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tv   [untitled]    February 2, 2025 6:30am-7:01am AST

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the end of the listing, anything like, sorry, no pressure, they were instrumental in helping the president when the election, driven by still interested play is fast put there after non profits for people susceptible to government control is public and it's designed to inflame and defense the way that the story is being told, it's not right, and it's not accurate from social networks to legacy media. the listening post exposes the forces behind the headlight on which is era the hello i'm a variance and again this is counting the cost on al jazeera. you, we can look at the world of business or the comics this week with mass destruction, of millions of tons of rubble rebuilding costs over class tens of billions of dollars. so who took up the time and one of the challenges to making the strip
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habitable again, reduce the price of oil. let's donald trump's, them on to the opec plus group. the us president says the move will deprived russia of energy revenue and helped to end the war in ukraine, but will it? and inflation has with tons of japan up to decades of stagnation cub that the central bank has raised borrowing cost. but will the measure from foot gross even further? organization on track for a rebound, the hundreds of thousands of displaced palestinians have made the way back to the north of gauze. of many of them would have homes or businesses to return to israel's 15 months. wall on the strip is reduced in time neighborhoods to revel health care, education, roads, agricultural land, and most utilities like full size electricity, sewage and communication systems have been destroyed. the destruction has hit the very fabric of palestinian life in gaza setting package development by 69 years.
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according to the un, rebuilding the devastated strip is expected to take decades and cost tens of billions of dollars. but how will return these cope until reconstruction gets on the way? we'll get to these issues without guessed in just a moment. the 1st report from katia lopez told a young it could take decades and roughly $50000000000.00 according to the un to rebuild concepts as palestinians return to the north and many are finding they have nothing to go back to. more than 250000 homes have been destroyed, entire neighborhoods are unrecognizable. now the house was diminished and we live in an attempt to go to help us. what can we do? fearing out more than $50000000.00 tons of rubber will be a don't think and expensive task, the un warns of that process alone could take about 20 years and cost more than
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a 1000000000 dollars. infrastructure is another challenge. hundreds of government building schools and universities have been leveled in 15 months of war . you land report a release in september estimates more than $18000000000.00 worth of damage to gauze us infrastructure, including the strips ravaged, health care system for such a lot of hard, you'll become in the hospital, it was completely full start of service and all departments were destroyed the oxygen station, the operations unit, and intensive care and emergency services. now that people have moved and goes out of time. there is no medical service, we need to rebuild the hospital, the guy just to kind of israel's blockade on casa, and it's border restrictions are slowing economic progress along the strip, some neighboring arrow countries like a tar, are concerned about backing costs as reconstruction only for it to be destroyed again in the future. we cannot have an investment where we are investing in better
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selection every time and something happened and just just to get destroyed then we, we do it again. and us president donald trump has strong criticism for his reason proposal to up route palestinians to nearby country. i'd like to take me what i'd like georgia tech people, i guess are you talking about probably bring it in half people. we just plain out that although jordan and egypt have both rejected the idea, it highlights divisions, political, moral, and financial that could hinder the rebuilding process. what's clear is that the journey back home will be long and overwhelming. much like all of those long term reconstruction. catchy, a low facility in elgin 0 for counting the cost nature of growth. it is the co founder of the cost of oil projects at a professor at the university of ox, but she georgia, as now from ox, with nature. the fit goes
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a staggering the challenges of immense can guns. a be rebuilt. yes, because it can be rebuilt by the people of god and external actors. but it's going to take a lot of work obviously. but where do we begin? the rubble for stuff is, i mean, what happens to all of that? well, all of the rubble has to be removed, but of course there are human remains under the rubble, in addition to unexploded ordnance, which could be very deep. or could be right on the surface could look like toys to children. so the removal of the rubble itself is quite in endeavor. it will take a long time and in fact, much of the rubble and the munitions may remain for decades. where would that rubble go? i'm going to count, stay within gauze are counted. well, some of it will be used in reconstruction as the foundation for buildings or taken out of guys that can be recycled. but again,
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much of it will remain. all right, so who is going to rebuild gossip? who's going to pay for that reconstruction? a well, the, the bill should be a look. this is a, an international problem. the bill should be foot by those who destroyed garza as well as any international organization that is able to help and the private sector. so it's gotta be an all hands on deck and the situation. what are you uh, what are your concerns though regarding, you know, an international rebuilding assets on the companies that are involved when we look back at the reconstruction of to be the rock for and i didn't have a dentist on 2. right? there was a significant amount of work done that was well done. but there was a,
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a lot of corruption and shoddy work. some of it done by private contractors and it already we see private contractors and guys are doing some of the security labor. so some of it done by the local workers, some of it meant to be temporary and then rebuild, but never in fact i felt was permanent structures. so there are significant concerns, concerns with who's doing the work, if it's private contractors and their oversight. and then there's also u. n. organizations, the mind action removal, the world health organization. they will do some of this work and hopefully in partnership with palestinians. but how do you do this? well, people are living the, what are the priorities? obviously you've got to get things like water and sewage systems and, and electricity sorted out 1st, don't you as well the, the 1st thing is that people are going to die for the next several years. as
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a consequence of the destruction of the infrastructure that is occurred over the last 15 months, much of the death following any war is what demographers call. indirect staff is caused by the destruction of infrastructure. so upfront, it's a big stream priority to replace water and health care of sanitation, housing in the regular vaccines. and so to stop what is likely to be a nother, several years of continuing morbidity and mortality. and of course, all of this assumes that the piece holes can you understand that companies and regional governments perhaps will be reluctant to invest in gas and put money into the reconstruction if it could all be flattened again, if, if the war breaks out again, well, of course, no one knows if war will recur. now when the united states put 60000000000 into
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iraq reconstruction between 232014 they did not anticipate that isis would come and that the war would resume. and then they're going to have to put the international community another 60000000000 to repair, post isis. so this is essentially uh, something that has to happen whether or not or will resume, of course, pieces of priority. even though some of this money will be misspent. some of the money will be lost, some of the reconstruction effort will to be shoddy. it still has to resume. i'm one of us to go on. what about causes economy? we're not talking just bricks and more so here with the things like the business is gone. schools, universities, hospitals,
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how long before before goals as economy will be functioning again? well, just think about the schools. most of the schools have been destroyed, more than 90 percent of the schools have been destroyed or damaged. just getting the education system functioning is actually a boost to the economy. the same with health care. getting those systems education and health care functioning will help the overall economy. obviously, agriculture is also devastated. that is an economic boost as well. so those things must occur in order for the economy to recover. this has been good still to you on counting the cost manufacturing day for being with us. my pleasure. thank you. chinese starts up deep 6 launch of its latest a i trump bought model has sent shock waves through the global tech sector shares and major tech phones like and video felt sharply with the trip drive losing over 6 $100000000000.00 in market value in just a day the sink size,
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it's all one model was made at a fraction of the cost of its rivals raising questions about the scale of investment. the us funds planned to plow into the technology. it also says, but it's model can be trained on 2000 and chips compared to really 16000 for of a leading bottles. launch comes as the us as restricting the sale of the advanced chip technology to power as a i to china. now this is big news and here at counting the costs, we've decided to let the dust settle. we'll take a more in depth look at the basic and its implications for the why the industry on a future addition of the program stuff. opec plus oil exporting nations have been limiting output for more than 2 years now to try to show up. price is the group of ally. russia intend to gradually sell more barrels and monthly traunches beginning in april, but the saudi led costs out could begin to do that much sooner. if it hates us
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president donald trump's call to reduce global oil prices. trump argues that energy revenues helping russia funded war in ukraine of the opec plus hose, the key to ending the conflict by bringing down the price of crude. but will the group respond to trumps demands what it stick to its own plans? we'll discuss that, but i'll guess shortly. but 1st, christina, how does and reports as a candidate is a now, is us president donald trump has long promised to end russia's war and ukraine. the solution he says is to lower the price of oil. he insist that less energy revenue will give russian president vladimir pollution, less money to funds the flashing. so, oh, fat. go to get on the ball and they to drop the price of oil and that war will stop right away. trump is cooling on saudi arabia and other opec members to drop world prices by increasing supply and lowering demand. this, i mean,
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widespread uncertainty about his proposed tariffs and energy policies, including how his americans, those messaging will affect global economic growth. not do these you he doesn't have a vision for the rest of the world. he has a very strong american vision, and i understand why americans vote for him. it's a vision of america 1st. but on a global scale, all of this won't allow stability. it will only reinforce any qualities and in security or pick plus members a holding back about $6000000.00 barrels per day of production. that's about 5 percent of the low will demand. plans to increase supply by about $2000000.00 barrels a day were delayed last year and pushed to at least april, trump once guarantees. and just perhaps looking towards the leader of the peg. saudi arabia for support, up to speaking with saudi crown prince mohammed,
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vin. so mine, president trump said he would ask the saudis to increase the u. s. investments to one trillion dollars. instead of the promised 600000000000, the crown prince's a fantastic guy to round it out to around one tray. and i think they'll do that because we've been very good to them. it's all unclear. however, if this apparent business partnership will affect opec's or trump's next move. christina heroism audra 0 for counting the cost. neil atkinson is the full my head of the oil industry and markets division of the international energy agency. he joins us now for washington. good. see you again now. so we'll pick plus he'd trumps. cool. would it continue to do its own thing? well, my thing won't make a decision as to how i think braydon will barrels back into the market in april or, or whether they do that or based on the market conditions at that time. and that's the decision they would always take. what i say, the pressure, the president trump is seeking some place on the side you read the,
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i don't think as a whole is very complicated for 3 reasons. firstly, the saudis and other members of okay, need revenues. in the case of side of your right now, they have a very, very big i can always give us indication of programming code vision, 20 searching, which needs to be funded. secondly, the saudis, but one of the driving forces behind the creation of the opec person lives at the end of 2016, which brought russia into the fold unfairly murmuring oil prices would appear at 1st sight to be being compatible with president trump. uh, president trump ambition to raise domestic us production on the match for a drill baby drill. and his, he writes, when he says that if you deprive russia a oil revenue that, that will bring about an end to the board and ukraine. well, it's difficult to imagine that the russians are suddenly very quickly if prices for
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the sake of argument was to go down significantly. that's certainly going to pack up and go home. it may well have an impact on the russian economy, of course. but i would imagine the president putin being a dictator is dedicated to the task of conquering ukraine. and if it comes up in the cost of the domestic economy, i would imagine that for quite a while now, there's a price, the price of the coaching would be willing to pay at opec and does want to see a floor for a few dollars a barrel on the, on, on the price of oil is not realistic or sustainable. but we seen recently following the news, the sanctions against russia up to re typing and following the news that there was a possibility of a rainy and sanction being tied together. we saw the brent crude price. i jumped back to $80.00 a barrel for a while. expose them back a little bit since then. the as far as the sub isn't the how does it concern an oil price significantly below say $70.00 a barrel?
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what do i think the very inconvenient for the reasons are suggesting earlier about needing revenues? all right, so what is the outlook for the price for right now and price is dropped when president trump talked about putting the emphasis again on us energy production of a price is likely to continue forwarding in the near term. as far as my dad's home is concerned, as things stand for the sake of argument, there is no tightening of sanctions against russia in the wrong. possibly even venezuela, based on the current thousands of on demand, based on the current outlook for production following the non impact countries that are not part of the cost of lives. it looks as if the market will be in sub plus during 2025. things will change that offers will move around the cost, but currently i'm expecting a soft to market in 2025. however, the position changes. if that is a tough thing of sanctions against russia and
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a rod or possibly about his waiver, those are the removal of oil from the market that would come from those countries. would probably move the market back into some kind of balance. but it's of balance without talking about the markets tightening significantly. and what does this mean deal for the likes of you and i consumers of the pumps. oh yeah, so when we talk about produces and we talk about some prices and they with mike. but so is consumers also the pay the price on the costs, you know, consumers $1.00. so what's this lower price as possible? and in many economies, particularly in europe, a high energy costs are a major sites are in the, in the political discourse, let alone they pocket books and can see this. so if prices watch or remain a low of the paps and produces my mike and that would be good for consumers, not just in the always using countries,
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but some co and the consumers around the world. always got to talk to your nail on content across, always learn something, but when, when you're on the program, many thanks. indeed for being with us. my pleasure. thank you very much. central banks around the world have moved to cost interest rates of the hiking them for months to bring down the cost of living. but as usual, japan is booking the trend, the nations central bank because recently increased borrowing costs to the highest level in 17 years. another step in its pivot away from ultra low rates. inflation increased in december, and wages have risen both now mostly back to where they were in the early 19 ninety's that's just before the spiral of folding prices. the comic stock nation became known as the last decades begun. so what's happened in the japanese economy over the years? let's take a look. overall, the nation's economy has grown very little over the past 3 decades. in 2024, it's g d. p is estimated to grow by nearly acosta since 1994. how many comparisons
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the us economy more than doubled in size over the same period? the economic stagnation comes with a drop in the general price of goods and services. so basically, deflation. this was triggered in the early 1990 is after the collapse and real estate prices on the 1st of the stock market bubble. so to try and pull the country out of this cycle, the bank of japan adopted a 0 interest rate policy is later in 2016, it implemented negative interest rates, but these unconventional policies did little to spot economic activity. fast forward to the pandemic when supply chain disruptions lead to a sergeant, price is world wide and japan was still managed to maintain its ultra low rates. it encourage companies to pass on high import costs to consumers while increasing employee salaries. but what impact will hiking rates have all the japanese economy just to discuss this with joint down from tokyo by. so you really should i an
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economist, professor of economics of k or university in the form of bank of japan policy. both men of good time e with a society. so why is the bank of japan raising interests right now? what's it going to do to the economy? so uh, because uh, you know, uh, we have an integration at honestly point 6 percent, but mainly to why budget by e. amazing interest rate is due to deal with that. so by cheap japanese in. so japanese in study to depreciate about 30 percent. stewart the to $722.00 and this is about cheap japanese is creating a lot of headaches to us as to hire for the prices like no integration is about 3 percent. 85 percent of english will come from a food and image. so what is so raises, what is raising interest rates actually going to do to japan's economy to give them good? yes. so you study to the police said because of the. ringback going uh,
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interest yeah, between 90 states in japan. so like now you know, even bank with your phone rates, interest rate. it's still only to the point 5 percent. so compared to you is the funds rate of 4.25 and 4.5 percent. sure. interest you financial. so the exchange rate market participants did try to how about carry rate. uh, no boy in japanese in thinking dissing us in a securities in us it. so this is kind of a, a driving force behind. shelby is depreciation. so it to contain discouraged about the position above which i found you in for them too late. interesting. is this the beginning of the end of spec nation? stagflation in japan, will japan begin now to resemble level conventional economy? that's very difficult to say because even look at the japanese stock pricey. it's
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a very high side. and the japanese, you know, uh, some of the japanese economies benefiting from the japanese. a cheap japanese begins deputy seizure because now you have us so many 40 tories coming to japan. so 2 days and 6 died doing well. so it's very difficult to say, you know, we are facing, you know, the deflation nice because of the sub a positive side. if president trump puts tariffs on japanese imports to the us, how is that going to affect monetary policy decisions in japan in the future? yeah, so that's a really difficult thing because um the, the u. s. is like now the, the top to explore this and that destination of which of that, it used to be jane up now replaced by united states. so you, it is most important. so if you is to judge how your input studies on japan,
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a through battery, i like one, let me close. it will be much, much smaller than what we're cutting to the cutting situations. so now for us, what they, what most of all the, some east, what happened to you is that uh, index. because that if that'd be started off is going to do in pollution that a policy us then that the, they sent us interest. they didn't, we have even be the interest differential. so that to my niece to the evil that multi pretty city japanese in that is our biggest concern. so that it's been really good still to on content the cost manufacturing day professor you into an easy and cuisine is known for its spicy dishes, but a steep prize and the price of chili peppers is a cause of concern. so shuffles the heavy rain of attacks by an insect pest of disrupted the harvest of some fruits and vegetables. jessica washington reports from chicago at this restaurant in town. green one ingredient takes center stage,
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the red chili pepper and for indonesia. and if we don't eat with chile, it feels like we haven't eaten a tool. chilly is a necessity when you eat just chilly with just rice. it's delicious. this restaurants use is more than 100 kilograms of chile each day. most of it is for making some bow, spicy condiment found across the archipelago. i love spicy food. i love assembled even when we eat it together at home. if we are eating something, we have to have to some of the stuff here. say they show up at the market each morning to get the freshest produce for the customers. but in recent weeks they've been shops. but the skyrocketing price of chile, the price is the some key staples, including bright vegetables and eggs have increased recently. it's the price of red chili peppers that has shopped this as this markets talking just
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a few weeks ago. this one kilogram bag of chillies would have cost me around $3.00 today. it cost 8. don't introduce you. cuisine varies across the many islands that make up the southeast asian country. but in every provence, chile is an essential part of people's diets. even for breakfast, i'll get the apple i getting on. how does that job? i'm so surprised by the price of chile, the situation is difficult as all food prices are expensive right now. in central java farm is say the heavy rain and insect attacks have disrupted the houses sign to say climate change is one of the effect is behind an increase in pest around the world's me. i think a, i guess it's complicated to maintain the plants. now if we don't spray them regular rate, they will rotten die. a national food agency has met with chilly farmers and local authorities say they're working to assist them in the meantime,
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food vendors like along sound good passivity, coming up with strategies of the room. we really must manage our tv use because our turnover is don't be counted useless prices because customers won't come back. i use count pepper. usually i need the t 3 kilograms of the for going to use. i need one kilogram of d. the most popular does she cells is called am been yet chicken is crushed into small pieces and mixed with green. she leaves then smeared onto another piece of fried chicken. she says she's giving customers one and a half spoons of chilly taste per dish instead of 2 until chilly prices in indonesia. cool down. jessica, washington out to 0. so counting the cost to counter. and that's all show for this week. if you'd like to comment on anything that you've seen, i'm a citizen on x. try to remember to use the hash tag h a c p c, or you can drop us a line counts in the cost of alpha 0 dot net is i'll email address as always,
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talk to you more few online about a 0 dot com slash ctc that takes you straight to a page and then you'll find individual reports, links and tot additions to you to capture. but that's it for this edition of counting the cost on day 3 instead of going from the team here at the house. thanks for being with us. the news on houses here is that the, a february on as jersey to 3 years on from the outbreak of the war and ukraine, i'll just view it explores the human costs and assets, whether politics or the battlefield will determine its outcomes for cause new direction looks at the challenges facing nations across the continent, as they move away from dependency aiming to re define their futures after a vote of no confidence in germany's cancer people had to the polls with the sensor, right christian democratic union parties expected to take power rushes shut on africa examines, of russia's growing influence in the region through the prison,
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the central african republic. you'll see a whole the african mission as it chooses. leaders february on a jersey at a true economic meltdowns, administrative disasters political divisions. and now is rails integration. 11 interest divide on the toilet civil society. a citizens that stepped in to provide with the states has found thinking, vote, or if they could buy us electricity executed by us. many cases, excluding everything is secured by private initiative. people impala frontline is k on l g 0. actimmune, democratic nations justified this kind of behaviors. collateral damage has collateral damage. that's why we all team is leading to what we're seeing that will allow me to push back for a moment is a new assistance, corporate israel, affecting it's global, standing from the impact of the us selections, the escalating conflict in the middle east. and the urgency of climate action
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upfront sets the stage for serious debate on out jersey or the celebrations and gaza and the occupied westbank is a 183 palestinian prisoners are free from his randy james, the other ones are in jordan, this is all just they are a license though, also coming up a mass release is 3, is really captives as part of that see spot deal with israel and them over to the red cross and gaza. a strong message from canada as prime minister after the us president imposes tires on his country, mexico on china.

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