a re are coming over. the rates of people are coming over. the rates of successful asylu m people are coming over. the rates of successful asylum claims are a lot higher than people would imagine. it's over a0%. that is those who get a case heard. we have seen that actually, when you make life difficult, in terms of options, to travel, it forces people underground. by europe clamping down and trying to clamp down, it pushes people into the hands of smugglers, rather than doing what they claim to do, which is stop the smuggling routes. what do you make of the suggestion that frontex needs to end these rescue missions and tow these boats back to places like libya. which is where people like italy are getting the main source. one of the organisations we work with in italy provide mental health care. what has been striking is every single person they have worked with

has experienced extreme trauma, and also torture. a lot of people call libya hell when they come across. it is absolutely unacceptable for people to send people back to libya. claire seaward of oxfam, thank you. let's find out how the weather is looking. hello. just about to show you some ona hello. just about to show you some on a plate, what a superb picture from yet another of our weather watchers in derbyshire. so the week ahead, can we keep that sort of thing going? no, of course we can't. there will be rain for some on tuesday. it will turn warm and humid as well. write widely across the greater part of england and wales,

it really was a case of summer today. i will show you the western side of scotland because it looked a lot more like that. the 2nd ofjuly, it did not look like it, did it? that'll came from a weather front which will ease its way out of scotla nd which will ease its way out of scotland and northern ireland bringing rain from the north—west of england and wales as well. temperatures dipping away a touch. a close night across southern parts. this is how we shape up through monday. i think the weather front brings quite a bit of cloud will stop bits and pieces of rain, maybe a passing shower elsewhere. on the grand scale, you get a sense that it is not a bad day really. you get the sense there will be some sunshine around. that is monday's weather front. then joined to around. that is monday's weather front. thenjoined to it, what we will call tuesday's weather, already showing signs of developing out in

the atlantic. the wet fingers are extending their grasp across northern ireland and then into southern parts of scotland, on into tuesday, a into northern england, maybe flirting with the north of wales. to the south of it, where the sunshine pops through it will feel like summer. we will boost the temperatures to a warm feeling 23 or 24 temperatures to a warm feeling 23 or 2a degrees or so. that gets us towards the middle part of the week. the frontal system moves away but leaves a legacy of cloud across—the—board as leaves a legacy of cloud across—the—boa rd as of leaves a legacy of cloud across—the—board as of scotland, maybe a showery burst to the south of it. thing is beginning to warm up. cooler to the north of that cloudy zone. come thursday, we are looking to see a spread of humid air, may be triggering some thunderstorms, cooler in the north. hello. hello and welcome to our look ahead to what the papers will be

bringing us tomorrow. with me are political commentatorjames millar and rachel cunliffe from city am. the ft says a city of london delegation will head to brussels this week to press for a post—brexit free—trade deal. the express leads with the crisis talks between eu officials over a surge in the number of migrants trying to reach europe. the telegraph claims the chancellor philip hammond is at odds with other senior ministers over the funding of public services. the metro says nurses are quitting the nhs in their thousands amid increasing workloads and plunging morale. the guardian claims the uk has ditched its hope of securing a "cake and eat it" brexit deal — and also shows andy murray practising ahead of beginning the defence of his wimbledon title tomorrow. and the mail says young drivers are being tempted into high levels

of debt by car dealers offering them new vehicles for no money upfront. and finally, the mirror says 69 refugees have drowned this year, while trying to reach spain from africa. 0k, africa. ok, soa africa. ok, so a good selection of front pages there. a good evening to you both. james and rachel, we will start off with the ft. and a story, what do you make of the latest trump saga? it is mad! we have become so used to him doing weird stuff but this is a story that is based on him having a pretend fight ten years ago, which somebody has then put on the internet with a cnn logo on the head of the man he pretended to

fight and he has re—tweeted it. cnn are not unreasonably suggesting this is out of order. on have said it is an incitement to violence, that he is winding up his supporters. do you think his supporters would take it that far? what cnn are saying is that far? what cnn are saying is that it could lead his supporters to then lash out physically and literally at the media?” then lash out physically and literally at the media? i definitely do think that is a possibility. i do think that anyone is saying him posting this as a direct threat from himself to reporters, but that has definitely been an escalation in the way the media is perceived in america. we had a republican representative standing for election in montana, who allegedly assaulted a guardianjournalist. in montana, who allegedly assaulted a guardian journalist. we in montana, who allegedly assaulted a guardianjournalist. we have had reporters arrested and assaulted when reporting from actual protests, so when reporting from actual protests, so doing theirjob, and there has been an escalation rhetoric against

the media. every single day, if you read donald trump's twitter feed, which unfortunately i have to for work, every day it is fake news media this, dishonest reporters that. that escalation of rhetoric does have consequences when you have supporters who are ever gone by that. when you would say you would encourage people not to look at it, why? what is so upsetting about his twitter feed? there are a couple of things. one is it is sad to watch the man who has such a privileged and powerful position lose his dignity and the dignity of the office through all of that, and the other thing is it is very distracting. i think some of the main issues affecting america at the moment are the health care bill, the republicans are trying and have re ce ntly republicans are trying and have recently failed to get through

congress. there are all kinds of other issues on national security, oi'i other issues on national security, on russia, that america should be confronting, and when you follow the day—to—day feuds which are found by trump on twitter, you kind of miss out on that. that is exactly the point, the dignity of the office. six months ago, barack obama was in the oval office. you would not imagine him doing something as weird and pathetic really as this. donald trump has said it is modern day presidency, this is what it's all about. anyway, we will stay with the financial times, and move onto the second story that has caught our attention, the city of london press brussels for a post—brexit trade deal. they are going it alone, is that what they are saying? get used to it, it is trump and brexit, that is what it will be for the next two yea rs. is what it will be for the next two years. it is called a blueprint, it is an exciting way to jazz up the

story. it would appear that the city is concerned with the way the brexit negotiations are going or not going, so negotiations are going or not going, so they will mount their own efforts to get their voice heard in brussels. will they be heard? part of the article does say brussels, however, is unwilling to discuss the future relationship with the uk until they have sorted out the divorce. what this story really shows is on both sides, there are individuals, political individuals, the negotiators, who are upping the rhetoric and upping the emotional side of it. britain saying we will not pay or we will not stand for that. the eu saying we will walk away with no deal. behind—the—scenes, there are businesses and business leaders who understand that there is an opportunity for a mutually beneficial deal, or at least one thatis beneficial deal, or at least one that is more beneficial thanjust walking away with nothing. the key line stands out from ears this is an

example of how financial services are fearful of leaving their hands oi'i are fearful of leaving their hands on the fate of the official negotiators while talks are based on narrow divorce related issues. basically, they do not trust the negotiators not get really emotional about this, and they seem to think we need some kind of backroom deal to keep things from blowing up, essentially. and if people are wondering about this aspect of the city of london, it is the idea of passporting, the deals that come in and out. let's put the ft to one side. it is the cod wars we will focus on. britain risks return to cod wars. i do a lot of stuff about brexit and the amount of times fish comes up. brexit and the amount of times fish comes up. we did not know who 12 months ago that fish would be such a big issue. where it will go is intriguing. this is michael gove saying we will leave an agreement thatis saying we will leave an agreement that is not the common fisheries policy, which a lot of fish men do

not like. it is an old agreement that allows dutch, french, belgian and german vessels to fish in what you might call our waters and allows us you might call our waters and allows us to fish in their waters as well. if we don't let them use our waters, we do not get to use theirs. but it is being dressed up as taking back control of the sea and this sea of opportunity line, the various fisherman‘s organisations' pr are doing a good job. i vividly remember both the leave and remain side chasing each other down the thames in boats with signs about fishing. there was nigel farage on a boat and was it bob geldof following. it was a publicity stunt and it may not be the most important issue but it is one of the hyper emotional issues and going back to what i was saying before, there were all these flash points of issues which people get very emotional about, even if they

are not necessarily the big economic fighters. and we have seen in the general election, a lot of the seats which went tory from snp have big fishing communities. this is a big issue. a subject we were just talking about, and the problem of the boat migrants. a meeting being held in europe to try and solve this. rachel, do you want to pick this. rachel, do you want to pick this up? yes, this is the migrant crisis again. 2015 was the really brutal and horrific year. 12,000 migrants landed in italy last week alone. the numbers are really rising as it is the summer. what this story is really about is that italy and the italian government have had enough. the italian government is seeking permission or is basically telling the eu that they are no longer supporting the eu asylum seekers procedures. this is a really important issue, because it shows

that as well as brexit, there are a numberof huge, that as well as brexit, there are a number of huge, huge issues the eu is facing at the moment, migration i think being the most important one. whether britain leaves all stays in the single market or not, the eu will have to confront these problems and they are not going away. unlike brexit, it is consecrated, however, some politicians like those from ukip who are quoted in this story, seem ukip who are quoted in this story, seem to think it is much simpler thanit seem to think it is much simpler than it is and they say centre the boats back to libya. that is silly. it is complicated. it is horrible. james, if you can sum up what we are talking about on the front page of the metro. bad news if you work in the metro. bad news if you work in the nhs? it is a striking headline, nurses quitting in thousands. the only thing i would say is they don't seem only thing i would say is they don't seem to have figures for the numbers joining the nhs. if more arejoining them leaving, it is not a problem. i

suspect that is not the case. there are also issues about eu nationals working in the nhs and those numbers are going down as well. it is perhaps again a little more complex thanis perhaps again a little more complex than is being portrayed in that headline, i think. do than is being portrayed in that headline, ithink. do you than is being portrayed in that headline, i think. do you think that number could be arrested if we have the cap on the pay increase lifted? nurses and the nhs are one of the sectors which people have been talking about. i think it will help with those issues of plunging morale, but it is notjust about pay in the nhs, there is a serious funding