in just a few minutes. i coming up injust a few minutes. i will be back at ten o'clock. the rising cost of food and transport sends it up to 3%. good news for pensioners, less so for working people. well, i think it's fairer than what some people are getting so i wouldn't complain. i think it's getting more expensive in the shops, our rents are going up. is an interest rate rise likely to follow? also tonight... the brexit effect — an influential economic report says the uk would be significantly better off staying in the eu. celebrations, as so—called islamic state is driven out of its self—styled capital, the city of raqqa in syria. the head of mi5 says britain faces the highest rate of terror attacks in the last 30 years. on his way to commit murder — the man released just hours earlier from a psychiatric hospital. and the girl waiting a year for an essential operation in northern ireland, where waiting lists have grown longer than other parts of the uk. coming up on sportsday

on bbc news... the champions league returns with tottenham in spain to take on the european champions, real madrid. liverpool and manchester city also feature. good evening and welcome to the bbc news at six. prices are rising faster than at any time in the past five years. the office for national statistics says inflation rose to 3% last month up from 2.9% in august. rising food and transport costs are mainly to blame. it's good news for pensioners, who are in line for a 3% pension increase from next april. but for the working population and people on benefits, it will put more pressure on already stretched household incomes. here's our economics

editor, kamal ahmed. running almost to stand still. as prices have gone up, our wages have remained stagnant making the income squeeze that little bit harsher. over the last year inflation has risen above the increase in our wages, making ends meet is becoming harder. the basics i get all the timei harder. the basics i get all the time i going up, 20p, 30p here and there which affects my food shop every single week and it makes a big difference to what i can get. but higher inflation is not as hard work for everyone. the figure is used to set the rise in state pensions next year and pensioners will see weekly payments increase by about £5.” think it is fairer than what some people are getting so i wouldn't complain because i know nurses except you get nothing like that

rise. the problem is they put it in one hand and take it out the other so one hand and take it out the other so you don't gain much. mark carney, the governor of the bank of england, said prices are likely to rise further driven by the fall in the value of the pound. we signalled prior to the referendum we thought one of the adjustment mechanisms would be through stirling. we expected sterling to fall sharply, it did. that passes through to prices. he said interest rates might rise next month but with economic growth week, it's a finely balanced judgment. in the spotlight philip hammond, who insisted the economy was strong despite brexit uncertainty. there's great potential to exploit underlying strengths of the uk economy, and boosting productivity is the way to turn those strengths into real wage growth. here at the treasury and the chancellor has a problem. on the one side, those policies that are locked

in like pension increases, on the other a lack of economic growth, stag na nt other a lack of economic growth, stagnant wages and the benefits freeze which are leaving the young worse off. the challenge for the chancellor — what can he do in the budget next month to bridge that generation divide? it is sensible to operate benefits and the state pension by some kind of cost of living in flex —— index but it is not fair to operate part of the population's benefit and not the other half. the road will be tough ahead. the public sector pay cut, stag na nt ahead. the public sector pay cut, stagnant wages — pressure will grow on the chancellor to act to boost incomes. it's the budget next month. expect new policies to support young people. reversing brexit and staying in the eu would significantly boost the uk economy, according to a new report by the international think tank, the oecd. it concludes that leaving the eu with no deal would see business investment seize up and the pound hit new lows. the brexit secretary, david davis, said the uk is trying

for a deal but must be prepared to walk away without one. here's our deputy political editorjohn pienaar. something, someone's got to break the deadlock, but who? the brexit secretary is refusing to promise up front the cash that brussels wants. borisjohnson is toughest of all but this is a risky game. an international think tank is warning a hard brexit with no deal could harm britain badly, and uncertainty could hinder the economy ahead of any outcome. there is a bit of a... a bit of a bumpy road. it will be crucial that the uk and the eu maintain the closest economic relationship possible. in its latest survey, the oecd says the no deal brexit could mean... so, business and consumers would suffer. the report even suggests giving

voters another referendum and stopping brexit might significantly help the economy. neither the government nor its main opponents support that idea. are you frustrated by the lack of progress with the eu, gents? one cabinet brexiteer says the oecd accept the economy's growing despite uncertainty. he's not too worried, though, about getting a brexit deal at all. no need to fear coming up with no deal, that's the essence of what you're saying? we don't need to fear it. leaving without a deal will not be the armageddon that someone people the armageddon that some people project and leaving with a deal will give us a slightly better growth rate and i think we need to concentrate on the realities. get rid of the hyperbole around the debate. and focus on the fact that if we can get agreement with the eu, both britain and the eu will be better off for it. sir keirstarmer. but in the commons, concern crosses party line. only fa ntasists and fanatics talk up no—deal. no deal is not good for the uk.

no deal is not good for the eu. by their vote onjune the 8th, the british people did not give this government any mandate for no deal. the government says it wants a deal, but: if we did not prepare for all outcomes, we leave ourselves exposed to an impossible negotiation. so, hours, days, months of brinkmanship still ahead, while the time remaining before brexit passes all too quickly. the deadlock, the longer it goes on the greater the risk seems of ending with no deal. ministers are insisting the economy is still growing and it will work out ok in the end and yet those worries about the end and yet those worries about the economy won't go away. now the cost of living is spiking just as the chancellor decides how to use the chancellor decides how to use the budget to ease pressure but the chancellor has run out of money and the government is running out of

time. us backed militias say they have recaptured the entire city of raqqa in syria — the self styled capital of so—called islamic state. it's a massive symbolic blow to the jihadists. an alliance of kurdish and arab fighters have battled for more than four months to retake control of the city which was seized by is in 2014. two years ago, is controlled a large area across iraq and syria, but now they only hold a handful of towns on the syrian—iraqi border. our middle east correspondent quentin sommerville has the latest. at the heart of raqqa, they're giddy with victory. the syrian democratic forces controlled the city that the so—called islamic state hailed as its capital. paradise circle, it's called, and here they beheaded people. their hatred crossed continents. three years ago, is did victory laps here. but there caliphate is now in ruins

and they're on the run. it was arab and kurdish fighters, men and women, who did a jig, celebrating the islamic state's retreat. the sdf fought in sandals and the most basic of weapons but they had a killer advantage. coalition air power. that helped drive is out, but it also emptied the city of a quarter of a million people. hundreds of civilians may have died in the western bombardment. younus omar and his family, though, survived. they've onlyjust managed to escape. is used them and thousands of others as human shields. his wife says, "they shot at my family but allah is stronger than them." younus says, "it was a horror, i tried to leave twice but i couldn't. they were shooting at me. they said, ‘you're escaping towards the infidels'." but the final victory here was delivered not in a gun

battle but in a bus ride. here, is fighters are seen leaving one of the last holdouts, the national hospital. they were guaranteed safe passage as part of a peace deal. what's left of raqqa can barely be called a city. but still, dangers remain. the islamic state's foreign fighters here vanished. some may be hiding in these ruins. their leadership have already fled. the islamic state group may have abandoned their capital but they haven't abandoned their cause, so the fight against is goes on. quentin sommerville, bbc news, beirut. britain faces the highest rate of terrorist attacks in the last 30 years, with some plots hatched in just days and 3,000 extremists currently being investigated. that's according to the head of mi5, andrew parker. in a rare interview, he says 800 british jihadists have gone to fight for so—called islamic state in syria and iraq. and he's defended mi5‘s record after four terrorist attacks here this year. frank gardner reports.

four terrorist attacks in britain, inspired by so—called islamic state, in the space of six months. most of the attackers were already known to mi5, the security service. today, its director general addressed journalists on the extent of the current threat. we've seen a dramatic up shift in threat this year. it's at the highest tempo i've seen in my 34—year career. i asked him why mi5 was unable to stop those attacks by known extremists. the likelihood is that sometimes attacks can happen, we've seen that. i've also said the likelihood is that when an attack happens, it may be done by somebody that we know or have known at some point in the past. were that not so, it would mean we were looking completely in the wrong place. when three men attacked people with a van and knives in southwark in june, it turned out the ring

leader was this man, khuram butt, a well—known extremist already on mi5‘s radar. what's the point of surveillance if someone is able to do that? one of the main challenges we've got is that we only ever have fragments of information. we have to try and assemble a picture of what might happen based on those fragments. sometimes i've talked about today pinpricks of light in an otherwise dark canvas. we have to make professional judgments about where to commit resource, based on the best knowledge we've got each day, against that whole range of extremists. mi5‘s list of 3,000 extremists includes returnees, jihadis coming back from the conflict zone. i asked andrew parker if he knew where they are now and what they are doing. so, of that, over800 people who have gone to syria and iraq, a proportion of them are back in the uk from several years ago, having given up on the fight and come back

for different reasons. you are monitoring them? they are part of that 3,000 number i spoke about where they are sifted and assessed on an individual basis for risk and we apply intelligence coverage accordingly. mi5, says its director general cannot be 100% perfect, a total of five terrorist attacks have got through this year against 20 stopped over four years. the uk, he says, will face down this challenging threat. frank gardner, bbc news. the time is coming up to quarter past six. our top story this evening: the rising cost of food and transport sends inflation up to a five—year high of 3%. still to come: negative equity returns with houses in some parts of the north of england worth less than they were 10 years ago. coming up on sportsday on bbc news: northern ireland will face switzerland for a place in the world cup in russia,

after the draw is made for the play—offs. the republic of ireland have been drawn against denmark. tens of thousands of people are experiencing long waits, sometimes of years, for non—emergency surgery in northern ireland — far higherthan in other parts of the uk. figures seen by the bbc show how some patients are waiting three years just to see a consultant. at one health trust, the minimum wait is 155 weeks — almost three years — if you have spinal problems. at the same trust, it could take up to 127 weeks — two—and—a—half years — to see a specialist about a shoulder or wrist. health chiefs admit urgent reform is needed to get more patients treated in the community. our health editor, hugh pym, reports from belfast. # this house don't feel like home any more # you say you've gone to set me

free... #. megan loves dancing. it's just her life at the minute. she just wants to dance. but at the minute she needs to get this surgery to help her. this is megan's spine, it's what's known as severe curvature. she's in pain and has breathing problems, she needs an operation and quickly. it's two metal rods that go down the spine. but her mother karen was told she'd have to wait a year or more. you could see the consultant was absolutely gutted and you could see that it was hurting him by saying a year, but it's out of his control. the nhs is broken. we're just standing still and waiting lists are just increasing month on month,

year on year, and it's all of our families who are sitting on those waiting lists. i feel very strongly about the nhs. one gp told me she sometimes had to deliver a bleak message to her patients. you're going to have to wait and it may be several months. it may be into 52 weeks, 80 weeks or beyond, and it's very difficult to then turn that conversation to, you may have to use — and these are our elderly folk — you may have to use your life savings to actually improve your quality of life. the longer term solution has to be in the transformation of how we deliver health and social care services. some people are waiting around three years just to see a consultant. surely that's not acceptable? i agree, that is absolutely unacceptable and that's why it clearly illustrates the need for reform. there are about 35,000 more surgical procedures required than the health service currently has capacity for. without the additional funding

to see those patients or have them treated in different ways, it is regrettably inevitable that waiting times will increase to the position they are now at. a&e often has to soak up the pressure when people who've endured long waits for non—emergency treatment see their condition worsen. that adds to the strain. hospitals like the royal victoria say they've streamlined the process to get more patients through. historic health problems in certain parts of northern ireland have been blamed by some for the current challenges, but there is a sense there's been a failure to modernise and to reform and to explain to people why, in the face of rising patient demand, the nhs has to change its way of doing things. politicians are very much still wedded to parish pump politics. but are northern ireland's politics doing the nhs no favours? in the last nine months, we've had no government

in northern ireland, we're in a political vacuum. the system reverts to keeping the show on the road and any ideas around transformation or change are simply mothballed. i've paid taxes, i've paid national insurance, so why can't i get the treatment that she deserves? karen and megan aren't thinking about politics, they desperately want the operation to happen. they're now raising money to go private because the nhs can't deliver. hugh pym, bbc news, belfast. a deal has been struck which could help safeguard jobs at the bombardier aircraft factory in northern ireland. the european manufacturer, airbus, has taken a stake in bombardier‘s c—series jet, which has wings built in belfast. the deal would allow some of the airliner to be assembled in the united states and thus avoid costly import duties

threatened by the us as part of an ongoing trade dispute. a man with paranoid schizophrenia has been found guilty of murdering his neighbourjust hours after he'd been released from a secure hospital against the advice of psychiatrists. jeffrey barry, who's 56, stabbed kamil ahmad to death at a home for vulnerable people in bristol. jon kay reports. i.00am, and jeffrey barry heads from his flat to kamil ahmad's bedsit, a kitchen knife in his waistband. after knocking on the door, he stabs the kurdish refugee more than 25 times and then mutilates his body. that's like a black cloud in my life. kamil‘s brother believes the attack could and should have been prevented, in a country they came to for protection. he came here to be safe, to just live a normal life. but why, how come he get this? why that happened and how that happened? jeffrey barry had a long history

of severe psychiatric problems, including episodes of paranoid schizophrenia. this is the supported living accommodation in bristol where the two men were living and six weeks before the attack, jeffrey barry told staff here that they wanted to kill someone. that he wanted to be notorious, and he said kamilahmad was top of his list. he'd left a note saying he was plan to kill kamil, along with everybody else on the street. in the weeks before the attack, barry was sectioned, but he was released from this hospital by a mental health tribunal against the advice of a psychiatrist, and within hours he'd killed the refugee. i've just killed kamil. he called 999 and said he'd warned mental health professionals. i'd warned them, the crisis team. you've spoken to the crisis team. yeah, they ignored me. they ignored you?

yeah. barry told the court he was guilty of manslaughter on the grounds of diminished responsibility, but the jury unanimously convicted him of murder. kamil‘s family believe he would still be alive if he'd been warned that barry was going back to the house and if staff had been given time to come up with a plan. i'm very angry. his brother says the authorities must reflect on this case. i hope they'll learn, you know, what's happened to my brother, you know. it's not happening to anybody else, again, you know. they can do something about it beforehand, and they don't do it. avon and wiltshire mental health partnership say they've now improved the way that they work with other agencies. a review will be published next year. jon kay, bbc news, bristol. house prices in large parts of england and wales are now lower in real terms than they were 10 years ago, according to research

carried out by the bbc. it's left some people struggling with negative equity and is evidence of a growing north/south divide. in the north—east of england, for example, the value of homes in 95% of local authority areas has dropped. in london, the reverse is true, as phil bodmer reports. the for sale signs tell their own story — more sellers than buyers. here, in the north—east, average house prices in real terms have dropped in nine out of ten areas since 2007. i'm not going to ever sell it at the moment. i regret buying it at the time. lee percival bought his two—bedroom home in horden in 2008 for £113,000. almost a decade on, it's now worth between £80,000 and £85,000 after the development was left unfinished. if you could sell the house tomorrow, assuming somebody would buy it, how much would you lose? £30,000. we could lose more than that.

that's just what it would go on the market for. in the north—east, average prices in real terms have gone down in almost 95% of all council wards in the past 10 years. yorkshire and the humber has seen a drop of more than 92%. it's a similar story in wales. in london, however, 99% of wards have seen prices rise in the same period. in knightsbridge and belgravia, the average home costs £2.9 million, around 80 times the cost of the cheapest house in the north—east. well, what will surprise and concern homeowners here in yorkshire and the north—east of england and in wales is that their biggest asset may now not be worth as much as they thought it was. so what's behind the difference in house prices between london and other parts of the country? in part, it is about a two speed economy. so the economic catalyst has been much greater in london and the south—east of the country and that feeds into pressure,

population pressure, which is much greater in london and the south in a way that simply hasn't happened in the north of england. isaac stott moved into his three bedroomed terrace in bradford in 2007, it cost £86,500. now, with a growing family, he wants to move on. it's up for sale at around £10,000 less than he paid. yeah, it's frustrating to take a hit on it. we'd love to see the investment come back and pay off. we'd love at the minute just to break even. for now, for isaac, his family and many others in a similar situation, breaking even remains a hope rather than a reality. phil bodmer, bbc news. to find out what's happened to house prices where you live, head to the bbc news website and you'll find an online calculator where you can put in your postcode. sainsbury‘s is to cut 2,000 jobs as

pa rt sainsbury‘s is to cut 2,000 jobs as part of a wider plan to reduce costs. the roles are being lost in its human resources department. it announced plans to save costs within three years, not long after it completed its takeover of argos. a huge clear—up operation is taking place across ireland following the damage caused by storm ophelia, which killed three people. winds of around 100 miles per hour brought down power lines and trees. thousands are still without electricity, as chris buckler reports. the storm clouds have gone, but ophelia made her presence felt all along ireland's coastline, and today in county after county, they've beenle clearing the mess left behind by the extreme weather. ophelia has done her damage, but the repairs now have to be carried out and there are huge numbers of people still without electricity. the suggestion is that there will be

households that won't have powerfor days to come. in many ruralareas, teams are still removing trees felled by the strong winds and trying to reconnect power cables. that's true across this island. in northern ireland, the gusts ripped roofs off and at this house, in county antrim, forced a tree through the ceiling. it's as close as i ever want to get. storm ophelia has a lot to answer for. it certainlyjust missed me. this was a dangerous storm, but watch how some ignored the warnings. you were very happy to be indoors and yet there was an awful lot of lunatics that were going up—and—down, you know, they were actually going into the sea. ireland faced the worst of ophelia, but across scotland, wales and england this former hurricane showed her power to cause damage as well as stormy seas. chris buckler, bbc news.

time for a look at the weather, here's chris fawkes. calm now after storm ophelia? that is right. big improvements. these we re is right. big improvements. these were the waves we captured as storm ophelia worked into south wales, this was the scene in bridgeend. towering waves battering the harbour there. a quieter day weather wise today. there has been sunshine, the winds have been blustery to the north of the uk. we have seen rain. showers for northern ireland and scotland, the far north of england too. we have seeing this finger of rain move in from the english channel to affects parts of southern england. overnight tonight it will get more extensive. as well as the wet weather we will have low cloud, some mist and fog patches forming on the hills with a few showers continuing across parts of scotland and northern ireland, the far north of scotland, with clearer skies, could get cold enough for a touch of ground frost. it will turn chilly for a few of us. temperatures for

many into double figures. tomorrow, cloud for england and wales with outbreaks of rain. there will be heavy bursts at times, some pushing into wales from time to time. for northern ireland and scotland and the far north of england there should be bright and sunny spells. with the sunshine that is where the cooler air is. temperatures 11—13 degrees, 17 in a cloudy london. through thursday evening overnight we will see some thicker cloud and rain pushing northwards, turning misty once again. for thurs thursday we start off with a lot of cloud. the cloud thick enough for bursts of rain across the heart of england. more wet weather into northern ireland and south—westening england with gales developing towards the end of the day. that is thursday. friday we will have an area of low pressure bringing rain and fairly strong winds. that will clear out of way. friday night we might got rid of one storm, another is on the way. severe gales targeting south—west england. uncertainty about the track of this low, the strong winds could affect other parts of the uk. we

have got rid of one storm, another on the way. we shall wait for. that chris, thank you very much. our main story this evening. inflation is up to its highest level for five years. the rising cost of has sent it up to 3%. that's all from the bbc news at six, so it's goodbye from me and on bbc one we nowjoin the bbc‘s news teams where you are. hello. this is bbc news. the headlines. inflation has reached 3% — its highest level in more than five years — largely due to rising food and transport prices. ahead of a key brexit summit, the international think—tank, the oecd, says reversing brexit would have a ‘positive and significant‘ impact on the uk economy. the head of m15, andrew parker, warns terrorist plots are escalating to the point of violence in a matter of days after a "dramatic" jump