eliminating the former champions. in the quarterfinals, russia will face croatia, who beat denmark, also in a penalty shoot—out. the world cup upset is all over the media today, as are many of the other stories to let us take a look at some of them, starting in germany. starting with the frankfurter allgemeine, where the headline reads showdown with merkel as interior minister horst seehofer offers to resign over chancellor merkel‘s migration policy. we will look at that in just the second. —— we will look at that injust a second. in the financial times, the eu hints at countermeasures to president trump's threat of car tariffs, in a submission to the us department of commerce. as much as $294 billion worth of trade has been earmarked. in the daily telegraph, another world cup upset — the paper is calling it a ‘russian revelation' after the hosts sent home spain in a penalty shoot—out. let's look at the independent, which takes us to australia,

where a ban on plastic single—use bags has led to widespread abuse of shop staff. it's been labelled ‘bag rage‘, as two major supermarkets struggle to impose the ban. one irate customer tried to strangle a shop assistant. and finally in the guardian, wimbledon begins today. many papers are leading with andy murray's decision to pull out of the tournament due to recent surgery, but we've still got roger federer to watch — he plays on centre court in a few hours. so let's begin. with me is independent analyst, dr stephanie hare. so nice to see you on a monday morning, so early. let's talk about the showdown with merkel, the german paper frankfurter allgemeine is here, saying that horst seehofer is

threatening to resign, how big of an upset will it be? it could bring down her coalition government and trigger snap elections and do not wa nt to trigger snap elections and do not want to assume that is necessarily the way that things will go but if he pulls out, he is the leader of her sister party which is in bavaria, the csu, if he pulls out and resigned, they have to replace him as interior minister and somehow the coalition numbers on and it could be a victory for her, or a loss, we' re could be a victory for her, or a loss, we're sure yet. in terms of what he is thinking, the local elections in bavaria coming up and it is important his party does extremely well in those local elections and he did threaten angela merkel and say come home with a good deal. clearly he isn't happy with the deal that was brokered. it was brokered in the early hours of the morning, wasn't it, after a difficult summit in brussels. he is unhappy with the deal, which is basically about secondary migration within the eu. why asylum seekers.

imagining that asylum seekers arrived in an eu country, are granted asylum but then moved to a second eu country, in this case germany, because they would prefer to move there and feel they would have a better quality of life so he wa nts to have a better quality of life so he wants to stop that and what we have found is several eu member states, poland, hungary and the czech republic, have come back and said the angela merkel "we didn't agree to any such deal to take people and keep them there" they were happy to allow the secondary migration and horse seehofer is saying absolutely not, we want to expand the german pow was to turn people away and send them back to the first eu country where they were granted asylum —— horst. this is all you migration story, not an economic story, bavaria is one of the richest federal states in germany, really low unemployment, things are doing very well, so this is about controlling borders and the thing we are seeing around the world of migration and how we cope with that. we have to keep a close by obviously on how this plays out, the euro is

wea ker on how this plays out, the euro is weaker today, no big surprises because as you say this could have a serious impact on chancellor merkel‘s leadership. this is probably the biggest challenge she has seen for many years in terms of her position. this is her fourth term as chancellor, she's been in power for 13 years and a power be reckoned with, it is entirely possible she will win this power struggle and he will leave and the coalition cobbles on but that said if this goes bad and if the coalition breaks down or she is seen as an enfeebled leader what we could haveis as an enfeebled leader what we could have is what is supposed to be your‘s powerhouse member state weekend on certain and that isn't great to europe. absolutely not, hence the weakness in the currency. on to the ft and the european union asa on to the ft and the european union as a whole, its battle with the united states. the ft is saying there have seen a written submission from the european commission to the us department of commerce looking out a detailed response to mr trump's torres strait is, as it were. we really should not be

surprised by this because we saw yesterday on canada day, july the first, canada responded to us ta riffs first, canada responded to us tariffs in kind sir it is like for like. anyone who has been following us-eu like. anyone who has been following us — eu trade negotiations, which are generally done in cordial though competitive ways, it isn't going to be surprising, the eu will not tolerate anything that donald trump is doing and just let it happen, it will be met with a strong response. they are some of the most experienced trade negotiations in the world on both sides of the atla ntic the world on both sides of the atlantic soap no surprise there is noise coming from the us and their president and the year —— eu will hit backjust as hard but in a measured way. again, having to cover every single twist and turn on this and see how it all plays out because and see how it all plays out because a lot of these, president trump was speaking on fox news on sunday in a special interview and had a lot of fantastic headlines but the media are putting out everywhere but in terms of the reality of this, we

have to wait and see in terms of its impact. it will drive up prices on automobiles which could hurt us jobs. a lot of these european cars are manufactured in the us. this could end up backfiring. now the world cup, you told me last time i saw you that you have been glued. i mean, you cannot get away from the screen at the moment, it is so predictable, isn't it? i have been sad ever since peru was knocked out. there is still so much to see. croatia beat denmark, russia beat spain which i think was the big upset yesterday, brazil and mexico today, ultram and japan. it is the big question as to whether or not these incumbents are going to be knocked out. we will see underdogs, unexpected teams, getting through, which is what makes football so gripping. believably gripping and some of the results so far has been shocking. we cannot predict what

will happen next. and we are in a country that may bring football home. who knows? it is exciting for england's too. absolutely, to australia now, and in this country we have seen a lot of change with plastic, we have some laws coming through and we can still have a plastic bag in a supermarket at we have to pay for it but in australia there is a complete ban and a real reaction to this. i am surprised to hear about, actually. its ferocity. it is the whole making the case for change. we know, we have seen with david attenborough‘s beautiful show that he did recently the damage that is happening to see life because of a sticks in the oceans, all of the different creatures that are eating them. and dying as a result. we have to cut down on the use of plastics, particularly bags are the big one. it seems strange because australia in summer is connected to the sea that they have not made that

cultural change perhaps as effectively as they could. i am sure they have tried but clearly something has happened if you are having customers strangling shop assistants. absolutely, i was quite surprised. a final word on andy murray, everyone is talking about the fact he is withdrawing from wimbledon and he says he really is doing it with a heavy heart. of course, for any british player to be at wimbledon is a big part of their calendar, the tennis calendar, but he is looking ahead to the high court tournament, august in new york. —— hard court. court tournament, august in new york. -- hard court. he had the operation in january to york. -- hard court. he had the operation injanuary to reshape his hip, he has had a long—standing hip injury and he is playing the long game as an athlete. you said if this was my last rebel than i would consider playing but he's hoping to have a few more in him, potentially to win them, so sacrificing something i'm sure in the short—term with the hopes of preserving the longevity of his career. in the meantime roger federer is playing today, he is hoping get his nights

title at wimbledon and serena williams is back in wimbledon, having become a mum. —— ninth title. there are so many big stars back in wimbledon. for anybody who loves athletics and particularly tennis, this is one of the big tournaments to watch and again, lots of drama, i am sure. and let us hope it is not too hot for them, which they are not accustomed to at wimbledon. it is more something they have to face in spain. thank you for coming in, stefanie. —— stephanie. stay with us here on bbc news. so much more to come. we turned up the heat again on

sunday, 32 degrees, 90 fahrenheit in hampshire, london 31, through the midlands in the strong sunshine that we had. there is going to be more sunshine over the week ahead. if you are looking to rain you will be out of luck, one or two isolated showers but on the whole it will be dry. the first day ofjuly put some rain towards the south—west of the uk from that area of cloud there, about half an inch of rain in devonport example, and the earlier showers and thunderstorms as well are pretty much moved away to the english channel over towards the new continents are probably going to be dry on monday, the cloud may be lingering in the far south—east of scotla nd lingering in the far south—east of scotland and behind it, slightly cooler air. low 20s across scotland. widely towards 29— 30 in wales. 32 perhaps towards south—east wealth and the midlands. trying to end the day for most areas. overnight, more cloud comes down the north sea coastal areas but staying dry.

warmest of all again across other parts of england and wales where for a little while longer it will feel rather humid. more sunshine on the way on tuesday, still the small chance of picking up late shower. mostly towards the far south—west. otherwise dry and sunny on tuesday. hardly a breath of wind around, strong sunshine and the temperature is lifting a little more full scotla nd is lifting a little more full scotland and northern ireland. high—pressure is sort of in charge of our weather, not particularly dominant but it doesn't need to be, nothing much is moving, public a breath of wind again on wednesday, a little more low cloud coming down through the north sea but on the whole, sunny skies, fairweather cloud developing, few if any showers. it continues to arrive at the numbers of 29— 30. mid two perhaps high 20s for scotland and northern ireland. a bit of a change perhaps, a fly in the ointment, into thursday, low pressure to the north

of the uk, the weather front is weak, winning a band of cloud towards scotland and northern ireland. it may squeeze a show out over the grampians but further south, it is likely to be dry, long spells of sunshine and the heat is certainly still there are temperatures into the high 20s at the very least. in the required week ahead. i will stick my neck out, a dry first week in london at embleton. —— wimbledon. likely to stay dry with some warmth on china times. —— warm sunshine at times. good morning, welcome to breakfast, with charlie stayt and louise minchin. our headlines today: 100 firefighters from across the uk ramp up their battle against a major moorland fire in lancashire. the impact of the massive demand for water in the hot weather, northern ireland gets to grips

with a hosepipe ban. could other areas follow suit? more than 20,000 jobs are at risk on the high street, but if you lose yourjob at one of these retail giants, what are your chances of finding another? i'll take a look. wild celebrations in russia as the world cup hosts knock spain out of the competition.