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tv   HAR Dtalk  BBC News  August 8, 2018 4:30am-5:01am BST

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the headlines: officials in california say they're now dealing with the largest wildfire ever to hit the state, and they're warning it could burn for the rest of the month. it's now two fires joined together, a mega—blaze which has already destroyed nearly 300,000 acres of land. more than 80,000 people on the indonesian island of lombok are seeking help after losing their homes in a powerful earthquake on sunday. medical staff are treating some of the injured in tents. several days after the quake, the second to hit the area in a week. aftershocks are still being felt. the number of dead now stands at 105. the british prime minister, theresa may, hasjoined calls for her former foreign minister to apologise for comments he made about muslim women who wear the full face veil or burqa. mrs may said borisjohnson‘s comments had clearly caused offence. now on bbc news, it's time for hardtalk.
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welcome to hardtalk. i'm stephen sackur. british prime minister theresa may is running out of time to avoid the brexit cliff edge. her proposals for a post—brexit trade deal with brussels got short shrift from the eu's chief negotiator. she seems to be hoping to get more joy from some of europe's national leaders. but with every passing day, the prospect for a no—deal, potentially chaotic brexit grows more real. my guest is the dutch mep sophie in ‘t veld, deputy to the european pa rliament‘s chief negotiator. is brexit brinkmanship a game no—one can win? sophie in ‘t veld in brussels, welcome to hardtalk.
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hello. you follow the brexit negotiations very, very closely. are you comfortable with the fact that when theresa may and her government came out with their big proposal, the so—called white paper, their vision for what a post—brexit trade deal with the eu could look like, it was, effectively, dismissed by the eu's, the eu commission's chief negotiator, michel barnier, with barely a second glance? dismissed, i think mr barnier made it very clear that we are happy that there are proposals on the table. that is a start and is necessary.
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he also made it very clear that some of the proposals clearly do not fit in, or do not correspond to the rules of the internal market. but there is clearly a basis now to start the talks. and hopefully to finalise the talks in time and try to avoid a cliff edge scenario. you say there is clearly a basis for talks. i struggle to see that basis because michel barnier, from the beginning of this process up to now, appears convinced that britain is still, to use the phrase always wheeled out by the commission, cherry picking, trying to have its cake and eat it too. all those cliches we have heard for the last 18 months, they are still being used in brussels. there are lots of cliches being used on all sides. the reality is we have to sit down and try to come to an agreement more or less by october. that is the reality.
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i think that on the side of the eu, contrary to what some of the media are reporting, there is a lot of good will. people do want a result but, clearly, there are limits. what we are not going to do is re—negotiate the rules of the internal market or the eu. but when michel barnier says, with scepticism, and this is a quote from him, that the uk seems to want to "keep free movement of goods between us but not of people and services", as though, in his view, there is an indivisibility to those different pillars of the eu single market and he will not accept any effort to make a difference between goods and services. are you with him or not? it is not his view. it is a fact. that is the way the internal market was built. and what strikes me in this whole debate and in the way it has been
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displayed in the uk media, or at least to the extent that i have seen it, is that uk, 45 years, has been one of the main champions of the internal market. one of the prime architects of the internal market. so you know what the rules of the game are because you were actually leading the construction of the internal market. i think it is strange to now say, oh, but we can unpick it and try and select the bits that we like because that is not the way that it works. but why not think creatively? why not actually consider the possibility that a little bit of unpicking, as you put it, of the rules, may be productive not just for one side but for both sides? rather than this be a lose—lose it may end up being win—win. a respected analyst in the financial times recently, martin sandhu, said, "look, let's get real. yes, it is complicated, the white paper and yes, the british government will probably have to make more concessions". in essence, he says, the eu...this is a quote from him, "the eu promises to treat
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the uk as a third country, a third party after brexit so it should, by standing ready to accept an improved chequers white paper offer and then declaring a resounding victory". he is basically saying there is a lot in the white paper that the eu, if it would only remove itself from a puritanical stance, should regard as good news. what you call puritanical i would call the rule of law. we have treaties and i believe that when you sign up to a treaty you have to respect the terms of the treaty until people decide to change the treaty. until we do that we have the internal market, the eu treaties. this is a rules—based entity. again, the uk has been one of its prime architects. and i think that this is...we are not starting from scratch. the uk, which is still a member of the eu, has chosen to leave the eu. i am one of those who regrets that, however the british people in majority have decided to leave the european union. now we need to make sure there is an orderly withdrawal
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and we have to limit the damage as much as possible. and then we have to discuss future relations. but compromise... what we are not... but compromise can't all be one way, can it? sorry, there is no compromise. the uk is leaving the eu. where is the compromise? you wanted to leave. the compromise, if i may say so, it seems to me that the compromise comes in finding a deal and a process for that leaving of the eu which does the least damage to both sides. that is where the compromise comes from and that is where you may need to be creative about these rules that you regard as important. i think it is ironic that the british, who actually were pushing the internal market, building the internal market, are now reproaching the eu for protecting the internal market. for us, the integrity of the internal market is very
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important and i think that is also our interest in the future. they have made their choice. this is what the tory party, or at least a large part of the tory party wanted. it is not for us now to solve the problems of the tory party. it is for politicians on all sides including in the uk, to begin being honest. the whole idea that you can have brexit and you can cherry pick... people use the sentence "we are going to make brexit a success". why aren't they honest and say there is no such thing as a successful brexit because it will always hurt and it will hurt many people, but it will hurt primarily people in the united kingdom. i find that very sad. what they should do is not expect the eu to undo the eu and the internal market, what they must do is be honest to their own voters. there is a sense in which, with your stance and some would describe it as intransigent. i know you reject that.
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but your absolute insistence on the laws and the process that the eu has established, you risk a form of mutually assured destruction, don't you? yes, a chaotic cliff edge crash out brexit is going to be undeniably very damaging to the uk economy, but it will be equally damaging to economies across the european union, not least the netherlands. if you would only show some stability, you can avoid some of that damage to yourself. actually, i think my voters — you were talking about politics and elections — my voters expect us to protect the integrity of the internal market because in the long—term, that is what will actually assure our prosperity. don't your voters expect you to protect theirjobs?
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and in the netherlands you will lose tens of thousands ofjobs according to the imf, because of what will come with a hard brexit. this is part of a panicky blame game. brexiteers understanding that brexit will not take them into heaven and they are trying to blame it now on others, saying that brexit is a really good idea but it is being badly executed because, you know, those europeans are so intransigent. no. brexit was never a good idea and it was always going to hurt. we have to limit the damage. in the long—term, the prosperity of the eu and jobs in the eu depend on the integrity of the internal market. we're not going unpick it. but i return to the raw data put out by the imf. of course it is speculative, but one must respect the strength of their economics. they say that if there is a cliff edge, a hard crash—out brexit, that will cost the eu as a whole probably around i.5%, if not more, of gdp. some countries will be much worse — like ireland who could lose 4% of gdp.
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it will cost hundreds of thousands of jobs, possibly overi million, across the eu as a whole. some countries in particular, and this is where we get to you, some countries like the netherlands are extraordinary vulnerable because of the strength of your trading relationship with the uk. yes. but we also have trading relations with the eu internal market. i think you make the same calculation for the disintegration of the internal market you would get figures that are even worse. i think to now one—sidedly try and make the eu responsible for the fallout of brexit is a bit the world on its head. there were politicians... you referred to borisjohnson earlier and some other politicians who have really behaved like populists and have told people that brexit will bring them heaven. that was simply never true. brexit was always going to hurt. it depends on two sides but, also the uk. that's not forget that the vote took
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place over two years ago. only now we have the white paper with some proposals on the table. it has always been an internal problem of the tory party and... i don't think that this is what david cameron had in mind when he called for a referendum. let me ask you this then. you sit there in brussels and, obviously, you follow this process quite closely. but the british government appears to have changed tack recently. the commission is, by and large, on summer holidays so theresa may and the foreign secretaryjeremy hunt are going around capitals and talking to leaders and foreign ministers across europe, trying to tell them that, look, there is a looming tragedy. these are the words ofjeremy hunt, "there is a looming tragedy here" if the uk crashes out of the eu without a deal, according to mr hunt that will be damaging to the eu as well as britain. in his words, "a tragedy". it strikes me that some national leaders worried about employment and the state of their own economies
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may be much more receptive to that message than michel barnier and possibly you. mr barnier is negotiating on behalf of the eu and he has the support of the member states, that is very clear. none of the member states has said he is not speaking on behalf of my country. crosstalk. but some member states like malta, italy, like austria, have suggested that there should be a focus on trying to find compromise. everybody is open to compromise. but a compromise can never, ever include the disintegration of the internal market. the integrity of the internal market is not on the agenda of the negotiations. that must be very clear. is there an element
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of bluff in this? i notice that the netherlands has made a public announcement that 1000 new customs officers are being trained to deal with the potential fallout from a no deal brexit. i know there is discussion in the netherlands about what it will mean for the agriculture sector and other sectors that would be most affected. is the netherlands government really now thinking no deal will happen or is there an element of bluff to all of this? on both sides of the english channel? i don't think there is any bluff here. we have been very clear about our position. it is not rocket science. we are the european union. we have the internal market. we will negotiate with the uk about a future relationship but we will not re—negotiate the eu because, yes, brexit will be damaging, even if there is no cliff edge, no crashing out of the eu. if there is a crashing out, it will be even more damaging.
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but unpicking the internal market will be the worst scenario and we will not do that. if you say bluff... i have noticed that in recent weeks, in the british media, and you are actually making the same point here, they are trying to kind of intimidate the eu into, oh, if you do not accept our terms and it will be terrible for you. i think we should be... maybe it is time for little bit of honesty in politics and maybe people should have been told before the brexit referendum what reality was going to be like. the vote has taken place, that is clear. that is the situation we have to deal with. and it will hurt. but we are not going to undo the internal market. far be it from me to intimidate anybody, i am looking at the the reality of what is happening. not in terms of economics, but also in terms of security. talking about reality, i think what is happening is reality
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is sinking in now, even with those like borisjohnson who have been promoting brexit and they are trying to put the blame on somebody else. but if they were honest, i think they should man up and take responsibility for what they have achieved. i'll try to switch focus onto security issues. you say that there is absolutely four square unity amongst the 27 members of the eu as they approach brexit, but on the security issue there clearly isn't complete unity. we had the german interior minister horst seehofer saying recently that he believes it is vital that the uk is kept in because of various security structures that involve it in so much of the important work concerning policing and security across europe. that is a very different message from michel barnier, again it suggests to me that in some capitals in europe there is a grave
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concern about what a no—deal brexit could mean in security terms for the rest of europe. of course there is grave concern anywhere, also in the european parliament. i understand what mr seehofer wants to say, but i think he said it the wrong way. the fact that we will want to have very close co—operation with the uk, i think is undisputed, everybody wants that, but we have to look very carefully at the terms. it is clear, the uk will not be a part of the eu any more, so it can not be a part of eu institutions. that is clear. that should not prevent us from having co—operation and exchanges of information, but clearly there has to be agreement on legal safeguards, data protection, fundamental rights, right to a fair trial, all of the regular safeguards that you have and that we need to negotiate. a quick final thought on brexit before i broaden this out a bit. there is a growing sense among some policymakers in europe that
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what will actually happen, rather than a no—deal brexit, there will yet be another moment of fudge and kicking the can down the road come this autumn and early spring of next year. it seems there is a feeling that the two sides will not be able to do much more than establish a withdrawal agreement and only the very broadest notion of where they might go in terms of future trading relationships and most of the detail will be left off any document and there will be a transition agreement and during those two years or so, the hope is somehow they will get to a consensual agreement. is that what is going to happen in the long run? look, i haven't got a crystal ball. there is no map, there's no blueprint, we are in uncharted territory, we don't know. all i can hope for is that we will find an agreement, hopefully on time, by october. again, i think contrary to what was suggested earlier, the european union were united
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and very open to compromise that does not entail renegotiating the basis of the eu. we are open to compromise and everybody i think is aware of the seriousness of the situation and the urgent need to find solutions on time. before we end, i do want to broaden this out, it is interesting to me that throughout this interview you have stressed the unity of the eu 27, but in a way it seems brexit is a distraction from the much bigger challenge facing the eu, which is that there is a growing strain of populist nationalism rife right across from italy in western europe to hungary, poland and elsewhere in eastern europe. it is a movement that is challenging the basic, sort of notions of european sovereignty in a way that goes far beyond brexit, would you agree? well, yes.
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and actually, i think european integration isn't even at the top of their political agenda. they clearly have an agenda which is much more focusing on issues like values, like equality, pluralism, the basic rules of democracy. it is a very authoritarian strand of populism, very nationalist. if i may say, it is a strand which is all about the nation state and the power and importance of the nation state. so when it comes to profound eu challenges like a common approach to migration, or indeed the future of the eurozone, because let's face it, that hasn't been sorted out satisfactorily. when it comes to those pan—european challenges, there is no coherence to the eu at all. actually, no that is not true.
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the anti—eu nationalists are not the majority. i also see that the pro—european forces are being mobilised because they are beginning to realise that they have to act, and i would also like to stress that yes, the european union, we are not...we have a way of doing things. it is always about compromise, consensus, it is a bit slow, it is not very sexy and heroic, you know, the way that we take decisions. if you look at what the eu has gone through over the last ten years or so — an economic crisis, refugees, terrorism, now we have to deal with a world run by people like trump, putin, we are facing brexit. and you know what, the european union is still there, it is strong, it hasn't fallen apart and popular support is growing. no doubt the european union is still there but whether it is coherent is another matter. in a sense, the most powerful
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politicalfigure in the eu is emmanuel macron in france, he has a strong vision of deepening european sovereignty, but frankly most other european leaders are not there any more. the integrationist impulse is over. even your own prime minister in holland responding to macron said "integration for integration‘s sake will only harm future public support for the european union." so when you tell me there is a clear direction of travel, there isn't. there has never been integration for integration‘s sake. never. it has been integration in order to respond to the challenges of today, and the reality of course is that the nation state, or the national state in itself cannot respond any more to the challenges of today. we need a strong european union, i see support for european integration amongst young people, that is the next generation of leaders, is very strong. they are becoming more active, more engaged, more mobilised, so actually i am quite optimistic.
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frankly, looking at brexit as an example, all one can say is that there are increasing deep divisions between demographics, different age groups across europe, not necessarily helping the eu. a final thought, the guy you work closely with, guy verhofstadt, in the eu parliament says that actually brexit is a sign of failure. it has to be accepted as a failure for the eu and part of the bigger picture, which is relevant to what we have been discussing. would you accept that? well i think, in political terms, i don't know, but i would feel it is a sense of failure as well. at the same time it is also serving as a wake—up call, both in the uk and the european union. i think trump is another wake—up call and we have a few others, like putin. but i think the wake—up call is working, people are being mobilised, they are speaking up. support for the european union is growing and it has never been a linear process.
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you really think that that message of yours is as valid and coherent in budapest, warsaw and rome as it is sitting there in brussels? i think so, because you can see everywhere, of course in one country it will be stronger than in another, but i actually think it is not so much the european union that is in trouble, it is the nation state which is much weaker now in times of globalisation, in the digital age where state power is territorial power, but in the digital era, what is territorial power? so we can see it is an open world and we can see that it is actually the nation states struggling with these challenges, whereas the european union is actually growing stronger and has much better answers for the future. all right. we have to end there, but sophie in ‘t veld, i thank you very much forjoining me on hardtalk. thank you. my pleasure. hello there.
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tuesday marked the end of the heat wave across the south—east, we saw temperatures reaching the low 30s celsius, but it all ended with showers and thunderstorms late on tuesday and into the early part of wednesday. these tending to clear out into the north sea, leaving a legacy of cloud here. a few showers across the north—west of the country, otherwise a dry and a clear start to wednesday morning. a cooler feel, 10—16 or 17 degrees. for today it really will feel cool and fresher right across the board, including the south—east, with a mixture of sunshine and showers.
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most of these in the west. the reason for the change and dropping temperatures is because we have cooler north—westerly airflow of the atlantic, pushing all of that heat into the near continent. so this is the picture for today. maybe a bit of cloud to start with off across the south—east, but most of it will be across northern and western areas where we will see scattered showers, some heavy and maybe thundery. showers around, the temperature is 17—24 or 25 degrees, feeling cooler than what we are used to over the past few days. on thursday and other largely dry day, could see some rain into the near continent clip the south—east of england, uncertainty as to how far westwards this will be. most of the showers will be across the north—west corner with temperatures pretty much where they should be. 17—23 degrees. on friday it is another similar story of sunshine and showers. some of them could be quite heavy across northern and western areas, but probably the best of the sunshine across sheltered eastern parts, temperatures in the high teens to
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the low 20s celsius. significant change into the weekend for some of us. a big area of low pressure hurtling off the atlantic and at this point it looks like it will affect more northern and western parts of the uk with persistent and heavy rain at times. it could be a dry start on saturday across northern and eastern areas, before the cloud tends to push in as the day wears on. i put wind arrows here because it will be a blustery day wherever you are. pretty gusty over southern and western coasts and over the hills. temperatures wise, 19—22 or 23 celsius. into sunday, most of the heavy rain will be again across the northern half of the country, maybe a few showers into wales and western england, but notice the south—east could escape and we could see quite a bit of sunshine. a blustery day on sunday, variable amounts of cloud and most of the rain across the northern and western areas, the best of the sunshine in the south—east, temperatures range from 18—25 celsius. this is the briefing.
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i'm ben bland. our top story: growing pressure on borisjohnson, as the british prime minister calls for him to apologise for remarks about women wearing burkas. almost the size of los angeles, california struggles with its biggest wildfires on record, as 14,000 firefighters battle against powerful winds and poor visibility. the beat of change? how one of the largest countries in latin america could radically change its stance on reproductive rights. one hundred years on from the battle of amiens. a special service of commemoration is due to mark the turning point of the first world war. driving in a new direction. tesla ceo elon musk surprises shareholders by saying he's thinking
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