the latest news, as it breaks, vladimir has vowed to take the enemy outs and defense. officials are confident. we can push the occupying forces over 1st with detailed coverage for most parts of mex, can say they have little pull very little confidence in the justice authority from around the world. for protesters it's about keeping up the pressure on the democratic party in the genocide and also holds arms sales. israel. it has a lot of launches hundreds of rockets and drives that as well all through a targeted the group in southern lebanon. both sides say more will follow how significant all these cross border attacks and how closely do they bring the world to a wind, a regional conflict. this is inside story, the

hello and welcome to the show. i'm sammy's. i them southern evidence once again under his riley attack while has the law heads back with rocket and drawn strikes against targets across the border age. the lights has been assigned color violence is palestinians remain on the constant attack and israel's relentless war. on garza, the nicest escalation shows the potential for the conflict to spread. the rom backs has the law as well, is supported, unarmed by western nations. so what do these licensed attacks mean and how great is the risk of why the regional conflict? what stuff i get from happening so far. we'll put that to our guests in a moment. but 1st this report from wilson guys on in what appears to be a significant escalation. israel launched what it called pre emptive strikes across southern lebanon. early on sunday. it said it was targeting has bullet positions in

the region. the cross border violence has been happening for months. a ron bax, hezbollah began firing rockets into northern israel and protest against the war on god. it is said, it will continue to do so until there is a cease fire. but despite the efforts to bring it into that for israel has kept up its attacks, threatening a wider regional conflict. that was the people in love it on say they're living in constant fear. stranded passengers and a root watched helplessly as lights were cancelled one by one after sundays. attacks. yeah, i know, but the see what i just want to get out of here, but it means possible. i tried to go out by land. i tried with whatever airlines in any way i just want to get out of here. then i will figure it out. i was already on set and when i came here for vacation, i was thinking to myself that at any moment that could be a conflict breaking out. so being here, powerless, it's frustrating, especially since my studies are at stake. that's my situation that i'm on top of

that i have paid for it for my residency to security and everything. so being stuck like that, hands tied by dinner, hezbollah had promised to respond to israel's assassination. of one of the senior commanders floods record killed in bay root in july. in its statement it set it targeted a number of enemies sites and barracks, as well as platforms for israel's iron dome defense system. hundreds of fighters and civilians on the 11 east side of the border haven't killed and is rarely strikes in recent months. and hundreds of thousands of israeli civilians have had to move away from their homes in northern areas because of the game is okay, so we have the time and do everything possible to protect our country, to attend the residence of an old, safely to the home. and to continue to uphold a simple rule, whether hum to us, we hum hands you click again. the tension has been high in the region since is real assassinated senior hamas and hezbollah leaders. in recent weeks,

a ron has promised a response to the assassination of hamas leader is miles honey a and it's capital t. ron on july 31st in the u. s, which has promised iron clad support. israel is sending more military enabled personnel to the region just last week. it approved another arms sale to israel worth $20000000000.00. as the suffering of the palestinian people in gaza continues, the entire region remains on edge, fearful of what could happen next. wilson dies ard elda 0 for inside story. the last spring, i guess, into the show we have joining us from bay road, had a job in the journalist, and all sort of books on iraq and lebanon, including has balop bone with a vengeance in athens. nicholas no political adviser and editorial of the voice of has the law, the speeches of husband, the federal law, and to her on how much not on the professor at the university of tech drawn will

welcome to all of you. if i could start with jaila in by route. so how about how do you read these recent exchanges between israel and has blog? what are they as wide ranging as deep as some may have expected? um good afternoon everybody. today's offensive. my husband, well actually, um, showcase uh, something very important that's in one state doctor. uh and, and not the classic of the army. in fact there was a physical was able to impose the parents. again, just one of the circle is the strongest. if not, the strongest alleged military's in the region is red. um and it did so by utilizing or using a cheap uh, in effect cheap. um, um rockets um uh, not the most sophisticated uh drawers to over what to penetrate the history of the

skies. to reach up to a 110 kilometers and deep into his red. and i'm about to 100 percent and, and most of the kind of each and to impose a new level of the fair as a guest is read. but we've kind of, we still visual these riley's launch. what val calling a preemptive strike, and i'm coming to that. exactly. so according to nathan, yahoo is where i launched a preemptive strike. and actually i finished off if you want or at, or, or took care of between initially it said a 1000, then it was 6000 sex, reach up to 8. thousands of has one law broker or miss lloyd. however, there were, there were no 2nd re um, uh, what do you call that they were doing a 2nd. the and the exclusions. uh, there were no minutes. the uh, losses has what

a lot is known to announce in need of the any members of the office that should, that have been the case as well. i would not have been able to launch 320 between drones. rocket central is right at each of the drones if you want, usually takes about uh, 2 to 3 hours preparation, but also about uh, semen uh, teeth, teeth that goes 3 months fighters to prepare. so you, if uh, so you would be talking to collect quite a lot of numbers now, looking at them, yahoo instead actually, and what happened on the grounds. uh, no secondary exposures. uh, normally chico, costs about on what he actually claims. the baby really finished off or mostly finished uh, between one, all right, and 60028000. all right. that has been some records. those read reports that have been some reports claiming there was some casualties amongst has belong fighters.

things, although not a 100 percent clear at this point, nick, looking at the situation so far. how do you read the intentions of both policies is run, has beleive, given the type of attacks with both sides, saying they've been focusing on minute 3 targets. the scale of attacks, or do you read in this, that these strikes, these exchanges all still the within the premises of what we can call, i guess, maybe calibrated casserly calibrated strikes. i think that is the case. it's really hard to talk about intentionality with any of these actors. that's the 1st thing. second of all, i think we're going to learn a lot more about the intentionality of has above the one site and the for all of the head of the party speaks shortly in the coming hours or when this is broadcasting will of already spoken. so that's something else but next i think in

general. busy so what we have here in a normal situation is the off frames to the escalation could be very available to all parties. a has butler could claim that they launched significant attacks. there's an, or it is rarely military censorship. it's very hard to determine whether and to what extent that might be true on the is really side. they can claim a mythical pre emptive attack, which we've seen actually debunk several times, most notably in the august 2006 war when these rallies claim to medical 34 minute error operation that destroyed all of has butler's a significant rocketry, which turned out very much to not be the case. however, i think, you know, in general, where we're at is not a normal situation. so the normal pathways to the escalation, after this kind of an exchange aren't available. we're 11 months into this war, which is properly and should properly be called a war. it involves not only how design, palestine and israel,

and also 11 on involved, so much wider swath of the region. so i think the, you know, the, the, the calibration has been obviously once again careful from the israelis relatively careful. again, this would all be between quotes because civilians are getting killed. civilian areas are being curved in various instances by various actors. but in general, we're at a point where it's still not an open war. we haven't we this this morning until right now, but i would also caution viewers and all of us that this is a situation that has been ongoing for 11 months. today's events may not be finished, and in any case, they are not likely to be finished because we are still very far away. it seems from a durable cease fire over the war, specifically in the casa. and because that's the case, i still expect in the coming period, things will get more dangerous and we'll have more escalation. so maybe more to

come. how much not on the in to ron, how significant is it that has the laws retaliation for the killing of one of it seen the a come on. those was known called nice. it all synchronized with and the rain in retaliation for the kidding of his my and he is so far and what we've seen today. well, 1st of all, i should all stress the point that as long as had no casualties. so far they've declared not 11 non is non for large country here. first of all, again, as a point now if they are known as your previous guess, pointed out to declare their martyrs a 2nd of all in the place like rep and on you can hide monitor. so i don't think i mentioned you lose claims are accurate because based on those claims you should have a very large number of people i sold you to somebody has been not injured or

killed by the machine. but i think that there must definitely have been coordination between the different members of the axis of resistance. meaning yeah, man, 11 non syria to rock and the ron and of course the resistance inside palestine. but what, what i mean, the thing we didn't see around launch that retaliatory strike that its officials have been talking about in the same time, at the same time so far with the has the last strike that we've seen so far is how significant is that can we read anything into that, and i would imagine that the iranians want be, is rainy regime as well as design is in general to continue guessing they've caused a lot of damage to the economy over the past few weeks because they've kept them guessing. this riley is had to move around

a lot of their infrastructure to keep them safe. their businesses have been disrupted, and the military and intelligence agencies have had to have extra precautions in case there was a, there in case there was a mis, i'll strike. so it is causing a lot of economic damage to the machine and i think there's own need for and so not our parents bought the car a wrong to carry out strikes simultaneously. in fact, i think that the impact this way is more significant, but we also kind of to as your previous guess, pointed out way didn't see what to say. and pass on that sort of law has to say in the coming hours, nick, looking at um as what, what's happening right now? what is the possibility? do you think of a wind to region a will breaking out as well?

you know, i'm, i'm one that has said and argued for really quite some time since really november that the likelihood of a much more expanded conflict or really an open war had been growing. and i, i still fail to see, given the total us support for israel, the extraordinary moral hazard that that has been created in the sense of moving one 3rd of the u. s. navy to the region, to essentially, or to verbally provide added fire power to the israelis and all of these different factors. and also the tremendous capabilities that has bella has kind of partially unveiled. i don't see how that is what the israelis can let this situation stand. and given the, the just tremendous support from the united states just shipped over several

$1000000000.00 of weapons, billions of dollars and economic assistance as needed, etc. i found a lot you're saying is that you expect the or you, you read at least elements of the israeli government would like to escalate this to oh, i definitely have rejected since the beginning this idea that nobody quote unquote wants for. i think that there are significant elements of these really leadership that very much want to see a climax take what they think is a climb act, a consultation, especially with test bella, and especially with, you know, and many of them have argued publicly that this is a victory doctrine and this is the only way to pursue israel's interest and the united states and to bind administration of more or less gone all in on supporting whoever wants to press that agenda for. all right. how about how do you read? has the laws intentions going forward? i mean, they've said this is the 1st phase. does anything that has happened in this?

try give us any indication of what the next stage is. might look like how, why they might be, whether they'll be joined by all the regional players in the strikes on israel and when it might be. and i think today's statement in which they said this was the 1st phase. i think a lot of us read into this that there would be a 2nd, a 2nd phase, and whether or not to us from has well, what i thought was one of one of the other actions via iran. i'm a young man and you're all cool of home, have promised their own reprise and for the for, for is with the aggression is against them. however, there's one thing, there's one thing to note um uh, are really using this is it's might be the case as well as actually saying this was the 1st phase. in other words, should israel decide to respond to what happened today by enlightening this for them. that's wouldn't bring on a 2nd phase,

which would be bigger and more serious. um, it sounds like your favorite jobs that this might be, this might be over for now in terms of the, the line i've been, i believe, i believe, for the time being i, i totally believe for the time being. this is the 1st phase, and this is a sock with israel. having said big enough wants to expand love expanding, been things go back to what we have before been known. the normal and back in full was fighting between the 25 and the support for guys and let's not forget garza, but also one of the things you was saying is you were surprised about today's a thought maybe no for the nation, but there are, i mean, we need to remember when, when all of the access decided and, and, and pledge that they would do reprice it against as read for the suggestion. none of them be able to schedule, but none of them said that this was going to be coordinated attacks either they all agree, but each one had the right to respond. now whether they responded together or whether

they responded independently, as we saw today, has been a lot took the initiative responded independently on its own. despite, despite the build up of american and american assets, troops and, and best those in the region, it was not intimidated. it's been for the said, it's pledge to, to send a reprise in is read, seems to have got the message or at least the americans who appear not to one vista drug into a region a rule despite the build up and the region bear here to be prepared, should it escalate further? but i think all parties concerned including your on the not one this will expand into a region or more, and i such rise would issue the statement saying we do not want to expand this app or beyond. so things won't go back because i think over the last month when everything happening we've been awesome draping on the price of the acts as is right. and what's going to happen and i this has been diverted away from gaza. so now it goes back to concentrating on guys, all right, and the war of support

a warranty on that dynamic, right? and just for the right hold, it might my question to my husband in to around was how significant is it rabo van? i am surprised, but thank you, you made a really good point in your analysis that how i want to bring it in because it seems listening to, to nix analysis and how does that analysis that the panel feel that has belong not too eager to expand this right now, what about iran, how do you read the appetite, particularly of the new government? is it more interested in trying to address domestic issues and challenges the economy lifting sanctions? rob advancing rounds results is go towards getting bumped down in a wall, potentially not in with this robot with the us. no one in the region, one se, regional more except for as your uh, guest uh,

one of your guests riley pointed out the matching out origin. but the issue is that uh march or hanging. it was assassinated in town and he was attacked and murdered in test run along with his companion. and it was, he was in toronto at the invitation of president position young. and he was a guest. that is a non gratian and he was a gas at the, at an official government guest house. and so we know quite well that this or any regime has already carried out a tax on the wrong. we saw them strike them to see in damascus in western countries literally supported the regime and doing that. so you won't have to carry out an attack to create the parents and that the turn slice it 3 months roughly. so if you're around does not strike the regime, it will only encourage netanyahu,

and the people around him from having to do thinking that's fine. it is inevitable . a direct strike from iran is still on the table. it's inevitable. it's just a matter of time. absolutely, i have no doubt that there will be a significant strike that will be painful. it won't be more significant than the iranian strike in april. and the we have to keep in mind that hasn't been delayed the next one, haven't we seen it so far as well? there are a number of reasons why the ryans have a debate. the strike one is that they run into carrying on psychological warfare. as i said earlier, there is having a very significant impact on life in the initial. and so why not add to the misery of the regime by keeping them guessing for a while back now that has the law has attacked and be is ready. regimes response

has been insignificant. i think there are people in palestine will be even more concerned. they'll know that iran will strike harder than hezbollah. they will have to wait for any ryan strike as well. so i think there is significant in that debate. i think there are also other reasons. i think during the negotiations, the writings probably, and i'm guessing this is sheer speculation on my part that the writings were thinking that during the negotiations into ha, maybe it would not be a good idea because then the americans and is there any regime will try to blame iran or husband or the resistance for the collapse of detox. so you run, waited until it was exposed to everyone that the americans and this right, the machine were not sincere. i'm glad you mentioned that. that's segue is nice. is the question that i was going to put to make and i could see you wanted to, to get in the next. so is there

a link in the dynamic of all of these exchange of strikes and the talks going on to yeah, certainly, i mean the, the main event is whether a durable ceasefire and it has a can be achieved. and i think that the dr. monday is correct, i think in general, almost all of the actors around the world would like to see a durable ceasefire, and it's really the netanyahu like government that has uh, that is the outlier. on this. however, i think that we should also say that the site does it all himself over the years of a decade and a half. a said that he very much craves this great war that could clarify matters with, with israel. but that he and the as being ronnie and leadership both to a said that they prefer strategically a different, more patient past way, rather than a sudden upsurge in an open war. so that's their stated interest. however, that, that being said, and that, that directly ties into why a durable ceasefire scene is so important, my husband, the iran,

and how much as well. because then that will re calibrate what is an intensifying conflict where the resistance access of hezbollah, iran from us and others are in a difficult position, because they can actually right now inflict real heavy material damage militarily on israel without going to an open war. but that in doing that, it belonged, stay a preference for a longer term patient calibrated strategy, where there are advantages as a symmetric actors or as less powerful state actors can be enjoyed. so there and it's very difficult catch 22 here. and i think to dr. job, but as a point, i would say we're not, i mean going back to normal is not normal. i mean, we have been at the cost of, you know, at the open war for many months, especially the last few weeks. so going backwards doesn't seem like

a very good place for anyone, but then i would also just question both of our other guests on where that position is, is in the end, if we go back to normal and things you know, kind of quiet down to the normal warfare of the last few months, you still have more than 40000 palestinians that are dead and more dying every day . you have her moss, with their military cape capabilities, very likely being degraded on a daily basis. you have no hope for a durable ceasefire. you have a 3rd of the u. s. navy there, but you're seeing the israelis and then you know, for basically whatever they want to do and you're not actually for the resistance. acs is not actually inflicting material damage on the okay. i can see how a shaking a head and i see i disagree with the man i am because there's a bit of wishful thinking on that on that part. and it does a bit of sounding like, you know, what's going on and you guys are, is to be blamed or legs are at the doorstep. all of the axes and hezbollah, who are actually the only countries or,

or groups in the region that are doing anything. so any be or how much look at the, the warning guys, well, there's a very simple way to end this war and gospel and bath dress, which is where the americans america should literally cease to support finance provides wipers to is one i think you're on and the entire excess of said, if that's for and guys that ends now within seconds, everything is over. we stop based off, meaning we took it under like they would be saying that's me. and the whole with and the fact that it's hasn't ended, there's nothing to do with whether it's below once a log drawer or muscle, as you said, it's craving and large more. i think there's, it was for thinking maybe on your own, you'll be off lodge. what was best not to be met? let's not forget, we're talking about the best of people in the videos, like we've seen and guys that we can have a level. so whether it's planning these wars is also taking into consideration, right?

the numbers of people that could be kids and this is no life matter. i'm trying to avoid that. it's very easy to send bombs or miss size to hit random but of the things and killing civilians on the other side. if we look at the last and months, we would know that it has all of that has maintained that ethically against military targets. whereas israel has actually attack civilians everywhere in gaza as we've seen, and blah, blah, to end the war and gaza. the, the, the, the final decision on that, or, or the power, the top or the country that has a power to right. yep. that's for is the united states together more or less than a country. this whole thing is also find the common sense on goals of those. all right, i'm afraid we are out of time. i know there's a lot more that we can go on discussing, but we'll be back for another show. no doubt. we'll have some of, i guess back again. let's for now think the most of the contributions how to java. nicholas know, i'm how much modern day and thank you for watching and can see the show again,

any time by visiting our website. i'll just say a don't com and for further discussion head over to a facebook page, that's facebook dot com forward slash a j inside story. you can also join the conversation on x, our handle barry's page i inside story from me, sammy say that i'm the entire team now to find the and the stillness, think them documenting 2 decades and one of the most in baffled coolness of the globe child of the damage done 20 years of war follows me from boyhood to manhood. a life that has no no peace shaped by hardship, resilience and adventure. the unique zoom, the cap just the complex in a way it has never been seen before. with next on tuesday or the

the government knowledge as well as the

hello. i'm down, jordan intel here with a quick reminder of the top stories here on alger 0. we begin with breaking news from southwest pakistan where government have killed 23 people who are traveling on a bus. that's how it happened in the mysa kyle district, i believe just on government reported. they ordered the passengers off the bus and checked their identities before firing at the local officials a migrant labors. i'm putting job problems were identified and shot police like 10 vehicles, also set a light blue just on his pockets. tom's largest, of course,

providence is ready for the immediate evacuation of positive did i.