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tv   Counting the Cost  Al Jazeera  July 25, 2022 7:30pm-8:01pm AST

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you know, because as jose bard and as a cooler says, there really is no place like home chilling woof al jazeera. now the animals are to zoom in china is going that you city are playing it cool with the heat wave sweeping across the region. giant panders have been given blocks of ice to play with. and zoom keepers have also installed fans around trees to combat the heat or so carlos bears hippos and tapers are being fed watermelon. to keep them, i dropped it off. some spectacular pictures coming out of australia. this is sydney, shrouded in early morning fog, while somewhere able to enjoy the few others face travel delays at the cities airport. it eventually cleared by mid morning. ah,
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this is al jazeera and these on the top stories now. folk frances is set to apologize in person. the role the roman catholic church played in running residential schools for indigenous children in canada. these are life pictures from there. thousands of indigenous people have converged on the former site of one of those schools in alberta province to hear the long awaited apology. over 150000 indigenous children were forcibly removed from their families and sent to the schools where many faced years of abuse mammals that military gen to has executed for pro democracy activists. what's believe to be the 1st use of capital punishment in decades? un special repertoire has called it a depraved act. thousands of people have been killed many thousands had an arbitrarily chain one more than 140 or on death row. we know that $61.00 children
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are being held hostage by the regime so that their parents, family members will come out of hiding. 142 children have been tortured by the regime. so this is a horrific ho refix situation. that just adds even more fuel to the anger, felt by the people of me and more. ukraine says it's aiming to send this 1st shipment of grain this week, 100 un broker deal with russia. announcement is revising hopes of easing global food shortages caused by the conflict agreement has been thrown into doubt since a missile strike by russian forces on the port desa on saturday. moscow says the deal to resume shipments from black. c port still stands. 4 minutes to sort of a lover of who's on an african or says there are no barriers to green exports. but he says, there's nothing in the agreement that prevents russia from attacking military infrastructure is ins or voting on whether to adopt to draft constitution,
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which opponents according a power grab by present case i eat, he says the changes are necessary to rain in the corrupt political elite protest is the democratic republic of congo have attacked the headquarters of the un mission. happened in goma capital of north kiva. province. demonstrate to this one mission, to leave the country, saying it's fail to protect the population. there's all the headlines. news continues here and i'll just say that's after counting the cost. news. news. news. news, news
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. hi there and keep it out. this is counting the cost on al jazeera. you'll look at the world of business and economics this week. record breaking temperatures and ferocious wildfires. scientists, one, europe is becoming a he twice helped fos folk. how can the continent adapt extreme weather conditions want cars also this week the world need to burn less fuel to slow climate change. pos are developing nations, getting the funds they need to switch to renewable energy and back to the skies as the travel industry recover. some of the pandemic losses we look at the demand will be all via substantial aircraft at the u. k fund and show the research as estimate hey, twice have shaved an average. there are point 5 percent off. europe's annual g. d p
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. in the past 10 years in 2022. the losses could be even greater to this. just a few of the factors, much of western europe is sweltering under record breaking temperatures. wildfires a sweeping across easily, greece, france, and spain destroying crops and to energy prices are up because of the war and ukraine. famous robbie has this report form to donna in northern spain. when the inferno came, farmers in some ora became firefighters. i wouldn't have it. oh, my god, he says, i'm all alone. in remote areas like this, there is no time to wait for a rescue crew. you have to save yourself, the wind whips up the flames in every direction. it is easy to find yourself surrounded. i came out of nowhere.
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oh, my go go go. days later, manuel hills charged soil putting out any remaining embers immersed in you though i knew that we had help, but from other farmers in the area we thought as the local government didn't help us are told that it is, it's very nice to come after the fire and say we will pay for all of this, but the time to help us is when the fire is here in the blaze burned crops destroyed infrastructure and left behind. economic uncertainty. fires in this part of the country may be under control for now, but there is still smoke hanging in the air. you can see it obscuring the landscape . you can even smell it for the people living here. and for those fire rescue teams that are based here in tomorrow, these are ever present reminders of the wild fire season is far from over. oh, ish your, my, my well, for 3 generations yolanda my. oh,
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julians family has lived and worked on this land. mom. she watched their barn go up in flames in minutes, taking stock. she says they don't know how they will be able to recover. and ya know, gary, i was done on bonham. i've never seen anything like this before. the fire came very quickly with a lot of wind. it was just relentless. we could do absolutely nothing. it's still going. it still has a lot of power. there used to be hundreds of animals here, most were moved, but yolanda family could not save the hay. the livestock eats even before the wild fires changed this landscape, life here was hard. families struggling just to make a living are now scrambling to keep their future from turning to ash. zane basra, the old 0, tamara, spain, or lead, dig into the numbers now. extreme weather conditions have cost year at more than
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half a trillion dollars in the past 4 decades. germany alone has lost at least $7000000000.00 on average, annually, and damage over the past 2 decades. basically, estimate each fire costs around $25000.00 an acre. over a period of 15 years. the government now warns a 3rd of the countries agricultural output is at risk. and france has hydropower output has dropped by 22 percent the 1st half of the year from 2021. well, it's exempted that heat waves of worse than because of climate change in scientists of urged governments to take action. europe unveiled the plan last year to address global warming and cut emissions by 55 percent by 2030. but despite the pledge to reduce reliance on for fuels, many european nations and now burning more coal after rush and gas supplies were reduced. to discuss all of their fun join now by $27.00 sky who is running out from london. she is the managing director of climate and sustainability at marsh
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mcclendon. and she's also a member of the independent adaptation committee that advises the u. k. government on climate risk, thank you very much for joining us on counting. the costs will be talking a lot about food insecurity given the war in ukraine, but what impact is the heat wave is droughts going to have on the continents and the food insecurity going forward? well, then, already on the stress then tween you, how valuable supply and distribution chains are to conflict political unrest and also to extreme weather. so you can say that it couldn't come to work time. a big factor in this is water. and it's, it's worth what to note that according to the world house organization, by as soon as 2025 half of the world's population will be living in areas impacted by water scarcity. so drugs already having a big impact on community, on ac culture, energy, and infrastructure,
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and the economic damages are increasing and weeks. we expect this trend to continue . i think it's really important to understand that why, while this will have an impact on food prices, food security in europe is still relatively bay. but we need to also look in, in a global picture and look at, you know, the implications that these events have around the world. and this, this gesture of how interconnected, while the drought, the current, the same time actually across different regions of the planet could actually place an unprecedented strain on our system. how is the current heat wave effecting energy prices and how might that impact transition to renewable energy? while again, the timing is, is really bad because our energy system is already under a lot of stress than the current heat west piles. additional challenges on those who are working on so hard to make that transition to renewable entity. so we'd be
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in strain on transmission systems, reduction, competitive nuclear hydro, such as an energy demand for cooling and pushing up prices. so it, it comes at a bad time. but at the same time, how chronometer, well committed to the transition, and we're also seeing progress. for example, renewable energy accounted for more than 80 percent of the was new electricity capacity and last year. so it's really important that these rates of renewable investment continue to increase, but it is a challenge, and we, we call this the, the tri, lemme energy. so what we need to do is he energy security and an affordable and sustainable way. and it is particular challenging right now, and it brings difficult choices, but it's, it's not taking these measures. it's not really an option because the cost of an action will be significantly, as you're saying, this is all
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a reminder about how into connected everything is, is this also a reminder of the importance of adaptation and preparedness? and, and can you repeat countries afford to do that right now, given the, the risk of, of recession, reboot again, another case and then pre patton is, should really be seen as an investment and not as a cost because this is what will keep us going. this will help to keep those future damages and losses at a manageable level, and that's why it's important to also take action now. so ada taishan means can make many things. and the good news is that the, the technologies and strategy that we can do to ensure that these impact become more manageable. what we need to do particular during the challenging time where actually, you know, additional investment or so, so hard to justify. we need to have a positive message thing that investing in nature in climate change out of taishan
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is, is a contribution to, to make our communities and our economy viable. absolutely and investment that our survival kind of depends on, hey, thank you very much for your time. spend yet 7 sky, appreciate it. ah, researches estimate an investment of $800000000.00 in climate programs can save poor nations up to $16000000000.00 every year. and according to the global commission on adaptation, rich nations have pledged billions of dollars in climate assistance to developing countries. many of failed to follow through on their promises. the issue is expected to top the agenda, the climate summit in november. and you and 60 general anthony tennis has urged, wealthy nations to deliver the much needed funds. that's gets tedious about the finance that the developing countries needs. as a minimum stopped paying lip service to the $100000000.00 us dollars a year. pledge give clarity,
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so deadlines and timelines and get concrete on its delivery. and that's ensure that those, when it's funding most can access it. rich nations have also pledged $10000000000.00 to the green climate fund, the world's largest project of its kind. and it's played a crucial role in delivering finance to developing countries. $3000000000.00 for allocated by the u. s. but the country has only contributed on the a 3rd of that. so far. learning us now from munich is dr. miranda shaw is chair of environmental ant pilot policy at the technical university of munich. thank you very much for your time. so extreme where the conditions are, are not just in europe. what's the cost then for developing nations? the costs for developing nations are of course, huge in part because developing nations don't have always the same capacity to deal with the droughts in the very heavy rainstorms of floods. the extreme temperatures that, that were increasingly seen as
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a result of climate change. costs range from last infrastructure to people's health . and of course the tragic deaths that are also increasingly happening because of climate extremes. and what are some of a low cost solutions to try and fight global warming and, and to, you know, see less of these extreme weather events. let's think actually we're at a point where everything we do matters. it really makes a difference whether or not people avoid using their car and instead walk or take a bicycle or use public transportation. i'm planting a tree can help reducing the amount of energy use at home taking and things that are in standby mode is plugging them, taking them out of the plug that can also make a difference. taking a short a shower can make a difference. i'm. we're actually seeing in germany right now because of the war in the ukraine. a big push to save on energy, and it's remarkable how much energy saving has been achieved just in
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a couple of months. if we were to do this at a global level, it could really make an impact on what about financing and helping poor nations to make the transition to renewable energy and rich nations have fallen well short of the $100000000000.00 plates that was made. do you expect to see any progress at the next climate summit? i hope so. am and 2009. we were getting about $80000000000.00 of that $100000000000.00 per year, but it's still far too little. even the $100000000.00 a year is not enough to deal with a huge impacts of climate change. i do expect that in egypt, partly because the next car will be in egypt to stronger focus on the developing countries and their needs. and that's very welcome. i think there's a lot of things that can be done. also, linking climate mitigation and climate adaptation and renewable energy will be a big,
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big help in this area. but we do need the financing to help developing countries shift away from developing coal or oil or gas, and instead developing renewables, moving forward on energy efficiency. replanting forests that have been deforested and we really need to be working together. speaking of our finance europe is among the biggest contributors to climate finance for developing nations kind of follow through though amid all of the economics of uncertainty that there is right now. that's a, that's a big an important question. i expect that with the costs of cov id. oh and then we've had the war and energy prices are increasing, budgets will get tighter in europe. there's no doubt about it. but at the same time, renewable energy is getting much, much cheaper than it used to be. we're also seeing that taking action now reduces costs later. so, um, i do hope that europe will continue to be
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a big finance sir. and we'll also focus attention on, for example, you speak of financing, we need to shift the banks away from financing projects that are coal or gas intensive. and instead, focus on those kinds of investments that will still bring us the energy we need and still bring us the comfort we want. but do it in a cleaner way. what about the role of the us? i mean, it's failed to mate. it's green climates obligations. climate measures are stalling, and congress and president biden has just announced a multi $1000000000.00 banter plan rather to try and fight climate change. but it warn't declare it an emergency. so what do you make of of the role of the u. s. right now in the u. s. is definitely a divided country at the moment, and unfortunately we don't seem to have the willingness in the united states to work across party lines on what is i'm from my perspective of the world's biggest
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problem right now. climate change is impacting absolutely everything. my hope is that in the united states, people are starting to wake up. i think you are seen in that country more interest in or concern about climate change. but we also need to continue to work with or without the united states on unmaking transitions. what is hopeful is that we're seeing this big push for offshore wind right now, also in the united states. and that's partly because this is becoming one of the cheapest technologies around. so one hope is that economics will help to make some of this transition a little bit easier. um, but it is a big concern on the united states is still responsible for 14 percent of global c o 2 emissions and without the united states, as a big player and a big fine answer, it will be worrisome or i will have to leave it there for time, thank you very much for your time dr. miranda shares. thank you. planes were
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grounded for months during the pandemic, but ad travel is staring the industries recovery with an increase in demand for new aircraft. despite the encouraging signs, aviation groups are worried that cheap political tensions rising inflation and a shortage of commodities could drag down the market. american plane make a boeing forecast, slow a growth the deliveries in the long term. the company trimmed protected demand for airplanes over the next 20 years to more than 41000 new airplanes. that excludes estimates from the russian markets because of the war in ukraine. the airplane make a forecast, the market value of more than 7 trillion dollars. the new airplane deliveries with the global fleet increasing by 80 percent through 2041 compared to 2019 asian markets account for roughly 40 percent of long term global demand for new airplanes . while europe and north america each account for just over 20 percent of the
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deliveries. boeing also trimmed it's forecast for annual passenger traffic growth to 3.8 percent down from 4 percent. well, ation recovery heated up at the world's 2nd biggest air show at farm. but in the u . k, the industry has been under pressure to cuts. greenhouse gas emissions and aerospace manufacturers decided to focus on the future of clean flying at the bi annual exhibition or challenge reports. the gulf between vision and reality rarely yawns as wide as at trade shows at farm bureau and travel is green, high tech hassle, free. in the real world, q stretch baggage piles up and pilot strike. go did the speed and see the engineer for sustainable future. but if we to glimpse how we might fly to morrow, it is it fond bra. supersonic wants to bring back supersonic and travel to decades . after concord was grounded,
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we deeply believe in the future where more people can go more places more often. we believe that speed enables that future and therefore it's not good enough just to make a little bit of progress on efficiency. we need to make a big leap forward and completely remove sustainability as a reason not to travel. and hybrid vehicles is making the air land as part and ship power plane part helicopter. it's low and since won't need a runway and would carry passengers or freight the landscape developing harrison air with her developments towards implementation of sustainable aviation ongoing efficiency improvements that we get for jet aircraft and to move to hydrogen, which is only part of our story here our plan here to bring hydrogen powered aviation into making makes and we need all of it. we need all that. we need more. the u. k. government has just launched jet 0, requiring domestic aviation and airports to reach net 0 carbon emissions by 2040.
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other governments are moving to cove. it was an earthquake for the aviation industry with air travel over shutting down the current stock shortages and disruption showed that off. the shocks is still reverberating and making city when to 2023. according to where bosses add in the need to minimize how polluting aviation is and these are turbulent times for the industry for talent out 0. the farm ration. joining us from london is rob morris, global headed consultancy at ascend by syrian a consultancy service that delivers data on aviation and air travel, just the man we need on the show. thanks very much. joining us, rob. so boeing has struck an, an upbeat tone on aircraft am on despite of altering global economy. i want to take on the rise in demand for aircraft. yeah, i think come, we need to differentiate short term versus long term. such a boeing released its commercial market outlook last week, which covers
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a forecast of an excess of 40000 new aircraft deliveries over the next 20 years. that's the long term. but of course at the present time, the industry is still recovering from the impact of cov, it on demand. and in some regions, infection all regions where either close to 29 chain in demand terms or so some way off. so, but that means there is an increase in demand i've, where we were 12 years ago. and in that context, we see allies needing more new aircraft, either to replace aircraft. they've withdrawn from service because they're, they're sufficient or to facilitate the increase in services as growth returns. again, as i say, that's the short term. in a long term, we have a focus at a send by serial, which is very similar to took borrowings for coastal air buses own global market forecast. and we're all forecasting requirements for around $40000.00 new commercial passenger jets and freighters to be delivered over the next 20 years. at
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one final point to make a farmer this week, we've seen some aircraft orders, but fewer aircraft orders than we would have seen at previous trade shows around 250 firm orders between air buses. boeing. but that's because right now, air buses sitting on a backlog for new aircraft, of nearly 7000 aircraft units. and boeing nearly 5000 units are between them for not 40000 demand. we've already got around $12000.00 new aircraft, committed and on thermal at to day, and boeing's estimate, which, which we've been talking about, excludes russian playing. how much do you think that war in ukraine is affecting the market? russia was a, russia, ukraine were relatively small part of the market overall in passenger traffic terms . we measure passenger traffic in terms of, of the distance people traveling column revenue, passenger kilometers. and that was around 4 percent of the global market. so. so in a rural terms, russia was around 4 percent, and if you look to look at boeing's forecast, i think they talked about their being 1540 across from their 40000. so even fewer
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of those when you crossed up. but, but an interesting point, this is a long term forecast in 20 years. that market for 1540 aircraft will exist and somebody will be able to access it, whether it be just russian manufacturers or whether in the long term things change and other people can supply again, we don't know because we think back 20 years market is very different so. so russia about 4 percent in the market, we're seeing a limited impact on traffic in demand in, in europe to day one. find a point. no, russia was a market where less or is that such that people come companies who purchase that croft and then lend them for, for a rent to airlines. russia was a big market. price less was getting on for 10 percent of the overall market. so the loss of that market changes the way that industry can operate going forward because they've lost a bigger chunk of their demand. sure. what has the impact vain if any or from
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supply chain disruptions deliveries and sort of access to spare parts? so, so at the present time, if you talk to any airlines or other customers, they will typically tell you that the manufacturers are 34 months or more light, but deliveries. clearly, supply chain disruption both in the context of access to materials, access to people, and the just sticks for delivery to the, to the ems, the manufacturers, final assembly lines. it disrupted the industry as a whole is facing many challenges. i mean, we're seeing, you know, k off the airport labor shortages, luggage not being able to be found or unloaded high ticket prices. do you think any of this is going to affect the rebound in travel and how can the industry, how soon can the industry make up for the pandemic losses? yeah, i think there is a potential for a lot of this to impact the pace is the recovery. so if we look at our own
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projection models, we had, you know, global recovery to 2019 levels occurring by about august of next year. but as we look at 1st of all, the chaos itself being fermented by the lack of human capital, the fact that many people left the industry and hadn't returned, that's causing significant disruption. then we look at the economic outlet with high inflation, driving increasing fuel price for airlines driving potentially increase maintenance costs. the airlines driving the cost of that they actually pay to own the or least aircraft up driving their stuff to say pay rises. that's gonna create higher higher costs. the airlines which effectively will get passed through to us to passengers in high ticket prices. and we know that when we see high ticket prices that potentially dampens demand. then we also have slow economic growth potentially. if we look at g d p forecast moving forward, we see many people projecting slowdowns control or maybe even contractions of
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economy recessions in the 4th quarter 1st quarter, next year. so the economic growth could also dump and demand. so that means the, the rebound, the recovery outlet becomes more uncertain. all right, we'll leave it there. thank you very much for your time, rob maurice. thank you. and that is our. so for this, we get in touch with us, my tweet me at can vanelle, and these the hash tag a j see to see when you do or you can drop us an e mail company to call set out their dot net is our more for you online at al serra dot com slash ppc, that will take you straight to our page, which has individual report links and, and tie up so on. and that's the 1st edition of counting the cost. i'm can vanelle from the whole thing here. and so, thanks for joining us. the news on al jazeera is next ah, ah,
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around 10 women are being murdered in mexico every day, almost always by men, an epidemic of gender based violence that threatens to spiral out of control. now specialists police squads run by women a trying to reverse the trend and bring the perpetrators to justice. but can they overcome years of much or culture and indifference? behind the scenes with the fem aside detected on an jessina. under cover reporting, i was working with exclusive stories, explosive results, al jazeera investigations.

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