in a mexican stand—off as plotters within her party prepare to try and force herfrom office. the washington post online says us president donald trump will effectively try to scrap the iran nuclear deal because he does not think it is in the national interest of the united states. the move could lead to renewed us sanctions against tehran. the gulf news leads with saudi king salaman bin abdul aziz who has met russian president vladimir putin in moscow. it's the first ever visit by a saudi monarch with both countries being on opposing sides during syria's civil war. the guardian's business pages look at moves by banks in catalonia to consider relocating, following the prospect of independence from spain. many businesses say they will be forced to move to guarantee access to the domestic spanish market and the european union. and finally, the japan times celebrates japanese—born british author kazuo ishiguro, who has won the nobel prize for literature for his "novels of great emotionalforce". the award marked a return to a more mainstream interpretation of literature following last year's

accolade which was handed to the singer bob dylan. so let's begin. with me is alpesh patel, who's ceo at praefinium partners. to see you. firstly, what is a mexican stand—off, can we clarify? it is when you and i are pointing guns at each other and are waiting for somebody to pull the trigger. there are three of us. an unstable equilibrium? i think that sums up the situation. they are talking about a potential group of about 30 which isn't the crucial number they need to force a vote of no confidence. this is crazy, i tell you why, have they forgotten there was a referendum, instability, except, instability is still ongoing, prime minister resigned, david cameron, instability, a general election, instability. let's

stir the pot more! because britain can take it! i've come back from singapore and malaysia and never seemed or companies wanting to invest in the uk which is great, but the last thing i'm sure they want to see when they are thinking about investing in britain is let's have a bit more instability because the tories have got a fetish about changing their leaders. every time the poles dip. just sit on your hands, calm down, have a drink, read julius caesar, those who wield the knife never get to take power.m julius caesar, those who wield the knife never get to take power. it is because she doesn't command a majority, it isn't just because she doesn't command a majority, it isn'tjust the plotting is that, it is the political situation. the votes are getting through in parliament, it isn't as though the riverboat in no confidence, the instability comes from people wanting a leadership change, adding the even more instability that may preexist. a bright but if they had a solid majority it would be more stable but if they had, by brexit, it would be more stable. that's not the problem

right now, the problem is already exist. you are adding to its! fire to the fuel, fuelled fire, it is as if it isa to the fuel, fuelled fire, it is as if it is a suicide mission for the country. it's bad, let's kick for more. that's what happened with the general election. as a business person can we have some i general election. as a business person can we have some i was general election. as a business person can we have some i was about to swear, stability! please!” suppose what they are saying is if they are not listened to now, the rebels, they will gradually get the numbers required and it will be a more drawn out, longer, slower, more painful and potentially more damaging process. the problem with rebellion in the jewellery party is that they don't like leaders who aren't giving them paul leeds —— the tory party. — — aren't giving them paul leeds —— the tory party. —— poll leads. ambition isa tory party. —— poll leads. ambition is a strong force, to sit down and read julius caesar and you will see

nothing good will come out of being the one who sticks the knife in the back or... let's move on to donald trump. the iran nuclear deal. i'm not quite sure what these certify means but more importantly, he is going to the demise of his defence secretary and top general, who all think did deal is to 0k. secretary and top general, who all think did deal is to ok. you sound surprised that he is not listening to advice from experts! we are post— expert era in this world so decertify means they have disagreement in the 0bama era where sanctions were removed in exchange for the uranium allowing access —— the iranians allowing access to check out their nuclear materials and itjust check out their nuclear materials and it just means check out their nuclear materials and itjust means the americans check out their nuclear materials and it just means the americans will the actually you are not keeping the end of the bargain, we will very impose sanctions. there is so much bluster, mr trump, we impose sanctions. there is so much bluster, mrtrump, we can impose sanctions. there is so much bluster, mr trump, we can see through the public relations. talk

to your electoral base basically, we know it will go to congress and they won't do it. so it's like the guy hold me back, hold me back, iwill hit him, but he gets to say what he wants, knowing full well nothing will happen and again if we talk about stability in the world, great. there may be better ways of working with iran than the certifying the deal which allows you to monitor the nuclear materials and saying instead no, to know what you are not doing enough so we will not monitor you at all. -- enough so we will not monitor you at all. —— decertifying great. again, leadership and the lack of it and great instability so you can talk tough to your voter base who probably doesn't understand how american politics work and the would go through through with it. and he may be thinking that iran is up the stuff we don't like that isn't in oui’ stuff we don't like that isn't in our interest and it is a way of putting pressure on them by saying it will pull out of this and impose sanctions which surely be a runny and don't want. in 1979 or 80 there

have been sanctions on them at the same time they developed the nuclear programme so how same time they developed the nuclear programme so how did that work out for them? it hasn't. they have the ability to access and baby improve the system. 80 he is negotiating because he reckons he is a great dealmaker beside being bankrupted so often, maybe he is trying to play tough so big a think they will negotiate because they don't want to be decertified. congress will block it and it is more talk. if you really believed they were terrorist, he would have already have done it, was in you are so tough as an american president to say you are an export of terrorism and we will take a few more months to analyse our relationship. golf news, historic visit by the saudi king the rush hour. quite a big deal is being done between —— despite the gulf between them on so many issues. —— russia bail on opposing sides of the syrian conflict is the major divide, let's

put it that way and if we are talking about stability it interesting that the saudis are about stability in the region and i have no problems with them buying lots of armaments for britain and the us but let me explain why. jobs in the west, as long as they don't use them on children, which is exactly what is being done in yemen, according to the un. they are buying russian armaments to do it and actually you would say if they didn't get sold to them that they would buy them from the russians and they've made that clear that the problem is if you want stability you don't go around bombing children in yemen which is another part of this. if you want stability didn't have a blockade of cavka, a major western ally, and escalate matters and make things even more unstable. —— ally, and escalate matters and make things even more unstable. -- qatar. they talk stability but their actions betray they want to maintain power by creating instability and saying we have a solution to that.

0n saying we have a solution to that. on that instability seen, catalonia. isa on that instability seen, catalonia. is a fearing instability and are talking about moving their bases into other places in spain. do you know, i don't want to say it again to criticise the instable leadership of politicians but get rid of politicians, there is a theme here, again, and... replace them with what? anybody bought. i was about to save businessmen but to try that, didn't we? the stock market is at an all—time high, what more do you want? the catalonian independence, the companies are all coming out now saying well actually, hang on, just as we saw with scotland and the independence movement there, saying that this will be economically disastrous for the region, there is a lot of calculations which haven't been done, and this is starting to look very much... not least, what with their status be within the eu. let alone what it would mean for

spain. in terms of it economy. of course the alarms would say economics is second read to our political aspirations. economics is second read to our politicalaspirations. —— catalonians. as we did in britain with brexit. it is a very worrying development, not least because i do think we've been speaking about probably 20 odd years on the front pages of the newspapers around the world, the movement has been there for a long time. now it looks serious, it looks like something which could well lead to conflict. serious conflict. and it isn't good for europe looking for stability. indeed. we haven't got time to talk about the nobel prize winner.” indeed. we haven't got time to talk about the nobel prize winner. i saw the film! clear skies and light winds out there right now. so certainly pretty chilly. but the good news is if you want a trouble—free day on friday, it is looking sunny

through the country. a window of clear skies right now. a weather system is heading our way. that won't arrive until the weekend, unfortunately. there will be rain around on saturday. not in the short—term, in the short—term, high pressure is building as i speak. it will be brief, not around for very long. i hope you enjoy the calm weather. this is what it looks like on friday morning. not much happening out there. temperatures, eight degrees in towns and cities. rural spots and scotland, dipping down to around freezing. this is what it looks like first thing in the morning. a couple of showers and more of a breeze for 0rkney and shetland. but for mainland scotland, northern ireland, wales, and england, the weather is looking absolutely fine. glasgow and the south, sunny for most. temperatures around 7—9. the winds will be very light. so really a beautiful start to friday for most of us. the weather isn't going to change a lot through the morning or the afternoon. however, later in the day, it looks like things will cloud over in northern ireland and western parts of scotland. some spots of rain getting over into the north—west

and into the hebrides. possibly some light around about until sunset in belfast and late in the evening in glasgow. weather fronts increasing. saturday itself is looking very different. so after a beautiful friday, saturday is looking completely different. 0vercast, quite a changeable day. it's not going to be a wet day. there will be sunshine around, particularly around aberdeenshire, the pennines, in the south. damp weather around in plymouth and london. it will not rain all day long. the weather will wax and wane and won't be especially heavy. a better day on the way for most of us on sunday. less of that cloud.

pockets of rain here and there. 17 in london. more like 111 in glasgow. so, let's summarise the weekend. quite a lot of cloud, especially on saturday, with spots of rain. by the time we get to sunday, it should brighten up with some decent weather around then. bye— bye. hello, this is breakfast, with charlie stayt and naga munchetty. a senior conservative calls for the prime minister to stand aside. the former party chairman grant shapps has admitted to leading a group of 30 mps who want theresa may to quit. he says it's time for a leadership election. also this morning: ryanair promises pilots better pay and conditions as it tries to put and end to its flight cancellation crisis. the gun control debate

steps up in the us. the national rifle association admits tougher rules are needed for rapid—fire devices like the one used in the las vegas massacre. in sport, england book their place at next year's world cup