her way or no way — theresa may insists the only alternative to her plan for brexit is to leave the eu with no deal. we'll get a good deal, we'll bring that back from the eu negotiations and put that to parliament. i think the alternative to that will be not having a deal. today the international monetary fund says any brexit deal will have a negative consequence on the uk — adding a no—deal brexit would be dire. from happy hour to happy days ahead? we speak to ex—pats in bulgaria who are questioning what the future post—brexit holds for them. with just six months to go until the uks expected departure — we're live from brussels with the latest from there, and hearfrom residents in burnley, asking them how they feel about voting to leave two years on. more than two million people have now been moved from their homes in southern china as typhoon

mangkhut battered its way across south east asia. and the desperate details of how mp tobias ellwood battled to save police officer keith palmer who was stabbed to death in the westminster bridge attack. and coming up on the bbc news channel, simon yates' victory at the vuelta a espana means british cyclists have completed an unprecedented clean sweep of the three grand tour titles. good afternoon and welcome to the bbc news at one. in an interview for the bbc‘s panorama programme theresa may says the only alternative to her approach to the brexit negotiations would be leaving the eu without a deal. the prime minister also criticised plans by brexit—supporting members

of her own party to try to resolve the irish border issue. in response, the former foreign secretary borisjohnson has criticised her approach to the border question and said it could lead to brexit being a "total write—off". our political correspondent iain watson reports. a brief moment of semi—relaxation for the prime minister and her husband at chequers, her country retreat. yes, that is the very place where the cabinet, or most of it, agreed a proposal to put to the eu on ourfuture agreed a proposal to put to the eu on our future relationship. agreed a proposal to put to the eu on ourfuture relationship. in case you wondered, they are watching the chase, a game show which requires teamwork if you are to outwit a wily opponent and come away bitter off. but —— better off. but there is also a risk of coming away with nothing. but it was another game show she was channelling in her panorama interview, deal or no deal.

channelling in her panorama interview, deal or no dealli believe we will get a good deal, we will bring that back from the european union negotiations, and put back to parliament. i think the alternative to that will be not having a deal. naturally, that hasn't gone down well with opponents of brexit, who want a new referendum. i think it is a deep disservice to our democratic traditions to have a prime minister saying you have no choice is left, it is my fudge or the abyss. that's not true, we always have more choices if only we are prepared to ta ke choices if only we are prepared to take them. one of the biggest barriers to a withdrawal agreement is the issue of the irish border. the prime minister was dismissive of a plan put forward last week by some brexiteers. what many of these other plans are based on is moving the border. you don't solve the issue of no hard border by having a hard order 20 kilometres inside northern ireland or in ireland, it is still a ha rd ireland or in ireland, it is still a hard border. but sorting issue out with the eu is taking a long time

and talks have been far from harmonious. hello, jean-claude. reported this morning's times suggest that the european commission is reconsidering its position, avoiding the prospects of customs checks between northern ireland and the rest of the eu. a car crash, thatis the rest of the eu. a car crash, that is how the former foreign secretary has described brexit talks. now he says of the eu changes direction on island, a guy enigma code disaster could be avoided.” see in brussels they are now discussing some of the ways of dealing with this that would allow for a breakthrough, allow us to do a proper free for a breakthrough, allow us to do a properfree trade deal for a breakthrough, allow us to do a proper free trade deal and allow us properly to take back control of the regulatory framework, but also to do a proper brexit. if a deal is moving closer, what would it look like to secure good access to european markets? could there be preferential treatment for eu workers? we are going to be putting our immigration proposals forward later this autumn.

showing people the plans. do you rule out giving a special deal to eu citizens? we will put our proposals forward when we put them forward. while the prime minister is clear that free movement will end, i understand it, labour mobility will be part of the deal. they would argue this does not amount to special treatment for the eu, because the same thing could be offered to other countries. the real challenge for theresa may would be to get any deal at all through westminster. opposition parties are gearing up to vote against the prime minister. and they could bejoined by some of her own mps. so, whatever she does agree with brussels, it's not a done deal. and you can watch the full interview with theresa may on panorama, inside number 10: deal or no deal, tonight on bbc one at 8.30. the international monetary fund says that that if britain leaves the eu without a deal,

it would inflict substantial costs on the uk economy. the imf‘s managing director, christine lagarde said that all brexit outcomes would entail costs — but a disorderly departure would lead to a reduction in the size of the british economy. our economics correspondent andy verity is here. well, tell us more about what she had to say? the prediction from the international monetary fund is that we gather economic growth of i.5%. what does that mean? all of the goods and services we produce, the economy, grows by just goods and services we produce, the economy, grows byjust i.5%. that is well below the g7 average for the top seven industrialised nations, and also below the global average, about half the global average. that is even if we get a deal. the thinking is if you have impediments to trade, customs barriers, tariffs, nontariff barriers to trade, anything that stops goods flowing freely across borders, you have less economic activity and that means less economic growth. as christine lagarde spelled—out earlier. all the likely brexit scenarios will have costs

for the uk economy and, to a lesser extent as well, for the eu. the larger the impediments to trade in the new relationship, the costlier it will be. this should be fairly obvious. but it seems that sometimes it is not. it is interesting there that she is also talking about problems even now that have occurred in the uk economy. business investment, for example, businesses investing in plant and machinery to improve worker productivity, has been quite disappointing, given the conditions in the rest of the world. exporters have lots of demand out there. but yet, because of uncertainty, they are not investing like they might. that is one reason why we have weak living standards, because each worker is not producing as much as they might, and therefore the firms cannot afford to pay them as much as they might. so, it is a fairly gloomy outlook from the imf. on the

other hand, a brexiteer would say, i'm not sure that i trust their authority, they want before the referendum we would have a plunging house prices, mass inflation, and none of that happened. so with just over six months to go until britain is due to leave a report from the think tank the institute for government has warned that — deal or no deal — the government is running out of time to implement a successful brexit. the report — comissioned by bbc news — warns that the proposed transition period could be too short to finalise a future trade agreement. our reality check correspondent chris morris has more. the road to brexit. remainers want to slam the brakes on, but for the government the biggest challenge — deal or no deal? either way, according to a new report, time is running short to implement a successful brexit. when it comes to no—deal plans, ministers say they are "far advanced", but the institute for government, an independent think—tank, says the government has left its no—deal preparations too late to help many businesses. they've used a traffic light system to assess progress. only one policy area, eu programmes and funds, is green.

nine others are given a red light, suggesting the government won't be able to avoid major negative impacts of no—deal next year. even if a deal is reached, which is what the government wants, implimenting brexit on the 2i—month transition period, which would, among other things, mean agreeing and ratifying a future trade deal, looks completely unfeasible. for example, the ifg says more than 140,000 businesses will need to be ready for changes at uk borders and new custom systems won't be ready, despite the government hiring 9,000 extra staff and spending £2 billion on brexit preparations by march 2019. the ifg compared the brexit transition with other major uk government projects. the automatic pension enrolment programme and preparations for the london olympics both took more than a decade. digitising tax took five years.

implimenting brexit will be very, very tight. the clock is ticking in parliament, too. if a deal on a withdrawal agreement is reached this autumn, possibly in november, there'll only be about 70 sitting days in parliament before brexit is due to happen. some of that time will have to be devoted to other issues, such as the budget. the government will also need to win a meaningful vote on its deal with the eu in the house of commons, and then pass legislation giving the withdrawal agreement affecting uk law. as for those traffic lights, if there's a deal, they're green for legislation, except for the withdrawal agreement bill, which needs to be passed, flashing amber, with no deal against some green but plenty of uncertain amber, and red on citizens' rights. so, an awful lot depends on the next few weeks, as negotiations with the eu on a withdrawal agreement, the terms on which the uk will leave, which theirfinal phase. they also need to agree a political

declaration on the future relationship and persuade the uk and european parliaments to accept it all. the ifg's negotiation traffic lights have a lot in green. officials say it's 80% done. but there are amber issues, and the toughest part of all, avoiding a hard border in ireland. that's still flashing red. optimism that a withdrawal agreement can be reached may be rising. but, as everyone says, nothing is agreed until everything is agreed. and getting any deal approved by mps in westminster is still a high risk red light. chris morris, bbc news. ahead of an informal summit of eu leaders in salzburg later this week, there are reports from brussels that there may be some movement on the highly controversial irish border issue. we can speak now to our brussels reporter adam fleming. set the context for us first, adam, and what that movement might be? there's a big drive by the eu to

make their proposals for northern ireland after brexit look a lot less dramatic, so that they are much easierfor the uk dramatic, so that they are much easier for the uk to sign up to, because they haven't done that up until now. a quick reminder, the eu wa nts a until now. a quick reminder, the eu wants a back—up plan, a so—called backstop, written into the final brexit treaty that northern ireland would stay in the single market and the customs union if there was no other way to prevent the deduction ofa other way to prevent the deduction of a hard border with ireland. theresa may said no prime minister could ever sign up to that, because it would be like carving out one bit of the uk from the rest of the country. so, what the european commission, michel barnier‘s team in this building, are doing now, is looking at how that backstop woodwork in the real world, what checks would you have and where? what customs officers would you have stationed, and where, and what would they do? and can you tweak the actual wording of the agreement to

make it look less bad? the big message is, chill out, this is not a big deal. however, the uk is not relaxed about this at all. their problem isn't just with relaxed about this at all. their problem isn'tjust with the execution of the concept, it's with the entire concept itself. so, i'm not convinced this strategy will work. it will be a couple of weeks yet before we see anything officially written down on paper and put on the negotiating table. that's because everyone here in brussels is waiting for the party conference season in the uk to get out of the way. they do not want to rock the boat. just remember this, if all of thatis boat. just remember this, if all of that is well too complicated and too much to remember and think about, if there is no deal on northern ireland there is no deal on northern ireland there is no brexit deal at all. and we'll have more on the six month countdown to brexit day later in the programme. our top story this lunchtime: her way or no way. theresa may insists the only alternative to her plan for brexit is to leave the eu with no deal. we'll get a good deal,

we'll bring that back from the eu negotiations and put that to parliament. i think the alternative to that will be not having a deal. coming up on the bbc news channel: england's women rugby union players will be given full time professional contracts from next year. 28 contracts a re available, plus seven elite player agreements, with those seven getting paid a match fee. rescuers in the philippines are using shovels and their bare hands to try to find any survivors of a landslide caused by typhoon mangkhut. the storm hit the northern tip of the philippines and at least 65 people are now known to have been killed in the country. large scale casualties appear to have been averted in hong kong and southern china, where nearly 2.5 million people were told to leave. the storm has now weakened as it passes over mainland china. robin brant reports from hong kong. the typhoon is no more.

mangkhut has been downgraded as it continues its journey west. but in its trail, a massive clean—up for some. for others, a more urgent a desperate search for survivors. in the philippines, rescuers are trying to find dozens of missing miners, buried beneath a landslide that engulfed their emergency shelters in the town of itogon. no one has yet been pulled out alive. translation: my hopes are that someone finds them but even if they are dead at least we can retrieve them and make our peace. others have been saved though. emergency workers facing the twin threat of water and mud note that fresh landslides are still a threat. farmers have seen their rice and corn crops wiped out under a surge of water. they're used to the threat of typhoons in the philippines but many of these people live

in communities least able to protect themselves. hong kong's high—rises took a battering. some swayed. windows shattered. the sea surged around low—lying areas. but no—one died here. hong kong got off fairly lightly. they've got to clean up shattered glass and some rubbish. the biggest challenge now for the authorities is this, fallen trees blocking pavements and still some roadways. it's going to take a few days to make these safe and move them out of the way. otherwise it's back to business as usual. the city's schools will stay shut another day while they make sure it's safe for the children. one hong konger i spoke to on a flooded street yesterday told me mangkhut was bad but not as bad as the year he saw boats on the streets. on the mainland, they very likely averted an even worse disaster. more than 2 million people were moved out of the path of the oncoming typhoon.

still though some experienced it up close. translation: we were really scared. i'd already barricaded the door. i didn't dare open it. me and my wife didn't dare go outside. mangkhut hit three places in three days. it was the strongest storm of the year. now it's heading west across southern china, losing strength by the hour. the cost to life and to asian economies is still not quantifiable. robin brant, bbc news, hong kong. in the united states, authorities in north carolina have warned the risk to life is rising after storm florence brought record amounts of rain. residents are being told to stay off the roads as the threat from flash floods remains high. at least 16 people have been killed. thousands remain in emergency shelters without power. in the us, senior democrats say a vote on president trump's nominee for the supreme court — due on thursday — should be delayed so allegations of sexual misconduct can be investigated.

christine ford claims nominee brett kavanaugh pinned her to a bed and tried to remove her clothing when they were teenagers. he denies the claim. the mp tobias ellwood has told the inquests into the deaths from the westminster bridge attack that he ignored his fears of a secondary attack as he tried to help resuscitate one of the victims. mr ellwood said his main concern had been helping pc keith palmer who'd been stabbed by the attacker. helena lee is at the old bailey. tobias ellwood held back tears as he stood in the witness box and recalled the events of that day last march. he began by describing how he heard screams of shock and he had seen heard screams of shock and he had seen panicking people's eyes. he then went on to describe how he went on to help pc palmer as he lay dying on to help pc palmer as he lay dying on the ground. tobias ellwood came to court today and described how he ignored fears of a second terror attack as he tried to help save pc

palmer. he told the inquest how he saw two bodies on the ground. the officer was one of them. he went to help, medically trained from a previous army career. he describes to the court how he started cpr on pc palmer. an emergency medical team then arrived and operated on the officer. as he described what happened next, tobias ellwood said, forgive me. it's sometimes easier to do the helping them to talk about it afterwards. the court heard how nothing more could be done for pc palmer. when the doctor told tobias ellwood he could stop helping, he told the inquest that when i said, sir, you're going to have to tell me to stop, to order me to stop. tobias ellwood then said this at the end: we both tidied up the body as best we could. i closed his eyes and i said i'm sorry. he went on to say it was a very silent end, being left

com pletely was a very silent end, being left completely alone in an eerily silent palace of westminster. the coroner thanked tobias ellwood for all his effo rts thanked tobias ellwood for all his efforts to try to save pc palmer. the inquest has also heard from the doctor who let the medical team treating pc palmer at the time. this afternoon we are expecting to hear from two armed police officers who we re from two armed police officers who were on duty that day. kate. thank you. the way poverty is measured should be changed to take into account costs such as childcare and the impact of disability. that's the finding of an independent report. the social metrics commission says that using the new measure, nearly half of those in poverty were living in families with a person with disabilities, but there was a big drop in the number of pensioners defined as poor. here's our social affairs correspondent alison holt. jenny has multiple sclerosis. she is also a single mum with four children. on benefits, she struggles to pay for the extra childcare, transport and heating bills that result from her condition.

today's report says existing poverty measures ignore the unavoidable costs someone like jenny faces. i get some things fortnightly, some things weekly, some things every four weekly. trying to juggle that with bills that you pay monthly, children's things that cost weekly, ijust got myself into such a muddle, because of all the medications i take for the pain relief and for the muscle spasms. the poverty measure proposed by the social metrics commission sets a person's income and easily accessible assets against inescapable costs like childcare, debt repayments and living with a disability. that leaves the money they have to live on. under this measure, 14.2 million people are in poverty in the uk, the same as before. but nearly half live in families with a disabled person, and there are fewer pensioners below the poverty line. your savings that you can draw down

on, your liquid savings, should be credited to you. your debt should be taken into account. your costs of being disabled should and do influence whether or not you have spare money to spend on food and housing and likewise childcare. so these are some of the changes we have made along the way. the government says this measure provides insight into the complexity of the issue, but its work is already lifting people out of poverty. alison holt, bbc news. more now on our coverage of brexit. in the eu referendum the town of burnley in lancashire was one of the most pro—brexit areas in the country. two thirds of the residents of the former mill town voted in favour of leaving but how do they feel about brexit more than two years on? christian fraser has been to meet supporters of the local football team to find out. we love you burnley, we do! it's one of the oldest stadiums in england,

in the smallest town ever to field a premier league team. this burnley squad loves to upset the established order with players that seem to reflect the same stubborn character as the men and women who follow them around the country. this time it's a trip to wolverhampton wanderers, another chance to defy the odds. and as with football, so it is with brexit. if we don't leave now, it'll raise its head again. our children will have this in the years to come. we've spoken. that's the end of it. now get on with it and make the best of it. iagree. we voted to leave and that's what we'll have to do. we can't keep changing our mind like people want to do. i do have worries about what's going to happen but, as i say, it's just the fear of the unknown. so does that uncertainty lead some here to reconsider? those who voted for brexit, keep your hands up if you still think it's a good idea. so you've not changed your minds at all? no.

no german's telling me what to do anyhow. laughter. that's a good view, that. they think they've been forgotten about and immigration is the big thing in burnley. the reasons are complex. immigration, sovereignty, and yes, this town has some of the poorest wards in the country. amid tight terraced houses are the relics of the cotton industry, the mills that long ago powered the industrial revolution. but follow the canal from the old mill chimneys to the gleaming new business parks on the edge of town, and you find that for all the brexit uncertainty, burnley‘s economy is in fact booming. they've embraced aerospace, digital innovation, telecoms, and at 80% there is now record employment. burnley is one of the fastest—growing tech towns in britain. they tell me businesses in burnley are as bullish about brexit as the fans. they chant. and yet the longer the uncertainty

continues, the greater the risk that progress comes unstitched. i went to all the european games and six different people came up to talk to me about brexit. and four of them were saying, "we've got to stay, this is crazy." two were saying, "get on with it." of course my argument is what is "it"? i think that's the question that's starting to make people reflect. would you vote brexit again? i'd like to think that with the promotion of more information, the population of burnley would be better informed. the eu, they're going to have to, like, show their cards at some point, aren't they? it'll probably go down to the wire, like our season in the prem. some are anxious, some have turned, some are impatient for progress, both on and off the pitch. after a 1—0 defeat, burnley remain without a win in the premier league. it's been tough since the summer. sound familiar? christian fraser, bbc news, wolverhampton. as an exit treaty has

still not been agreed much remains unclear, not least for a million or more british citizens who have left the uk to make their home in other eu countries. our europe correspondent damian grammaticas has been to bulgaria where up to 10,000 uk citizens are now living. he asked them what drew them there and what they think the future holds for them now. it's happy hour, saturday party night. brits and bulgarians mixing in the wolf den pub. we're almost 2000 miles from the uk. brexit seems a million miles away. darren wood, a former train driver from portsmouth, opened the wolf den just a fortnight ago. he and his partner sue have sunk their £50,000 savings into it. what's brought the brits here? a life in the sun that's cheap. so are they anxious about brexit?

i wanted brexit. yeah, bring it on. we're brexiteers. what do you think the impact will be on your life here? it's not going to have any impact. i think there's a lot of fear mongering going on. yes. and i think, yes, those fears are being fuelled. but darren, who voted for brexit, is now worried. i voted leave and i left. and how do you feel about that vote now? if i could do it again, i'd change my mind without any hesitation. the main concern here is my pension. i get a private pension. i'm way away from state pension age, but there's a risk that i may not be able to draw that or get paid that living abroad as an expat. darren and more than 1000 other uk expats have been drawn to live here, the area around the ancient capital of veliko tarnovo. bulgaria is the poorest country in the eu. for around £2000, you can buy

a house in a village near here. one sunday a month, there's a british car—boot sale. hello! if the uk fails to make a brexit deal, each eu country will apply its own rules to brits. so it's no wonder some are anxious. in all there are perhaps 1 million brits who have made their lives here in bulgaria and other countries across the eu. more when you count those who split their time between places. but what you hear again and again are specific concerns because nobody knows how they'll be affected in just six months' time. felicity lives off her uk state pension and earns a little extra selling her cakes and jam. the value of the pound has gone down since brexit. i'm on a pension and that makes a great difference. so easily 10% or 20% drop in your income effectively? yes, which does affect what i can do.

already i've got regular customers, lovely bulgarian ladies, who buy my clothes. i wonder if they are going to be quite so friendly towards me next year. i would give up my passport tomorrow really if it meant that i became a european citizen for the rest of my life rather than being linked to a little island that doesn't seem to want to be part of europe any more. but at the beehive, they're not worried about the future. they‘ re learning bulgarian. brexit supporters who like bulgaria because they say life here is how the uk used to be. it is like england was maybe 50 years ago. it's wonderful. wonderful. so even on the furthest side of the eu, you find brits waiting to see what brexit will bring. they've bought property, invested, made lives here, and few want now to leave. damian grammaticas, bbc news, northern bulgaria. all week we're reporting

on brexit: six months to go. if you are confused by any brexit terms, do take a look at ourjargon buster on the bbc news website. time for a look at the weather. here's darren bett. hello. some really windy weather on the way this week and it all starts tonight in the south—west. this area of cloud is storm helene. it started off as of cloud is storm helene. it started offasa of cloud is storm helene. it started off as a hurricane. the winds will strengthen and we will get tropical airand rain as strengthen and we will get tropical air and rain as well. today we have rain arriving in western parts of the uk, the calm before the storm. into the south—east, more and more sunshine has been arriving and the temperatures have been getting a lovely boost for this time of year. more broken cloud spilling further