tv Counting the Cost Al Jazeera October 1, 2022 1:30am-2:01am AST
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and so he needs an excuse, he needs or narrative in his soul or story about why he was and who is behind this and deserves additional cause bureaucracy or worth to as comparison conspiracy to, to put him out of office for recent polls show that 7 out of every 10 brazilians still believe in the electronic voting system, which was 1st used in 1996 and only 4 years ago facilitated the election of president bull. so narrow himself, monica, mark, your vulture, 0, rio de janeiro. on our cattle disease outbreak in india is killed, 100000 cows and buffalos. another 2000000 cattle have been infected. this outbreak is devastated. farmers have already suffered severe losses from extreme weather. viruses now spread it to at least 15 states across the country.
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ah, or look at the main stories are following this. our noun to russia is used. it's vito power to block a un security council resolution condemning its annexation of 4 regions in ukraine . china got born india and brazil, abstained. russia is a permanent member of the body, it's consistently wielded, it's vito power to block un resolutions on the conflict and ukraine. our diplomatic edison james bays is at the u. n. a new york. it was as expected in mat. it's not going to pass with a russian veto. the russians declared that no vote as a permanent member. their vote no vote trumps anyone else's vote. this resolution condemning russia is not going to pass and that was to be expected. the russian ambassador said that they'd been provoked to use their veto. he said that that's the only thing that could happen if you had a resolution that directly condemned russia earlier present. let him of bruce
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enjoying thousands of people at moscow's red square for public celebration. after formerly claiming the ukrainian regions, it follows referendums denounced as sham vote by the international community. in response, ukraine has formerly submitted a fast track application to join nato and russia, missiles of it, a convoy of ukrainians, trying to bring back family from occupy territories. at least 30 people were killed in the city of zap, maricia would go to begin a faster now because the leader has been overthrown by the military and a coo and outs on state. he the, according to a statement read by an officer, the country's new leader is captain abram to r. a says that present port on re de amoeba was removed due to honoring security failures and the constitution has been suspended and orders closed. heavy gunfire was heard around the capital this morning, including near the presidential palace and in the last couple of minutes, the economic committee of west african states or eco ass, has issued
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a statement. they condemn the seizure of power in a bikini faster. and in afghanistan, the death toll from a suicide attack on an education center in the capital has risen to 50. most of the victims, a female students who are sitting a practice university entrance exam. and the mainly has are a part of western cobble, and brazil, a frontline louisa. na sio lily to silver is pulled further ahead in the final stretch of the election campaign. according to a penny, impose, it means he could defeat jebel, snarling, fuss round on sunday. as of the headlines examining today's headlines, we cannot lubin good is good at this hop like the titanic heading for the iceberg. setting the discussions the fall of afghanistan is going to stay with every single ask in for the rest of their lives, sharing personal stories with the global audience that our body is trying to me. it is about our own. all right, programs does open your eyes to an alternative view of the world today. on al
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jazeera, i hello, i'm rob matheson, this is counting the cost on all 0, your weekly look at the world of business and economics this week. the u. k. is government introduced, big tax cuts to try to boost economic growth, but the international monetary fund is warning the measures could stokes soaring inflation to what's next for the british economy. and also this week, central banks around the world are raising interest rates. they're trying to attain inflation, but that could come at a high cost for the world's economy. plus from bollywood to normally would. why 2 of the world's biggest film industries are struggling
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with britain's prime ministers batting big on a school policy that includes the biggest tax cuts in the u. k. in half a century. it's all going to be funded by borrowing less trust is determined plan is gonna kick start the british economy. but a critic say it's a reckless gamble, man. the plans seem to have back fired already. the pounds fallen to record lows. financial markets have gone into turmoil in a rare public criticism of a leading global economy. the international monetary fund is wanting. the plan could increase and equality in the u. k. the i m f is urging the british government to change its mind. the collapse in the pound has been followed by a surge in the you case. borrowing costs britain's now paying more than the rates paid by european economies, which are heavily in deb such as italy and greece. the bank of england says it would buy government bonds in an emergency to halt a bond market crash. it has also signal to could raise interest rates in response
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to the slump and the value of the pound. millions of british homeowners and i braced for big rises in mortgage payments. me voc has been gauging public reaction to the new budget. it reports from the british time of graves end that is by any stretch of the imagination, a huge economic gamble on the one hand slashing people's taxes on the other massively ramping up borrowing. but will it all mean? let's people hope that everybody in the united kingdom will have a little bit more money in that pocket to spend on bolstering the economy. or will it simply mean as the opposition maintain, that the rich will get much much richer? the plans include cutting, national insurance corporation tax, a tax on buying property, spending tens of billions of dollars on showing up the energy sector. so the people's bills that go through the roof and also controversially on lifting a cap on bank as bonuses. i'm in the town of graves and about 30 kilometers or so from london, is neither particularly rich nor particularly deprive,
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but it could be doing much, much better. it's got a huge concentration of independent businesses. many of these owners are looking for the economic space to breathe. hopefully it will help because, you know, we're, are in difficult times at my and then every once in a being camp we can put them on a just to, you know, pay bills to pay it on the table say. and he said, we actually seen shops, light to mind, for example, an east is difficult, but if you look up then high street, you can see all the shops are slowly sand to go. and if we will go in there isn't anybody 30 little bits money that they can then go spending big shops that they're gonna make their money out of. and the banks even got money gone through the bank. you're not gonna, they're not going to make money anyway. alex, so you're saying that the economy needs to be driven, not just from the top from the bottom and the middle to i think it is denisa. so saw the bottom work up. the truth is that years of austerity, the pandemic. and now of course, the highest inflation in 40 years are most certainly the highest amongst g 7
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countries. mean people are very, very reluctant to part with their cash. battling this economic downturn for the government will most certainly be an uphill struggle in the months and years to come or to discuss all of this, i'm joined from london by off. he's studying the research director and chief economist at new economics foundation. think tank off. thank you very much indeed for being with us. within a few hours of this policy being revealed, it was already being criticized by investors. the list appears to be getting longer . is this likely to work how much like gamble is this particularly financially for list trust? well, i think the unfortunate thing here and actually i've been guilty of this myself in the past, is that it's really isn't a gamble in so far as we actually know how this is going to turn out, that there were warnings before the budget that this would cause an uncertainty at best in market because when you announced billions of pounds,
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a government spending that the, not a company that even with an economic forecast or a plan of how to pay for it. the market start to wonder, are you credible? that was predictable and without seeing the play out. but actually probably an even deeper level. this isn't a gamble because the u. k. a spent 10 years now the best part of a decade. certainly prior to coven 19 doing exactly the same thing. you know, cutting taxes for business is a private individuals taken away the benefits, the richest, fastest, and everyone out, and everyone else. and because we've been doing that for decade, we know how it ends and ends in stagnant earnings growth. the u. k still got lower average re learnings than it had in 2008. it ends in crumbling public services. you know, we have grossly under resource education hospitals, people, i have to wait hours for an ambulance, they have to wait potentially weeks for g p appointment. and it ends in stagnant
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life expectancy. there, there has been this very blunt warning that's come from the i m f in using language that it usually only uses for emerging markets as an indication of just how concerned the i m f is about this. yeah, i mean, you know, i'm not certain to reach the point of view on these things, but it is striking that they've chosen to comment on the economy in this way. and it's just another indicator that the u. s. bending acquired rapid pace, it's institutional, analytical credibility. and you know, you see that now with government ministers coming out and talking about government ministers and government supporters and government outright is coming out and talking about its connections distribution. beyond that, now the left wing economic bastions. when of course it was quite the opposite a few years ago. there's almost now no one left. the government hasn't accused of being left way. i think the only thought of homes that credibility,
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you can government go to borrow billions of dollars in order to be able to pay for this. it's openly admitted that how difficult is it going to be able to talk to the funders? what kind of structure could it possibly use that is going to allow for the tax cuts and other elements of this policy? because it's not just about tax cuts, that's going to make this work. well actually entry point, this to government is desperate. of course not to borrow in dollars. so you can describe the amount of, or in one of the currency. we like to be very keen to make sure the borrowing is issued in pounds and captain pounds as much as possible because that means they can keep control to some extent of the economic effects. but in essence, boring like this has to be painful in one of 3 ways. you can either leave that as an increase in that and work to make sure that pilot, that full time gradually as proportionate, the overall economy. and you can raise taxes to pay debt or to speed up the process by which fools relative to the economy,
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or you can do the same in terms of cutting public spending. govern has to do one of those 3 things. and it looks like at the moment that the 1st of those lessons to fall naturally is in, is increasingly problematic, specially well as my forecast, governments don't leave attorney while markets don't believe that a viable plan. so that does then leave us the remaining tooth. this govern sudden doesn't look like it's about to raise taxes. in fact, you know, the whole point of this budget was to cut taxes. so you are left with a final possibility which is a cut in public services. and the government has already told department to prepare for efficiency savings. now, the extent to it's possible the political economics is it's hard to tell that you take a decade of cut public spending. that looks at this government is about to test. so the i m f is warning against it. we're seeing an increasingly long list of investors who are very cautious about this. even the bank of england says it's going to have to step in, in order to try to sparkle if you like,
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some of it. why said he's got it the excesses the way that this is going to pan out . is this policy actually going to be able to be put in place when there is so much negativity against it? and there are so many organizations who are prepared to work against it. i think the government is struggling toward coming up against that pressure. in the end, it's political pressure that will shape this. there is no sort of constitutional mechanism to prevent electric government from doing what it wants to do, of them losing political support and to lead to see that clout. but i think it's quite important to just reflect on the reason why these different institutions, both both in the u. k on abroad are worried about this. and it's quite remarkable because in men in to be economic. so if you cut taxes, that is, that is refreshingly, that means it should increase inflation because increases money in spending in the
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economy. that tends to mean interest rates can rise, which should actually mean that the pound get stronger. what we've actually seen is the pound crushing as a result of that as the invertible economic logic should. and the reason for that is because the u. k is paying a premium if you like, for competency and in competency premium when market don't buy literally, the idea of these tax cuts are going to lead to higher growth in g d p and therefore they're selling pounds not buying pounds and u. k, investors are investing abroad not at home, leading to claps in the currency. you mentioned that the government was determined to keep the borrowing in pounds. but what is the risk? do you think that whatever future economically the britain is facing, could spill over into all the markets around the world? what kind of influence do you think that could have is having an effect already? we've seen that reflects in bond markets outside the u. k. most notably in the u. s . so it's, it is certainly a bad thing, the global economy and it will become
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a drag on the global economy, the worse it gets. but it is certainly not a crisis, a global come in the way that it is a crisis locally in the u. k. and for our neighbors, asi selling, thank you very much. indeed for being with us. many facts. ah, you guys, new fiscal policy comes as central banks around the world are sharply increasing interest rates to curb inflation from washington to jakarta. and nearly every major bank is making borrowing more expensive to try to cool down prices the most widespread tightening. the monetary policy on record is raising fears about possible harm to the global economy. the u. s. federal reserve has been by far the most significant player in this shifting global economic policy making. it's raised its interest rate by 3 quarters of a point for the 3rd time last week, and signaling the more large rate hikes are to come. the european central banks
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expected to continue increasing rates in october b. c. b is now seen taking its own interest rate to almost 3 percent next year from 0.75 percent. now, the swiss national bank carried out the biggest height ever to its key lending rate, ending several years of negative interest rates in switzerland, indonesia, taiwan, the philippines and the south africa are also among the countries where rates have been lifted. but unlike the rest of the world, china has cut interest rates twice this year. inflation in the country is far lower than in the u. s. and other countries. well, the dollars search to a new to decade high after the federal reserve raised interest rates last week. it's mainly against europe's single currency, the euro, which fall below polity with a green back for the 1st time since 20 o 2, the dollar is up more than 19 percent against a basket of foreign currencies. japan's the latest to have taken direct action in foreign exchange markets to show up currencies with joining me not from boston,
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massachusetts is james mccann. james is deputy chief economist at abilene standard investments. very good to have you with us. no central banks around the world. the use interest rates regular to control inflation, but it's unusual to see them doing it almost in synchronization. how do you think this is going to play out? well, i think it just creates more headwinds to the global economy. i think when you have this coordinated or perhaps, or they spindly, synchronize tightening policy, i think you get ripple effects that the not just through individual economies, but 3 more broadly. you know, i think, absolutely. that's why we're expecting growth to slow very significant to 2023. because i think some of these tightening cycles are seeing places like the u. s. in europe, a range of emerging markets to say, try to match what they're seeing in developed market financial conditions. and i think those are already said the a headwind global growth. and i think the riskier aggregate even more so. and if i
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understand correctly, one of the things that the central banks are constantly working against is time scale. because although they make these announcements, they actually the trickle down effect. if you're like, all of the kind of tightening and controls that they put in place isn't really seen for months. and yet of course, they're trying to deal with an inflationary situation, which is a media and what kind of problems does that cause? i mean it's, it's extraordinarily difficult to central banks, especially when the, all in a long way behind. and they feel that they need to go really quickly and the, some are urgency behind this tightening. so they need to adjust rates rapidly. the difficulties, as you've mentioned, they're not going to see the full effect of that for a long period of time, potentially 6 to 12 to 18 months. and so in some ways that flying blind, they can look at leading indicators of activity, especially an interest rate sensitive sexes like the housing market, like turbo goods, etc. but the difficulty really isn't co banks. they know they need to get
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a policy type. and they know they need to slow the economy, but they don't really know in real time when that happens. so i think the risk to them is that they deliver a degree of tightening. and actually, what we see is growth starting much more than they intended to 2023, a lot of the inflation and situations the finding at the moment or down to things like the war and ukraine and delays and supply chains as a result of that. but also, of course, from the pandemic, none of which is under the control of the central banks, is, is this really the best way for the banks to be able to deal with this when those elements are things that they simply can't influence? luke, there's no doubt the central banks have had so helpful shocks in the form of energy prices in the photo who prices in the district global supply chains. really, i think when they look at their own economies that really face with the, you know, really concerning and balances. you know, the us labor market and some metrics is not a lot. it's tight and it's generating more wage, precious. so, you know, the,
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some of these, you know, crafts, transitory is the way we spoke about it last year. but some of these international axis of making shops harder. but i think when they look closer to home, they see a cover these, the post comb with a showing huge and balances and those balances are creating inflation. and i think they realize that they have to slow growth at the very least to try and bring those balances back into order. but i think that he's going to be a talk at talk us without maybe just so much that you move into recession. you know, the inflationary pressures that we're talking about, of course, are not all the globe. we're seeing growth slowing down in china and europe as well . again, how difficult does that make it for central banks around the world to try to, to carry out this balancing act in the face of different markets moving at different rates. there is a degree of dislocation going on here. and we know, for instance, trying to see the credit of an economy, some of our economies and the feature as well as showing the characteristics in
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which is knock off these inflation. precious recovery for cobra hasn't, hasn't be robust. and we know they're still suffering to be disruptions from, from, from se cobra policy is they look to keep it laid on tribute cases in that country . and so they're not seeing the same degree of inflation crashes because they're not seeing strong growth and strong recovery either, so that their policy is moving to cyclically and in so examples to kind of come to the timing of creating quite a lot of pressure on exchange rates and so this policy does actually start to pay for that generates its, its own issues. so i do think, you know, you're getting this degree of global divergence. i think the pressure is in general towards growth, but it's creating a strain. but unity for vessels i suppose. but, but strange dynamics, we get a pretty large extended moves in currencies. and i think that creating narrow headaches, especially big export countries, but so be trading nation by china and the central banks around the world obviously
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worked independently of each other. but the driving currency in the world is of course the us dollar. it's certainly one of the top few. so what am significant does it have the fan how the fed reacts to this? because really, it seems as though irrespective of what other central banks do, it's done to the us to really drive this. it's all just plays a critical role in setting global financial condition. it's, it's role as a result. currency just gets it. now, even though the u. s. economy is north of itself in action that got given the robot the dollar plays system. so there's no doubt that the feds policy is, is critical in having an impact on financial conditions across a range of markets, particularly emerging markets. that's one of the reasons why we do feel that if the u. s. economy goes in recession next year as we, as we think. and that's driven by a significant tightening cycle. and that leaves a lot of countries, hon,
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both through that finding a financial conditions delivered by that stronger dollar rising us interest rates. and also then by the drag, we a u. s. in a u. s. consumer i t c u s. is really critical illness and still place it's a saturate global financial condition is to some extent, at least good, happy with some times in the costumes can thank you very much and then keep indian movie revenues have risen every year for a decade, reaching around $2000000000.00 in 2019, before the pandemic started. but most recent releases have bombed the box office. on bollywood domination of the indian film industry appears to be uncertain. producers are taking a novel approach to attract people back to the cinema as poverty, metallic reports from new delhi moviegoers are in for
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a treat. it's national cinema dane, india, ticket prices have been slashed to less than a dollar. many shows or so it out properly. i got this a good read and then giving up funds and betsy puppy. so it's really nice that i don't have to put them on the way that i have laid spend so much amount of money to actually go answered in the here does the waterloo, hindi. cinema often called body would, is in crisis. one estimate suggest 90 percent of films released in the past 4 months have bombed at the box office, which locally schwarzenegger the but lansing gentile was one of the most anticipated movies of the year, adapted from forrest gump it, stars one of india's most popular stars armor con, poor attendance forced theatres to cancel hundreds of shows. in the cinema is a multi $1000000000.00 industry and one of india soft powers. it struggles a part of a global phenomenon. the pandemic has changed how and where we watch movies. many
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people are also cutting back on entertainment expenses because of inflation. meanwhile, streaming sites have enjoyed an increase in subscribers. there's also a growing competition from regional and global cinema. so those people who are used to their stable fed up in the movies and are watching movies and domain that are going well. yeah, them are watching french and spanish shows and phones and therefore there is a certain broadening off piece that has happened. and sudden movies which were made in a bree by naming scenario for a certain type of audience that audiences change. no. yeah. oh, this chart topping song and recently married couple created a buzz around per master. the super hero fell. is rooted in indian my thought a g it open to mixed reviews, but back here does what it promised. so what happened is they are wisconsin spectacle and there was origin story kind of thing. and, you know, i think
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a lot of children were very interested in our you know, the though the, the coolness of a, b, c, marvel, or dc universe where there's a lot of special effects and all that kind of stuff. so there are different curiosity about the what we produce as a filmmaker's need to take creative ris, several big budget firms are releasing soon. the industry hope these will return some of the shine to the silver screen. very well. nigeria is the world's 2nd largest producer of movies, but not only would, as it's known, lacks the resources to compete with hollywood and bollywood. armitage's looks at the challenges facing the sector. this low budget firm is expected to be released on streaming platforms in less than a month and with good reviews, it may make it into the cinemas worldwide. it was producing a budget of $10000.00,
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but the director says it took a lot of convincing to raise even that relatively small amount. lisa, lisa says that there is other fund the fund is right. don't concluded gilbert from why we normally would use the 2nd biggest film industry in the world a chance out an estimated 800 to 1000 movies a year for make a say a lack of funding is holding back the industry despite the number of productions fuel banks and businesses are willing to invest in the sector, and that means poorly feeder comment and low pay for crews. in 4 years, sandra ocwen's law has appeared in 50 forms, many of them in the lead role. despite her success, she doesn't earn enough. when the pay is not enough, your leg or clue. how is this going to be enough to take care of me, my well being and all of that for the most important thing to have is a passion to break even wasn't easy. none would movie struggle to make
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a name for themselves in international market, dominated by hollywood blockbusters and lavish followed productions. so distributors like chick is, is ok, provide platform, steve naval low budget films to reach as many viewers as possible. but it's promise and it's some sin, that's awesome, that's good. millennial stotts in is not really really dub the boats. those ogden there for a long time. the actually cautioned industry leaders say improving quality originality will help nigeria compete with the best in the world? as long as we do things that are indigenous, you brody technology bringing the equipments. yes, fine. but let the stories continue to be home. groom there is little government support for the sector, even though it contributes 3 percent to die. juris animal, gorski domestic product until more money is invested in of grading equipment.
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knowledge friends will have to make do with original story lines and promising talent. but in fia productions i and that is our show, but this week, but remember, you can get in touch with us via twitter, use the hashtag angie seat and see you do our job as an email. our address is counting the cost at al jazeera dot net, but there's more for you online at al jazeera dot com slash c t c. that's going to take you straight to our page, which as individual reports, links, an entire episodes, be new to catch up on that said for this edition of counting the cost, i'm rob matheson from the whole team. thanks for joining us. the news in our museum is next. a football from spain traded battling opponents on the pick up fighting fascism at home and abroad. footballing legend at
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a canton introduces up the ninana battle. a warrior used his beloved game to help himself and others survived the horrors of a matching concentration. what bold rebels on al jazeera, combining odds and technology to challenge soviet era methodologies through making, creating and performing, turning a generation of children into the trailblazers of tomorrow. after school armenia, part of the rebel education series on algae sierra. ah .
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