hello — this is breakfast, with naga munchetty and charlie stayt. doubt surrounds the future of zimbabwe's long time leader, robert mugabe, after he was placed under house arrest by the country's military. envoys from neighbouring south africa arrive in the country to clarify the situation amid international calls for calm and greater democracy. good morning. it's thursday 16 november. also this morning: scientists will warn world leaders that the effects of climate change are inevitable, even if major cuts are made to carbon dioxide emissions. salvator mundi selling here. the piece is sold! a painting by leonardo da vinci, which sold for £45 pounds in the ‘50s, goes under the hammer in new york for £340 million.

tickets for top—flight football are getting cheaper thanks to big—money tv deals — but why is the game still struggling to attract younger fans? i'll have the details. in sport, sir bradley wiggins says his life's been a living hell as it's revealed he'll face no charges following an investigation into the contents of a mystery package delivered to him at the end of a race in 2011. and matt has the weather: your thursday start, fairly mild but there is colder air on the way to there is colder air on the way to the next few days. a bit more sunshine as well. your full forecast in15 sunshine as well. your full forecast in 15 minutes. first, our main story. the future of zimbabwe's long time leader, robert mugabe remains unclear this morning, after he was placed under house arrest by the country's military. two envoys from south africa have arrived in the capital, harare, to try to hold talks with the 93—year—old and with the country's generals — who deny there's been a coup. it's been seen by many as a move to prevent mr mugabe's wife grace

from succeeding him in power. laura westbrook reports. what would have been unthinkable only a few weeks ago has happened: robert mugabe, the world's oldest leader, has lost control of the country he has ruled for 37 years. the military denied staging a coup, but it is clear that robert mugabe is no longer calling the shots. zimbabwe's ruling party, the zanu—pf, were emphatic. president mugabe is still in power. he's the man in charge of zimbabwe, officially, right now. a lot has happened. but what has happened is a not coup. the language is important, and key regional block, the african union, has given its full support to the country's legal situations. translation: the military has assured asked that this is not this ball is down to an external struggle within the governing party.

on one side, robert mugabe's wife, grace, one of the most powerful politicians in the country. it is believed her being groomed to succeed robert mugabe has inspired this takeover. there has to be a transition away from robert mugabe but it needs to be credible. zimbabwe is waking up to a country that has changed dramatically. but whether it is the change they had been hoping for is far from clear. laura westbrook, bbc news. we can speak now to our southern africa correspondent andrew harding, who's on the line from zimbabwe. andrew, what is the atmosphere like there this morning? it feels like this is a situation thatis it feels like this is a situation that is moving to a certain point. it's calm and quiet and very

strange. it is amazing that the force did not go any further than that. this coup was over very quickly. now we have people, many zimbabweans would like to celebrate the fact that robert mugabe is gone. there was huge frustration here that he was trying to engineer a dynasty and push his wife, an extraordinarily unpopular woman, into power and yet now nobody really knows what has happened and what will happen next. many are claiming this is not a clue. i think that ——a coup d'etat. president mugabe is locked up in house arrest but he still holds a very powerful card because the generals, the military who seized power, they want him to basically give them a seal of approval to say what he had done,

that it was not a coup. they feel that it was not a coup. they feel that very, very strongly. he will either be impeached, he will reshuffle the cabinet or will try to carry on. andrew, -- andrew, good to talk to you. in the next half an hour we'll speak to sue onslow from the institute of commonwealth studies at the university of london, who has written a biography of robert mugabe. that's at 6.40. the impacts of climate change are already inevitable, even if the world immediately and radically cuts its carbon an international research programme called helix says sea levels will rise by as much as 50 centimetres by the end of the century. its findings are being presented at the un climate talks in the germany city of bonn, as andy moore reports. this latest report has been presented to an international conference on climate change in bonn, where world leaders have

already begun to gather. whatever they can do to restrict carbon, restrict carbon dioxide restriction, climate change cannot be avoided. carbon dioxide molecules will warm the atmosphere for hundreds of years. that extra heat means the water steadily expands. so the researchers can say with some confidence that half a million people in low—lying bangladesh will be affected by rising sea levels. in a worst—case scenario, with rising emissions, that figure could reach 12 million by the end of the century. some tropical areas already suffer levels of heat bringing a very high risk of human harm — the so—called heat stress. the researchers say that with two degrees warming, most of of the indian subcontinent and large areas of africa would get these conditions. rainfall and river levels are hard to predict, but scientists say they are confident they will be increased flooding on some major

rivers, even if emissions are strictly reduced. and there is no sign of that happening at the moment. the conference has already been told that global emissions of carbon dioxide, are forecast to rise for the first time in four years in 2017. that is largely due to the use of coal in china's booming economy. plans to encourage housing associations to borrow money to invest in new homes are being announced by the government. it comes after theresa may pledged to kickstart a new generation of council house building last month. labour says there is no coherent plan to address the "housing crisis". let's get more on this with our political correspondent leila nathoo. take us through what is being outlined by the government. what we

haveis outlined by the government. what we have is a specific announcement that the housing associations will no longer be considered on the public books. borrowing more to invest in building. and being pushed on housing in the budget. theresa may today will say she is identifying this area as one that she thinks will be popular. especially those where the government will push on in the budget. labour is saying this goes nowhere near far enough. actually, the shadow chancellor is

himself including a large—scale public house programme in a list of five demands ahead of the budget next week. the number of guns, drugs and fake goods being smuggled into the uk could rise after brexit, unless a "significant" number of extra border staff are recruited. that's according to a cross—party group of mps. a spokesman for the government said it will ensure that resources were available to run an effective customs system once britain leaves the eu, but the home affairs select committee says ministers must draw up contingency plans to prevent long delays at ports and airports. the greek prime minister alexis tsipras has declared a period of national mourning after flash floods killed at least 15 people and caused widespread destruction in central greece. heavy rain brought torrents of mud flowing through three towns near athens. more than a thousand homes and businesses have been inundated and roads totally destroyed. a soo—year—old painting of christ, believed to have been created

by leonardo da vinci, has been sold in new york for a record 300 million pounds. the price for salvator mundi — or "saviour of the world" — is the highest ever paid fora painting. here's our arts correspondent, vincent dowd. many thought the painting would sell the $100 million, around £76 million. that was likely to be exceeded comfortably, but nobody could guess how comfortable it. dating from around 1506, the image ofjesus christ is thought to have been created for the french royal family. disastrously restored in 1958, it was auctioned in london than for a mere £45, at a time most experts thought it was by a student of leonardo, not by the man himself. let's open this at 70, 75... last night, the tension was obvious as christie's auctioneer kept the bids flowing. $100 million was reached quickly, than $200 million.

$190 million is bid. $200 million is bid. that broke the previous record, held by picasso's women of algiers, sold for $179 million in 2015. i am selling at $2110 million. can you give me $290 million alex? 300. i thought so. $300 million. it seemed that bidding had reached its climax. until the buyer, who was on the phone, was tempted to the extraordinary final amount. $400 million is the bid, and the pieces sold. it is not known who the buyer was. the sale shows the importance of rarity — this could be the last leonardo to ever reach auction, and was half a millennium after his death, he showed us he is still the greatest star in the art world. it is an

astronomers say they've discovered a planet about the size of earth, of earth, with a mild climate which could harbour life. it's called ross 128b and it's 11 light years away. researchers believe the planet's temperature could range from —60 to 20 celcius, making it a promising place to search for life. ross 128b, that is catchy. i don't know why it is called that. i imagine it came after ross 127. exactly that. how are we doing?‘ bit of a sorry end. we are talking bradley wiggins. you might remember this long investigation into the context —— this long investigation into the context — — the this long investigation into the context —— the contents of this mysterious package which was delivered him at the end of the race in 2011. a year — long investigation. they found they can't

prove what is in it. it is the first time we have heard from about it? he spoke at the start when the investigation began. he was very outspoken on social media, saying the whole process felt like a witch—hunt. the whole process felt like a witch— hunt. essentially, he the whole process felt like a witch—hunt. essentially, he hasn't got that unqualified proof of innocence. they can't say what was in it. aftera innocence. they can't say what was in it. after a year—long investigation, a long time to get to this. britain's most decorated olympian did not hold back in his assesment saying on social media at times the situation"felt nothing less than a malicious witch hunt" and was disappointed that the result of the uk anti doping investigation was anot an unqualified proof of innocence. the bad week for irish sport continues after failing to reach the football world cup. they miss out on hosting the 2023 rugby showpiece. france are the surprise choice to host the tournament. and things could get even worse for northern ireland as scotland

make manager michael o'neill their top choice to be their next boss. and with just a week to go until the start of the ashes, mark stoneman scores a century as he aims to cement his place in the side. and i guess that's what you need. somebody scoring runs ahead of the ashes. we have got chris works taking wickets. that's amazing. see you later. will you do the papers for us? and let us find a —— find out what is happening with the weather. you will notice something chilly. a mild start. double figures. not in scotland. dropping down. clear spells and showers the morning. this weather front is coming through. the

rain will spread in across parts of the north and north—east of england and into north—west wales by the end of rush—hour. to the south, a bit of patchy drizzle and light rain. skies will brighten. especially mild after the mild start. the weather front makes a move further south across wales and the midlands by early afternoon. by the end of the afternoon, it will sit in parts of southern england and east anglia. temperatures, 13—111. further north, sunshine coming out to be a bright afternoon. showers. temperatures in single figures for the afternoon. cold air in place through the night. frequent showers. gusty winds in the north. city centre temperatures here. it will be back to the

scraping the frost off of the car for friday. blustery in scotland for friday. frequent showers in the north and west. hail with sleet and snow. much of england and wales and northern ireland, dry through tomorrow. a sunny day. rather chilly, especially out of the sun. the tussle between cold and mild and continues for the weekend. a cloudy day for many. outbreaks of rain going south. sunshine coming out again in scotland and north—east england. single figure temperatures here. double figures towards the south. it continues to try to push infor south. it continues to try to push in for sunday. cold air around this area of low pressure pushing on for sunday. the east of the country, a chilly breeze and bright weather with sunshine. uncertainty about how quickly the mild and tries to push

in. parts of south—west england and northern ireland at the moment but we will keep you updated. that is it. back to you. thank you. everyone is back in the room for the papers. the front pages. daily telegraph. focusing on events in zimbabwe to be reports suggesting everything is calm with a very unusual atmosphere. —— zimbabwe. we will talk about that later. people do not know where robert mugabe is. that is on the times as well. he is under house arrest. people are wondering how will he go. will he say he is stepping down? the feeling is he has been humiliated with this

coup that is being called not a coup. and what is going on in bbc newsrooms overnight. pictures of staff slumbering at their desk. interesting, taken staff slumbering at their desk. interesting, ta ken by staff slumbering at their desk. interesting, taken by other staff. that was the night shift. we assume they were on a break to be the mirror. schools begging parents to pay for pens and glue. £190 per year has been asked of parents in theresa may's constituency. talking about sleep. the telegraph. the uk is known for working long hours to be more than 12% work more than 50 hours per week because of high housing costs. working longerjust to afford the mortgage. longer than

the japanese? to afford the mortgage. longer than the japanese? no. japan is at the top. 32.8% working more than 50 hours. mexico and new zealand are above us. the uk is in sixth place. a great picture. this is in cambria. it was taken yesterday. it is not business—related. apparently they are notorious for low cloud. what is that? it is a house. you can see it. 0h! that? it is a house. you can see it. oh! so tiny. well, not tiny, just far away. and millennials are finding a new interest in retro food, including this, angel delight.

did you ever liked it? no. you are pulling a face. —— like. butterscotch. if he did not like before, you certainly will not now. is it making a comeback? yes. sales up is it making a comeback? yes. sales up 30% in the last six months. people have been enjoying it. obviously, not you two. the rugby internationals continuing. new zealand against australia. and this boxer says he likes to punch himself in the face to get ready for a match. he says he always gives himself three short jabs match. he says he always gives himself three shortjabs to the face. can you imagine charlie doing

that before the morning shift?|j would that before the morning shift?” would love to see it. people would offer that service, i am sure. he has a beard. picking up on that theme, it seems the secret to training a puppy is to let a bond with a dear —— bearded man. a p pa re ntly with a dear —— bearded man. apparently it helps acclimatise them. keep that in mind. this is what the guide dogs for the blind say. they also say you should jangle keys near it. that gets them used to things. hmm, beard awareness for dogs. thank you. the main stories this morning: more than half a million rohingya

refugees are now thought to have fled myanmar into neighbouring bangladesh because of what's been described by the un as "textbook ethnic cleansing." the us secretary of state rex tillerson has called for a "credible and independent" investigation into the crisis. our correspondent, justin rowlatt, has been to see what's rapidly becoming the world's biggest refugee camp, in bangladesh's port city of cox's bazar. a bangladeshi army speedboat patrols the river marking the border with myanmar. from the boat, you can see tens and hundreds of people trapped on the beaches. they are desperate to escape. so desperate, they will ta ke to escape. so desperate, they will take incredible risks. some 60 people are right on this raft made of plastic containers lashed together with rope. —— arrived. one big wave could have broken it apart. yet babies and grandparents made the journey. they tell the same now

familiar stories of violence and horror. translation: they kept us on that beach for a month and a half. we had so little food. the army shot my husband, blinding him in 19. like many of the newer rivals, they are in terrible shape —— in one eye. this boy is 2.5 —month—old. and he is severely malnourished. if he does not receive nutritious food soon, it could affect his development for life. one in four children are malnourished. we expect the situation to deteriorate before it improves. we have a nutrition crisis here now. 12,000 people will be given food at this one feeding station here today. it is basic nutrition, just rice, lentils, and a bit of oil, but it is enough to keep you alive. there are now more than

800,000 range of refugees here. no wonder they are calling this place the mega camp. —— rohingya. just look at that. there are now more people living here than in leeds, glasgow, or liverpool. and every day, it grows and grows. things are getting more orderly. the mega camp is getting roads and bridges. thousands of toilets have been died injust the thousands of toilets have been died in just the last few weeks. and geophysicists use drones to help find aquifers deep underground. —— dug. the red is aquifers, clean water. it is telling you where the drill. how important is clean water ina drill. how important is clean water in a situation like this? it is fundamental. without it, you will have diseases within days. but the truth is this is still basically a

giant open—air prison. soldiers guard the roads. refugees are not allowed to leave the camp, and they cannot go back to myanmar. despite all of the evidence of atrocities, earlier this week, the myanmar government issued a report that exonerated its army from any blame. justin rowlatt, bbc news. still to come on breakfast: ticket prices for top flight football matches have frozen or fallen for a third year in a row, but clubs are still struggling to attract younger fans, despite offering them discounts. ben will explain why. time now to get the news, travel, and weather, where you are. we will see you shortly. good morning. an interim report into the grenfell tower fire will not be published by next as had been hoped.

the enquiry has received more documents than expected, and some witnesses are still too traumatised to give accounts. restraint used by nhs trusts have gone up 12%. it rose from 6000 702,013 to 8000 in 2017. the department of health says it is working with the care quality commission to make sure it is minimised. seriously ill patients in essex face being transferred between three hospitals under plans to create specialist centres. up to 50 patients per day day could be moved. that is under local nhs transformation plans. there are concerns about the cost of the plan and the dangers in transferring patients. we can provide better

staffing levels, consistent 24/7 expert care in one place, but any risk around travel is a benefit to the patient at the end of that. the travel. currently, a good service on all london underground lines. the roads. that is before the christmas lights are switched on at 530. and now for the weather. good morning. it is a rather grey start to the day. misty and murky conditions and a lot of low cloud. feeling mild. temperatures between

eight and 10 celsius to start with. not too chilly this morning. that will change overnight tonight. brightness and cloud thinning and breaking on thursday. pleasantly mild for this time of year with top temperatures around 13, perhaps 14, degrees. it will cloud overfrom temperatures around 13, perhaps 14, degrees. it will cloud over from the north through the afternoon. spots of rain. nothing too heavy. this is a cold front. behind that, the air will be cool and clear. clear skies overnight tonight. a frosty start to the day for many of us into the morning. temperatures away from towns dipping below freezing. a cold start to the day tomorrow. but clear skies and sunshine by day. a sparkling day tomorrow. highs of only 9—10. we will keep the cool air through the weekend. rather cloudy on saturday. more in the way of sunshine on sunday. but staying dry. iam back i am back with the latest in half an

hour. plenty more on the website of the usual address. we will see you $0011. the usual address. we will see you soon. goodbye. hello this is breakfast with naga munchetty and charlie stayt. it's 6:30am. we'll bring you all the latest news and sport in a moment, but also on breakfast this morning: how survivors of the grenfell tower fire are making new, happier memories in cornwall, after one mum began arranging holidays for them, after watching the disaster unfold on tv. lucy alexander's son felix took his own life after being tormented online. now she's teamed up with the duke of cambridge fora campaign to tackle cyberbullying. we'll hear from her before 8am. and we'll be joined by howard's end star hayley atwell, who plays the feisty margaret schlegel, in the latest adaptation of em forsters' classic novel. good morning. here's a summary of this morning's

main stories from bbc news: the future of zimbabwe's long time leader, robert mugabe, remains unclear this morning, after he was placed under house arrest by the country's military. two envoys from south africa have arrived in the capital, harare, to try to hold talks with the 93—year—old and with the country's generals, who deny there's been a coup. the impacts of climate change are already inevitable, even if the world immediately and radically cuts its carbon dioxide emissions, a new study claims. an international research programme called helix says sea levels will rise by as much as 50 centimetres by the end of the century. its findings are being presented at the un climate talks in germany, where world leaders will discuss the future of the paris accord, the climate change treaty that the united states says it wants to withdraw from. plans to encourage housing associations to borrow money to invest in new homes will be announced later. the government is to wipe about £70 billion worth of debt from housing associations' balance sheets,

allowing them to raise money more cheaply. it comes after theresa may pledged to kickstart a new generation of council house building last month. but labour said there was no coherent plan to address the housing crisis. the number of guns, drugs and fake goods being smuggled into the uk could rise after brexit, unless a "significant number" of extra border staff are recruited — that's according to a cross—party group of mps. a spokesman for the government said it will ensure that resources were available to run an effective customs system once britain leaves the eu, but the home affairs select committee says ministers must draw up contingency plans to prevent long delays at ports and airports. gridlock on the way to the ports. this was the scene two years ago on the motorway near dover. strikes by ferry workers in france and the surgeon ferry workers in france and the surgeon attempts by migrants to get to britain led to pews and delays over here and now the government has been warned it could happen again when the uk leads the eu. our home

affa i rs when the uk leads the eu. our home affairs committee report says unless customs operations stay as they are up customs operations stay as they are up to brexit, border checks will increase substantially because people from the eu will need screening. extra capacity will be needed to store and search items in vehicles and it calls for significantly more staff than the 300 extra officers promised by the government. what they can do, the customs checks of the borders, if those cheques are going to increase, there is a real risk that border stork —— border force staff will be pulled off security or illegal immigration checks and we can't have failings in brexit implementation putting our security at risk. this is the second time in a week but a cross— party is the second time in a week but a cross—party group of mps has warned of possible border chaos after brexit. the public accounts committee said it would be catastrophic if a new customs declaration system was not ready on time but a spokesman for the

government said it would ensure that resources a re government said it would ensure that resources are available to run an effective customs and immigration system. thousands would have —— thousands of women have access to new drugs which have been approved. the national institute negotiated an agreement on price with manufacturers. the greek prime minister alexis tsipras has declared a period of national mourning after flash floods killed at least 15 people and caused widespread destruction in central greece. heavy rain brought torrents of mud flowing through three towns near athens. more than 1000 homes and businesses have been inundated and roads totally destroyed. the price for the leonardo da vinci

painting auction is the highest ever paid for a work of art. he died in 1519 and there are fewer than 20 of his paintings in existence. it's not often that people awarded the freedom of a town or city take the accolade literally, but this is the artist harold riley, who was trained by ls lowry, celebrating being given the freedom of salford by exercising his ancient right to drive sheep through the city. 82—year—old mr riley is famous for sketching world leaders, including nelson mandela. we understood he borrowed the sheep from an obliging farmer. john is here with the sport. bradley wiggins. not the outcome i imagined he was hoping forward regards to this investigation, this year—long investigation into the

mystery package. any suggestions as to what was in their bust the uk anti—doping investigation has found they can't prove what was in there which they say was an over—the—counter decongestant. he was hoping for a proof of innocence. but he has not been able to get that. and just the lack of evidence to prove what was in there. sir bradley wiggins didn't hold back in his assesmnet of the investigation, which was unable to prove the contents of thejiffy bag. wiggins and his team claimed it contained a legal decongestant. but ukad say they couldn't confirm or refute the claim, but that no charges will be made. wiggins responded on social media saying there are still questions to be answered about the way the investigation was handled. ireland's disappointing sporting week continues as they missed out on hosting the 2023 rugby world cup,

france the surprise choice to host the event. south africa were the favourites after they were recommended by world rugby‘s board. but the french won the vote to host a tournament they last held in 2007. and having failed to qulaify for the football world cup, ireland's bid was rejected in the first round. ferry disappointed a lot of workers come into this but when you come third of three, you have to take your medicine and i congratulate france, i'm sure they will do a greatjob in 2023, they are posted some big tournaments before so is congratulations to them and we will go home and macau wounds. the bbc price of football study has found that the majority of ticket prices have been frozen or have fallen for a third year, yet a poll of young adult football fans suggests the cost is still putting them off. there could be a three way

tussle for the services of the northern ireland manager michael o'neill. the scottish fa has made an approach to speak to him about the their vacancy as head coach. o'neill took his country to euro 2016 and narrowly missed out on world cup qualification. the irish fa has offered him an improved contract. and it's believed he's also in the frame for the manager's job at sunderland. chelsea ladies are through to the quarter finals of the women's champions league after beating rosengard 4—0 on aggregate. chelsea already had a three—goal advantage from the first leg and sealed the tie thanks toji so yun's second half strike in sweden. peterborough united thrashed tranmere rovers to book their place in round two of the fa cup. posh won 5—0 in a replay at prenton park, danny lloyd grabbing a hat—trick. roger federer has over taken tiger woods as the world's highest earning athlete as a result of prize money alone. his last match at the atp tour finals in london saw his career winnings reach £84 million.

he'll add to that total this afternoon when he plays his last round—robin match against marin cilic. yesterday, at the o2 arena, grigor dimitrov thrashed david goffin to make it through to the last four on his finals debut. the bulgarian made it two wins out of two with a straight sets victory over the belgian. in the doubles britain's jamie murray and brazil's bruno soares kept their hopes alive with a straight sets victory in their second match. defeat would have ended their chances of reaching the last four. just a week to go now before joe root and his team begin the defence of the ashes, and there are still a number of places in the starting xi up for grabs — and a few of the batsmen have done themselves no harm this morning. alastair cook is of course a shoo—in — he scored 70 against a cricket australia xi.

but his opening partner, mark stoneman, has been the start of the show, scoring a century as he tries to fill the problem spot in the batting line up. england are going well. yesterday, we showed you this peruvian shamen helping the world cup bid and surprise surprise, it went to peru. you can see the celebration from the fans. try to put upa celebration from the fans. try to put up a new zealand sign, putting a curse on the team. they want 2— nil overnight. new zealand, it's fair to say, have loads of problems. the bus couldn't get into the stadium, their flight had couldn't get into the stadium, their flight had to refuel. perhaps that workers helped. very weird. the main stories this morning: the effects of climate change are now inevitable even if carbon

dioxide emissions are cut dramatically, a warning from scientists says. the painting by leonardo da vinci has become the most expensive work of art ever sold, selling for £340 million. 93—year—old robert mugabe is the oldest leader in the world, and has been in power since zimbabwe won independence from the uk in 1980. yesterday, the army declared on state television that it had temporarily ta ken control of the country, to target what it called "criminals associated with the president." the move comes amid a bitter power struggle within zimbabwe's ruling zanu—pf party. mr mugabe's wife grace has her husband's backing to take over the leadership. her main rival is the former vice—president emmerson mnangagwa, a one—time ally of the president. he was sacked last week at the request of mrs mugabe. it's widely thought that this week's events mark the start of a transition of power ahead of next year's elections in zimbabwe. we'rejoined now from our london newsroom by sue onslow, from the institute of commonwealth studies at the university of london. i understand he wrote a book about him that you sent to the publishers. we sent it on tuesday midday and to

our interest, we are now having to rewrite the end of it. we are having chats to the publisher right now. we we re chats to the publisher right now. we were talking to our correspondence and he was setting the scene in zimbabwe, saying it was quiet, strangely calm ahead of events that we're not quite sure when will take place but it seems pretty certain that robert mugabe will be gone as the head of the country. is that what you envisioned? it is quite confused picture. there is a press conference scheduled for this afternoon but i also read that twitter feed reports saying that robert mugabe is refusing to step down. we are in the endgame is certainly the things are still somewhat confused and it's by no means, should we say, regular. if he refuses to step down and hand over power, this puts the military in a very difficult position. they will have stepped against the commander—in—chief of the army. it will be a coup d'etat which they

don't want to be labelled as such. this is a man who was immensely popular but the introduction or rise of this wife grace has caused significant problems, particularly with his former vice president. how has this happened so quickly? with his former vice president. how has this happened so quickly7m hasn't happened quickly and he remains popular among sections of the zimbabwean population of the fast—tracked land reform programme which saw the reconfiguration of land ownership and access. what is going on in zimbabwe is a power struggle within zanu pf but it is also about the legacy in the revolution of the party. grace mugabe has been the toxic element. it's precisely because they are better rivalry with emmerson mnangagwa is about which direction to ta ke mnangagwa is about which direction to take the party going forward.

what is life like for zimbabweans under robert mugabe at the moment? it is very, very hard indeed. the informal economy outside the tax system is now where people operate. the broad picture across the country. there is a cash shortage. there is return inflation. it's a tough picture for zimbabweans. this is the man whose lead the country for decades. i think that people are trying to persuade robert mugabe that he should —— he should step

down. this be his greatest going forward. he is also convinced in the power of the commitment —— manipulate. and this is for zimbabwe and zanu pf, the party that needs to be done. i really following what is going on closely indeed. thank you very much. good morning. hopefully today has more sunshine breaking through the cloud. a grey start. but pretty mild to thursday morning. these are the temperatures. double figures in many

parts of the uk. down to single figures in the highlands and ireland and scotland. cold air will go all the way south across many parts of the way south across many parts of the country. to get there, we need a weather front. there the country. to get there, we need a weatherfront. there read this. clear skies and showers pushing an. -- in. turning clear skies and showers pushing an. —— in. turning more wet in the next few hours. rain reaching liverpool and manchester by rush—hour and parts of north and west wales. a bit of light rain and drizzle in the south—east corner. cloud as well. temperatures will shoot up in the sunshine. cold air going south. severe gale force winds in the far north of scotland. wind picking up elsewhere. nothing desperately strong in the south. patchy rain outbreaks in southern england and east anglia by the time we hit mid

to late afternoon. temperatures 13-14 in to late afternoon. temperatures 13—14 in the south—east corner. this afternoon, dropping away between five and nine degrees. showers in scotland. rain and hail and sleet and even snow in the mountains. cold air with us to finish the afternoon. it will take us into the night. rain for the early part of the rush—hour in the south—east corner. gradually clearing. clear skies for many away from northern scotland to be it is a cold tonight across—the—boa rd. from northern scotland to be it is a cold tonight across—the—board. —— scotland. scraping the car first thing tomorrow morning. a crisp and fresh start in england and wales and parts of northern ireland. sunshine in scotland punctuated by frequent showers. a windy day. adding to the chill. further south, the wind not as strong but much more cool than in recent days. the upside is you have

sunshine. cold air trying to hold on. mild air fighting sunshine. cold air trying to hold on. mild airfighting back. a look at saturday. mild air pushing an. cloud moving from northern ireland and england and wales. patchy rain. going south through the day. bright skies to the north. temperatures between six and seven degrees. cold air in eastern areas into sunday. i will have more later. back tojude. thank you. —— you. nothing can undo the damage done by the terrible fire at the grenfell tower, but one mum from cornwall has tried to brighten the lives of some of those caught in the tragedy. esme page was so moved by reports of the disaster, that she started a campaign to fund holidays for those affected. frankie mcamley reports. a birthday boy without a care in the world. but the reality is his life was uprooted by the fire at grenfell

tower. now, thanks to a unique project, his family are on holiday in cornwall. how has your day been? good. yeah? your birthday? and how has it been in cornwall? good? yes. he has lost his best friend in the fire. so young, he struggled to understand. i told him that she is in the sky, she cannot see you. she cannot forget you. every day he would say did you see me? it is hard for me. the family lived

ina it is hard for me. the family lived in a block next to grenfell tower and cannot go back. they have now been staying in a hotel for more than five months. this was their only chance for a break thanks to cornish businesses offering free holidays to those struggling to cope. what can we do? we can do this. what have we got? beautiful surroundings. we don't have much money, but we give what we have got. and everyone has come together. the group have now helped nearly 200 people get away, as well as sightseeing and beach trips, they have had grief counselling as well. it isa have had grief counselling as well. it is a chance for the families to make the ray new memories, and for many of the children here, this is the first time they have surfed, the first time they have ever been in the sea, and their parents tell me the sea, and their parents tell me the first time some of them have smiled ina the first time some of them have smiled in a very long time. this is just amazing. people that don't even

know ours, they just just amazing. people that don't even know ours, theyjust come and tell us come know ours, theyjust come and tell us come here and surf. —— us. the holiday ends with a celebration. but like many here, his sister does not wa nt to like many here, his sister does not want to go back. it is slightly scary. you just feel like the building will fall and you. if someone building will fall and you. if someone talks about it ijust don't wa nt someone talks about it ijust don't want to talk about it. make a wish! hejust want to talk about it. make a wish! he just wishes he want to talk about it. make a wish! hejust wishes he had his friend back. frank mccamley, bbc news, in cornwall. lovely to see some peace going to those families. and now we will talk about football matches. we have some figures. these are the findings from the annual survey done by bbc sport, look at everything from the cost of the ticket

to the pie at half—time. the majority, 80%, of premier league ticket prices have been frozen or reduced this season. they're still not cheap though, usually between £400 and £800. why? well, clubs are earning big money from selling tv rights. that raised more than £5bn from uk broadcasters and even more for overseas coverage. the cheapest single day out is at liverpool, where a ticket, pie, tea and programme could cost as little as £18.40. but over half of young adults say they've stopped going to matches completely or go to fewer games because its getting too expensive. kieran maguire is a sports finance expert at liverpool university. good morning. this is good news?m

is good news for fans. clubs good morning. this is good news?m is good news forfans. clubs realise they have so many sources of income so it is unnecessary to squeeze them for extra cash. the wages of footballers are still going up, but they are using football deals with television partners to find that. —— fund. what are the proportions? it varies from club to club. the average in the premier league is £1 in every six comes from the fan base. the championship, the lower leagues, that becomes more higher. some clubs like rooster palace in the premier league, they have less than 10% of total income coming from the fan base. it begs the question about whether fans are needed to turn up. they need them for a variety of reasons. if you are selling a product on television, the atmosphere is pretty impressive. that is very good when you try to

sell the product overseas. and if you talk to footballers and managers, the atmosphere of the fans does create extra buzz and adrenaline in the last five minutes pushing for a goal with the fans behind you. there is an important role for football tourism. it plays a big part in revenue. yes. while clu bs a re a big part in revenue. yes. while clubs are very reliant on season ticket sales, they are now holding them back for people travelling from overseas. clubs are now getting into deals with travel agents, hotels, and so on, to offer a whole package. and if you get more money coming once or twice a season, that will subsidise them. we talk about the cost still being high. many people will watch this and say if you do not like what it costs, don't go and don't engage, would they have a point? they do, but they don't understand football. it is a

religion, it is something you have to do. you have to support your team. i travel 500 to do. you have to support your team. itravel 500 miles to do. you have to support your team. i travel 500 miles round trip to see my team every week. york hall fan base dropped —— yourfriendship revolves around it. ? and what about those younger people feeling priced out? football is one of those things where you need to get them at a young age and it follows through life. is that damaging? there is a cliff edge. they are good at pricing tickets for children. and then you reach 18 and the discounts stop. you still have people entering the job market with student debt saving up for a house. to be able to pay £40 to go toa for a house. to be able to pay £40 to go to a football match on top of that becomes prohibitive. that is

interesting. thank you for explaining all of that. if you want to look at the price of football at your club, there are full details on the bbc sport website. bbc.co.uk/sport. you can enter your team's name into the calculator to find just how much you might end up spending, and how it compares to rival teams and so on. i wonder if that would prompt people to change for ball games. he is saying no. —— football. to change for ball games. he is saying no. -- football. i don't understand the religion thing. you are one of these people that does not get it. thank you. what else is coming up this morning? down they go. down they go! how the team behind "blue planet" tracked some of the world's most elusive creatures, sperm whales, by fitting them with special, stick—on cameras. when you say stick on camera, it

sounds so not advanced. it really isn't! time now to get the news, travel, and weather, where you are. good morning from bbc london news. i'm victoria hollins. an interim report into the grenfell tower fire will not be published by next easter as had been hoped. the public inquiry has received more documents than expected, and some witnesses are also still too traumatised to give their accounts. the number of incidents of restraint used in london's mental health trusts has gone up by nearly 20% in the last five years. five of nine trusts in the capital released information to the liberal democrats following a freedom of information request. restraints rose from nearly 6700 in 2013 to nearly 8000 in 2017. the department of health says it is working with the care quality commission

to ensure the use of restraint is minimised. seriously ill patients in essex face being transferred between three hospitals under plans to create specialist centres. up to 50 patients a day could be moved between southend, basildon and broomfield hospital near chelmsford under local nhs transformation plans. save southend nhs said it was concerned about the cost of the plan and the dangers in transferring patients. we can provide better staffing levels, consistent 24/7 expert care in one place, that any risk around travel is a benefit to the patient at the end of that. the travel. currently, a good service on all london underground lines. central london and regent street are

closed before the christmas lights are switched on at 530. now for the weather. hello. good morning. it is a rather grey start to the day. we've got some rather misty and murky conditions and a lot of low cloud. but feeling mild. temperatures between eight and 10 celsius to start with. not too chilly this morning. that is going to change overnight tonight. some brightness and cloud thinning and breaking on thursday. sunshine peaking through. feeling pleasantly mild for this time of year with top temperatures around 13, perhaps 14, degrees. it will cloud over from the north through the middle part of the afternoon. spots of rain. nothing too heavy. this is a cold front.

behind that, the air will be cool and clear. clear skies overnight tonight. we will see a frosty start to the day for many of us into the morning. temperatures away from towns dipping below freezing. so, a cold start to the day tomorrow. but, of course, clearskies means sunshine by day. a sparkling day tomorrow. but the air will feel cold with highs of only 9—10. we will keep that cooler air through the weekend. rather cloudy on saturday. more in the way of sunshine on sunday. but staying dry. i will be back in half an hour. more on the website of the usual address. goodbye. —— at. hello — this is breakfast,

with naga munchetty and charlie stayt. doubt surrounds the future of zimbabwe's long time leader, robert mugabe, after he was placed under house arrest by the country's military. envoys from neighbouring south africa arrive in the country to clarify the situation amid international calls for calm and greater democracy. good morning. it's thursday 16 november. also this morning: scientists will warn world leaders that the effects of climate change are inevitable, even if major cuts are made to carbon dioxide emissions. leonardo's salvator mundi selling here. 400 million is the bid.

the piece is sold! a painting by leonardo da vinci, which sold for £45 pounds in the ‘50s, goes under the hammer in new york for £340 million. we are expecting a big fall in profits from the royal mail, despite cost cuts. in sport, sir bradley wiggins says his life's been a living hell as it's revealed he'll face no charges following an investigation into the contents of a mystery package delivered to him at the end of a race in 2011. and matt has the weather: your thursday start, fairly mild but there is colder air on the way to the next few days. bright sunny skies, though, and more details coming up. first, our main story. the future of zimbabwe's long time leader, robert mugabe remains unclear this morning, after he was placed under house arrest by the country's military. two envoys from south africa have arrived in the capital,

harare, to try to hold talks with the 93—year—old and with the country's generals — who deny there's been a coup. it's been seen by many as a move to prevent mr mugabe's wife grace from succeeding him in power. laura westbrook reports. what would have been unthinkable only a few weeks ago has happened: robert mugabe, the world's oldest leader, has lost control of the country he has ruled for 37 years. the military denied staging a coup, but it is clear that robert mugabe is no longer calling the shots. zimbabwe's ruling party, the zanu—pf, were emphatic. he's the man in charge of zimbabwe, officially, right now. a lot has happened. but what has happened is a not coup. the language is important, and key regional bloc, the african union, has given its full support to the country's legal situations. zanu—pf. on one side, this man,

emmerson mnangagwa, and on this side robert mugabe's wife, grace, one of the most powerful politicians in the country. it is believed her being groomed to succeed mr mugabe has sparked this takeover. there has to be a transition away from robert mugabe but any transition needs to be credible. zimbabweans are waking up to a country that has changed dramatically. but whether it is the change they had been hoping for is far from clear. laura westbrook, bbc news. our correspondence is in zimbabwe. tell us what is happening. people have been going back to school, state television has been urging

civil servants to go back to work. there is uncertainty as to who is in charge of the country but what is clear is the military as can —— is in control but president mugabe remains in power so the next day, the next days are going to be very important in providing direction for this country. the african union as was the united kingdom have said they need to return to constitutional order so they are very keen to see the situation in zimbabwe remains stable and clear going forward. thank you very much. the impacts of climate change are already inevitable, even if the world immediately and radically cuts its carbon dioxide emissions, a new study claims. an international research programme called helix says sea levels will rise by as much as 50 centimetres by the end of the century. its findings are being presented at the un climate talks in the germany city of bonn, as andy moore reports.

this latest report has been presented to an international conference on climate change in bonn, where world leaders have already begun to gather. whatever they can do to restrict carbon, restrict carbon dioxide restriction, climate change cannot be avoided. carbon dioxide molecules will warm the atmosphere for hundreds of years. that extra heat means the sea water steadily expands. so the researchers can say with some confidence that half a million people in low—lying bangladesh will be affected by rising sea levels. in a worst—case scenario, with rising emissions, that figure could reach 12 million by the end of the century. some tropical areas already suffer levels of heat bringing a very high risk of human harm — the so—called heat stress. the researchers say that with two degrees warming, most of of the indian subcontinent and large areas of africa would get these conditions.

rainfall and river levels are hard to predict, but scientists say they are confident they will be increased flooding on some major rivers, even if emissions are strictly reduced. and there is no sign of that happening at the moment. the conference has already been told that global emissions of carbon dioxide, are forecast to rise for the first time in four years in 2017. that is largely due to the use of coal in china's booming economy. the number of guns, drugs and fake goods being smuggled into the uk could rise after brexit, unless a "significant" number of extra border staff are recruited. that's according to a cross—party group of mps. a spokesman for the government said it will ensure that resources were available to run an effective customs system once britain leaves the eu, the ball as staff —— the border.

often do customs checks of the border. those cheques are going to increase, there is a real risk that border force staff will be pulled up security checks and illegal immigration checks and we cannot have failings in brexit implementation putting our security at risk. plans to encourage housing associations to borrow money to invest in new homes are being announced by the government. it comes after theresa may pledged to kickstart a new generation of council house building last month. labour says there is no coherent plan to address the "housing crisis". let's get more on this with our political correspondent leila nathoo. facebook and snapchat are looking into cyber bullying. they will launch a new code of conduct to the internet later today urging young people. urging young people to stop,

speak and support each other on line. a 500—year—old painting of christ, believed to have been created by leonardo da vinci, has been sold in new york for a record 300 million pounds. the price for salvator mundi — or "saviour of the world" — is the highest ever paid fora painting. here's our arts correspondent, vincent dowd. many thought the painting would sell the $100 million, around £76 million. that was likely to be exceeded comfortably, but nobody could guess how comfortable it. dating from around 1506, the image ofjesus christ is thought to have been created for the french royal family. disastrously restored in 1958, it was auctioned in london than for a mere £45, at a time most experts thought it was by a student of leonardo, not by the man himself. let's open this at 70, 75...

last night, the tension was obvious as christie's auctioneer kept the bids flowing. $100 million was reached quickly, than $200 million. $190 million is bid. $200 million is bid. that broke the previous record, held by picasso's women of algiers, sold for $179 million in 2015. i am selling at $240 million. can you give me $290 million alex? 300. $300 million. it seemed that bidding had reached its climax. until the buyer, who was on the phone, was tempted to the extraordinary final amount. $400 million is the bid, and the pieces sold. it is not known who the buyer was. the sale shows the importance of rarity — this could be the last leonardo to ever reach auction, and almost half a millennium

after his death, he showed us he is still the greatest star in the art world. astronomers say they've discovered a planet about the size of earth, with a mild climate which could harbour life. it's called ross 128b and it's 11 light years away. researchers believe the planet's temperature could range from —60 to 20 celcius, making it a promising place to search for life. plans to encourage housing associations to borrow money to invest in new homes are being announced by the government. it comes after theresa may pledged to kickstart a new generation of council house building last month. labour says there is no coherent plan to address the "housing crisis". the shadow chancellorjoins us. if we can focus on the budget next week. the reason is they want to

allow them to raise money more cheaply. you remember it was moved onto the balance sheet by the ons a short while ago. a large—scale investment that we need. we have a housing crisis that we have not seen since the second world war. it is below what it was in the 1920s. it is not just below what it was in the 1920s. it is notjust me saying that. it is government supporters and government mps and ministers. i don't think this will allow anything on the scale. just to be clear. if it works, if that proposal are changing

that debt, moving from the balance sheets, it works, it means housing associations can build more houses, that's good, isn't it? but it won't be on any scale. it will be like the tory conference which will not tackle the real problem that we've got. the real problem we got is seven got. the real problem we got is seve n yea rs got. the real problem we got is seven years of lack of investment in housing. what we need is a large—scale housing programme i think led by local councils and if the government can commit towards that, we might be able to start tackling the housing crisis that we've got. i then thinks this ——i don't think this will go anywhere near that. how many houses would you build, would a labour government build? we need a million new houses under the next period of government. 100,000 affordable houses. social housing each year. we think we can build that on the basis of local

authorities having the powers now to get out there and start building again. this isn't rocket science. this is what were done in the past. we've allowed councils to have the resources and build the homes that we need. in that way, we can get genuinely affordable homes that people can pay. where is the money come from? in the short-term, it is a matter of boring. it pays to itself at the end of the day. when you build these homes and put people to work, that is the first thing. in addition to that, people start paying the rent. it is cheaper, it is cheaper than paying out large amounts of housing benefits to private landlords to house people, often in not very good conditions, and it's also cheaper in dealing with the real problem that come from

homelessness and drop sleeping. which has doubled in our cities. some people immediately hear what you just said and will think, all you just said and will think, all you are doing is borrowing more money to solve genuine problem that eve ryo ne money to solve genuine problem that everyone recognises. why not raise taxes. do both things happen at once? what is the real answer? for long—term project, the government will go out and borrow. it's not just me saying this. the secretary of state, the conservative secretary of state, the conservative secretary of state, the conservative secretary of state, he supported our plans. he said exactly the same as me. now interest rates are so low, now is the time to build the homes that we need. you cut the costs of the homelessness crisis that we have got

at the moment. that so many people are now suffering as a result of that. it's just sensible government. rather than these mealymouthed measures that the government is bringing forward. we need something on scale. we've done it in the past. both sides have done it. it's nothing new. we need to get on with thejob. we are nothing new. we need to get on with the job. we are appealing to the chancellor. austerity hasn't worked and when it comes to investing in something like housing, you need a long—term plan. many people are talking about theresa may's government being weak due to a number of factors. how does that affect this budget? my worry is this budget will be more about saving herjob and the payment‘sjob rather than addressing the real needs of the country. —— philip hammond's. we have had many lines

about public services. 5000 head teachers writing to the prime minister to say we have to stop cutting education. we have had schools asking parents for donations. we have had the nhs mentioning the scale of their crisis. the person responsible for advising the government on terrorism said we cannot combat terrorism with this amount of police cuts. what we are saying is we need an emergency budget. we need an emergency budget to tackle the very emergencies the public services are having to address. this must not be a budget about stunts, something that will just try to protect theresa may in herjob. it has to be a serious budget which looks at the real issues facing the community so we can issues facing the community so we ca n start issues facing the community so we can start investing in the community and austerity. the first way to do

thatis and austerity. the first way to do that is to stop tax cuts on the rich. thank you for your time, john mcdonnell. let's find out what is happening with the weather. good morning. good morning. we have dried conditions on the a14. cloudy skies overhead. these are the temperatures. a mild start to thursday morning. the exception is scotla nd thursday morning. the exception is scotland and northern ireland, dropping to single figures. colder air pushing in. going south. clear it in scotland and northern ireland. the morning rush—hour, north and west wales, increasing. be prepared for rain. gusty winds as well.

patchy rain in the far south—east of england. that will clear. elsewhere, cloud breaks up. sunny spells for a time. not always lifting temperatures. patchy rain to come through here. eventually into the afternoon, east anglia and the south—west, a weather front will be sitting there. the rest will be dry. 14 is the high. temperatures drop single figures for most of the afternoon. feeling cold in scotland with a mixture of strong to gale force winds. some of the rain will be heavy with sleet and snow in higher grounds. the showers will continue through the north through the night. a breeze will make you feel chilly. light winds. clear skies. temperatures falling away sharply. a night with towns and city centres just above freezing. friday morning rush—hour. there could be

widespread frost to start the day. and then a dry and sunny day on friday. the showers most frequent with gusty winds in scotland. a mixture of rain and hail and sleet and snow. the brightest conditions to the east of scotland. single figure temperatures for the rest. feeling substantially cold. you will get more sunshine. cold air trying to hold on into the weekend. a battle for the next few days. what will wind? mild air from battle for the next few days. what will wind? mild airfrom the south—west? cloud in the north wales and patchy rain. it will go south through the day. cold air trying to establish itself in eastern areas with bright weather. sunday. the mild air tries with bright weather. sunday. the mild airtries again with bright weather. sunday. the mild air tries again from the west. not too many inroads. hopefully on sunday, reasonably bright. hopefully. thank you very much.

hopefully. thank you very much. hopefully. you just said to me a moment ago, some figures are easier to work through than others. you have been talking about the royal mail. yeah. very complicated. pages and pages have been released. i have been through the numbers. they tell us been through the numbers. they tell usafamiliar been through the numbers. they tell us a familiar picture for the royal mail. profits down. reining in costs. we a re mail. profits down. reining in costs. we are sending fewer mail. profits are down 1%. they got a bit ofa profits are down 1%. they got a bit of a boost from the general election because of the literature. that helps results. they are looking towards christmas. that is the busiest time of the year. they will

hire another 20,000 temporary staff and have six new sorting centres. that is the focus. but there are many issues. they have issues with the unions and the pension pot and changes to the way they work. a big reform going on. the royal mail was privatised in 2013. the latest figures suggest they are doing 0k. parcel figures up 4%. post down.” thought the parcel figures were the area of concern because of the competition. yes. they want it back. they have a lucrative contract with amazon at the moment which is helping to boost figures. you are correct. so much competition is coming in from private operators. they always talk about the universal

obligation to deliver to every house in the uk. private companies do not have to do that. but if you have a first—class stamp a letter it has to go anywhere you want. it doesn't matter whether it is a city centre or remote. yes, parcel business is doing well. thank you very much. the husband of the british—iranian womanjailed in tehran says he's had positive and constructive talks with the foreign secretary, boris johnson, but has expressed growing concern for his wife's welfare. nazanin zaghari—ratcliffe has been held in iran since april 2016 after being accused of spying, charges she denies. we can now speak to homa hoodfar, who met nazanin last summer when she was also imprisoned in iran. she's since been released, and joins us from her home in montreal. thank you very much for talking to us on thank you very much for talking to us on the bbc today. can you tell us, you

us on the bbc today. can you tell us, you saw us on the bbc today. can you tell us, you saw nazanin zaghari—ratcliffe in prison. can you tell us the conditions of that prison and how much interaction you had? in the detention centre is where i met her. they kept us separately. they don't put people together. a week after i was there they moved me from where i was to a cell with three other people, two men, and nazanin zaghari—ratcliffe. i had not met her before. she told me about her daughter. she was talking and crying. but at that moment she was hopeful she would be released soon because they had promised to if she signed many

documents they would clear her case. i was documents they would clear her case. iwasa documents they would clear her case. i was a bit suspicious of that. i guess they used her daughter to get her to sign documents. she was also talking about having plans to come back to britain and have a second child and have a family. the last thing she expected was to have this problem of being arrested in iran. we have spoken to richard. he spoke about her mental well—being. do you understand how that could deteriorate in that prison? yes. of course, for her, even when i met her, she was at a stage of wanting

to be released in a few weeks. but at that stage her hair was falling out and she was very upset. as she talked about her daughter she was crying. later on, iactually talked about her daughter she was crying. later on, i actually saw her. we were taken to the court together. we were not allowed to talk to each other but i saw her. i could hear thejudge talk to each other but i saw her. i could hear the judge talking to talk to each other but i saw her. i could hear thejudge talking to her. at that stage they had already given her ten years imprisonment. she was crying. she was talking to the judge. she was allowed to write notes on the verdict. normally they do not give it back to the lawyer and the person convicted. she was making notes. the next time i saw

her she had already appealed and was given five years. she was crying. after they removed her from given five years. she was crying. after they removed herfrom my given five years. she was crying. after they removed her from my cell, she was staying with one other woman. later, she was moved with me a couple of days. i heard from her that she was very depressed and very upset and crying. and she was still losing hair. she could not sleep, apparently. she couldn't believe she could not see her daughterfor this long—time. it was all up setting, not just for long—time. it was all up setting, notjust for her, long—time. it was all up setting, not just for her, but for all of the women with her. —— upsetting. when you are in a detention centre you

are in no contact with anyone but those who are we you. the conditions we re those who are we you. the conditions were difficult, especially for her, as she had missed her daughter. thank you very much for explaining and retelling your experiences while you were in prison with her. talking to us from her home in montreal. and now it is time for the news, travel, and weather wherever you are waking up and weather wherever you are waking up this morning. good morning, and welcome to the news from the north—west. good morning from bbc london news. i'm victoria hollins. an interim report into the grenfell tower fire will not be published by next easter as had been hoped. the public inquiry has received more documents than expected, and some witnesses are also still too traumatised to give their accounts. the number of incidents of restraint used in london's mental health trusts has gone up by nearly 20% in the last five years.

five of nine trusts in the capital released information to the liberal democrats following a freedom of information request. restraints rose from nearly 6700 in 2013 to nearly 8000 in 2017. the department of health says it is working with the care quality commission to ensure the use of restraint is minimised. seriously ill patients in essex face being transferred between three hospitals under plans to create specialist centres. up to 50 patients a day could be moved between southend, basildon and broomfield hospital near chelmsford under local nhs transformation plans. save southend nhs said it was concerned about the cost of the plan and the dangers in transferring patients. the hospitals group says the aim was to best use its staff and resources. we can provide better staffing levels, consistent 24/7 expert care in one place, and any risk around travel is a benefit to the patient at the end of that. hello.

good morning. it's a rather grey start to the day. we've got some rather misty and murky conditions and a lot of low cloud. but it is certainly feeling mild. temperatures between eight and 10 celsius to start with. not too chilly this morning. that is going to change overnight tonight. some brightness developing through the morning and cloud thinning and breaking on thursday. sunshine peaking through. feeling pleasantly mild for this time of year with top

temperatures around 13, perhaps 14, degrees. but then it will start to cloud over from the north through the middle part of the afternoon. a few spots of rain, nothing too heavy. this is a cold front. behind that, the air will be cooler and clearer. clear skies overnight tonight. and we will see a frosty start to the day for many of us into the morning. temperatures away from towns dipping below freezing. so, a cold start to the day tomorrow. but, of course, clearskies means sunshine by day. a sparkling day tomorrow. but the air will feel a lot colder with highs of only 9—10. we will keep that cooler air through the weekend. rather cloudy on saturday. probably more in the way of sunshine on sunday. but staying dry. i am back with the latest in half an hour. plenty more on the website of the usual address. we will see you soon. goodbye. hello this is breakfast with naga munchetty and charlie stayt.

we'll bring you all the latest news and sport in a moment, but also on breakfast this morning: two envoys from south africa have arrived in the capital of zimbabwe to hold talks with the country's generals who deny their has been a coup. the impacts of climate change are already inevitable, even if the world immediately and radically cuts its carbon dioxide emissions, a new study claims. an international research programme called helix says sea levels will rise by as much as 50 centimetres by the end of the century. its findings are being presented at the un climate talks in germany, where world leaders will discuss the future of the paris accord, the climate change treaty that the united states says it wants to withdraw from. plans to encourage housing associations to borrow money to invest in new homes will be announced later. the government is to wipe about £70 billion worth of debt from housing associations' balance sheets, allowing them to raise money more cheaply. it comes after theresa may pledged to kickstart a new generation of council house building last month.

but labour said there was no coherent plan to address the housing crisis. the real problem we have a lack of investment in housing and we need a large—scale housing programme led by local councils and if the government can commit towards that, we might be able to start tackling the housing crisis. i don't think this will go anywhere near that. the number of guns, drugs and fake goods being smuggled into the uk could rise after brexit, unless a "significant number" of extra border staff are recruited — that's according to a cross—party group of mps. a spokesman for the government said it will ensure that resources were available to run an effective customs system once britain leaves the eu, but the home affairs select committee says ministers must draw up contingency plans to prevent long delays at ports and airports. thousands of women with previously

untreatable breast cancer are to have access to new drugs. they have been shown to slow down advanced cancer and have been approved for nhs use in england. a new agreement on prices negotiated with the manufacturer. a 500—year—old painting of christ, believed to have been created by leonardo da vinci, has been sold in new york for a record 300 million pounds. the price for salvator mundi — or "saviour of the world" — is the highest ever paid fora painting. he died in 1519 and there are fewer than 20 of his paintings in existence. it's time to have a look at the sport. and the cost of watching football in particular which is

proving expensive the young people. we were talking about this earlier. there is a way you can find out. this website that ben was explaining, you can put in the team and see if your tickets are more expensive. being quite frugal myself, i haven't put it on at that its summary was like—minded. he could switch teams. it'sjust the cost, isn't it? you just want to be in the stadium and see those moments, it is expensive. unless you switch clubs. liverpool, £18 is the cheapest ticket which includes a programme and a cup of tea and a pious world. are they available or do they sell out? what kind of pie? i don't know. a fully encased buyer? i don't know. a fully encased buyer? i don't know. a fully encased buyer? i don't know what is in that pie that i would have thought, a selection of chicken and meat. fully

encased or just selection of chicken and meat. fully encased orjust the topping?” selection of chicken and meat. fully encased orjust the topping? i don't know. this was a survey the price of football, not buyers. get on the website, put it in and have a look. you can put your team in there and find out how much it costs to watch a game fora find out how much it costs to watch a game for a ticket, papaya, a pint, it's all in there. but young people are missing out. 82% said the price of foot ball are missing out. 82% said the price of football is proving an obstacle. bradley wiggins? sir bradley wiggins didn't hold back in his assesmnet assessment of the investigation, which was unable to prove the contents of thejiffy bag. wiggins and his team claimed it contained a legal decongestant. but ukad say they couldn't confirm or refute the claim, but that no charges will be made.

wiggins responded on social media saying there are still questions to be answered about the way the investigation was handled. russia's hopes of competing in the winter olympics has been dealt a blow after the doping agency said they fail to meet standards. state—sponsored doping was found in the country apparently but russia denies it was a state— backed programme. its participation will be decided on next month. ireland's disappointing sporting week continues as they missed out on hosting the 2023 rugby world cup, france the surprise choice to host the event. south africa were the favourites after they were recommended by world rugby‘s board. but the french won the vote to host a tournament they last held in 2007. and having failed to qulaify for the football world cup, ireland's bid was rejected in the first round. very disappointed — a lot of workers has gone into this but when you come

third of three, you have to take your medicine and congratulate france, i'm sure they will do a greatjob in 2023, they are posted some big tournaments before in 2023, they have hosted some big tournaments before so is congratulations to them so we will go home and lick our wounds. there could be a three way tussle for the services of the northern ireland manager michael o'neill. the scottish fa has made an approach to speak to him about the their vacancy as head coach. o'neill took his country to euro 2016 and narrowly missed out on world cup qualification. the irish fa has offered him an improved contract. and it's believed he's also in the frame for the manager's job at sunderland. chelsea ladies are through to the quarter finals of the women's champions league after beating rosengard 4—0 on aggregate. chelsea already had a three—goal advantage from the first leg and sealed the tie thanks toji so yun's second half strike in sweden. roger federer has over taken tiger woods as the world's highest earning athlete as a result of prize money alone. his last match at the atp

tour finals in london saw his career winnings reach £84 million. he'll add to that total this afternoon when he plays his last round—robin match against marin cilic. yesterday, at the o2 arena, grigor dimitrov thrashed david goffin to make it through to the last four on his finals debut. the bulgarian made it two wins out of two with a straight sets victory just a week to go now before joe root and his team begin the defence of the ashes, and there are still a number of places in the starting xi up for grabs — and a few of the batsmen have done themselves no harm this morning. alastair cook is of course a shoo—in — he scored 70 against a cricket australia xi. but his opening partner, mark stoneman, has been the start of the show, scoring a century as he tries to fill the problem spot in the batting line up. england are going well. yesterday, we showed you the lengths

thatis yesterday, we showed you the lengths that is proving and supporters will go to support their team. they undertook the services of a shaman. well, new zealand has the haka. well, new zealand has the haka. well, it worked. interesting i think. a shaman is what you need. there were a number of difficulties that new zealand encountered. their plane had to refuel on the way out. that would just be silly. i think the shaman is far more fun. the time now is 7:40 am. nothing can undo the terrible fire

at grenfell tower. she was so removed by the reports of the disaster, she campaigned for holidays to those affected. a birthday boy without a care in the world. but the reality is his life was uprooted by the fire at grenfell tower. now, thanks to a unique project, his family are on holiday in cornwall. how has your day been? good. yeah? your birthday? and how has it been in cornwall? good? yes. he has lost his best friend in the fire. so young, he struggled to understand. i told him that she is in the sky, she can see you. she cannot forget you. every day he would say

"did you see me?" "i miss you." it is hard for me, missing my child. the family lived in a block next to grenfell tower and cannot go back. they have now been staying in a hotel for more than five months. this was their only chance for a break thanks to cornish businesses offering free holidays to those struggling to cope. what can we do? we can do this. what have we got? beautiful surroundings. we don't have much money, but we give what we have got. and everyone has come together. the group have now helped nearly 200 people get away. as well as sightseeing and beach trips, they have had grief counselling as well.

it is a chance for the families to make their own new memories, and for many of the children here, this is the first time they have surfed, the first time they have ever been in the sea, and their parents tell me the first time some of them have smiled in a very long time. this is just amazing. people that don't even know us, theyjust come and tell us come here and surf. the holiday ends with a celebration. but like many here, his sister does not want to go back. it is slightly scary. you just feel like the building will fall and you. if someone talks about it ijust start remembering stuff,

make a wish! hejust wishes he had his friend back. frank mccamley, bbc news, in cornwall. amazing to help the families, the victims of the tragedy. it is 7:43 a.m.. time to take a look at the weather. quite mild lately. this is swansea. quite a bit of cloud. some breaks. some sunshine. here and in much of the country, not far away from double figures. look at scotland and northern ireland. temperatures dropping. cold air going south in the wake of a cold front. rain clearing away from scotland. showers through the rest of this morning. through rush—hour, the wet spots in northern england

and the pennines and northern wales. reaching swansea by ten o'clock in the morning. getting close to put in the morning. getting close to put in the midlands as well. birmingham not farfrom it as the midlands as well. birmingham not far from it as well by 11. splashes of rain in the south—east corner. sunny spells. sunshine for the north of the country. severe gale force in shetland. rain and hail and of the country. severe gale force in shetland. rain and hailand hill snow. for the most part, a sunny afternoon. by this stage, the cloud is in east anglia. patchy rain. nothing too heavy. 13—14 before cloud and patchy rain arrives. pushing through quickly during the first part of the evening rush—hour. clearer skies. cold air tonight for everyone. the exception is the channel islands. here, the

temperature is. this is the friday morning commute. widespread frost. a crisps start to friday. cold. a lot brighter as well. england and wales and northern ireland, sunny skies. sunshine. punctuated by further frequent showers through the day to be rain and hail and sleet and hill snow. these are the temperatures. cold in scotland given the strength of the wind. single figure temperatures for friday. a chilly night. saturday, mild and tried to push its way back in. more cloud on saturday. especially in the south and west of the uk. some areas of rain starting in northern ireland and northern england pushing south. cold weather comes in to the north—east. that will be in place in eastern parts. atlantic get to the west. this weather front tries to

push in. brightest in the east with sunshine. but a rather chilly breeze. that is how it is looking. back to you. thank you. we will talk to you later. today, the duke of cambridge will launch an action plan to tackle cyber bullying. he has met with technology companies and those impacted by the human tragedy of bullying on line. we arejoined by lucy whose son took his own life after cyber harassment. and the chair of the task force set up by prince william. thank you for your time this morning. could i ask you first about this subject? it is close to your family's height. what happened to felix? he was subject to bullying for seven years from the age of ten. at 13 — 14, the on line

aspect kicked in with social media. it became all—encompassing, could offer seven, and there was no escape. how or where were you at the time? we understood he was targeted but we did not knowjust how much it was affecting him, certainly not how much it was affecting him, and quite the amount he was getting. it was some time before we realised how much. you set up your own projects, the felix project, which the duke of cambridge became aware of, contacting you. what did he say to you when he first made contact? he was expressing his condolences. as a pa rent was expressing his condolences. as a parent himself, he was deeply affected by the loss of a young life

in sucha affected by the loss of a young life in such a way and wants to protect other children from suffering the same fate. it is a huge issue facing so many people right now. in many different ways. some quite minor. some can have tragic consequences. in practical terms, what difference can something like this make?” think the key to this is a change of thought, a change of behaviour. and one of the key parts of the campaign is the cost of the internet. we need to stop, speak, and support. we need to stop, speak, and support. we need to be upstanders, not bystanders. we need to look after each other. actions have consequences. cannot ask you now about your expertise in the area of the internet and other things, has there been a sense that big companies and organisations and social media has not addressed this

in the past correctly? i think there isa in the past correctly? i think there is a broader debate about the big platforms and how much they are responsible for content. there is a broad debate. i think getting them to work together to identify solutions like this and realise there is a real problem and they can ta ke there is a real problem and they can take action is really important. it has taken us 18 months. we are very positive about the action plan put forward today by the duke of cambridge and the task force. but we think we need to monitor it and measure it and review it over the next few years to make sure it has the impact we all want and lucy wa nts. the impact we all want and lucy wants. as i understand it, the duke of cambridge feels this is personal to him and has taken a personal interest in it. it is his impetus which has got key figures around the table to come up with something tangible. yes. any parent understands her pain. getting those

incredibly powerful companies around one table is a great testimony to the convenient power of the royal foundation. a task force that has the ceo of apple and snapchat and the ceo of apple and snapchat and the top representatives of facebook, google, and all those, all around one table, is powerful, it can have a significant impact. there will be people watching this this morning currently for who have been or will be affected. —— or. what is your message? speak up. don't stay silent and isolated. seek support. there is support out there. you have to find it. support for your children, support for yourself. with this project we are trying to make it

easier to find that support. one of the platforms launched as a is a —— todayis the platforms launched as a is a —— today is a platform on snapchat that allows you to seek help. thank you. we have had a special delivery from royal mail. they brought their results. parcels a re royal mail. they brought their results. parcels are doing well. yes. we mentioned at this morning. the royal mail updated us, saying that sales were up and profits down for the last six months. the boss said it was a good start and they are already looking ahead to christmas. a bit plan to recruit 20,000 temporary staff. —— big plan. what is the busiest time of the year, christmas. we havejust had these figures in the last hour. what

do you make of them? they are where we we re do you make of them? they are where we were expecting them. it is a huge surprise. during the ipo there was an expectation letter volumes would fall. when they came out saying 5%, it is not a huge shock. parcels is a positive story. talking about ipo, thatis positive story. talking about ipo, that is when shares went on sale. there was a lot of concern at the time they were being sold too cheaply. where are they? it depends. if you applied and got your £750 of shares at the ipo, you are looking ata shares at the ipo, you are looking at a good growth story. it has gone up at a good growth story. it has gone up 15%. they spiked on the day when people tried to buy in. if you bought during van, you are down 13%.

—— that spike. the dividend accounts for a large amount. they plan to increase it every year. so far, they have delivered a stronger one than expected. it is tough to be the royal mail. they have a big issue with the unions trying to plug a hole in the pension pot. they are trying to cut costs. there is a lot of competition with parcels, like from amazon. it was expected to be the big growth story. i think what came as a big blow was when amazon took the deliveries in house inhouse. amazon has 7% of the delivery market now. that has come asa delivery market now. that has come as a shock. there are many competitors coming into the market. when we look at the figures, you can see revenue has gone up, sorry, volumes, not revenues. they are

being squashed. the big time as christmas. we send parcels and letters. recruiting 20,000 extra staff. as you said, so much competition. they have to get it right. there will be a lot of relief. they went on to a process with unions voting to have a strike before christmas. they then went through the process and are now in arbitration. a lot of relief. a small chance of any action. with the ongoing issues with the unions, there is a difficulty. they are under pressure to cut costs. 190 million pounds needs to be cut. they are looking at the pension, which is are looking at the pension, which is a difficult area. they have already announced they are closing the current pension to help in the spring. they will look at what the contribution will look like. if, over time, during the negotiations,

they have to put in more, that will put pressure on the profits as well. a lot to contend with, especially as they get into the busiest time of they get into the busiest time of the year. thank you. more from me after 8am. i expect a special delivery from you. time for the news, travel, and weather, wherever you are waking up this morning. good morning from bbc london news. i'm victoria hollins. an interim report into the grenfell tower fire will not be published by next easter as had been hoped. the public inquiry has received more documents than expected, and some witnesses are also still too traumatised to give their accounts. the number of incidents of restraint used in london's mental health trusts has gone up by nearly 20% in the last five years. five of nine trusts in the capital released information to the liberal democrats following a freedom of information request.

restraints rose from nearly 6700 in 2013 to nearly 8000 in 2017. the department of health says it is working with the care quality commission to ensure the use of restraint is minimised. seriously ill patients in essex face being transferred between three hospitals under plans to create specialist centres. up to 50 patients a day could be moved between southend, basildon and broomfield hospital near chelmsford under local nhs transformation plans. save southend nhs said it was concerned about the cost of the plan and the dangers in transferring patients. we can provide better staffing levels, consistent 24/7 expert care in one place, and any risk around travel is a benefit to the patient at the end of that. good service on all london

underground lines. time for the weather. it's a rather grey start to the day. we've got some rather misty and murky conditions and a lot of low cloud. but it is certainly feeling mild. temperatures between eight and 10 celsius to start with. not too chilly this morning. that is going to change

overnight tonight. some brightness developing through the morning and cloud thinning and breaking on thursday. sunshine peaking through. feeling pleasantly mild for this time of year with top temperatures around 13, perhaps 14, degrees. but then it will start to cloud over from the north through the middle part of the afternoon. a few spots of rain, nothing too heavy. this is a cold front. behind that, the air will be cooler and clearer. clear skies overnight tonight. and we will see a frosty start to the day for many of us into the morning. temperatures away from towns dipping below freezing. so, a cold start to the day tomorrow. but, of course, clearskies means sunshine by day. probably more in the way of sunshine on sunday. but staying dry. i am back with the latest in half an hour. plenty more on the website of the usual address. we will see you soon. hello this is breakfast, with charlie stayt

and naga munchetty. doubt surrounds the future of zimbabwe's long time leader, robert mugabe, after he was placed under house arrest by the country's military. envoys from neighbouring south africa arrive in the country to clarify the situation amid international calls for calm and greater democracy. good morning. it's thursday 16 november. also this morning: scientists will warn world leaders that the effects of climate change are inevitable, even if major cuts are made to carbon dioxide emissions. leonardo's salvator mundi selling here. at christie's.

here's the bid. the piece is sold! a painting by leonardo da vinci, which sold for £45 in the ‘50s, goes under the hammer in new york for £340 million. the royal mail has delivered a mixed set of results this morning, letters business is down. i'm looking at what is on the cards for christmas. in sport, sir bradley wiggins says that his life has been a living in sport, sir bradley wiggins says thatifss life has beer he iving in sport, sir bradley wiggins says thatifss life has beer he "sé -., at: "ts of ‘c-‘rta of a i521 delivered to the cyclist at 1. é end ofl race in 2011. a whale's the end of a race in 2011. a whale's eye view of the deep ocean — we have the inside story on how these amazing picturs the inside story on how these amazing pictu rs of the inside story on how these amazing picturs of a mother and her ca lf amazing picturs of a mother and her calf were filmed. above ground, matt has the weather. good morning, rush—hour rain for some qt:iz11:7,1111177777'w'77777" 11:7,zzzzz't"7""’7”’t" to é details coming up then.

first, our main story. the future of zimbabwe's long time leader, robert mugabe remains unclear this morning, after he was placed under house arrest by the country's military. two envoys from south africa have arrived in the capital, harare, to try to hold talks with the 93—year—old and with the country's generals, who deny there's been a coup. laura westbrook reports. what would have been unthinkable only a few weeks ago has happened: president mugabe has lost control of the country he has ruled for 37 years. the military denied staging a coup. zimbabwe's ruling party, the zanu—pf, were emphatic. president mugabe is still in power. he's the man in charge of zimbabwe, officially, right now. a lot has happened. but what has happened is a not coup. the language is important, and key regional block, the african union, has given its full support to the country's legal situations. this boils down to an internal power

struggle within zanu—pf, emmerson mnangagwa was fired last week, on the other side, and wife of robert mugabe, grace, one of the most powerful politicians in the country. it is believed that her being groomed to succeed robert mugabe is what sparked this takeover. there has to be a transition away from robert mugabe but it needs to be credible. zimbabweans are waking up to a country that has changed dramatically. but whether it is the change they had been hoping for is far from clear. laura westbrook, bbc news. mid—morning in zimbabwe now, what

can you tell us of the atmosphere that might happen next. calm and quiet, the reality still holds, president robert mugabe is under house arrest, nobody coming in to try to rescue him, instead, what we understand is happening behind closed doors, pressure exerted to try to persuade him to legitimise what has happened, to say, this was not a clue, i am resigning. what has happened, to say, this was nota clue, iam resigning. can what has happened, to say, this was not a clue, i am resigning. can they persuade him to do so and what sort of concessions will he want in terms of concessions will he want in terms of protection for his family, for his supporters, for his wife, and so on. a long haggling is likely to continue, at some point we may get a breakthrough. after that, perhaps yea rs, breakthrough. after that, perhaps years, perhaps months of transition, two allows bob way to get over this extraordinary moment, and re—gain some sort of constitutional legitimacy. —— to allow zimbabwe to get over this extraordinary moment.

the impacts of climate change are already inevitable, even if the world immediately and radically cuts its carbon dioxide emissions, a new study claims. an international research programme called helix says sea levels will rise by as much as 50 centimetres by the end of the century. its findings are being presented at the un climate talks in the germany city of bonn, as andy moore reports. this latest report has been presented to an international conference on climate change in bonn, where world leaders have already begun to gather. whatever they can do to restrict carbon, restrict carbon dioxide restriction, climate change cannot be avoided. carbon dioxide molecules will warm the atmosphere for hundreds of years. that extra heat means the water steadily expands. so the researchers can say with some confidence that half a million people in low—lying bangladesh will be affected by rising sea levels. in a worst—case scenario, with rising emissions, that figure could reach 12 million by the end of the century. some tropical areas already suffer levels of heat bringing a very high

risk of human harm, the so—called heat stress. the researchers say with two degrees warming, most of of the indian subcontinent and large areas of north africa would get these conditions. rainfall and river levels are hard to predict, but scientists say they are confident they will be increased flooding on some major rivers, even if emissions are strictly reduced. and there is no sign of that happening at the moment. the conference has already been told that global emissions of carbon dioxide, are forecast to rise for the first time in four years in 2017. that is largely due to the use of coal in china's booming economy. plans to encourage housing associations to borrow money to invest in new homes will be announced later. it comes after theresa may pledged to kickstart a new generation of council house building last month. but labour said there was no coherent plan to address the "housing crisis". lets get more on this with our

political correspondent. not much new in the announcement but a step forward , new in the announcement but a step forward, that is how the government is putting it across. that is right, there is a recognition within government circles that there is a crisis in the government's words on house—building, the number of houses available in england, and a recognition that this is a politically significant policy area, i think the government believes that if they make an offer on housing in the budget, we are less than one week away, that this is a four point of appeal —— core point of appeal to younger voters. so we have a technical announcement today about housing associations, borrowing being taken from government books, so it will not be counted anymore in public borrowing, in theory that frees them up to borrow more and build more and conveniently wipes off some of the debt the government has, so perhaps gives philip hammond

some wriggle room in the budget to do more. labour, as you say, calling this nowhere near enough, describing the housing association borrowing figures as creative accountancy. they are talking about borrowing billions more to pay for a larger scale programme of house—building. i think this goes to show that housing isa think this goes to show that housing is a politically salient area at the moment and philip hammond is going to be under a lot of pressure to make a big offer on housing in the budget next week. we will be keeping a close eye on it, thank you. honest as must draw up contingency plans to prevent long delays at ports and airports when britain leaves the eu. the number of guns, drugs and fake goods being smuggled into the uk could rise after brexit,

u nless into the uk could rise after brexit, unless a "significa nt" into the uk could rise after brexit, unless a "significant" number of extra border staff are recruited. that's according to a cross—party group of mps. the social media companies facebook and snapchat are to trial a new service offering direct support to victims of cyberbullying it's after a campaign led by the duke of cambridge, who set up a taskforce looking into the issue. he'll launch a new code of conduct for the internet later today, urging young people to "stop, speak and support" each other online. a 500—year—old painting of christ, believed to have been created by leonardo da vinci has gone under the hammer in new york for a record £400 million, that's just over £300 million. the price for salvator mundi, or "saviour of the world", is the highest ever paid for a painting da vinci died in 1519 and there are fewer than 20 of his paintings in existence. christie ‘s new york had estimated leonardo da vinci's sulphur tour monday would sell for $100 million, around £76 million, they knew that was likely to be exceeded co mforta bly, was likely to be exceeded comfortably, nobody could have guessed how comfortably. —— salvatore mundi. dating from 1506, the image ofjesus christ is the two

have been created for the french royalfamily, have been created for the french royal family, disastrously restored in1958, it royal family, disastrously restored in 1958, it was auctioned in london for a mere £45, at a time when most experts thought it was by a student of leonardo, not by the man himself. last night, the tension was obvious, as christies auctioneer kept the bits flowing, $100 million was reached quickly, then, $200 million. that broke the previous record for a picture sold at auction, this picasso, sold for $179 million in 2015 full up once or twice it seemed bidding had reached its climax, until the buyer on the phone was tempted to an extraordinary final

amount. the piece is sold. it is not known who the buyer was, the sale shows the importance of rarity, this could be the last leonardo ever to reach auction, and almost half a millennium after his death, he has shown himself the greatest star in the art world. those are the main stories. robert mugabe has said he wants to live to a hundred and rule for life, but after 37 years a hundred and rule for life, but after 37 yea rs in a hundred and rule for life, but after 37 years in power, it looks as though his grip on zimbabwe may be close to an end. the 93—year—old is under house arrest in harare after the military declared it had temporarily taken the military declared it had temporarily ta ken control of the military declared it had temporarily taken control of the country. we're joined now temporarily taken control of the country. we'rejoined now by temporarily taken control of the country. we're joined now by george shire, a supporter of the ruling zanu pf party, and by makusha mugabe

from the movement for democratic change. what you think has happened to push this situation to the point it is under now, robert mugabe under house arrest and seemingly not being offered a way to stay. turn it on its head, i think that some of the time, the language, the vocabulary, the designation uses, indicating a preferred outcome, there's not unable us to understand what is going on. —— does not. this is musical chairs, this is, if you like, it is the hardliners, who have been for the most part robert mugabe's closest advisers, 0k, putting their stamp on it, and so, what is happening is musical chairs within the party. did you think that robert mugabe is going to go? you area robert mugabe is going to go? you

are a supporter of his. that is anotherfiction, i are a supporter of his. that is another fiction, i will deal with that in another way. this is not about robert mugabe, it is about clearing the decks of people around him, who have become around him in the last year or so. and that is why the last year or so. and that is why the army is getting at people who have been involved in criminality, just for example, alleged yesterday, the minister of finance, was found in his car, 10 million us dollars... and if you think about it that way, then you can see why that language explains it. so those people who see... probably because most people, certainly beans the two since there were, are tempted to think that zanu-pf is led were, are tempted to think that zanu—pf is led by robert mugabe alone, but i choose the other way around. you want to pick this up, to be clear, you are from the movement for democratic change, opposition party, in zimbabwe, as she was

saying, this is not about robert mugabe, take us... you understand the situation as it stands right now. i think from all the reporting that has been going on, it is very clear that a clue has taken place. we are grateful there has been no loss of life, but it is clear that the soldiers are... yes, there was a powergrab, the soldiers are... yes, there was a power grab, within zanu—pf, but they are actually trying to get robert mugabe to go, no question about it. take us through, from your point of view, if robert mugabe is going, or has already gone, and there is a lack of clarity on that, what's next? what the soldiers are trying to do, from what we understand, and that was clear from their statement as well, they want to initiate some

kind of transitional situation, because they have said a military lead transition, that is what they have called for, a military led transition government, but transition government, but transition to what, that is the question. asa as a political party ourselves and i think there huge excitement in zimbabwe at the moment, to say, yes, let's have a new dispensation but it can only happen in a constitutional way. what does that look like? the elections are due next year. yes. we would like if it was possible... the government has said there will be negotiations going on but what we would like to keep to that timetable is... because, we would like a return to constitutionality as soon as possible. you want to pick up on

the what next? i kept on saying to you earlier, most people have a preferred outcome and that is not the same thing as things as they exist, we really need to pay attention. what next? just a minute. zanu pf is the party in government, it was dating government until the next election, what you will see is the hardliners taking over the party in government. so we will not see robert mugabe? just a minute, there is no such thing, forget transition, we focus on the continuation of zanu pf being in government. what will be the role of grace mugabe? she remains a member of zanu pf, she is not a member of government, she is a member of the party, she is secretary of the women's league, it is the women's league who decide whether she continues to lead them. some of the problem is, people have

seen some of the problem is, people have seen her as the heir apparent, appointed by robert mugabe and that's what people are unhappy about, that's why we are asking you about, that's why we are asking you about who leads the country regardless of whether zanu pf stays in ahead of the election. you will see why, there have been three factions which have been vying for trying to influence robert mugabe one way or the other or taking the party one way or the other. it garnered with talks, called in 2015, then generation 40 and now this one. they are all three sides of zanu pf and each one of them wanting to see... nobody in politics is against intergenerational politics, the question is whether this is generated enough and that is what has been going on. you ask a question for a disgrace maghaberry fit into? it's obvious if she's been connected to generation 40 and its

generation 40 the army accuses of looting stuff. the answer comes that way, it's not the individual in the way, it's not the individual in the way in which you set out the argument it's looking at these three factions which have been resting for power within zanu pf. if i may, factions which have been resting for power within zanu pf. ifi may, i wa nt to power within zanu pf. ifi may, i want to get this last spot, our correspondent in zimbabwe is saying things are tranquil, amongst all the other things that are confusing, thatis other things that are confusing, that is one thing that is good because at the moment it a scam. that is one thing that is good because at the moment it a scamm is calm and we would like...” because at the moment it a scamm is calm and we would like... i think the important thing is really, this has thrown light on zimbabwe to the international community. and if the international community. and if the international community. and if the international community can really engage now it's wonderful that it has happened peacefully. and then we see how the political parties and other actors can all come together and have some kind of proper

transition with international guarantees. that's exactly what we are looking for. thank you both for your time. here's matt with a look at this morning's weather. good morning. how about this for a start to the day? a drop in temperature, for some to get to sunny skies you will have to expect a spell of rain, that includes lily mae in keighley. colder weather arriving, these temperatures if you are ready to step out the door, temperatures dropping across scotla nd temperatures dropping across scotland and northern ireland. colder are working its way southwards after the passage of this boundary. showers throughout the day across north and west scotland, gusty winds, windy conditions around this area of rain spreading

southwards across northern england, across the north and west of wales and by the time we get to 10am appropriate into swansea, north—west of birmingham and to the north of doncaster. that rain band continuing to work its way south, as a weaker band, lighter rain pushing through the midlands and the latter stage of the midlands and the latter stage of the morning. severe gales in the far north of scotland, showers continuing, some of those heavy with howard lilyman founder. across the south more sunshine than we have seen, lifting temperatures around 14 degrees, cloud and patchy rain arriving later, while the sunshine is out, wales come at the midlands northwoods, single figure maximum today, for some temperatures dropping throughout the day rather than lifting, feeling colder but at least many will have sunshine. colder are chasing rain away from the south—east corner into the first pa rt the south—east corner into the first part of this evening, still some cloud and patchy rain in the channel islands, for most cold air in place,

showers continuing in scotland, very chilly breeze, clear skies across many areas, going to be the coldest night of the week so far, temperatures below freezing away from towns and city centres. the commute tomorrow morning may start with a scraping of frostbite a bright start, england, wales and pa rt bright start, england, wales and part of northern ireland. good, dry sunny day, one or two showers north—west england, northern ireland. some of those heavy with hill, plunder, sleet and hill snow, temperatures quite widely in single figures. further south you are my twins and sunshine to compensate. a battle into the weekend between cold airto the battle into the weekend between cold air to the north and east, mild air from the south and west, uncertain for the weekend at the moment, saturday looks cloudy franklin, wells, northern ireland patchy rain pushing in, sunny conditions developing from the north, colder weather in the east. back to you. thank you. royal mail has just

delivered its results. good morning, ben. in mixed bag this morning, the parcels business doing well stop the letters business not so well, familiar tale. we send fewer and fewer letters, they concentrate on the parcels business, we are doing a lot more shopping online so they have to get that to our house. a big growth market. it's been plagued by all sorts of problems. part privatised back in 2013, the government sold off a big stick to private investors, it's now been looking at how much money it has to invest to get the business bag up and running, facing a lot of competition from rivals coming into the market especially with a liquid of parcel delivery. business just around the corner, the busiest time of the year. these results this morning it says it will open six temporary sorting centres and hire 20,000 temporary staff to cover the christmas cards we are set to send.

but at the same time, they will spend £190 million in cost savings, that has not gone down well with staff, lots of problems with the unions in terms of working conditions. the pension pot but also has a black hole in it. a lot for it to contend with now, they are gearing up for the important christmas period but that familiar tale, letters business struggling, the parcels business growing, orfor all, it means profit was down slightly, 1% lower. when was the last time you send a letter?” slightly, 1% lower. when was the last time you send a letter? i had to send something to my bank and i had to have it in writing. i wouldn't even have writing paper and a pen. you don't have a pen? you are sorted, you have one now. you are going to ask this back in a minute? aren't you? i'm notjoking. it is a 23 am. -- it is

aren't you? i'm notjoking. it is a 23 am. —— it is 8:23am. time is running out to stop climate change. that's the view of the un secretary general, who's described global warming as as "the defining threat of our time". his comments come as world leaders gather in germany for theirfirst big meeting since donald trump announced that the u—s is to pull out of the paris agreement on climate change. our environment analyst roger harrabin is at the conference in bonn. roger, good morning. where does this warning come in relation to warnings we have had before? we are seeing consolidating evidence, we have had the last three years that have been the last three years that have been the warmest on record. carbon dioxide emissions rising again, but wildfires in california and portugal which scientists say are not caused directly by climate change but made worse by it. we've had the massive heatwave in southern europe and today we have a new report saying that even if, even if emissions were cut to the absolute maximum level now which they probably won't be, that would bring us one and a half degrees warming and that would

inevitably lead to a sea—level rise which would affect two and a half million bangladesh people, increasing flood risk for between 9-20,000,000 increasing flood risk for between 9—20,000,000 chinese, the evidence stacking up and 13 us agencies last week said there is no other plausible cause of this but humans. so whatever you might hear in the pub there that in mind. i am here now withjennifer pub there that in mind. i am here now with jennifer morgan the executive director of greenpeace international. how are you reacting to what's going on with the latest science? i think it's clear, the evidence is so clear, people around the world are suffering now and will get even worse. we are reacting by pushing for 100% renewable energy, phasing out fossil fuels and call, taking the norwegian government to court today, there is a court case going on because we think they are drilling in the arctic, against the constitution and we are working with people everywhere who are so much more engaged than they've ever been

because of all of this that the report lays out. this conference, how much do you think it's been affected by the decision of president trump to withdraw from the paris climate accord, he cannot withdraw yet because of the rules but he has decided he is going to withdraw. how much has that affected them is? on a technical level it hasn't affected things at all, countries moving forward, doing technical work, if anything it has consolidated them together, they know they need to keep going and implement the paris agreement. it's still bad news from your point of view and the climate's point of view? it is, you need a fight has in the right direction but the other thing here was an alternative us delegation of governors and senators and players who were here to say we are still in, this is the real america world and we want to work with you. jennifer morgan, thank you. i should say having attended these conferences for many years i should add that despite the gloom around the science there is a level

of optimism i have not seen before because renewable technology has come on so because renewable technology has come on so much faster and further than anyone could possibly have imagined with china and india taking very clear global leads and that is new. back to you. roger, thank you. plenty to come on breakfast. time now to get the news, travel and weather where you are. it's getting colder, but we will see sunshine developing, this weather front, this cold front, sinking south, band of rain with that as well but behind it, good sunshine across scotland, northern ireland, eventually into northern england and the midlands and wales. some sunshine, then it will cloud over. to end the day, south—west england, up to end the day, south—west england, up into east anglia, spots of rain across the far south, holding the milder conditions, temperatures, 12 or 14. sparkling sunshine, milder conditions, temperatures, 12 or14. sparkling sunshine, scotland and northern ireland, temperatures

dropping away, five to seven celsius, heavy shower was moving into the far north, some of those turning wintry, with snow over higherground. as we turning wintry, with snow over higher ground. as we move through the night, cloud tearing away from the night, cloud tearing away from the south. with clear skies, many of us the south. with clear skies, many of us sitting underneath the colder air, it is going to be a chilly night. temperatures in towns and cities, two to four celsius. in the countryside, below freezing. friday morning may start with some frost. lovely start the day for most of us, some sunshine, showers moving into scotland. brisk wind, some showers will be wintry with snow over higher ground, hail down to lower levels. temperatures on friday, seven to 10 degrees. into the weekend, area of high pressure, and milderair, starting to move back into the south. weather front in central areas will bring outbreaks of rain,

gradually moving south—west. some sunshine, particularly in the north—eastern corner of the united kingdom, it will feel quite chilly, temperatures seven to 9 degrees. less cold across the south, temperatures up to 12. that is it from me, goodbye. this is business live from bbc news with jamie robertson and sally bundock. zimbabweans are waiting to see what steps the military will take next after seizing control of the country. live from london, that is the top story, thursday, 16th november. —— zimbabweans are waiting to see what happens next after the military seize control of the country. the soaring cost of living in zimbabwe, could the dark days of hyperinflation be returning? and warnings about serious risks facing china's economy. senior government officials say the country's financial sector needs needs to reform quickly if it is to avoid a crisis. market