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tv   Inside Story  Al Jazeera  June 21, 2022 2:30pm-3:01pm AST

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monday, honestly, as soon as soon as his lesson will always be and the fact that she returned and i get them to be part of her journey, it's 3 unbelievable. and you know, she, she did a lot for all was ford and really respect her respect for a story or is that everything that he should have been through? i hope i can learn even like 2 percent. ah, hello. are you watching out 0? these? the stories were following this hour. russia says it will retaliate after lithuania stopped transit of some goods to kellen. in grad with a waning officials say the ban is on good sanctioned by the ear, which includes coal and some metals. dominic cane is monitoring developments from believe what you have here. now, at least the lithuanian government says this as does the e. u is that lithuania is prohibiting certain sanctioned items from being
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transported via rail, from carrying in grad, through its territory through lithuanian territory to the rest of the russian federation. the russian government, however, sees things very differently, ceaseless as an infringement of its sovereignty. hence the references from that secret russian security council member to retaliation. hence the suggestion coming from him that the lutheran lithuanian people will suffer as a consequence of this. so yes, there's definitely very serious concern not just in the baltic states, but it has to be said at a pan e u level. the biggest ral strike in britain in 3 decades is underway. tens of thousands of workers have walked out demanding better pay and job security unions have warned. the strike could lead to coordinated action across other industry. emergency work is in bangladesh and north east in india, struggling to deliver food and drinking water in several regions by things to be floods. more rain is full cost and major rivers are expected to continue rising
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french president emanuel cronies, holding a series of meetings with political opponents to try to save his reform agenda. of crohn's centrist group lost its parliamentary majority in sunday's election and failure to build enough support could lead to political paralysis. the series of meetings are expected to continue into wednesday. e and didn't elbow. and south korea's 1st domestically developed space rocket has successfully put a dummy satellite into all that. it was the 2nd attempt after a foul test fight last october. south korea has no military. busy satellite of its own and depends on the u. s. to monitor the facilities in north korea. okay. those are the headlines i'm emily angland and east continues here after inside story. ah,
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francis president self is a major setback in many all because party loses control of the national assembly of the far left and fall right. make historic gains in the legislative election. so how would he govern over the next 5 years? this is inside story. ah hello, welcome to the program. i'm adrian finnegan. francis president is facing 5 years of political turmoil following unprecedented results from the legislative election. emanuel mccord centrist coalition has lost its majority in the national assembly.
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it's the 1st time that's happened to a president's party in 20. yes. the biggest winners with the far right at the far left, less than half of eligible voters, cast a ballot in the 2nd round on sunday, the national assembly speaker lost his seats along with the ministers for health and the environment to where did the seats go? well, the national assembly chamber has 577 members. and manual mccoy needed 289 seats to keep a majority. and although the presidents, centrist ensemble coalition remains the biggest party, it secured only $245.00 seats left way alliance, the new ecological and social popular union dub. nope, united behind the left leader john luke miller, sean. it's said to be the main opposition group with $131.00 seats. and the biggest surprise, the far right leader marine la pans national rally party, scored 189 seats up from just 8. 5 years ago. the traditional right,
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the republicans saw their vote collapse to 61 seats. the remaining 51, a held by other parties will leaders of the far left on the far right say they're determined to complicate microns legislative agenda. did you know she just, jo, it's a totally unexpected situation. absolutely unheard of. the collapse of the presidential party is total and no majority is presented. we have achieved the political objectives that we had set her selves in less than a month to bring down the one who with such arrogance, had twisted the arm of the whole country who had been elected without knowing what 4. 0, supposed get to one call to the other city. i think that everyone considers that this is a victory for that assemblyman. as you now were entering the assembly with a very powerful group of and peace with the 1st opposition party ahead of left half answer means. and consequently, we're going to be able to work as an opposition group. as i had requested from the french people, we will operate with full power,
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with all the means that are granted by the constitution in opposition group, which is the 1st one in the assembly. will begin our discussion in just a moment, but 1st joan, a whole reports from paris. a dreadful election this for emmanuel mccrendon, his centrists in parliament, have lost a 100 of their seats and their absolute majority. they will now have to find new alliances in parliament, either on a case by case basis, or some sort of formal hook up there to pass any legislation at all. and the likelihood is they'll start talking immediately to the traditional, right, the republicans with whom they've worked before they have 61 seats. micron needs 44 seats to hit the majority line, no guarantee that that will be successful. and so there is at least the prospect of deadlocked government over the next 5 years with an economic crisis worsening here in france. that's the only problem they face, the centrists increasingly hemmed in now in parliament between rising forces on the
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left and the far left and the far right with marine la pens, success the success of her national rally party. and there's an additional question over participation. a majority of french voters didn't take part in this election. 3 quarters of young voters between 18 and 24, didn't take part in this election. they simply don't have faith and trust in their politicians to solve their problems. and so that possibility is that rather like the ga, ga, protest during microns 1st to that during his 2nd. again, people may choose to take their problems to the streets. i'm don't hope for inside story. ah, so let's bring it our guests from paris are joined by political analyst i made create in london is sir philip malia who is a professor of french european politics at university college, london and from santander febreeze party, a ceo of rasmussen, global a political consultancy gentlemen. welcome to inside story. let's start with you than that. i'm it. what do you make of this election results?
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was the selection, as from french newspapers of said a political earthquake? to what extent does that make up now of the national assembly make france ungovernable for the next 5 years? well as it is and vogue ungovernable for the french friends and the current friendship. micro, i believe it's a huge victory for the left east and the other small g, which is the far right 1000000 loop in the last more than $100.00 seats in the french parliament. so i believe it's a victory for the left is we've seen that the majority, you wouldn't, you know, or go on the ground to in order to persuade, to argument for the french addiction, the importance of the parliament every election. and we've seen it's a huge defeat for the french president. these also, you know, a lot of doubt of all the democracy do not forget that we have the, you know, the movement. busy which were very, you know,
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the anger against these french prisoners, which is very impossible. so i believe now the attention is to which is important that went that the lot of people, you know, forget about it. the, the potential is more than 52 percent. that the people do not vote. we've seen we are in the same scenario that in 1988 we do, the former president fossil meet their own doctor when he had to consider that he's a majority in the parliament. so he how to compose with the communist party and the son treats. so we have in the same scenario, and this is a will of course change the political in the french parliament. so i believe no, the, the huge doubts about the democracy, but also french, people are further do not believe in democracy. and i think the most challenge is to convince them that democracy is very important for our institution. ok, philip, molly, in london, professor to what extent them will the next 5 years be about tortuous negotiation,
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political compromise for both the president and his party? will they be able to find some consensus and some parliamentary stability? yes, indeed. hello, a festival? yes, michael, spotty and mike one self will have to learn to compromise something. he hasn't done much to date because falling short of 4340 proceeds in parliament is a lot and he will need absolutely to get those votes in parliament whenever his party and government wants to to pass legislation or to bleed a legislative legislation which might prove controversial with other parliamentary groups, notably with the left. and there's only one way for michael now. given that he's got a solid block to his left with nips, which has really largely increased total share of votes and seats is to turn to the
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right. and to turn to the republicans, the party of former president sock rosie. and this party, of course, could really coalesce and work alongside michael's party on a number of issues or to be economy policies. either it's the position party, i think the president of the party said it yesterday on french t v. we are in position party. so in fact, the stakes are very high because you will have to compromise, but also to give, to make some concessions with, with the right. and it remains to be seen whether the ride will want to answer in a correlation. even if it's a kind of a undock type of collision, not a formal one because of course being in a position party let the republicans will think about what comes next in 5 years time michael will have to retire as president, he confir and again, so of course this party will sort of think twice whether to commit itself to a party and a president which are increasingly popular for resources and santander than what
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concessions will or am i on the corner have to make to ensure the support of the republicans in the assembly and will that mean that his government has to shift to the right? well, i think that's for sure question. that's not necessarily what the problem for legal rights over the past 5 years. i think the main compromise you can make to was the easy parting. but then sure, you minister who's got i don't, was coming from the oh no credibility with the service you've rights to be able to reach out and work with them. but i think more globally, what is it actually, stella was because you've been growing for, for a while now, where you have to imagine a lot of french people and french voters so that they have already gone to twice in
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the 2nd round. the last part of my call by this book because basically was i don't my co or an extra like and there was a many friends or something i could finally overcome in the human actions yesterday . if i think about to go for a different candidate or they prefer also, that is not the kind of freak accidents, but actually it reflects that to be growing in french politics for the past 5 years or more just to finish. this is the result of the main main street parties, most socially spots tricky only because of the disappearing and seeking the about the central party
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and in front of that you know, to base extremes. and this is a rather unhealthy landscape or democracy where you are all to extreme the next 5 years. we tell us each and he's managed to be something that is both in just a single sent the wrong party. but some political propositions that you might check to, to friends, or just that they don't necessarily to go. and i know that extremely true, right? ok, i want to pick up on what you're saying that and put the same question to all 3 of you here. if you can give me the reasonably brief answers, i want to know whether you think to what extent president micron is to is the architect here, is on problems. we'll put that one to, to have it for us. what of course, is the author p, enter it the because of him,
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of the, you know, the far right on to meet in the french bottom. and for the 1st time he was the, the company that were part of the, a global big he was the, the low or the slumber for the close. which is a separate is, it was the company, the doctor wants to increase, you know, the age of retirement, to 60, to 65. so the, all, all these measures are very popular. that's why we have this consequences of you know, also clearly condemnation of what reforms. ok. phillip yes, i really agree with. watch all your guess. just said here. i think clearly michael came and i think that's probably something really to bear in mind when he was elected 5 years ago for the 1st time he was before a minister in a socialist led government. so he came really to the presidency with a kind of aura or pro 5 like over young organizer, but which,
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which could somehow reconcile, you know, bits of the last and bits of the right. and that's exactly how it is. so call saudi is political project. i'm neither left, we all know right when i'm in a way both of them, let's take the best of both worlds in a way. and it seems that now 5 years down the line is lost is a so called left wing i. people also came with them from the socialist party, you know, with moran p. s. or simply voters who used to vote for the central x martin social party until 2017. were quite appealed by his political project or not modernization . but now it's very clear that on economy issues, but also on law and order on cultural societal issues, it can be labeled center satellite. that's all there are no one believes in that. now it's clearly a man on the right. so put it very much to the right. all those things is a kind of central, right?
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it depends on your how you, you, on, on your take on that. but anyway, no one takes him as a so centralized leader. so that's why clearly is now in a kind of trouble and can only turn to the right to, to carry on and to try to, to, to seek a majority and, and for race. and to what extent is this for crowns across own own fault? i think to, to go into the question of whether it's his fault is not, this is the right way to put it out. we said that he has to make an advantage of what he so many before many other actors that the fall of the traditional parties, especially the social spots. you had this why he was elected as the, as this on the set, the last ticket to has a sense of if leader, even the week over on the, on the right. and, and he so that maybe before others, and he took advantage and you got elected to everybody surprise. so, but i think he was one active creator of the collapse of these center i left and took my party from however,
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he's responsibilities that the previous speaker is right that he has been using or gone off the conservative to, to hog wides. i've been on national identity no and older, which is a way has normalized yet gender carried by. don't have them on this, you know. and now they have busy, busy people are 2 by 10, the numbers of and he's sitting there, i saw minutes, you know. okay, i'm it. what does the selection mean for a jean luc manor, sean, at his block, which is, which is now the, the biggest opposition force in france. well for of course it's a tremendous victory for johnny middle shown the left is because he, you know, he realized a huge, quite leash and we do, you know, the popular the sub area and the left east and the ecologist and others political party. so i believe lowered it to of course, a tremendous victory for john mitchell. and of course, john national, we play much a role in the new coalition,
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which is called nips. but i believe what is the most important thinks is now there were people confront, has been explored because of him and when micro, he did not give any instruction in order to vote for the lift east against the, against the far right. and do not forget that when we have the presidential election em and run local way, beginning the lift is in order to gain the supervision election. and if to the he's of crazy, that is because of the left is waters that to help him to win this election. and this is, i believe it's a very important point. now we don't have this republican for front, and it's very dangerous states for this president who normalized the far right party in the french parliament, which is, i believe it's will be very dangerous for the stability or the french society. and the, the political map in the french public or what, what do you make of the success of the national riley of marina pen in this
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election, $8.00 to $89.00 seats? or what does that tell us? well, if you, if you compare we are, you're the guess just said that he was tremendous. success for the united, less news i beg to decide, bates, i would, i would say they've made considerable gains, but it's not sort of tremendous success. i think you could argue now, although she got faller seats than united let let's bear in mind the united lives is that she's full. it's not 5 parties together. so that's the put to put things in perspective. so in the end, it's not maybe not such massive gains, whereas for her, you know, she used to have 8 and peas, including yourself in the previous parliament. now she's got $89.00. and that's really an achievement. and i, so of course, very warring for all those in french society and elsewhere, think that, of course the far right and may not in time, it'll be a good idea for france, for europe and the world in general. yes. and that what, what it shows is,
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is that the fall rides, the national rally, keeps making gains for very long time. one, use the same french polities, french political, commentators used to say there's a glass ceiling for the fall, right? you know, they will be doing quite well in the presidential election because it's a nominal and action personal. the parents father and all to are well known to the public, so they will get good schools. however, they will never get elected where luke last time around. she can even closer to power and michael, the margin between michael and herself. wasn't that being any more? the same applies now with the other election legislative election where the party until now couldn't make significant gains in the 2 ballots match a retired system. now they're able to do so they able to win 89, so 89 constituencies and not simply in the traditional best use of the south east and north and north east. but now it appear in these region in i keep turn in dot,
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during, in central france, they get and p selected. so that shows it as a nationalization of the far right vote. it's a party which may not be seen anymore by some friends voters as a threat to democracy as an extreme party. and that's why i think everyone opposing the, the far right, the national right in front of the law to worry about the sub race given that glass ceiling actually was talking about appears to have been shattered. here can marina depends party any longer be described as, as, as an extreme, as the over some window shifted. here is it, is it now mainstream when i think that streaming the views and the can really clearly a busy groups into the political, the french. but of course, to worry, especially when we come after my course mandate your style just just to
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add to the previous part. i think you did the last week. courtney sher binding off, looks like the biggest winner on the side by side. this is a very fragmented group, and my critics of these are going to have quite a lot of challenge to stick together. each group will try to form their groups. and i think they already some, some tensions between companies leader. i think you look at trying to steer the french environment away from that question. so i think this is probably going to be fine with each other for that as we read the speaker is really coming from the career and force and we really
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paid for the next presidential 5 years. and i'm just going to come back to you and i'll be with you again in a moment to have it but, but with several high profile and the president's party voted out in this election, the president himself, as you said, unable to run again at the end of this, this base term, what is the future for, for on marsh or renee song. so i mean, does it have a future without mccall? well, sir, it's a very important question and very hard to tell right now what will be the future on ash, and particularly the one such and see as you just pointed out, is that michael will not run again. so will probably retire from active politics in less than 5 years. yes. time. you might argue enough time for a new young leader to merge and replace it well. there they are. you know, like the former prime minister, while felipe, which, by the way doesn't belong to all nash, it's another small particle horizon you might be, you might step in. so,
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and other people might step in. but i think it's for the time being, michael has a problem with and i to recall, nash. it's a bit of an empty shell. and that election showed again that there are no real activists on the ground there. there are no local barons the, this is what you need for a party to be successful and durable, you know, and, and b exist have a long life and he doesn't have that. and clearly, if you add to it the fact that the 3 ministers last election and michael's warm before the election, any minister losing the battle in that constituency will have to resign and leave the government say that and the speaker of the house also last is seat so you will have to route to, to go. so this is really a party where you don't even have in this current legislator, you know, heavy weights are all the few heavy weights he had. he lost them yesterday. so that's a very difficult situation. and yes,
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for the time being that the future of the life recall marsha looks quite uncertain . i mean we've, we've spent the last 20 minutes or so talking about an extraordinary election, but we have to remember ultimately, but this was on a voter turnout of, of 46 percent. how, or what does that tell us about how french voters feel about french politics? why did more than half of the countries electorate stay away? well, very good question. you asked me, does. i think it's very important today these a lot of cru, you know, crisis in france do not forget that we have deal of it movement and the russian invasion. as a result, we have the inflation and people do not see a change for themselves. so they see that the same property, they've seen the inequality, and they've seen that they're not and you know the race of the salary, the minimum wage of salary. that's why john national wants to increase the minimum
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salary 262103021051000. so $500.00 euro. so i believe people now are fed that did not believe in the democracy. the believe in protesting in the speak, asking for social reform in order to fight inequality and deformity. that's why today, the old french parliament in the relative, did not represent the entire french people. and this is, i think, is a very done her steps for the stability of the regime. the if we him, for 5th republic is losing. now he's an architecture in the our institution. ok. sorry to cut you short. i mean, we're, we're out of time for many thanks to the for being with us gentlemen. i'm a create professor ballier and for bruce, 48 and thank you to for watching. don't forget, you can see the program again at any time by going to the website at al jazeera dot com for further discussion goes well facebook page at facebook dot com forward
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slash ha inside story. and you can join the conversation on twitter handle at a j inside story. for me, adrian, for again, the whole team here and of thanks for watching. i'll see you again, bye for now. aah . against a backdrop of syrian independence comes a story of military coups regime change and insurgency al jazeera well exposed the life of id boucher shockley. achieving his ambition to be syrian president in 1953,
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but out been moved by his rivals and struck by the assassin's bullet ow shockly. serious master of cubes on al jazeera. during the colonization of africa, thousands of artifacts were removed by the major european powers thought of that. the french occupation gradually removed a lot of works. a new 3 part series tells the story of the struggle by african countries to we claim that price versus heritage. but it didn't happen overnight. we were robbed over time restitution. africa stolen out. coming soon on, al jazeera, a new generation of young people and making demands to we balance society. welcome to generation change a global series. the attempts to understand and challenge the ideas that mobilize you around the world in london to activate a tackling the root causes of youth violence. many young people perpetuated
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violence against all the young people themselves have also been victim multiple times. my generation can try me design and reshape this generation. change on al jazeera. ah, i'm only inside endo hall. here top stories on al jazeera, russia's warning lithuania of serious consequences for restricting rail transit to calendar in the ground, which is wedged between lithuania and poland. that makes it the only russian regions, surrounded by 2 nato members, restrictions a part of a range of e sanctions against moscow, or affecting the only railroad linking the territory with the rest of russia. germany, kane has more from been in what you have here. now at least the lithuanian government says this as does the you is the the way nivia.

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