this is the briefing. i'm sally bundock. our top stories: the british government's set to unveil its advice for a no—deal brexit as the odds of crashing out of the eu grow ever shorter. australia could be about to get a new prime minister — malcolm turnball says he won't contest another leadership challenge. after the darkest day of his presidency, donald trump insists he's done nothing wrong, with no breach of campaign finance rules. and the year the blue danube turned brown. a scorching summer spells trouble for one of europe's longest rivers. coming up in the business briefing: trading fresh blows — the us slaps new taxes on $16 billion worth of chinese goods and beijing responds in kind. also in business briefing we'll be finding out why some us businesses are firmly backing trump's trade policy. a warm welcome to the programme.

briefing you on all you need to know in global news, business and sport. also in the programme, we'd like a penny for your thoughts — economists at the bank of england say removing the 1p and 2p coins will not cause inflation. so should we scrap them? would you miss coppers? tell us what you think. just use the hashtag #bbcthebriefing. so let's get started. we begin with brexit.

despite intense negotiations between the uk and the eu, there is the growing possibility of a no—deal brexit, that is the uk crashing out of europe without a plan in place for their new relationship. so, in a few hours, the british government will release dozens of what it calls technical notices — which is basically advice for people and businesses on how to plan for a no deal brexit. jonathan blake has more. as well as summer holidays, the uk's government ministers have been away on business in the past few weeks, touring european capitals to talk up their plans for brexit. the agreement reached weeks ago has not been warmly welcomed by officials in brussels, which has meant more talk about the possibility of britain leaving the eu without a deal. about the possibility of britain leaving the eu without a dealm does mean disruption to trade as we know it. as a consequence of that, a disruption to the level of economic

activity, changes — high prices, for activity, changes — high prices, for a period of time. it makes as to put those preparations in place for no deal because we are in negotiation. we are taking sensible precautions, taking sensible measures, but we are working to get a good deal here in wales and across the uk. as you get closer to the line, the preparations need to be intensified. we will be increasing preparations for no deal. but we are focusing on a best deal. that is why my meeting with michel barnier was important and i think we made good progress. hospitals and ambulance services have warned of a possible shortage of supply. asked to be on the brink of collapse according to the farmers union, and some had said it could be a disaster for the food and beverage industry. the technical nurses is world tackle

scare stories. here at westminster, talk of leaving the eu without a deal is a sensitive subject. some seed is no bad thing, whereas other think it is the worst of all worlds. people will be looking closely at how the gamut has decided people should repair. as the deadline for departure looms, what life could be like outside the eu without it brexit deal is about to become a little clearer. —— without a brexit deal. jonathan charles is director of communications at the european bank for reconstruction and development. is quite a controversial move, today, to put forward these various notices on how we can deal with a no brexit, if that happens in march next year. you think will happen? here we are six or next year. you think will happen? here we are six oi’ seven next year. you think will happen? here we are six or seven months ahead and finally there is potentially a little bit more clarity. at the same time, of course, if you have government ministers making it absolutely clear

by hints and words that they think this would be a terrible outcome if there was a no deal brexit. i am hearing from friends and contacts in brussels that they say they can't imagine getting to a position of a no deal brexit. and that if necessary , no deal brexit. and that if necessary, and there is talk about what is going on behind the scenes in brussels, but if necessary they will stop the clock on the article 50 process. can they do that? there is always the way in the european union legal mechanisms to do anything. you stop the clock and carry on negotiating pass next march and britain will not leave the european union at this point. or you extend the article 50 timeline from two gives to, say, another year, in order to have more discussion. there are many of the goodies around that. it means more uncertainty and, at the same time, probably difficulties within the conservative party as heartbeat is asked why doing this. the answer is that we will get

impact assessments. they will give a bit more clarity. but i would be surprised if they still give business enough to have certainty. where are you in what may happen if there is a no deal? are you with those who are really negative and think there will be too is —— there will be queues for miles and miles from dover stretching into england, and the same on the other side in france, and we will have to stockpile, or do you think things will not be so bad? i think it is somewhere between the two, but to believe there will be no impact is wrong. physical market —— the single market matters. jonathan will return because we have some very interesting and important stories to get our teeth stuck into in our programme. but in the meantime, we go to another story that has been breaking of the night. —— overnight. the australian prime minister malcolm turnbull has said

he is willing to stand down if a second leadership contest is called. it follows the departure of several cabinet members earlier today and an unsuccessful leadership challenge by peter dutton earlier this week. mr turnbull accused people within his party of bullying and intimidating others into changing leader. in terms of my own intentions, when the party room meeting is called, i will invite a spill motion to be moved. if the motion is carried, i will take that as a vote of no confidence, and i will not stand as a candidate in the ballot. shortly, will be going live to canberra to speak to our correspondent, hywel griffith, who has been keeping across the story as well. president trump has now acknowledged that hush money was provided before his 2016 election for two women claiming they'd had affairs with him. but, contradicting tuesday's sworn testimony from his former personal lawyer, michael cohen, he's now claimed the pay—out was made with his own money — that election campaign finance was not illegally used.

he's previously insisted he knew nothing about the payments. the president's been speaking to fox news. did they come out of the campaign? they didn't come out of the campaign, they came from me. i tweeted about it. i don't know if you know but i tweeted about the payments. but they didn't come out of campaign. in fact, my first question when i heard about it was, "did they come out of the campaign?" because that could be a little dicey. we speak to david willis, our correspondent in washington. an extraordinary turn of events, and an admission on the part of the present that yes he did know about the hush money. yes, although he says, as you heard there, that the money was his own, and not on the campaign, and therefore no crime was committed.

prosecutors seem to feel otherwise, of course, and letting the big question, now, is that is all based on what michael cohen, donald trump's lawyer for more than a decade, has had to say. the question now is what more he will have to say. he has offered to give information to robert mueller, the special counsel investigating collusion with the russians over the 2015 election. mr cohen has also been subpoenaed to give evidence to a new york state investigation into the operations of the trump foundation, a charitable organisation. mr cohen, according to his lawyer, also has things to say about computer hacking in the run—up to the election, and the infamous meeting at trump tower in 2016 in which a russian lawyer was present who had offered to dish the dirt on hillary clinton, donald trump's

rival at the time. so michael cohen, who once said he would take a bullet for donald trump, is increasingly looking to be the bullet is self. how worried to rethink the president is about all of this? -- bullet itself. i think he's concerned. but what is happening is not many people are raising the i—word, in that i mean in richmond. there is thought thought that that would cause chaos. there is even a feeling amongst democrats that was his trafficking people in washington, it does not resonate atleti beltway where people are more concerned about the cost of social security and benefits and so

on. “— social security and benefits and so on. —— i—word. that is not to say that he could not become an issue, if they become more mired in scandal. thank you david willis. so within the past 15 minutes or so the trump administration has slapped a 25% tariff on $16 billion of chinese imports with beijing likely to retaliate in kind. it's the second wave of penalties in an ongoing trade conflict that has seen the two countries hit tens of billions of dollars worth of tariffs on each other. robin brantjoins me from shanghai. we've talked a lot about this happening. today is the day. the question is what next? you are right. this is the second wave that is in place. it has been in place for about 12 minutes. the chinese are retaliating in kind on the carys that have been imposed in the last

few minutes by donald trump's administration. this involves about $16 billion worth of trade between the us and china, and the chinese have hit the exact same amount worth of trade coming here from the us, with a similar amount of tariffs. we find ourselves now with a running total of about $50 billion of trade between the us and china being hit by tariffs heading up to 25%. the americans have targeted because they think are involved in what is known as made in china 2025. america thinks it is unfair. america has gone for chemicals, railway equipment, things like that. the chinese have targeted about 330 goods this time. it starts which fishmealforfeed at goods this time. it starts which fishmeal for feed at the top. a lot of vehicles there as well. almost a whole page. it includes golf carts. all of this is going on as talks are going on in washington, dc to try

and resolve this. but expectations are and resolve this. but expectations a re pretty low and resolve this. but expectations are pretty low because it is low—level officials who are having two days of talks there. the president said he did not anticipate much would come from it. thank you very much forjoining us, robin. we will have more on that story in about 70 minutes time on business briefing. —— 17. we live to canberra and hywel griffith to talk about the future of malcolm turnbull in camera. we heard about him holding a press conference. dealers in. -- in canberra. we were there to him speak within the last hour or so. him speak within the last hour or so. what he said was probably not shoe surprise. he seems to have accepted his fate, more or less, that he won't be the prime minister by the end of tomorrow. but instead of just standing down, by the end of tomorrow. but instead ofjust standing down, it he has said he will only accept a leadership challenge if he is told that a majority of mps, with names,

what a challenge. there has ready been a challenge this week from peter dutton. but since then support has been sent through. this is malcolm turnbull accepting the inevitable but not going out without a fight. this looks like australia heading for a six prime minister in a decade. it does at a real mess. i imagine the general public are getting very tired of this situation. australia is well used to culling is prime ministers. you have to wonder what voters in australia and the rest of the world really make of this. you have a country which is at the moment suffering drought in large swathes of it, farmers desperate for support and

relief. people at asking for education and tax reform. but none of that will happen the next 48 hours. if nothing happens tomorrow, probably nothing will happen in two weeks. there is a recess. if this doesn't happen tomorrow, it is something that they might have to do again in two weeks. in carries on successfully. it has not been recession for over a quarter of a century. some could argue that they are focusing on infighting because they don't have big battles to deal with. thank you forjoining us hywel griffith, outside parliament in canberra. let's brief you on some of the other stories making the news. stay with us on bbc world news, still to come: it's known as the blue danube but the summer heat has turned the famous river brown. washington, the world's most political city, is today assessing the political health of the world's most powerful man.

indeed i did have a relationship with miss lewinsky that was not appropriate. in fact, it was wrong. in south africa, 97 people have been killed today in one of the worst days of violence between rival black groups. over the last ten days, 500 have died. chanting: czechoslovakia must be free! russia is observing a national day of mourning for the 118 submariners who died on board the kursk. we all with them now within our hearts. the pope has celebrated mass before a congregation of more than 2.5 million people in his hometown of krakow. "stay with us, stay with us," chanted this ocean of humanity. "well, well," joked the pope, "so you want me to desert rome?" you're watching the briefing.

our headlines: australia's prime minister is facing renewed pressure to step down, despite surviving a vote on his leadership just days ago. the british government's set to unveil plans for a no—deal brexit, amid growing concerns over crashing out of the eu. water levels in one of europes longest rivers have fallen to a critical low. the danube is europe's second largest river and runs through ten countries. but the hot dry summer means levels have dropped to just over half a metre high in some parts of hungary. and in bulgaria, boats have run aground, causing problems for shipping and cruise companies. lebo diseko has the story. this is the danube in hungary, a dry

bed were normally water around two metres deep would be. it's not swimming but sunbathing that is the order of the day. the water reduced to sandbanks. at the historic margaret britcher levels have dropped so low that people are able to stand under its pillars and get a unique view of the capital, budapest. further down the river in bulgaria, the ongoing heat is causing serious problems. at least two ships have already got stuck as the waterway has dropped to a critical blow. translation: the section inside geria is very difficult, because there are lots of islands and non— drenched shores. this leads to restraints and convocations when sailing. the danube is a major route forgrain sailing. the danube is a major route for grain exports going from the east of europe to the west, and the low levels mean freight vessels can only carry 25% of their capacity. one shipping company says it expects

profits to be down around 1 million euros in the first eight months of this year, mainly because of these problems. dry weather is forecast in bulgaria and hungary until the weekend, but there is some hope. rain is due in austria and germany in the coming days and businesses that depend on the danube will be hoping that could raise levels of further down the liver —— river. lebo diseko, bbc news. let's brief you on some of the other stories making the news. hawaii is facing a powerful hurricane — a major threat to the pacific island chain. officials have warned of flash flooding and landslides. the us state is already coping with the eruption of the kilauea volcano on the big island, going on for three months now. the european space agency has launched a satellite to measure wind speeds across the earth. the aeolus spacecraft blasted off from french guiana on wednesday. it will fire a powerful laser down into the earth's atmosphere, to trace the movement of air particles. meteorologists are hoping it will improve weather forecasts. now it's time to get all the latest

from the bbc sports centre. hello, i'm marc edwards. here is what we've got for you on your thursday sport briefing: could thierry henry be heading to claret country as boss of bordeaux, and find out which club has turned to carpets for superstitious inspiration. the world's best golfers are in newjersey this week for the northern trust open, on the pga tour. tiger woods is one of the names in the stellar—field, and with the ryder cup now less than a month away, the 14—time major champion has his eyes on playing. woods is one of the vice—captains, but after a resurgance in form, he's hoping to make it into the team as a captain's pick. i started at the very beginning of the year. i told him i wanted to be

pa rt the year. i told him i wanted to be part of the team, notjust as a vice captain, but as a player. i am very close to making that happen. it has been a long year and one that, that was one of my goal is to make that team, to be a part of that team, to be one of the 12 best players. and i trained for it. qualification for the europa league continues on thursday with 21 first—leg ties across the continent. it's the final round of qualifying before the tournament group stage kicks off. sevilla, who have won the tournament three times since 2014, still aren't guaranteed a spot. their first leg is away at czech side sigma olomouc. premier league side burnley travel to olympiacos. turkish side besiktas face partizan belgrade of serbia and scottish champions celtic, who failed to qualify for the champions league, travel to lithuania to face suduva. meanwhile, the former france forward, thierry henry has agreed, in principal, to become coach of ligue one side bordeaux. reports in france say some of the finer details need to be

ironed out but the arsenal legends deal is close to completion. the 1998 world cup winner had been assistant coach for the belgium national team, but will replace the former uruguay international gus poyet, who was had been suspended last week for his comments on the club's transfer dealings. 17 balls. that's all it took for india to wrap up their massive win over england in the third test in nottingham. james anderson looped ravichandran ashwin to slip as england were 317 all out, giving india victory by 203 runs — only their seventh success in a test in england. india are back in the mix, and now trail the series 2—1 with two matches remaining. in the four years i have been doing thisjob, i think, in the four years i have been doing thisjob, ithink, if in the four years i have been doing thisjob, i think, if you look at a clinical performance overseas, i think this has to be the best, because south africa was gutsy. this was clinical. now to something that

caught our eye on social media. russian premier league side fc rostov have released a fourth kit in the design of what has quickly become known as the club's lucky carpet. a carpet, i hear you say? well, yes! with the team having lost at home in their previous match, one fan decided to bring what he believed to be a lucky charm into the ground. they won that match. the carpet being waved in the stands caught the attention of rostov officials and, after garnering plenty of traction on social media, a la boaty mcboatface for those in the know, the club invited the fan and his carpet to their training base. and things continued to escalate. by tuesday, rostov announced their carpet collection kit had gone on pre—sale for 2,500 roubles or $36. you can get all the latest sports news at our website — that's bbc.com/sport. but from me, marc edwards, and the rest of the sport team, goodbye. that is indeed. you up—to—date with sport. let us talk to about a

conversation today we are having on the briefing on the 1p and 2p coin. two economist at the bank of england have argued that if those copper coins were scrapped it would not increase prices. you can read about this on the bbc news app. our personal finance report has written an article about it to explain their argument. have a sister is —— tsipras argument that scrapping copper will cause inflation. we asked for your thoughts. jeff schlupp philip hammond said he would open a call for evidence on the future of cash and digital payments to look, in particular, at the future of those queens. would you miss copper? many of you have been in touch. —— coins. colin said one year ago i would have said no way. now if i drop a copper coin i do not even to get up. that may pick it up.

another says get rid of them, they are annoying. also get rid of the 5p useless queen. another says the penny is so 18th century. there are so penny is so 18th century. there are so many ways to pay electronically and a can of a virtually. sarah says getting rid of the halfpenny put several pence on to prices. i am sure getting rid of the 1p and 2p coin will do the same. our feet shop will go up. i imagine many charities have a lot to say about this. i don't know about you, but i put many of my copper coins into charity boxes. i would of my copper coins into charity boxes. iwould imagine of my copper coins into charity boxes. i would imagine it would make a difference to them. stay involved. and we'll see you soon for all the top business stories. hello. be careful what you wish for.

it could be a disappointing bank holiday in terms of the feel of things. before i tell you the details, let us reminisce with yesterday's weather. highs of 27 in lincolnshire. a beautiful afternoon. a change is afoot, with the arrival of these weather fronts that are bringing some rain and their cold front. behind that they will introduce much cooler, pressure weather conditions. the significant one is the second front that will just allow the floodgates to open and this cool air to push down from the north—west. that means temperatures will be a little bit disappointing for the bank holiday weekend if you are wanting to spend any length of time outside. it will not be a complete washout. more on that in a moment. we started thursday with wet weather across the midlands. that will clear away by lunchtime, allowing for brighter conditions with showery outbreaks of rain to the north—west. temperatures

are already a little more subcutaneous. we can see the green and yellow tones on the colour template, which means temperatures around 14— 16 degrees. further south we should see highs of 21— 23 degrees. as we move through the senate into friday morning we continue to seek sharp showers piling into the north and west. the fresh air already starting to impact. a more carnival night for sleeping. that is good news. 7— 12 degrees. —— comfortable night. largely quite across england and wales. we will see sharp showers out to the north—west, some filtering down into thejessie gap and north midlands. look at the temperatures. it isa midlands. look at the temperatures. it is a similar story on sunday. we start off on a chilly night. saturday a good deal of dry weather in the story. it will not be a scorcher. 13— 20. that is going to lead to quite a chilly start to

sunday morning with this ridge of high pressure building before the next front porches in from the west. chilly enough maybe in sheltered glens and parts of scotland for a touch of frost. more rain to arrive on sunday, bank holiday monday looks promising. this is the business briefing. i'm sally bundock. trading fresh blows — the us slaps new taxes on $16 billion worth of chinese goods — and beijing responds in kind. plus tyred of unfair competition — why some us firms are backing president trump on trade. and the markets, in asia, stocks to slide, amid the turmoil in the us, but also with the new tariffs slapped on goods exported between china and the united states. but the

s&p 500 has now racked up its longest bull run in wall street