tv Inside Story Al Jazeera January 22, 2023 10:30am-11:00am AST
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to the brim in downtown santiago, as the concert begins, ah, this is the 3rd grand concert from brotherhood held in chile. ah, meant as a symbol of unity in times of civil strife. war and pandemic, st. it's been broadcast around the world, free of charge. still, it's not the same as experiencing this live. everyone who plays their feelings of about rigor playing and when your life in life concert, you can view it as emotions. and you can also feel the emotions of the people sitting next to you when the concert ins lydia invites the public to sing the 1st movement ah, classical music experience that the organizers hope to spread well beyond chili's
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borders. to see in human al jazeera santiago. ah, whoa again, i'm fully back table with the headlines on al jazeera, china is celebrating the lunar new year without strict scobee 19 restrictions for the 1st time since 2019 tens of millions have traveled to their rural home towns. but they are concerns at the recent surgeon infections could spread to the countryside. katrina, you has more from beijing the previously new year was the year of the tiger. and according to the chinese zodiac, the policies of year the tiger were restlessness and disruption. and that certainly ran true from many people here in china because of coven 0 policies. we had huge disruption to income to ability and to health, especially at the end of the year when those restrictions was suddenly lifted. and
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new in the people are estimated to have gotten sick with the virus and at least 60000 people died. and now we have this new year this year of the rabbit, which according to the zodiac, is supposed to have qualities of peace and posterity. so many people are coming here, crowds people lining up to the temple and they will be praying for a more positive year. ahead and certainly a better year than the previous one. brooklyn, of fossils military rulers have given french troops one month to leave the country . anti french demonstrations had been held in the capital, was to go against the french military presence. many say the former colonial power has fails to improve security. according to the un, thousands of people have been killed in booking fossil since 2015. brazil's president louise, sincerely, the silver has fired the chief of the army. he suspects security forces were involved in the storming of congress earlier this month. general julio says, are they are older, had been commander of the army since december. a new search of
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u. s. president jo biden's residence as uncovered 6 more classified documents. biden's lawyers agreed to the search and they said they are helping federal investigators. around 30 documents have been discovered since our 1st batch was found in november. those are the headlines up next here on our jazz here inside story on counting because the global economy is flattering, is this the ends at globalization? well, super, which became ball wealthier than everyone else. over the last 2 years, plus china dominates the red market. but european jump found it largest deposit that the metal counting the comp, allan algebra, 12000 workers gone from google, but brings the number fired by big tech companies to more than 200000 in just over a year. why are so many jobs being lost in the sector world wide at his big tech, in big trouble? this is inside story. ah,
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hello, welcome to the program. i'm adrian synagogue. $12000.00 google employees opened an e mail on friday, telling them that jobs are gone. the tech giant is the latest to announce big lay offs of stuff. it follows others like metal, the odor of facebook, with whatsapp as well as twitter of microsoft. different reasons have been given for such major job cuts, some blame over recruitment during the height of the pandemic. others wrong strategies for the future. and then of course, there's the worsening economic climate. here's a closer look at what's been happening in the industry more than 200000 people, as we said, have been fired in the sector in the past 12 months, google the latest to announce cuts sharing 12000 jobs. that's around 6 percent of
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its workforce. meta, the owner of facebook, instagram and whatsapp is cutting 11000 jobs or 13 percent of its workforce, and microsoft is laying off 10000 employees, metty, it is video game, this vision. ah, so let's bring in our guests for today's discussion from dublin, we're joined by elaine book, science and technology journalist, and also host of the for tex sake podcast from new york. jim addison, who's the chief executive officer of beacon software and social media sector, lead of glassware ventures, and again from dublin, adrian wexler, technology editor of the irish independent newspaper. good to have all of you on inside story. welcome to the program. elaine, let's start with you to these job cuts indicate that big tech is in big trouble. but if so, why am i certainly think that people will def, i feel that way that this, this a signal that all attack is in trouble. but at the end of the day,
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these companies are still hiring in some areas. i mean, amazon also announced at 18000 jobs last and this week, and his name's those creating a 1000 jobs in virginia with the entrepreneur data center. as are the areas a growth for them will still see at job creation. and it does seem that certain areas they're going to pull back on. in the case of google, you're looking at a lot of their kind of all their bats, their research and development side of things. the things that maybe won't turn a profit until they've had a long, long years of development. so they may go back on a lot of that stuff and they may also kind of call back on the support services that they offer in terms of their ad tech because they have agency, 2nd support staff and was definitely been talk of that happening. and all righty and be ahead of the the job coach. and he took galena about them perhaps coming back or in areas that that won't sort of profit for some years to come. but his isn't that short sighted of them. i suppose it's not sure if what their goal is is that the current market,
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i'm making sure the improvements are common here. the timing up of microsoft, google's nations, come joseph. they're about to report their full year figures for 2020 chose that's expected in early february. and it seems that they, they might be anticipating what, what would be stock market ripples coming from those earnings at announcements. and what we see when these jobs coordination are, are made, is that the stock market price tends to go off and google to sell saw 5 percent rise and share price on this night. so essentially it seems to be, they are thinking in the short term of the stock market price and hedging may be for an issue that's coming with the earnings call in february. and they're trying to anticipate the closing to madison in new york. we listed some of the, the reasons why tech companies are cutting back on, on that their workforce. one of them being the pandemic boom, not carrying through after the pandemic. why couldn't the vision reason the tech industry of, of foreseeing that why didn't the boom continue as life returned to normal for many
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of us. while i dream, i mean it's interesting, you know, the phrase that comes to mind to me is what goes, what must go down. right. and i, you know, the parent demik was remarkable and unprecedented in modern times. and i'm not sure anybody knew exactly what was going to happen afterwards. so in many ways it feels like what's been changed. here is this era of expectations of inevitability, that everything is going to continue to go up into the right for the tech companies . that's clearly not true, they're public companies, they have stock prices. and when the stock prices go down, they faced the same kind of pressures that the automakers and the drug manufacturers and everybody else faces. and this is sadly well worn playbook. when your stocks under pressure you, you cut costs and now we're seeing it for that exact. so it's capitalism work here . it really is. and it's really unfortunate. i mean, i don't think we should ever be glib about 10000 or 100000 people. these are real people losing their jobs, they have paychecks, they have family,
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they have mortgages, so there is a very significant human costs. the flip side of that though is, you know, we're so pleased when we see great job growth when we see companies hiring. one of the expectations, at least in the united states, is different obviously in different countries. if, if i'm going to hire people and you're going to be excited when i do that, i need to actually be able to reduce and let people go when times aren't so good. so that's, that's the downside. and none of us like to see that. but that's the reality in order for people to be willing to hire when times are good. they also have to be able to let people go when times are not so good. adrian in dublin, each company is cutting back. so would we between 5 and and 10 percent of its workforce is, is that just coincidence? i wonder, what percentage of tech sector workers are actually contractors of freelance, all of these cuts going to affect them to people who are not on the full time payroll. they're not full time employees, it could well do so if you take one company that has an outcome, for example, google here in dublin, they employ 10000 people, half of which are full time, stop,
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half of which are contractors. now the full time staff, the employees could go and say, 5000 to maybe 44700. we don't know what the figure will be or the contractors are. we won't know for a while. they would be big as starting firms, like accenture. so there is potentially 2nd tier effect on the contractors as well. don't forget. so that's employment in these tech companies went up by about a 3rd in the pound damage. so amazon, for example, was in seattle was hiring $5000.00 people every year. in addition, so that the cuts we're seeing now are not good and it may be canary in the coal mine in terms of a wider recession. but they're bringing the tech industry back to round the levels they were a year ago. and most of them that i talked to are all here in dublin for example. most than that i talked to are still talking about hiring typically in the 2nd half
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year. ok, so it's not necessarily going to have a detrimental impact upon the economy. the in dublin less as you say it's, it's a carrying a coal mine, and this was to come, not just in the tech sector there, narratives flashing here because there was a feeling that there was overheating going on in most western cities in the world. for example, as i was in crisis, a good chunk of that was caused by tech companies that have expanded though so quickly. now we most and overlook the fact. i think jim might have mentioned it and you mentioned it of a potential recession, particularly in the u. s, which many of the tech companies which are sharing jobs. that's really the market they're, they're guided by also don't underestimate regulatory impact in markets like europe. here we've seen piece of legislation like digital services act companies like mehta and google, which are deeply reliant on advertising and personalized advertising. they're
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taking, potentially a big hit there as well. there are many factors that play elaine. you touched on something about a ago when you said that the downturn doesn't appear to be affecting all companies . equally, apple, as you say, yet to announce job losses. that doesn't mean to say that that they won't be any but it, but it has yet to announce any there are other companies to does that perhaps signal that but other companies were, were more cautious in the 1st place when it came to hiring. during the panel, i mean, they didn't gamble on the pandemic. boom. yeah. even for even those who said that they were being cautious still seem to fall into this trap. i mean, technically speaking, google was externally reporting that it was on a hiring freeze from what you're 2020 to within a transpires. they hired by $30000.00 people at mostly at the top of that year. maybe the hiring freeze didn't rate and month later,
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but it does seem to be that even those who were attempting to be cautious and maybe our be saying that they're being cautious still fell into a trap. the. they just kind of believes the boom would continue forever. and ever, and hoped that it would shock bye as another example. c e. o to tobias ok. they had said in an earnings a forest showed as massive grocer in the pandemic that they knew that this kind of e commerce growth was not sustainable. it was pandemic. glad, and it was because of the crisis situation and people being at home and e commerce, having a boom because of that. and still they then few months later, a new job close because they had over anticipated how much that growth would sustain. so even those who are aware of it and reported themselves being where it's still silence the attract. we've had companies here at ireland that are unicorn growth stage, the growing and scaling companies and, and just recently hitting that 1000000000 dollar vibration like way fire, who are now having to go back a very recent hiring funds to the just seem to be that even though they're very
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much aware that they shouldn't fall into this trap of over hiring at for what is a crisis economy. it still seems we still think that they fall at fall into jim. i want to come back to where you were saying earlier on. what about about this being capitalism? at work at these companies are still for the most part, making money. in some cases, they're making a lot of money. okay, sure, i get it. what you were saying? you can't have people on the payroll who are surplus to requirements. but who's driving the cutbacks is this, is this the companies themselves, the the accountant saying, well, right, we're a bit heavy here. we need to let people go or is this shareholders? this is people who are looking to profit out of the sex the success of these tech companies. ultimately, it is the shareholders. i think you'd, you just nail that and of course, the accountants keep track of what we report to the shareholders. and so if you're an executive, one of these companies, it's interesting, there is a contagion that goes on for both good and bad. and you know, it's easy to talk about. we should be disciplined, we should be cautious,
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we shouldn't, over a higher, we shouldn't over eat to use the phrase. and somebody used earlier, that's all. well, instead of done and that sounds good. but then when you're in a bull market and things going crazy, you know, your own employees are wondering, why are we not capitalizing on this opportunity? why are we not growing? why are we not hiring? and so everybody gets caught up. and this idea that we've got to keep up, and then of course, when inevitably the music stops and things slow down. you've got real shareholders including active as shareholders, which largely had ignored tech companies, the activist shareholders work. we're not really in and around big tak where they take a stake and your company, they start nominated new members to your board. they start putting pressure on you . now you look like a lot of other public companies is ok. our stock price, as long as it was going up, i could get whatever err cover i needed to do that. once it starts going down, i've got to respond to the market. so it is very much the shareholders in the stock market, ultimately driving. that's right. so in terms of, of innovation and the impact that these tech jives have had and continued to have on all our lives, the question jim is,
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should activist shareholders be able to wield so much power? to what extent are they holding back innovation in these companies? yeah, that's a great question about soc markets in the role of, you know, publicly traded companies and you know, who takes what position. i think you, in general, if you wanted to argue that points purely around technology and i'll take that element of your question. i mean, these are the most innovative technology companies in the world and as painful as it is, especially if you're one of the say, 10000 people who lost your job, we're talking about 5 percent, 10 percent, 13 percent, i think was the number you mentioned for for facebook and meta, so these are not for the most part, massive cuts. now twitter is a special exception. you know, a company that had other problems and you on my cool. so let's set that aside. but, but these are still amazing engines of innovation and it would be wildly extreme to say ok, all the sudden google and microsoft and amazon and facebook are no longer going to
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be innovative because they cut 5 or 10 or 13 percent of their employees. i think that's generally unlikely, unsustainable, and you from the outside looking in, you're not going to see any appreciable difference in the output of those companies in the near term. ultimately, there certainly will be an impact, but it won't be visible to you and i by and large, lame was saying earlier on, perhaps, you know, it may be a little a little short sighted. let's, let's put that question into both. adrian and elaine, in terms of the future, adrian and driving the innovation that we've all lived over the last 20 years and will were promised, continue to change our lives for the better. not always but, but mostly a job losses on the scale. going to going to get a whole things back. and what's your view on this, on this shareholder activist point we were discussing? well, 22 points on that. first of all, you probably remember the big dot com crash in 1999. and there were a few companies that were on the up at that time and who crashed along with crash.
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one of them was a small company called amazon, and everybody said that amazon was finished and you know, it was to ambitious, we know 20 laser amazon is arguably the world's dominant, a retail company because it exactly as you say, it twigged. the change in our behavior and how the economy works and you may see that in effect now. i mean jim makes an excellent point. it's only 10 percent. in most cases of staff that are being left go many startup companies that i talk to say the downturns like this, where there's a certain number of people being left go from the big companies are actually very good for them because they find it very difficult to hire people in normal boom times now they might be able to afford to hire a director of engineering. i know they're very valuable staff, so it's very possible that actually you might see this laughing if you want to call it fast. you might see new blood, a new companies and new ideas,
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a new start ups that is something i want to, i want to home in on. in a few moments. first, elena, i want to ask you a specific question about about meta here and mark zach a book in particular with a wrong to bent so heavily on, on what medical for met of us. and the rest of us might call virtual reality. i want to the job losses of meta say about about his leadership. they definitely call this question, but maxim colberg is particularly powerful that matter and that he's also the largest shareholder and to hold a lot of play because of that vision. and i think the, the question is like we were talking to how innovative these companies truly are. i mean, their labels is innovative companies and they're very wealthy and powerful. so we see them that way. but a lot of the innovations these days are bought in on, even in the case of metaphors that from oculus, which was bought by face with a number of years ago. and see, it don't seem to have been a bit of a passion project of booker berks,
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for some time. now he has decision that we will all be operating about a birth, despite report from people who do have to live and work in this for the sake of their jobs are not really enjoying it. there's not really a user and side for this. and so you see this kind of problem it in better where it's a bit of a loan tax visionary. and if you've got everything on that loan tax visionary, having the right vision, well, then you're going to do the problems that they're facing, where they are investing a lot of money into a last name division. that doesn't seem to have the solid future that the c e o presumes to have. in the case of billable you have essentially an advertising business for the large part of its existence. they are now trying to compete with cloud services where amazon web services absolutely takes a talks about there and then microsoft would be a just a 2nd. so google is even the 3rd player among the big tech giants enough space. but that is a space where they do seem to see there's opportunity they are making caught there, but not close to facing rolls, not an engineering type roads. and google does need to find
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a new revenue stream because the ad tech advertising business definitely isn't to, to sustain the size of the company. that it is not the way to focusing. but then it's talking about pivoting to a, i essentially, and that's where we get what, where i question the, in the midst of these companies because they are just following trans. that's a great singularity. we now have twitter copying and take talked interface with for you and following. and you see that happen all the time across these companies. they coffee and they acquire and new ideas actually aren't often brought before. i think apple is actually like what a brand new ideas are there, but they're very smart about if they understand market research and all that kind of stuff. and then in terms of matter, you have maxim gerberg's trying to bring a new idea to the for that he doesn't seem to understand to resonate with the everyday person to join up. just saying about locks. zach a book here and, and his leadership to what extent do you think he's holding met back. what's interesting his his vision for virtual reality and the bed of verse. i think many
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of us myself included question that it seems very dubious, but it was interesting just a few minutes ago we were talking about companies being short sighted. right? i mean, it's is going to be criticized no matter what you do. and in bear to the mark sucker berg, you know, the 4 of us can all have our opinions. none of us have founded a company that became worth $500000000000.00 or more. so you probably deserves the benefit of that out. but that being said, i'm just like most people intensely skeptical that that's a world we want to live in. and i think history may prove that that was really a poor judgment, or it's entirely possible that he is playing the long game like we talked about. he's trying to be strategic and innovative for the future. and maybe the metal roof will play out in ways that we don't understand and can't predict. and i guess that's the role of a visionary. and you know, it is true that he controls the company. he's a super, super voting rights as a shareholder. so effectively, he can ignore the outside noise, probably in a way that most other companies, including, you know, google and even amazon cannot. so he can certainly insulate himself from,
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from the criticism. that's what he choose to do, adrian. i want to pick up on what he was saying. and also what jim was saying about visionaries there where, where the, the future is. if visionaries, to what extent will nimble a smaller companies who can innovate faster than the be able to take a share of the business. as we all know today about amazon, apple, microsoft, net metal, netflix, and, and so on. in 10 years time, even 5 years time will over new companies have become household names at the expense of the current crop. oh, i think so. i mean, there used to be an hour to a couple of years ago that the fang companies, the facebook and amazons and apples and google to netflix is we're too big to disrupt every 2 or 3 years. that is complete. that is proven to be completely wrong . 5 years ago, very few people had heard of a company called tick tock. now it is by far the hardest social media company in
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terms of downloads and it is the it has its rivals absolutely scrambling in the last few months. one technology has free to google. i have completely chat g p t, artificial intelligence, microsoft reportedly investing up to 10000000000 in the search industry on a search business and how we actually search for things on line within the next 18 months might be completely different to what has been in, in the last 5 to 10 years. so if you're asking me for a 10 year protection, i would say, but it's, it's almost certain that 2 or 3 of the big players who we cannot have imagined ever have living with us at that time will be new companies. ok. elaine big tech companies, of course, are global concerns. other regions of the world, it will be affected more than others in these job cuts where wages and staff costs a higher for example. and are we likely to see the center of gravity shift?
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all right, these, that global concerns, but that they're mostly based in silicon valley. do you think that these companies should now be looking over their shoulder places like china and india, where the competition is likely to emerge and, and take that crown if you like, as, as the b m also the tech industry? absolutely. and they can preserve, the ha, happened with tick tock, where at silicon valley maybe was paying too much attention to tick tock until the complete exploded in their faces. and they suddenly were playing rival in the back for to this massive chinese tech fire. and, and, and trying to help produce some incredible tech companies absolutely compete at the same level of those silicon valley giants. and there's no reason why you couldn't do that with the level of engineering and tech town that comes out of india. and it could be a completely different landscape in the future where we don't speak about silicon valley, the way that we do now as this innovation center,
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i think the glass of that reputation has long been worn away and it is really losing face in the current context and i think as a point, as well, and pivots to ai. what you might see is the people who've been doing the work and i before now before this kind of appetite ad grew in the last couple months because of the recent releases. they might have a much better understanding of this technology because there's a lot of ethical and, and bigger considerations the have come before them in taishan. what i'm afraid proceeds with the big tech giants will panic and start and munching best of willy nilly with a really taking those interest iteration. and that could be to the detriment of all of us, including a gym. the final question here, i've got about a minute in which you can answer this. will the big companies themselves, adrian, i think, brought up regulators and anti competitive practices. will the big companies
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themselves be able to survive? to what extent are they going to become too big for their own good and, and the regulators will split them up. you know, i've, i've long thought the anti trust is probably the biggest threat that these companies face. and that's probably still true, although it is interesting, they can argue and say, hey, look, we just laid off $10000.00 people. how big and how dominant and how you know, how can in control, can we really be when we're doing this? so i think that actually will ease some of the regulatory concerns and everybody is and should be concerned about job loss, including regulators. right. and so that's the, that's always been the rebuttal is when you try to break us up where you may not have the engines of growth anymore, you may lose high paying jobs, you know, all, all of those kinds of thing. but i do think there are still substantial regulatory issues anti trust that we should also mentioned you raised china, authoritarian governments we know are on the rise around the world. so it's as successful and powerful is tick tock is i don't think ultimately it's a technology choice as much as it is a geo political choice. it's entirely likely that tick tock, good up band in the us. and that's again, that's political not,
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not technology. fascinating, really enjoyed this discussion. many thanks to all of you. elaine book, jim anderson at adrian westlaw. as always, thank you for watching. don't forget, you can see the program again at any time by visiting our website. that's our 0 dot com to further discussion. join us on our facebook page, you'll find that at facebook dot com forward slash ha inside story. and of course the conversation continues on twitter handle at a j inside story for me, adrian, for the good of the whole team. here though, thanks for watching. we'll see you again. ah, i can look my sign with my face. you can access your bank account with your voice unique algorithmic measurements of us that are revolutionizing the process of identification. the biometrics, a fall from present big convenience and seeming infallibility. comes at a price,
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