. hello. you're watching "gmt" on about bc world news. our top stories. no hiding from it. climate change is already changing our lives. its effect will be severe, pervasive, irreversible. more flooding, more illnesses. but we can adapt. >> north korea's live fire and return fire from south korea across the board.

tale of two economies as crimea welcomes help from russia's prime minister but aid from the west may still not be enough. aaron is here looking at a new advertising campaign called do it for dane. >> when on holidays, the danish have 50% more sex. the idea is simple. make more babies at a time when the country is facing its lowest birth rate in 27 years. >> hello. 7:00 a.m. in washington, midday here in london, 8:00 p.m. in tokyo where the latest assessment of our global climate has some pretty stark messages. the u.n. intergovernmental panel says we must expect more

flooding, rise in illnesses, fall in production of staple foods, and further warming of the planet. it could lead to turbulence and conflict in what it calls a jockeying for food and water. this reports we could adapt to many of these changes. >> reporter: it's called a gift from the ocean. now it's not so bountiful. rising sea temperatures are killing their crop. global warming is probably the cause. hundreds of international researchers in japan have been discussing the latest data on the impacts of climate change. in the seven years since the previous summary was published there's been an explosion in research. and the new report updates the predictions of the affects of warming over the next century. >> we have reasons to believe if the world doesn't do anything about mitigating greenhouse

gases and the extent of climate change continues to increase, then the very social stability of human systems could be at stake. >> the sea isn't just warmer. it's also becoming more acidic. higher levels of carbon dioxide in the air are absorbed into the oceans. they are destroying coral reefs. young fish are needed to feed growing populations. california experienced its worst drought in 100 years. while sit difficult to attribute difficult events to climate change, these events will become mo more. fish stocks will be hit as the species move to cooler waters. there are concerns about conflict and migration increasing as a result of rising temperatures. the report is not just a

prophecy of doom. we can adapt many changes by increasing flood protection, by changing the crops we protect or conserving wetlands. although many of these measures are expensive, it is a good investment compared to the cost of doing now. summitry is seen as helping negotiators craft an international deal to emit carbon emissions next year. well, dr. lynn shaffri at the university of reading in the southeast of england. he is also a report writer for ipcc chapter on water. thanks very much indeed for joining us. first of all, in terms of this report, this assessment, is there anything new in it? something we simply didn't know before? >>. >> it assesses a wide array of items, a whole range of

different things. talking about flood, heat waves, impacts on food supplies, eco systems. the new report goes a bit further than things in the past. in fact, it says it is a much wider range of evidence. but also in terms of a risk perspective. trying to quantify and put numbers on some of these impacts. we have heard from the authors of the record. the very stability of human systems could be at stake. and yet one author of this report has withdrawn his name from it because it describes it as a bit too alarmist. where do you stand? >> i can start by saying we need to take a palled view. it is going to have changes, risks. but also opportunities.

there's a mixed message. kind of in the high latitudes and mid latitudes. that is more than offset by decreases in food security and crop productivity and the subtropics. >> there is an acceptance it seems that the climate models from seven years ago now, were a little bit exaggerated, weren't they? it becomes difficult to persuade people they must act and must act fans when that sort of thing happened. >> i don't agree with that. they give a range of temperatures. the models suggest the highest temperature change are starting to look out of sync. but certainly the models in the

middle of the range are not inconsistent. >> thank you very much indeed for that. with me in the studio are science editor. >> editor indeed, david. as if i didn't know. thanks for being with us. previously all the talks about we have got to get this warming down and mitigate against global warming, has that gone away a little bit and been replace bid this idea that we have to adapt to a changing world? for a long time there were people who argued that if we talked about adapting then that's giving up. now there's a twin track approach going on here. there's an acceptance.

there's a lot that can be done to get ready for the affects of climate change to adapt to a new world. at the same time the effort must still go on to reduce global emissions of carbon dioxiddioxi >> that's the point. politically proving very difficult to bring everyone on board to mitigate against climate change. does that run a risk of enabling government toss think let's adapt. let's not mitigate. >> i think there are most. most governments are signed up to the rhetoric at least of trying to achieve a global deal in paris in 2015 that would seem an agreement driving all of these processes. at the same time people are realizing there is quite a lot. if you would like, we are

storing it up in the atmosphere. if that's the case you may as well adapt now. particularly in adapting you can get other benefits on as well. >> let's take fracking, for example. huge pressure to frac here in the uk at the time moment. >> if you read documents like the one just published you should say, right, we should end the use of fossil fuels right now. well, that's not going happen. they are an imbedded part of the way society works. developing countries, that would be india and china, have been going great. they're cheap. and they bring their people out of poverty very effectively. so there's a very tricky balance

looking ahead. one of the key things here is i'm detecting a change of tone from the authors of these reports. seven years ago it was like we're just driving towards the edge of a cliff. ghastly things will happen. flooding, droughts, and all the rest of it. now they are saying we are still on course for that stuff. there's a lot we can do to get ready for it. they acknowledge, for example, farmers may just switch to growing different crops if the ones they have been growing don't work well in the climate anymore. >> david, thank you very much for that. well, if you want more on the story, you know where to go. it's the website. a breakdown of the key findings of this particular report. we have a look at what the report has to say about food security, flooding and indeed the notions. north korea and south korea have exchanged fire over the

maritime border. the incident started when shells fired by the north during an exercise fell into seoul's tear tore krall warts. it responded by firing shells back into the sea. >> reporter: the south korea military said it fired 300 shells towards the northern sea border after some landed in southern parties. no shells from either side reached land. >> translator: north korea fired 500 rounds of artillery using multiple rocket launchers. they violated our waters. >> reporter: north korea had given prior warning and residents on the south korean islands near the coast of north korea were asked to move to bomb

shelters until the shelling exercise came to a stop. south korean fighter gets were deplayed tpher the front line. >> on sunday, they conducted a nuclear test. officials believe the heightening of the tension is yon going protest by north korea against u.s./south korea military exercises. some north korean watchers warn this could be part of further escalation of tension by the north in the coming days. bbc news, seoul. let's catch up on other news around the world. a court in pakistan charged the former president pervez musharraf for high treason for violating the constitution in 2007. he pleaded not guilty. he always khraeuld that the

charges against him are politically phoefbg ated. he could face thepathy penalty in convicted. >> japan's antarctic whaling program is not for scientific purposes. it earlier said it would abide by the court's ruling. form other israeli prime minister has been convicted of bribery over his ties to a real estate deal while in his previous post as jerusalem mayor. those and other allegations forced him to step down in 2008. he was cleared of fraud. stay with us here on "gmt". still to come in the program, fighting boko haram.

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northern nigeria. amnesty international says at least 1500 people have been killed there this year alone as islamists carrying out a campaign of attacks against civilian and military targets. boko haram launched a braze especially attack in mauduguri. our nigerian correspondent reports on the challenge of fighting boko haram. >> reporter: islamist militants on the number of in northeast nigeria. the insurgents filmed this themselves. the target, the main military barrac barracks. there was a firefight with the nigerian army.

boko haram managed to breach the barracks. they set many militants free. that's where the boko haram video ends. nigerian military said the attack was successfully repelled. and many of the retreating fighters were killed by air force and ground troops. in the city, vigilante groups killed many who escaped from their cells. we will never know how many died that day. some hospital sources say they received about 100 bodies. others said more than 500 people died. their elusive leader celebrated the raid and pledged more violence. the mountains bordering with cameroon. these days boko haram fighters set up base in parts of these mountain range. i meet a cattle herder who fled the area due to the insecurity

there. last year he offered to guide the nigerian army to boko haram hideouts in the mountains. >> translator: as soon as we started up, boko haram came down at us. >>reporter: they retreated. but they were sure they were in on the whole operation. >> translator: suddenly, a civilian defense force came against us. but i could see boko haram members pointed them out. i pointed them out to the soldiers. >>reporter: how did you know? >> translator: we all live in the same areas. i know their faces. i grew up with them. my brother is everyone a boko haram commander. >> reporter: they will have to flush them out of the mountain hideouts. but with members immeshed, winning this war is a daunting task. will russ, bbc news, lagos.

the malaysian prime minister is due to fly to western australia. more than three wins since the missing mh-370 went missing. the area is 254,000 square kilometers in size, located almost directly west of perth. they have continued to search. they announced a new joint coordination to oversee the operation. part of the challenge in finding the signs of the airliner are ocean currents. they moved debris along. however can experts go about locating the missing plane and indeed that black box? to answer, jonathan head caught one a marine scientist at the

commonwealth research organization in perth. >> there's still a great deal we don't know about the fate of the flight mh-370. it has taken a long time to find any debris at all that may have come from the plane. even when they do find it, a lot of time will have elapsed. it may have moved a long way from where the plane went down. they have to calculate where that actual location may be. nick, first of all, you spent a lot of time studying. tell us about this patch where the plane might have gone down. it is heading south to the southern ocean. you can see the warmer subtropical environment compared to the cooler waters from the

southern ocean, antarctica. there's a lot of these meanders with cold water up, warm water pushing down. when they meet, they have these structures which spin off called eddies. they can move quite fast in different directions. >> quite strong currents? >> quite strong currents around us. you have the currents of the southern association as well. >> what is your approach to track where it actually went on? >> the first would be to predict forward in time where that particle might have moved, that particular piece of debris in the time it takes between the observation and any ships getting there on site. so that will help those trying to get on site to find that piece of debris.

the other is to go back in time to see where that debris might have floated from in the period since a possible touchdown. >> and you would be using what you already know about the movement for this time of year for that? >> exactly. we will use the satellite images we've got. the model that can calculate how things move between times. that's in the satellite images to make that prediction. >> in the past, has that been quite accurate? >> it's not 100% accurate, but we have used it routinely for systems search and operations and other operational events. and we feel it can be a useful tool. >> nick hartman talking to jonathan head there. russia's prime minister medvedev has arrived in crimea, the most

senior to travel to the back sea region since moscow annexed it from ukraine. he is announcing tax breaks for investors and the creation of a russian ministry for crimean affairs. ukraine has been thrown a major financial life line from the united states. they have pledged billions of dollars in loans. but many still fear things will get a lot of worse before any they get any better. >> in a massive hangar on kiev outskirts, final touches on a giant transport plane. this is an assembly plant, one of ukraine's largest and most respected companies. its aircraft are used throughout the world. this one is going to cuba. on the shop floor, concerns are growing for ukraine's economy and about russia, a major

customer. tensions are rising. after moscow annexed ukraine's region from crimea. but senior managers say here. >> they say they can live without us. we know there are 1500 being used in russia. fallout will be harder for them than for us. >> the people of ukraine have suffered a series of economic body blows. recession, revolution, and now the fear of war. the government says the economy is on the edge of disaster. officials hearsay they may need more. >> we will stop to work with these program between now. the european union will say if it's enough for not.

for the immediate needs, for the short run of course it's enough. but for the medium and long-term perspective. >> just like everybody else. >> natalie owns a boutique shoe store in the center of kiev. she says local businesses are hurting because of political uncertainty and the fall in the national currency. >> the last four months they were hard, they were tough. less people coming in. people spending much less money. and it doesn't look good now. >> it sparked not only a political but economic one as well. the question is whether any government in this fragile flit cal environment can see them

through. coming up in the next half hour on "gmt", a big victory for turkey's prime minister who vows to make his rivals pay the price. we'll be looking at what a municipal poll means. to thirty .

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welcome to "gmt" on "bbc world news". i'm david eades. in this half hour, turkey's prime minister claims a vote of confidence as his party comes out on top in key local elections. he describes it as the wedding day of the new turkey. he dismisses corruption allegations against hmm and vows to unite a divided country. also, how to make a living by pretending you're ill. aaron is here looking at india

in the run-ups to elections. >> the biggest democracy votes for a new leader. it is all about how to kick start its slowing economy. the numbers are growing with many foreigners deciding this is the place to launch a new business idea. >> hello. thanks for being with us. he has declared victory for his party in municipal elections and calls his opponents an alliance of evil. now the turkish prime minister said his enemies will pay a price for challenging his authority. local polls have been seen as the biggest challenge to his years in government. he faced mass protests and allegations in recent months. james reynolds has this report from tan bull. >> the polls closed.

and the country's prime minister leading for the capital ankara decided to take the early signs as personal victory. >> this is the wedding day of the new turkey. today is the week 3 day of the new turkey. united and together as brothers. >> earlier at a polling station in istanbul, supporters were desperate to get a look at him. >> we are saying we are with him. we are always with him. he is doing his job very well. but there's so many problems. there have been protests. >> it's not a problem. it is not easy to make everybody happy. he isn't on the ballot. as you can see, this election is all about him anyway. the results of these votes may

determine his own political future. >> the opposition republican peoples party campaigning here in istanbul has tried to stop the prime minister, its candidating looking to win back the city for mr. edoin's party. he is not in love with istanbul, he told the bbc. he's in love with north korea. at the opposition headquarters, supporters watched the early results come in. they did not look like they were preparing to celebrate. james reynolds, bbc news, istanbul. >> where next for the leader? a researchers at hull university. and editor of the bbc's turkish service. i did my best, maretta. give us an interview. if he has won ankara and

istanb istanbul, that is a clean sweep? >> yes. 45.5% of the vote. you said, he won the two major cities. i think the results will remain. in that sense it's a very strong victory. >> you thought he might struggle a bit, didn't you? >> yes. i was expecting a close victory in ankara and closer gap in istanbul. give them credit. they did better than anticipated. >> what does that tell you about the attitude of turks to the party that governs them? >> divisive politics worked, creating with us or the enemy. but that doesn't mean that there is no problem ahead of us. >> right. what does he mean then by this is the wedding day of the new

turkey. one hope that means bringing together and looking ahead for the whole country. >> one has to say people work on big issuesment the greater you can say is that the economy is doing well. many people want huge amounts of credit. they don't want the economy to wobble. that is the reason he has consolidated his power. he may go in two directions. we may see some retporls coming from the president. a, cole sole dated his power, and he feels strong for the general elections next year.

>> what is your expectation? when there have been protests, he has clamped down hard. allegations against him directly he has clamped down hard. can he afford now? do you think he would have a sense of serenity almost that he could soften? >> i don't think economic ability can be guaranteed because of deepening societyal tepblgzs and lack of any developmental policy. so they lost the ideological compass. >> it seems that doesn't even matter. >> well, they lost the law. and it indicates a deepening split of democracy will not be good for business community in general. >> what would it mean for the

party if and when? >> it will be a close fight again, close call. it is highly fragmented. let me ask you about the opposition parties, plural. they failed miserably, haven't they? >> to a large extent they did. we may see a period where there is some sort of turmoil within because one thing is very clear it is divided 50% to 50%.

he is candidate for the presidency. but he doesn't want to say the president is in turkey. >> he needs power. >> and he needs to change the constitution for that. will he have the power to do that? that remains to be seen. >> thank you very much indeed. thank you both very much for joining me. here in the uk campaigners say the government is licensing modern slavery with visa rules for domestic workers. thief been tied to one employer. they just can't move jobs. they allow abusive employers to demand extremely long hours and withhold pay and food. . >> reporter: each year wealthy foreigners come here and bring

with them their domestic staff. behind the doors of the rich and powerful, there are hidden stories of abuse, control, and exploitation. many come to britain to work in the homes of the healthy. stories like arlea. she came with her arab employers. she said she was treated like a slave. >> they treated me not as well. they were always shouting, screaming at me and say i missed two big duties. do this. they never let me to go out. my employer told me if you are going to go out, the police will catch you. >> she eventually ran away. she has become an illegal my grant and is in hiding. her experience is shared by many women in this group. it is made up and run by my

tprapbt domestic workers. many in the room mappinged to escape abuse. >> you hear stories of very disturb urbing treatment, including people locked in, allowed very little food. sleep deprivations, working all hours. maybe even sleeping in the kitchen or the lounge. having no private time or time off at all. >> charities feel the situation has become worse for domestic workers since immigration rules were changed. it's been compared to the system operating in some air rack countries like saudi arabia and qatar. it will help those return home. for some, going pack just

suspect an option. >> i don't want to leave. i need money. i need to support children. i am a single mom. they are only depending on me. >> the uk deposit is in tree troe deducing a modern slavery wall. campaigners feel it will do little for domestic workers unless they are able to escape abuse and seek hell. okay. let's cross over to aaron now with the business. what is danish for hanky banky? >> holidays? this is all about getting dannys to take morrow man particular holidays so they will do the deed stoke. apparently when tkaepbs are on holidays they have 50% more sex basically. they need more babies. let me explain. it is called do it for denmark. that is the message from a travel company running a

competition basically aimed at tackling denmark's low birth rate, currently at a 27-year low. now, the campaign, the promise, well, three years of free baby supplies and holiday for the lucky couple who can prove they did it. that they concede their child whilst on one of their holidays. >> under pinning all of this, a very serious message out there. there are not enough children to support an aging population. a countries from japan, sing more, russia. they are spending millions of pounds to do this. the happiest place on earth. so why are dannys and people from other developed countries not making enough babies? listen to one expert. >> in a way it is the kind of

societies they are. they are advanced economies. things have changed. in particular, women have changed. in a way it retphrebgdz the orlando as it now is. it raises important questions about how in a sense they sustain themselves economically and socially. for instance, if you have a decline in pop advertising, yet an aging population, how do you do that? one could be immigration. that's phreul catty up popular. so they are looking at promoting fire birth. sin pore invested 1.3 toen sent phi. it's not just denmark. other countries too. and i suppose in a way because they worry about the long-term consequences of their society of

declining birth rates. >> okay. let's turn our attention to this. this time next week indians will be heading to the polls certainly as the world's biggest democracy votes for a new leader. whoever, whoever gets the job kick starting the economy or getting economic growth growing will be top priority. the number of extortups has been growing. setting up new businesses. some the patriots, india is the place to launch a new idea. we have a report now from bangalore. >> it is the home of one of the first companies in india let's you hire a car, then drive it yourself. until recently, anyone wanting to rent a vehicle had had to hire a vehicle too. >> we don't have chauffeurs, so

we're probably much cheap erp. it's the kraegsz of david pack and his friend. brilliant move. launching a business is never easy. being foreigners in india, only make the task trickier. >> a lot of people thought, oh, these white americans, they think they're going to come here and start a company. as soon as things turn tough they're going to run. investors i think initially were reluck at that point in time for that reason. we have been in business for almost a year. we have proven them wrong. >> there's no artificial tprg. of a million smart and media size are launched in india. according to the world back. this is the toughest to skort a business. >> he and his wife decided to

from the from the u.s. >> i didn't know india was an attractive market. we remain pretty bullish about it. clearly not without its challenges. >> and it's not individuals that are optimistic about here but others too. backers put $1.6 billion into indian start-ups. >> it is good to see this reverse migration happening. i think many of us don't really have that openness of mine as expected. >> making it easier to start a business here is something that the deposit has been talked about for a while. if that happens, it might attempt more corners to have a

beep. >> we'll be of course all those big elections coming up very shortly in india. a couple other stories making headlines around the world. more signs of a slowdown in japan. all the stuff that they churn out fell 2% in february. certainly reversing an uptrend. the slowdowns are just businesses of placing few order ahead of a planned sales tax hike. qaa skwra pan's cop suggestion goes up. from 8% from the current 5%. there you go. follow me on twitter. i'll tweet you back. i just a want to show you something. the e ticket for the flight to copenhagen this afternoon at 3:00 p.m. i'm thinking we can give a helping hand. it will be on the flight.

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hello. i'm david eades. the top stories this hour. scientists warn of global warming on humans. u.n. report says there's an ever greater threat to our food supplies, security, and our lives. north korea and south korea have exchanged fire. residents of a southern border island have been urged to go to bomb shelters as a precaution.

today marks the deadline for enrollment into president barack obama's health care law. 6 million people have now signed up for obama care as it is called. it is to make heal care available through government subsidies. it has been highly controversial and unpopular. it was hoped 7 million people would register for that. david willis, 6 million not bad, 7 million would be better. can they still get there today, david? >> the white house says it can, david. that it is on course to achieve its targets, as they put it. but this is just one step in a very long road to getting the affordable care act rolled out completely. there was still of course a lot of people in america who are not insured after the deadline passes tonight. the big thing is it promises to

be a key issue at the forthcoming midterm elections. republicans are likely to go after the democrats on this issue, particularly the botched rollout of the system which involved a lot of computer glitches, a lot of frustration, a lot of embarrassment on the part of the obama administration. those midterm elections are of course crucial. if the republicans win control of the senate, they control both houses and potentially have the ability to really bring about some changes to the affordable care act, some changes they have been calling for for some time. >> goodness knows they have tried. there is this deadline. if you miss the deadline? >> you pay a fine, $95. that's one of the most controversial parts of this legislation or the early parts of the rollout of this legislation if you like. there are other bits of it, which are unpopular.

ultimately, david, we won't know whether this affordable care act has been a success, whether it's workable for quite some time, possibly years. because it requires of course sufficient young people to enroll. they don't need unhealthy people. they need healthy people to enroll in order for this to work as well. >> david, thank you very much indeed. we'll just have to wait, won't we? let's have a look at how doctors and medical students prepare for dealing with their patients. bob works for a program helping young doctors practice their bedside manner. >> i started i guess when i was i a high school. i stood up and sang a song. many people laughed. and i thought, i kind of like this. hi. i'm bob rumnock and i'm an actor. even if you have had some success in film or tv, it

doesn't mean you're working every day. unfortunately you don't work every day. but that rent check is due every month. >> knock at the door. >> come in. >> we're not dealing with students. we're dealing with full-fleminged doctors who have decided to practice in this country. >> you can call me jude. >> describe to me. >> i have a horrible pressure on my chest. like an elephant. >> before this test i didn't know i could be this nervous in front of a new patient. >> do you have this kind of problem when you're sleeping, like a shortness of breath. >> no. i woke one it an hour ago. >> if i play a certain character, the guy that comes on the shift after me plays it exactly the same way. i said to my wife, i've got to get to the hospital. and they told me this was pretty serious. they took me right away.

>> they give you an entire background. what your parents are like. >> my father died of prostate cancer. >> his son is a school teacher. his daughter worked for the south pasadena chamber of commerce. >> we are here to help you. you are in good hands. i will do my best. i will do whatever i can to make you feel better. >> english is not my first language. i need this experience in how to talk to them and how well they can understand me. >> we are also trained in the physical and how it has to be done right in order to pass american standards for them to pass the board. and if it's not done correctly, when the doctor leaves the room, we go to the computer and grade them. >> he's a great actor. he gave me a hard time.

but i can manage it. >> there seems to be a real genuine need for this. it's helping patients receive better care, more comfort from their doctors. >> i suppose it is a compliment to say he really looks the part, doesn't it. thanks for watching "gmt" on "bbc world news". with unitedhealthcare, i get information that matters... my individual health profile, not random statistics. they even reward me for addressing my health risks. so i'm doing fine... but she's still gonna give me a heart attack. innovations that work for you. that's health in numbers. unitedhealthcare.

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