tonight at ten, the british people are being sold an unrealistic vision of life after brexit — the warning from a former prime minister. sirjohn major, in his first keynote speech since the referendum, accused theresa may's government of failing to spell out the complexity and the risks of the brexit process. obstacles are brushed aside as if of no consequence, whilst opportunities are inflated beyond any reasonable expectation. a little more charm and a lot less cheap rhetoric would do much to protect the interests of the united kingdom. we'll have reaction to sirjohn‘s speech, as downing street insists the government is determined to make a success of brexit. also tonight, after a long delay, the independent inquiry into child sexual abuse finally starts hearing evidence in public. this is not a joke, moonlight has won best picture. moonlight, best picture. an inquiry is launched after the biggest mix—up

ever seen at the oscars ceremony. a change to personal—injury compensation will increase car insurance for millions of drivers. # ranieri, oh—oh, oh—oh... # and leicester fans voice their support for the manager sacked last week. and coming up in sportsday on bbc news, champions leicester city shows signs of survival — as life after ranieri begins, starting with liverpool in the premier league tonight. good evening. for the second time in a fortnight, a former prime minister has warned that the british people are being given an unrealistic vision of life after brexit. two weeks ago,

it was labour's tony blair. this evening, it was the conservative sirjohn major, who said the costs of brexit would be too much for most people. and he warned that theresa may's approach could lead to a second independence referendum in scotland. our political editor, laura kuenssberg, reports. polite words can still pack a punch. a warning from a former tory prime minister to today's, one whose time in office was tortured by europe. sirjohn major's message to theresa may — get real. the british people have been led to expect a future that seems to be unreal and overoptimistic. obstacles are brushed aside as if of no consequence, whilst opportunities are inflated beyond any reasonable expectation of delivery. he fears we'll be worse off, less tolerant, more divided, and that the prime minister's attitude so far won't achieve her ambitions. the atmosphere is already sour.

a little more charm and a lot less cheap rhetoric would do much to protect the interests of the united kingdom. you've accused the government of misleading people about how easy this is going to be — do you think that's deliberate, or is it naive? i wouldn't charge my colleagues with a deliberate attempt to deceive in government. the british people voted to come out. they will accept coming out, but i think they do wish to know, and have an absolute right to know, what the difficulties will be, the impediments will be, and how long it will take. sirjohn tried and failed to keep us in during the referendum. his comments will rankle... on the basis of half—truths and untruths. .. ..but were, as he himself might have predicted, vigorously dismissed. it was a craven and defeated speech of a bitter man who was heavily defeated by the electorate for his own failings in europe in 1987 and was defeated again

last june and now wishes to take out his failures on mrs may. with theresa may determined to keep the tory party together, and labour struggling to be united, the momentum has been with those celebrating our journey to the exit door. privately, ministers are increasingly optimistic about doing a deal, but sirjohn major's not the only person with fundamental concerns. one senior figure who's been part of some of the talks told me — behind closed doors — some discussions have been shambolic, and raised concerns that the government are yet to understand the full implications of our decision to leave. a good day for britain and a good day for europe. and he knows all too painfully how the implications of european ructions can pan out. forgive my language, but to use your phrase, will she face her own bastards at some point? you might say that,

i couldn't possibly comment. laughter. "when the curtain falls, time to get off the stage," he once said. but this former prime minister has found himself still willing to play a part in our european drama. and laura's with me, but first to glasgow and our scotland editor, sarah smith. sarah, sirjohn warned that theresa may's brexit approach could lead to a second independence referendum. he said it was a real risk even if it seems improbable at the moment. i have to say, from here, it doesn't seem improbable at all, it seems a very definite possibility, and it appears that the prime minister and now understands that too. the last cabinet meeting was largely dominated by the discussion about

avoiding scottish independence, and theresa may will be in glasgow addressing the scottish conservative party on friday, and she will use her speech there to try to head off demands for another independence referendum. but nicola sturgeon has been clear, she will take another referendum off the table only if the uk government seriously engages with her over her proposals for a different and separate brexit deal for scotland. a deal that would allow scotland to stay within the eu single market as a member of the european economic area. but uk government ministers i've spoken to did they do not sound as though they are ready to meet any of the scottish government demands on that before the triggering of article 50, so before the triggering of article 50, so when that article 50 letter is sent some time next month, you can expect a very robust response from next. she'll be addressing her snp conference in the middle of march, and that could be when she announces the next step towards another referendum on scottish independence. sarah, thanks again. laura, one of

the big points made by sirjohn tonight was about the timescale, saying ministers needed to be realistic about the brexit timescale, because it is early days. it is, but we are almost at the end of pa rt it is, but we are almost at the end of part one, because by the end of next month theresa may will have pushed the button on article 50, the legal mechanism by which we will actually leave. and as that trigger approaches, there is a sense that the first episode post—referendum is in its closing stages, and if you rewind and think, not that long ago the tory party was knocking lumps out of each other in all of this, the fact that theresa may has got to the fact that theresa may has got to the end of part one relatively unscathed is no mean politicalfeat. but i think, you know, whether it is tony blair or sirjohn major, there is now, at this stage, as we move towards the first really critical junction, a sense that although she has had a relatively unscathed time of it, the arguments are not over, and whether it is the opposition

parties or whether it is former senior statesmen, people who have concerns about how the government is going about this will not be silenced — despite the climate that there has been in westminster. and i think as we move towards the end of pa rt think as we move towards the end of part one, if you're like, it is becoming clear that parts two, three, four and five will be much harder than these first stages, not least because, of course, 27 other parties get involved. indeed, laura, thanks again, laura kuenssberg, our political editor. the independent inquiry into child sexual abuse in england and wales has finally started hearing evidence, more than two and a half years after it was set up by the government. the first public sessions are focusing on the abuse of british children who were sent abroad in the decades after the second world war, as our home affairs correspondent tom symonds reports. it might be argued that this inquiry should concentrate on protecting children now, but its first investigation promises to lift the lid on a disturbing period in history, which has resulted in what were described today as decades of pain,

still very real to britain's child migrants in their later years. now an inquiry with many of the powers of a court is sitting down to the job of understanding why it happened. child migration programmes were large—scale schemes, in which thousands of children, many of them vulnerable, poor, abandoned, illegitimate or in the care of the state, were systematically and permanently migrated to remote parts of the british empire. archive: the liner asturias arrives at fremantle from great britain with 931 new migrants for this country. we anticipate that you will hear evidence that these children were put on board ships departing from england and wales without being given any real understanding of where they were going, what they were doing, or why they were being sent. more than 4,000 ended up in farm schools or remote religious institutions, mainly in australia — physical labour, poor food, mistreatment. but sexual abuse, worst at religious institutions like this one, is what this inquiry

is really about. that has never been examined in detail. the inquiry will hear of a crushing catalogue of sexual abuse, deprivation, violence and abusive institutional practices. i was only ten. this man in a suit came to see me and said, "your mother's dead, you know, so how would you like to go to australia?" in 2011, the story of a nottinghamshire social worker, margaret humphreys‘ battle to uncover the scandal was made into a feature film. she has campaigned for 30 years for today's hearings. we want to know what's happened, we want to know who did it, and we want to know who covered it up for so long. of course we need to know about it. there are consequences for children today. but this is just the start of something bigger. this inquiry will cover abuse in lambeth and nottinghamshire children homes, schools in rochdale, custodial institutions, residential schools, and both the anglican and catholic churches. yet resignations and controversy have delayed this work.

and today there was another untimely embarrassment, the inquiry sent out an e—mail in which it was possible to read the e—mail addresses of everyone who received it, including some people who have been sexually abused and are entitled to legal anonymity. the inquiry has had to report itself to the information commissioner. these are the very people that we're supposed to be relying on to keep our data safe, especially the details about our abuse. and so it has made some survivors very worried. many never recover. . . and it distracts from the inquiry‘s real work... ..and are permanently afflicted with guilt, shame, diminished self—confidence, low self—esteem. ..which is hard enough. tom symonds, bbc news, at the child abuse inquiry. the accountancy firm responsible for overseeing the results at the oscars is investigating the mistake which led to the wrong film being named as best picture. the producers of the musical la la land were already

delivering their acceptance speeches when the error was acknowledged and moonlight was revealed as the real winner. pricewaterhousecoopers has apologised for the mix—up. our arts editor, will gompertz, reports from los angeles. it was supposed to be the grand finale of a wonderful oscars night. warren beatty and faye dunaway, bonnie and clyde 50 years ago, come on to present the prestigious best picture academy award. the veteran actor opens the all—importa nt envelope and pulls out the card on which a winner's name is written. he seems a little unsure. the academy award... and then a bit perplexed. the drums are rolling. ..for best picture. faye dunaway thinks he's playing for laughs. la la land! and reads the name on the card. so it's hugs all round

from the la la land crew, as the team behind the feel—good musical homage to hollywood make their way to the stage. an emotionaljordan horowitz, the film's producer, effusively thanks friends and family. thank you to my parents... as the acceptance speeches continue, a small commotion develops. no, there's a mistake. moonlight, you guys won best picture. what?! this is not a joke — moonlight has won best picture. moonlight, best picture. the team from moonlight, a coming—of—age drama set in the mean streets of miami, are delighted and bemused. i want to tell you what happened. i opened the envelope, and it said, "emma stone, la la land". that's why i took such a long look at faye and at you. i wasn't trying to be funny. he had been given the wrong envelope.

you see, there are duplicate sets of winners‘ envelopes produced by the two oscar auditors from accountancy practice pwc, a firm that has been overseeing the academy awards for more than 80 years. within hours, pwc released a statement, apologising for the mistakes. things happen, you know, you make a movie, a boom dips into the shot, it's a human error. so whatever happened, i still don't know what happened, it happened, but the result was the same. we've all hugged it out, the two camps, and we're good, we'll wake up tomorrow... well, we won't go to sleep, but tomorrow we'll figure out what happened. and the oscar goes to... the night was memorable for other, less calamitous reasons. moonlight‘s success wasn't just limited to best picture. mahershala ali was recognised for his supporting role and duly became the first muslim actor to win an oscar. la la land might have rather publically missed out on the big prize, but damien chazelle won best director, becoming the youngest person to win that category.

and emma stone won leading actress. casey affleck picked up the leading actor oscarfor playing a broken man in the film manchester by the sea — he was thrilled. denzel washington, who had also been nominated, didn't seem quite so pleased. one of the first people who taught me how to act was denzel washington, and ijust met him tonight for the first time. thank you. viola davis. viola davis's supporting actress triumph for her role in 1950s drama fences was another win that helped the oscars feel a little less white this year. we canjoin we can join will live we canjoin will live in los angeles. plenty of attention to the mix—up. tell us a bit more about what you thought about the winners themselves and the awards? it's true, this will always be the oscars where there was a mix—up. there's a certain irony in la la land, a film that plays with the idea of two endings having a situation like that at the oscars. the truth of the matter is, ijust

wonder if there's a shift in tone the academy members about la la land. it was opposed to be the shoo—in, the record—breaking year for this musical, this fantasy about hollywood. but it was moonlight that won, about the tough streets of miami, tells the story of the coming—of—age of a young, black poor quy coming—of—age of a young, black poor guy who's brought up, helped by a drug dealer. a much harder tale. i just think the voters thought in this time and space, this strange time in this country, la la land was too frivolous and moonlight told the sort of important story americans feel needs to be highlighted at the moment. will, thanks very much. will lombaerts with the latest on the oscars in hollywood. a brief look at some of the day's other other news stories... the government says there's no evidence that the safety of patients has been put at risk, after more than 700,000 nhs documents were mistakenly put in storage, instead of being sent to gps or patients. a private mail direction company

was held responsible for the error. the government is facing calls from conservative mps to scrap plans to limit access to a key disability benefit. changes to the rules on who qualifies for personal independence payments could affect more than 150,000 people. downing street has insisted that "nobody is losing out" under the proposals. crewe alexandra's director of football, dario gradi, is to appeal against his suspension from working in the game. he was suspended by the fa in november, following claims he'd "smoothed over" an allegation of sexual abuse involving a youth team player while he was coaching at chelsea in the 1970s. gradi has always denied any wrongdoing. the bbc has ordered an investigation into the conduct of tv licence fee collectors — the private company capita — following reports they targeted vulnerable people who hadn't paid. the bbc‘s director general tony hall, has written to the firm expressing "serious concern". insurance premiums are set to rise,

in some cases significantly, as a result of a new government ruling. a new formula for calculating payments for those who suffer long—term injuries has been produced as a result of low interest rates. the average car insurance policy could rise by £75 a year, as our personal finance correspondent simon gompertz reports. compensation is a lifeline for people like tom, awarded £1.5 million after losing a leg in an accident at work. tom thinks it's right that victims should get more to pay for recovery and ongoing costs. i miss my leg, daily, you know? this prosthetic‘s amazing, but it's nowhere near a human leg. prosthetics aren't cheap. these legs are top of the range legs at £70,000 each. whether it's from an industrial accident or from a car accident, insurers have been able to keep down the lump sum they pay victims by saying, well, they can invest it and make an income from it. but now the government's

saying in these days of very low interest rates, they'll have to assume that people will make less than nothing from year to year out of their compensation, and that means insurers having to pay out much more up front. i say they can afford it. they've known this was coming down the track. they failed to put the money aside and anticipate that risk, and they are now suffering the consequences of that. instead of putting the money to one side, they paid it out in dividends, profits and salaries. insurers gave an example of a 30—year—old who needed to be looked looked after permanently, who'd get a £3.11 million payment now — a sum which would more than double under the new formula to £8.3 million. they warn to cover the cost, the typical comprehensive motor policy of £450 would rise by £75, with bigger increases for younger drivers. liz truss, the lord chancellor, said by law she had to make the change, but the insurers' association said it was a reckless move. this is a crazy decision by the lord chancellor, liz truss,

which is likely to lead to significantly increased premiums for motorists and businesses, through no fault of their own, because of her use of a broken formula which needs to be updated urgently. the nhs is affected, too. it will have to pay £1 billion more each year in compensation for medical negligence — a bill the government has promised to cover. so, should drivers, hospitals and employers pay more so accident victims are looked after? ministers have promised a consultation before easter on whether the rules should be reformed. simon gompertz, bbc news. children living in deprived areas are far more likely to end up in care — that's the finding of new research undertaken by seven british universities. the study found that children in the most deprived neighbourhoods in the uk are at least 10 times more likely to be in care, or viewed as being at risk, than children in the most affluent areas. in england, that means one child in every 60 in a deprived area is in the child protection system — compared with one in

660 in a wealthy area. our social affairs correspondent alison holt has this exclusive report. a childhood where poverty is everyday, where family struggle and sometimes fail to keep a roof over their heads. according to today's study, in the uk's most deprived neighbourhoods, a child is far more likely to end up in the care system, with social workers focused on protecting them, having little time for other family difficulties. annie had four of her five children taken into care after a breakdown. she fought to get them back and now writes a blog to advise others. she believes if she'd had helped to deal with the financial pressures, it would have made a huge difference. when you have to choose between putting gas on the meter or eating, which i had to do, it's... it's difficult. if you haven't been there, you can't possibly understand the pressure of that.

if you then have somebody coming in, judging that action orjudging your parenting, it's like a pressure cooker, to be fair, waiting to explode. the study says across the uk, children living in the most deprived neighbourhoods are ten times more likely to be taken into care or be put on child protection plans than those living in the wealthiest areas. despite that, the researchers found the impact of that poverty was often ignored by social work teams. the man who led the research says cuts to council budgets mean fewer early intervention services, but authorities are facing increasing demand from families needing help and more children are ending up in care. what's happened against the background of those cuts, is that a larger proportion of the money that children's services spend has gone on looked after children, and that has eaten further into the money for supporting families. so that balance between identifying children at risk and supporting

families, has tilted further under austerity. to keep children with their families safely where ever they live, the research underlines the importance of early practical help. martin dixon is from a church charity which works with families to keep children out of care. every family goes through times of crisis, but when poor and socially isolated families go through crisis, it can very quickly turn to chaos and for too many that chaos means the kids end up going into care. to save families, amazing volunteers just get alongside families at that point of crisis, it provides a very simple early intervention, but it's very effective and the result is better outcomes for children and families. but councils warn ever—increasing demand and their financial pressures are putting their ability to step in to prevent problems injeopardy. the government says its strengthening laws to protect children and working to reduce inequality. alison holt, bbc news. president trump has announced he wants to increase us defence

spending by $54 billion, in what he's calling "one of the greatest military buildups in american history". he told a gathering of state governors at the white house that he wanted to "rebuild the depleted military of the united states of america". live to the white house and our north america correspondent nick bryant. tell us more about these defence plans on what they could mean for other spending? this would lead to the kind of sharp increase in defence spending we saw at the beginning of the reagan presidency. trump officials are saying that money would be spent on increasing us ground troops, boosting the size of the us navy, giving america more robust presence in places like iran and the south china sea, where beijing is looking to protect its power, another potential flash point. to protect its power, another potentialflash point. how are to protect its power, another potential flash point. how are they going to pay for this? they are

saying they are going to slash state department funding, international aid and funding for government bodies like the environmental protection agency. the question is, can they get it through congress? these proposals will please republican defence hawks who believe the us military is badly depleted, but not republican deficit hawks who wa nt to but not republican deficit hawks who want to bring down the deficit. it sets up a showdown are many people think that's a showdown that donald trump would lose. thank you for the latest there at the white house. in three weeks' time dutch voters will vote in a general election, and the controversial far—right politician geert wilders says he's confident of making significant progress. he launched his launched campaign a few days ago and the latest polls suggest he's currently in the lead — standing on an anti—immigrant, anti—islam, anti—eu platform. our europe correspondent damian grammaticas has been on the campaign trail. ringed by security because he's had death threats — geert wilders, launching his election campaign.

he was, as ever, courting controversy. there is a lot of moroccan scum in holland, who makes the streets unsafe. mostly young people. he's now suspended such public events over safety fears, using twitter instead. still, he's monopolising attention in this election. what geert wilders has managed to do is to shift this election to be about issues he cares about, populist ones; immigration, islam, the eu. when he spoke to us, his playbook echoed the brexit and trump campaigns. give the netherlands back to the dutch people. make sure that they get the best deal. don't spend billions to people who come here. surprisingly, among his supporters we found marianna, an immigrant from south america. a lot of people call him a racist, but he's not a racist, because he said if you're a foreigner you can stay here, but just follow the rules.

and traditional left—wing voters are split about him. i really want to cry out what i think. holland is ours, yeah? that's what i vote for, and that's what it should be. he says he wants to make the netherlands great again. great again, yeah... he's our dutch trump, yeah. that's how a lot of people see him. it's the same populist ideas, the same fear, he tries to win votes by making people afraid. so beneath the surface, the netherlands is changing. wilders could win perhaps 20% of the vote. the established parties under threat are having to react. a measure of mr wilders‘ impact... this. the most dramatic intervention in the campaign so far, a newspaper advertisement by the prime minister, telling immigrants here to fit in or go home, aping mr wilders‘ language. it's shocked many in the netherlands. that's because prime minister rutte is a liberal, his instincts

towards openness and tolerance now giving way to something new. the election‘s only about integration in this country and people coming from outside and refugees. and the elections will be about stability. in an instable world... so he's moving towards wilders‘ position, but says he'll never work with him. at the same time, dutch politics is splintering — 28 different parties are out competing for votes. what's certain is no one will win an outright majority, and for most, wilders is simply too toxic to go into coalition with. they'd rather team up to keep him out. so his populist surge may be rising, but he may well find his path to power blocked. damian grammaticus, bbc news, the hague. leicester city were in action against liverpool tonight —

their first match since the sacking of claudio ranieri — and some fans made a point of expressing their anger over the way mr ranieri had been treated. match of the day is here on bbc one later, so if you are trying to avoid the result, you might want to avoid this report by andy swiss. singing: "dilly—ding, dilly—dong..." he might have gone but he was everywhere, a wealth of tributes to claudio ranieri, but as the leicester fans flocked with songs and flags, the anger at their hero's sacking was still plain to see. i feel let down by the club, to be honest. i'm very sad he's gone, and if he ever gets to see this, thank you claudio, you'll be forever in our hearts. he deserves better than that. there's no loyalty in football any more. the man brought them the league, a miracle, and theyjust dumped him. the fans‘ fury been aimed at the club's thai owners

but also that the players. so the big question, what reception would they get? no boos, just warm applause — some loyalties were still very clear, but this was largely a display of unity. could it now inspire them against liverpool? well, it was some answer. leicester took a 3—0 lead before, as one, the fans rose in appreciation of ranieri. it was a spine tingling moment. leicester duly held on for a sorely needed win. after a tumultuous week, at last, once again, they have something to cheer. yes, leicester ended up winning 3—1, including two goals forjamie vardy. it is leicester's first league win of 2017