tv Inside Story Al Jazeera October 31, 2022 8:30pm-9:01pm AST
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will repeat its story performance from 2014 in brazil where they reached the quarter finals. the site earned the label of giant killers after finishing top of the group they shared with italy, england, and uruguay. and the former defender and national legend michael pneumonia scored the winning penalty that sent close that he came to the quarter finals and brazil. he says the current team has what it takes to get out of the group stage. once again, he lowered up as an endo, sat in will the truth as we like being in a group like this one to compete with the best. that's what you do in a world cup faced the best. i feel optimistic. i know our national team shows its best when it faces the world's most powerful. the next generation of players hoping for another strong showing and guitar allison the 50. i'll just sierra san jose costa rica. ah.
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this is our to 0. is your top stories? russia has again launched missile strikes against the ukrainian capital. several explosions have been reported in keith mosque as accusing ukraine's government of attacking its black sea fleet. the you and humanitarian chiefs as a deal that allow the exports of ukrainian grain remains and force despite russia's announcement, it was putting out 12 vessels carrying grain left ukrainian ports. on monday, the turkish president says his government is determined to keep the ukraine grain dale in place. sold said he has moved from a stumble. the united nations and the turkish delegations. they have agreed that they are going to add to, in general, to inspect around 40 westhills and the ukranian delegation have accepted that and joint coordination centered say that russia federation also have been informed, but they did the ships that are wave him in the stumble there are not just those
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who you that you see behind me. there are $97.00 rustles around the stumble that are still waiting to be inspected. there is an answer, leila da silva, as one brazil's presidential runoff election making a historic political come back. the left wing, former president defeated the outgoing jail ball snarled by less than 2 percent. martin, with the most essential task, is to ensure that every child, every woman, every man can have breakfast, lunch, and dinner every day. we're going to bring back the ministry of culture. we're going to create a public commission so that culture can become something that everyone has access to. so that culture can become an industry that produces jobs. those who are afraid of culture or those who don't like the people and who don't like freedom. the death toll from the bridge collapse in india has risen to at least a 141. hundreds of people fell into the river. when cable supporting the pedestrian
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bridge snapped south korea's president has joined mourners that a shrine to the victims of a crush in souls into one district. more than a 150 people were killed in the crowd surge on saturday. okay, there's a headlines inside story coming up. next news, news. news. russia is accused of blackmail by withdrawing from a great deal with ukraine. turkey and the united nations are trying to salvage it. but how will this affect the global food crisis? will countries that depend on shipments find in food to eat? this is inside story.
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ah, welcome to the program on the hill robin. this was hailed as a rad diplomatic breakthrough from russia's war in ukraine. moscow and keith had signed a u. n and took care broken deal to export grain safely through the black sea. the 2 nations were major suppliers of wheat, barley, corn, and sunflower. oil to lower and middle income countries before the war. but russia has suspended its involvement. the kremlin blamed drone attacks on its black sea fleet in crimea for its decision retaliated with more missile strikes on keith. the you and turkey and ukraine have now agreed to allow some of the great vessels to leave through turkish waters. to clear says it's determined to keep the agreement
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alive, while ukraine's president accuses rusher of blackmailing the world with hunger. or c a u. v. me when russia is the only one to blame for the fact that food will now become more expensive from west africa to east asia. russia is the only reason why people in particular that you need your yemen or somalia left with catastrophic food shortages. the landmark deal was signed in july to export grain and fertilizer from ukrainian ports which had been under russian blockade. it was meant to ease the global food crisis caused by the conflict. the un says more than $450.00 ships of left ukrainian port since early august. and about 9300000 tons of food has been exported to regions around the world. the. let's bring a guess for this edition of inside story moscow, andre bucklin,
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all they former russian and basset to saudi arabia in new york. steve matthews, senior vp financial services that grow intelligence and analysis on agriculture, climate and the economy. and in denise in ukraine, marcia bella cova, a great news and price reporter at fastball kits agree census told of august. thank you very much for joining us on this edition of inside. so he must click, continue, a new crane and the statement obviously by moscow that they get to suspend their involvement in these grain shipments. how concerning is that news as ukrainians here? it ah, hello. so yeah, the user really concerned in, ah, i can say that people are not expecting that something bad can happen. because for the last week's new already have seen a huge lace for the inspection, for the vessels that comment and going to ukraine to stumble. and also there was
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some one that was not confirmed that's f, as in november the interest can be closed just because they have to free the q and also russian statements during the last 3 weeks. not really supporting that trade, you green do. so it was not really a big surprise, but still a surprise. and for now we see that russell's leaving decree, the russell that have been already loaded and and waiting for inspection we'll get into more. they sent a into, into the, the, the nuances of the language and re back little thing. moscow could just bring you in here. so that could help you with this. joining us from russia, as marcia says, was it to be expected? did you expect this scenario to unfold the way it did had the attacks not happened
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on semester pull up the weekend with the grain shipments have continued. when was. busy accomplished something and do something after this. well the negative results appear so well look, we tried to really. busy to, to make do you really the green and to make these, do you separate? so i'm liver situation in the, in the black sheet. but because well, the lease agreement on public percent not there's only 50 percent re gave way to the grains wrong. you're going to go to rent. that's all it was on the voter stuff. so from the very 1st day of the section,
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5050 in the in the 50 percent. it was more or less success allowed because after the attack on ships. ok, let's bring in steve matthews, having you, you can see we don't want to sort of make this too much of a political conversation, steve, it really is about finance. it really is about grain and how we get grain around the world, considering what's going on in ukraine when these sorts of things happen. not only to speculators panic, the markets panic, the financial markets, panic, the politicians start to panic. why do we start to look at how nervous the market saw all the industry itself when it comes to dealing in the financial commodity that is grain, wheat, and corn flower oil? absolutely. i think that's exactly where to look the. the price levels of these global commodities. and let's keep in mind these are global commodities. the weak market worldwide for, for export anyway, as, as well over a 100000000 tons,
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160 or so. and so the, the cut back here is very important at the margin, but it's not that big of a hit to the total export trade. the problem is prices go up and therefore when this happens, therefore the people least people least able to pay have the biggest problems as a result. of course, marsh, if i can come back to you in denise pro obviously ships in semester poll were targeted however they were targeted and by whom has yet to be verified, i suppose independently. moscow has a point that it is concerned and it is angry about what has happened. inevitably, it's worried about the ships it says with damaged. though ships are supposed to be the very ships that protect the grain convoys, hence the suspension from the deal. now, the politics aside, if they are ships that are supposed to be defending and looking after and
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accompanying the grain cargo out of the black sea. moscow has a point no. and you can easily see that from the map, if you see various crania and barriers to the support board, and where is the green corridor? because right now you can go on some f, the show in the vessels truck. and you can see that it's far away from there. this is one point at another point, is that inside the agreement, there was nothing say the ball, the russian vessels to be defending the green. do nothing about that. it was said only that russian aside wants to be among the inspection and they want to be the guy who would be checking the vessels coming and going to stumble, even if there are the ponds or not. because they were saying that ukraine is
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coming some be bumps in or out on the vessels, which is, you know, not sure. ok, let's move away then from the politics ambassador, can i come back to you andre bucklin off in moscow? obviously, since the war began, the special military operation as russia likes to call it, began in ukraine. russia has also been on a charm offensive to those countries in africa, for example, who depend a great deal on grain and, and food security. if you take the grain away or you restrict the grain access, are you all is russia politically, and diplomatically in danger of harming those relations yourself. have been ambassador to saudi arabia. it's not a poor country, it's a rich country, but it also depends on grain from russia and from ukraine. well actually as far as the practical sides of the story we've asked no problem,
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we are giving access to the grain source to our great, i'll do great in very long as i do these schemes dealing with the grading grade was . busy growing model a sector was a very strange gentleman which seems to be kind of to see us. you know, there was a rep for a noise. well more ations. busy dealing a really sound good program in. busy at the top, that has to be done, but it shifts what went from black. she was only 3 percent, 3 percent one went to such danbury as somebody if you haven't done this on the other sheets turns not the countries but
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western europe. so where is it kind of assuming and are you feeling frustrated on the accomplishment of these do okay, let me begin to see if that is an issue that has actually been raised a few times. suddenly from moscow side, steve, when grain is transported, whether it be from ukraine, rush or anywhere else, there are obviously brokers there on the port has to be then subdivided off, i presume, to then head off into other countries. this accusation being made by moscow. again, without being political, how describe move on, how to get to the countries like somalia, afghanistan, yemen, where it's needed most. is it transported onto the ships? well, yes, again, it's a global market. so the fact that green maybe went somewhere other than other than where it was immediately needed does not necessarily imply any sort of negative outcome. namely that if it were sent places that were less efficient,
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the price would be effected less by that, by that movement. if you just then what i mean now prices up currently 6.4 percent today for wheat globally. and that is a very significant move that is not a normal daily move of the price of wheat. and that is, that is bad news for people who are depending on, on wheat supplies to get through the winter or to get through the next year or so. the global backdrop is, is tight. we have the tightest stock to use ratio, which is a way that people track this. how much do you have versus how much do you use the tightest ratio since 2008. and so things like this don't help. let's put it that way. australia was too wet this year during the harvest season, europe had a heat wave, india had a heat wave. the u. s. has to dry right now for planting. we've got a number of problems in the wheat market, and the last thing we need is for less brain to flow out of the black sea lodge. i can see you not, you know, come back to you in a moment because just want to take polls and gets on gas and view as a home,
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an idea of the context of all of this. because in july, i spoke to the un secretary general when he signed that deal on one of our news hours. and then you could harish believe that russia and ukraine would honor that commitments. of course, that is a method of trust. things need to go well for them to be able to continue, but we will do everything, everything in all capacity to make sure that things go well and we will be there all the time in the inspections in the coordination center together. we turkey the with the objective to guarantee that the parties will abide by what was signed today and sending her speaking to be that in july will have more of him in a moment. i mean, steve, come back to you because reputation and deals as we've seen, can affect financial markets. one, miss spoken word and millions can be lost or gained prices console. how closely in your opinion, speaking to your colleagues in, in,
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in this area of the financial markets, are they listening to what keith moscow and especially what the un secretary general is saying, i would say very closely because this is a, this is, this was the material agreement that caused large amounts of grain to move successfully through the black sea where it had not been moving before since since march or february. so as people are trying to decide what to pay for we, they take the statements and, and action on the water into very much into account. let me just bring it under a balcony. we just changed like methodology here. i mr. bucklin of 9000000 tons, as was mentioned in various news reports and by marsh has been moved so far in the agreement which has to be renewed on november. the 19th. could this actually be a point of bargaining for moscow? as we lead up to the 19th of november, as you say,
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there are issues with the agreement that moscow is not happy with what needs to change. do you think for that agreement to be renewed on the 19th of november? well, all you will think that the one point is missing in the overall scheme, which is the point doing. we didn't want to make any mechanism is different than being at reddish stringed dimensions and re can. but clearly when we looked at the real results, so that is also very. busy what wasn't just so, so i think that if you have that mechanism, we must start from weeks a problem over establishing a charge of monitoring. well just to make sure that each day everything is
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developing in. busy in your mind as we agreed on either rice damage or diesel, marcia, belly, coff, valley cove. in denique pro, let's just talk about renewal of the agreement. we've had for months, nearly 4 months actually of great movements out of ukraine. unhindered navy will, over, over $9000000.00 tons has moved a small amount in comparison to what there is still in storage. give us an idea of how much grain is still needs to be moved from ukraine at the mobile. what sort of problems to the ukranian authorities having tried to get that grain over to the portrait for its movement? well, is pretty hard to manage. how much? ah, just a lot. because we to now we were just moving the stocks mostly. and from this 9000000 tons of grains and and also oils as well.
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part of that is just from the old stock, but the have a new club and only 4 beat. we have 19000000 tons of meet new cup. and from that number around 1112000000 tons that can be exported for current. we have be having a summation of 2627000000 tons for now. and 20000000 tons of that is what can be exported. they also have around $2000000.00 tons for body that also half of those fancies. i don't really have the number right now in my head, but it's also human on tones. so me, thanks a lot. thanks. hi, don't they the stakes the high for ukraine? yes, the stocks are high for ukraine. yes. the tried and even the deal, but not the continue it. of course we still have some ways how we can move. that's
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great. all ukraine. but the capacity is just like, you know, much lower. but you can make some tonight to, to help me to transfer money to stakes. hi, not any for producers, but also politically. that's just and bringing more of what the un secretary general antennae guitar said to me about the great deal. back in july. it is obvious that so that he's nervousness, that he's like us trust, but this is not the 1st expedients we have with ukrainians and ross from the relation to the when mediation. we had the, if you remember, and it was also agree in the, in the same context of my visits to present, put in a presence the landscape. evacuation of the civilians from us, of salt for months. people said it was impossible for months. all the, all kinds of the attempts failed. but when there was an operation with a clear coordination with un, at the time the i c r c, the international can,
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we can cross the russians on the ukrainians. it's happens and it's happened successfully. and the, the commitments are respected and i have no reason to doubt that today we the same kinds of attitudes we can do these. this is of course measure that she have months . i would say it's. and then through the agreement and the for me, a secretary over the notions, i have no doubt to tell you this was the most important thing i have contributed to during my tenure, the secretary is unprecedented at times and a reputation on the line. certainly for the un secretary general antonia garish, mister baton off in moscow. the actual secretary general has delayed his trip for very important arab league meeting in algiers to oversee discussions with what is described by his spokesmen as a senior at the highest levels. i wondered who with the highest levels these he
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speaking to president putin. all the foreign minister, laughed ralph, what's your impression of who he is talking to? well, actually what if you're busy we discussed this problem stuff . bad information about the portal. what is a patient of the president? what is the patient men minister for us and our major specialist specialist on grand problems and international grant programs. and i guarantee the conclusion that was the last of the the big fish and sheets while the secretary general. so as a person our fish and say, well, we were looking for the fall, we have expected. so honestly, we can read down in the days to come. these can be
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american amended and the, and we'll play it shoots in real terms. ok, let's bring in. steve massey's are in new york. obviously 19th of november is an important date. steve, in terms of the markets and in terms of analysts, what are you looking to, hey, i mean, we talked about this just beginning of the program, but obviously the, the un secretary general has a very small window of opportunity to make things move again. and to keep both sides happy. i don't entirely agree with the idea that there's a small window at any time. the sides can agree to allow this green to move again. and of course, it's important for a global gray markets that, that happen. as i've, as i said before, the, the global grain market is no very tight situation. little bit of historical background, the post soviet brain, the growth in the agricultural industry and in the post soviet territories has been
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nothing short of a miracle since 19909192 the growing populations of north africa and the middle east have come to depend on that, that flow of grain through the black sea, through the boss for us, and across the mediterranean. and any interruption to that is basically reversing 30 years of development. so it's something to keep in mind when we're looking at the idea that this is something that can be blocked and unblocked almost at will. when the parties decide to, to agree or not agree. so is that traitors will be watching very closely to see what happens on november 19th. that's for sure. but simply because something doesn't happen or does happen on the 19th, doesn't mean it can't happen later or earlier mister both, i just come back to you. you have a good relationship with saudi arabia with a former buster to the country. and i just want to bring in a report that was published in february of this year where the saudi arabian states grain buyer sago, are the initials for it. so that it agreed to import 355000 tons of grain
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from it. saudi owned farms and in ukraine. obviously, countries indirectly are affected by what's going on in ukraine. and you have very close relationships of the country while you're not a diplomat right now, sir, does not put a strain on riyadh and moscow relationships as this scenario unfolds, as the war continues in ukraine. well, actually we discussed in details where we were problem. she's our, it's our friends, ukraine in granite problem, you know, due to understanding the current problem about the x ray there is a little bit. there's a reason because your wish roll objectively is limited and less than one percent
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or. busy export or grain on the, on the rules where. busy as far as what we already know to just 3 off just additionally to the companies are cost below guns charge and we also. busy are giving free of charge a lot of tripler fertilizers. what this message is really easy to understand what it is and john black. well, and i laid the, the limitations on experts sections for a practice of us, which is number one, number one. this is like everything here be much easier to deal with the gloating, so we'll give more opportunity just to do. okay,
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well we'll see what does happen, unfortunate. we haven't got to time. i think it's a conversation we'll have to have again in the days ahead and i'm sure we will hear on the inside story, but i would like to thank all of my guest. sundry bucklin of steve matthews, and marcia bella cova for joining us on this edition. and thank you to for watching, you can see the program again anytime by visiting a website that i was there, a dot com as a further discussion, go to our facebook page at facebook dot com, forward slash ha. inside storing. you can also join the conversation on twitter and that way at ha, inside story for me. so rather than the whole team here in the hall, thanks so much for your time. and your company, ah, ah.
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