tv Inside Story Al Jazeera November 1, 2022 2:30pm-3:01pm AST
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in the capitol, the hope is as many as half the fans attending matches will use doha, metro. it debuted in $219110.00 cars will make up 270-0000 trips each day. the red lines, concordy, 1000 people, every 165 seconds, which can handle the demand of the over the spectator. but anyhow alike of this is the nature of the tournament. all the spectators should expect some delays controlling crowds and keeping the p said footballs. premier event is every host countries greatest challenge. nearly 50000 security personnel have been trained and multiple exercises have been held with international partners to prepare for pazzar 2020 to work hand in hand with fee for. we are confident with the plans that we have in place of safety and security for us as of the utmost
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importance. whether it's navigating the journey or the crowds at match or concert. the organizing committee says, planning and patience will create an enjoyable and see all cup experience for all the talks are gonna el, jazeera, doha. ah, this is al jazeera, these, the top stories as rails holding its 5th election in less than 4 years, having to say the biggest issue is whether vices off or against school melita benjamin netanyahu was facing corruption charges. stephanie has moved west jerusalem. it is essentially if you break it down, i let must test once again the popularity context for benjamin netanyahu has his absence in the prime minister seat. made these really heart grow fonder. if you
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will, people will tell you this could perhaps perhaps be the last test for him. if he doesn't make it into office this time around, which would mean that we would see another election, israel fix, potentially early next year. this is one of the scenarios that may be then finally, his political career could be over. people in denmark are also picking a new parliament 14 parties of vying for a 179 seats. the political battle was between incumbent left wing block and right wing candidates south, cris interior ministers apologize for stampede on saturday. they killed a 156 people, at least admit the response was not adequate and president units. so q all has called for more safety measures to prevent crowd accidents. and is prime minister in random. audi has visited the scientific bridge collapse that killed more than a 140 people. the incident took place in the town of movie in his home state of good. your art. russian missile strikes have destroyed half an apartment building
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in the ukrainian port, city of mich alive, strikes common day off to russia. targeted energy facilities across ukraine. a team from the u. a nuclear watchdog, is in ukraine to investigate rushes allegations. keep as working to use a so called debt he bomb i. e a says it's inspecting 2 sides coming up next to the inside. story would say rough and stay with us. in russia was accused of blackmail by withdrawing from a great deal with ukraine. turkey and the united nations are trying to salvage it. but how will this affect the global food crisis?
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will countries that depend on the shipment finding the food to eat? this is inside story. ah, the welcome to the program, the hill robins. this was hailed as a red diplomatic breakthrough from russia's war in ukraine. moscow and keith had signed a un and took kia, broken deal, to export grain safely through the black sea. the 2 nations were major suppliers of wheat, barley, corn, and sunflower, oil to lower and middle income countries before the war. but russia has suspended its involvement. the kremlin blamed drone attacks on its black sea fleet in crimea for its decision retaliated with more missile strikes on, keep the you and turkey and ukraine have now agreed to allow some of the great
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vessels to lead through turkish waters. to clear says it's determined to keep the agreement alive, while ukraine's president accuses rusher of blackmailing the world with hunger. russia, u. v. me when russia is the only one to blame for the fast food will now become more expensive from west africa to east asia. russia is the only reason why people in particular, in yemen or somalia left with catastrophic food shortages. the landmark deal was signed in july to export grain and fertilizer from ukrainian ports which had been under russian blockade. it was meant to ease the global food crisis caused by the conflict. the un says more than $450.00 ships of left ukrainian port since early august. and about 9300000 tons of food has been exported to regions around the world. the. let's
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bring little guess for this edition of inside story moscow. andre bucklin, all they former russian and basset to saudi arabia in new york. steve matthews, senior vp of financial services that grow intelligence and analysis on agriculture, climate and the economy and into neat britain ukraine. marcia bella cova, a great news and price report at fastball kits. i agree, census told of august. thank you very much for joining us on this edition of inside story. most click continue, a new crane and the statement obviously by moscow but to suspend their involvement in these grains shipments. how concerning is that news as ukrainians here? it ah, hello, so yeah, the user really concerned in, ah, i can say that people are not expecting that something bad can happen. because for the last week's new already have seen a huge delays for the inspection, for the vessels that comment and going to ukraine. so stumble and also there was
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some one that was not confirmed that's f. as in november the interest can be closed just because they have to free the q and also rush the statements due in the last 3 weeks. not really supporting that tre, due green deal. so it was not really a big surprise, but to a surprise. and for now, we see that vessels leaving decreasing the brussels that have been already loaded and and waiting for inspection you will get in some, or they sent a into, into that the, the, the nuances of the language and re back to the north in moscow could just bring you in here that could help with us joining us from russia as marsh's edge. was it to be expected? did you expect this scenario to unfold the way it did?
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have the attacks not happened on the bus to pull up the weekend with the grain shipments have continued or when we. busy or tom push something and do something after this. well the negative results appear. so we tried. busy to, to make a do you agree and to make these do separate? so i'm living situation in the, in the sheet. but the because, well, the lease agreement was public congress only 50 percent. we gave way to be a great day. you're going to go to rent, but i was on the voter saw. so from the very day job placement or we are
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please section one keepers in the, in the 50 percent, it was more or less success allowed because after the attack on ships. ok, let's bring in steve matthews, having you, you can see we don't want to sort of make this too much of a political conversation, steve, it really is about finance. it really is about grain and how we get grain around the world, considering what's going on in ukraine when these sorts of things happen. not only to speculators panic, the markets panic, the financial markets, panic, the politicians start to panic. why do we start to look at how nervous the market saw all the industry itself when it comes to dealing in the financial commodity that is grain, wheat, and corn flower oil? absolutely. i think that's exactly where it's look the, the price levels of these global commodities. and let's keep in mind these are global commodities. the weak market worldwide for, for export anyway, as,
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as well over a 100000000 tons, 160 or so. and so the, the cut back here is very important at the margin, but it's not that big of a hit to the total export trade. the problem is prices go up and therefore when this happens, therefore the people least people least able to pay have the biggest problems as a result. of course, marsh, if i can come back to you in denise pro obviously ships in semester poll were targeted however they were targeted and by whom has yet to be verified, i suppose independently. moscow has a point that it is concerned and it is angry about what has happened. inevitably, it's worried about the ships it says with damaged. though ships are supposed to be the very ships that protect the grain convoys, hence the suspension from the deal. now, the politics aside,
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if they are ships that are supposed to be descending and looking after and accompanying the grain cargo out of the black sea, moscow has a point of no, you can easily see that ah, from the map. if you see various creamier and berries to support board and where is the great corridor? because right now you can go on some f, the cho in the vessels truck, and you can see that it's far away from there. this is one point at another point, is that inside the agreement there was nothing said about the russian vessels to be defending the green. do nothing about that. it was said only that russian aside wants to be among the inspection and they want to be the guys who would be checking the vessels coming and going through the symbol. if there,
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if there are be points or not because they were saying that ukraine is coming some be bumps in or out with vessels, which is, you know, not sure. ok. let's move away from the politics ambassador, connecting back to you andre bucklin off in moscow. and obviously, since the war began, the special military operation as russia likes to call it, began in ukraine. russia has also been on a charm offensive to those countries in africa, for example, who depend a great deal on grain and, and food security. if you take the grain away or you restrict the grain access, are you all is russia politically, and diplomatically in danger of harming those relations yourself. have been ambassador to saudi arabia. it's not a poor country, it's a rich country, but it also depends on grain from russia and from ukraine. well actually as far as the practical sides of the story we've asked no problem,
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we are giving access to the grain source to our great, great in turn, do these schemes dealing with the way to gray was. busy growing more or less, that was a very strange last, you know, which seems to be kind of us, you know, there was a rep for noise. well, more ration dealing, a really good program that has to be found, but it's mind shifts that went from black. she only said, percent 3 percent love went to such as somebody if you haven't done this from an absolute majority of the other students,
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not the countries but to the western europe. so where is it kind of assuming and of course, are you feeling frustrated on the accomplishment these do ok, let me begin to see matthews, because it's an issue that has actually been raised a few times. suddenly from moscow side, steve, when grain is transported, whether it be from ukraine, rush or anywhere else, there are obviously brokers there of the port has to be then subdivided off, i presume, to then head off into other countries. this accusation being made by moscow. again, without being political, how does grain move on how to get to the countries like somalia, afghanistan, yemen, where it's needed most? is it transported onto the ships? well, yes, again, it's a global market. so the fact that green maybe went somewhere other than other than where it was immediately needed does not necessarily imply any sort of negative
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outcome. namely that if it were sent places that were less efficient, the price would be effected less by that, by that movement. if you, if you understand what i mean, now prices up currently 6.4 percent today for wheat globally. and that is a very significant move that is not a normal daily move of the price of wheat. and that is, that is bad news for people who are depending on, on wheat supplies to get through the winter or to get through the next year or so. the global backdrop is, is tight. we have the tightest stock to use ratio, which is a way that people track this. how much do you have versus how much do you use the tightest ratio since 2008. and so things like this don't help. let's put it that way. austria was too wet this year during the harvest season. europe had a heat wave. india, how to heat wave. the u. s. has to dry right now for planting. we've got a number of problems in the wheat market, and the last thing we need is for less brain to flow out of the black sea. i can
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see you nodding. i'll come back to you in a moment because just want to take a polls and get on a gas and view as a home, an idea of the context of all of this. because in july i spoke to the un secretary general when he signed that deal. on one of our news hours and 10, you could harish believe that russia and ukraine would honor that commitments. of course, that is a method of trust. things need to go well for them to be able to continue. but we will do everything. everything in our capacity to make sure that things go well and we will be there all the time in the inspections in the coordination center, together with turkey, the, with the objective to guarantee that the parties will abide by what was signed today. and turning her speaking to be that in july we'll have more of him in a moment. i mean, steeper come back to you because reputation and deals as we've seen, can affect financial markets. one, miss spoken word and millions can be lost or gained prices console. how closely in
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your opinion, speaking to your colleagues in, in, in this area of the financial markets, are they listening to what keith moscow and especially what the un secretary general is saying, i would say very closely because this is a, this is, this was the material agreement that caused large amounts of grain to move successfully through the black sea where it had not been moving before since since march or february. so as people are trying to decide what to pay for we, they take these statements and, and action on the water into very much into accounts. let me just bring it under a balcony. we just changed like methodology here. i mr. bucklin of 9000000 tons, as was mentioned in various news reports and by march has been moved so far in the agreement which has to be renewed on november the 19th. could this actually be
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a point of bargaining for moscow? as we lead up to the 19th of november, as you say, there are issues with the agreement that moscow is not happy with what needs to change. do you think for that agreement to be renewed on the 19th of november? well, all you will think that the one point is missing in the overall scheme, which is the point doing. we didn't want to make any mechanism. there will be a reddish stringed mansions and we can but clearly when we get to the real results. so that is also very. busy what wasn't so, so i think that if you have a mechanism, we will start from leaks a problem establishing
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a chart of monitoring just to make sure that each day everything he's developing in. busy indeed, ma'am, as we agreed on either rice damage or diesel deals. marsha, bella, cough in denise pro, let's just talk about the renewal of the agreement. we've had for months, nearly 4 months actually of great movements out of ukraine. unhindered navy will, over $9000000.00 tons, has moved a small amount in comparison to what there is still in storage. give us an idea of how much grain is still needs to be moved from ukraine at the most of the problems to the ukranian authorities. having tried to get that grain over to the portrait for its movement. well, it's pretty hard to manage whole launch. ah, just a lot because we to now we were just moving the stocks mostly.
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and from this 9000000 tons of grains and, and also oils as well. part of that is just from the old stock, but the have a new club and only 4 beat. we have 19000000 tons of wheat, new cup. and from that number around 1112000000 tons that can be exported for corn. be half be having a summation of 2627000000 tons for now. and 20000000 tons of that is what can be exported. they also have around $2000000.00 tons for body that also half of those fancies. i don't really have the number right now in my head, but it's also human on tones. so me, thanks a lot. thanks. hi, they're not. they the stakes the height, the ukraine? yes, the stocks are high for ukraine. yes. the tried and even the deal,
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but not the continue it. of course we still have song ways how we can move. that's great. all ukraine, but the capacity is just like, you know, much lower, but you can make some tonight to, to help me. i don't want to say hi, not any for producers, but also politically, that's just and bringing more of what the un secretary general antennae guitar said to me about the great deal back in july. it is obvious that there is nervousness that is like a thrust, but this is not the 1st experience we have with you can draw from the relation to the wind mitigation. we had the, if you remember, and it was also agree in the, in the same context of my visits to present, put in a presence the landscape, the evacuation of the civilians from us, of sol, for months. people said it was impossible for months. all the, all kinds of the attempts to failed. but when there was an operation with
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a clear coordination with un, at the time the i c r c, the international can we can rev cross the rations on the ukrainians. it's happens and you typed them successfully. and the commitments are respected and i have no reason to doubt that today we the same kinds of attitudes we can do these. this is of course measure that shipments. i would say it's a severe agreement. and the for me is secretary that i could notions, i have no doubt to tell you. this was the most important thing i have contributed to during my tenure. the 2nd tension is unprecedented at times and a reputation on the line. certainly for the un secretary general antonia garish. mister backed up in moscow. the actual secretary general has delayed his trip for very important arab league meeting in algiers to oversee discussions with what is described by his spokesmen as
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a senior at the highest levels. i wondered who with the highest levels these, he speaking to president putin. all the foreign minister laughed ralph, what's your impression of who he is talking to? well actually what is your busy. busy when we discussed this problem stuff in the band international about the disposition of the president. what is the minister for our major specialist, especially some grand problems and international grant programs and. busy guarantee the conclusion that was the last of the big but to the efficiency of the secretary general. so as a person our fish and see where we were looking for the fall, we have expected. so honestly, we can read down in the days to come,
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these can be american amended and, and we'll play it shoots in real jobs. ok. let's bring in. steve massey's are in new york. obviously the 19th of november is an important date. steve, in terms of the market and in terms of analysts, what are you looking to, hey, i mean, we talked about this just beginning of the program, but obviously the, the un secretary general has a very small window of opportunity to make things move again. and to keep both sides happy. i don't entirely agree with the idea that there's a small window at any time. the sides can agree to allow this green to move again. and of course, it's important for a global gray market since that happened. as i've, as i said before, the, the global grain market is very tight. situation. little bit of historical background, the post soviet brain,
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the growth in the agricultural industry and in the post soviet territories has been nothing short of a miracle since 19909192 the growing populations of north africa and the middle east have come to depend on that, that flow of grain through the black sea, through the boss for us, and across the mediterranean. and any interruption to that is basically reversing 30 years of development. so it's something to keep in mind when we're looking at the idea that this is something that can be blocked and unblocked almost at will when the parties decide to, to agree or not agree. so is that traders will be watching very closely to see what happens on november 19th. that's for sure. but simply because something doesn't happen or does happen on the 19th, doesn't mean it can't happen later or earlier. mr. belk, if i just come back to you, you have a good relationship with saudi arabia, with a former ambassador to the country. and i just want to bring in a report that was published in february of this year where the saudi arabian states
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grain buyer sago, are the initials for it. so that it agreed to import 355000 tons of grain from it. saudi owned farms in ukraine. obviously, countries indirectly are affected by what's going on in ukraine. and you have very close relationships as a country while you're not a diplomat right now, sir, does not put a strain on riyadh and moscow relationships as this scenario unfolds. as the war continues in ukraine, well actually we've discussed in details and frankly. busy them, she's our, our friends, you can in the green and, you know, due to understanding the current progress about the x. busy there is a little bit there's a reason because your wish roll objectively is limited to say less than one
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percent of the export. busy on the, on the rules where. busy as well, we already know to get 3 off just additionally to the companies cost guns charge and we're also. busy giving a free of charge. ready of all fertilizers, what this message is really easy to understand what it is and john black. well, and i laid the, the. busy limitations on. busy experts with your sections for a practice of the arrest, which is number one, number one is like everything, you'll be much easier to do with the gloating so it will give more opportunity
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just to okay, well we'll see what does that mean for sure? we have enough time, i think it's a conversation we'll have to have again in the days ahead and i'm sure we will hear on the inside story, but i would like to thank all of my guest. sundry bucklin of steve matthews and marcia bella cova for joining us on this edition. and thank you to for watching. you can see the program again anytime by visiting a website that i was there, a dot com as a further discussion, go to our facebook page at facebook dot com, forward slash ha inside storing. you can also join the conversation on twitter and there where at ha, inside story, from me rather than the whole team here in the hall. thanks so much for your time. and your company, ah ah, [000:00:00;00]
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