of moisture and humidity that will sparks and storms probably severe, right across the bung with a dash for buck us down. we've got that pre monsoon hits, building force and profit and switch. we would expect for this time of the year, but a bit of relief for karate season for thousands of years. farmers and shepherds have lips to learn about the traditional way of life, a female district for generation. as israel plants annexation into the occupied west bank. well goes to the jordan valley, where you need to settlements have already expand and asks what the future holds for these palestinian farmers, shepherds of the jordan valley on the jersey to the will the pro democracy authorization takes pallet in thailand execute a significant victory in the general election and promises major reforms with the

ministry so powerful. how could this of chief it? this is inside story. the hello that i'm laura. kyle. thailand's opposition has won the general elections by a landslide, but the question now is whether the military lead will that govern the leader of the move forward policy is ready to be the next prime minister. but 1st, pizza living joy, roland rod, must form a coalition that can overcome the minute trip. pointed senate. he must win a majority of seats on the upper and lower houses of parliament to form the next government and push ahead. with big reforms promised on the campaign trail will explode these issues with all guests in a moment. but fast this report,

i'm castillo, pest hold of them. voters in thailand have overwhelmingly backed the opposition, projecting years a status quote, and government. now the head of the progressive move forward party could be the country's newsletter. i am ready to be the prime minister for all whether you agree with me or you disagree with me. but for that to happen, there's yet another political hurdle, a major block into send it is appointed by the military. and it also gets to say on who becomes prime minister and who leads any new government. the opposition has a newly formed coalition, most notably with the few type party, the alliance miss nell strike a deal to win over. some of these don't affect politicians. frustration has been brewing in thailand. well before the election, thousands of protests broke out in 2020,

with demonstrators openly criticizing the monarchy and amending prime minister prior tunnel. just step down. now the general, who left the country after seizing power and a 2014 military crew has acknowledged this defeat. indeed, and from now it's about a transition in the formation of a government blue gun all ties. i should love each other and i'm in be united for the country without conflict with it's hot. thailand is the 2nd largest economy in southeast asia after indonesia rising in place and then the youth vote played a major role in the election results. the book troubles held by and we were all helping the government would move the economy forward right now to earn even $10.00 is challenging. if i sell coffee for half a day, the economy is bad. i feel the election results carry a new meaning. that could bring about even more changes. i hope the good things will be happening in thailand. with a political shift in politics,

thailand was now wait to see if a new government will also reflect a new direction. cuts you a little bit. so the young for insight story okay, well let's get into the discussion now and join august or from find called pard watch. arrestin is policy come, pay manager for the move forward policy and an m. p. lex. and the type government punch of the 31, a boot as a specialist and type politics and the associate professor at my adult university. i'm showing the impact on is a political analyst and format and national security advisor. so the, then the problem is that getting lot shouldn't even look sion of what i would welcome to all of you. all right, what's the address in? first of all, congratulations on your when it has sent shock waves through thailand. how are you feeling about that? a yeah, thank you very much. i think the election results,

but actually even beyond our boarding total exploitation setting and what it demonstrates is a creative mind for change that the time people want to see. if you look beyond just the results of the board party, you realize that that only 2 parties that were able to get more than a 100 seats and $42.00 parties that were able to get support for more than 10 minutes voters. and that is move forward party and good type party, both of whom well, in the opposition side of the political spectrum over the past 4 years. so i think want to demonstrate is a clear, do you mind for change from the type people right now? i think what we are trying to do is to push ahead to form a government that can push trudy's progressive reforms across post political, economic, and social issues. then we'll look at just how easy or difficult that's going to be in just a moment showing. the 1st time, what time it may have come seconds in this selection, but it's the 1st time that it's lost. the popular vote has the should've what tennessee lost its shine. well, i would like to caution this,

even if i want to congratulate a good night for his party victory. but in terms of uh, in terms of numbers, all of the district in piece was right. close a 113 to 100 and wow. but yes or potty list the most our party leads the tie by a substantial margin on both of us. both of all parties, both of a good high and go guy have been an allied, we may have some differences, but we also want to move the country forward and put, i want to work with a gives the top guy and we have to offer you a chance to form the government and we will refrain from, from doing anything beyond what you say political courtesy and wait for

that. however, we also know that uh with all coalition, with the time of move forward only has $310.00 volts in order to be a prime minister. it required 3 and it was 76, mo, uh for the steps we have to go through before that date. that's a, that's a little time table here. you see has to certified around in 60 days for it. okay, so for, for visual result then there's a process to let the house speaker, the next would be the prime minister. and so far will forward has to work hard to recruit more members or even appeals to a point of set it up. so what are the for the prime minister?

okay, well that's oscar punch it whether she thinks that this can be achieved. can this coalition little more people to join it to reach that magic 376 number web i it kind of easily form its own government and choose its own leader to well, uh, well, uh, 1st off, east bed. good evening, sir, in bangkok and congratulations who couldn't period. well, you know, what is this uh, a lot of, uh, a lot of criticisms on this because, you know, everyone who worked for move forward party didn't want to move forward to farm to college and government and to become the prime minister. the party leaders of both i was suppose to be the prime minister. but so far, i think is certainly a very difficult time because you know, i, in thailand or in other media, try know the senate or, you know, a lot of senator has already given our interview for a lot of media that day. we would not board, you know, to support, move forward to become the prime minister and also to find the coordination government. so at this time, you know,

even though our foot high is sort of our agree that they will support, will follow or to fund the college and government. but they, as still, you know, not the rent, the whether or not move forward can 5 or 376. as the earlier a speaker have to say, 376 easterly imports for a number and then move forward, have to fight for it. and so far it seems like move forward, you know, kind of our expect to send that you know, to award to support them. which is for me, i think is a bit difficult and you know, we have, we have to wait and see whether or not move forward can form the coordination. and you know, to part, to nominate the prime minister of it, the $376.00 seats. okay. so far we've heard from the move forward policy lead to be to live in general, and right, he's almost dead the senate to define the vote outcome to defy the people as well. but as, as punch out does, says a is there's an unrealistic request to get this military. but number of members in

the senate to switch allegiances to i don't think it's on an unrealistic request. i mean, be always reiterates that, you know, giving an, a military, a point to a senate, the power to both for prime ministers and democratic nature. do you got to put to numbers to bear in mind? the 1st one is a part of the treatment $76.00, which is basically the 50 percent of the joint houses are probably going to get elected prime minister. but the 2nd number is 260, which is actually the pocket flashing managing government. because once you form a government, any vote on laws, any votes under budget or any more so no confidence actually does not in both understand it. so in that sense, even though the $0.25 is going to be a relatively a block of 5 minutes, the demands the majority below a house in the vote for the prime minister. but i don't see the point of doing that because if they pop up any time it is the body come mind a minority of the lower house and that prime minister,

wherever he or she may be going to actually go up and then i'll pass any bill is going to pass in your budget and we'll get put down a no contract said way. but the thing just big numbers, right? how do we get to that 376 thing right now, the set of properties that we are trying to bump correlation with, gets us to about 3 or 3 written 10. the question is, why is the other 60 going to come from the the 2 sauces are the 1st saw that actually defend it since because we see the logs that just came out and sold against booking for a move bullet. prime minister do not represent the viewpoint of all send it to us and we have when it actually passed, which it is today we are seeing more and more citizens coming out saying that they will, they will back move forward black police or not because they particularly like or what, but because they want to abide by democratic rules that they should support a set of policies that can come in to keep them on more than half the lower house. and then the 2nd stuff is the part is actually from the other parties are not into coalition. but given this special circumstance, they might respectfully vote for

a move forward that coalition, even though they will not be bound to go. and just to know block out the issue of the senators locking um the, the majority company. okay. so the bar is expressing some optimism that the policy can move forward and unfold. the government was like questioning why the military would push a week the, the in place in charge of a minority government. but from your experience with, with high policy, this has happened before, hasn't it back in 2019 plus. hi, one. again, the middle, the popular vote, but didn't get to rule the country, power charger was put in place by the ministry. i see this peculiarity of this constitution. it was written to retain the advantage of the military incumbent. and therefore, in order for the tools or country forward has to be some sort of compromised among

the appointed senators. and like good parents say that they have made some gestures to keep the country moving forward. i really wouldn't lose that much. all we have to take a little bit of step each time and the mood of the countries in the news. to me, the senate is it seems a little bit of a loading dock. they have one year left to go. and if i move forward, talk to them nicely, they could produce the resolve or can be surprising. but then we are in a situation that is kind of unknown, unknown here. i don't want to go on the, let me just say to move forward with succeed. but this is a situation where we are, we have 60 days. uh for this to happen. that's plenty all maneuvering in type politics. that's a lot of dark arcs. how happened? all the time that it has been a substantial under underneath the table moving,

but this is what e c has decided by this and of all for the near future. nobody knows. but let's hope that move forward could. so i'm going to drop them in as states since a one, a pencil. let's look at the election commission as shown as that. it's me, it's a has 60 days to specify the results. now it's worth mentioning, isn't it the so election commission is part. busy of the establishment, powerful conservative establishment which controls largely the courts, the election commission and has many tools that is disposal to retain the states as quote. so what's of a tongue says that the election commission is actually going to testify this results? well, i think, you know, a lot of people criticize election, the election commission. so thailand, since the 2019 election and also it is election as well. but you know, that's um,

that's how these i think these time is a lot a bit live a bit her that last election because you know, a lot of people and you know, social media and online media try being to off sort how the election commission is handled this elections and you know, at this time, you know, election information trying to i think that if you pull longer waiting and announced the result of the election this time. so he's gonna take 60 days and after that, you know, is the time that you can, we can see the coordination problem. and um, even though people in thailand, especially the younger generation, you know, be involved in the politics like these and keep reading this, you know, and to be fi, you fi fi out. who's going to be the coordination of government? it will help to also of how the election commission handled the situation and you know, you investigated, you know, anything that might do wrong with the election information as well. part there was some big reforms on the move forward agenda. what are your priorities? the i think let me just come back to your previous question, laura,

just to kind of find, give you time to most thoughts as a cool. the 1st one is that the situation is quite different to 2019 and um, to cover the electron. because this time around, um, move forward and put tight together. when you add the numbers to get up for more than half the employees in the lower house, this was not the case back in 2019 percent allowed. incentive to have an excuse to board and retain the general per year. so this time is slightly different. and the 2nd thoughts and information is i actually have caused the past 3 years. that would be at least $0.60 is who voted. i'm in agreement with um i bought a showing the power to vote for who becomes prime minister even though that didn't pass it up. wasn't the majority of the percentages, but there were at least 60 who were in favor or at least 4 in opposed to them having this power to elect crime, you like them who becomes prime minister. so we hope for the 6 weeks that has also retained what they had voted from previously as well. um, do you have questions on our agenda and you'd be have 300 policies or be introduced

and communicated with the voters before the election. so let me know costs and of course and copeland that will have to be the conversations about how much that is in line with the coalition parties. but as a lot of positive then we would try to push ahead as many of our policy as possible as a joint agenda for the government. and that includes things like democracy station, it goes, things like deemed train station includes our agenda to the centralized power to local governments, to reduce the parties to an expansion of low pass state, as well as the reforms of the education system and the civil service. so mean that all the parts in, um, anything right now is the situations that were in conversations we had the coalition apartments about a want to be just showing agenda of the, of the coalition government. okay. showing the minutes rise ation is the minute tray and thailand ready to relinquish power. and well, apparently this is the joint of policy platform of both to try and

move forward is to make the they're going to try to get rid of the draft. so it would be volunteer army just like united state um would that i have heard the stuff uh, couldn't be todd, be hateful. of go guy one to take over the 2 key ministry. one of them is the ministry of defense and the education and part of the supplemental reform is to to push to this uh, volunteer army. but i want to find out that, oh, for the issue concerning the nation is, is, is more than just just reform alone. but the economic malays, the thailand phase for the past 8 years, the last 2 years, specially with the quote, with high people in really,

really bad shape. and this call a new coalition government model must foot focused on economic priority as that perhaps i have put forward and the, uh, not, not as much clearer as i saw. it may have to be you but, but we hope they could. uh, you know, put, put an, understand this, this priority. okay. uh, is a, um, a sorry, part of the, the economy. is that going to be a number one priority? i mean, the economy is, is a part of the price. so, i mean, if you're looking at what the policy is, i may have to respectfully disagree with the statement that we're not being clear on a economic policy is. i mean, we actually announced not just to bring the policy. so if we wanted to, to do a cost, i will forget to be also present to a $100.00 day roadmap of what we would do in the 1st $100.00 days. and part of that would include economic initiatives, whether it's, you know, reducing electricity. bill was whether it's um, introducing

a new program that allows for assembly used to be able to compete mulkins to big businesses as well as increasing minimum wage to $450.00 per day. we didn't 500 days. and then you know, amending the law to ensure that minimum wage rises automatically each year based on inflation and economic growth. so i think i have to respectfully disagree with the, with the assumption that move forward is potties agenda is not focused on, on economic properties. i think what we're trying to say is that, you know, solving the economic issues as well as doing the necessary reforms of various political institutions and, and noticed that was the ones that indication can be done, environmental and that's what we do. okay, and i'm so many of those more detailed conversations will be happening over the coming days and weeks between these co, a potential coalition partners and the punch. and i want to get back to this issue of the ministry because it's still, well, there's a lot of optimism today that it will relinquish pallet as really still know some see, i'm looking at history. it has

a huge amount of pilot in thailand. there's been many, many military clues and it's history when it hasn't gone the way the, the major we talk about demo tries ation. yes. removing the draw off is one thing. but what about removing the minute treat from politics? is it ready to withdrawal the well, i think, you know, most of the political party and even, you know, the younger generation there. one, you know, the military to be out of the politics. but in practice at this time, i think it's a little bit hard because you know, they, they are supporting the conservative size and then to get them out from the middle, from the politics they should be, uh, you know, released uh slow uh, uh, continuous process and it has to be take some time. and at this election, i think it's really clear that, you know, most of the people in thailand they don't military to be, you know, we serve our, you know, walking in the politics anymore. i'm as a result of the elections you know, um, but to a major problem military party has to be, you know, they've been a lot

a little numbers of boards. and you know, our department is started by, you know, cha, seem to be, you know, stop working and stop to a stop. be in the pony they've, as you can see today. you know, one of us go tommy's and now the, one of the former minister have pointed out that the, the apartment is the president. no child maybe stop, you know, and to try to not, not, not going to be involved in politics anymore. but again, you know, we don't really know how it's going to be like, it does depend on how the coordination of government bullying to be light is move forward. can really, it's for the coordination of government and p. tar. cannot be their prime minister and let the 2nd political party who are tied to july. yeah. to be, you know, the leading of the coordination of government and become, you know, the prime minister. that's a 2nd option that a lot of people talking about it that the look hi, my job would be either problem military political parties of the language are right party to solve the quotation,

government. and so then at this time i think foot height is a really important factor, whether they cannot really die, people follow to form a college and government. and i hope is going to happen. but if not, that's another option that put hardwood floor, but not the culture tell them and be like the political parties. so, and what does the tons of that happening? but palletized will a band and then move forward policy and join the pro pro ministry policies. or today they put tight body has come out and said they would play by their political rule, which allows move forward to be the 1st to how to form this government . and then without, without using the to $1.00 cost, meaning the military parties involved. and i have to be, i have to abide by that reasoning. but of course that's always a lot of scenario. a lot thing can happen in 60 days before the, the house,

the 1st session that could be a lot of a little political maneuvering. and if the senate rejected or if moved forward, got sure number is for some reason negotiation to get. so call 60 possible independent senators not to side with them. this is such a non well known future that i can accommodate upon. yeah, in thailand, being a, uh, a difficult situation politically for a long, long time in terms of not having a constitutional election. so oh, all side are watching each other very, very well and, and we have to see what really, what happened. but if i want it by the rules, okay. um that a major part of move forward policies campaign agenda was a promise to amends, a sense of less than just

a nose pizza is already vowed to go ahead with that. is he the worries that he's gonna suffer the same faces the future for found to be charged on the section $11212.00, which of course charges on the criticism of the monarchy a yeah, so i mean, i will reconfirm the amending a match the 112, is one of our 300 policy, so we will push ahead. i think we are not afraid that that will put us in a position by our leader will be charged with actually 112. because we know that what we are doing is a proposal to amend a law and a criminal code which is something that is it's normal to do anything. we've been very clear with the public about which you know which problem. so we want to fix and how we want to amend the law. i believe we will not be able to be potty as well in the parliament that will support amendment of this law. so even if you will not

be isolated in just into such end, to append to the more even talking about less majestic. and it was a huge change in thailand from a few years ago. the country is really undergoing massive changes is going about to enter a big period of uncertainty, isn't that as well? i think, you know, at this time because of the move followed by the election, i think is going to be a lot of change. but do you know the process to change all these experts and read the article 112 is really difficult even though the move forward can, you know, submit this to the, probably a men because they have enough number. but you know, that's another process to go through and know, so it has to be approved by the senate as well. so then, you know, i think it's a bit difficult to change these ones. well, article, even though you know, the one that amended and not everyone in tyler, especially the young generation that has been requested as far as planning on time . but i think you'd be, have to wait and see whether you know,

how this going to be happen. and how move forward going to amend and how these going to either political party, whether or not they can not support move forward or changing this article 112. absolutely, i believe will be revisiting the story a 5 bit over the next 60 days. the next couple of months, many things today to our guests for joining us for a very interesting discussion parent to watch a rest and punch or the story one, a boot and show, and then press on. and thank you to for watching. you can see the program again any time by visiting our website that's out there at dot com for further discussion to you guys. well, facebook page, that's facebook dot com forward slash a inside story. you can also join the conversation on twitter homeless at a inside story from me laura kyle: i'm the whole team here is bye for now. the

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