you are watching beyond 100 days. senate election in a southern state gets worldwide attention, notjust because of the characters involved. today's vote matters beyond alabama, it could upend politics in washington and hair apart the republican party. roy moore arrives at the polished asia and on horseback... certainly a sense of drama, will it be enough to get into the senate? the democratic candidate doug jones, this is a once in a generation opportunity to change alabama's generation opportunity to change ala bama's conservative politics. generation opportunity to change alabama's conservative politics. the president now has a big stake in this space, he did not support him and it surely by now he is urging people to vote for roy moore. —— race. also on the programme, 50 world leaders, minus the united states, gather for a climate world leaders, minus the united states, gatherfor a climate change summit, emmanuel macron hopes that it will give new impetus to the fight against global warming. the dark history of the slave trade, wrecks that we discovered in senegal. get in touch with us.

i'm in birmingham,, alabama, and christian is in london. how did a senate election in alabama get not just national but international attention? there are journalists from all over the world here. it's partly because the republican candidate, roy moore, is a larger than life character who holds extreme positions and has a string sexual harassment allegations against him. but it's also because this election could tilt national politics. the republican party only has a two—seat majority in congress, if it loses this race in alabama, it'll be down to a majority of one seat. that could make it harder for president trump to get things passed, and for republicans to hold on to the senate next year. we'll have news from across alabama

—we we'll have news from across alabama — we start with the latest from both camps. voiceover: one v0|ceover: one of the most red states in america has become an unlikely swing state, a democrat could win a us senate seat in alabama for the first time in over two decades, the electorate here is almost half white evangelical christian, and heavily conservative. not friendly territory for a democrat. i want america great but i want it good and she cannot be good until we go back to god! republican candidate roy moore has led an embattled campaign wiggled by allegations of sexual misconduct, something his staunch supporters have dismissed. that is nothing but a bunch of fake news and they have already been proven. —— proven false. things have happened so long ago... there is such a thing as redemption... he continues to push the line that he is the antiestablishment candidates. they

are afraid that i am going to take alabama values to washington, and i cannot wait. and for a state that donald trump won by over 20 points, that could be key to victory. we are on the right side of victory. don't let this crowd for you, democrats are rare in alabama, and even here, they know a democratic victory in this race would say less about their man than it does about roy moore. can he win? i believe he can and i believe he will represent everybody in the state, notjust believe he will represent everybody in the state, not just the believe he will represent everybody in the state, notjust the one to vote for him. if roy moore wins, alabama loses. is this about doug jones or roy moore? it is more about the negatives of roy moore, but you know what, doug jones is an awesome quy~ know what, doug jones is an awesome guy. whether roy moore wins or loses, it is an important political story. if he wins, it will wreak havocin story. if he wins, it will wreak havoc in the republican party. if he loses, alabama will elect a democrat, yes, alabama. in a year of

political shocks, that would be a big one. the president has already weighed in on the voting: whitney hillier in alabama, republican strategist and friend, ronald christie. —— with me here in alabama. what is it mean for the republican party and the president if roy moore wins this election? —— ron christie. it would be catastrophic for the republican party, an individual who has said racist things in the past, removed twice from his post as chiefjustice of the supreme court, this is moving america backwards, the republican

party is trying to get more younger voters and voters of colour, this ta kes voters and voters of colour, this takes us backward. talking to some voters down here in alabama, what i have heard is, from roy moore supporters, we are judging two people, one of them has allegations of sexual harassment against him, the other candidate, doug jones, we know for sure is pro—choice on the issue of abortion, they feel it is rational to vote for roy moore, because those are allegations against a certainty. as someone said to me last night, one of the choices, we can vote for a paedophile or a democrat...! it is a very red state, democrats have not been elected to the senate for 25 yea rs. been elected to the senate for 25 years. the abortion issue still means a lot to the evangelical christian community. what does this mean today? republican party will ta ke mean today? republican party will take a step forward and move him out of the picture, or take a step backward, if he wins, and what will this do when he is seated in a

cynic, many republicans want to expel him. the people of alabama, also have a lot of global attention on them, they know that. -- when he is seated in the senate. there has been german reporters, french reporters, even a reporterfrom moldova! what happens nationally, if doug jones wins? if doug jones wins, this will be a victory for the democrats, chuck schumer, nancy pelosi, that is why the president has weighed in with a tweet. does it put his agenda in jeopardy? we have a two seat majority, now you are talking a super thin line, republicans really do not have a vote to lose, and this is why it has serious national ramifications. christian, in the studio. is this the closest race you have ever seen? most interesting? most interesting i have ever seen, yes, i have been

involved in politics for 25 years and never heard what we heard earlier today, is alabama going to ta ke earlier today, is alabama going to take a step back in history all move forward ? take a step back in history all move forward? racial overtones take a step back in history all move forward ? racial overtones of take a step back in history all move forward? racial overtones of the city behind us, everything that has happened in this city and this state, for so many decades, it is so important. part of the attention has been, the story got more attention when we began to get the allegations of sexual harassment, but even before that, roy moore was someone on the screen conservative wing of the republican party. no question, one of the most conservative conservatives out there, my question remains, what will republicans do from here, they have two re—evaluate whether he wins or lose, how will we move forward as a party in alabama, to get more republicans who can win state—wide, a lot of work to do. stay with us, we will be back to you later on. campaigning with roy moore last night was donald trump's former aide and political advisor steve bannon. fake moore will tell you that we do

not care forjewish people —— fake news. i want to tell the world and set the record straight, while we are here. one of our attorneys is a jewish. that is what why more's wife had to say. we have close friends who are jewish and rabbis and we have fellowship with them. interesting... last night mr bannon was on fire. rallying the crowd and loving the chants. he had plenty of criticism for republicans in washington — if mr moore wins it is a huge victory for him. executive chairman of breitbart news... the former chief white house strategists... he is, steve bannon!

you know what they doing, they are trying to shut up the president, trying to shut up the president, trying to shut up the president, trying to shut upjudge moore, when they do that, they are trying to shut you up, why do you think the entire war is here? why are they in alabama ? you know entire war is here? why are they in alabama? you know why? this about raw power. they understand what the working men and women of the united states of america set their mind to something, things change. steve bannon, big supporter of roy more's, rallying here with him last night, now has joined the president in their support of the republican senate candidate, another person also supporting roy moore, ann eubank. what is it that you like about roy moore? is it just what is it that you like about roy moore? is itjust that you have

a lwa ys moore? is itjust that you have always been a republican and so you will always vote republican? actually, i am a tea party conservative, and i was on the roots campaign, but when my roots did not win, i switched to roy moore, because we cannot afford to send a left—wing democrats to congress, because this is ground zero, this is the direction of our country. it is a razor thin majority, in congress, we cannot send another democrat, if roy moore goes to congress, then he will be there to help donald trump, thatis will be there to help donald trump, that is his agenda. this is as much, then, about not voting for a democrat, for the senate seat, as it is voting for roy moore, but i assume there is things you like about roy moore? staunch conservative. stands his ground, not afraid to buck the system, we

seriously need people in congress not afraid to stand up and say, that is not what the american people want, i have been elected to do this and this is what i will do while i am here. do you expect him to be as outspoken with republican colleagues in washington as he has been went down in alabama? absolutely, you can expect exactly what you see here is what you will get there. what about allegations of sexual harassment? my attitude is, it is he said, she said, 40 years old, cannot be proven or disproven, in america, you are innocent until you are proven guilty, and he needs... if something happens, and they have evidence come out, he still needs to have the right to prove his innocence, he has to have due process. that is the american way, that is the rule of

law. were evidence to come out and he were proven to be guilty of these allegations of sexual harassment, would you still support him?|j allegations of sexual harassment, would you still support him? i would not. that would be a line to fast. blue he is going to go to congress, it would be up to congress to bring the charges. there is a procedure to handle, if there is proof, which i don't believe there is, there has already been allegations disproven, he will go to congress and they will give him due process. and if he has done this, which, as i say, i do not believe he has, then they will be able to handle ask you about some of his other positions which seem to be on the more extreme wing, he believes homosexuality should be illegal, need is not believe muslims should be allowed to serve in congress. on those positions, do you agree? can a muslim swear to uphold the

constitution when it goes against the koran? that is his position. he believes staunchly in his religion, and the god—given bible. and he believes god does not want sexuality. those are his beliefs. do you support those beliefs?” sexuality. those are his beliefs. do you support those beliefs? i support whether the muslim can uphold the constitution, my views on homosexuality are not important. i believe everyone has the right to be who they want to be as long as they do not want to make me access their life style do not want to make me access their lifestyle and change my lifestyle and override my rights. i have not yet voted, as soon as i get out of here, i am on my way to vote. really interesting, it is a

perspective we do not get enough of on this programme, putting us in touch of what people are thinking and why they want to vote for roy moore. there is a huge weight of allegations here, what roy moore has done is followed the same strategy as the president, denying it all, if that works, and if he is elected, he goes to washington emboldened, he can say, people knew the allegations, and they have voted forming. then it is going to be very difficult for the leadership of the republican party. yes, and it is something that you have heard from the white house, there is a sense that the president believes he's teflon that the president believes he's teflo n o n that the president believes he's teflon on this particular issue of sexual harassment. because those issues, as has been said, were known beforehand. issues have been raised again, that is rattling the president, yesterday, democratic

senator, saying that the president should resign, he is not going to do that because of the allegations of racial harassment. this is what he said this morning: that has had a firestorm, from women and men who believe that bit in brackets about she would do almost anything for campaign contributions has been seen as sexual innuendo. she has said she thought this was a sexual slur when she spoke out about it this morning. he has put himself

backin it this morning. he has put himself back in the spotlight by sending this out, maybe this is the reaction he wants to get, a certain amount of antagonism among women, i can tell you, the innuendo, that is clearly there, that she would do anything for campaign contributions, has caused a lot of frustration among a lot of women here. she was pulled out of eight cross—party bible study group when this happened, kirsten gillibrand, she was bemused by the responses. “— gillibrand, she was bemused by the responses. —— pulled out of a cross— party responses. —— pulled out of a cross—party bible study group. she has said that she cannot be silenced about the unfitness and shame that has been brought to the oval 0ffice by donald trump. some of the news that we are covering today. firefighters in california are still attempting to gain control of the wildfires that continue to affect the area. strong gusts of up to 40 miles an hour, and extremely low humidity levels that are expected to last till thursday pose an ongoing challenge.

the area affected in larger than the size of new york city. snow—hit southern europe could be facing energy shortages after an explosion and fire ripped through a main gas hub near vienna. authorities have warned that austrian pipelines are likely to be cut and out of action for days. at least one person was killed and 18 injured in the blast at the baumgarten plant in eastern austria. news of the explosion has sent gas prices soaring. italy has declared a state of emergency. the us ambassador to britain has said he expects donald trump to visit the uk in the new year despite the president's run in with theresa may over the anti—muslim videos he re—tweeted. the president responded to her criticisms by telling the prime minister she should focus on what he called "the destructive radical islamic terrorism" in the uk. he wants to protect americans, news doing his best to do that, he will

not go down the path of a lot of politicians and bean and began before. maybe he will ruffle others. new york police say the man suspected of bombing the city's main bus terminal on monday has been charged with three terror offences. they say akayed ullah — who migrated from bangladesh seven years ago — detonated an explosive device attached to his body, leaving him with burns and injuring several other people. a new study that justifies everything i have been telling katty laughter i laughter , suggests man flu might not be a myth as many believe. researchers in canada say there is evidence that men suffer more than women from the symptoms of the common cold and are not simply exaggerating. this could

be due men's weaker immune systems. and the stress they are sometimes under. hmm. so, there you are! could also be the fact that you are a hypochondriac. .. also be the fact that you are a hypochondriac... laughter the french president, emmanuel macron, has warned the world is losing the battle against climate change. president macron told world leaders and heads of companies at the one planet summit in paris that action against global warming was not being taken fast enough. mr macron said the paris agreement is not up for renegotiation. donald trump's decision to withdraw from the agreement has given added impetus to the others, he said. the world bank announced at the summit thatis world bank announced at the summit that is would stop financing oil and gas exploration and extraction from 2019. from paris lucy williamson reports. voiceover: the v0|ceover: the french president has a way of sending messages, this one involved a river cruise. his guests, kings, prime ministers, business leaders, may have different visions and different values, it seems to say, but when it comes to the future of the planet, we are all in the same boat. two years after the paris

agreement, emmanuel macron said it was heading for a fall. translation: we are losing this battle, those who came before us could say, we did not know, and it is true, but for the last 20 years we have known and we are finding out more everyday. the world bank has said that it. finding oil and gas exploration from 2019, and new commitments from business and new commitments from business and renewable energy, how much will this mean without the world's only superpower? us president donald trump has said his country is pulling out of the paris agreement, and emmanuel macron's show of solidarity is partly aimed at him. just along the river from the summit venue, a reminder france ‘s long relationship with america, shared history, shared values, emmanuel macron has been positioning himself asa macron has been positioning himself as a global leader, on human rights and democracy, and now on climate

change, but this time, at least, donald trump is not here. before the meeting, the british prime minister, theresa may, met the manual macro at is on police say, another bilateral elation ship undergoing change, but the most powerful leaders were here, this meeting was less about policies and more about a political message that with or without the united states, this agreement will survive —— manual macro and theresa may —— emmanuel macron and theresa may met at elysee palace. and a short time ago, the british prime minister theresa may laid out the uk's position. mitigating climate change's effect on some of the poorest countries in the world is important, we are phasing out cold but we are also doing world leading work in electric cars, that is showing that we can deal with the issue of emissions. —— coal. we can

reduce them but that can also be of benefit done in a way that is beneficial to the economy. in terms of mitigating the impact on those that are poorest in the world, i have announced another £440 million that the united kingdom will be spending on helping those that are most impacted by climate change. hard to believe but it was 40 years ago that the first star wars film hit the cinemas, spawning one of the most successful film franchises in history. the latest instalment, the eighth film, is called the lastjedi and the european premiere is in london tonight. the bbc‘s lizo mzimba is there. what was it like returning to the

franchise that did so much for you? surreal, we had a beginning, a middle, and end, i did not think they would need us again. the films were originally made for children, we did not expected to be embraced by the adult world, you get that sweet spot, it is for children of all ages, but it is escapism, people need that when reality is too harsh, whether they go to middle earth, whether they go to the land of oz or hogwart's. it

is comforting to go to a galaxy far far away. i always thought of it more as a fairy tale than science fiction, we had a princess, a pirate, a farm boy, a wizard, this isa pirate, a farm boy, a wizard, this is a continuation of all of that. thank you very much for your time. i'm already booking tickets to see that with my family over christmas, we are huge star wars fans, he is my question to you, your favourite star wa rs question to you, your favourite star wars movie ever... return of the jedi. ithink... wars movie ever... return of the jedi. i think... the big frog... jabba the heart... the work ‘s... 40 yea rs jabba the heart... the work ‘s... 40 years ago, star wars, just before my time, really. —— jabba years ago, star wars, just before my time, really. ——jabba the hutt. how about you ? time, really. ——jabba the hutt. how about you? laughter that's enough! enough of your lip! is because i called you a hypochondriac, i know, i knew that it would come back to haunt me. this is beyond 100 days with the bbc.

coming upfor is beyond 100 days with the bbc. coming up for viewers on the bbc news channel and bbc world news, we'll continue our special coverage of the alabama senate race — an election that goes to the very heart of the growing divide here in the united states. and if canada is the model post brexit, what lessons can the uk government learn. how does canada trade with the us and the eu and suit both parties? that's still to come. hello, once again, little change in the weather type for all of us over

the weather type for all of us over the extra hours, not quite done with the extra hours, not quite done with the wintry theme, but we have a particular feature to thank for the change, area of cloud and rain. easing further east, then a lull in proceedings, underneath the clear skies, temperatures will dip away again before we see the next raft of showers coming in... so there is a potential for icy stretches, both scotland and the north of england. this is how we are faring first up, wintering is about proceedings across the higher ground. central belt, lots of surface water and spray, scattering of showers across northern ireland, across the highest ground, a bit of wintering is, and as we come south, the west, certainly mild affair, right from the word go, quite a bit of water,

further east, it is a bit of a missed. cold air, potentialfor further east, it is a bit of a missed. cold air, potential for rain showers to fall full of belt of whether pushing to the east, big old showers, bit of hailstones. generally speaking, milder day, then there is a lull in proceedings, sun comes out for a while, watch this, you can almost join the dots, persistent snow to be had as another raft of cold error works in from the north west, across all parts of the british isles, and there could well be some significant snow there for a time, for many areas. here we are thursday, blustery mix of sunny spells and showers, just noticed, we are suggesting there will be a period of more prolonged snow, not! million miles from the central belt of scotland, certainly one we will be watching over the next few days or so. be watching over the next few days

or so. as we conclude the week, cranking isobars around, so the a i rflows from cranking isobars around, so the airflows from north to south, and whatever the season, cold direction, so we whatever the season, cold direction, so we expect temperatures to plunge, just to finish off the week. take care. this is beyond one hundred days, with me katty kay in birmingham, alabama — christian fraser's in london. our top stories. voting has been taking place in the us state of alabama, in a senate election dominated by allegations of sexual misconduct against the republican candidate, roy moore. 50 world leaders — minus the united states — gather in paris for a climate summit president macron hopes will give new momentum to the fight against global warming. coming up in the next half hour. canada enjoys mostly unfettered trade access to the eu — could that same deal work for a post—brexit britain? and i'll have more on that special election taking

place here in alabama — why do we care so much? let us know your thoughts by using the hashtag ‘beyond—0ne—hundred—days‘. ala bamans are voting to chose their next senator — the republican roy moore or the democrat doug jones. the polls suggest it's close but the polls here can be inaccurate. mr moore — who's been accused of sexually harassing teenagers — has been largely invisible the last few days but he has given one interview to local television. the interviewer was 12—year—old millie marchl. what do you think are the characteristics of a really good senator? just adhering to principal and not trying to stay in office for

30, 40 years and and not trying to stay in office for 30,40 years and building an empire. you're there to serve people. i want to serve the people of alabama. so what can my country do for me, but what can my country do for me, but what can my country do for me, but what can i do for my country? yes, asjfk said. what can i do for my country? yes, as jfk said. thank you so much. with me now. . . kyle whitmire — state political columnist for the alabama media group. ido i do not think anyone expected this much attention alabama. we knew it would be a very different race. not just all or getting into the race that brought so much attention to it. we had controversy from the big killing. the governor appointed a

very unpopular governor and attorney general who was supposed to be investigating him at the time. and a lot of the people here projected that and voted for war liam moore instead. all the people who have come here have comber because they wa nt to come here have comber because they want to see what roy moore is going to do to the republican party. want to see what roy moore is going to do to the republican partym want to see what roy moore is going to do to the republican party. is he a second donald trump? i think he is more donald trump than donald trump. in that primary race donald trump endorsed luther strange his opponent and we sent reporters to an event that donald trump held in north alabama, we asked them are you voting for luther strange because donald trump is endorsing him and they just said no donald trump is endorsing him and theyjust said no one came to see theyjust said no one came to see the president but we will go home and vote for war and more. —— vote for roy moore. i think that shook the president to hear these voters

in his base who decided they liked roy moore more than him. nationally, you know roy moore, you have covered him for years, if he is elected as the next us senator from alabama what does he do when he gets to washington, how much have it pretty weak? i think plenty. washington, how much have it pretty weak? ithink plenty. one washington, how much have it pretty weak? i think plenty. one unusual thing is he has been radio silent. he did not really even campaigned this last week apart from one appearance last night. he has been in hiding and that is not his style. he sees this as a pulpit from which he can preach and he could do that. and he has said he wants to take this to the american people. that is not something that i think many republicans want associated with them especially now with all these allegations about possible sexual assault against young women. we

spoke to a supporter of roy moore a few moments ago who seemed reluctant to believe the allegations. is that a common thing here? absolutely. i think roy moore has built a base here in alabama and that loyalty was already established. and once those allegations came out, it is hard for people to change their minds once they've decided they believe someone or believe in someone. we've heard over and again why are these allegations coming out now, people are suspicious about them and think it is some sort of media conspiracy. but let's say that he is elected, hopefully we will see a senate investigation, and ethics investigation, and ethics investigation to really get down into some solid proof. thank you very much forjoining me. interesting speaking to people here, you hear at the staunch defenders of roy moore is saying these are outsiders bringing these allegations to light, and wejust do not outsiders bringing these allegations to light, and we just do not believe things like the washington post. but

also some saying we are embarrassed that our state has been portrayed in this light. there is a word that they use a lot in the american media, the optics. what are the optics of roy moore, who has dodged every interview with an adult for the last three or four weeks, being interviewed by a 12—year—old when he is alleged to have abused a 14—year—old girl! is alleged to have abused a 14-year-old girl! it was an interesting decision. it is being talked about here in alabama. i suspect this is the roy moore campaign and they must have known what the optics were going to be, they're all employee savvy media people who can tell them what the response would be. and in typical roy moore fashion this was a kind of in—your—face, i'm going to do it my way and not be cowed by the reporters and by the establishment and i'm not going to stop the way i do thingsjust and i'm not going to stop the way i do things just because you do not like it. if he takes that attitude

washington that is what will make him a liability for the republican party. plenty more about alabama in the next few minutes. in two days there will be an important summit on the issue of uk—eu trade post—brexit. david davis the brexit secretary says he wants a deal similar to the one agreed between canada and eu. that deal, the comprehensive economic and trade agreement removes 98 percent of customs duties on eu exports to canada and canadian exports to the eu. canada does not pay for access to the single market. but the agreement provides less opportunities for services, including the financial sector. canada is also a member of another trade block nafta — so how does the country navigate several trade deals simultaneously? i am joined in the studio byjaime watt, who acts as an advisor to canada's political and business leaders. good to see you. how does it do this

because they must be some regulations that do not fit with the eu that do fit with america. how does canada straddle this? well within the agreement there is an agreement to make sure there is harmony with regulations. it is a light touch, there is an 5993, sit harmony with regulations. it is a light touch, th the s an 5993, sit 35;ng kind eggsw kind of eggsw and nowindof 5”’~r‘~"e "7:37:357'7’377' ’ of ’: of the ’: of the agreement. not the goods part of the agreement. not the goods part of the agreement. not the part which of the goods part of the agreement. not the - part which of course the services part which of course when people in the uk talk about canada plus, releases the plus that is left out of this agreement that will need some attention. but the whole point of this, david davis and liam fox, they want to go off and weigh up these new deals around the

world. does it confine them in doing that if they are already committed to alignment with the eu, does it confine canada ? to alignment with the eu, does it confine canada? not at all because all these agreements come together at different times and in different ways. the uk where the leaders in pushing canada and the eu together on ceta nine years ago. so i do not think that will change. so you think that rather than the idea that regulations are diverging in actual fa ct regulations are diverging in actual fact because everyone is involved in global trade we are all converging? of course and not only converging but converging for policy as well as business reasons. looking at the relative importance of these different markets, the chinese market as well, in canada we have the americans abandoning the tpp agreement which is great news for canada because on the other side of our borders on the pacific side we have a whole new opportunity with

china. so canada i think is going to go in there. your prime minister justin trudeau was in china recently and did not manage to get a comp offensive trade deal with the chinese, not as much as he have wanted. was that a blow to canada? i think it was disappointing for the prime minister, his father has a very special relationship with the chinese and i thinkjustin trudeau was looking to build on that. he also went in there with an aggressive progressive agenda on human rights and equity and equality issues which was not admittedly to the liking of the chinese. so i think there was a setback. but not a disaster by any stretch. they will continue to work on this. i think we are seeing that with nafta, our major preoccupation, everything else is dwarfed by nafta, these

politicians say certain things to their domestic audience but when the reality of business and commerce comes to the fore everyone puts a bit of water in the wind. we have been talking about the paris climate change and of course america is not there today. it could be a situation where he pulls america out of nafta so how good the comedians deal with that? i'm not so sure that he is going to pull out of nafta. —— how would the canadians deal with that. canada is the number one customer for the united states and if donald trump does not want protests and to lose their biggest customer he has to think about what he's asking for. right now is asking for a percentage of car parts, such as the entire

auto—parts industry would be destroyed. he's asking for u nfettered destroyed. he's asking for unfettered access to the market and not giving it in return. the proposition is ridiculous. so i think congress will come to its senses. remember it is congress that a pproves senses. remember it is congress that approves the free trade agreement and not the president. great to see you, thank you very much. an influential american think—tank is warning that the british economy will probably be weakened by brexit — even if the uk agrees a new trade deal with the european union. a report from the rand corporation — which is pa rt—funded by the us government — says almost all likely trading relationships after march 2019 will be worse than britain's current membership of the eu — international vice president at the rand corporation charles reis joins us from brussels. good to see you. you have looked at eight different scenarios involving the uk, the eu and the us. explain why you did that? well basically we

assumed brexit was going to happen and we were trying to appraise all the possible ways that the eu, the uk and the eu, the uk could develop and organise its external trade. and so eight scenarios is not all of the possibilities but it captures the range of possibilities. you looked at the one i talked about, the uk eu us agreement, clearly the one that appeals to the government. but you say it is not likely in the current political atmosphere that prevails. so the question i have then is are you looking at the very short—term rather than the longer game for brexit? well we tried to at all of these scenarios on a ten time frame but it is ten years beginning in 2019, so the short term in political terms. we were trying to figure out what it is that would be in the best interests of the uk if they were

interested in preserving their own economy and growth prospects. that was the motivating factor. but you're right in the introduction, in almost all of the scenarios we found the uk would be worse off economically than it is as a member of the eu. this is because there is almost any other trade regime including free trade agreements with the canada model, they impose customs restrictions, rules of origin and other kinds of nontariff areas which are costs to trade and reduce trade below what been otherwise. and the result is lower economic growth. the only problem some people would have with this report, you preface yourfindings by saying whether brexodus judged a success or not will depend to some degree on its economic impact. —— brexit isjudge. but many

degree on its economic impact. —— brexit is judge. but many leave voters were prepared to take the economic hit because far more important to them was immigration, the sovereignty of the uk government. there are many people who say that. when their own economic circumstances deteriorate however they may change their mind. but not if they have not been touched by the economic progress, in some towns and cities in the north they feel they have been left behind which has been part of the problem. indeed, it is sort of the trend towards economic nationalism, talking really about the united states, many countries in the post—globalisation era are struggling with questions of equity. questions of two which segments of the population benefit from international trade and this has been debated in the uk as much as elsewhere. but if you look at the

breakdown of voters for brexit, it was older voters who voted for leaving the eu. and younger voters with a longer term horizon if you will, but it almost, quite substantially to remain within the eu. and were quite upset at the outcome. very interesting, thank you for coming in. this is beyond one hundred days. still to come. a new insight into the history of the slave trade — in the wrecks rediscovered in senegal. last night was the coldest this winter and if you live in shropshire you'll have known all about it — it was down to minus 13 celsius in one place. the freeze has led to fresh disruption for travellers — and hundreds of schools are closed for a second day running. here's sima kotecha. a bed of snow with freezing conditions. across parts of the midlands it's not been easy — icy roads,

school closures, but for the children another day off school. we have been sledging, building a snowman. in shropshire more than 200 schools were closed and in gloucestershire and herefordshire almost 100 remain closed. it is difficult trying to find things for them to do and keep them occupied. when you have childcare issues and you are working full—time, obviously it would be disruptive to you because the schools are closing on a day—to—day basis and you're not knowing until the last minute. it is bitterly cold here, the temperature is around minus four celsius and there's no sign of this snow melting any time soon. as night falls, the temperatures are expected to plunge even further. in the west midlands it was a similar story, more schools closed than open.

some councils have been criticised for advising them not to reopen even though many roads have been cleared. the initial advice last friday was for all schools to close, we have changed that advice to save the decision should be made locally depending on whether you can get school transport to the school and whether it is safe to do so in consideration of the roads and other conditions. more than 200 homes in the region were without power this morning. tomorrow will present its own challenges. with rain coming in from the west, some of the snow will turn to ice making pathways even more slippery. you're watching beyond one hundred days. alabama is a state synonymous with the civil rights movement. i was at the sixteenth street baptist church in birmingham today, where a bomb blast killed four african—american girls in 1963. that same year martin luther king

was arrested and jailed for protesting at the way blacks were treated in this state. the history runs deep. its roots though lie thousands of miles away in west africa, where archaeologists have begun searching for the forgotten wrecks of the trans—atlantic slave trade — the ships that sank, while carrying thousands of african men, women and children to the americas. many of those slaves were bound for the deep south including the state of alabama. and now, as part of a us—funded programme, archaeologists in senegal have been trying to find those wrecks off the coast of dakar. the bbc‘s laeila adjovi joined one of the expeditions. these divers are senegal‘s first generation of marine archaeologists. as part of their research this professor and his team explored the sea floor in search of remains of sunken slave ships. it took years of training to launch the slave wreck project here.

translation: at the beginning it was not easy. in fact i could not even train before this programme so the first year was very difficult for the whole team. this morning the divers are off an island which was a notorious stopover during the atlantic slave trade. three years into the programme, these pioneers are now passionate about diving. once the wreck is found, the scientists take photos and notes. they also take a piece of the ship for analysis. to determine the exact historical period of the sinking. the team has yet to do in—depth research on archives and old navigation registers. dozens of slave wrecks could be lying along the coastline and at the bottom of the senegal river. the professor hopes that in time the findings can shed a new light on the history of the slave trade. translation: the crossing

of the atlantic is a very dark moment that is not very well known. we know that some slave ships were wrecked and all the archives are here under the sea. it is important to document the time of the crossing because it is the time of the rupture of the umbilical cord between africa and its diasporas. back on land at dakar university there is growing interest in marine archaeology. so having more african scholars and more african students taking part in this research and involving local communities is all part of decolonising the knowledge. translation: for a long time this research was done by people coming from the outside. and for us it is crucial that a local senegalese and african team take part. and beyond that we really want to work with local communities who were directly impacted

by the slave trade. so far the funding for the slave wreck project has come from the united states. the professor believes senegal should contribute. he is adamant that no independent nation can thrive without preserving its own heritage. fascinating insight into what is going on in senegal. back to alabama and ron christie is back with us. it is fascinating to listen to the people we have spoken to tonight about the links between their faith and the way that they vote. that is very different over here, we have a secular society in europe, not to say that faith is notjust secular society in europe, not to say that faith is not just as important to voters here but we do not hear it spoken about in such terms as you see it in alabama. good

to see you come it is interesting, my grandparents are southern evangelicals and having grown up with this in my family i can tell you they put a strong premium on religion, on abortion and some issues that we have spoken about today. and they look at roy moore and said that these are just allegations and i'm willing to look at those guys just allegations, but he isa at those guys just allegations, but he is a pious, strong christian man and we should give him the benefit of the doubt. in many states that would not apply like that but it does here in alabama. there has been some discussion in the course of this alabama race that everyone has been focused on issues of sexual harassment on on characters, on these kind of outside issues. people are saying what about the political issues. but actually for conservative evangelical voters here i think those are the issues. his discussion of abortion, his

objection to abortion, that is the real issue and for many voters it is a single voting issue. the one single issue they would vote on and doug jones who is pro—choice on the issue of abortion, i've heard some a nalysts issue of abortion, i've heard some analysts here in alabama saying if he were not quite so pro—choice on abortion, if he had some caveats in there he would probably be much further ahead in the polls. no question. so we've spoken about civil rights and this street that ru ns civil rights and this street that runs deep in alabama, if turnout is king does that mean that the black vote really matters today? well i tell you, alabama, the african american population is about 20% and i spoke to several people and they recognise that this election could be about to —— taking alabama forward or indeed back to the past. there are so many concerns amongst the black community, people i've

spoken to say it shines a bad light on alabama for the past but we have had. so will it be enough, this is a very red state, not the many democrats and so the african american vote is crucial stop and evenif american vote is crucial stop and even if you had a massive turnout for the african american community, could it sway the vote. and also one group is suburban women, we have seen group is suburban women, we have seen them play a big role. in virginia in the end it was suburban women that swung the state for the democratic governor. i am watching suburban women here, i spoke to one who was a republican all her life, herfamily who was a republican all her life, her family voted republican, who was a republican all her life, herfamily voted republican, she knows the family of roy moore and she switched, she is going to vote for the democrats doug jones and she's calling her friends to get

them to vote for the democrat doug jones. all because of these allegations of sexual harassment which she said to me she believed we re which she said to me she believed were credible. so watch the african american turnout but also woman. absolutely, is all about turnout, we have not got any indication is how it is going yet but i've seen a lot of signs up driving around, a lot of signs up for the democrat. so stay at super late to watch the result! i know i can rely on you! i will text you! coming up next on bbc world news — kasia madera is here with 0utside source and for viewers in the uk — we'll have the latest headlines from clive myrie. thanks for watching. hello, once again, a little change

in the weather type for all of us over the next hours, not quite done with the wintry theme, but we have a particular feature to thank for the change, an area of cloud and rain. easing further east, then a lull in proceedings, underneath the clear skies, temperatures will dip away again before we see the next raft of showers coming in. so there is a potential for icy stretches, both in scotland and the north of england. this is how we are faring first up, wintry across the higher ground.

central belt, lots of surface water and spray, scattering of showers across northern ireland, across the highest ground, and as we come south, the west, certainly a mild affair, right from the word go, quite a bit of water, further east, it is a bit of a mist. cold air, potential for rain showers to fall full of belt of weather pushing to the east, big old showers, bit of hailstones. generally speaking, a milder day, then there is a lull in proceedings, the sun comes out for a while, watch this, you can almostjoin the dots, persistent snow to be had as another raft of cold air works in from the north west, across all parts of the british isles, and there could well be some significant snow there for a time, for many areas. here we are thursday,

blustery mix of sunny spells and showers, just notice, we are suggesting there will be a period of more prolonged snow, not a million miles from the central belt of scotland, certainly one we will be watching over the next few days or so. as we conclude the week, cranking those isobars around, so the air flows from north to south, and whatever the season, a cold direction, so we expect temperatures to plunge, just to finish off the week. take care. this is bbc news. i'm vicki young. the headlines at 8pm: the squeeze on household incomes tightens, as inflationjumps to its highest level in six years, but wage growth remains sluggish. forecasters warn of more icy conditions to come, following the coldest night of the year so far. with world leaders gathered in paris for a climate change summit, theresa may insists that lowering carbon emissions won't hit the uk's economic outlook.

we can actually deal with the issue of emissions. we can reduce emissions. that can also be of benefit done in a way that is a benefit done in a way that is a benefit to the economy. a woman, whose dog attacked 12 children in a play park in northumberland, is jailed forfour years. also ahead this hour... the government considers plans to introduce presumed consent, for organ donations in england.