's much easier for money. and i've been to the point, this is what do you want this banker 5 job was 17, it was i, i professors of what, what he might do. i think it will really come down to extension right on the left to how many voters? 3, how many middle shall we switch? and there was a study this morning, i believe that suggested 30 percent of middle school, both to 30 percent will vote for the ben. this is going to be the crucial point. how high the sumption going to be on the left, and how many filters for middle shall be switched? i think he might squeeze through, but it's not going to be, you know, 6634 like it won't last time. right? shark that's, that's very interesting, isn't it? it will be key. the number of abstentions went it because i, you know, isn't abstaining effectively a vote for the pen. yes,
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the fall has been short. so them appeal was to centrally. people do not vote for money to pay, but you know, say, vote for my call, right? you'll see, but that's been, that's been the case for most of the leaders except if, except exam move, and it's your t as a ripper because picks as becca. so there's a few people of called for vote to what to look at the quite your look said. even the upper left jacob. jason go up clearly said stephen. valerie, because i scarcely said that she will, should vote for my call as far as it will be great with them some, some of them will not want to vote for been because the figure it couldn't be programmed is incoherent. and thus, we can see dividing fossil macola peters to, to the false,
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the french while doing well. pen up is to doze while you talk to make ends meet. but in the debate, that's why i think the key point would be for me. busy to show in the next 2 weeks, that is program is the one who is best suited to the interest of the working class . people going out to repent and it does. it that says is got something to back it up because is record is very good, especially on improvement during his mandate ball that 1200000 jobs were created. the friends improvement rate is that it's lower than it's been for a long time. it was not even an issue, the issue was the cost of living and even dep, my call will be able to prove if there is a debate, debate on television will be crucial. whether that in japan as improved or competence interference, think been a mix, right?
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because because she really struggled back in 2017, and she as a jack says that tv debate, i think it's on the 20th is going to be a real pivot point. yes, definitely. i mean, last time around it was, it was a car crash and it, we costa, you know, daily. i mean, she appeared to, to the incompetence institute on 17. so, you know, you, you would think that she would have learned from age and that she would be a bit better at this time around. but yeah, it is going to be crucial. and, you know, we'll have to, you know, to push on all every kind of make promises because it should have got a program. it's, you know, does this something for everybody. great. but how do you finance it? so he will ask for all those questions and might have been, we have to hope that she does much better the in 70 because otherwise it would be very easy for michael to, to highlight that she does. she's incompetent that she doesn't have to competence,
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but she doesn't know how to, you know, to deal with christ. is there way to do during, during his present presidency. so did you buy his key as what is essential in my he ok i, i'd like to continue that sort of conversation, but we got to move on. i want to talk about the, the french traditional parties. elizabeth, we're going to go up 6 or 7 minutes left. what does this mean? what's happening here for french politics? is that it for the traditional policies for the conservative right in the socialist left. i think it's, i think it's actually rather bad because what we end up having is on one candidate of the great and the good who is image wilma. i'm to, oh, essentially, bogey men or women bogey purses and, and that's not good for democracy. you know, they're having a position do who you disagree with, but uh they are honorable people and that's a real problem. and that is entirely the doing of a manual. michael. he came 5 years ago,
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seemingly out of nowhere. he been in the cabinet for 18 months or with fossil on so soon as he was not a member of the socialist party himself. when he came in, he said, i'm going to do things on him to at the same time, left and right. you don't have to choose between left and right. and he started shaving off personalities from the the right on the left. and you always picked sort of compatible dose style personalities. and he gave them jobs and forbade them to have political ideas of their own. and then he people the national assembly with essentially close of himself in many ways. and the result was a sort of anemic and national, some politics life which reduced the the, the extent of the debate that i think is about the democracy. i think he because he, at the end of the day who his nature is that he's also that he's a top mandarin. he was at the minister finance. he graduated top of his class, all the top of his class at another branch government school. he's used to people
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obeying him and not people talking back to them. okay. and that's really why he decided that he would make a new system at his zibert, which i think is really wrong for democracy jacket. do you think in a sense, a macro, nearby emasculating, the traditional parties is, is actually empowered his own opposition. what is very interesting is yes, my call destroyed the socialist party into 17 and now he has destroyed the door. i directly recon party, the 2 bodies. we shall, domine agent, friends, critical life for the last few years in tatters. so was going to happen after my call as it can sure got already to be door. and what you're going to see on the right is a read composition. i have right loop and the boarding director recon party will back to bed. like sure the right wing for because we're split like
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this. so should, is spent in 2017 between governance and, and more radical plus does a more voters, all of that would add up to a very, all right. on the right, which could gather about 3025 percent of the voters as of but he sees a bit similar to the british story party. very national that he's a very protection is and i just same died a very a style to foreigners. so that's, that's likely it will be likely to help and who received your power, monterey addiction. ok, i would show up if i should say that i'm going to just because i need to be need to get into parliamentary elections or any got a couple of minutes left. i'm sorry to interrupt jack abbey and a president with no majority has no power. we got the parliamentary elections coming up in the summit. traditionally, you know, the winning presidency,
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the majority in parliament. jake is going to be different ball game this time around. yes. oh, certainly it's melinda. and when we know that ever since they've changed the timing of the parliamentary election and put them after residential election, there's a momentum going in. however, i don't know, been winning an absolute majority just on the road. we also know how i tracked, i'm sure she would be able to attract people, you know, coming from the traditional, right? possibly even people from the last 2 or more the kind of summer, summer and it so her initial, sorry, less. but it is going to be difficult to get a majority. and obviously, depending on maturity she would be able to implement a program or not. we might even end up in a period of computation. you never know if she wins and people suddenly failed. right. well, can we better rectify this?
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we might end up with a socially left wing prime minister. so it's very much, i think you are right to the point inside the parliament. your election is the key election because a majority print is, you know, half power. when i think it's more likely for him to have a maturity, maybe not an absolute majority, but no crate. you know it kind of coalition of the willing so to speak. ok. i will constantly thought of as it goes here on out there over the next 2 weeks, very close, been dated. so we got time for jacqueline. a lot of them are game and is, but we say we do appreciate your time and your perspective on this. thanks a lot. thank you too for watching, you can see the program again any time by visiting our website out there a dot com and for further discussion, just go to our facebook page. that's facebook dot com, forward slash ha inside story. you can also join the conversational twitter handle
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is at a j inside story from main clock and the entire team here and it's a witness fears when his bravery witness reader witnessed slavery. witness people witness. how was witness and lifetime witness in our witness. man witnessed beasts, witness prejudice. witness peace, witness, love, witness. more. witness the world witness. next door. witness life. witness. error. african stories from african perspectives. machine no songs of music, no ma mancha. now when i did picture with short documentary from
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african fill me from wanda and bookkeeper, fossil superintendent to me wanted is one here. sounds of home one and the coach africa direct on al jazeera. it's rush hour at the local community center in lou batch of 15 kilometers from the border with ukraine that know, that got jack is a retired russian language teacher and is collecting goods donated by people from all over europe. thought a, we are helping people on the other side of the border. the ones who stayed behind who can plead since russia invaded ukraine. danita has been driving across the border every day. crossing the border is always tricky, but the women say that that to day they have a lucky day because the border guard is someone they know and it's going to be hopefully much easier to bring their the goods in the nota is relieved to find
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a less chaotic situation that in the past few days, people seem less exhausted. just i'm, i'm not crying. as you can see. the no does mission has been accomplish one now, but you will return with more goods. as long as russia missiles and rockets force people out of ukraine, ah, building up for a fight, russian forces prepare for a bag offensive in easton ukraine, including mary paul as sissy on the seizure for weeks. ah, hello, i'm on the inside. this is sarah, alive from day house are coming up. ah, indonesia is parliament improves a long awaited sexual violence bill that it says supports victims. i'm allan fisher
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in washington dc, the unmarked and almost untrue civil. a note by.

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