tv Inside Story Al Jazeera August 19, 2022 8:30pm-9:01pm AST
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he brain high risk groups should done update promptly, but i would encourage me to do that anyway. it's just a practice because it's cross platform phase or is your, your i phone your i pad your mac. if you are to a malicious website or somebody sends you a link to a malicious website, this appears to be at least from my reading of it and attack it could potentially take care of your device effective. we could have potentially install their own software on your advice. and from there they can do largely, whatever they want, such as get your contact information, potentially puppy or re bales, all that kind of thing. get all the kind of sensitive information that would be useful to an attacker. it's quite likely and again, i'm speculate, but it's quite likely that these floors have been used relatively sparingly and they're probably nation states. now. it could be nation states out will thing they do to companies like vanessa group who have a reputation to talk to mobile devices. and now there are other companies in that space as well. but as that, as a black market gray market, perhaps for this kind of from debility was probably scott to think would probably
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such quite a lot of money. so i would imagine it would be limited to very well resource groups at least desperate like that, whoever that monday. ah, this is out there and these are the top stories now. a says longest river is shrinking in the face of a record breaking heat wave. the young season, now it just over half its normal width was that supply hydro power running? no. forcing some factories to shut down for days un chief until the terrorist as called for the russian held nuclear power plant in southern ukraine to be demilitarized. it says the facility belongs to ukraine, but moscow says the proposal is unacceptable. what is true is that if you did it arrives as we propose the plant, the problem will be solved. and obviously, the electricity from south florida is ukrainian electricity. and it's necessary,
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especially during the winter ford of ukrainian people, and these people must be fully respected. but when explosions in the somali capital mogadishu witnesses say there were 3 blast as an intersection. the city center short time later, attackers stormed a hotel in the same area. there's no word yet on casualties. an air strike has hit a market in the northern syrian city of alba, killing, at least 15 people. the error is under the control of turkey backed opposition fighters. syrian government forces have been accused of carrying out friday attack in retaliation for a recent rate. australia as a prime minister says he's upset about indonesia decision to cut the prison sentence of the bomb maker in the 2002 body attack. my protect could be released on parole. ahead of the 20th anniversary of the bombings not tobar. 202 people were killed in the attack. 88 were australian. apple has sent out an emergency
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software update for its devices. after discovery of a major security flaw, the tech giant says the floor could allow hackers to seize full control of phones, tablets, and computers. those are the headlines. news continues herron al jazeera. that's after inside story. ah. the wine is running dry. dropping water levels in germany's crucial river are threatening its shipping industry. so what will that mean for europe's largest economy? it's been struggling in recent months. this is inside store. ah
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. hello and welcome to the program. i'm how much am john? many countries are in the grips of intense summer heat waves that are causing some of the world's crucial rivers to dry up in parts of europe, waterways have dropped to near record levels, halting marine traffic and disrupting factories and industries. now germany is facing a crisis. as the ryan river, it's most important. shipping route becomes difficult for ships to navigate. that's not only affecting freight supplies and costs, but the energy sector to the disruption presents another challenge for europe's largest economy at a time of high inflation, global supply chain problems, and a natural gas crisis. economists are now warning this will have an effect on the regions economic growth will bring in our guests in a moment. first algebra is dominic kane has more from cologne. it could almost be
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a picture postcard of the rhine goods barges chug up and down the river, while children explore the pebbles on the bank. and yet a closer look shows something else. for in most summers, much of this area would be submerged. but months of high temperatures and little or no rainfall have changed things, or we see right now with the low water levels in rivers is the new normal or it's even worse of the new normal will be even more extreme. we have seen a global temperature increase of 1.2 degrees on global average right now seen from overhead. the situation is clear, this satellite image of nearby dusseldorf shows the river. now, this one, how it was in the same place, 12 months ago, if the science of what's happening is clear, the practical application of it is causing problems for many different companies,
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the shipping ones, in particular, because they look at the rhine as it is now and have real concerns about how deep it is and how easily they can navigators. and crucially how much each of their vessels can carry. for one or 3rd, one ships bringing salt here from high up on usually carry almost 2200 tons. now they're arriving with $600.00 tons and that shows the less water, the less cargo on the ships. and in this year of war in ukraine, there is another drawback with russian coal now embargoed across the e. u. many companies have paid to ship a non russian alternative via the rhine instead. but as the demand has risen, so the water levels to allow it to be delivered have dwindled. right now, most shipping companies are concentrating on the near future with autumn just weeks away. they expect its cooler, wetter weather to replenish the fine. but some scientists say that too could bring
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danger if it starts to rain on touchstone, dr. saws, the water can not infiltrate into the soil and we diety gets off his run off into the water. it runs out of the system of catchment and produces such restaurants as we know from, from california. for example, the rhine has run dryer in summer before, but not often. it will have to rain a lot to return the river to it's more normal, state dominant cane al jazeera cologne. all right, let's take a closer look at the river rhyme. it's one of the most important european rivers flowing through 6 countries, including switzerland, germany, and france. about $300000000.00 tons of goods and products move through it each year. the ryan is germany's most important shipping route accounting for 80 percent of its water freight. but visual, se, barges are now carrying only one quarter to half of their usual capacity. and
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economists say the disruption could slow europe's largest economy. all right, let's go ahead and bring in our guests in berlin, o rick bruckner, professor of political science at stanford university in berlin. in the hungarian city of vesper, m. nick sitter, professor of public policy at central european university and b. i norwegian, business school. and in cologne, who bear to spart, managing director and head of research at the german economic institute. a warm welcome to you all. and thanks so much for joining us on inside story today. all right, let me start with you. if the rhine becomes too difficult to navigate, how big of an impact is that end up having in germany both politically and economically? what we are doing now is delayed to no one will have an answer. the
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one thing is, you don't know what the weather will be, and the other thing is we never know what social development we're up to. it can be very calm when people understand those criticize the government are a clear minority and on support of the government. at least the crucial factor. what we can expect from the government is you can also expect that large corporations will understand how serious the situation is. but when i don't know what we can do from climate change, that's on the difference between whether the climate change and we never know. ready what is the turning point is social development in which people get upset with the government called germany who batches, let me ask you,
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how much will shipping disruptions impact germany's economy things but what is happening at the run right now is the major problem with your answer moment moms, her capacity is on the right limits and it's the flux must be slow on here. so totally still the same is through our capacities with my daughter in my reset, my address. we have had that you for your, for 4 years before the couple of weeks are fine, companies can give this more along with some developments. but what's crucial right now is that we need more code because we need additional code to replace russian gas. we don't have a capacity in the train industry for example, we don't,
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we don't have to carry it up right away. so we need to come to read it. nick, you heard to hubert, is there just talk about the issue of coal and how the flow of coal right now is in jeopardy? as i understand it, you know, that means that there could be shortages that coal fired power plants in the next couple of months. what kind of impact would a coal shortage have now for germany, especially as germany is attempting to lessen its dependence on russian gas? i think what we're going to see here is that what we thought are asked processing energy as your environment less you really has a broader strategic issue. so i think despite all the uncertainty a coal shortage, what will clearly have an effect on energy prices, not just in germany, but in all of europe. and if there's a shortage of energy and what we're really looking at is possibility of rationing. and we're certainly looking at the possibility of
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a decline of german economy have an enormous effect on all the central european countries. well, what i would add to what we've heard is that the danger of what you might call a political effect of populace protest on the left and the right against politically higher energy prices, which made to stabilize governments. which in a very, very good example of that and it lead. oh rick, you heard doug huberts is there talked about the fact that what's happening with the rhine right now has happened before the last time was as he said in 2018. and, you know, german industry lost billions of dollars, then as, as a result, is the government going to have to come up with some kind of a plan to better deal with this going forward? can they but it is not just one factor, then we have to focus on this and we move out of the pendency or stabilize the
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situation over the beginning of the war until today. they have so many factors that affected channel. we expect that if we have the shortage and cross and then it turns out that they don't have enough water will them out and they needed support from other countries we needed in europe, new solutions, or how do we practically enforce solid in case one of your members is getting in trouble, but this is just a framework and we don't know yet what the. ready point is having problems based on what kind of shortage is such a sensitive, unstable librium at the moment. and it's too early to be the ryan, whether it be and other towards can even hours to pack on one of the gas torches. and that's will have a major effect on price is not only really on gas, nick,
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i want to take a step back for a moment and look it up a wider issue here. one of the reasons that people are so concerned about all this right now is because of russia cutting energy supplies to the europe in union. from your perspective is the you coming up with an effective strategy for gradually reducing its dependency on russian gas? oh yeah, i think it very much is, i mean, already the spring march night, we saw the beginnings of an outline of a plan which involves replacing some rushes pipeline gas with gas from other countries through pipeline. that means norway, that means as of john, the africa, a 2nd element of it is replacing pipeline gas with liquefied natural gas shipping by boat. and a 3rd element is more use of other energy sources that's called me plants will turn into energy. and a 4th of course, is energy savings, which was the number of european countries put into practice already with
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guidelines about how far you can pull up the buildings midsummer and heat them in the winter. so think there's already a plan coming together here where i think the tension is going to be is 2 things. one is the cost. how do we just be the cost a higher energy and quickly, how are you push it on? because onto the consumer, entropy countries come up to different model. and the 2nd is dsl, solar dirty work. for example, countries like spain are asking why they should contribute in solidarity to what is in there is a consequence. germans relying on cheap russian gas, which had a security problem element, which wasn't recognized until now. who bears is it look to me like you were nodding along to some of what nick was saying there? did you want to jump in? but i think it said a big project for europe and germany is definitely to review its consumption from russia. we got about code from russell and i
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bet had already been getting a real limiting to 0 going on in the gap in pod means that we need to be different because what you think is not the amount of and the result is out of the propensity and then one of the, one of the bottlenecks we examined cross capacity on the, on, on the railway problem in the moment of the difficult to difficult. but at that moment, the fact that we can use the router about one foot compressor can make that for her
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neck hurts from other companies. and these can definitely run hubert is when it comes to this bottleneck. when it comes to talking again about the rhine river, i mean from your perspective, are there concrete measures that could be taken to ensure that the ryan can still be used by ships even during times of droughts? let's say this. no. so or you can do, but we are discussing about the name of the rhine river, at least in part of the raw drivers are going and then to long term project. but this is cost. now the government wants to start the project. you ready own it? so instead of just, but when you're talking about climate change and about a less rain in some more series of water and blow levers more to the river, that's one of the a presence that mattress
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is to go. oh rick, i, i know you talked earlier about how difficult it is to predict what's going to happen going forward. i mean, there is no crystal ball. you can gaze in to, to see what is going to happen. but, but let me ask you about the mood of the german people right now. are they largely supportive of the government's policies thus far or, or is, you know, real concerned growing? well, our government just came our year ago has very, very a change. and the change was about lead sky to germany, our base cost economy. so the general sentiment is they are doing the right thing and they want not only to get independent of you from russia, they want to re launch the term, the economy based on the new. so from that perspective is a lot of acceptance. that one could expect,
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unless the major problems in the way it is managed and that remains to be seen if they're already made up. and i think german is an under performing terms of sodium . if you just see what happens when they learn what the situation is about either right eyebrow and then they activated, i'm the defendant from russia and like this. and even italy, that is not no one with the order of long term strategies to prepare for what if they manage much faster than germany to move out until the storage is in a situation that wasn't easy as of other tribes government. and germany right now is more improvising, communicate pretty well when it comes to the entertainment of several knows whether he will be able to do this over a whole course. rita, that's pretty much nick. i saw you reacting there to what that will rick was saying,
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and it looked like you wanted to contribute to it. so go ahead please. yes, i think this is, i think this is a very, very important point. but the real test ahead is the coming 4 to 8 months. it's the winter. i mean, what we're looking at here is the situation for how to put it into a political perspective. where i think put in is trying to create, encourage exploit as much edition as she can in europe. not being jessica window of opportunity over the winter when europe is really, really ball interval. and that's why i think this kind of communication that we're getting from germany minister saying we need to get through the winter as is tremendously important. and i think these examples of, of italy in finland moving to get things into place to cope with a winter is important. the reason i'm saying that is, i think we often underestimate the 8 a symmetry in the relationship of the marcia years. i'm honestly vulnerable and the
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coming se 14 months, but after that, it's russia, that's one marable because the gas used to sell to the market has nowhere else to go. so your face is short term sheet. but if we get through that, i think the real problem is russia's and nick you just to follow up with you. i mean, how likely is it from your perspective that we're going to see germany and the you as you know, the other countries as well relying on energy rationing going forward. but i think it's a very, very real possibility. i think that all try and avoid it as much as possible. but i think what we see, particularly in germany and austria, is that the government is preparing the ground for some rationing to hit industry. i think what we're, that's least possible. what we're already seeing is that governments across europe are instructing public bill, people in charge of public buildings to not cool them beyond $26.00 degrees in the
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summer. not heat them beyond 18 or 20 in the winter. that's already for russian hubert. they could be wrong, looked like you had a point you wanted to make one is the main, the main point here is rationing of mr. guy. not, not so much. i mean we have to come up with production to get that organized. if the top of high prices are the social problems, but then when we talk about the reckoning, it's the metro get threatened resume for a company and then very much depends on a 3000000000 get those 20 percent from russia to be get right. and our 2nd how good are they doing? gas and then reducing consumption and the estimated one half of my rent. no, not too much. do you think it would be
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much better if it would be very code again. lizzie, but higher the risk of cost significantly. oh rick, i saw you reacting just now to what to say did you want to jump in? not ever said these are the necessary conditions of the government. it's just as well that it communicates well storage as well, and that everyone is bored and that the social costs for particular groups that it was addressed by what the government could do to help them. but these are all the necessary. it could always be that someone has to put the angel. ready unless it's not a matter of fact, the criteria and still can get out of control if we don't prepare, well,
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we'll get out of control. but there is no such thing. like if we only reach 80 percent of storage or a 100 and we will be fine because it depends on so many because it's in the laser, your system and everyone can every time criticize everything. and you never know what was up to something that becomes the serious thought them off the government, which is a major difference, not shooting, which are kind of press up. people who bear to us, you know, you have at the moment war and ukraine, you have a pandemic, you have drought, you have supply chain issues, you have all these factors that are in play right now. how much concern is there right now? the europe largest economy is on the brink of recession, and how likely is a recession already started to already stopped the recovery process austin, to have a year ago,
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7 months ago. expectations have been that we would have growth rates are sent in. now expectations are one and a half in efforts for the whole year. already have a 2nd process. probably a very low point of growth in the next 2 quarter. i'm the main issue here right now is to high energy prices. so yes, i think recession in the quite for, and especially in manufacturing, sexual services, us to finance of our growing. and that's a lot of the economy regarding the manufacturing industries in a, nick, i know that we've, we've touched on this a bit in other answers in this conversation today. but i do want to take it back real quick to the issues that are affecting the rhine right now. if water levels on
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the rhine continue to sink me, what other alternatives will companies have when it comes to sending freight up and down the waterway? and beyond that, if they're not able to do that, if the companies are scrambling to carry freight in other ways, what are the other ways they can do this? it seems like it would take much more effort, far more trucks, for example, to carry freight than it would with a barge. yes, i know it's on the details on it, but it's clear that if you start looking at french by truck or rail, you're looking at a much, much, much lesser volumes, much, much, much higher prices. and i think i'd like to go back to the point about this being an enormous bottleneck. that's really the, the kind of problem that we have. and in way this is about spare capacity. but of course, difficult to have very much spare capacity to waterways. so i have friends that leads us rather in a bind and, and just very quickly, we only have about
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a minute and a half left. from your perspective, are there any concrete steps that could be taken right away that would reduce this bottleneck? and nobody we, we really need to, i think that i think the problem is that we need to really look at using less of the good stuff, being transported by water. i just don't think the alternatives are strong enough. have the capacity to this enough and the extra point as a want to get in at the end here is do not underestimate impact. this will happen. central europe, on the countries are dependent on the economy. all right, well we have run out of time. we're going to have to leave the conversation there. thanks so much. all of our guests or rick bruckner, nick center, and who bear this part. and thank you for watching. you can see the program again any time visiting our website of 0 dot com. and for further discussion, go to our facebook page. that's facebook dot com, forward slash ha, inside story. you can also join the conversation on twitter. handle is at a j inside story. for me, how much i'm doing the whole thing here, bye for now. aah!
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along with 5 years ago, me and missouri armed forces commenced a scorched earth campaign against the ro ingram minority, leaving a trail of death and destruction. hundreds of thousands were forced into exile in neighboring bangladesh. in a special report, we look at the plight of the rocking got today. on al jazeera i'm harry davies, and kimberly, in western australia were indigenous communities attaining out with scientists to create a new approach to marine conservation revenue learner. we're even,
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but a, i'm a firm and do any reporting from review your vantage tribe protecting biodiversity co defending themselves against the legal invaders. earth, right? oh no. is there a gallery because rivers drawing up and crops parched could drown worse. europe's cost of living crisis wants to delaying the global recovery in youth employment plus can the tale bomb fix. i've got his dad's economic crisis a year after they took power. counting the cost on al jazeera, new voice is heating up the airway. lot of chinese listen actually we can't really hear what they really think in their own country shifting palate, a case, the rise of citizen journalism has changed everything. how do you happen? it happened on social media and the undeniable impact of the mainstream narrative.
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australians went to the pole with those images front of mine is a war that it's very much came forth out in the media as well as on the battlefield . they're listening post. dissect the media on our is a wave of sentiment around the world. people actually want accountability from the people who are running their countries and i think often people's voice is not heard because it's not part of the mainstream news narrative. obviously we cover the big stories and report on the big events going on. but we also tell a story that people generally don't have a voice. remember another child that's never be afraid to put your hand up and ask a question. and i think that's what i'm really does. we ask the questions, the people who should be accountable and also we get people to give their view of what's going on. ah, this is al jazeera ah.
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