rollin shoe easing through quartz weather coming back into high is lottie, try across the companies that naughty try to it's a good part of a chart, but we have got some showers over towards the a west still some shes down towards the southeast as well. eventually seeing some writing to hong kong and it stays very unsettled for taiwan. ah, but a sense of belonging. we are very close knit community. everybody knows everybody, and the every day heroes keeping communities together. this is the st. the universe center my universe. i jazeera visits scotlands out to hebrides and meets those fighting to save their island, his way of life in the face of its plummeting population. a sense of community on a, jesse ah,

i'm the balkan london. a quick look at the headlines here on al jazeera, us democrats and republicans are making last ditch appeals on the final day of campaigning before tuesdays crucial midterm elections. the road could up and jo biden's presidency with poles suggesting a republican come back. the democrats face losing control of both the house of representatives and the senate. the balance of power is expected to come down to a handful of key states including georgia, pennsylvania, and arizona. the un secretary general has warned the world is losing the fight against climate change. addressing the cop 27 summit in egypt and 2 negatives. describe climate change as the defining issue of our age, and that the crises of today's, such as ukraine and the cost of living concerns can't be used as excuses to put climate action on the back burner. the clock is ticking. we are in the site of our lives and we are losing greenhouse gas emissions. keep growing global

temperatures. keep rising and our planet is fast approaching dipping points that will make climate scales irreversible. we are on a highway to climate tell without foot still on the accelerators. at cove $27.00 more than $25.00 countries have agreed to hold each other accountable and a pledge to en deforestation by 2030 announcing billions of dollars to finance their efforts. the group includes japan, pakistan, and the united kingdom, but not brazil. all the democratic republic of congo, both home to vast areas of under threat forests as a stand off between italian officials and a rescue ship carrying hundreds of migrants and refugees. people on board a vessel operated by doctors without borders or waiting for permission to disembark and catania. the boat carrying 572 passengers docked on monday, but authorities only allowed miners, families, and people with health issues to leave. another rescue ship arrived in italy on

saturday, humanity warm was allowed to darken cataneo, but now has been ordered to leave the sicilian port. his captain refuses to go until everyone on boards allowed to leave his threatening to go to court. so for a 144 people including minus people with health conditions have been let off or you're up to date, that's it for me need bar code. but stand by now for special coverage of tuesdays midterm elections from our colleagues over in dover. how the us ah need, thanks very much. hello and a warm welcome to our special coverage of the us mid term elections. i'm nora kyle at the polls begins open in just about 12 hours time and we're going to spend this next hour looking at some of the major issues and highlighting the races we need to

keep an eye on. the american political system is complicated. what's happening on tuesday isn't as much a national election as it is a series of state and local races to select state level governments, as well as the next congress. so vanya has more on what's at stake, and how it all works. they're called mid terms because they come right in the middle of the president's 4 year term. here's what's at stake. all 435 seats in the house of representatives where the democrats currently hold only a tiny 8 seat majority. and $35.00 of the said it's $100.00 seats are right now the senate is evenly divided. so that means a change of control in just one seat could put the republicans in charge with all that voting across the country. the election really comes down to only a few battleground states, only 10 of those 35 senate races or really competitive in the house. it's about 50

out of $435.00. joe biden is not on any of these ballots. yet. midterms are traditionally seen as a test of the president strength if his democratic party does poorly, than it could make it almost impossible for biden to get anything done over the next 2 years. also, congress isn't the only thing. americans are voting on. $36.00 of the 50 u. s. states are also electing governors. that list includes places like florida, like georgia, wisconsin, pennsylvania, arizona, and nevada, michigan, all of which will be important battle grounds in the next presidential election in 2024. and 27 states are electing their secretary of state. usually when we say that, i know we mean america's top diplomat, but not here at the state level, it means a completely different thing. it refers to the official who overseas administrative services, like professional licensing or registering corporations. and crucially, in most states, the secretary of state is also in charge of elections. and that is suddenly more

important than ever because of the elephant in the room. donald trump, more than $300.00 republicans were on the ballot at every level this midterm. falsely believed that the 2020 presidential election was flawed, or they have repeated trump's claim without evidence that the election was stolen from him. bottom line, people who reject america's last presidential election could end up in charge of running the next one a 2 years after voters gave joe biden, a chance and ousted trump. the election itself now appears to be on the ballot. and you could argue, so as the future of democracy in america. so no small thing, let's talk to the hubbard tansy. he's live for us in capitol hill. and she had, it feels very much as if america today is so split, that democratic and republican voted the always living in parallel universes. how do they see the big issues of their selection in different ways?

parallel universes. but with that same theme that america is facing an extra central moment, the democracy is on the ballot. but the course, the 2, the 2 parties come at a different a different direction. so we have the republicans who say, yes, democracy is on the ballad, but that's because the democrats stole the last election. president biden is an illegitimate president. we have to fight back of this time because with that illegitimate power that the democrats have. and this is quite openly being talked about. i was in ohio just a few weeks ago. this is what the candidate was saying. the senate bear opening up the borders. they're allowing an undocumented migrants who will eventually become a permanent democratic party majority. and they're allowing them to know and other drugs to come in to the country. it kills native americans was not native americans as we have to 0, which would put it,

but certainly white america. so that therefore democrats will have a majority. this is perfectly normal rhetoric on the republican side with the base that the democrats say, and this is president biden's, closing argument last week. but democracy is all about because we have as a constituency who is making arguments like this. because we have john, you get the 6 here on capitol hill, the violence of capital. and because we have republicans across the boat, as we were just hearing, who may be in charge of the next election is to ascend. since you have the, the, the republicans and the democrats. both parties are retreating to the more extreme ends of their message simply to appeal to the basis. well, i think the democrats, what's fascinating discussion actually currently on the way it seems that the democratic strategist thought about appeal to the exhausted majority of people

exhausted by donald trump. the people shocked by january the 6th, it would be enough simply to make them go to the polls by reminding them of what happened on january, the 6th of reminding them of some of the candidates who are running at the moment. and then in addition, the democrats hoped that because of what happened in the summer, the supreme court regarding abortion would be another reason why the democratic base and, and each suburban white women, some of those you might not be in times to version a midterm. remember midterm elections are all about getting out your bass. there was a real hope and it may still be true with early voting. and indeed on, on tuesday of cells, that was our hope that this would actually spare on people who may be a solution with biden, to go to the pose. because abortion, and female reproductive health care rights was on the ballot too. but the democrats decided to avoid up until this point, really, up until just a few weeks ago was the economy. and, you know, we don't have to be electro genius. know that the economy are going to avoid the

cliche, actually it's the economy, stupid. inflation was running away, prices were, was sky, and yet the democrats, what even talking about isn't using. and of course, but the luxury of being in the opposition is you can simply say, look what a disaster they are on the economy. but don't necessarily put for your own ideas. the democrats weren't even touching that. and that's become a real issue then lots of discussions. maybe we can get into the coming days. but why they didn't touch the mental very recently. but that's really hurt them because really seemed like they weren't even in touch with the major issue that is facing most americans that is high prices. ok. she have a thanks very much for setting us up. we'll see again towards the top of the hour. let's bring in with an can now she's also in washington d. c. she's an associate professor of american studies and political science at george washington university. great. have you that as she was saying that it's been awful of talk and the run up to these midterm elections, of extraordinary events impacting the way people vote for him. supreme court ruling

on election with the committee investigating the january 6 riots. biden's cool to get democracy on the ballot and yet now at crunch time as people go. so vote, it seems that the economy, the bread and butter issue is once again the most important yeah, there seems to be a sense in which the immediacy of inflation, people have noticed that you know, goods, the prices of goods are going up, that gas prices are going up and this immediate concern seems to have overtaken a lot of people's larger concerns about politics, concerns about women's health care and the right to an abortion which were huge over the summer. concerns about climate change, about the january 6th insurrection. a lot of those larger concerns are still, you know, people are thinking about them, but there is a sense of kind of, as you said, bread and butter concerns. the price that the rising price of gas, it seems to have overtaken a lot of these larger issues. so do you think this,

this issue, the economy is going to push the undecideds, the independence will moderate push them towards voting republican because that traditionally seem to be what happens, the incumbent, paul, he gets blamed for the state of the economy. and in doing so, what's the fear, i suppose we can say of the more extremist elements of the republican policy being voted in there are a lot of people who seem to have been on the fence or just less of voters with lower information, who are now seeming to vote about questions about their pocket book or about inflation and pushing away some of these larger concerns. it is going to bring in people traditionally considered the republicans to be better. economically, democrats might not agree, but i think independence independent voters will. and so that might enable some of the larger concerns with the republican platform, which has to do with their desires to impeach joe biden. more for a,

for his policies on ukraine or bringing in some of these election conspiracies. and actually trying to legislate on them blocking the democratic agenda altogether. and so there is a way in which the smaller issues might be the kind of trojan horse to let in some of the larger, more extreme policies that the republicans are putting forth must just today and told his millions of twice the followers that independently minded voters should vote republican to keep the democrats in check it is that found advice? well, it's interesting because over the summer, a lot of independents were more compelled by the democrats when they were concerned about the erosion of women, freedom, the supreme court's decision, to end the federal protection, to have an abortion. so there was a claim earlier this summer that independence, who are independent thinking and concerned about freedom would be voting for

democrats. i'm not sure alon must really has the power to sway independence. he might be having as the power to sway republicans who would already agree with him, but it will remain to be seen. it will interesting development. indeed, it will do stay with us as with because another big issue on voters minds is immigration. and we'll talk more about that with you. after this report for manual rappel on how things look from the mexican side of the border. the record numbers of migrants on the us southern border. it's one of the most politically charged issues being debated ahead of the u. s. mid term elections. but critics say the politics playing out in the us are also having a significant impact on immigration policies across the border in mexico. luckily, because it's not only policy the entire migration situation, mexico depends largely on politics and actions from the united states. human rights observers say that strict border policies, along with a recent agreement between the us and mexico to contain migration, has led to

a pilot of migrants in mexico. jenina ramos, a program coordinator for doctors without borders, says the resulting crisis has left ngo's with limited resources in general, if seen humanitarian consequences of politics. and that's something that we shouldn't ride because basic needs, primary, healthcare, mental health, shelter, foot, water shouldn't be linked to a consequence of the fully things. though mexico city normally has the space to accommodate large migrate groups, passing through the recent influx of migrants has overwhelmed the organizations that normally assist them were inside mexico, cities largest migrant shelter in just the last few weeks. the migrant population here has served by more than 5 times the shelters capacity. to say it's overcrowded would be an understatement, and the shelters organizers tell that more people are arriving every day on the

shelters. director sister maga says her organization has been in crisis mode since last month after mexico agreed to accept more migrants being expelled from the u. s . and our medical center scholar, the shelter is on the verge of collapse and we're short on water bathrooms. we don't even have enough food, while many in mexico speculate over how the upcoming us mid term elections will impact the worsening crisis. migrants are growing concerned that border policies will only become more strict than that. i don't want to for me, many families of entity you ask that many other families have been reported to mexico and have been sent back to the shouter. that's what worries me. i mean, one thing policy experts on both sides of the border say could provide some relief to the migrant crisis, is comprehensive immigration reform from the u. s. government. that reform, however, is largely seen as unlikely. if the u. s. congress becomes more divided after the mid term elections. manuel apollo, al jazeera mexico city. as go back now to elizabeth anchor in washington. d. c.

elizabeth back or numbers of migrant arrivals at southern border. being painted as an invasion by the republicans. how successful is this message? could it cost democrats control of congress? we have seen anti immigration language and rhetoric from the republican party for almost the last 20 years. concerns are often about immigrants coming in across the border, but those concerns often get much stronger around election time. and i think sometimes they're used as a rallying cry to kind of motivate xenophobia around for nurse coming in, especially coming in from the global south. but we also see, you know, a huge amount of people coming across part of it is our own long term policies. and i think the discussion often becomes less about the larger policies that might be leading to migration or questions about drug wars and free trade. and usually the

immediacy of how to either stop people from coming in or how to support them when they're there. so the whole conversation seems to focus on small things rather than some of these larger questions about politics that the country should be dealing with. to think about, you know, of large migrations across central and south america to the u. s. is a lot of talk, isn't there about the t no vote. so it is said that the latino block of voters could even determine who's going to be in control of congress. how does that vote tend to divide up between republicans and democrats? there was a long standing expectation that people of color in the u. s. especially a latinos, you know, of all types of from all backgrounds, but generally vote, democratic and stuff for cubans in miami who are traditional republican stronghold . what we're seeing now is that a lot of that is changing. and perhaps there's

a sense in which that story was never really true in the 1st place. right. the people categorize this latino is come from many different countries, many different religious backgrounds, and a lot of them, you know, their political opinions are not monolithic. and so i think what we're seeing now is a lot of latinos who are conservatives, who are voting republican and the democratic assumption that latinos will magically vote for them, is now not holding true. and they're going to have to fight a lot harder for the lunch vote. i'm not sure they'll really be successful in this election. absolutely. fascinating. ok, thanks very much. so for now, we'll draw your expertise again a little later. or from one reason why the selection is being caught, the most important in a generation is because many americans still believe the last food back in 2020 was stolen from then president trump. there's no truth to that claim, but a large number of people still believe it, and that belief has shaped many of this is most important campaigns. nowhere is it

more true than in arizona state. joe biden won by only a few 1000 votes and what election denies now lead the republican ticket at every level? i speak to rob reynolds, he's in tucson, arizona, and robust election denial is a key issue. the reserve is going to be ground 0 has an it with carry lake in the race for governor refusing to say that she'll accept defeat if she loses as well as the sympathetic attorney general and secretary of state on the valid ah yes lord, not only is it a focal point of election denial ism, but also a voter intimidation, a few weeks ago of voters who are dropping off ballots at ballot boxes early who voted early were stunned to see armed men and women with assault rifles full tactical gear masks hanging out near these ballad drop boxes, videotaping them a, creating a menacing atmosphere, and in some instances,

actually accusing these voters of some sort of unspecified claims of voter fraud. eventually, a group of organizations, representing minority voters, was able to get a judge to put a stop to that particular a dress up, but like a soldier game up. but nevertheless, it did create a i think, a good deal of, of fear in some parts of the electorate as for a republican gubernatorial, candidate carry lake who was a for many years, a popular television news presenter in the local market. in phoenix, arizona. she has not said clearly what she would do or whether she would accept all the results. in fact, she said, and when asked at one point, ah, yes, i plan to win, and i will accept that result. so an ambiguous sci fi or perhaps not so ambiguous

answer there. laura. and of course the key robe is looking forward to 2020 for the presidential elections. how might these election denies impact that if indeed they do when these mid thames well, as was said before, here in our special report on the these mid terms, there were just shy of $600.00 republican candidates for statewide and federal office. and more than half of them are election deniers, they say the election was a fraud, or they repeated unfounded claims of, of widespread voter malfeasance, etc, etc. so when these people, for example, like the governor of arizona, the secretary of state of arizona and the attorney general of arizona, if they were to get into power, they would have the power to certify the votes of arizona,

the citizens to interfere or interrupt perhaps voting processes to sign off on the slate of electors sent to the electoral college for the 2024 presidential election. so it's very consequential and days. okay, well we keeping a close eye on the arizona next $24.00 study, 6 hours roll. but the moment, thanks very much indeed. well, in addition to members of congress and governors, a lot of attention this year is on races for secretary of state. or you probably know that the title for the u. s. foreign minister, but at the state level it refers to the official in charge of elections. normally these contests don't attract a lot of attention. but this is supporters of donald trump and his false claim that the $20.00 to $20.00 presidential election was stolen. of one, the republican section of state nomination in states like i resigned michigan, nevada, as well as several others. all of those are likely to be key battlegrounds and the

next presidential race. many of these kansas opposed postal balance and want to limit early voting. both of which are common and much of the united states. they say those types of voting can be trusted and have threatened to refuse to certify future election results if they are in charge and out the reported outcome get more now from chris piper. he's in washington dc, and he's the formal commissioner at the virginia department of elections. i'm the chief operating officer of the election group. great to have you with us. this is actually the states, it's not a role that people spend much time thinking about. but all voters now paying enough attention to it. well, i think so. i think that the attention on the administration of elections, especially since 2020, has captivated builders, and i hope they're paying attention and ready to cast their ballot. is there any danger of the election system being hacked or tampered with?

might be any truth to any of these election deny claims? i'd certainly not to the level of the wide spread fraud that's been suggested and i, you know, the fact of the matter is election officials a work night and day at to, to protect our election system. there's a couple of things that i could highlight. first of all, are there are numerous checks and balances on the system. ah, it is run in a bipartisan manner in every state. there are literally thousands and thousands of election officials working every day, especially on election day. these are bipartisan teams. they are overseas entered their scene over with election. observers are better watching and, and observing the election process. ah, some of the claims that are out there suggesting that machines can be hacked,

a voting machines and every polling place and use throughout the election are tested. they're verified, they're never connected to the internet. and the majority, in fact, the vast majority of ballots casts in the united states are cast and certainly in, sorry, b swing states. they're all cast on paper ballots, which allows for an auditable paper trail following the election. i think that's a most important key point to, to make to your viewers. absolutely. and yet, if you have a secretary of state who certifies the results if they are not acting in a bipartisan way, that creates problems. well, i certainly could, but i do have faith in the system that, that at the end of the day there are again, thousands and thousands of election officials overseeing the secretary of state is certainly an important factor. however, it is a much larger operation than

a single person, and that i take a lot of faith in election administrators across the country are dedicated, they're passionate, and they want to make sure that the votes are counted correctly. furthermore, there's an entire process that they must go through following the election. this is not completely overseen by the secretary of state. this is done at the very local level where they're counting the votes, i'm sorry, counting the votes, and they're ensuring that, that they are doing all the checks and balances so that we can be confident that the bi election was administered and the votes were counted properly so we, you, you confident that democracy has faith in america? i think that we are under a great test right now. certainly, i believe that the trust and faith in our election system is paramount to the successful operation of our form of government. i've americans have to believe that

the bi election was true and fair in order for them to you know, to trust the leadership. i believe it is. and i think that election officials across the country are going to show that again yet again, tomorrow chris piper. happy to hear it. thanks very much for taking the time to join us from washington d. c. well, there's plenty more still ahead here on our u. s. a mid terms of special coverage, including how the outcome could change or in policy and impacts the war in ukraine . hello, the weather sits remain lossy, quite cross central part. so here for the ty,

being high, pressure is in charge. he is still a few live. he shout, that was at ease to sort of the met he's trying to, but these will gravity pushed away further eastwards and weaken as we go through the next couple of days. these can getting a little more lively up towards the north west though, where we have another rough de varies of low pressure. well, fronts bringing some blustery conditions in across so much of our land into northern ireland, scotland, wales, england, macy thinks of pretty wet weather as well for a time in that little sink its way further. south was so much of france. teddy increased the wet spain and portugal, seeing some of that wet weather as we go on into the middle part of the weeks that you go some live conditions coming back 3, but a little writ of high pressure just quietly thinks down up towards the northwest by this day's notice some rary heavy rain though. central and eastern parts of france of snow over the alps. central pass, not too bad logic tribes thesis bells of afternoon sunshine. still a few shadows cross at east side of mediterranean could do quite because northern parts of africa. not too bad here. a little bit of

a blustery wind into the northeast. they're just coming in across sir egypt. but more cloud rolling through here. not bad into west africa now. still a few showers just scraping the coast, but making that way, but the south. ah ah ah, welcome back to are there a special preview of today's midterm elections in the united states? i'm laura kyle. american elections affects people around the world. one of the most important political relationships is the one between the us and china. ties have been tense for the last few years on the both democratic and republican

administrations. we all patrick folk in beijing. how china's leaders viewed this week face one area where republicans and democrats are very much aligned on is on china birts. and let's say beijing is wary of a republican controlled house because republicans are likely to take a harder stance and push the white house in areas which will intensify already strained relations. most notably on sy, one and according to asia policy experts like sean king of park strategies. it's all to do with how would all look in the race to the white house. even though by an end is pretty much with republicans on the core of time when issues and stylistic things like this, they may want to embarrass them just to make the republican n 8 look tougher than ears on anything to do with china. and let us come also as tensions arising on the korean peninsula and south korea is looking to washington for support against his hostile neighbor. but

a strong republican showing could impact america's military support to the region. because it could take a more isolationist approach to foreign affairs. one other thing that may be brought into question depending on the results of the midterms, is the fate of the indo pacific economic framework. it may not be a trade pack like the trans pacific partnership, which includes the likes of australia, japan, malaysia, and singapore. remember, president trump pulled out of the t p p just days after taking office, but republicans are far less likely to show interest in supporting president biden's regional partnership agreements. a year support for ukraine and the war against russia depends on who controls congress. senior republicans have hinted they may reduce aid for keith as left many worried as high force. it reports in ukrainian capital. its been some good news in the last few days as far as the training leadership is concerned, when it comes to us military aid after the visit here to keep on friday,

the us national security advisor. there was an announcement of another $400000000.00 worth of u. s. military aid to ukraine. some of that going to pay for half of $90.00 check tanks that are going to be modernized and sent to the ukranian military. that's going to bring to $19800000000.00. the total amount and president landscape has over the weekend. been talking about further reinforcements in the pipeline, the cranes air defenses as well. but there is some concern here in cave about what might happen after the u. s midterm elections on tuesday, one prominent comp supporter representative marjorie taylor green, saying that if republicans will not election, there should be not another penny sent to you. crane the leader of the house republican saying that they should not be a blank check. the ukraine, i the older he later clarified that saying that was about oversight, not withdrawing aid altogether and the bite and ministration. according to a report in the washington post, has privately been asking presidents lensky to show some kind of signal of willingness towards negotiation with russia. not so much because they want those

negotiations to start, but they're worried that the alliance that western countries might be showing some signs of ukraine fatigue. and they want to stop that from happening. people here wondering if there'll be any signs of ukraine fatigue within us politics after tuesday's elections. so where could be outcome of the mid terms leave us foreign policy will discuss this. joined by theresa fallon and brussels and jacqueline hazelton in cambridge, massachusetts. to reason the founder and director of a sense of russia, europe, asia studies and a member of the council for security corporation in the asia pacific. jacqueline is the executive of international security. that's america leading peer review journal of security affairs from harvard belford center. i will welcome to both of you, jackie, if i could start with you. republican voices calling for aide to be stopped. is herbert concerning for ukrainians, but do they reflect the whole republican picture?

no, i don't think they do reflect the entire republican picture, but there's a larger issue here and then is that the republicans do not have in this particular case, the powerful purse. i don't think we're likely to see significant change in your trade policy as long as the president biden remains in office. he has this discretionary funding is a d d budget that he can draw on. and it's also important to note that we have not seen a blank check be written for ukraine. the administration has been excruciatingly careful in trying to provide only defensive weapons and in trying to avoid any possible escalation with russia to reason. would you agree with that? i mean, you must be watching these midterms pretty closely because there is the fear that if the republicans when control of the house of representatives, at least maybe the senate as well, they will stop joe biden from doing anything,

no matter what it is. and that could include more aid for ukraine. europe is watching this so closely in addition to president putin in moscow and president zelinski in here. this is an existential issue for ukraine. so i would suggest that there is kind of growing fatigue in some areas of europe depending on the country. and i think that the u. s. is carry the burden quite heavily. i think that jacqueline has made a very key point that president biden does have key funds and has been very careful in the way that this has been given to ukraine. i think that there has been joint projects i was just announced today about norway and the u. s. having this new system sent to you kind of to protect the error in order to protect citizens. i think that germany creating this 14 plus one grouping to also with central eastern european countries shows that there is some more initiative on the ground

in europe. so i think that with high energy prices in europe also cost of living increases that are very dramatic. i mean, it's double the price for energy and most of europe. i think that it's going to be, unless the us really carries and acts as a leader your might start to fragment on on these issues in regard to ukraine is coming, of course, at a crucial time for ukraine with russia bang on the back foot. indeed, i think you claim is really motivated because they understand the election cycle within the u. s. and so they have been really pushing very hard to make us successes because americans like winters if they look like they're losing, they're not going to get support from them. so i think that the parents have been fighting and very highly motivated. i think that the russians, it has been proven that you know, they're not doing so well. but if they are pushed early to the negotiation table, the big fear here in europe is that russell will then regroup,

hold on to their gains, and then attack ukraine several years down the road. so i think we really have to push hard to get a, a settlement in ukraine that does not give russia another chance to re arm and then re conquer ukraine. so i think the ukrainians are extremely motivated by this. and the fact that putting called for the 4 areas that he's declared them, they're russian. this makes it far more difficult than the ukranian to come to the negotiating table. the well, the problems jacqueline, isn't it, that the crane is an open ended mission. and this does create issues for the administration, for the people in power of congress. how significant is it that we're seeing or hearing reports of the bi demonstrations privately, nudging the lensky towards opening up the idea of negotiating with russia. i think that's very important because it's part of the united states effort to

avoid escalation with russia when you're talking about 2 nuclear super powers. and you may quibble with my describe in russia as a superpower, but they still have nuclear weapons. so, i'll say superpower. when you're talking about competition between nuclear armed states, then the most, the single most important thing is to avoid escalation. and the united states has been nudging zelinski towards a more moderate approach in variety of ways suggesting talks suggesting that ukraine and it's high profile attacks inside brushing territory and in a variety of other ways. and i think those are all to the good. but teresa's point about the united states living a winner is a big one as well. because the biggest challenge for the by the ministration is keeping the european fund board. you can think of it is similar to the situation after the gulf war. the during those 10 years that

nato, the united states and its other coalition partners, remained united on the question of how to keep saddam contained and it was successful. but as time went on, the threat seemed to be less. and there were several european countries who were understandably interested in the financial deals they could make with iraq and verse the coalition started to fray. i think we, the biggest concern for everyone at this point should be that the coalition support of ukraine does not frey. ok. well said nova, keeping a close eye on that issue, as well as all the major foreign policy issues of the mid term results. come in for the moment, theresa and jacqueline, thanks very much taken time join us. you can think, okay, well, let's take a look now at some of the key senate races and his thorough vanya control of the

senate is important because it has unique powers in the american system. senators must approve a president's cabinet appointments, along with top generals and admirals ambassadors and crucially judges, including the ones who sit on the supreme court. there are $100.00 senators, and right now the chamber is evenly divided. 5050 democrats are only in control because the vice president can break tie votes. so if the republicans gain even just one seat, they control the senate and that could completely change the rest of jo biden's presidency. 35 seats are being contested, but there are just 10 where one party or the other thinks it has a real chance of flipping a seats. let's go through them. number one, pennsylvania probably the democrats, best chance to pick up a seat. john fedor, mon is the states, lieutenant governor, he's a rising political star. he faces republican candidate, mehmet oz, a surgeon turned tv host, very famous, but new to politics, fed them and suffered

a stroke in may. however, and questions about his health have hung over that election ever since he'd been in the lead for months. but now the race is too close to coal. also too close to coil is ga, the republican candidate there is herschel walker retired american football store. local legend, but he has a track record of bizarre statements as a candidate and he's been accused of paying for a partners abortion. despite wanting to ban abortion, his opponents, israel warnock a minister who heads the church once led by martin luther king. warnock only narrowly won his senate seat african american support was essential to creating that small majority. so can walker's celebrity cut into warnock space just enough to swing the result? we'll see next, the republicans think that their best chance to pick up the seat lies out west in nevada, 1st term sen. catherine cortez mass though, is being challenged there by adam lac, salt state's former attorney general. a member of one of nevada's most powerful

republican political families, and democrats worry that lacks old, famous name, combined with anger over the cost of living has made cortez mass so vulnerable there. north carolina may give us an early indicator of how the night will unfold. form a state supreme court judge to re beasley is facing republican congressmen. ted, but this race has not received as much attention as some others. but because the states poles close early and because voters there are so evenly split, it may offer an early clue as to how the rest of election night will go. just to other races for you to watch. one is ohio author j t events versus democratic congressman, tim ryan, ohio has been moving toward republicans in recent years, but ryan has run an unexpectedly strong campaign. and lastly, wisconsin's democrats thought republican senator ron johnson would be an easy target. he is a conspiracy theorist. then he is the senate leading anti vax or but he to has run

a strong campaign while his opponent, lieutenant governor, mandela barnes has struggled to catch fire outside the democratic base. experts say this could be america's most unpredictable election night in decades. all of these races are the ones you want to be watching closely. well, let's get more on that tight wraith in georgia, and here's john henderson. in atlanta. the state of georgia could well decide which party controls the us senate. that's what happened 2 years ago when this typically republican state, elected to democrats, putting that party over the top. one of them was rafi warner. he's the 1st black senator from georgia, also a pastor preachers from the pulpit once occupied by the reverend martin luther king . this time he is running against herschel walker, a popular former university of georgia football star, and they're running neck and neck despite several negative revelations that have come out about walker. he's anti abortion,

but to ex girlfriend say he pressured them to have one. he has said black men need to spend time with their family, but acknowledge one been 2 and finally, 3 illegitimate children. he has that he doesn't spend time with the to disagree on abortion and immigration. but many voters seem far more concerned with the current rise and inflation than either of those issues or social walker shortcomings. and that has this race in a dead heat. georgia could also be the last state to decide its election under state law. if nobody gets 50 percent of the vote, there's a run off in december and south of georgia in florida. republican incumbent governor rhonda santas is running against democrat charlie crist. but just and just won't commit to serving the entire term, perhaps because he's widely seen as a candidate for president in 2024 own spring in now, janelle king, she's republican analyst and co founder of speak, georgia. she joins us from sandy springs in georgia. great. have you with us. the

candidate that for georgia hash walker, he's come under a lot of criticism. is he a winning batch for republicans? you know why? what's interesting is that i think we're in a situation where the climate, the inflation, the gas prices, what the democratic party has done. and it makes any one waiting better at this point. and the reason why i say that because people are voting with their pocketbooks here, i know that there are, you can't deny the increase cost of food. you can't deny that there are that there are children who are suffering from being locked down for 2 years. you know, there's so many challenges that are superseding candidate quality at this point that i think that the republicans, if we don't pick ups easier, that's going to show a real problem. i think that we're in a good position. are you suddenly the economy is shaping up to be the crucial issue in republicans doing a great job of hammering democrats on it. but what is the republican plan to bring

done inflation? you know what, i think the plan starts with getting in there and boating against some of these bad policies. you know, when, personally by that is doing a lot of spin day spending that we don't have. i think it's definitely important to support as much as possible. however, if you're in debt, sometimes you have to just take a step back and figure out how we can get our, our country back on track. so i do think that is what we're going to see is republicans blocking a lot of excess been day. i do think we're going to be in the lot of republicans going get married, introducing bills to kind of rectify the racial divide. that's happening. the social division that's happening, i do think that we're going to see a lot of just support towards making sure that we are more energy independent and that we are putting american ers ok. do you, are you concerns that these candidates that the republicans are putting for many of them are pretty extreme in the outlook they are against all abortion?

with no exceptions, they are election denial. this is, seems to be a new type of republican that we've seen since donald trump took talk of the policy . does that concern you a tool? you know, why? what concerns me as well is that we're also seeing a new kind of democratic party. we don't, we but we are now discussing what a says you are a member of the republican party. i want to know what you think about the way it's gone so far to the right. yes. so for me personally, i just think that anyone who is living on the fringes is not living in reality. so i don't think the fringe is the location to be regardless of what party you're on. i think we need to make sure we're paying attention to voters, but the good thing about the republican party is that we respect our constitution. we respect what it delivers for all people, which is why we support it. the supreme court same day the, the abortion discussion back to the state. so that states can decide,

based on whatever the majority of their makeup is. we're not here driving our political views into people. we're obviously standing on our positions, but that's why we support the constitution because it makes sure that we're in a position where we are making that we were wrecked. we're making sure that we're in a position where we are representing all american. okay, so what about the election that's, that's focus on that a little bit. do you accept that 2020 was a free and fair election? and if so, what do you think about people who don't? so this is where i stand on it. i know because i'm on a local t v show here, i know for a fact that there were some issues with the 2020 elections. i had people coming to my personal home expressing they are the same for some of the things that they saw and witnessed themselves. i had signed affidavit dropped off at my house in the let's be, let's be honest. dropping a drop box is in the middle of nowhere, and allowing people to just drop off absentee ballots and 5 stacks is

a problem. so i absolutely think there was something that went wrong in 2020. however, that being said, i accept the results of the twenty's when the election because i know that we put s b 22 in place, which is our election bill than ratified and fixed a lot of these issues. we now have dropboxes inside the precincts so that people are not going to, we're sorry, we're where these boxes are being monitor where people won't be able to to cheat in that way and does not forget, you have your mail box. and we've also removed some of the restrictions. i mean, i'm sorry, we'd be put in some restrictions and then allow, you know, about the left and other organizations to market and promote their candidates while people were waiting in line to vote. and then we have 17 more additional voting days. we had a sunday voting day. i mean, i don't know what more to ask for. we've definitely didn't. we had to do in order to make sure that it's easier to both the heart of the g. okay, fantastic. well, that is good news and date, janelle king, thanks very much. take enzymes,

join us. okay, well let's go over now to the other side of the aisle. keith mcgee is a democratic strategist and professor at at university college london, where he teaches us politics. he was both hats, in part because he's involved in democrats abroad, the parties organization for americans living overseas. but he's back in the us for election day. and we're happy to say that he's joining us from cambridge, massachusetts that we just had. janelle, probably rightly saying that the economy is shaping up to be the big issue for voters, as they head to the poles in about 12 hours time. she said that's pushing people more to the republican candidates. do you agree that a concern of the democrats? well i, i agree that the economy is a concern, and i think that we have to pay attention to just what has happened to day, where the dow gained 4.24425 points or 1.3 percent. the s and pete

rose one percent. the nasdaq was up almost to percent. so i think that people are looking to what will happen to morrow, around the economy and, and what those gains will look like. and i think that it's a, it's, it's a great time for the democrats to really talk about what we stand for broadly. and that inflation is hot, something that we are proud of. but it's more of the truth. and one of the realities and one of the things that we're working towards a diver publicans to pay attention to all the day that that is solid, that is true. that is fact driven evidence based. you know, the unemployment rate is at the lowest that it's been in years at 3.7 percent. so a lot of things are happening with this under this president's administration. but the truth of the matter is, we the long way to go as a country up say, a lot may be happening. and there may be a lot of good news in that, but the democrats aren't talking about it. they're not getting this message across

and getting hammered by the republicans. you just keep saying that they are responsible for inflation. absolutely, and so that i'm hoping that the message that i'm sending across in that others who are actually elected officials, are standing and pronouncing over the next 24 or 30 hours is that we're odd. we are concerned about the economy. we are concerned about inflation and that there are things that we're doing the rep. the democrats are understood to be aligned as a, with progressive values and being socially responsible. those are the kinds of things that we have to talk about. that's what we'll drive voters to the polls. i think that the idea of abortion is very important. i respect a woman's white to choose. there are larger issues here. we're not a one issue party. we have to talk about all the issues across the board and bring them to bear. and you know, and, and certainly, you know,

i don't think we need to spend time trying to dismantle and dis, a dis, a vow of the big ally in the, the things that are not true. i think that's a waste of time. we have to focus on working. okay. keith negate more leave it there for now. thanks very much. taking the time to join us. so after that, talk all the all american issues and the state races. let's go back now to capitol hill mental and again by she hypertension, she had what all the latest polls a model saying about what we're going to say on election night. and that's saying we have no idea. it's a toss up. it could be, could go either way, at least in the sentence. i think the house everyone accepts, the republicans will sweep it's a matter of how, how much, how many seats the republicans get. i will have one other seat to add new hampshire is very interesting, right? now, because it does not expect to be strong challenge from maga, republican, to a democratic senator, but the only there is it was the democrats who funded the republican mag this

campaign to some extent where he's boosted his campaign because they thought he would be easier to beach now it looks like he may well beach, the democratic incumbent in the senate shades of when the country folks in 2016 were rather hoping the donald trump to be the republican candidate because i thought he'd be easier to beat another one of those questions that can be asked about how much the democratic leadership of nouns ok, she have, thanks very much. i'm going to get the final word to elizabeth. i can out. she's in washington dc. i just before i give you the final one on the quick, far round to get an idea from you as to who you think will win some of these races that we're going to be looking at. some of the key races i get, the senate, pennsylvania democrats, john, fatima, and all matt metals. my guess is john federal and john fassman will not georgia. how shall walk through raphael board? i will knock that one is a real toss up. you know, warnock is a candidate who is loved by many in the democratic party,

and herschel walker is a candidate who is not loved by many in the republican party. but republicans have embraced him as telling a story about an underdog who should be winning. so i think that one's too close to call. you couldn't make coolant guns. here's one. if it was my guess i might say warnock, but i would say that about 50.5 percent. probably going to go to run off the face of a higher democrats. tim ryan or the republican state events my guess as tim ryan, i think because he actually has a long history in ohio. he doesn't feel like an outsider. and i think cheney vance is a flip flops on trump and his kind of performance is mike, feel to fake for a lot of my voters. okay. last nevada. adam like that for the republicans. will catherine quarter master for the democrats. i think the republicans are going to

take that seat very interesting indeed. okay, so what do you think then with the republicans expected to win over the house of representatives? what's joe biden's last 2 years and office got to look like just very briefly the last minute that we have you know, even if that, if the senate still stays democratic with the house, turning republican, his agenda will basically be forwarded. he will not be able to do any more work. he might not be able to fund ukraine on most of his policies will not get passed. he still might be able to have the courts nominate democrats, but otherwise i think a lot of his agenda is going to be at a standstill. ok, elizabeth anger. it's been a fantastic having you on board. thanks very much for joining us from d. c. along with all, excuse me, all our guests tonight we are looking forward to much longer nights tomorrow night

. so more bringing all the results. well that's it from me laura kyle. and this look ahead to the us mid time, mid terms and we'll bring you more special coverage on a polling day. that's beginning at $100.00 gmc on wednesday. we'll have correspondence across the u. s. plus all the reaction to all the result from a really wide range of different voices. we'll get you back now to london and just in a few moments ne fokker will be bringing you all the rest of the day's use for you . do say whether, if you kept the ah

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