‘ scotland, of rain to the west of scotland, northern ireland, something cooler into stornoway, but elsewhere and other day of variable cloud, sunny spells and warm and humid too. bad weather front steps further south on wednesday to allow some of that cooler but brighter edge to push into the north—west, where central parts of the country, with that weather front, we'll have parts of the country, with that weatherfront, we'll have more parts of the country, with that weather front, we'll have more cloud with outbreaks of rain. to the north of it, it would be cooler, temperatures into the mid to high teens celsius, and to the south and east of it, given sunshine, we could be looking at 26 or 27 celsius, and other warm and humid day there. this weather front tends to cause cloud across central areas, but we look to the north—west for cold and fresher air. after what thursday, quite showery, some blustery showers, some sunny spells around, england and wales could see some sunshine, it could be the last day of warmth in the south, because on friday it

looks like the cooler air will win out, quite a wet day across scotland and northern ireland, feeling pretty chilly with the cloud and rain. for england and wales, a cooler day, but bright with sunshine. into the following weekend, for some of us a bank holiday weekend, a mixed bag. it looks initially like we will start with cool air around for the saturday, but then south—westerly winds pick up through sunday and into the following monday, so it should warm up a bit too. the trend is generally for england and wales, closest to the area of high pressure, to be fine and subtle, whereas further north, closest to the low pressure, winds and showers. turning fresherfor a the low pressure, winds and showers. turning fresher for a time, then into the following weekend telling dry with sunshine, showery across the north and east of the country. hello, and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be

bringing us tomorrow. with me are the economic adviser to the arbuthnot banking group, ruth lea, and the economics editor at the independent, ben chu. let's have a look at some of tomorrow's front pages. the metro leads on what it calls the "miracle rescue" of the british passenger who fell off a cruise ship and survived for nearly ten hours in the sea before being found. the daily express also covers the cruise ship rescue, but leads on what it calls a "social care timebomb", saying millions of people aren't saving enough for their old age. the daily telegraph says mps are demanding a larger expenses budget to accommodate an increased workload due to brexit. the times leads on a government takeover of a jail in birmingham after it was condemned by the prisons watchdog for its "appalling violence and squalor". the i carries warnings over the marking of gcses, with claims the exam results due out in the coming week are being

distorted by regulators. the online independent splashes on news of an upsurge in the number of british girls being forced into marriage overseas. the daily mirror is looking at meghan markle‘s planned visit to the united states, which comes amid fears over her relationship with her father. and the financial times says china's banking regulator wants the country's banks to increase lending to help quell growing concerns about a trade war between china and the united states. so a mix of stories making the front pages tomorrow morning, but as ever brexit is among them. brexit heads the telegraph ruth, tell us what it is telling us in its is saying that the mps are saying they have extra workload buzz of brexit, i am they have extra workload buzz of brexit, iam not they have extra workload buzz of brexit, i am not surprised given the state of the negotiation, however they want more money, but i think sir alistair graham, they want more money, but i think siralistairgraham, the they want more money, but i think

sir alistair graham, the former chairman of the committee of standards in public life is saying this is open to abuse, people will use this as a wonderful excuse for getting mormon for what? but it is another another twist that clearly the mps are finding they are getting bigger work loads before of what is going on with brexit. no doubt they are being asked what is happening by their constituent, what is happening to this agreement, what does it mean, what happens if will is a no deal, so i have a bit of sympathy for them but i have a bit of sympathy with alistair gra ham's for them but i have a bit of sympathy with alistair graham's view this is open to abuse. this would be spent on more staff. it is pointed out a quarter of mps employ family members so the context here is the idea they are asking for more money which is going to help their families, and a lot of people ask what people voted for for is brexit is not voting for more money for mps

and theirfamily, is not voting for more money for mps and their family, the spin in the telegraph is saying this won't increase support for brexit if it goes through. not a lot of sympathy in other words. fair enough. let us move on. ben, take us to the time, this is syria and uk policy towards syria and a significant shift potentially. this is about backing the rebel area, the anti—assad forces and there has been controversy about this for because it is hard to distinguish between terrorist groups and non—terrorist opposition groups, and it seems that this the times journalist has got opposition groups, and it seems that this the timesjournalist has got he has picked up on information, the uk government is no longer going to be resourcing the rebels and the background, laid out in the piece, is they are not going to win. the civil war, the seven year civil war is winding down now and assad with

the help of the russians as we know is in the driving seat. this would not be a good use of government money and with the issues about where is this money going to go, it seems that the government has decided enough is enough. seems that the government has decided enough is enoughlj seems that the government has decided enough is enough. i mean thatis decided enough is enough. i mean that is the message to president assad, we acknowledge you are here to stay. yes, i must admit i have taken the view all way through this appalling civil war which has been going on since 2011, the poor people have been in a state of chaos, for seven year, and millions of refugees of course in countries next door to syria, but i took the view rightly 01’ syria, but i took the view rightly or wrongly assad was probably the least worst option for this country. despite what he has done. despite what he has done, because the rebel groups were so utterly disorganised. some, little more than terrorists or little less than terrorists and the idea for the british government to

get involved with the various of the rebel groups i thought was a mistake in the first place. i remember when cameron wanted to send british troops to help what he called the rebel, he referred to them as moderates but they weren't. he tried to differentiate? how can you differentiate in a situation like this? i thought that was a mistake andi this? i thought that was a mistake and i think in a way for britain to back out of this now, is an acknowledge. perhaps it wasn't a goodidea acknowledge. perhaps it wasn't a good idea to get involved in the first place and assad is taking over the country. quay yet retreat is appropriate to describe what is going on but the sensible option given those factors. an interesting element talking about creating an independent police force or that attempt is to be scrapped, projects financing local councils under review, various things that were in their mind at some point, to build a new country, in some shape or form.

it was a fantasy. i thought it was an absolute elephant sip, when you are dealing with such —— fantasy. take are dealing with such —— fantasy. ta ke to are dealing with such —— fantasy. take to us the ft. beijing orders banks to back extorters as trade fears rise. this is against the backdrop of current trade relations between washington and beijing. this is trump's real aim with the trade wa rs is trump's real aim with the trade wars has been china all along he started by putting up tariffs on steel and aluminium but i thought that was mainly for domestic consumption, he said he would do something habit the rust belt america, this is making america great again but he is more serious about china, as this article say, that already 10% of china's exports to the us are subject to punitive ta riffs to the us are subject to punitive tariffs and he is threatening to put

on punitive tariffs of 50% of that trade so what beijing is responding to that. when you look at the figures and ben was kindly suggesting to me there were 60 billion of exports that had the tariffs, that is not a big proportion of the economy, which is $12 trillions, or, the dollar, so in fa ct, $12 trillions, or, the dollar, so in fact, 10—12 trillion will be 12 thousand billion and you are talking about 60 billion which is a maul proportion so i think one should keep this in proportion but where the punitive tar rivers are, those are the particular sectors of the economies that will get particularly badly hit, by this threats from trump. pick up on that thought ben. well, i think ruth is right about the size of the numbers but it doesn't mean that the chinese aren't taking it seriously, the thrust of the story is saying that the chinese regulator, which is the same as the

chinese state is responding to trump's trade war by pumping up investment again. in infrastructure projects? ? in heavy industry which is what the chinese state have been trying to move away from, because they they have an unbalanced economy, too much investment, way wa nt to economy, too much investment, way want to shift to consumption, if the effect of the trade war has been to prevent that reform process taking place, that will do damage in the long—term to china's economy, this may be a short—term thing to get it over a may be a short—term thing to get it overa hump and may be a short—term thing to get it over a hump and they may stick to that, if it throws it off that is bad news for china. there is's aspect that a lot of the american businesses don't want this to continue, because they have got economic and business interests in china, which could be damaged. yes. he is getting a lot of hits from all sides. ben i will come to you 0 for the next one because you have written it. this is on the front of the independent, there you are,

photographs at —— photographed at the top of the page. posh white men get the second chances. this is based on research published by the bank of england last week. it looked at us financial services worker, it has a lot of data available on them. it discovered that women tend to get punished more severely for similar misdemeanors to men. so, it is, a lot people have this intuition there are double standards within organises but this is evidence that suggests it might be backed up. but it is not simply a council of despair, companies which had a more diverse management, more women on the board, more ethnic minorities on the board treated them more fairly. what i argue in my piece is this is a good argument for

diversity because based on that research it suggests it leads to more fair treatment for all, i think it isa more fair treatment for all, i think it is a good news potentially story. the second chance element is interesting, the implication is you have made a mistake but the way you are treated as a result of making that mistake will differ. it is not just the size of the punishment or the severity it is the ability to stay in the industry. they found if you were stay in the industry. they found if you we re a stay in the industry. they found if you were a woman or ethnic minority you were a woman or ethnic minority you are more likely to leave financial service as a result than the 3 you were a white male. he will go far! he already has! well, of course i had my stint working for mitsubishi bank and lay man brother, it was subliminal. rumour has it i was a woman then as i am now, and i did have the odd misdemeanor but i survived, somehow. maybe ruth is the exception to the rule. it is a big

study. very traumatic. ruth, millions fail to save for old age in the express, i think knew this to a degree, what is this telling us?m is not exactly new, the idea that people, it is particularly talking about money set aside, now i don't think if they are talking about cash, or savings that can easily be liquidated or whatever, or whether looking at people's housing assets as well, because of course we all know that for a lot of people over 55 or 60 or whatever, their biggest asset is their house, and if they need to and of course that will be regarded as an asset, when if and when they have to go into some home and they would have to sell it or ta kicty and they would have to sell it or takicty out. so i think —— take equity out. face value it says there isa equity out. face value it says there is a social care time bomb. i would like to know if they have considered property as well because they would

change the debate considerably.” was surprised it was as many as one in ten. if you are talking about the severe ca re costs, in ten. if you are talking about the severe care costs, it could be hundreds of... no—one has that amount of cash, well very few, and if it is locked up in their home there is issues about accessing that equity, so we need i think we need to see more of the detail. it is, i wouldn't say it is front—page news that a lot of people aren't saving sufficiently, to cover their potential care, bills in very severe circumstances, and this is why we is got the government looking at it for donkeys years. i think we are short ofa donkeys years. i think we are short of a front—page. donkeys years. i think we are short of a front-page. it is about what people tell their loved ones about what they feel they would need or how they would like to be treated. it is not just how they would like to be treated. it is notjust about monetary policy, it is about communication throughout. people do discuss things with there. fa, do you not expect people to discuss it? that has been my experience it depends, it is a

lottery. what kind of illness and how long you will live is not knowable in advance, so you can... tell me. that is why we need social insurance system, however it is funded, what ever the mix of public and private is in that, where you have a system where people can live for a long time and some won't need it, you need reform of the system. we need to leave things there but you get a second chance. we need to leave things there but you get a second chance. that's it for the ppapers this hour. ruth and ben will both be back at half past eleven for another look at the papers. next on bbc news, it's the travel show. this is japan's most northerly main island, hokkaido. for decades, travellers have been drawn here by its stark contrast to the rest of the country.

it is anotherjapan, one that is wild and the challenging and remote. it is an incredible experience. with distinctive communities. i've come to meet them, and to find out more about the country's northern frontier. so, if you look out to where i'm heading, that is japan's most northerly point. 0n the other side, a0 kilometres from the japanese coastline, is the great landmass, russia. that is important, because it was russia expanding eastwards that led to japan, 150 years ago next year, to annex that island

and give it the name, hokkaido. the island isn't small. it is around one fifth od japan's total land mass, but nearly a century and a half after the move to fully populate hokkaido, still only about 4% of japan's population lives there. when the japanese came to colonise hokkaido, they sent former samurai with a mission to cultivate the island. that is one of the distinct ways it has developed — miles upon miles of beautiful landscapes. one way to get close to nature as a traveller would be to hike. but there is another uniquely japanese way. this is mochi pounding.

what might look to the untrained eye like hitting rice as hard as you can with a mallet until it turns squidgy is in fact a highly refined process to make a sweet delicacy known as mochi. i'm about to have a lesson from the real expert as to how to be a proper pounder. ok, so i've got to be honest with you right now. this is extraordinarily heavy. hokkaido's climate is perfectly suited to cultivating the sweet, sticky rice for mochi. this region has become the biggest producer injapan. every year, localfarmers hold a competition to find the best mochi pounders. of of public and private how do you become a good mochi pounder like you? here we go.

mash it. how does hokkaido rate in terms of its mochi? now then, this is where he risks the use of his hands for the rest of his life. 0ne!

all right, 0k. 0ne! it takes 100 strikes of the mochi to make itjust right. and it is notjust about speed. i'm told how you hit it will affect that all—importa nt final taste. now, i'm obviously holding back here for fear of not wanting to outshine my hosts. the proof, as they say, is in the pudding — or the tasting — so let us see what the judges say. that was not in the script. i reckon that was a fix. and, after all that exertion, it's time for a well—earned rest. i'm heading south, where my trip comes to an end in hokkaido's main city of sapporo. it is a fitting place to finish

the trip around hokkaido, because here in sapporo, they are hosting a dance festival, that pays homage to the whole island's connection to the sea. just down there is where the festival takes place. yosakoi soran is one of the biggest international dancing competitions. teams dance to music inspired by the hokkaido folksong soran. traditionally this folksong was about fishermen. it's come an awfully long way since then.

and one of the teams here with their own take on this dance is the russians. interesting, considering the history between the two nations. hats off to them. really good. i'd arranged to meet someone who had taken part in this festival many times, since she was a child. but finding one person among 30,000 others was proving a little trickier than i expected. hi. konnichiwa! so you are a veteran of this festival. you can teach me about all of this. 0k... fantastic. so tell me — what makes this festival unique? the yosakoi soran festival is in hokkaido.

it has two rules. every team, every dancer has this naruko. second rule isjust soran music. so you're saying that, even though it might be a bit different, and there is dancing, and everything, inside each one, there is the same melody. yes, yes, yes. how does it go? # soran, soran. ..# and while it's something that clearly takes a lot of practice, i'm told that in my case, an hour should do it. very happy. 0k.

a very public training session for newbies like me will be followed by a chance to take part in the main festival parade around the streets of the city. tell me about the first time that you entered the festival. tell me how it felt for you, and what you did. as the festival comes to a dramatic close, my time in hokkaido finishes in what feels like a world away from where it started. i found a place that in a short time has in a short time adopted so much of japanese culture, but within that has found its own way of expressing itself. who knows what the next 150 years might bring to this unique japanese island.

hello there. sunshine was on very short supply today, many places held on to the cloud. but at least on the up side, it was pretty warm across the board. now tonight we'll hold on to a lot of cloud, and it will remain pretty warm and humid, especially for england and wales. winds still a fair feature across england and wales, as we head on into the overnight period, but they will tend to weaken and be become more confined to the channel islands, the far south—west of england. could see a few clear spells, lengthy clear spells develop across the northern half of the country, especially for scotland. if that does happen, then temperatures may dip down to 10 degrees here, but elsewhere for england and wales, where we have the cloud blanket, 15 to maybe 17 degrees, so a warm and muggy start to monday. the pressure chart monday shows we're in between weather systems, widely spaced isobars, so the winds will be lighter. we will have this weak weather front though, straddling central areas, and it could just produce the odd spit and spot of rain through central parts of england in towards wales, perhaps across and towards the irish sea. but to the north of it, generally cloudy, with a few sunny spells,

and to the south of it as well variable cloud, with some holes appearing in that cloud from time to time. a warm one again, where ever you are, but especially england and wales, — 22 to 25 degrees. so it will be pretty warm, albeit cloudy in nottingham and trent bridge there for the test match at cricket. it should stay largely dry as well. as we head on into tuesday, we have a weather front pushing into the north—west corner of the country, so here outbreaks of rain, strengthening winds. elsewhere, though, actually with the high pressure beginning to build in, looks like we could see a greater chance of seeing some sunny spells. once again, it will be warm and humid where ever you are. temperatures reaching 25 or 26 degrees in the south—east. that weather front to the north—west spreads its way south—eastwards on wednesday, weakens as it does, so it will produce a line of cloud with some showers here and there. to the north and west of it something brighter but cooler. temperatures into the mid upper teens celsius to the south—east of it — could see some sunshine and it will remain pretty warm, temperatures reaching 26, maybe 27 celsius. but the warmth ebbs away as we head on into thursday, as cooler air pushes down from the north—west across much of the uk by friday. so that will introduce a bit of brighter weather as well. so we start this week

on a rather cloudy, humid note. something a little bit brighter midweek, and by the end of the week it will turn fresher, cooler for all. will this is bbc news, i'm julian worricker. the headlines at 11: rescue teams step up their efforts to try and reach thousands of stranded families in the indian province of kerala. many people are still trapped in the houses in many places.” many people are still trapped in the houses in many places. i hope they get there very soon. we couldn't stay there any more and i am thankfulfor stay there any more and i am thankful for the people who stay there any more and i am thankfulfor the people who brought us out about. —— brought us out of that. a british woman rescued ten hours after falling from a cruise ship into the sea near croatia says she's "lucky to be alive". the campaign for another brexit vote receives £1 million donation from the co—founder of fashion label superdry. also coming up this hour: pakistan's new prime minister addresses his nation. imran khan promises to tackle

corruption and improve the country's finances. the government says it will investigate allegations that