thousands of prison officers in london and the south east of england are to get an instant pay increase of between £3,000 and £5,000. there have been concerns the service is understaffed. it takes time to recruit people, it takes time to bring those people on, but i'm absolutely determined to deal with that. donald trump causes confusion in sweden after apparently referring to a security incident in the country that hadn't happened. the american company kraft heinz withdraws its proposed takeover of marmite—maker unilever. the deal would have been one of the biggest in corporate history. hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

bringing us tomorrow. with me are broadcaster natalie haynes and the independent‘s political editor rob merrick. we have promoted due. deputy political editor! deputy political editor! tomorrow's front pages, starting with. .. the ft leads with the news that kraft heinz is abandoning its one hundred and fifteen billion pound takeover offer for unilever, just two days after it made the approach. the is front cover focuses on this week's brexit debate in the house of lords, where some of the new labour grandees could resist the government's plans for withdrawing form the eu. the express also picks up the story, urging the lords not to weaken or delay the government's brexit approach. the independent leads with the advance into forces and also covers the lords‘ brexit debate. a warning from the defence secretary

makes the telegraph's front page. sir michael fallon says britain must maintain a military presence in afghanistan to avoid millions of afghans migrating to the uk. meanwhile the metro is running with a story that battersea dogs and cats home is calling for tougher penalties for animal abusers. let's start with the story about afghanistan on the telegraph. uk troops to prevent afghan meltdown, europe faces a new refugee exodus if britain pulls out of the war—torn country warns michael fallon. how is this meltdown occurring? only a short time ago everyone was saying we could save people out our troops.

most people have probably forgotten entirely that there are still 500 british troops in afghanistan on a training facility. it has been quiet since the end of combat operations. the defence secretary is issuing this warning. he is only saying it will be wrong for britain to pull out. he does not seem to be talking about increasing the number of troops over there, but the story refers to a senior us commander in afghanistan saying thousands more soldiers would be needed to break the stalemate against the taliban. you wonder whether this speech by the defence secretary is some sort of softening exercise to prepare britain for the possibility that more troops would have to go back into afghanistan 16 years after it all started. it would surprise and horrify a lot of people. it seems strange to be saying it because the

numbers do not fit together. we are looking about three or 4 million leaving afghanistan if things go wrong and that could be prevented by the 500 troops we have there now? at one point we had 10,000. we have a 20th of the number. 500 does not seem 20th of the number. 500 does not seem like very many to be keeping things together. i think it feels very much like a suggestion there will be more troops being sent there. particularly 500 who are only there. particularly 500 who are only there in a training capacity, not on there in a training capacity, not on the front line. you wonder whether there would be an appetite publicly to recommit people to that sort of role. our army is much shrunken than the days when we first went into afghanistan. they are using a different argument here to the one that i remember 15 years ago which was used to persuade people we needed to fight over there. if we did not go to the taliban, they

would come over here and attack us. but you do not see that in the words of the defence secretary tonight. instead you see this warning that there would be more migration to hear. that is a reflection of how much migration has become the biggest issue in british politics. that is the warning that he is using to try to persuade that afghanistan is still worth fighting for. let's look at a couple of brexit stories. it would not be a review without one 01’ it would not be a review without one or two of these. donald trump is coming up in a minute, do not fret. the independent newspaper, people must have their say on the brexit deal. peter mandelson caused a lot of consternation amongst some people. they seem to think he has no right to speak up, but he sits in the house of lords. 191 peers to speak on this issue in the next few

days. very briefly, they each have six minutes. it is a bit like you are about to step out a small tardis and say, what year is this? tony blair, peter mandelson? they are suddenly reclaiming the headlines like they always did supremely well. 0f like they always did supremely well. of course the house of lords was coming and he has managed to make sure his agenda has got on the front pages over the weekend. peter mandelson is coming around in a pincer movement. it will be a busy few days for you, rob. you will be sitting there with your shorthand. it will be the focus of attention for a few days. but people will be saying, didn't the bill goes through? it will be good news for people who oppose brexit, the lords have the power to delay brexit. will

they do there? they will be able to delay it for one week only. it is likely they will amend the bill in some small areas. some important areas to do with the eu nationals and the final vote on the final deal in 2019. they may amend it slightly and send it back to the commons, but in the end of the commons will prevail and we will still be triggering article 50 by the end of march. they have been warned off about making too many amendments. they have been warned off by david davis. could they do anything other than quake in their boots? they are not an elected house. the tories are saying, you love things like a house of lords. it seems very strange to hear somebody politically to the

right suddenly standing up and saying that the house of lords cannot have their day. we will wait and see what they daren‘t do. cannot have their day. we will wait and see what they daren't do. the politicians are out there arguing for this brexit to continue and they are the least popular in the country, tony blair. they have some fa ns country, tony blair. they have some fans on social media, but some people are surprised they are sticking their heads above the parapet. brussels wants to tie down a60 parapet. brussels wants to tie down a 60 billion euros exit bill before beginning trade talks. this is in the financial times. how was britain going to be forced to pay this divorce bill. this could be an indication of this. instead of focusing on the debate in the lords, it still believes that this states

more clearly that the eu is determined to get its money back and it will do that by saying we will not talk about anything else with britain. we will not talk about future trading arrangements, which is what theresa may is desperate to talk about. that will not be on the agenda unless britain has agreed to pay the divorce bill, which is a huge amount of money. many mps will lea p huge amount of money. many mps will leap up and down if the government agrees to pay it and will demand we walk away without paying a penny. the other issue they want to cover in brussels is the rights of expatriates citizens, which is somewhere where the lords may feel they could get some kind of agreement. that feels quite plausible. almost across—the— board people have seen it too have felt, people have seen it too have felt, people like nigel farage, they were saying we are not saying people who

are here now will be asked to leave. i think it is pretty much across the board, with few exceptions, a sense that people who have made their lives here should have a degree of security which they do not at the moment. that would be a two-way thing because british people have made their homes for a long time in other parts of the eu who would be covered by those guarantees. that is the reason the prime minister gives for not giving a unilateral guarantee for the 3 million eu citizens in this country because she is determined to secure the rights of british expats as well. it is a bit more complex than it is normally portrayed. it is not can we have our rights and can they have their rights? how much health care and pension rights would eu citizens be entitled to estimate it will be a complicated negotiation. inevitably. there are more eu citizens here than

there are british citizens on the continent and maybe that is how they will reduce their 60 billion euro bill. the times newspaper. is that where we are going? lies fuelling revolt over rates insist ministers. number ten on collision course with small businesses. business rates have been re—evaluated, but the issue because they are based on property prices. they will kick in in april. the government is saying most businesses will pay the same or less. the exchequer will not be better off. that is supposed to be a financial gain for the treasury, i am not sure how they achieved that. it is amazing to see that this story will not go off to the front pages.

i think we know where it is heading. there is a budget next month and the chancellor will have to give way to this sort of pressure from his own mps and from the media. but this story says a letter has been cast around from the communities secretary and mps in which they are complaining about misinformation in the media. but the letter apparently points out that in some constituencies bills will go up and they will go up by a large amount, including 10% in runnymede, which is the chancellor's constituency. it is those figures that say to me in the end there will be a climb—down in the budget. many high streets are struggling already to keep small businesses there. you have to look at high streets virtually anywhere in the country since the financial crisis, which is already nine years ago, and lots of them, betting shops

and charity shops, they are there because small businesses went under a long time ago and have never returned. it is ok to say that most businesses will have reduced bills, but those who will not i still half a million businesses and that is a lot. those will be small businesses in the south. it is such a strange policy for the conservatives. let's have a look at the new york times. there is an opinion piece called trapped in donald trump's addled mind. she says he is stuck in his own skull. it is hard to disagree when you see him inventing incident in sweden and all of sweden, bless them, going, what? it is like a weird vendetta against scandinavians. the norwegian former prime minister was stopped during the weekend of the travel ban at

customs. i am from scandinavia, i was the prime minister. the new york times is one of donald trump's most hated newspapers and it is making it clear why that should be. maureen dowd on the front page saying essentially he is living in an entirely internal bauble and we cannot get in and he cannot get out. is he not more clever than that? everybody gets distracted by his twitter in the morning and then we forget to ask about the other questions going on in the administration. the story is well timed with the phrase addled mind because he talked about a terrorist attack in sweden at a rally last night and there was no attack at all. one theory is there has been a recent attack in pakistan and he may have confused the town there with

sweden. let's say the us suddenly decide are some ice as terrorists in pakistan, so i would be worried if i was swedish. very quickly, the daily telegraph. saving universities eu funding. what does oxford university wa nt to funding. what does oxford university want to do? they have been charmed by the french to open a campus extension in paris and other universities have been approached, like warwick university. extremely high class areas of learning. they will lose their eu funding during the brexit negotiations and whether they do or not, they are worried that they might. students from