tv Inside Story Al Jazeera July 10, 2022 3:30am-4:00am AST
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in sac, it was now or back in a hitting the important winners a job or is rising frustration was all too obvious. we're backing our power her way through the set and took it 6 to the match was going to a decider deciding control the world number 2 was unable to feedback the initiative and are back in. i held her nerve to become the younger singles champion at wimbledon in a decade. i ran to day so much so i don't think that they need to do fitness anymore. i also want to say thank you for their royal box. i mean, i'm paying for some in the, it's an honor to me here to play in front of your thank you. so my son is just, i'm available. i transfer. thank you. i, i love this tournaments are much lender. i feel really sad, but i mean it's,
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it's still there is only one winner. i'm, i'm really happy that are, i'm trying to inspire, you know, many generation from my country. i hope this is the new school boone appear lifting the trophy in a year when organizers had band russians from playing at wimbledon in response to the countries invasion of ukraine. sun, a moose, i'll dizzier. ah, you're watching al jazeera, these are the top stories. now the speaker of sher lancoste parliament says president, got to by roger passer has agreed to resign on wednesday, an unprecedented protest demonstrated stormed and ransacked his official residence in columbus. bill fernandez, reports franklin the report indicates that the president of roger parker has
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told the speak of parliament that he will step down and resign on the 13th of this month. that's basically a few days from now, 4 days from what we're hearing. i've spoken to a couple of sources around the story and they said this may be to take in the kind of transition in terms of transfer of power to put into place. you know, what happens after his exit. but other observers also say it might be to kind of laid the groundwork to ensure that, that it's as painless and exit as possible. protest is also set the prime minister's private residence on fire with a singer is also residing. there's anger, the food and fuel shortages or poles of open elections for japan's upper house of polymer 2 days after 4 primary sections or i think was assassinated. the state of the economy rising cost of living, regional security charges and constitution reforms. just some of the issues
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dominating elections. those elections are happening at the time when the nation is in shock over the murder of former prime minister sions, or on friday, a gun, an open fire. while he was campaigning in the southern city of nora is police chief, has admitted there were problems with our base security officers are investigating whether the gunman named is 41 year old. so yeah, i'm a gummy acted alone. as are the headlines, more news here, and i'll just hear after inside story stayed with us. ah, japan is going ahead with its elections on sunday despite the assassination of his
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former leader. since ave was killed on friday in the city of norah. so will this affect the outcome and what will it mean for japan on the broader region? this is insightfully. ah hello and welcome to the program. i'm getting abigail. japan's democracy will never yield to violence. those are the words of the japanese prime minister for mucous shita, as he promised to go ahead with sundays upper house elections after the assassination of the former leadership, obey the nation of a 125000000 people is in morning. yet many candidates have continued campaigning, saying they will not allow abe's murder to get in the way of the vote. japan's governing liberal democratic party needs to cement its majority to push through a number of reform started by its late leader. during his nearly 10 years,
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an office since obeyed, tried to revive the economy and made japan a more assertive player in the asia pacific. he was shot while speaking at a political campaign event on friday morning in the southern city of nora police are investigating. if the gunman named does 41 year old, so yeah, a dummy acted alone. ave, who is still a member of the lower house, had been campaigning in support of a, another candidates. so japan's prime minister and abby's ally says you'll continue on the policy track set forth by his predecessor guy. she was a scott, i cannot forgive this dastardly and barbaric act which took place during an election, which is the basis of democracy as being company prime minister, i will not give into violence and will defend democracy. i'll strive to further strengthen the japan us lines carrying on the legacy of former prime minister who lifted the alliance. new heights. attacks against politicians in japan are rare,
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but they're not without precedent. and 2007, the mayor of nagasaki, each each was shot dead by a member of the japanese criminal gang, known as the coots. 5 years earlier, a member of japan's democratic party, known for his anti corruption work, was stabbed to death outside his home. in 1960 and ultra nationalist assassin killed the head of the socialist party using a traditional japanese sword. and that same year she lobbies grandfather and then prime minister abuse k key, she was stabbed in defy, but survived. ah, let's not bring in our guest. joining us or from tokyo as mosquito. it's rocha who is an associate professor at kale university in cambridge, tina barret, who's been associate professor at tokyo base sophia university, and also a visiting fellow at cambridge university. and then you show in the city of beth, who we have your cheery sato, who's a professor rich who may con asia pacific university. and welcome to you all.
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thanks so much for your time with us on inside story. and i'll do 0 mosquito, which of our legacy will live on most prominently and how do you think that it could continue shaping japan cummins. the other is to be remembered as a someone versus dedicated to foreign security policy. so the, the strengthening of 2 years and one since that has been focused on, but at the same time, i would assume for science the arbitrator very big role in developing relationships . europe. so beyond asia pacific region, beyond in the pacific was something that he, he, he did a very good job. tina. well, what's your take on this? how, how will the, the former prime minister be remembered and, you know, he was known by many for his, i been nomics, which is a try to get the japanese economy moving. what will be the last thing legacy of that in particular, what he tried to do for his own country's economy. and i think it's all made all
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next the him back to the premiership in 2012 off the he's a year not very successfully as prime minister as before. i think initially explained to them all the people that engaged the japanese population. but i think it's quite a mixed record in terms of what about for delivery of the japanese economy of the problems that are brought to the economy for decade. the wage stagnation deflation, some of the things that we still see them being prominent issues in the upcoming election. deflation has become inflation, but wage start nation and problems in the real everyday economy still exist. so i think it's a very mixed legacy that promised to all these behind we're going to get on to the subject of the upcoming elections at a moment. but 1st, let me bring in your chiro sato to tell us what you think the former prime ministers legacy is going to be. and my guess from tokyo mosquito was talking about the significance of all the work he did abroad. so i wonder if you can weigh in on that in particular and tell us where he really cultivated the most important
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relationships during his tenure. sure. yeah i, there was one of the rare stuff as you get to thinking prime ministers in japan and the reform. so the japan security policy didn't start to with bear, but all those incremental progresses previously made have been package into one coherent strategic policy by prime minister. and though the hub being completed with the amendment of the constitution, if he didn't get into this tragedy, but are fortunate to be that he's project is incomplete and the kids today is going to have to face a tough job of succeeding abyss, legacy. let's look at the upcoming elections. tina you mentioned names and them just a moment ago. ave,
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of course has been out of office for 2 years. but what sort of political implications could his killing have inside the l. d. p itself, the liberal democratic party. and to what extent do you think the political landscape has changed for japan's ruling party with this assassination? in terms of the immediate impact on the election, i don't expect to be a huge impact based on the tragedy that we've just seen. i think there might be some up search and support for the l. d. p. the ruling policy that mr. all day was a member of based on sympathy that people have for the party. and the last that there is something, but i think this will be more people who are planning to the l. d. p. anyway on somewhat ambivalent about whether they'd actually turn off. they might push a few more people to actually go to the polls. so it might be a bit of a search in support for the party, but they were already on track to win a majority. mr. kishi, there's been doing reasonably well in the polls, and the opposition is very divided. i think they're about 12 parties in the
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opposition contesting the election. some of those opposition talk to that free and some of the key policies that we've been discussing in particular defense, some reform at the constitution. my actually support the l d p. well, i'm a sticky. she does go down that route to define. so he wanted the constitutional reform, but i think he should have been quite bade on how committed he is to following that element of prime minister, all base legacy. i think one thing we have to remember to menu each other very well . i'm sure there was a pick of his successor, but in the past year from it's the key. she has been with us. he actually was glamour shopping of mr. bay. and i think the consequence of the tragedy will be that actually that will be easier for him to do so. we might actually see him assessing himself me as somebody who is following up with different path on his previous after he left quite a controversial figure in japan, right. mitchie. so do you agree with this assessment and do you think that the l d
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. p could witness a boost during the upcoming election elections. thanks to some parts by what's been described as a sympathy votes. yes, their degree of booster now, based on seems to won't. i think it is quite uncertain. no, we don't know, but saw the, the, even before the office mission of mr. albin, the, the government in the 80 peter hood and party with fit to win this election. so to me, because of the fact that said, the opposition parties are quite, we can to divide debts and also to people who are accrued a rating of the should a government has been quite high. so the did the, the way in which shared the government has been dealing with the coffee crisis and, and so the, the response to the war in ukraine and those are things that the people have been, have been there basically supportive over off. but in recent weeks are the there have been a more home crane sunday,
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dissatisfaction among the people robert rising crisis inflation. so city government, i think it is going to, is going to me touch rest as he sees after i'd say, to, according to one of the latest polls that i've seen. in fact the, the, a support for the government has been dropping. it was 66 percent back in may. and right now it's at 50 percent. oh, it depends on the verizon impulse, but the still dear by japanese standards, the, the approval rating for it for the should a government, it's still quite high. but so the recent sa decrease, i think, has to do very much a better idea did inflation. and the rising price is and, and that's why the government, when each address it is all right, ok, you're chiro. so clearly in abby was a very influential figure, is that the biggest faction in that ruling liberal democratic party, what do you think the impact of his killing will have on the party? will it create a major, a political vacuum?
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not the vacuum, the l d p will remain solid majority party. but at the same time, the inter, a part, the dynamics who are fundamentally change was gone. now, i think the function lead to resume there in fighting after this coming election and for consider the, the margin of victory. the somewhat important in terms of whether he can continue to rain or bugs or factional lead us the function lead us ready to withdraw the support. when you see the popularity falls over barrier issue, the professor to talk i just mentioned the called the read rising. now, and, you know, this could make him popular and in for
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a shawn's big program. and if the government talks about doubling the defense budget, it has been discussed within the p. then that will make the party and pop it as well. and even able to finance those in the extra spending, some of speculating that the consumption tax might be rates again, and those would be a killer item for the case you the government, if they have to talk about all of those things, let's just look at some of the numbers for a moment, 0 because she has set a goal for the coalition of the l d p. and the junior partner to retain a majority in the entire of the upper chamber in the upcoming elections. the ruling block, he says needs to win 55 seats to keep control about chamber. do you think that they'll manage to do so? sure, easy and dog said he. duck number is proposed deliberate to the law for controlling
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the expectation and others to should he blame should 8th, should actually wins on the a simple majority. sina give us a sense of what the upper chamber actually is, how important these elections are. and to what extent these elections are really seen sort of as a report card on the government's performance so far. i think maybe actions and sounds very important. if we look at the past history of japanese foreign ministers, one of them including with the all bay himself ministration of resigned when the elections are compatible to the house. so all the way to the 2nd chamber is very important in terms of people's political perceptions of the power of the prime minister. and the 2nd chamber actually is important to the legislative process in japan. and then it have to approve bills that are all going to become law. and in
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the past, i mean to compact major difficulty politically when one chambers been controlled by one coffee or one correlation of properties. and the other chamber has been in the control of all the policies. so it is fundamentally important to the smooth running of the government, the ability of the government to get them. i just gender past that the opera house has the majority of coalition and my colleagues that i think that's not really about the tool with the selection. the question is how big is the l d p majority. ok, one of the reasons i think the former prime is to all be without campaigning and nora and other places as he was trying to ensure that the ruling coalition, not sure how to says majority because that's the benchmark necessary in order to revise the japanese constitution so we're new, the l d t o for members of a very much the all they have that are vish them and getting a big majority in the upper half energy level house. all right? yeah, sure. i mean, even if the l d p, when's the election?
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do you think it's going to give the, the prime minister and from what all 3, if you are saying the l d p is going to win this election, but will he have a big enough mandate to actually carry out the forms? we keep talking about the issue with inflation. obviously that's one that's on voters, minds, did goblin when he had the majority, i think is so much a sutton. so there the extent of when yes there that's going to matter and attended that sir. that's going to affect it, did the power base of rec, she know within the party on deck and getting to south majority only by the l. d. p . and coalition for a new co may party is not quite easy, but sad. the in terms of thinking about a da da starting the process of amending the constitution, the people are not thinking of adding to more opposition party to rich. ah, they supportive of the idea of changing the constitution. so the, if you put the old, these are 4 parties. the 2. 0, coalition parties under $22.00 opposition parties. and then did the people say that
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so we could to make it to such majority in both houses of departments. but i'm not quite sure to what extent i'm an institution. it's going to be a argent. yessir ah, following the election i'm, i'm a bitter and skeptical. well, why are you skeptical? because that was one of the goals that was pushed by the former prime minister since obey. and in fact, that had been retained, ah, by could she that himself. so do you think this and you don't think this will become of the agenda? yes. if from, from the, from the inception to 80 peer has been talking about changing the constitution. yes, that's very much part of the parties. dna. but so in terms of the real policy priority on death. yes, there for some petitions for r d p geisha. in this is sir, yes, there did priorities very high, but for, for the general public it's, it's not quite a primary care agenda. and also there in, at, from
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d. dear du du du problem, is that the, even lindy, l. d. p. there's no consensus on how to, how to move forward, what to change, what not to change this. it's a still a very controversial ac mitchie tow. what about a sort of foreign policy and defense? because the l d p, it has been pushing for an increase in defense spending to reinforce its defense, pastor and meds. you know, some threats from, from neighboring countries. how do you see that playing out? yes, the idea, the increasing defense budget. the surprising here that said the one will keep or the general public support that idea. so did you have been a, there have been series of opinion pose about this on judge majority of the japanese . a supporter the idea of increasing defense budget, which is quite near. so there aren't the biggest reason i think behind it is a the war in ukraine. so did your people are more concerned about the change of
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state of school by force, sir? not only in europe, but also it could happen in east asia as well. so the but the under any dot context at the 80 p has been talking about the, the raising defense budget up to 2 percent of g d p. but the college level is around one percent. so. so do what said they're talking about kids about is doubling defense budget a lot. it's a lot bring in your chair on that on that issue of defense spending and, and foreign policy. do you expect any change going forward or more of the st? i think the increase of defense budget will be rather incremental. it's not going to happen over night in terms of political feasibility. where are the 5th golf feasibility? the government really has to work on financing, including budget, not only for defense, but for the other projects, including the senior citizens pension on the form. and the also the coral,
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and pandemic, re dated body, a subsidy expansive. and also gives you the talks about the, the so called the new capitalism. and he wants to subsidize many start ups to revitalize the japanese economy. where does the money come from without raising consumption tax? and you know, it's going to be very hard to make. and in the end, most likely, the government led by weakening the the ship is going to result to equally meant that is more of it isn't as far as budget priorities that i'm glad you bring up the issue of the new capitalism. because that is something that was being pushed by, by the prime minister. and he had, in fact, pushed back against the abnormal policy of the former prime minister. should be,
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you know, this talk of a new capitalism. your chiro, how radically new a vision has been. do you think it's very difficult to see. you know, he's looking at the united states where you have all the unicorn companies send creating big new economies. and you know, she is view the passion, emmy, right? but it's not sure whether the government published the produce dulls and you know, every time japan wants to do something, the government tries to lead the process. but the, maybe the, the fundamentally wrong starting point. if you're talking about starbucks. tina let's just talk about the turn out and what's expected for the upper house elections because turn out last time around in 2019 was about 48.8 percent,
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which was the 2nd lowest in fact and post war japan. how much appetite do you think there is for the election this time around? i think we generally turn up the upper half collections is bit lower than it is lower half collections and even bay. so not trending generally downwards in, in recent years. so i would expect to put a cover around the 50 percent mark. maybe the tragedy this week will prompt a few more people to come out. some votes. also, i think people are very much concerned about cost of living issues, inflation, stagnant wages that we can, again, rising energy prices. these are all obviously breton bucks of political issues. so it's possible in this sort of situation where people are feeding to squeeze and ceiling that needs to be renewed economic direction that might prompt more people to come to the poll. but i think we're still not expecting anything
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historically different from, from off selection. what about the younger voters? because according to reports, also turn out has been particularly low among younger voters in the recent elections, in contrast to some of the some of the elderly voters that have come out to vote. why do you think that is? yeah, i think partly it's because they believe this is michael, elderly says unknown to come out to the political proxies, pitch the school, the old to a more reliable. and therefore, a lot of the issues that are important to younger people are the secondary when it comes to the platform of political call to me just kind of an old society as well. so older people are more numer. most of the policies are led by older companies, gentlemen who don't necessarily ret present the younger people of japan. it's very hard for them to look at the call to see themselves in their lives and their issues reflected in those do all themselves or does that lead to the political. but that's
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not just the japanese trends. americans across the world voting is always lower among younger both. right? but you to, i mean, if you look at the l p d, it is l d p, excuse me, it generally is viewed as a party of conservative continue ity and japanese politics. so do you think that's the mood on the streets right now, particularly in the wake of the assassination of the former prime minister, or are people looking for for a steady hand? yes, that that's quite sure the people are sort of, they're tacitly trustor the early policies including the economic policy. so there, despite the fact that there are more and more people are, are dissatisfied with the current economic situation. but they still expect l d p to do that good job because their, their opposition parties are not quite trust dads and divide it too weak. so those who expected more vigorously economic policy that they bought for l. d p. and that
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said the trends not, not only today but also did the situation that has been there for, for more than 10 years. i guess you're chiro where you are is isn't the same thing in battle. and cute you are people just looking for a steady hand and, and also we're coming to the end of the show. but just tell us how much influence you think. and our bay will continue to have on japanese politics if any at all when good as a bare husband, dependent on her budget, transferred from the center of government. and the local politics is designed around the subsidy from the central government. but the young people who decides to stay in their rural neighborhood rather than moving forward jobs seen talk your soccer, big cities, they have to innovate and then understand that they cannot depend on the government
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. but the, you know, they have to think hard in order to, to produce create the business is seen in a rural area where population is declining, right? not the easy path for them and just say yes or no, we'll abby continued to that has legacy will continue to live on yes or no oregon on the policy? no, i don't think so. i order the she signed the some of the economic policies being reversed, all right, they yan gamed value in the way over the whole nation. that was really surprising. thanks to all i guess for joining us on inside story mosquito, it's rocha tina breath. and your cheery sato. thank you for watching. you can see the program again any time by visiting our website al jazeera dot com for further discussion. you can go to our facebook page, not facebook dot com, forward slash ha inside story, join the conversation on twitter handle is a insight story from myself and the entire team here. and thanks for watching bye
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