welcome to bbc news, broadcasting to viewers in north america and around the globe. i'm lewis vaughan jones. our top stories: president trump is expected to recognisejerusalem as the capital of israel later. arab leaders warn it could fuel violence. russia is banned from next year's winter olympics, in south korea, after allegations of state—sponsored doping. the terror threat in britain. an official report asks whether the manchester bombing could have been prevented. and tens of thousands of californians flee wildfires north of los angeles. senior white house officials say president trump will recognise jerusalem as the capital of israel on wednesday. mr trump is expected to spell out his plans to move the american

embassy in israel from tel aviv to the city. it has already prompted a heated reaction, with arab leaders warning there could be dangerous repercussions. earlier, i spoke to the bbc‘s north america correspondent peter bowes, and asked him about the possible reasons behind the expected decision. well, it's not entirely sure why now. certainly it was a campaign promise by mr trump to move the american embassy from tel aviv to jerusalem. and perhaps some domestic politics is playing into this, in that he wants to be seen to be making good on those big campaign promises in his first year in office, where perhaps he might have failed on some other issues. but, to the wider issue, in terms of peace and the peace process in the region, why now? it's difficult to fully understand without hearing the details of what he's got to say in a few hours‘ time. certainly the white house and the trump administration has

been working on a peace plan for the region for many months. we don't know the details. but whyjump in with this extremely contentious move? and it is extremely contentious. it will be certainly reversing us policy for the past several decades, if he were to go ahead and effectively acknowledge that jerusalem was the capital of israel. we mentioned there potential repercussions, potential violence, certainly reaction already from leaders in the arab world. yes, a lot of reaction, it's got to be said — negative reaction, in terms of the peace process going ahead, and especially the us role in that. this would appear to be suggesting that certainly mr trump has taken sides, and perhaps makes that negotiation rather more difficult in the future. but, when we hear reactions like the one from saudi arabia's king salman, saying that it

would constitute a flagrant provocation of muslims all over the world, or the palestinian leader, mahmoud abbas, saying that he warned of dangerous consequences that it would have to the peace process, peace, security, and stability to the region, and then there's king abdullah ofjordan saying the decision would undermine efforts to resume the peace process, and provoke muslims. this reaction before we have actually heard the detail of what mr trump has got in mind. the international olympic committee has announced that it is banning russia from competing in the 2018 winter olympics. some russian athletes who can prove they are clean will be allowed to compete in south korea under a neutralflag. it follows an investigation into allegations of state—sponsored doping at the 2014 games, hosted by russia in sochi. andrew plant reports. the ski slopes of south korea, where some athletes have already been practising for

the 2018 winter olympics. but it is now clear that one of the competition's most successful countries will not be here next year. it has taken almost four years, but now, a sporting superpower has paid the price for sabotaging its own olympics. russia ruled at sochi in 2014, but behind the scenes, it was cheating on a scale never seen before. now, after a 17—month investigation, the international olympic committee has decided on an unprecedented punishment — russia is banned. the report clearly lays out an unprecedented attack on the integrity of the olympic games and sport. as an athlete myself, i'm feeling very sorry for all the clean athletes who are suffering from this manipulation. the scandal has seen a rewrite of sporting history.

russia topped the medal table in sochi, but after the retesting of samples, a host of athletes have been stripped of their medals. russia's cheating was exposed by the former head of russia's anti—doping lab, who alleged an elaborate, state—sponsored conspiracy that benefited thousands of athletes across many sports. there is still a way for russian athletes to compete. if they can prove they are clean, they will be allowed to take part in next year's games, but only as neutrals, and without a russian flag or national anthem being played. taking a nation as powerful as russia and say you can't compete is a significant penalty. it shows that russia, and other countries who break the rules in this kind of pervasive way, need to be held accountable.

from their perspective, i think it was a step that will help march us towards reform. russian politicians have called the ban an insult. last week, the country's olympians unveiled their kit for the winter games. now, they know they won't be wearing it. clean athletes could still compete. but will president putin allow them to, or will he force a national boycott? he is expected to give his reaction in public on wednesday. joining me earlier wasjim walden. i asked him how his client was feeling. i think he's of two minds. on the one hand, he's gratified that yet a third agency has vindicated and validated his proof. he thinks the punishment was forceful and appropriate. on the other side, he's very concerned for his family and friends, who remain in russia,

and hopes very much that the world comes together to keep watch on any actions that the kremlin might take to retalliate against him by harming them. he is in the us now. his personal situation — he took a huge amount of risks to expose what he saw as wrongdoing there. russia, though, still deny anything. i mean, the russian federation really has been through this whole ordeal, the worst enemy of its own athletes. my client is very convinced that, if russia had taken a position of integrity from the start, admitted its transgressions, pledged reform, and executed a plan of reform, then many russian athletes would be competing at the south korea games in february. well, the authorities here obviously hoping that, with this ban, that a line will be drawn under this. i'm guessing you and your client

don't think that will happen. well, in some ways, it doesn't matter what we think. the world anti—doping agency really now has two different paths. if russia decides to admit what happened, and co—operate fully, wada may be convinced to draw a line under it, and to move forward with reform. however, the world anti—doping agency now has evidence. separate and apart from my client, they've obtained the entire laboratory information management system, that shows thousands and thousands of dirty tests. these were all hidden within the database. but wada has now recovered them. and, if russia continues its intransigence, my guess is that wada will simply double down, and trace every single one of those dirty tests. and, if it shows that there were athletes that benefited from the doping system, in osaka, or beijing,

or vancouver, or other games, that those athletes will also be stripped. the bomber who attacked the manchester arena, killing 22 people, had been a subject of interest to the british security services, and opportunities to stop him were missed. that is the conclusion of an official review. it says it is conceivable the attack by salman abedi could have been avoided. after the manchester bombing, and three terror attacks in london this year, uk counter—terror police and security services conducted their own reviews, as our security correspondent gordon corera reports. four terror attacks in three months, with some of those responsible known to the authorities, raising questions as to whether they could have been prevented. today, a review said that the bombing at manchester arena, which killed 22 in may, was the only one that might have been stopped. the bomber, salman abedi, had been known to the authorities

in the past, but was not under active investigation. however, data analysis of 20,000 former suspects flagged him as one of a few dozen people for further investigation. but, nine days before a meeting about this, he carried out his attack. and in the months leading up to that, new intelligence came in, which, if assessed differently, might have made him a priority. in hindsight, it's quite obvious that, having received that intelligence, m15 should have opened an investigation, and who knows what that investigation would have found. fact is, they didn't interpret the intelligence that way. the opportunity was missed. 15—year—old olivia campbell—hardy was killed in manchester. her grandfather today said he wasn't blaming the security services. they're going to do the best they can with the information they've got and they gather. assess theirselves, assess the situation, make decisions, and act on it. and i will not fault anybody for doing theirjob.

on the other attacks, in the case of london bridge, ringleader khuram butt was under active investigation, but there were no signs of what he was planning. in westminster bridge, khalid masood was a former subject of interest, but there were no warning signs. and, in finsbury park, there was no intelligence on the man charged. this year's attacks were a shock to the security service m15, and today's report makes clear there do need to be some changes. there are 126 recommendations in all. perhaps the most important — that information from here needs to be shared more freely with local police and other partners. the home secretary responded today by saying that police would have the money they needed. we will shortly be announcing the budgets for policing for 2017/18. and i am clear that we must ensure counter—terrorism policing has the resources needed to deal with the threats that we face. as well as these four attacks, nine more plots have been stopped

in the last year, and officials warn the threat remains unprecedented. gordon corera, bbc news. stay with us on bbc news. still to come: the supermodel, the spy, and the sex scandal. christine keeler has died at the age of 75. it's quite clear that the worst victims of this disaster are the poor people living in the slums which have sprung up around the factory. i am feeling so helpless, that the childrens are dying in front of me and i can't do anything. charles manson is the mystical leader of the hippy cult suspected of killing sharon tate and at least six other people in los angeles. at 11am this morning,

just half a metre of rock separated britain from continental europe. it took the drills just a few moments to cut through the final obstacle. then philippe cozette, a minerfrom calais, was shaking hands with and exchanging flags with robert fagg, his opposite number from dover. this is bbc news. the latest headlines: leaders across the middle east warn president trump that moving the us embassy to jerusalem would seriously damage the peace process. let us stay with that story. joyce karam is the washington correspondent for al—hayat. she joins us via skype thank you very much for your time.

this is a hugely significant moment. there have been warnings of violence already. what do you make of the reaction and what it will be? well, it is definitely an historic declaration from president trump, expected today in washington. it is a big break from expected today in washington. it is a big breakfrom previous administrations. but us officials have hinted that it could be very symbolic, in a sense. it will not affect the questions of sovereignty over the city or final status talks. and it will not affect this data is of al—aqsa mosque and be temple mount —— the status. it is a scene asa mount —— the status. it is a scene as a slap to the palestinians. jerusalem holds a very special place in the arab narrative. it is revered by the palestinians. what is meant

asa by the palestinians. what is meant as a symbolic move by washington, for filling as a symbolic move by washington, forfilling a as a symbolic move by washington, for filling a campaign as a symbolic move by washington, forfilling a campaign promise by donald trump, could be very disruptive on the ground —— fulfilling. it could also deliver an early death blow to his peace plan. so we are awaiting what the us president will say tomorrow. and what this means for the peace process. at the same time, the move is not as intrusive as installing cameras at this time. the reaction that we could see, palestinian factions have called for three days of rage, it could be short lived and temporary. do you think there is a risk it goes beyond that three days of rage, but this could be the beginning of a longer uprising? of rage, but this could be the

beginning of a longer uprising7m will depend what the president will say tomorrow, what kind of language he will reassure the palestinians with. if this is seen as a big transformation of the situation in jerusalem, yes, this might very well drag on and turn into an uprising. if assurances drag on and turn into an uprising. if assurances are drag on and turn into an uprising. if assurances are given on the peace process to ms rabbatts and the palestinian authority, things could move on “— palestinian authority, things could move on —— mr abbas. countries in the gulf, around the middle east, and in europe have warned against this move, but the us has meant it, the president has meant it as a good gesture to israel and is based in the united states to fulfil a very big campaign promise. very quickly, very briefly, do you think he has damaged his relations with leaders in the arab world? i think the us -

arab relations are bigger than the issue we are seeing today. there are so many threats in the arab world. so many conflicts. intelligence sharing between the us and its arab partners. while this might leave a very bitter taste among arab governments, they will have to find a way to move on and maintain the cooperation they have with the united states government. we will keep an eye on that. joyce karam, thank you forjoining us. a rebel stronghold in the suburbs of damascus has come under intense bombardment in recent weeks, as syrian government forces try to starve the rebels into submission, and those suffering include children. the bbc has obtained footage from residents in the suburb of eastern ghouta, and our middle east correspondent martin patience has sent this report, which includes some distressing images. it's a scene from hell, the aftermath of the latest airstrike.

children here can't outrun this war. doctors patch up five—year—old yusuf as best they can, but they're desperately short of medical supplies, and there's nothing they can do for trauma. the rebel stronghold of eastern ghouta has been bombed and besieged by the syrian government for years, leaving many families on the brink of starvation. it's lunchtime for nour and rassel, this is their first and only meal of the day, a piece of bread, made from barley, which is normally fed to donkeys. they dream of escaping their prison, eastern ghouta. translation: i wish i could have cookies, sweeties or any other delicious foods, and i wish someone could send me a pair of slippers and some new clothes and shoes. i really miss food, like chicken, cheese, tea and juice.

in another home, two—and—a—half—year—old hamza is suffering from severe malnutrition. he wears make—shift nappies. hamza was abandoned before being taken in by a neighbour. oma mohammed says he's like one of her own children. "hamza's my son now", she says. there's supposed to be a ceasefire in eastern ghouta, but the fighting is intensifying. for the people here, there's no respite from the war. martin patience, bbc news, beirut. in southern california, firemen are trying to contain growing wildfires in ventura county, which have now spread over 115,000 acres.

the fires have left at least one person dead, forced 27,000 people to evacuate, and destroyed more than 150 homes and businesses, including a psychiatric hospital. the bbc‘s james cook reports. this wildfire exploded overnight, travelling in size injust this wildfire exploded overnight, travelling in size in just a few hours. —— travelling in size. this has been the fate of scores of homes, devastation, with nothing to salvage. families had just minutes to scramble their belongings together and flee. well, obviously houses started burning early in the evening and they accelerated during the night. hopefully the wind will die down and we will see proceeds. it has been tough. you said you were

feeling for your neighbours. that is gerry's house. good friends up the street lost their homes. i am so sad for them and happy for myself and those who have kept their homes. but it is awful. i want to thank the fire department. there is, though, little hope of the winds easing, they are dry, dusty, and erratic. the most dangerous conditions possible. we have extremely high winds. very low relative humidity is and the fuel conditions out there are about as bad as they can be bought via spread. we are very concerned about the wind popping up again today and pushing the fire again today and pushing the fire again towards the west. ventura is home to more than 100,000 people. with more than 1000 firefighters struggling to protect the city, a second blaze broke out. the spy is closer to la and millions of to find the skies to the north vic with

smoke —— this fire. helicopters have struggled to fly in the wind. this has been a rare sight in the past few hours, making it much harder to contain dividers. these firefighters have been working hard all night and into the day trying to save the houses. the battle was unsuccessful. the reason for that is the wind. it is still whipping around here with the ferocity and it is driving this fire further down into the valley. with forecasters warning that the dangerous weather will continue for several days, the governor of california declared an emergency. and with a third fire now burning, the most devastating wildfire season on record in the state just got a lot worse. james cook, bbc news, los angeles. a british woman who found herself at the centre of one of the great political scandals of modern times has died at the age of 75. christine keeler became famous for her involvement in the profumo affair in 1963 — a scandal that rocked the british establishment — when she had

an affair with the government ministerjohn profumo and with a russian diplomat at the height of the cold war, as nick higham reports. it was the biggest scandal of the 1960s, and christine keeler was the woman at its centre — model, party girl, mistress of powerful men. john profuma was the ministerfor war. he and christine had a brief affair. when challenged, he lied about it to the house of commons and was forced to resign. it didn't help that yevgeny ivanov, a kgb spy, had also been seeing keeler. the old establishment never recovered from the shock. the profuma affair spelt the end of prime minister harold macmillan‘s government, but also the end of an era deference and respect in which had been discreetly swept under the carpet. it was one of the first occasions when politicians were held accountable for their private behaviour and their bedroom antics actually had ramifications in their political careers. christine always claimed she was more prey than predator.

i wish that at that time i had been older so that i would have been able to have answered or spoke up for myself. she'd left school at 15, her childhood home had been a pair of converted railway carriages. she'd a child at 17, and then lived with peter rachman, a notorious slum landlord. later, a west indian boyfriend was charged with assaulting her and christine lied in court. she was jailed for perjury. who is that, by the bins? i never felt bitter. i haven't felt bitter. i am i never felt bitter. i haven't felt bitter. lam pleased i never felt bitter. i haven't felt bitter. i am pleased that the truth can come out now. but she was often broke, a victim, many thought, of establishment hypocrisy and two marriages ended in divorce. tonight her son said she'd earnt her place in british history, but at huge personal cost.

france's biggest rock star johnny hallyday has died from lung cancer. french media says the news was confirmed by his wife. he was 7a. the singer, real name jean—philippe smet, sold about 100 million records and starred in a number of films. he was made a chevalier of the legion d'honneur by presidentjacques chirac in 1997 — the highest honour for any french citizen, whether civilian or military. the french have simply called him "ourjohnny". but outside the french speaking world, hallyday was almost unknown. and that is about it from us. and you can get in touch with me and most of the team on twitter, i'm at l vaughanjones. this is bbc news. hello.

this is the point where this week's weather begins to get considerably more dramatic. and this is the driver of the change, this curl of cloud on the satellite picture, a deep area of low pressure which has been named by the met office, storm caroline. nothing will happen much on wednesday morning. feeding in a lot of cloud and some mild air. temperatures as we start the day, eight, nine, ten across the south—west. expect cloud. the odd patchy rain and drizzle that the 11 degrees for plymouth. cardiff, similar. across west wales, starting to turn quite breezy by this stage. the wind picking up in northern ireland and this area of wet weather will slide in from the west. rain settling in across western scotland. persistent rain in the high ground. eastern scotland, starting the day dry. and it will be eastern areas that will have the best chance of any brightness through the day.

further west, a lot of cloud and strengthening south—westerly winds. gales in exposed spots in the west in the afternoon. northern ireland and western scotland in particular, outbreaks of rain. a mild day wherever you are. that will not last. wednesday night, the wind is strengthening in the west. outbreaks of rain pushing in from the west as well, as storm caroline swings across the north of the british isles. notice many isobars tight together. strong winds with us for thursday. across scotland, winds of 80 miles per hour, perhaps even stronger. very strong winds elsewhere as well. rain clearing away from the south—east. then brighter skies. and then some showers, which will begin to turn wintry over high ground in the north. that's because things will be turning colder. as we move out of thursday into friday, this is a really wintry looking weather chart.

the winds are whistling down from the arctic bringing cold air which will plunge right across the country. there will be some dry weather and sunshine at times. there will also be showers. most of the showers will be snow showers. they could crop up just about anywhere. most likely in the west, but also in the far north. and that snow will be right down to low levels. when you add on the strength of the wind, it will feel sub—zero across many parts of the country. so, wet and windy weather with storm caroline. then turning colder. and then we will see some snow showers and some ice. this is bbc news.

the headlines: white house officials say president trump will recognise jerusalem as the capital of israel later. mr trump is expected to spell out his plans to move the american embassy in israel from tel aviv. arab leaders have warned there could be dangerous repercussions. the international olympic committee has announced that it is banning russia from competing in the 2018 winter olympics. it follows an investigation into allegations of state—sponsored doping at the 2014 games, hosted by russia in sochi. the bomber who attacked the manchester arena, killing 22 people, had been a subject of interest to the british security services, and opportunities to stop him were missed. that is the conclusion of an official review. it says it is conceivable the attack by salman abedi could have been avoided. now on bbc news, panorama.

on panorama tonight, a scandal involving british aid money. the idea the british taxpayers' money was associated with that would of course be wholly abhorrent. we discover how a police force in syria is being funded with bags of our cash. to see british money being held in a bag, i honestly only saw that on movies. it was deeply shocking. we expose how our aid money can end up with jihadis. it is unfortunately strengthening the extremists and the islamic groups. and we reveal how police officers we pay for work with a brutaljustice system.