tv Inside Story Al Jazeera July 9, 2022 8:30pm-9:01pm AST
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say work hard and they really have some backing. yeah, one of our guests said that having a great partner like her husband has shown where a woman can get to. so this may have been a loss for now. but on java will be back at wimbledon for sure. security has been tightened in afghanistan for each other festivities. the taliban deployed extra security checkpoints and major cities. rising inflation and economic devastation of the taliban takeover has dampened the festive mood. either ladder is also b marks in occupied east jerusalem over a 100000 worshippers gathered in the isle acts a compound for morning. prayers. is one of the biggest holidays near summit calendar. ah, this is al jazeera. these are the top stories for lancoste parliament speaker says president got to buy a roger pack sir, has agreed to resign. a wednesday earlier protested stormed his house on offices
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and colombo protested of also set the prime ministers private residence on fire or fed up with an unprecedented economic crisis. this led to shortage is some fuel medicine and food. when l fernandez has more from colombo, the reports indicate that the president go to albert roger parker has told the speaker of parliament that he will step down and resign on the 13th of this month. that's basically a few days from now 4 days. 5 from what we're hearing, i've spoken to a couple of sources around the story and they said this may be to take in the kind of transition in terms of a transfer of power to put into place. you know, what happens after his exit. but other observers also say it might be to kind of lay the groundwork to ensure that, that it's as painless and exit as possible. dozens of protests are being held
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across the u. s. by abortion rights activists. they're calling on joe biden's administration to do more to protect abortion access, and the wake of the supreme court decision to overturn the road versus versus wade ruling. on friday, the u. s. president signed an executive order protecting the right to travel outside state lines for the procedure and to access abortion medication. hillen musk has confirmed he's terminating his $44000000000.00 takeover of twitter . the test, the ceo's legal team says the company breached the deal, but twitter says it will sue masked to enforce the agreement. the least 16 pilgrims have been killed by flash floods in indian administered kashmir. dozens of others were injured when the flood waters swept through their makeshift camps high in the himalayan mountains. they were on an annual pilgrimage to a cave revered by hindus. it's been a disappointing day for 2 lizzie or the wimbledon finals. this tennis arms to burn,
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fell to clinch the grand slam. shipper was aimed to become the 1st arable african woman to win the title. she was beaten by cassock storms. alina, we back in a eda ladder is being marked in occupied east jerusalem over a 100000 worshippers gathered in the alex a compound for morning prayers. so the biggest holidays near slamming calendar. those were headlines. the news continues. loungers, era after inside story. ah, japan is going ahead with its selections on sunday despite the assassination of its
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former leader. since obey was killed on friday in the city of norah. so will this affect the outcome and what will it mean for japan on the broader region? this isn't i sort ah hello and welcome to the program. i'm getting abigail. japan's democracy will never yield to violence. those are the words of the japanese prime minister for mucous shita, as he promised to go ahead with sundays upper house elections after the assassination of the former leadership, obey the nation of a 125000000 people is in mourning, yet many candidates have continued campaigning, saying they will not allow abe's murder to get in the way of the vote. japan's governing liberal democratic party needs to cement its majority to push through a number of reform started by its late leader. during his nearly 10 years,
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an office she's obeyed, tried to revive the economy and made japan a more assertive player in the asia pacific. he was shot while speaking out of political campaign events on friday morning in the southern city of nora police are investigating. if the gunman named does 41 year old, so yeah, yeah, my gummy acted alone. ave, who is still a member of the lower house, had been campaigning in support of a, another candidate. so japan's prime minister and abby's ally says you'll continue on the policy track, set forth by his predecessor, is wanting to see what i cannot forgive this dastardly and barbaric act which took place during an election, which is the basis of democracy as be incumbent prime minister i will not give into violence and will defend democracy. i'll strive to further strength of japan us alliance, carrying on the legacy, former prime minister ave, who lifted the alliance. new heights. attacks against politicians in japan are rare,
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but they're not without precedent. and 2007, the mayor of nagasaki, each show each was shot dead by a member of the japanese criminal gang, known as the coots. 5 years earlier, a member of japan's democratic party, known for his anti corruption work, was stabbed to death outside his home. in 1960 and ultra nationalist assassin killed the head of the socialist party using a traditional japanese sword. and that same year she lobbies grandfather and then prime minister and abuse k key. she was stabbed in the sy, but survived. ah, let's not bring in our guest. joining us from tokyo as mosquito. it's rocha who is an associate professor at kale university in cambridge, tina barret, who's been associate professor at tokyo base sophia university, and also a visiting fellow at cambridge university. and then you show in the city of beth, who we have your chiro sato, who's a professor at ritz who may con asia pacific university. welcome to you all. thanks
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so much for your time with us on inside story. and i'll do 0 mosquito, which of our legacy will live on most prominently and how do you think that it could continue shaping japan time. and the other is to be remembered as a someone very dedicated to foreign security policy. so the strengthening of your job has been focused on, but at the same time, i would assume for science the arbitrator very big role in developing relationships . europe. so beyond asia, patrick region beyond in the pacific was something that he, he, he did a very good job. tina, well, what's your take on this? how, how will the, the former prime minister be remembered and, and, you know, he was known by many for his, i been nomics, which is try to get the japanese economy moving. what will be the last thing legacy of that in particular, what he tried to do for his own country's economy. and i think it's all made all next the him back to the premiership in 2012 off the he's
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a year not very successfully a prime minister 6 years before i think initially explained to them all the people that engaged the japanese population. but i think it's quite a mixed record in terms of what it actually delivered to the japanese economy. a lot of the problems that apply to the economy for decade, the wage stagnation, deflation, some of the things we still see them being prominent issues in the upcoming election. deflation has become inflation, but wage start nation and problems in the real everyday economy still exist. so i think it's a very mixed legacy that prime minister leads behind. we're going to get on to the subject of the upcoming elections at a moment. but 1st, let me bring in your chiro sato to tell us what you think the former prime ministers legacy is going to be. and my guess from tokyo mosquito was talking about the significance of all the work he did abroad. so i wonder if you can weigh in on that in particular and tell us where he really cultivated the most important
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relationships during his tenure. sure. yeah, i will as one of the rare stuff as you get to thinking prime ministers in japan and the reforms, so the japan security policy didn't start to with bear. but all those incremental progresses previously made have been package into one coherent strategic policy by prime minister. and though the hub being completed with the amendment of the constitution, if he didn't get into this tragedy, but are fortunate to be that he's project is incomplete. and the case you day is going to have to face a tough job of succeeding abyss, legacy. let's look at the upcoming elections. tina you mentioned him in just a moment ago. ave,
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of course has been out of office for 2 years. but what sort of political implications could his killing have inside the l. b p, itself, the liberal democratic party? and to what extent do you think the political landscape has changed for japan's ruling party with this assassination? in terms of the immediate impact on the election, i don't expect to be a huge impact based on the tragedy that we've just seen. i think there might be some up surgeon support for the l. d. p. the ruling policy that mr. all day with a member of based on sympathy that people have for the party and the last that, that stuff that but i think this will be more people who are planning to the l. d. p. anyway on somewhat ambivalent about whether they'd actually turn off. they might push a few more people to actually go to the polls. so you might see a bit of a search in support for the party, but they were already on track to win a majority. mississippi, there has been doing really well in the polls. and the opposition is very divided. i think about 12 parties in the opposition contesting the election. some of those
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opposition talk to that free and some of the key policies that we've been discussing in particular defense, some reform of the constitution. my actually support the l d. p, well, i'm a sticky, she does go down that route to find that he wanted the constitutional reform, but i think he should have been quite bade on how committed he is to following that element of prime minister, all base legacy. i think one thing we have to remember to the, to menu each other very well. and the key should without a pick of his successor. but in the past year from it's the key. she has been to the thing that he actually wants to collaborate with shopping of mr. bay. and i think the consequence of the tragedy will be that actually that will be easier for him to do so. we won't actually see him assessing himself me as somebody who is following up with different path on his previous after who let's put a controversial figure in japan. right. mosquito. would you agree with this
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assessment? and do you think that the l d. p could witness a boost during the upcoming election elections. thanks to some parts by what's been described as a sympathy votes. yes, stead degree a booster. now based on 60 volt, i think it is quite uncertain. no, we don't know, but saw the, the, even before the office mission of mr. albin, the, the government in the 80 peter hood and party with fit to win this election. so to me, because of the fact that the opposition parties are quite, we can divide debt and also to people who are accrued a rating. should a government has been quite high. so they did the, the way in which shared the government has been dealing with the cova crisis and, and so the, the response to the war in ukraine and those are things that said the people have been, have been there basically supportive over off. but in recent weeks are the there have been a more home crane sunday,
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dissatisfaction among the people robert rising prices, inflation. so. so the government i think is going to is going to me touch rest as he sees after i'd say, to, according to one of the latest polls that i've seen. in fact the, the, the support for the government has been dropping. it was 66 percent back in may. and right now it's at 50 percent. oh, it depends on a very so being impulsive, but the still dear by japanese standards. the, the approval rating for it for the she the government, it's still quite high. but so the recent sa decrease, i think, has to do very much a butter d, a did inflation and d rising prices and, and that's why the government been each address. it's a city right. okay. your chiro so clearly in abby was a very influential figure as had of the biggest faction in that ruling liberal democratic party. what do you think the impact of us killing will have on the party? will it create a major, a political vacuum?
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not the vacuum. the l d b will remain solid majority party. but at the same time, the inter, a part, the dynamics who are fundamentally change with been gone. now, i think the fact shown lead to resume there in fighting after this coming election and focus shita the, the margin of victory, the somewhat important in terms of whether he can continue to rain or bugs or factional need us the function lead us ready to withdraw the support when you see the popularity falls over various issue, the professor to talk, i just mentioned the called the read rising now, and you know, this could make him popular and in for
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a shawn's big program. and if the government talks about doubling the defense budget, it has been discussed within the p, then that will make the part b and pop it as well. and even able to finance those in the extra spending. some of speculating that the consumption tax might be rates again, and those would be a killer items for the case. you the government, if they have to talk about all of those things, let's just look at some of the numbers for moment 0 because she has set a goal for the coalition of the l d p. and the junior partner to retain a majority in the entire of the upper chamber and the upcoming elections. the ruling block, he says, needs 2 and 55 seats to keep control about chamber. do you think that they'll manage to do so? sure easy. and he said he does,
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number is proposed deliberately, the law for controlling the expectation and others to should he blame should 8th, should actually wins on the a simple majority sina give us a sense of what the upper chamber actually is, how important these elections are. and to what extent these elections are really seen sort of as a report card on the government's performance so far. i think maybe actions and sounds very important. if we look at the past history of japanese foreign minister, one of them including with the all by himself, when it started ministration resigned when the elections are compatible to the house. so all the way to the 2nd chamber is very important in terms of people's political perceptions of the power of the prime minister. and the 2nd chamber actually is important to the legislative process in japan. and then they have to approve bills that are all going to become law. and in the past,
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i mean to compact major difficulty politically when one chambers been controlled by one coffee, one coalition of quality i'm, the chamber has been in the control of all the parties. so it is fundamentally important to the smooth running of the government out of the ability of the government to get them registered agenda passed that the upper house. how's the majority of moving coalition? but my colleague said, i think that's not really about the tool with the selection. the question is how big is b l d p majority. ok, one of the reasons i think the former primary to all be without campaigning and nora and other places as he was trying to ensure that the ruling coalition, not sure how to says majority because that's the benchmark necessary in order to revise the japanese constitution. so if you the l d t o for members of a very much with the all they have that are fish, them are getting a big majority in the house and doing a lot of houses bank. alright. yet your, i mean, even if the l d p, when's the election?
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do you think it's going to give the, the prime minister and from what all 3 of you are saying the l d p is going to win this election, but will he have a big enough mandate to actually carry out the forms we keep talking about the issue with inflation, obviously that's one that's on voters minds did going when he had the majority and i think his signature sutton. so there the extent of when yes there that's going to matter and attend the dot, sir. that's going to affect it. did the power base of rec, she know within the party on deck and getting to south majority only by the l. d. p . on the coalition part, a new co may party is not quite easy, but sad. the in terms of thinking about a da da starting the process of amending the constitution, the people are not thinking of adding to more opposition party to reach or a supportive of the idea of changing the constitution. so the, if you put the old, these are 4 parties. the 2. 0, coalition parties under $22.00 opposition parties. and then did the people say that
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so we could to make a to such majority in both houses of the parliament. but i'm not quite sure to what extent i'm an institution. it's going to be a argent. yessir ah, following the election i'm, i'm a bit skeptical. why are you skeptical? because that was one of the goals that was pushed by the former prime minister since obey. and in fact it has been retained by cassi there himself. so do you think this and you don't think this'll be top of the agenda? yes, from from there, from the inception to l. d. p. a husband talking about changing the constitution. yes, that's very much part of the parties. dna. but so in terms of the real policy priority on death? yes. the for some politicians for aud dp geisha in dessie, sir? yes, there did priorities very high, but for, for the general public it's, it's not quite a priority kitchena. and also there in, at,
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from da da da da da programming. is that the even lindy, l. d t, there's no consensus on how to, how to move forward, what to change, what not to change, and the city still a very controversially sit mitchie tow. what about a sort of foreign policy and defense? because the l. d. p. it has been pushing for an increase in defense spending to reinforce its defense, pastor and meds. you know, some threats from, from neighboring countries. how do you see that playing out? yes, the idea of the increasing defense budget, the surprising he that said, the more and more people are the general public support that idea. so did you have been a there have been series of opinion posed about this. a large majority of the japanese, a supporter, the idea of increasing defense budget, which is quite near. so there aren't the biggest reason i think behind it is a the war in ukraine. so did you know people are more concerned about the change of
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status school by force, sir? not only in europe, but also it could happen in east asia as well. so the but i under any not context that the 80 p has been talking about said the raising defense budget, up to 2 percent of g d p. but the college level is a wrong one percent says, so do what said they're talking about is about is doubling the trends budget let it's a lot bring in your chair on that on that issue of defense spending and, and foreign policy. do you expect any change going forward or more of the same? i think the increase of the defense budget will be rather incremental. it's not going to happen over night in terms of political feasibility. where are the fiscal feasibility? the government really has to work on financing, including budget, not only for defense, but for the other projects, including the senior citizens pension on the form. and the also the coral,
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and pandemic, re dated body, a subsidy expansive. and also gives you the talks about the, the so called the new capitalism. and he wants to subsidize many stops to revitalize the japanese economy. where does the money come from without raising consumption tax? and you know, it's going to be very hard this jones to make, and in the end, most likely the government led by weakening the the ship is going to result to equally meant that is more of it isn't as far as the budget priorities are concerned. i'm glad you bring up the issue of the new capitalism because that is something that was being pushed by, by the prime minister. and he had in fact, pushed back against the abnormal policy of the former prime minister. sions ave,
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you know, this talk of a new capitalism, your chiro, how radically new a vision has been. do you think it's very difficult to see, you know, he's looking at the united states where you have all those uni kong companies and creating big new economies. and you know, she is really the passion, the emmy. right. but it's not sure whether the government subsidy is produced. dolls and you know, every time japan wants to do something, the government tries to lead the process. but the, maybe the, the fundamentally wrong starting point. if you're talking about starbucks seen, let's just talk about the turn out and what's expected for the upper house elections because turn out last time around in 2019 was about 48.8 percent,
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which was the 2nd lowest in fact and post war japan. how much appetite do you think there is for the election this time around? i think we generally turn off the upper half collections is that lower than it is lower how collections and even bay, so not trending generally downwards in, in recent years. so i would expect to put a cover around the 50 percent. maybe the tragedy this week will prompt a few more people to come out. some votes. also, i think people are very much concerned about cost of living issues, inflation, stagnant wages that we can, again, rising energy prices. these are all obviously brett and bucks of political issues. so it's possible in this sort of situation where people seem to squeeze and ceiling that needs to be renewed economic direction that might prompt more people to come to the poll. but i think we're still not expecting anything historically different
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from, from off selection. what about the younger voters? because according to reports, also turn out has been particularly low among younger voters in the recent elections, in contrast to some of the some of the elderly voters that have come out to vote. why do you think that is? yeah, i think partly it's because they go to the mission, michael, elderly says unknown to come out to a political party pitch back to the old to a more reliable. and therefore, a lot of the issues that are important to younger people are secondary when it comes to the platforms of political cartoons mean to kind of an old society as well . so older people are more numer. most of the policies are led by older companies, gentlemen. who don't necessarily present the younger people of japan like very hard for them to look at the call to themselves in their lives and their issues reflected in those do all themselves or does the leaders of the political. but
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that's not just the japanese trends. and i think the world boating is always lower among younger voters. right. but you to, i mean, if you look at the l p d, it is l d p. excuse me. it generally is viewed as a party of conservative continuum and japanese politics. so to think that the mood on the streets right now, particularly in the wake of the assassination of the former prime minister, or are people looking for for a steady hand? yes, that that's quite sure the people are sort of, they're tacitly trustor the early p policy including the economic policy. so the, despite the fact that there are more and more people are, are dissatisfied with the current economic situation. but they still expect l d p to do their good job because their, their opposition parties are not quite trust dads and divide it to week. so those who expect a more vigorous economic policy that they bought for l. d p. and that said the
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trends not, not only today but also did the situation that has been there for, for more than 10 years. i guess you're chiro where you are is isn't the same thing in battle. and cute you are people just looking for a steady hand and, and also we're coming to the end of the show. but just tell us how much influence you think our bay will continue to have on japanese politics if any, at all when good as a japan has been dependent on her budget transfer from the central government. and the local politics is designed around the subsidy from the central government, but the young people who decides to stay in their room neighborhood rather than moving forward jobs seen talk your soccer, big cities, they have to innovate and then understand that they cannot depend on the government,
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but i, you know, they have to think hard in order to, to produce create the business is seen in a rural area where population is declining, not the easy path for them, and just say yes or no, we'll abby continued to has legacy will continue to live on? yes or no. or economic odyssey? no, i don't think so. i order this, she signed the. some of the ave economic party sees being reversed. are they? yeah. gamed value in the wake of the host nation bellas. saudi surprising, thanks to all our guests for joining us on inside story. i'm a cheater to rocha, tina barrette and you're cheer rossetto. thank you for watching. you can see the program again any time by visiting our website al jazeera dot com for further discussion. you can go to our facebook page, that's facebook dot com, forward slash ha inside story. throwing the conversation on twitter or handle is adrian side story from myself and the entire team here. and they'll have thanks for
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