this is the briefing. i'm sally bundock. our top story — this is the scene live on the indonesian island of bali where authorities are warning that gradgrind —— mount agung can erupt at any moment. turkey's prime minister tells the bbc a new bilateral agreement is needed between turkey and britain to protect trade interests after brexit. and a special report from lake victoria, africa's largest freshwater lake, which scientists say is slowly dying. the uk government plans a major shot in the arm for the pharmaceutical sector and other key industries. but will it be enough to strengthen the economy in the run up to brexit? in business briefing, i'll be speaking to a leading economist to gauge whether the new industrial strategy will work and boost growth in the uk. good to have you with us. we will

review on all you need to know in global news, business and sport. and you can be part of the conversation. tell us what you think about the stories we are covering. what is happening where you are? just use the hashtag #bbcthebriefing. we begin the programme on the indonesian island of bali, which has shut its airport this morning after authorities there raised the threat of a volcanic eruption to the highest level — that means it could happen in the next 2a hours. the volcano in question is mount agung. thousands of people have been evacuated from the exclusion zone. there are fears of a full—scale eruption for the first time

since 1963 when about 1,600 people were killed. andrew plant has the latest. bali's most secret mountain, an ancient volcano rumbling back to life with billows of black smoke. no—one has been sleeping for more than half a century. now awake and angry. experts believe a major eruption could be about to happen. translation: the volcano has entered the magnetic eruption phase. there is now the possibility of a strong explosive eruption. those living nearby were evacuated in september at the first signs of activity. now the exclusion zone is a circle 12 miles wide. the thick ash rising thousands of metres means many flights to and from this popular

tourist destination have now been grounded. all the flights were cancelled so we are at the airport and we don't know what to do. we are trying to find out where to fly. in 2010, and icelandic volcanoes spewed similar plumes of smoke for six days. air travel across europe was disrupted will stop about 20 countries both their airspace with 10 million travellers affected. in bali, no—one is taking any chances. more than 150,000 people are in temporary shelters. when the volcano last erupted in 1963, more than 1000 people were killed. this time, the indonesian government says it is much better prepared. we will be live, speaking to a volcanologist later in the programme. turkey's prime minister, binali yildirim, has told the bbc that turkey and the uk should strive to further their trade relationship in the aftermath of the brexit vote.

mr yildirim was speaking to my colleague, lucy hockings, ahead of a meeting with the british prime minister, theresa may, and foreign secretary boris johnson later today. that is all happening. brexit, in terms of our side, we are now almost in the same club. so we are outside of the opinion and the uk has decided to go out. we need to establish a new bilateral agreement between turkey and the uk. in order to develop further. that is turkey's

prime minister. a reminder — you can watch a full version of that exclusive interview with the turkish prime minister, binali yildirim, later at 12:00 gmt here on bbc world news. tunein tune infor tune in for more on that. here in the uk, the government will launch later today its plan to boost uk industry ahead of the country leaving the european union. the aim of the industrial strategy is to try and lift growth, which official forecasts suggest will slow due to the uk's poor productivity performance. thora helgadottir is an economist from iceland. good to see you. give us your take on what we know about this industrial strategy. we had a sense of something needs to be done given what we heard last week in the budget about the outlook. it is not

looking good, is it? absolutely. we don't know what is in it, but considering the forecast on productivity, which has been very wea k productivity, which has been very weak in the uk, we should welcome a strategy that has the aim of increasing productivity but we should all think that this is a long—term thing, it's not going to impact productivity tomorrow but maybe the longer term, and especially with the aqua three situation created uncertainty, if you are a “— situation created uncertainty, if you are a —— brexit. if you are thinking of coming to the uk, you might not be so keen. if there is a carrot there, you see them focusing on industry, maybe that is the boost you need. iwas wary on industry, maybe that is the boost you need. i was wary of the government picking winners and losers. that is the issue, isn't it. just looking at the bbc news article written by our business editor simon jack talking about the fact they had picked various industries. we have

pharmaceuticals, electric vehicles, infrastructure for that kind of industry and technology, it's hard to know which ones to focus on and which parts of the country to really invest in heavily. absolutely. ideally you should provide the environment for the private sector to do itsjob. if you are picking winners and losers and maybe someone is losing out, they might have grown without any strategy. absolutely. you will be back later to talk through some of the stories in the papers, including it will be very interesting to give your take on what is happening in bali, given the volcano and icelandic and 2010. we will discuss that later. and we'll will be back in about half an hour to review the main stories being covered by the global media. let's brief you on some of the other stories making the news. pope francis is due to arrive in yangon for the start of his 7—day trip to myanmar and bangladesh amid the rohingya crisis. it's the first ever papal visit to the country where catholics number around 700,000, making up around 1% of the population.

anti—government demonstrators in romania have marched through the capital, bucharest, to protest againstjudicial reforms that they say will protect dishonest politicians. they held a rally outside parliament calling on the government to resign. the president of honduras, juan 0rlando hernandez, has declared himself the winner in sunday's election. if confirmed, it would be the first time in the country's modern history for a sitting president to be re—elected. the national electoral council has not announced the official result yet. we've been reporting for some weeks on the humanitarian crisis in yemen due to restrictions on ships bringing much needed aid supplies to the country. well the first ship for more than three weeks was allowed to dock on sunday after a saudi arabian—led coalition lifted blockades that are designed to stop weapons reaching rebel fighters inside the country.

unicef says almost every child in the country has now been affected by the fighting. sophia tran—thomson reports. the blockade he finally lifted. after two weeks waiting at sea, a un aid ship carrying food supplies, the blockade here finally lifted. these are the conditions in parts of yemen right now. the world food programme says millions are at risk of starvation. on saturday, planes arrived carrying medicine to help sick children. vaccinations taken to hospitals where thousands are waiting. this, though, the first supply ship to get through for almost a month. more than 11 million yemeni children are today in acute need of humanitarian assistance. that's almost every single yemeni boy and girl. the ship has arrived at the port of saleef,

north from the main port of hodeidah, which is still under blockade imposed by a coalition led by saudi arabia after the rebels they're fighting in yemen fired a missile at the saudi capital. the blockades are designed to ensure that shipments of weapons don't reach the rebel fighters. for the yemeni people, it means food supplies and medicine have run dangerously short. translation: we fled and arrived here with our children and we didn't find anyone to help us, and now, for the past two months, we haven't received anything, no mattresses, no aid, nothing. this ship is carrying enough food to feed almost 2 million people for a month, but it's estimated 20 million are in urgent need, 11 million of those are children. meanwhile, fighting here has already claimed more than 8,000 lives. stay with us on the briefing. also on the programme,

who is this buried underneath his team—mates? we'll tell you who and why in the sports news. president kennedy was shot down, and died almost immediately. the murder ofjohn kennedy is a disaster for the whole free world. he caught the imagination of the world, the first of a new generation of leaders. margaret thatcher is resigning as leader of the conservative party and prime minister. before leaving number 10 to see the queen, she told her cabinet, "it's a funny old world." angela merkel is germany's first woman chancellor, easily securing the majority she needed. attempts to fly a hot—air balloon had to be abandoned after a few minutes, but nobody seemed to mind very much. as one local comic put it,

"it's not hot air we need, it's hard cash." when bob geldof of the boomtown rats saw the tv pictures from ethiopia, he decided he had to do something. and he found his rock music friends felt the same. you are with the briefing. let's remind you of our headlines. tu rkey‘s remind you of our headlines. turkey's one minister told the bbc a new bilateral agreement is needed between turkey and britain to protect trade interest after brexit. indonesia's disaster agency is warning mount agung is close to a full—scale eruption. its focus on that story in more detail and speak to one of the world's leading experts on mount agung. this volcanologist has been following the

volcano's activity from the united states. thanks for being on the programme. we are hearing a strong possibility of a major eruption. give us your perspective. to have raised the alert of possibility of eruption due to the increasing activity. what can we expect in the next day or so? can we give a timeframe on this? no, i'm not sure quite what to expect, but the people should be ready for potentially heavier ash fall or a higher ash plume, hot groundhugging avalanches that can race down the volcano and they have already begun to come off they have already begun to come off the volcano a few hours ago and those are mudflows that can rapidly go down river channels. the situation is still pretty critical and they have put in an exclusion zone. i have heard though the volcanic activity has calmed down a little. unfortunately it has been a

bit cloudy at the moment will stop they are still getting ash plumes i believe but they are trying to warn eve ryo ne believe but they are trying to warn everyone to get out of the river valleys. we are seeing live pictures as you talk. to what extent can they prepare for what may happen? it's very difficult to predict how a dramatic this eruption will be, isn't it? yes, luckily they had a very experienced team there. indonesia has such a high amount of volcanic activity all the time, so they really do know what they can expect from this kind of volcano. after that is people out of the way. they looked at the past history of this volcano, they have made hazard maps, they know where the potential hazards can go, so getting people out of the way if most important thing right now. if there is a major eruption, as many are predicting, what is the aftermath like, and how long could ring is like the molten lava for example be flowing down a

mountain? they can recover pretty quickly from this kind of thing, especially such as indonesia. they would have to be quite careful around the volcano, but with a lot of rainfall, that material might be running off. that is definitely a hazard that can last long after the eruption is over. from the point of view of a volcanologist, how important is this kind of event to you in terms of your own research, analysis and finding out about these volcanoes, how they operate? analysis and finding out about these volcanoes, how they operate ?m analysis and finding out about these volcanoes, how they operate? it is not actually part of my research, personally, but i have been very interested in it so this is a learning curve for south —— how social media and how fast information gets out there so we can learn a lot from this eruption even

just from that standpoint. i'm sure there will be a lot of research done on this eruption around the world. thank you so much for your time. but if they live shot at the moment. as we have mentioned, there is a huge evacuation going on and people are being told about a strong possibility of a major eruption. we have a ready mentioned at the icelandic eruption in 2010, in terms of the volcanic ash and the disruption that caused for many, many days, and you will remember that one unsure because it caused major disruption in terms of the flight major disruption in terms of the flight paths of some six different airspace is affected by that. as i say, we have it talked to a thora. and icelandic economist, she remembers it well and the impact it had on the icelandic economy and tourism. tourism at this time of year is very important to bali. lake victoria, the source of the river nile, is africa's largest fresh water lake, but scientists say the lake is dying. 0verfishing and pollution have severely damaged fish stocks, threatening the livelihoods of millions of fishermen.

the lake is surrounded by three countries, kenya, tanzania and uganda, from where the bbc‘s komla dumor award winner amina yuguda reports. for centuries, lake victoria has provided nourishment for its people. this man has fished here for ten yea rs this man has fished here for ten years but the catch is now paltry. he shows me what he caught today. the catch of the fish is very little. life is very hard. as far as today's catch is concerned, it is little, it is about ten kilograms when back in the day we used to catch about 100 to 500 kilograms. abundant fish variety were once here. fishermen have to go farther and farther to find any at all. this

is one of hundreds of fishermen in this village and for him and others hear the smaller catch means they survive day by day hand to mouth. la ke survive day by day hand to mouth. lake victoria was called the lake of gods and the people believed its resources we re gods and the people believed its resources were endless. at the height of the boom, fishermen in la ke height of the boom, fishermen in lake victoria caught more than 36,000 tons. last year, it was less than half that at just over 36,000 tons. last year, it was less than half that atjust over 17,000. fishing is still a lifeline for uganda. at this fish market, the country's largest, most of the nile purchase and abroad. but the waters on this day looks odd. audi has turned green, like peasouper. levels are 20 times higher than is safe for

swimming ordrinking. are 20 times higher than is safe for swimming or drinking. scientists test for clues, testing the water every month. please blooms can be toxic and reduces the amount of oxygen forfish toxic and reduces the amount of oxygen for fish —— these. toxic and reduces the amount of oxygen for fish -- these. how desperate is the situation? we continue to pollute the lake through untreated wastewater, for example, fertiliser being washed off from agricultural enterprises. then the other thing is, of course, the destruction of part of lake victoria's ecosystem, like the wetlands. the flower business is an alternative to fishing for some. uganda has perfect weatherfor roses. large greenhouses dot the lake's shores. what is it adding to the pollution? -- but. right here the pollution? -- but. right here

the water is a bit dark. in the open water where we have been passing is a bit blue. the fishermen trying to protect wetla nds ta ke a bit blue. the fishermen trying to protect wetlands take us to see what they say is pollution entering the lake. the pesticides can be coming back and turning back to the lake and all of the communities surrounding this bay. the ugandan government is trying to save the lake. a special task force raids the villages to destroy illegal boats and nets. the military is coming in today to control illegal fishing on the lake, looking at illegal fishing methods on the water. these measures are yet to help fishermen like this one. today he has madejust £2 are yet to help fishermen like this one. today he has made just £2 to support his family. they only live on my power. if i don't go on the lake, i don't eat. i am scared of the situation in the future. their

sons reminisce about the late's past bounties. but more has to be done to stem its decline or future generations will only hear tales of the once plentiful lake of the gods. here's our briefing on some of the key events happening later: in germany, the spd and cpu political parties are expected to discuss forming a coalition for government amid the country's political crisis. later, in brussels, the eu appeals committee will decide whether to renew authorisation for the use of glyphosate, a powerful weed killer used in the uk and europe, amid concerns about its possible links to cancer. this afternoon in lyon, france, the skeleton of a 15,000 year—old—mammoth goes on display ahead of its auction in december. it's estimated to be worth around 500,000 euros. now it's time to get all the latest from the bbc sports centre.

hello, and welcome to your monday sport briefing, where we'll find out who's on the list to become the bbc‘s sports personality of the year. australia win the first ashes test against england in brisbane. and who's going to beat manchester city in the english premier league this season? all good things come to those who wait. after a shaky start to the nba season, cleveland are on a roll. they face the philadelphia 76ers on monday looking for their eighth win in a row. lebronjames‘ form is a big reason why the cavs are catching up with boston and detroit in the eastern conference. his 27 points helped them see off the charlotte hornets on friday. it's awards season and here on bbc world news we're getting excited about who's going to be the bbc's 2017 sports personality of the year — the nominations will be announced later this monday. andy murray was the winner in 2016 after his amazing run of form

at the end of the year. voting is already open for the overseas personality. you can have your say on our website. and you can still vote, but not for much longer, for the bbc‘s african footballer of the year. pierre—emerick aubameyang, naby keita, sadio mane, victor moses and mohamed salah are those in the running. voting closes at 18 hours gmt this monday. looking back at sunday's action, and celebrations are continuing in brisbane after australia won the first ashes test against england. the hosts won the match by ten wickets but the damage was done on day four, when england's batting collapsed losing their last six wickets for just a0 runs. the second test, which is the first ever ashes day—night match, starts in adelaide on saturday. who's going to stop manchester city? pep guardiola's team are flying in the english premier league. a 2—1win at huddersfield means they're eight points clear of neighbours united. city equalled the club record,

set in 2015, with their 11th premier league victory in a row. raheem sterling scored the winner with six minutes remaining. premier league is so tough, especially when the winter has come. and we knew that they are so aggressive. they are so strong. we are so happy for the way we won again. a controversial stoppage time penalty from alexis sanchez handed arsenal a 1—0 victory against burnley at turf moor. the win moves the gunners up to fourth in the table ahead of north london rivals tottenham, while the clarets remain seventh. i would say in the first half it was a very different game for us. we didn't find a very different game for us. we didn'tfind our a very different game for us. we didn't find our stride and a bit too slow in the buildup. and the second half we upped the tempo and dominated the game and it was a question of the final ball, patients and, as well, beat a team who

defends extremely well. france have clinched their 10th davis cup title after lucas pouille's convincing victory over steve da rcis in the deciding match in lille. the world number 18 won in straight sets wrapping up the best—of—five tie 3—2. it's france's first title since 2001 celebrated by a 27,000—strong crowd. some great pictures to bring you now from the world aquabikes grand prix in dubai. yousef al abdulrazzaq won his second grand prix title of the year extending his lead at the top of the championship standings in the process. abdulrazzaq was helped by a black flag for his rivaljames bushell in the early stages. the kuwaiti rider made the telling pass on lap five of 17 before easing away for his second win of the weekend. you can get all the latest sports news at our website, that's bbc.com/sport. but from me and the rest of the sport team, goodbye. i'll be back with the business briefing in just a few moments. hello once again.

after a fairly cool weekend we are going to see a change in british weather albeit a fleeting one. that comes to an area of low pressure throwing this shield of cloud down across the british isles. not many of you will be scraping your cars by any means at all and what snow there is will be confined to the highest ground across the north of britain. my concern is about how much rain there will be across the southern counties of england, just in time for the school run and the commute. quite windy at times as well, having been really wet and windy widely across the rest of the british isles. a lot of surface water around and more showers to come for northern ireland, the west of the pennines, northern and western parts of scotland. as i say, the snow will be confined to the highest ground across the top end of england and across northern and western scotland. some sunshine in the mix and once that cloud and rain is pulled away, it may take a while, i think we will see grey skies returning into the southern counties of england. all the while, a risk

of a shower coming through. that is the mildest day of the week, especially in the south, as the mild air associated with this front pulls away and there is a return of rain, i would have thought on monday evening into the south—west. we replace that with a lot of cold air and that comes about because we have lot pressure to the east, height of the west and the airflow is right on down from north to south, all the way from the arctic. slightly modified on itsjourney so it is notjust that bitter on tuesday but you will notice it far cooler despite the sunshine across the southern counties of england were no more of the 10, 11,12 and 13, it is five, six and seven with wintry showers rattling into many eastern counties on the high ground. on wednesday, perhaps at risk of showers comes a little bit further south. given the temperature i am just about to show you, i would not be at all surprised if we saw something wintry even as far south as norfolk.

at the same time, a run of showers coming down to pembrokeshire and the south—west by thursday, developing this area of low pressure close by to denmark, putting the squeeze on the isobars above. quite windy and wintry across the eastern counties, sunny and cold further west. this is business briefing. i'm sally bundock. here are the headlines. the british government announces its big new plan to boost the pharmaceutical sector and other key uk industries. but is it the right medicine for the economy? indonesian officials issue a stark warning to airlines over the eruption of mount agung in bali. we'll be live to get the latest from our asia business hub. and it's cyber monday today — a big day for retailers across the globe, but the share markets in asia today are failing to catch the wave. we'll talk you through the movers and shakers.