tv [untitled] January 27, 2025 7:30pm-8:01pm AST
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the, the limits to have a dream contains key stuff in your own adventure now counter and we the hello, i'm adrian instead of getting this is counting the cost on elders 0. you know, we can look at the lot of business and economics this week. donald trump signals a dramatic utah on us energy policy. the president says he's unleashing oil. is the american energy landscape being re shape to the how will the rest of the world be
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affected? big banks of pulled out of climate change groups. so what's behind the ex, there's a financial institution still in the climate place. trump has pledged to make the us the crypto capital of the world. these launched his own main points, but is that a conflict of interest and will as policies boost his own digital assets, as well as crypto currencies. in general, a dramatic to the to fossil fuels president donald trump says that he will increase oil output unleashed the already booming us energy production industry. he's also the class a national energy emergency, the 1st president to do so. well, oil companies might be celebrating trouble, so pledge to roll back, support for clean energy spelling trouble for that perfect up. he says his plans are aimed at their cheating, domestic prosperity and cutting inflation. since oil and gas prices touch every
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parts of the economy. the measures could have serious implications across the entire energy landscape, from oil fields, to wind farms, and the ripple effect could be felt worldwide. we'll discuss all of that. but i guess the just a moment. but 1st report from dmitri met that ankle on his 1st day in the office, donald trump made quite the entrance, issuing a flurry of orders, which include declaring a national energy emergency. we will drill baby drill. this will help issue permits. the oil and gas produces much quicker, ignoring ecological concerns. america will be a manufacturing nation once again. and we have something that no other manufacturing nation will ever have the largest amount of oil and gas, or any country owners. and we are going to use it. we use we will bring prices down, feel our strategic reserves up again,
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right to the top and export american energy all over the world. trumps decrees include a resumption of liquefied natural gas exports withdrawal from the powers climate deal, something he also didn't is supposed to of an order to allow us to drill for oil in the arctic, notably in alaska and topping up us strategic oil reserves, which the vitamin ministration drove to a 40 year low trying to cope gasoline prices. the u. s. is already the largest oil producer in the world and has been for the past 6 years at the present thing with face no initially showcase and plus the phones. but because of the report control of the energy security and us national security and that kind of security during that, the trop 2nd chair because the morning missed but i'm, it's almost exciting production of that or then getting especially the shell side
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that especially this oh, let's go ration. oil is traded on international markets where prices move according to supply demand and your politics. if the u. s. pumps meet oil, the price per barrel could full meaning cheaper gas for consumers. but opec nations can offset that by limiting their own production. keeping global prices stable, whether they will remains to be seen trumps energy plans have good environmental activists who will likely challenges policies via the courts in the years to come. just as they did in his 1st to meet you met bank of al jazeera for counting. the cost at hers is an energy economist electra at the university of houston. he joins us now from houston. so trump has declared an energy emergency. what do you make of that, ed? is it more to do with politics of money,
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or is that genuinely intimate and an energy emergency of us? there's, there's no emergency i checked, it really has to do with politics. and the fact that president trump promised the voters that he would lower the price of gasoline to a $1.87, a gallon. and that he would lower the cost of electric tricity, which has been going up across the united states. and he's also promised the us wild patch that we would drill a baby drill to accomplish this. but as we all know, it takes higher prices to encourage wall street to invest to, to drill more wells. and to get to a $1.87, a gallon gasoline, that would mean the price of oil would have to be less than $50.00 a barrel. and in the permian basin across so the west texas oil patch, which produces about 4000000 barrels a day. the rates are being laid down at prices of $70.00 a barrel. and in the recent dallas federal reserve at analysis and the survey
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more than half of the producers indicated that they would not be truly new. well, unless the price remained above $70.00 a barrel. so, you know, in the 1st instance, president trump's initiatives would appear to be mutually exclusive. going ahead, we know that the terrorists that he proposes to, to put in place will increase the cost of drilling dramatically. the, the tubulars i know of many of the oil patch, your currently acquiring tubulars and even hoarding them for the casing. the piping down whole 25 percent increase in the cost of steel coming across $1.00 board or another is going to have a serious impact. and again, diminished the opportunity to drill more in the united states. you talked about us oil produces, needing the price of all to stay above $70.00 a barrel. what will this drill? drill, drill,
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policy means opec produces in the rest of the world. i won't mean anything for old pack us. oil patch has, has been battered by various policies, volatile policies from one administration to the next over the last 30 years on it. wall street is exacting a discipline on the the oil, patrick across the united states. the president, just asking people to drill is not going to make that happen. uh, opening up lands uh, in the gulf of mexico, the atlantic seaboard of the base. our area is the president trump and his 1st term, but off limits to oil and gas development, alaska, the oil patch, and band and the alaska more than 10 years ago. and we all recall shall oil losing rate. there i, it's not going to happen. everyone in the united states understands that the us is
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the high cost producer and a global commodity market. we've been in a price more with opec that just didn't turn out well. and we remember that in 201420152016. and in fact, during president trump's 1st term, he was able to convince the saudi arabia to keep the flow of oil and the price down that bankrupted in a large number of us oil producers. at that time, the president, this whole took more than $300000000000.00 in green infrastructure funding. what does that mean for the green energy sector? the climate itself and the transition to clean the sources of energy? oh, the cat is out of the bag. the energy transition is underway. we've just been through a horrible winter storm in texas, and it was wind energy that kept the grid going and alive and operating perfectly.
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during this, this really difficult ice and snow storm. it's still below freezing right now. uh, president, trump can't put that back in the bag or the reverse that he can slowly keep in mind that the major oil companies understand that we need to reduce our carbon emissions. and in fact, pauline for the last 15 years across united states comes out with the 7576 percent desire by the voters to have a cleaner environment with less submissions. that's where we are going. simply reversing the funding that the i are reyes is producing also is going to be problematic for the top administration. more than 80 percent of these funds are being expended in republican states and republican districts. that's where the energy infrastructure is. you know, houston is the energy capital of the world,
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the technology and the intellectual property for, for oil and gas and for batteries and for wind and solar, reside here with our major universities. it's, um, it's kind to be difficult to, to turn this off. so the money that has been invested sofa in the transition to clean energy hasn't gone to waste. you know, it, it has that this money has been useful in advancing the, the cost curves. and certainly china is the global leader in the production of solar panels. but a lot of that technology came from nasa here in houston and from the united states . it's a question of, of allocating the production, the implementation, one of the challenges that the president trump would have, and lowering the cost of electricity for americans as that it's never been cheaper
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. it's driven primarily by the price of natural gas across the united states. currently, that price is average less than $4.00 per m and b to you for the last several years . that's driven us electricity prices down the, the tremendous em roads that solar farms and wind farms have made across the united states, especially in texas. further will, will push the price of electricity down. but keep in mind that more than 10 years ago, before the energy transition was in full swing, the, the assessments for the united states is going to have to spend at least 2 trillion dollars to upgrade the infrastructure of our electricity distribution system. very thing in the united states at infrastructure times, has been neglected for several decades. now, no politician, no electric politician wants to spend money that has to be paid for, but to increase taxes. and that would come from rhodes or buildings, or
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a sewers or water infrastructure and our electricity infrastructure has suffered in the same way. ed, it's been really good to talk to you on content across many thanks today for being with us. my pleasure. thank you. donald trump held off on his threat of tariffs on his 1st day as president, but he said he is considering imposing a 10 percent target funding ports of chinese made goods. as soon as the stops of february, not that could impact chinese businesses, which have invested heavily in african countries. nicholas hawk reports not from centerville. this chinese own factory in san diego manufacturers, trousers shirts, and shorts sold in us stores feeding. what manager mohammed start describes as americans appetite for fast fashion. but with donald trump's return to the white house, he's worried african countries will be caught in the middle of a trade war between the us and china. that much it was punishing. well,
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i work for the chinese, but i chase after the americans, they're the customers and the customer is always key. we have to keep the american satisfied because our link to the chinese is only the raw material. the fabric. if our leaders reopened local fibers factories, we could easily move on from the chinese facility. we can't afford to lose the customers. under the african growth and opportunity act. countries on the continent could export goods to the united states duty free. it takes just 14 days for the close made in west africa to reach american shores compared with the 9 months it takes for shipments from try it out. the. the senegalese workers here produced over a 1000000 garments all destined to the united states. there were sites just 2 weeks ago. there is the norm as potential here, but look at the factory floor. now. the owners are waiting to hear from trump's new administration's decision on the existing trade deals. and so this
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chinese factory in africa holds by thread. trump says, current trade agreements are unfair to american businesses, putting their future in doubts in february. he's due to visit the continent for the 1st time when he attends the g. 20 summit in south africa with this date 20 presidency. i suppose trump will be looking more at quick wins for american businesses for american financial institutions, who would really be looking towards building partnerships that will be bringing about stability, which is the biggest thing that has rocking a lot of african countries. trump's return to power comes as west african nations severed ties with the us for russia. and us support for israel, strange african relations further. and mid this uncertainty, star searches for new buyers, shifting trade potential away from the united states and into the hands of its rivals. nicholas hawk. l, just the right term. yeah, joe senegal. i am still accelerated climate action among financial institutions.
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the un, but net 0 banking alliance is a voluntary network of global banks. committed to a line lending and investment portfolios with net 0 emissions by 2050. but critics, including the us republican politicians, say that the industry group was effectively coordinating a boy cost of investment in the oil and gas industry, big banks and asset managers on a quick thing, the climate change network ends at be a loss rate for of canada's biggest lenders, so the they, withdrawing from it too. that's up to 6 of the us as largest banks, quit the group, including jp morgan, goldman sachs, and morgan stanley, european bank. so threatening to pull out of the group as well, unless it softens its rules. the u. s. federal reserve has said that it will quit another group, the network for breeding the financial system because it says its work has broken beyond the central banks mandate from congress. top court has a cd electra and sustainability at yale university. he works at the intersection of
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sustainability and invest the value, and he joins us now from new haven, connecticut to, to have you with a start. does this mean the lenders going soft on a lining that portfolios with climate change goals? and it's actually unclear what the banks are going to do behind the scenes of these announcements. they could be that they are going soft that they'll use this as an excuse to allow more climate risk and comment and emissions into their portfolios. or they might just leave the, the, the net 0 bank alliance has a, a method to allow them to diversify their portfolio. keep fossil fuel companies in the and, and then let these kind of climate risks klein within there's portfolios, right? so the banks still recognize the risk climate change policy is to the lending portfolios. yeah, i think it's clear that the, at this point says,
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lenders, banks, any financial institution, understands the risks of climate adaptation to their portfolio. whether that's severe, whether or droughts, disruptions to business, etc, the challenges that in the short term, and then the proximal effect of having fossil fuel companies having high emissions in your portfolio, will have the strong returns. but in the long term, those climate impacts are going to be negative, but they'll be distributed and that's future cash flow, which means this discounted. so we're waiting as a bank or lender, those short term immediate benefits against potentially catastrophic long term negative impacts. so what's this really all about that? how do we explain why banks and lenders leaving the the ends at the end of the climate climate focus groups? it's, is this purely political actually? i don't think it's not. it's very political at all. i think this is just down to a financial or
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a fiduciary decision. there's pressure from shareholders to show short term returns and excluding high emission companies from your lending portfolio can reduce your returns and the short term. um the, the politics. i think our in that boat assailed the banks, understand those risks, and they're going to integrate climate risk as effectively as they can. but these announcements, these, some of the, the, the, the, the lack of commitment to these, to the net 0 bank. the alliance, for example, really reflects, i think of financial decisions by banks to focus on short term returns to the shareholders. and then you can avoid the politics by just avoiding the terminology that are okay in the hot button top terms that politicians care about what you're going to, you're saying that the banks will continue to walk the wolf and not till the total company isn't back. incredibly short sighted of the i hope they continue to walk
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the walk. it's possible that this is just the harbinger of, you know, giving up on climate emissions entirely and, and allowing that risk into the portfolio. but my sense is that the vast majority of climate risk is understood by bank so that they'll keep an eye on that in the portfolio. and so what we'll see is they'll, well, while they won't constrain themselves to a particular, um, you know, a commitment. and they will continue to report on those climate risk mitigate those climate risk and their portfolio and disclose that to their shareholders as a matter of course. but just not within the constraints of a, of a particular commitment, like the end of the, of what message told us is this sending to smaller banks and lenders i'm to the wider economy. yeah, i don't think it's a good method. so as large banks, you know, make that public announcements that they're no longer going to be constrained by
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these commitments. even if they continue to integrate those risk from their portfolio, it sends a public mention message that they care less. so perhaps smaller banks decide they're not going to wait until these climate risk waters because it's too complicated, or maybe the, the, the recipients of the loans decide, well we don't have as much pressure on us to reduce emissions and to keep an eye on this. so i think broadly getting out of these commitments, sense of a poor message around climate risk to the economy. and we might see a slowing down as a result of commitments among the the companies that are taking these loans on till it has been really good to talk to you on catching the cost. thanks for being with us. my pleasure. thank you. is now in sharp contrast as pre the size of president trump has promised to us in a golden age for crypto currency. on the campaign trail, trump pledge to create a strategic bit coined stockpile at a point financial regulators. the take
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a more positive stance towards digital assets, bitcoin and other digital coins have skyrocketed since he won't be election in november. but the president's family is invested in the crypto currency market, raising questions around a conflict of interest that even most so often trump launched a so called main coin of his own free days ahead of his an organization. on january 20th, trump launched his own from tokens, followed by his wife's maloney, a queen, but both shots up in value drawing and billions of dollars and trading. volume trumps coin became a top 20 crypto currency. the trump affiliated companies behind these assets say the not to the investment or securities, but a means of showing support for the power company. so what all being coined as well, they started off as an internet joke and the name means there were thousands in existence and anyone can create one name coins are often highly volatile and can choose up on most dive within a day. the 1st one was of course,
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those point which started off as assess on the, on crypto currencies but became a top 10 crypto currency market was up to $85000000000.00. its value has increased almost 5 fold in the past year. trumps token isn't the 1st digital asset he's tried to sell in the past 2 years. he's released a series of n f t is on non fungible tokens. the digital images show him in various cartoonish ways from cowboy, the super hero. steven this is an all set and lecturing fellow at duke university and a full of federal reserve economists to join us now from durham, north carolina. good to have you with us at least is the conflict of interest to you. it has trump acted on ethically by launching his own coin. well, i think there's a pretty clear conflict of interest because the regulatory environment in the us around to currencies very much on certain and on the campaign trail. you know, trump probably said that you wanted to make the us the crypto capital of the world
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and roll out this, you know, for light touch regulatory framework for good. so now, you know, 3 days before he's sworn in, he's lost his own crypto currency, and he's going to have the ability to influence how you know, his crypto courtesy is regulated and how the entire industry is regulated. so that you're the 1st conflict of interest. i think your was even more concerning from my standpoint, is that now any entity individual has the ability to, you know, directly curry favor with president trump by simply just, you know, buying his crypto currencies and pushing the price up. so, you know, it makes influence peddling a lot easier. so there's, you know, conflicts of interest along multiple lines here. okay. and as well regularly for a framework in place to, to, to, to, to, to sort this out to, to, to bring it to light, to, oh, well, i mean, what, i think there is the 1st, you know, there's one question which is, is there
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a regulatory framework i would suggest, you know, yes there is, but then the next question is, well, will that be in force? will it be applied to this specific instance here? and i, you know, i think the answer to that question is, is probably not. you know, president drum has, you know, already has a majority of the securities and exchange commission and terms of republicans. you know, he's nominated someone else who, you know, to be the chair of the fcc paul atkins. and you know, mr. atkins, um, there seems to be favorably disposed to to accept uh, um, you know, so i don't really foresee any type of, you know, regulatory action advert coming against the i guess the, the trump organization for this setup. the courtesy they've last year of with, has launching his own crypto currency will last bring crypto will generally do thinking into the main stream. what does is motivation, do you think it's all about making money?
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of course it is. yeah. i mean it's, it's hard to, to spin it any other way, frankly, and, and certainly he asked me in a lot of money in the 1st couple of days. your answer is interesting. the reaction that you've seen, you know, from the crypto community, which has been overwhelmingly negative because, you know, they've been trying, you know, very hard over the past couple years after you know, f t x and in standby and freedom floated to re cast themselves as you know, responsible industry that's, you know, just driving innovation and wants, you know, clear rules of the road row so that they can operate. and then along comes, you know, president trump and launch is this just clearly speculative crypto currency that serves no purpose whatsoever in the industry recognizes that this is not a good luck for them, that this could actually undermine a lot of their efforts. they've taken, you know, over the past couple years, you have to come across as,
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as legitimate. so i actually think it's counterproductive for, for the crypto sector in general and, and as you suggested, i mean, i think it's just a pure, you know, money graph from, from the trunk organizations. because and in that case they asked me said, credit cards in general have arisen since the election in november. is there a danger of an asset bubble here? if it busts who stands to lose most as well? and, you know, anytime you have a uh, asset bubbles at 1st, the people who, who lose the most of the people who got in uh, you know, right before birth, right. and the people who tend to get in, you know, at that last 2nd, last minute tend to be the least sophisticated the lease and form in the least able financially to absorb these losses. so that is something that really does concern me here because a lot of folks are, are remain skeptical of crypto currency. i think you'd be trying to the average person about it. you're the 1st thing that's going to come to mind is sam being
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free and after you asked you what it is is you well know, you know, donald trump is wildly popular with, with half the country. and so when he watches his own crypto currency, i think there is a fear that people who you know otherwise wouldn't invest in the asset. say hey, you know the president trump is doing it, there must be something legit and let me get into. so um, so from our standpoint i think i think we are kind of in a frosty market. um yeah. decrypt, so market has cycled before it has been multiple blue bus cycles. that dynamic is not going to change. you know, and i think we could look at sort of this moment with the, the trunk point is kind of representing the peak of that bubble. but i could be wrong and it could be more room to run. and obviously president trump is going to try to push the legislation that will help the industry and maybe that will push prices up further. but you know, this is an asset class. it doesn't have, you know, any fundamentals. there's no cash flow, there's no revenue. so it,
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it trades entirely on sentiment. and as we've seen in the past, you know, such a minute is, is simple right now. it's positive, but it could change in a heartbeat, but it's been good still to kind of get the costs. thanks for being with us. thanks for having me. it's the best i'll show for this week. if you'd like to comment on anything that you've seen, i'm at a finnegan on x. please try to remember to use the hash tag h a c t c. you could also drop us a line caching the cost of out to 0 dot net is our e mail address. there's plenty of of you online out a 0 dot com slash ctc. that takes you straight to our page. and then you'll find individual reports links, an entire additions for you to catch up. but that's it for this edition of counting the cost on a tree and putting it on the team here in doha face of being with us. the news on al jazeera is next a man mazda 2001. so tens of thousands, murder, thousands details, and menu,
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a long walk home after 15 months of war, palestinians return home to northern gaza. 2 people have died trying to make the journey. the i'm for the back to boy. you're watching out you 0. 9 from to high. also ahead palestinians return to pines of rumble. in northern garza, with buildings destroyed by israel's and the total destruction of his strength. the.
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