hello, you're watching afternoon live — i'm simon mccoy. today at two. her way or no way. with six months to go, theresa may insists the only alternative to her plan for brexit is to leave the eu with no deal. we'll get a good deal, we will bring that back from the eu negotiations, and put that to parliament. i think that the alternative to that will be not having a deal. the international monetary fund warns that a "no—deal" brexit on world trade organization terms would entail "substa ntial costs" for the uk economy. iam i am live in salford university where we are speaking to students and businesses about tear predictions for the next six months. a race against time. rescuers in the philippines are digging through mud to find dozens buried by a landslide that hit as typhoon mangkhut battered the country. an mp who fought to save the life of pc keith palmer during last year's westminster terror attack tells of the desperate moment

the officer died in front of him. coming up on afternoon live, all the sport. great britain have completed an unprecedented clean sweep of cycling's grant tour siteles after simon with the weather it is darren. a lot of hot hair in the programme today, we have got storm helene, it will pick the winds up overnight. bring some rain and warm tropical area. it isa some rain and warm tropical area. it is a windy week on the way. looker forward to also coming up. all this week we're going to bejoining radio 1's newsbeat political team as they travel across the uk to sak you how you think brexit is going — with just six months to go.. today they're in a dumfries hairdressers.. and there's a bit of a twist. you'll find out more later. good afternoon.

with just six months to go until the uk is scheduled to leave the eu the pressures on all those involved are mounting — and today the prime minister theresa may has upped the ante — saying mps will have a choice between her proposed deal with the eu — or no deal at all... in a day of special programming we're taking a detailed look at where we stand — with that eu clock ticking. our chief political correspondent vicki young is at salford university for us — we canjoin her now. thank you have much. it really does feel as if there is a very important moment heading the prime minister's way, she has got that eu gathering of leaders in salzburg on wednesday where she is hoping they will at

least be warm words for her proposal, the so—called chequers deal. she knows she is under tremendous pressure to get some kind of deal before she then brings its back and faces the tricky prospect of trying to get it through parliament. the prime minister today has criticised the proposals by brexit supporting members of her own party, so try to resolve the irish border issue, in response the former foreign secretary borisjohnson has warned her approach to the border question could lead to brexit the tricky prospect of trying to get it through parliament. the prime minister today has criticised the proposals by brexit supporting members of her own party, so try to resolve the irish border issue, in response the former foreign secretary boris johnson response the former foreign secretary borisjohnson has warned her approach to the border question could lead to brexit being what he called "a total write off". a brief moment of semi—relaxation for the prime minister and her husband at chequers, her country retreat. yes, that's the very place where the cabinet, or most of it, agreed a proposal to put to the eu on our future relationship. in case you wondered, they're watching the chase, a game show which requires teamwork if you're to outwit a wily opponent and come away better off. but where there's also a very high risk of walking away with nothing.

but it was another game show she was channelling in her panorama interview — deal or no deal. i believe we'll get a good deal, we'll bring that back from the eu negotiations, and put that to parliament. i think the alternative to that will be not having a deal. naturally, that hasn't gone down well with opponents of brexit, who want a new referendum. i think it is a deep disservice to our democratic traditions to have a prime minister saying you've no choices left, it's my fudge or the abyss. that is not true, we always have more choices if only we're prepared to take them. one of the biggest barriers to getting a withdrawal agreement is the issue of the irish border. the prime minister was dismissive of a plan put forward last week by some brexiteers. what many of these other plans are based on is moving the border. you don't solve the issue of no hard border by having a hard border 20 kilometres inside northern ireland

or 20 kilometres inside ireland, it's still a hard border. thank you. hold music. but sorting the issue out with the eu is taking a long time and talks have been farfrom harmonious. hello, jean—claude. reports in this morning's times thought, suggest that the european commission is reconsidering its position, avoiding the prospect of customs checks between northern ireland and the rest of the uk. "a car crash" — that's how the former foreign secretary has described the brexit talks. now he says if the eu changes direction on ireland, a disaster could be averted. i think in brussels they are now discussing actively some of the technical ways of dealing with this that would allow for a breakthrough, allow us to do a proper free trade deal, allow us properly to take back control of the regulatory framework, but also to do a proper brexit. if a deal is moving closer, what would it look like? to secure good access to european markets, could there be preferential

treatment for eu workers? we're going to be putting our immigration proposals forward later this autumn. and showing people the plans. do you rule out giving a special deal to eu citizens? we'll put our proposals forward when we put them forward. while the prime minister is clear that free movement would end, as i understand it, labour mobility could be be part of any trade deal. number 10 would argue this does not amount to special treatment for the eu, because the same thing could be offered to other countries. because the same thing could be the real challenge for theresa may will be to get any deal at all through westminster. opposition parties are gearing up to vote against the prime minister. and they could be joined by some of her own mps. so, whatever she does agree with brussels, it's not a done deal. and you can see more of that interview with theresa may later

here on afternoon live, and in full on tonight's panorama at 8.30 on bbc one. there's been an intervention today by the head of the international monetary fund, christine lagarde. it's not the first time the imf has warned that brexit will not go well for the uk and this morning ms lagarde said that a disorderly exit would have ‘dire consequences‘ our assessment is that it would have very dire economic consequence, it would be a shock to supply and it would be a shock to supply and it would have a series of consequences in terms of reduced growth, going forward. increased deficit, most likely, depreciation of the currency, and it would, you know, in reasonably short order mean a reduction of the size of the uk economy. so that is who i we think

it would have dire economic consequences. we also believe that any deal will not be as good as the smooth process, under which goods, services, people andical almove round between the eu and uk, without barrier, without impediments and particular obstacles so whatever the deal is will not be as good as it is at the moment. we can speak now to hilary benn. thank you for speaking to us this afternoon. we are heard that christine lagarde saying that a no—deal brexit would have dire consequences yet the labour party's position seems to be vote down theresa may's option, the deal she

hopes to get back, the so—called chequers deal and risk that very scenario, a no deal. no that is not correct. we have made it clearfrom the beginning we regard no deal as disastrous for the british economy, today we have the imf reinforcing that view, after all it is what the government's own economic assessment has showed. the truth is there isn't just a choice between no deal and any deal that theresa may may bring back and we have got some way to go on that. there are other option, for example, the prime minister put forward in her chequers proposal a complicated arrangement for trying to ensure the continuation of tariff and friction free trade for our gueds. she has been persuaded. the trouble is when we met michel barnier he said those proposals are not acceptable. now there is another way of achieving the same objective which is for britain to remain in a customs union, with the european

union. that is the policy of the labour party, that we are campaigning for, so to narrow the choices between whatever the prime minister comes back with and no deal, and to pretend somehow we could accept no deal, well, i don't think the house of commons would be prepared to do that. but you know that many people would feel that staying in the customs union is effectively staying in the european union, are you proposing that freedom of movement continues as well? staying in the customs union is not staying in the european union, it is having friction and tariff free trade, with our nearest, largest and most important trading market. you know, there are big consequences if we get this wrong, that are going to affect the economy, future investment, job, the ability of the government to raise money to spend on public service, policing, education, the health service, and so on. the referendum decided we are leaving the

institution of the european union in march next year. it did not decide what our future economic, political, relationship cooperation on consumer safety a nd relationship cooperation on consumer safety and aviation and medicines and the transfer of data and have very long list of things that have yet to be sorted out. it didn't decide that and parliament, when it ta kes decide that and parliament, when it takes its decision will want to have reasonable confidence that it is clear what kind of future relationship we are going to have once the substantive, the real negotiations start, once the withdrawal agreement has been completed. but if we don't get a withdrawal agreement, in part because we haven't got a solution to the problem of northern ireland, we don't get a transitional period. if we don't, the uk will fall out of the eu, with nothing in, end of march, next year, and the consequences of that for jobs, march, next year, and the consequences of that forjobs, for everything would be very very serious indeed. that is not a route

we can pursue. just to push you on theish issue of immigration, we have done reports today from burnley, an air where which voted 66% to leave, and immigration was a big issue there. are you saying that we would continue with freedom of movement, under the scenario that you are painting there? well, i would like us to ask for some changes in the way in which freedom of movement works. because i want to see a customs union, i wants the closest possible relationship on service, one way of doing that would be to look at the eea model, country like norway, there is an emergency brake on immigration that can be used as pa rt on immigration that can be used as part of that agreement and of course we could make changes orrs to the way in which free movement work, we can say to people if they haven't found a job after a period of time i am afraid you can't remain. you can do it in am afraid you can't remain. you can do itina am afraid you can't remain. you can do it in a different way. way. we

could require people to register, thatis could require people to register, that is a matter fossil fuel negotiation. but the central point is that which ever way it turnsous we will have a continuing need for people to come from outside the uk, to support our industry, to treat us in hospital, to operate on us, to pick fruit and vegetable, to service tea and coffee, to look after and this is the biggest social challenge, a growing elderly population, we will need to have a huge increase. i think we need to have a sensible grown up conversation about what those needs are, because i met many people in the referendum who said i would like to have some control but i am not calling for an end they said to me to all migrant to this country and most people recognise it is about getting the right balance. 0k, getting the right balance. ok, thank you very much indeed. the bbc‘s reality check correspondent chris

morris is here with me. hilary benn says it is not accurate, there are other option, is he right? i think he probably is, because we are sort of comparing two different thing, it is not right to say it is no deal or my deal, because no deal refers to the immediate negotiation about a withdrawal agreement. the terms for leaving the eu. if we reach an agreement, then, at this stage, there isn't going to be a no deal scenario, we have this 21 month transition but it is only then you start to negotiate in detail on the future trade agreement which is what chequers is about. at that stage, you could say all bids are open again, it could be staying in the single market, a bit like norway, it could be much more like a pure free trade agreement like canada which what some of the brexiteers are advocating. to say back me or we

crash out you can see why politically she is saying that, it speaks to the division we have seen within the conservative party but it is not really an accurate representation of the choices we are faced with. we are here, six months to go until exit day and there has been a report about how prepared the government is, particularly for a no deal scenario, they talk about both, i think, about whether there is a deal or not. and it is quite worrying reading, some would say that they are not really that ready. well, you have to put it in the perspective and the ift report makes no bones, this is the biggest implementation challenge any government has faced, probably since the end of the second world war in terms of the complexity of what needs to be done. however government would be struggling massively with what needs to be done. yes, i think one of the problems is, and it is

partly because there hasn't been political agreement about the way forward , political agreement about the way forward, is that some of the advice to businesses for example about how you should prepare for no deal has come you should prepare for no deal has co m e pretty you should prepare for no deal has come pretty late. i mean behind the scene, they have obviously been discussion, a lot of businesses have signed none dischloe o sure agreements so they have had discussion they are not talking about. that smaller businesses haven't been involved in that process , haven't been involved in that process, they haven't got with wherewithal to plans for no deal, so there is a lot businesses out there that really have done very little planning for a no—deal brexit. similar in other countries by the way, a report came out today in the netherlands, saying a lot of companies in the netherlands who trade with the uk need to up their game. it is an interesting side of it. it's a two way street. there are, it is an incredibly complex process which if there were to be no deal would be done in a short space of time. it is only another 21 months if there was a deal. we could be in months if there was a deal. we could beina months if there was a deal. we could be in a position where as you say

the future trading arrangement, how lit will work, in reality, it will be thrashed out during that transition period. there won't be because we won't know what we are moving to. there there is a further problem, it is only 21 months. it sounds like a long time. we have a bit more time, but one thing that the institute for government lays out it is a comparison from the beginning of negotiation to full implementation, how long other trade deals have taken. the eu canada deal is not fully implemented, so seven yea rs is not fully implemented, so seven years so far. the association agreement between the eu and ukraine, another model some put forward. it is about nine years so these are long periods, trade agreements run to hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of pages of technical notes and so one of the things that the institute for government lays out, is some stage in the next couple of years the government will have to make a choice between time and quality. if they are insistent things have to be

done by a hard deadline, then they will have to brush over a few of the details and get those done later. fascinating stuff. thank you very much indeed. so there will be a lot more throughout the week, trying to a nswer throughout the week, trying to answer some of the many questions we have heard today, in salford. much more later on. back to you simon. back to you simon. with six months to go until the uk leaves the eu how will brexit affect your wallet? will european holidays become more expensive? our business correspondent emma simpson and personalfinance expert jasmine birtles will be here taking your questions. to take part, upload your questions on any social media site using the hashtag bbcaskthis. that's tomorrow morning at 11.30 you're watching afternoon live, these are our headlines. her way or no way: theresa may says mps will have to choose between her approach to brexit and leaving the european

union without a deal. the international monetary fund is warning that a "no deal" brexit would lead to a "significantly worse" outlook for the british economy. in the philippines: rescuers are digging through mud to find dozens buried by a landslide that hit as typhoon mangkhut battered the country. and simon yates' win mean great britain have won the last five titles in a row. 28 contracts are available for rugby union. and wayne rooney scored the second coal goal as they drew in the major league soccer. bradley wright—phillips

impressed with a hat—trick to equalise for the red bulls. more in 20 minutes' time. rescuers in the philippines are using shovels and their bare hands to try to find any survivors of a landslide caused by typhoon manghkut. the storm hit the north of the philippines and at least 65 people are now known to have been killed in the country. large scale casualties appear to have been averted in hong kong and southern china, where nearly two—and—a—half million people were told to leave. the storm has now weakened as it passes over mainland china. robin brant reports from hong kong. the typhoon is no more. mangkhut has been downgraded as it continues its journey west. but in its trail, a massive clean—up for some. for others, a more urgent a desperate search for survivors. in the philippines, rescuers are trying to find dozens of missing miners, buried beneath a landslide that engulfed their emergency shelters in the town of itogon. no—one has yet been pulled out alive. translation: my hopes are that

they're fine and someone finds them but even if they are dead at least we can retrieve them and make our peace. others have been saved though. emergency workers facing the twin threat of water and mud know that fresh landslides are still a threat. farmers have seen their rice and corn crop wiped out under a surge of water. they're used to the threat of typhoons in the philippines but many of these people live in communities least able to protect themselves. hong kong's high—rises took a battering. some swayed. windows shattered. the sea surged around low—lying areas. but no—one died here. hong kong got off fairly lightly. they've got to clean up shattered glass and some rubbish. the biggest challenge now for the authorities is this, fallen trees blocking pavements and still some roadways. it's going to take a few days

to make these safe and move them out of the way. otherwise it's back to business as usual. the city's schools will stay shut another day while they make sure it's safe for the children. one hong konger i spoke to on a flooded street yesterday told me mangkhut was bad but not as bad as the year he saw boats on the streets. on the mainland, they very likely averted an even worse disaster. more than 2 million people were moved out of the path of the oncoming typhoon. still though some experienced it up close. translation: we were really scared. i'd already barricaded the door. i didn't dare open it. me and my wife didn't dare go outside. mangkhut hit three places in three days. it was the strongest storm of the year. now it's heading west across southern china, losing strength by the hour. the cost to life and to asian economies is still not quantifiable. robin brant, bbc news, hong kong. and in the united states,

authorities in north carolina have warned the risk to life is rising, after storm florence brought record amounts of rain. residents are being told to stay off the roads as the threat from flash floods remains high. at least 16 people have been killed. thousands remain in emergency shelters without power. in the us, senior democrats say a vote on president trump's nominee for the supreme court — due on thursday — should be delayed so allegations of sexual misconduct can be investigated. christine ford claims nominee brett kavanaugh pinned her to a bed and tried to remove her clothing when they were teenagers. he denies the claim. the mp, tobias ellwood, has told the inquests into the deaths from the westminster bridge attack that he ignored his fears of a secondary attack, as he tried to help resuscitate one of the victims. mr ellwood said his main concern had been helping pc keith palmer, who'd been stabbed. helana lee is at the old bailey. some very emotional testimony today.

yes, tobias ellwood came to court here, he stood in the witnessing box for nearly an hour, he at one point held back tears as he recalled the events of that day last march. he began by describing to court how he heard people screaming 234 shock, he remembered seeing the panic in people's eye, he said, and then he went on to tell the court how he went on to tell the court how he went to help pc keith palmer, as he lay daying on the ground. tobias ellwood came to court today and described how he ignored fears of a second terror attack as he tried to help save pc palmer. he told the inquest how he saw two bodies on the ground. the officer was one of them. he went to help, medically trained from a previous army career. he describes to the court how he started cpr on pc palmer. an emergency medical team then arrived and operated on the officer. as he described what happened next, tobias ellwood said, forgive me. it's sometimes easier to do the helping them to talk

about it afterwards. as he described what happened next, tobias ellwood said, "forgive me. it's sometimes easier to do the helping them to talk about it afterwards." the court heard how nothing more could be done for pc palmer. when the doctor told tobias ellwood he could stop helping, he told the inquest "that's when i said, sir, you're going to have to tell me to stop, to order me to stop." tobias ellwood then said this at the end: we both tidied up the body as best we could. i closed his eyes and i said i'm sorry. he went on to say it was a very silent end, being left completely alone in an eerily silent palace of westminster. the coroner thanked tobias ellwood for all his efforts to try to save pc palmer. well at the moment in court simon, evidence is being heard from the doctor who led the medical team, who

tried to save pc palmer, that doctor is giving evidence to the court at the moment, and we expect later on this afternoon to hear from two armed officer, they were on duty at the time, on the day the bbc‘s director general, tony hall, says the corporation intends to move more of its production out of london. the idea is part of a plan which he'll set out tomorrow in a speech to the royal television society where he will address the challenges facing the bbc and public broadcasting in the face of modern media. time for a look at the weather. there is a lot going on around the world. there is a lot going on around the world. here's darren. yes, still a lot of devastation, clearing up. going to take you on the journey this powerful typhoon took. because it was such a

mountainous part of the country we have had devastating landslides and mudslides, and this was the peak of the winds, they moved out into the south china sea and on sunday it was to the south of hong kong. massive amounts of flooding, record storm surge in hong kong harbour, this is pa rt surge in hong kong harbour, this is part of the world that is geared up to severe weather like this. then moving on from hong kong, after sun it moved into guangdong and macau where all the casinos were closed. it has moved into another provinces in the south—west of china where the storm has weakened. wejust in the south—west of china where the storm has weakened. we just had the final warning so it is dissipating into a large area of cloud and rain. and the other one is florence. we have had the final warning on that from the national hurricane centre, this was more slow—moving. that was the problem, huge amounts of rain,

about 24 inches in wilmington. we broke records in terms of rainfall in this part of the united states. if we go to the uk there is cloud looming on our shore and tropical airon the looming on our shore and tropical air on the way. this is all to do with helene. yes. this, it was the other... i do pay attention. i know, very good, what do you want? very good! this was on the other side of the atlantic, and hasn't made la ndfall yet, the atlantic, and hasn't made landfall yet, as it moved northwards it has weakened and the cloud has broken up. it has lost identity and warm tropical air, we are seeing warm tropical air, we are seeing warm airheading into the uk, we will see the winds pick up and rain on the way as well. the warm, hiring temperatures to the south and east? to the south and the east, more likely to get rain to the north and west, again, as we were saying. you really were paying attention! my word i think we ought to move on. to

show you the contrast, this is the calm before the storm, we have rain into the north—west, into the south—east of the uk, the clouds really breaking up, the sunshine is coming through and it is giving the temperatures a boost. it feels, warm and muggy out there already. a better picture in the south—east. south midlands east anglia, some brea ks south midlands east anglia, some breaks in the cloud elsewhere and it is warming into the low 20s but the rain is pushing into scotland and northern ireland, that is not from helene, it is still to arrive. it is this area of low pressure. the fronts giving rain in the north, this area of low pressure is helene, that will arrive into the south—west of england and into wales, overnight. the winds picking up here, some rain getting blown in as well. rain in the north and west of scotla nd well. rain in the north and west of scotland and for northern ireland, a wet night here. further east in the uk, dry, clear skies wet night here. further east in the uk, dry, clearskies but wet night here. further east in the uk, dry, clear skies but it will be a warm night as last night. no lower than 16 degrees or so. but overnight

the winds pick up across movers of england and wales, this is where we expect the worst of it as we head into tomorrow and the highest gusts are more likely round exposed hills and coasts in the west. it will be a windy day in england and wales, the rain sweeping away from wales into northern england, doesn't last long, it moves up into scotland, out into the north sea, sunny skies and spells developing after that and showers coming into the west and because we have this warm tropical aircoming up on because we have this warm tropical air coming up on the south—westerly winds, those temperatures are still going to be high across the midlands and eastern england. 24, maybe 25 again tomorrow, and again, across scotla nd again tomorrow, and again, across scotland and northern ireland 18 or 19 more typical. windy weather for england and wales but maybe the worst is still to come around the middle part of the week, rapidly deepening area of low pressure, steaming in from authority —— o —— off the atlantic so it is the north—west that will see the windiest weather. gusts of 60, maybe 70mph. windy for england and wales, not a great deal of rain here,

showers but it will be wet for a good part of the morning across northern ireland and into scotland before the worst of that moves away but a wind away day, yes, temperatures will be lower in scotla nd temperatures will be lower in scotland and northern ireland, not quite as high across eastern parts but still 22 or 24 degrees is significantly better than we would expect at this time of the year. so really, the message is a windy week ahead, some strengthening winds overnight for england and wales, but maybe some stronger winds to come round the middle this is bbc news — our latest headlines. with just under six months to go until the uk is due to leave the eu, theresa may insists the only alternative to her brexit plan is to leave without a deal. the international monetary fund warns that a no—deal brexit on world trade organization terms would entail substantial costs for the uk economy. rescuers in the philippines are digging through mud to find dozens of people buried by a landslide triggered by typhoon mangkhut. the mp tobias ellwood has told the inquest into the westminster bridge attack that he ignored his fears

of a secondary attack, as he tried to save the life of pc keith palmer. sport now on afternoon live with karthi. and more success for the british cycling? he's on the back pages of most of the newspaers today but simon yates insists he's not a superstar. he will return home to britain though knowing he has made history. yates win at the vuelta a espana means that three different cyclists from the same country have won the three grand tour titles in the same year for the first time. that's the first time it has been done. in fact british cyclists have now won the last five big cycling titles, known as the grand tour titles. i don't think superstar is the correct word. cycling is still a small sport in the uk. we have many successes now but you compare it to football, it is still a small sport so football, it is still a small sport sol football, it is still a small sport so i don't think i will ever be a

superstar but that is fine for me because that's not my character. i ama because that's not my character. i am a laid—back guy, i like to relax on my own and that's ok. i will continue to work hard and go from there. he's obviously very down—to—earth. look at the history of this and trace it back to 1992. chris broadman — barcelona olympic gold and lottery funding 1997. 20 years after boardman, bradley wiggins won the 2012 tour de france — the first british rider to do that. no british winners in any of the first 259 grand tours, but yates' victory in madrid means a british rider has now been victorious in nine of the last 20, inlcuding winning the last five in a row. they have gone from being challenges to dominating the sport, although italy have won 85 titles and france

and spain have around 50. england women's rob reteam, it is a significant day for them? —— rugby team. england women's rugby union players will be given full—time professional contracts from next year. that's after they had been controversially scrapped after the 2017 world cup as the rfu focused on sevens rugby. but now there will be 28 contracts available. the sport's govering body said it demontrated their commitment to growing the women's game and their ambition to be the world's number one team. some other sport to tell you about. two english players dominated major league soccer on sunday as dc united and new york red bulls drew 3—3. wayne rooney scored dc‘s second, which put them in front midway through the second half. but he was outshone by bradley wright—phillips, whose hat—trick was even more impressive. each time he scored he was equalised for the red bulls —

the last coming in the 90th minute. zlatan ibrahimovic scored his 500th goal in la galaxy's match against toronto fc and it was an absolute cracker. hejoins lionel messi and cristiano ronaldo as the only active players to reach the half—century mark. and although his side lost, zlatan, being zlatan, he felt he gave both sets of fans something to enjoy. imean it i mean it is not the first time i get a standing ovation from the away team. it's nice because when i came here in mls i haven't given them these goals, absolutely not, but i feel the away supporters become like my home supporters because i see them excited when they see me play. they pretend to whistle but they don't really whistle because they do that to show they are loyal to their home team. deep inside i know they

are my fans so that is cool. i don't think the word humble exists in his vocabulary. they can't all be like us! more now on our top story... theresa may has said mps will have a choice between her proposed deal with the eu or no deal at all. she made the remarks in an interview with the bbc‘s nick robinson on panorama. let's hear a bit more from that interview now. borisjohnson boris johnson says borisjohnson says this plan is a suicide belt around the british constitution. first of all i have to say that choice of language is com pletely say that choice of language is completely inappropriate. i have been home secretary and have been prime ministerfor two been home secretary and have been prime minister for two years now and using language like that is not right but let's look at the argument about the issue in relation to northern ireland. the people of northern ireland. the people of northern ireland. the people of northern ireland deserve to be listened to in these negotiations by

the uk government as do people elsewhere in this country. i want to ensure that as we go forward with have the strong union that northern ireland is part of the united kingdom and it's important that we deliver for the people of northern ireland. they don't want a hard border between ireland. the only proposal that's been put forward that delivers on them not having the ha rd that delivers on them not having the hard border and ensures we don't carve up the united kingdom is the chequers plan. so the other proposals we saw this week, they don't do it? no, because many of them are based on moving the border. you don't solve the problem by having a border 20 kilometres inside. what's important is people have a seamless border and are able to carry on transactions. there are

businesses in ireland and northern ireland where there will be products that may originate in ireland, the process continues in northern ireland, then they go back, that has to happen seamlessly. you say no return to freedom of movement, you haven't told us your immigration policy. if the eu asks for a preferential deal for their citizens, easier to travel than for people from australia or india, will you agree to that? we will be putting our immigration proposals forward later this autumn and showing people the plans... do you rule out giving a special deal to eu citizens? we will put forward our proposals when we put them forward. the message from the british people we re the message from the british people were simple, it was they didn't want a situation where they could see people coming from the european

union having automatic right in terms of coming here to the uk and a set of rules for people from outside the european union. we will be putting forward a set of rules for people from the european union and people from the european union and people outside it. the next challenge if you get a deal will be to get support for that deal in parliament. is this the political battle of your lifetime? when we come to the vote in parliament, the important thing is for people to remember how important that vote is to the british people because it will be delivering on the referendum result. the referendum... the result of that referendum was an important historic moment for the uk. coming out of the european union, becoming a truly independent sovereign state again will be an important moment for the uk. this is about... what we need to think about is the future of the people of the uk and the future

of the uk because that's what this vote will be about. the question is... as vote will be about. the question is...asi vote will be about. the question is... as i say, i'm confident we will be able to come back with a good deal, put it to parliament, and when people look that the question do we want to have that good deal that delivers on the vote and provides opportunities for the future, that means we can come out of the european union, we can be that independent sovereign state taking decisions for ourselves and taking decisions for ourselves and taking the most of opportunities and providing for the futures of people up providing for the futures of people up and down this country.|j providing for the futures of people up and down this country. i want to be clear whether you are saying, i think you are, my deal or no deal. asi think you are, my deal or no deal. as i say, i believe we will get a good deal, we will bring that back from the eu negotiations and put that parliament. i think the alternative to that will be not having a deal because i don't think there will be... i don't have the

negotiations will have that deal but also we are leaving in 2019. your cove na nt also we are leaving in 2019. your covenant have sat for three and a half hours contemplating the possibility of no deal, that the negotiations do not succeed. i wonder how you felt when you heard the governor of the bank of england say that house prices might drop a third. what were doing was to say that because we are not at the end of negotiations and we don't know what the outcome will be, although i am confident we can get a good deal, it is right to prepare for no deal and it is right to look at that and make sure government is putting everything in place that we need to do, so the british people have the confidence of knowing that if we are in that position we have done everything we need to do, and we need to know that actually if it comes to it, if we are offered a bad deal, we can walk away. all of the forecasts that look at no deal or

other aspects, they are not predictions, they are saying what's important is how the government responds, how the government... and we look at all of these forecasts. we look and we say what is it we need practically to put in place as a government to make sure we can get over. and there will be, let's be clear about this, under no deal there would be some short—term disruption. it's our job there would be some short—term disruption. it's ourjob as a government to make sure we make a success of no dealjust as we make a success of no dealjust as we make a success of no dealjust as we make a success of getting a good deal. and you can see more of that interview with theresa may later here on afternoon live and in full on tonight's panorama at 8.30pm on bbc one. let's return to the brexit countdown. we are six months away and bbc correspondents have been travelling round the country to assess the public‘s view on progress so far. well the newsbeat team are

going round in a campervan and today it's in dumfries. their political editor jim connollyjoins us now. how is it going because i know you are ina how is it going because i know you are in a 1975 camper van. absolutely, we have had a few incidents. the vehicle has been good engine wise but this thing caused some issues this morning. basically we had a problem with this because every time we went in a straight line this happened... horn beeps. which caused a few funny looks. why have we chosen in 1975 camper van you may ask. the reason is it was the last vote for brexit the european involvement from britain and this seemed a good way into it. 1975 van, see how we get on. we are moving very slowly at 55

miles an hour. that was our top speed this morning, it took half an hour to get speed this morning, it took half an hourto get up speed this morning, it took half an hour to get up to that rapid speed and it was definitely downhill at that point. this is the vehicle... that is always a risk when you are trying to show off your technology. he wasjust trying to show off your technology. he was just about to show technology in the back end of the camper van. the idea is in dumfries they are going to go to a hairdresser and get two people to have their hair cut, one is a brexiteer, one is a remainer, and they will have a brexiteer hairdresser cutting the remainer‘s hair and vice versa. jim is back, can you hear me? we had a slight problem but over to you. is back, can you hear me? we had a slight problem but over to youm

is the rain i think. it is raining here and i think it's causing some signal issues. we have hairdresser dawn and our client here. interesting dynamic, which way did you vote? i voted to stay. i voted to leave. and you have been styling her hair all day. dangerous? to leave. and you have been styling her hair all day. dangerou57m to leave. and you have been styling her hair all day. dangerous? it has been all right! dawn, what did it mean to you to leave? you voted to leave. i think it means change, hopefully for the better. it is all very unknown but hopefully for the good. nightmares for you? she used the word hopefully twice. we don't know what's happening with brexit at all. we know the government says we are leaving. unfortunately your view

is gone, we are going to have to move on. if we have the leave, what's the best outcome for someone who voted to remain? the problem with that is you are asking somebody in scotland which had a very different opinion to the rest of the uk. but the best outcome is that scotland can stay fighting for independence, i shouldn't really be saying that but i have, but also that scotland can move forward and bea that scotland can move forward and be a progressive country. dawn, what do you make of that? do you want something very different? was your vote to take back control? yes, and using our money and spending it on our country instead of investing billions of pounds into the european... you know, the union there so it is something we need to, like you say, take back control. you cut people's hair every day, how often does come up?|j

cut people's hair every day, how often does come up? i do try to avoid it, it comes up here, there and everywhere but we try to keep it light and not discuss it too much. so it is ourfault, we light and not discuss it too much. so it is our fault, we forced the issue today. is the chat normally about blogs? yes, definitely. -- dogs. you spoke about scottish independence which is interlinked in this chart. absolutely because we are part of the united kingdom. you cannot have it both ways, we have to be considered because we are part of the united kingdom at the moment. simon, back to you. it is tipping down with rain here so not much we can do about it. and it is day one so you have to get used to it! the business news in

just a moment. first a look at the headlines on afternoon live. her way or no way: theresa may says mps will have to choose between her approach to brexit and leaving the european union without a deal. the international monetary fund is warning that a no—deal brexit would lead to a "significantly worse" outlook for the british economy. in the philippines, rescuers are digging through mud to find dozens buried by a landslide that hit as typhoon mangkhut battered the country. more on that in a moment. here's your business headlines on afternoon live. jaguar land rover workers at the company's solihull plant have been put on a three—day week until christmas. the uk's largest car—maker said it was making "temporary adjustments to our production schedules" at its castle bromwich factory. as we've been hearing, the international monetary fund has warned that a no—deal brexit on world trade organization terms would entail substantial costs for the uk economy. such an outcome would affect to a lesser extent other eu economies. time magazine is changing hands once again, nearly eight months after it was sold to us media group

meredith corporation. the co—founder of salesforce.com, marc benioff, and his wife are personally buying time for £145.3 million. what's happening with jaguar landrover? they are putting about 1000 workers have time until christmas. they are blaming it on the uncertainty of brexit and saying it is really having an effect. i think we can go over to our chief market analyst guessed. —— guest. how many other car companies do you think are in

similar circumstances?” car companies do you think are in similar circumstances? i would say it is quite a few but to blame brexit is overstating things. global car companies in the last seven yea rs have car companies in the last seven years have been in a significant up a trend which has topped out and over the last few years we have seen a significant slowdown over concerns about trade tensions between the european union, united states and china. injuly we saw the first slowdown in global auto sales since 2010 so i think it is an amalgam of issues, not just about 2010 so i think it is an amalgam of issues, notjust about brexit but also about slowing demand in the auto sales sector as a result of these trade tensions. they have been quite explicit, the labour mp for arlington has said brexit chaos... i know he's the local mp. he is, and there is a political angle to this andi there is a political angle to this and i want to try to set myself slightly apart from that, tried to

sift away the political detritus and look at the facts which is global auto sales demand are slowing as a result of trade tensions. jaguar land rover are quite right, obviously there are concerns about the messy brexit but that is only pa rt the messy brexit but that is only part of the story. profit warnings have been issued forfraud part of the story. profit warnings have been issued for fraud as well so it is not a problem that is unique to jaguar land rover. thank you. trouble at amazon — how serious? they are finding some of their sellers are changing negative reviews they have had on their website and it strikes to the heart of their credibility as a seller. joining us now is our

samira hussain north america business correspondent. how serious is this? in a way is it not just a how serious is this? in a way is it notjust a technical problem they have got to put right? it is $1 trillion company now. this is a really big deal because really what you are seeing is that there were people trying to manipulate the information for their own personal gain andjust information for their own personal gain and just how serious amazon is taking it, you know, they said they will come down quite hard on these employees engaged in these tactics. it isa employees engaged in these tactics. it is a big deal but also because if you think about how big amazon has become, it is $1 trillion company and being able to be one of the more favourable companies on the website really makes a big difference for that individual company so you can see why people would want to get some of that sensitive sales

information and you can see why amazon would say that is a big no—no in terms of them profiting from that information. we were hearing about the effect of the tariff was, the trade was on uk car manufacturing, slowing sales. but now we hear these extra $200 million worth of tariffs will be put on chinese goods coming into the us? is it getting that serious? if you listen to what president trump has instructed to his white house staff, they really wa nt his white house staff, they really want to go forward with this additional tariff on chinese imports coming into the united states. this comes at the same time as we saw the treasury secretary had extended an invitation to his chinese counterpart is to restart negotiations. then we heard over the weekend that china has said, look, if you are going to put on these tariffs there is no sense of us

trying to have any discussions so they said we are thinking about backing away from this. there's been a lot of talk about trade and of course mr trump took to twitter early in the morning in the us and has said these tariffs have been a big boost to the us economy. but if you listen to some economists and look at the way us markets react to these trade tariffs, they react very differently than what the president has alluded to on twitter. thank you. let's have a look at the markets. notan not an enormous amount going on there at the moment. a lot of action in the united states with the ta riffs in the united states with the tariffs going up and the amazon

action as well. but we are not showing the states, we will show that later. let's have a look at the weather. it looks like being a really windy week ahead this week. this afternoon is what you would call the calm before the storm. we saw more sunshine pushing up from the south—east lifting the temperatures after the misty start we had this morning but in the northwest the cloud is picking up all the while, rain moving in too so it will be turning wet through the rest of today, across scotland some rain pushing into northern ireland. for england and wales, the warm southerly winds giving more sunshine, really warm for this time of year. highs of 26 in the south—east of england. this evening we start to see the wind is picking up we start to see the wind is picking up in the south—west around this area of low pressure, that contains re m na nts of area of low pressure, that contains remnants of hurricane helene. the

wind is picking up later this evening as the rain arrives into the south—west and wales. we still have some rain to come from northern ireland and northern and western parts of scotland. for eastern parts of the uk it will be dry with clear skies, and a warm night up to 16 degrees. but the winds are going to be key overnight and into tomorrow, gusts of wind reaching up to 60 mph in hills and coasts in the west. the rain sweeps away into northern england, turning wet in scotland before moving out into the north sea. sunny spells with showers coming in from the west but it will stay windy across england and wales. but it is still a warm wind, temperatures again as high as 25 degrees in the south—east. some warmer conditions for a while in eastern scotland. the band of

showers comes in later in the day on that weather front but this is the next big feature developing, the deeper area of low pressure sweeping in quickly on the atlantic, strong jet stream and if anything wednesday could be even windier, especially in the north west of scotland with gusts up to 70 mph. wet and windy in scotla nd gusts up to 70 mph. wet and windy in scotland and northern ireland. always windier out towards the west. not quite as warm probably on wednesday, still good for the time of year. those temperatures will be tempered by the strength of the wind. hello, you're watching afternoon live — i'm simon mccoy. today at three. her way or no way. with six months to go, theresa may insists the only alternative to her plan for brexit is to leave the eu with no deal. we'll get a good deal, we will bring that back from the eu negotiations, and put that to parliament. i think that the alternative to that will be not having a deal. the international monetary fund warns that a "no—deal" brexit on world trade organization terms would entail "substa ntial costs" for the uk economy.

iam i am live in salford where we will be speaking to students and local businesses an their predictions for the next six months. and the desperate details of how mp tobias ellwood battled to save police officer keith palmer who was stabbed to death a race against time: rescuers in the philippines are digging through mud to find dozens buried by a landslide that hit as typhoon mangkhut battered the country. coming up on afternoon live, all the sport. thank you. we are talking about british cyclists making history again, this time it is simon yates who has won the vuelta. thanks, and we'll bejoining you for a full update just after half—past. darren bett has all the weather.

it is going to be a windy week on the way, starting tonight with storm helene that sweeps up from the south—west, strengthening the winds but bringing to warm and tropical airthis but bringing to warm and tropical air this afternoon has been the calm before air this afternoon has been the calm before the storm. thanks. also coming up: from happy hour to happy days ahead? we speak to ex—pats in bulgaria who are questioning what the future post brexit holds for them. storm helene hello everyone — this is afternoon live. good afternoon. with just six months to go until the uk is scheduled to leave the eu, the pressures on all those involved are mounting, and today the prime minister theresa may has upped the ante —

saying mps will have a choice between her proposed deal with the eu — or no deal at all. in a day of special programming we're taking a detailed look at where we stand — with that eu clock ticking. our chief political correspondent vicki young is at salford university for us — we canjoin her now. the prime minister is characterising this stark choice for mp, because of course, at the moment, there aren't very many sayings they will back her option of that chequers compromise so you can see why she is saying really you have no choice, i have worked hard for two years, this is the deal that i can come back with, and the alternative is no deal at all, but there are many others who say look, there are other option, even postponing brexit all together. interesting that theresa may has also criticised the proproposal buzz brexit supporting members of her own party to resolve the irish border

issue, boris johnson's party to resolve the irish border issue, borisjohnson's warned that mrs may's approach to the question could lead to brexit being what he called a total write off. our political correspondent iain a brief moment of semi—relaxation for the prime minister and her husband at chequers, her country retreat. yes, that's the very place where the cabinet, or most of it, agreed a proposal to put to the eu on our future relationship. in case you wondered, they're watching the chase, a game show which requires teamwork if you're to outwit a wily opponent and come away better off. but where there's also a very high risk of walking away with nothing. but it was another game show she was channelling in her panorama interview — deal or no deal. i believe we'll get a good deal, we'll bring that back from the eu negotiations, and put that to parliament. i think the alternative to that will be not having a deal. naturally, that hasn't gone down well with opponents of brexit,

who want a new referendum. i think it is a deep disservice to our democratic traditions to have a prime minister saying you've no choices left, it's my fudge or the abyss. that is not true, we always have more choices if only we're prepared to take them. one of the biggest barriers to getting a withdrawal agreement is the issue of the irish border. the prime minister was dismissive of a plan put forward last week by some brexiteers. what many of these other plans are based on is moving the border. you don't solve the issue of no hard border by having a hard border 20 kilometres inside northern ireland or 20 kilometres inside ireland, it's still a hard border. thank you. hold music. but sorting the issue out with the eu is taking a long time and talks have been farfrom harmonious. hello, jean—claude. reports in this morning's times thought, suggest that the european commission is reconsidering its position, avoiding the prospect of customs checks between northern ireland and the rest of the uk. "a car crash" — that's how

the former foreign secretary has described the brexit talks. now he says if the eu changes direction on ireland, a disaster could be averted. i think in brussels they are now discussing actively some of the technical ways of dealing with this that would allow for a breakthrough, allow us to do a proper free trade deal, allow us properly to take back control of the regulatory framework, but also to do a proper brexit. if a deal is moving closer, what would it look like? to secure good access to european markets, could there be preferential treatment for eu workers? we're going to be putting our immigration proposals forward later this autumn. and showing people the plans. do you rule out giving a special deal to eu citizens? we'll put our proposals forward when we put them forward. while the prime minister is clear that free movement would end,

as i understand it, labour mobility could be be part of any trade deal. number 10 would argue this does not amount to special treatment for the eu, because the same thing could be offered to other countries. the real challenge for theresa may will be to get any deal at all through westminster. opposition parties are gearing up to vote against the prime minister. and they could be joined by some of her own mps. so, whatever she does agree with brussels, it's not a done deal. and you can see more of that interview with theresa may later here on afternoon live, and in full on tonight's panorama at 8.30 on bbc one. i'm joined now by three students, emma and rebecca who supported remain, and george who supported leave. you are all so i don't think we

weren't old enough to vote.|j you are all so i don't think we weren't old enough to vote. i was. did you get involved in the campaign at the time? not specifically, but i did go and vote, and i went down with my brothers and the rest of my family. how do you feel it is going now, with six months to go? there is a lot of uncertainty, it is not clear, there is a lot of different things being thrown into the pot that are confuse, and if you only watch the news every so often, and you are not following it directly it is like what's going to happen? how do you feel? you are more on the leave side of the argument, aren't you, is it more complex than you thought, are there more issues you hadn't thought about? yes, there are more issue, even as a lever myself i am starting to get confused and it has gone complicated with the chequers agreement and other resignations which are taking place,

so, each leavers are starting to become unsure about what is happening. after all this time of being members of the eu, trying to get out of it is proving difficult, isn't it. do you think that young people, i mean all people really are following the details of what is going on here? i think personally, that quite a lot of young people are taking an interest because it is a massive issue, we haven't had anything like this affect our country for so long, it is like, i said, hard to follow, even if you are on top of it. what have your friends been saying. as a student it is difficult to understand the complexity of what is going on, in the future when we graduate, i am graduating next year, so i did get to vote, but that is when we will see the impacts of people in businesses, but, it's hard to believe what, i mean when when it was the leave campaign, i felt that was the leave campaign, i felt that was very much focussed on more funding for the was very much focussed on more funding forthe nhs, or, but, it is difficult to believe that, when

there's been things like this said before, but has it happened?“ there anything in particular that concerns you you think will affect your life in particular, with brexit? well, there's my life and the general how am i going to go on holiday, what is going to be affected there. the practicality of every day life. but people klose to me, my brothers are engineers and it affects the engineering sector a lot. my cousin and his new wife are farmers and it will affect the farming industry, it is about the people round you and how it will affect the major industries and... how do you feel about the politicians in charge of the process , politicians in charge of the process, do you thus hem to see the country through this?|j process, do you thus hem to see the country through this? i think a lot of people are giving theresa may a bit of stick at the moment but it would be difficult for anyone in that position. i think that even though i did vote for remain, i don't think there should be a second referendum, it would be too much complication, people have made the decision, if people want to leave we

will have to let her and try to get her to get the best deal. i think she will try to get the best deal. i don't think we will get a deal. i think eu may use the uk as an example if you want to leave, this is what can happen, because i feel that people thought, yes with leave but we can't keep the benefits, if we decided to leave why should we have all the benefits of being in the eu. george, people have talked about there being some disruption, there might be a down side for a little while, do you think that is worth it for the longer term, are you confident things can be better? iam omit you confident things can be better? i am omit mystic in the longer term we can become better, more strong, asa we can become better, more strong, as a country, as a nation, and i feel like what will be lost due to eu can like create more interest in like british goods, and british foods. which means we have #i78 port less and that can also result in morejobs as well. less and that can also result in more jobs as well. how do you feel

about a second referendum, do you think that is the way to go or could that be divisive. in terms of the imagine the! that be divisive. in terms of the imagine the i of people voted, we we re imagine the i of people voted, we were here for beak breakfast and one of the guys total me by 2019, in the summer, it is more likely that there will be more remain voters a alive than leave voters. lots of young people who haven't been.” than leave voters. lots of young people who haven't been. i have got friends who weren't able to vote because they were too young, it will affect them more than leave voter, that have unfortunately passed away. but do you think by in some ways opening it up again, that could make it more complicated?” opening it up again, that could make it more complicated? i think lit just be a political nightmare. i think it would be too much to have a second referendum but something e, we need to come to an agreement because at the minute it doesn't seem like we are getting anywhere. mrso do you seem like we are getting anywhere. mr so do you think between now and march there will be a deal of some kind? hopefully. what do you think?

ijust don't, i think that the, i think that the eu will use, will use us to set an example, because we have voted to leave so we need to stick by it. we won't get the best deal. there is no way we can have the benefits we have, but not be in the benefits we have, but not be in the eu. i don't see how that will work, really. george, how do you think it will pan out? do you think theresa may will get what she wants? she is trying hard to work, again she suffering a lot of pressure because it is such a big deal. hopefully she can sort something good out for us and then we be able to be better as a nation. do you have any sympathy for her as a leader? i do, because what she is doing is very hard and it is more thana doing is very hard and it is more than a one personjob doing is very hard and it is more than a one person job to doing is very hard and it is more than a one personjob to be honest. i think it certainly is that. thank you very much indeed. thank you for talking to us here today. there's been an intervention today by the head of the international monetary fund,

christine lagarde. it's not the first time the imf has warned that brexit will not go well for the uk and this morning ms lagarde said that a disorderly exit would have ‘dire consequences‘ i would have dire economic consequence, it will be a shock to supply and it would inevitably have a series of consequences in terms of reduced growth, going forward, increased deficit, most likely, depreciation of the currency, and it would, you know, in reasonably short order, mean that reduction of the size of the uk economy, so that is why we think it would have dire economic consequences. we also believe that any deal will not be as good as the smooth process under

which goods, service, people and capital move around, between the eu and the uk. without barrier, without you know impediments and particular obstacles you know impediments and particular o bsta cles so you know impediments and particular obstacles so whatever the deal is, will not be as good as it is at moment. let's speak now to sir richard leese — he is the leader of manchester city council — which is labour controlled. how do you feel about the next few mondays? it feels like we are getting to a point where it is going to go one way or another. theresa may is going to come back with some kind of deal or we will face the prospect of no deal. how is this area coping with that? there is a lot of anxiety, no deal i think would be disastrous for our economy, and a lot of other matters in the short—term, even the deal that theresa may's proposing we estimate would cause an 8% reduction in

expected growth over a 15 year period of time, so even that would be damaging for us. later in this month, along with other members of the combined authority, we will have to start considering what contingency meshes we will have to put in place to deal with the prospect of no deal. —— measures. put in place to deal with the prospect of no deal. -- measures. do you think that is looking more likely and what steps can you take to off set any concerns you have? likely and what steps can you take to off set any concerns you have ?m is certainly looking more likely, there might not been a agreement with the yurn there might not been a agreement with the yum yum, it's the —— european union it is the ability to get it through the uk parliament. we will have to look at the basic, food supply, will have to look at the basic, food supply, medicines, all of those things that are subject to just in time delivery, because all of those things are going to be at risk. in day one, of the no deal scenario. there will be some who say that greater manchester should be an area thatis greater manchester should be an area that is looking at the opportunities there could be for brexit and that businesses could be looking to the

future, and thinking of seizing those opportunities. we have been doing that, we have been doing ersince the referendum, we have been taking all the measures we can do, to make sure that manchester remains initially competitive. whatever the scenario, in the short—term, our economy visitors over 850,000 from the european union every year, 6 a 35,000 workers from the european union, 2,500 in our health system, thatis union, 2,500 in our health system, that is going to have an immediate impact if there is no deal, and it will take us several years to recover from that. you have been out, i think, recover from that. you have been out, ithink, to recover from that. you have been out, i think, to brussels, speaking to people out there, what kind of things have you been saying to them? them? we want to maintain tariff free trade in goods and service, we wa nt to free trade in goods and service, we want to be able to recruit the still skillings we need to grow our economy, we want to mick sure stu d e nts economy, we want to mick sure students can come here and study, maintain science research so we can generate the new ideas that will

grow our economy in future, we want a deal that allows us to do that. at the moment i think we will get a little bit of that but not enough to really guarantee we will be able to thrive in the way we would, if we could have all the things we want. thank you very much. the leader of manchester city council. there will be more from here, for the rest of the afternoon, also from elsewhere, burnley as well with christian frazer but thank you vicki. with six months to go until the uk leaves the eu how will brexit affect your wallet? will european holidays become more expensive? our business correspondent emma simpson and personalfinance expert jasmine birtles will be here taking your questions. to get involved, you can text your questions to 61124, text your questions to 61124. that's tomorrow morning at 11.30.

you're watching afternoon live, these are our headlines. her way or no way: theresa may says mps will have to choose between her approach to brexit and leaving the european union without a deal. the international monetary fund is warning that a ‘no deal‘ brexit would lead to a "significantly worse" outlook for the british economy. in the philippines: rescuers are digging through mud to find dozens buried by a landslide that hit as typhoon mangkhut battered the country. more on that in a moment. enzo calzaghe the fare—ofjoe has died. he guided joe to his career as a boxer. simon yates win at the vuelta mean british cyclists have won the last five grand tour titles

in re—and women‘s rugby union players will be given full—time contracts next yea r. more in round 20 minutes‘ time for you. the mp, tobias ellwood, has told the inquests into the deaths from the westminster bridge attack that he ignored his fears of a secondary attack, as he tried to help resuscitate one of the victims. mr ellwood said his main concern had been helping pc keith palmer, who‘d been stabbed. hela na lee reports. tobias ellwood came to court today and described how he ignored fears of a second terror attack as he tried to help save pc palmer. he told the inquest how he saw two bodies on the ground. the officer was one of them. he went to help, medically trained from a previous army career. he describes to the court how he started cpr on pc palmer. an emergency medical team then arrived and operated on the officer. as he described what happened next, tobias ellwood said, "forgive me. it‘s sometimes easier to do

the helping them to talk about it afterwards." the court heard how nothing more could be done for pc palmer. when the doctor told tobias ellwood he could stop helping, he told the inquest "that‘s when i said, sir, you‘re going to have to tell me to stop, to order me to stop." tobias ellwood then said this at the end: we both tidied up the body as best we could. i closed his eyes and i said i‘m sorry. he went on to say it was a very silent end, being left completely alone in an eerily silent palace of westminster. the coroner thanked tobias ellwood for all his efforts to try to save pc palmer. rescuers in the philippines are using shovels and their bare hands to try to find any survivors of a landslide caused by typhoon manghkut. the storm hit the north of the philippines and at least 65 people are now known to have been

killed in the country. large scale casualties appear to have been averted in hong kong and southern china, where nearly two—and—a—half million people were told to leave. the storm has now weakened as it passes over mainland china. robin brant reports from hong kong. people were told to leave. the storm has now weakened as it passes over mainland china. robin brant reports from hong kong. the typhoon is no more. mangkhut has been downgraded as it continues its journey west. but in its trail, a massive clean—up for some. for others, a more urgent a desperate search for survivors. in the philippines, rescuers are trying to find dozens of missing miners, buried beneath a landslide that engulfed their emergency shelters in the town of itogon. no—one has yet been pulled out alive. translation: my hopes are that they‘re fine and someone finds them but even if they are dead at least we can retrieve them and make our peace. others have been saved though. emergency workers facing the twin

threat of water and mud know that fresh landslides are still a threat. farmers have seen their rice and corn crop wiped out under a surge of water. they‘re used to the threat of typhoons in the philippines but many of these people live in communities least able to protect themselves. hong kong‘s high—rises took a battering. some swayed. windows shattered. the sea surged around low—lying areas. but no—one died here. hong kong got off fairly lightly. they‘ve got to clean up shattered glass and some rubbish. the biggest challenge now for the authorities is this, fallen trees blocking pavements and still some roadways. it‘s going to take a few days to make these safe and move them out of the way. otherwise it‘s back to business as usual. the city‘s schools will stay shut another day while they make sure it‘s safe for the children.

one hong konger i spoke to on a flooded street yesterday told me mangkhut was bad but not as bad as the year he saw boats on the streets. on the mainland, they very likely averted an even worse disaster. more than 2 million people were moved out of the path of the oncoming typhoon. still though some experienced it up close. translation: we were really scared. i‘d already barricaded the door. i didn‘t dare open it. me and my wife didn‘t dare go outside. mangkhut hit three places in three days. it was the strongest storm of the year. now it‘s heading west across southern china, losing strength by the hour. the cost to life and to asian economies is still not quantifiable. robin brant, bbc news, hong kong. and in the united states, authorities in north carolina have warned the risk to life is rising, after storm florence brought record amounts of rain. residents are being told to stay off the roads as the threat from flash floods remains high. at least 16 people have been killed. thousands remain in emergency shelters without power.

the woman who has accused donald trump‘s nominee for the supreme court of physical and sexual assault while they were both at high school has offered to testify in front of the congressional committee considering the confirmation. speaking through her lawyer, christine blasey ford, offered to speak to the committee which is due to vote on brett kava naugh‘s nomination later this week. she claims he pinned her to a bed and tried to remove her clothing when they were teenagers. he denies the claim. i can talk now to our correspondent gary o‘donohue in washington. does there mean this could be a delay to this significant vote? does there mean this could be a delay to this significant vote7m is highly likely there will be delay, the committee was due to vote on thursday, getting the nomination out of that judiciary on thursday, getting the nomination out of thatjudiciary committee on to the floor of the senate later this month, so this that the judge could take his place on the supreme court on october 1st when the new

session of the court begins. that now looks highly in doubt because i think the opt ticks of this are this woman in california will have to be heard, now she has been, she has offered testimony and revealed her identity. i think it would be impossible for the committee and the chair to ignore that, and thejudge will want to respond to that, he will want to respond to that, he will be given a right to respond to that and that takes time. those delays will significantly upset the republican, who want, as i say, to get done as quickly as possible, because if this thing gets delayed and delayed for weeks and weeks, and then they have a problem with getting it through any way and have to start all over again, then they run the risk of it not being done by the end of the year and what might happen at the end of the year, is in those mid term collection —— elections, the democrats could take the whip hand. these allegations appeared in some detail over the weekend in the washington post. yes,

so the allegations relate to 36 yea rs so the allegations relate to 36 years ago, they are that brett kavanaugh according to christine ford at a house party in the early 80s held her down, he was very drunk, he put his hand over her mouth and tried to undress her and there was another man in the room, another student who has been contacted another student who has been co nta cted by another student who has been contacted by the us press, who has said he has no recollection of the incidents. not as strong an endorsement of thejudge incidents. not as strong an endorsement of the judge as you might want from a friend. brett kavanaugh might want from a friend. brett kava naugh has might want from a friend. brett kavanaugh has said he denies it. he says it is a completely false allegation, he didn‘t know anything about it until it came out this weekend, it didn‘t happen he said, he eden hazardn‘t done that to her or anyone one else ever and offered to appear before the committee in any form they choose. the white house significantly saying that the

woman should ben‘t be ignored and should be heard even though they are standing by him. they know there has to bea standing by him. they know there has to be a process here, so ebbinevitably this means a delay. thank you. to bring you some breaking news on the ongoing brexit negotiation, we are hearing that this is from michel barniert eu chief brexit negotiator, he has been speaking, he says britain and the european union can reach a drool if they preserve the integrity of the single market. —— deal. the integrity of the single market. -- deal. this is the tweet that he has issued. he had been meeting the spanish prime minister in madrid, and michel barnier said spain had the eu‘s full support in negotiating with britain on the fate of gibraltar after britain leaves the eu in march. he says a deal with the uk is possible if integrity of single market is preserved. full

support for spain on gibraltar which needs to conclude as soon as possible. he has been briefing the spanish prime minister and the foreign minister on the progress in the brexit negotiations, and a spanish government source has been saying that michel barnier would also discuss gibraltar with them at that meeting. but that, well, as i say, these are negotiations but michel barnier, saying that the integrity of the single market is clearly crucial. if there will be a deal with britain over its departure from the eu. we will have much more on that, we have a full day of programmes and no doubt it will be picked up by vicki young in salford when we return to her later. the bbc‘s director general, tony hall, says the corporation intends to move more of its production out of london. the idea is part of a plan which he‘ll set out tomorrow in a speech to the royal television society where he will address the challenges facing the bbc and public broadcasting in the face

of modern media. now it‘s time for a look at the weather with darren bett. windy weather tonight. today we have seeing more sunshine coming in from the south—east, boosting the temperatures really warm for this time of year, towards the north an west scotland and northern ireland much more cloud moving in, some rain too and it will stay wet overnight. same time overnight we will see this wind and rain beginning to arrive in the south—west, pushing into wales, eastern areas should be dry and clear and a warm night, perhaps no lower than 14—16, this wet and windy weather comes courtesy of storm helene. that is going to impact england and wales, the high level gusts are likely to be round western hills and coast, but it will be windy for wales in particular, we have this rain sweeping away into northern england across scotland out of the way. sunny spells developing.

showers copping in from the west, strongest of the winds for england and wales, so those are the temperatures still higher than average, 24, 25 in the south—east. this is bbc news — our latest headlines. theresa may says parliament will have a choice between her proposed deal with the eu or no deal at all. meanwhile, the eu‘s chief negotiator michel barnier has tweeted to say a deal can be done as long as the integrity of the single market is preserved. the international monetary fund warns that britain would face a significantly worse economic outlook if it were to leave the european union without an agreement. its managing director christine lagarde says that all brexit outcomes would entail costs for the uk. rescue workers in the philippines are urgently trying to find any survivors of a huge landslide caused by typhoon manghkut. across the country, 65 people are known to have died as a result of the storm. the mp tobias ellwood tells an inquest into the westminster bridge terror attack

that he had to be ordered to stop first aid efforts to save the life of pc keith palmer after it was determined the officer could not be resuscitated. and a campaign is launched to stop drivers on england‘s roads from tailgating, as new analysis says more than 100 people are killed or seriously hurt each year in crashes caused by driving too closely to other vehicles. sport now on afternoon live with karthi, and some sad news about enzo calzaghe. yes, the boxing trainer enzo calzaghe has died at the age of 69. it was the farmer ofjoe and had guided his son to become a world champion in two different weight classes in an undefeated 46 fight career as a professional. despite having no experience as a trainer, enzo also went

on to lead gavin rees and enzo maccarinelli to world titles in the sport. enzo clazaghe has died at the age of 69. there will be much more on that throughout the afternoon on bbc news. and it‘s a significant day for the women‘s rugby team. england women‘s rugby union players will be given full—time professional contracts from next year. that‘s after they had been controversially scrapped after the 2017 world cup. the rfu focused on sevens rugby but now there will be 28 contracts available. the sport‘s govering body said it demonstrated their commitment to growing the women‘s game and their ambition to be the world‘s number one team. he‘s on the back pages of most of the newspapers today but simon yates insists he‘s not a superstar. he will return home to britain though knowing he has made history. yates‘ win at the vuelta a espana

means that three different cyclists from the same country have won the three grand tour titles in the same year for the first time. in fact british cyclists have now won the last five big cycling titles, known as the grand tour titles. yates believes we‘re starting to see the results of the investment in the sport at the turn of the century. icame i came through the national system with a huge increase in funding from the lottery and that sort of stuff so the lottery and that sort of stuff so for me i've always been looked after in that sort of way and direction until obviously i turned professional and now it hasjust been ourteam here. professional and now it hasjust been our team here. that's the only thing i can really think about, the funding increase, the focus is much more on the grassroots and bringing tale nt more on the grassroots and bringing talent through from a young age. i think you are seeing that now. i started many years ago. yates started out at a cycling club in bury, where he and his brother always showed a determination to be

among the best. the first time that we spoke to them about what they wanted to do, most young teenagers would say they want to play for united or something like that, simon and adam said they wa nted that, simon and adam said they wanted to be professional cyclists so in their own minds they thought they had the talent, so to come through and do it is unbelievable really. let‘s move on to football. two english players dominated major league soccer on sunday as dc united and new york red bulls drew 3—3. wayne rooney scored dc‘s second, which put them in front midway through the second half — but he was outshone by bradley wright—phillips, whose hat—trick was even more impressive as each time he scored he was equalised for the red bulls. the last goal coming in the 90th minute. zlatan ibrahimovic scored his 500th goal in la galaxy‘s match against toronto fc and it was an absolute cracker. hejoins lionel messi and cristiano ronaldo as the only active players to reach the half—century mark. and although his side lost, zlatan, being zlatan, he felt he gave both sets of fans

something to enjoy. i mean it is not the first time i get a standing ovation from the away team. it‘s nice because when i came here in mls i haven‘t given them these goals, absolutely not, but i feel the away supporters become like my home supporters because i see them excited when they see me play. they pretend to whistle but they don‘t really whistle because they do that to show they are loyal to their home team. deep inside i know they are my fans, so that is cool. he loves a standing ovation from the opposite fans. there we go, simon. hope for us or! right, back to brexit

and our special coverage of the six month countdown starting today. our chief political correspondent vicki young is at university of salford and she joins us now with the latest on those comments by theresa may — it‘s her way or the highway apparently, vicki? that‘s the way she‘s trying to characterise the choice by the end of the year, she‘s saying it is the checkis of the year, she‘s saying it is the check is planned she has come up with or are no—deal brexit and that‘s despite the insistence from some brexiteers uk could get a better trade deal with the eu that would leave is in a better position. throughout this process we‘ve heard a lot from the different type of trade models. people have been talking about canada deal, switzerland or norway and luckily chris morris will explain it all. if you are confused about it, we will clarify that even with some blacks to make it easy to understand. —— some flags. let‘s take a look

at some of the different trade deals...starting with the norway model. norway is a member of european economic area. norway also has full access to the single market. obliged to make a financial contribution and accept majority of eu laws free movement applies as it does in the eu. the upside is if you stay in the single market it means you are in the closest possible trading relationship with your nearest neighbours. you don‘t have to have checks for food safety, you have the same standards. norway is also not in the customs union so it can do its own trade deals around the world. some of it you would think would be attractive to people who

wa nt to would be attractive to people who want to leave the european union but of course the other thing about norway is it has to accept a lot of eu rules that it doesn‘t have direct say over making and makes sizeable contributions to the eu budget. not as big per person as we do as full members but still fairly sizeable. it would be hard for anyone to say the days of the budget payments to brussels had come to an end. there are upsides and downsides but for a lot of businesses it would maintain the close link. but you don't have a seat at the table. now, what the norwegians say is a lot of the standards we are talking about are set globally so the norwegians lobby furiously at a global level so by the time they drift down to an eu level they feel they have already made their point. they also have a huge embassy in brussels which lobbies furiously behind the scenes. they say they reckon most of the

time they make the points they want to make but it‘s not the same as what we have at the moment which is putting your hand up and having a vote on new laws. and let‘s compare that to switzerland. member of the european free trade association but not the eea. access to eu market governed by series of bilateral agreements, covers some but not all areas of trade. makes a financial contribution but smaller than norway‘s. switzerland does not have to apply eu laws but does have to implement some eu regulations to enable trade. free movement applies. switzerland is an unusual slightly

unique case in that it has a series of bilateral agreements with the eu. there are parts of the agreement i think the uk would like. the problem is it is not on offer from the european union. the eu doesn‘t like the hassle of having all these... every time something changes you have to renegotiate the with the swiss. the swiss have to sign up to free movement of people because they have better access than outside countries to the single market but they are not quite as much a full member of the single market as a country like norway then maybe things in the swiss model that would be quite attractive for britain but it is not on offer. what about the banking and services sector, is that included for the swiss? no, it is not. if you look at the chequers proposal, services would not be part of the common rule book anyway.

again, there‘s elements of the swiss model that people who want to leave the eu might like but i don‘t think it is realistic. and finally let‘s take a look at canada. ceta free trade deal with the eu has yet to come into force. gets rid of most tariffs on goods, but excludes some food items but excludes some food and services. the deal stipulates that they need to prove where goods are made. what would be the upside of this kind of model? canada is the most up to trade —— up—to—date free trade movement which means tariffs on most

goods disappear, services are not really included but the main thing about the canada model is you are out of the single market and the customs union. so if that‘s what you are trying to achieve, this is probably a simple destination. but of course when you look at what the government has proposed through chequers, there was a lot of consultation with businesses, and for many of those they argue this would not be sufficient to enable trucks to come in through dover to get to factories every hour on the hour to deliver car parts or fresh food. if you want a clean break, canada probably is your model but it has drawbacks. when people like david davies talk about canada plus plus, he‘s talking about adding in financial services... a better deal. it has legitimacy because we are

more important to the european union and —— then canada, we have more to offer. obviously we are a slightly smaller partner in this negotiation, there are 27 countries there and we are one country but we would be a much more important economic partnership for the eu then canada. the argument is we start with canada and we can make it better. what do brussels say about that? almost from the beginning a lot of people in brussels have said it is canada or norway. i think you can chip away at those and make them both better. because of oximetry, our history and our importance as an economy, but the problem with that is if we came out with a better deal than canada

was the first thing that is going to happen? canada or norway will knock on the door and say we want what they‘ve got. on the door and say we want what they've got. fascinating stuff, i feel like i‘ve done my homework now. as an exit treaty has still not been agreed, much remains unclear — not least for! million or more british citizens who‘ve left the uk to make their home in other eu countries. our europe correspondent damian grammaticas has been to bulgaria where up to 10,000 uk citizens are now living. he asked them what drew them there and what they think the future holds for them. it‘s happy hour, saturday party night. brits and bulgarians mixing in the wolf den pub. we‘re almost 2000 miles from the uk. brexit seems a million miles away. darren wood, a former train driver from portsmouth,

opened the wolf den just a fortnight ago. he and his partner sue have sunk their £50,000 savings into it. what‘s brought the brits here? a life in the sun that‘s cheap. so are they anxious about brexit? i wanted brexit. yeah, bring it on. we‘re brexiteers. what do you think the impact will be on your life here? it‘s not going to have any impact. i think there's a lot of fear mongering going on. yes. and i think, yes, those fears are being fuelled. but darren, who voted for brexit, is now worried. i voted leave and i left. and how do you feel about that vote now? if i could do it again, i'd change my mind without any hesitation. the main concern here is my pension. i get a private pension. i'm way away from state pension age, but there's a risk that i may not be able to draw that or get paid that living abroad as an expat. darren and more than 1000 other uk expats have been drawn to live here,

the area around the ancient capital of veliko tarnovo. bulgaria is the poorest country in the eu. for around £2000, you can buy a house in a village near here. one sunday a month, there‘s a british car—boot sale. hello! if the uk fails to make a brexit deal, each eu country will apply its own rules to brits. so it‘s no wonder some are anxious. in all there are perhaps 1 million brits who have made their lives here in bulgaria and other countries across the eu. more when you count those who split their time between places. but what we hear again and again are specific concerns because nobody knows how they‘ll be affected in just six months‘ time. felicity lives off the uk state pension and earns a little extra selling her cakes and jam. the value of the pound has gone down since brexit. i‘m on a pension and that makes a great difference.

so easily 10% or 20% drop in your income effectively? yes, which does affect what i can do. already i've got regular customers, the lovely bulgaria ladies, who buy my clothes. i wonder if they are going to be quite so friendly towards me next year. i would give up my passport tomorrow really if it meant that i became a european citizen for the rest of my life rather than being linked to a little island that doesn't seem to want to be part of europe any more. but at the beehive, they‘re not worried about the future. they‘re learning bulgarian. brexit supporters who like bulgaria because they say life here is how the uk used to be. it is like england was maybe 50 years ago. it‘s wonderful. wonderful. so even on the furthest side of the eu, you find brits waiting to see what brexit will bring.

they‘ve bought property, invested, made lives here, and few want now to leave. damian grammaticas, bbc news, northern bulgaria. the flags have gone but we will be testing you later on the various trade models available to the uk. no expense spared! ina in a moment the business news. first a look at the headlines on afternoon live... her way or no way — theresa may says mps will have to choose between her approach to brexit and leaving the european union without a deal. the international monetary fund is warning that a no—deal brexit would lead to a "significantly

worse" outlook for the british economy. in the philippines: rescuers are digging through mud to find dozens buried by a landslide that hit as typhoon mangkhut battered the country. more on that in a moment. here‘s your business headlines on afternoon live. jaguar land rover workers at the company‘s solihull plant have been put on a three—day week until christmas. the uk‘s largest car—maker said it was making "temporary adjustments to our production schedules" at its castle bromwich factory. as we‘ve been hearing, the international monetary fund has warned that a no—deal brexit on world trade organization terms would entail substantial costs for the uk economy. such an outcome would affect "to a lesser extent" other eu economies. one of the top shareholders in unilever has said it will vote against the firm‘s plan to move its headquarters to the netherlands, amid growing investor concern about the plan. unilever, which makes marmite and dove soap, has headquarters in both london and rotterdam, but it announced in march that it planned to have just one hq located in the dutch city. there‘s a competition

going on for the best high street. how do you define that? the nicest shop? the prettiest? if so you are slightly defined by your location. if you have the concrete jungle it won‘t look that nice. on the other hand there could be leisure activities. they are down to a shortlist here of 38 high streets. we have wimborne in dorset, worcester, some also in scotland, wales and armagh in northern ireland. they know some of them,

guildford in surrey for instance. a few years ago they were pretty awful. i remember guildford in the 19905, awful. i remember guildford in the 1990s, not very nice at all but i think things have changed. people are putting more effort into high streets, they are seen as different. there is competition now. yes, when you had the supermarkets coming to out—of—town places, the high streets had to get their ideas sorted out and produce some kind of attraction. some dead and some failed. there are some high streets around the country which are pretty awful. joining us now is hemlata narasimhan, head of merchant services at visa europe. what is it then makes a great high street? thank you for having me. we are proud to be partnering with the uk government which is leading this

initiative and competition around the great british high street. in terms of what makes a great high street, the criteria sums it up well. it‘s about community, i streets that have integrated their local community and they are truly bringing in the spirit of that community into shops and services on the high street. the second criteria is around unique customer experiences so it could be anything from having trampolining in the high street for instance, street fairs and food stalls. the third criteria is around the environment. we know many high streets are actively looking to not have plastic bags for insta nce looking to not have plastic bags for instance that going for paper. the fourth criteria is around digital experiences so high streets which are evolving with where customers are evolving with where customers are going on social media and so on. like burnt won it a couple of years

ago, what was so good about blackburn in lancashire? click won in 2016 and some of the aspects that made it special work that there was a new leisure centre, a new revitalised bus station. i believe they‘d spent a lot of money revitalising the heritage buildings in the area. we find it is the combination of services and shops, and what the retailers in the community put in together that makes the high street stand out. very briefly, have they changed? some of these that i saw written down here, ten yea rs these that i saw written down here, ten years ago i know they were pretty grim, but they have changed, haven‘t they? pretty grim, but they have changed, haven't they? absolutely and i think that change is something the competition is looking to recognise and encourage. if you think about replacing stores that might be va ca nt replacing stores that might be vacant with pop—up stores for insta nce vacant with pop—up stores for instance and how our community might

be getting together and organising a parade or street festival, we find that the changes big part of what makes a high—street great and very often it‘s driven by the independent retailers on the high street and the community which is almost a catalyst for the areas are high streets are in. thank you forjoining us. talking about how grim guildford is, but let‘s move on. strawberries, there are some problems. a horrible story this, they have been finding needles in them. australia has ordered an investigation into the discovery of sewing needles hidden in strawberries, amid growing alarm over scares across the country. they have no idea who has done it,

they think possibly a disgruntled employee. suddenly the picture of a boy eating strawberry becomes a kind of horror show. the price of strawberries has plummeted in australia, about £60 million business. also one of the fastest—growing strawberry exporting industries in the world so they have a lot to lose and they could lose a lot. a quick look at the market. everything turned sour slightly in the last hour and the us market is down slightly as well although we don‘t have it up there. the pound is getting slightly stronger against the euro. more expert analysis later. time for a look at the weather... here‘s darren bett.

we are seeing more sunshine come in from the south. much more cloud moving into scotland and northern ireland and it will stay wet in these areas overnight. at the same time we will see this wind and rain beginning to arrive, pushing into wales. eastern areas should be dry and clear with a warm night. the wind is picking up later this evening as the rain arrives into the south—west and wales. sunny spells developing, showers coming in from the west. temperatures are higher than average for the time of year. 24 or 25 in

the south—east. hello, you‘re watching afternoon live. today at 4: her way or no way. with six months to go theresa may insists the only alternative to her plan for brexit is to leave the eu with no deal. we will get a good deal and we will bring that back from the eu negotiations and put that to parliament. i think that the alternative to that will be not having a deal. the international monetary fund warns that a "no—deal" brexit on world trade organization terms would entail "substantial costs" for the uk economy. iam i am vicki young, live in salford, where we have been speaking to stu d e nts where we have been speaking to students and local businesses about their hopes and fears for the next six months.

iam in six months. i am in brexit burnley where the economy is booming. will their leave vote affect or not the giant steps forward they have taken? the desperate details of how mp tobias ellwood battled to save police officer keith palmer who was stabbed to death in the westminster bridge attack. and a race against time: rescuers in the philippines are digging through mud to find dozens buried by a landslide that hit as typhoon mangkhut battered the country. coming up on afternoon live, all the sport. yes, big change for england women‘s rugby union coming up. the players will be given full time professional contracts from the start of next year. and we have the weather forecast. yes, seller has returned. 26 degrees in the south—east of england today. but it is the calm before the storm.

helene is on the way. also coming up, tackling the tailgaters. we look at the campaign to stop motorists who drive far too close to the car in front. hello, everyone. this is afternoon live. good afternoon. with just six months to go until the uk is scheduled to leave the eu the pressures on all those involved are mounting and today the prime minister theresa may has upped the ante, saying mps will have a choice between her proposed deal with the eu, or no deal at all. in a day of special programming, we‘re taking a detailed look at where we stand, with that eu clock ticking. our chief political correspondent, vicki young, is at salford university for us. we canjoin her now. theresa may ‘s message seems to be i

have worked hard to try and hammer out this compromise and she hopes if that goes well, it will be the basis of the deal she will bring back from brussels and put to the fold and what she is saying to them is the alternative to that is no deal at all. that of course is disputed by many in the house of commons. the prime minister also criticised the proposals by brexit—supporting members of her own party to try to resolve the irish border issue. in response, former foreign secretary borisjohnson has warned that mrs may‘s approach to the border question could lead to brexit being what he called a "total write—off". our political correspondent, iain watson, reports. a brief moment of semi—relaxation for the prime minister and her husband at chequers, her country retreat. yes, that‘s the very place where the cabinet, or most of it, agreed a proposal to put to the eu on our future relationship. in case you wondered, they‘re watching the chase, a game show which requires teamwork

if you‘re to outwit a wily opponent and come away better off. but where there‘s also a very high risk of walking away with nothing. but it was another game show she was channelling in her panorama interview — deal or no deal. i believe we‘ll get a good deal, we‘ll bring that back from the eu negotiations, and put that to parliament. i think the alternative to that will be not having a deal. naturally, that hasn‘t gone down well with opponents of brexit, who want a new referendum. i think it is a deep disservice to our democratic traditions to have a prime minister saying you've no choices left, it's my fudge or the abyss. that is not true, we always have more choices if only we're prepared to take them. one of the biggest barriers to getting a withdrawal agreement is the issue of the irish border. the prime minister was dismissive of a plan put forward last week by some brexiteers.

what many of these other plans are based on is moving the border. you don‘t solve the issue of no hard border by having a hard border 20 kilometres inside northern ireland or 20 kilometres inside ireland, it‘s still a hard border. thank you. but sorting the issue out with the eu is taking a long time and talks have been farfrom harmonious. hello, jean—claude. reports in this morning‘s times thought, suggest that the european commission is reconsidering its position, avoiding the prospect of customs checks between northern ireland and the rest of the uk. "a car crash" — that‘s how the former foreign secretary has described the brexit talks. now he says if the eu changes direction on ireland, a disaster could be averted. i think in brussels they are now discussing actively some of the technical ways of dealing with this that would allow for a breakthrough, allow us to do a proper free trade deal, allow us properly to take back control of the regulatory framework, but also to do a proper brexit. if a deal is moving closer,

what would it look like? to secure good access to european markets, could there be preferential treatment for eu workers? we‘re going to be putting our immigration proposals forward later this autumn. and showing people the plans. do you rule out giving a special deal to eu citizens? we‘ll put our proposals forward when we put them forward. while the prime minister is clear that free movement would end, as i understand it, labour mobility could be be part of any trade deal. number ten would argue this does not amount to special treatment for the eu, because the same thing could be offered to other countries. the real challenge for theresa may will be to get any deal at all through westminster. opposition parties are gearing up to vote against the prime minister. and they could be joined by some of her own mps. so, whatever she does agree with brussels, it‘s not a done deal.

and you can see more of that interview with theresa may in full on tonight‘s panorama at 8.30 on bbc one. in the last hour, the eu‘s chief negotiator michel barnier has said that the uk and the european union will be able to reach a deal if they preserve the integrity of the single market. in a tweet after meeting the spanish prime minister, mr barnier said spain had the eu‘s full support in negotiating with britain on the status of gibraltar after britain leaves the eu in march 2019. simon convey, the irish foreign minister, said he believed ireland would not be undermined in the process of achieving a deal.

i don‘t have a concern that ireland will be abandoned or undermined at the end of these negotiations to get a deal and the end of these negotiations to get a dealandi the end of these negotiations to get a deal and i believe that michel barnier as the leader of the eu negotiating team is as strong as i am on that issue. there‘s been an intervention today by the head of the international monetary fund, christine lagarde. it‘s not the first time the imf has warned that brexit will not go well for the uk and this morning ms lagarde said that a disorderly exit would have dire consequences. our assessment is that it would have very dire economy consequences. it would be a shock to supply and it would be a shock to supply and it would inevitably have a series of consequences in terms of reduced growth going forward. increased deficits, most likely. depreciation of the currency. and it would, you know, in reasonably short order, meana know, in reasonably short order, mean a reduction of the size of the

uk economy. so that is why we think it would have dire economy consequences. we also believe that any deal will not be as good as the smooth process under which goods services, people and move around between the eu and the uk, without barriers, without impediments and particular obstacles. whatever the deal is will not be as good as it is at the moment. that was christine lagarde speaking a little earlier. we are here in salford all day gauging reaction from students and local businesses and experts about how they see the next six months panning out. my colleague christian fraser is in burnley for us. burnley voted overwhelmingly to

leave the eu. hejoins us now. thank you very much. i think this is a moment forfull thank you very much. i think this is a moment for full disclosure. anyone who follows me on twitter will know that i am a long—suffering die—hard burnley fan. however, i have not been here, not lived here, for over 20 years. perhaps in a little way, i am part of the story. the trend you see in burnley over the last 20, 30 yea rs see in burnley over the last 20, 30 years is people moving away, seeking opportunity and employment. until very recently because over the last six or seven years, the local business groups had been working hand—in—hand with people here at the local town hall and they have done some remarkable things, which i hope from the report we are about to show you will change some of the preformed ideas you might have about these northern industrial towns and where they are headed. of course, it isa where they are headed. of course, it is a town that has a very close affinity with its football club and

yesterday burnley were travelling to wolverhampton in the midlands, a good opportunity to take the brexit pulse in a brexit constituency where two out of three people voted leave. it is one of the smaller stadiums in england. this burnley squad loves to upset the established order. the players reflect the same stubborn character as the men and women who follow them around the country. this time, it is a trip to wolverhampton wanderers, another chance to defy the odds and as with football, so it is with brexit. if we don't leave now, it will raise its head again. our children will have this in years to come. we have spoken, that is the end of it. now get on with it and make the best of it. i agree, we voted to leave and that is what we

will have to do. we cannot keep changing our minds, like people want to do. i do have worries but it is just the fear of the unknown. does that uncertainty leaves some year to reconsider? those who voted for brexit, keep your hands up if you still think it isa your hands up if you still think it is a good idea. you have not changed your mind at all? no german is telling me what to do! that, i think, telling me what to do! that, ithink, is telling me what to do! that, i think, is a good view, that. we think we have been forgotten about. immigration is the big thing in burnley. the reasons are complex, immigration, sovereignty and yes, this town has some of the poorest wards in the country, at —— and the terraced houses are the relics of the cotton industry. but follow the canal from the old mill chimneys to the gleaming new business parks on the edge of town and you find that for all the brexit uncertainty, the economy is in fact

booming. they have embraced aerospace, digital innovation, telecoms and at 80%, there is now record employment. burnley is one of the fastest growing tech towns in britain. they tell me businesses in burnley are as bullish about brexit as the fans. and yet, the longer the insurgency continues, the greater the risk that progress comes unstitched. i went to all the european games and six different people came up to talk to me about brexit. and four of them were saying, "we‘ve got to stay, this is crazy." two were saying, "get on with it." of course my argument is what is "it"? i think that‘s the question that‘s starting to make people reflect. would you vote brexit again? i'd like to think that with the promotion of more information, the population of burnley would be better informed. the eu, they're going to have to, like, show their cards at some point, aren't they? it'll probably go down to the wire, like our season in the prem. some are anxious, some have turned, some are impatient for progress,

both on and off the pitch. after a 1—0 defeat, burnley remain without a win in the premier league. it‘s been tough since the summer. sound familiar? christian fraser, bbc news, wolverhampton. yes, the less said about the football perhaps the better. they say you can build an entire aircraft from these lancashire towns and burnley has specialised in bringing some of these businesses to this area. it is these business groups working with the town hall that have helped do that. i said in the report that they are quite bullish and that is because they are already exporting to markets outside of europe, to the likes of the united states, other world trade organisation rules. they are perhaps resilient as well because they have a workforce that is growing, that

has got the technical know—how, wages are a bit lower in this part of the world and there is plenty of space. however, what investors like is certainty and at the moment, there is concern that they don‘t know what the government ‘s plan is going to do. they have asian companies breathing down their neck and they want answers on what the brexit future is going to look like. let‘s get a thought on that with a local councillor. you stood as a burnley mp in 2017. it was one of the best conservative performances around the country. why do you think you did so well? i think that a lot of that has to do with i was the regional director for vote lead in this area and there was a huge leave folk dance people wanted somebody... they wanted somebody that would make sure that happen for them.” they wanted somebody that would make sure that happen for them. i think that listening to do with it. i talked about the positives but in

wards in the centre of burnley, there is persistent poverty that has been there and we know that when budgets are cut, when there is austerity, when the sort of support gra nts austerity, when the sort of support grants from the european union disappear, it is those who have nothing to lose who are hit the ha rd est. nothing to lose who are hit the hardest. there is no doubt about that and it would be wrong for somebody to try and deny that. however when those budgets from the european support budgets are cut, thatis european support budgets are cut, that is money we centre europe anyway. we will have that money and i would hope we will be able to spend it more appropriately in areas that we know best. when we talked to people yesterday, i said there were complex reasons, a number of reasons why people voted brexit. this idea people did not know why they voted, ido people did not know why they voted, i do not believe. but immigration does come up time and time again. the thing about burnley, the immigration was in the 1950s and 19605. immigration was in the 1950s and 1960s. people have been moving away. is that a hangover in a way of what

has gone before? i think a lot of people, it is about our government having control of the destiny of the country. but andy immigration, it can bea country. but andy immigration, it can be a whole range of things. people round here are concerned with immigration. historically, you can see the type of parties that have stood around here. we will be in a position where the government can ta ke position where the government can take a better control of immigration. iam not take a better control of immigration. i am not worried about progress because i think people will have more confidence in their own government. whichever government that is. to be able to control a whole range of measures. k, thank you very much indeed. we will be speaking to julie cooper, you very much indeed. we will be speaking tojulie cooper, a remain mpfora speaking tojulie cooper, a remain mp for a brexit constituency, it‘ll be interesting to hear her thoughts on what she makes of the progress so far. the one thing i would say having talked to people yesterday, it was not a very scientific poll on our burnley bus, but the brexiteers still very much favour of brexit.

and although the remainers have real concerns and it was interesting that some of the reports last week from the bank of england, property prices may drop by 35% in the worst—case scenario, that has filtered through, and yet they still want the government to get on with it. i did not yesterday detect much appetite for a people‘s vote. or a second referendum. thank you very much. we will have plenty more. how will it affect your wallet? will european holidays become more example? our personal finance correspondent and personal finance correspondent and personal finance expert will be here taking your questions tomorrow. you‘re watching afternoon live, these are our headlines.

her way or no way: theresa may says mps will have to choose between her approach to brexit and leaving the european union without a deal. the international monetary fund is warning that a ‘no deal‘ brexit would lead to a "significantly worse" outlook for the british economy. in the philippines: rescuers are digging through mud to find dozens buried by a landslide that hit as typhoon mangkhut battered the country. more on that in a moment. and in sport... enzo calzaghe, the father of former world boxing champion joe, has died. enzo guided joe to becoming a world champion at two diffferent weight classes in an undefeated 46—fight career as a professional. simon yates‘ win at the vuelta a espana means three different cyclists from the same counrty have won the three grand tour titles this year. england women‘s rugby union players will be given

full—time professional contracts from next year. 28 contracts are available, plus seven elite player squad agreements. i‘ll be back with more on those stores later. the mp, tobias ellwood, has told the inquests into the deaths from the westminster bridge attack that he ignored his fears of a secondary attack, as he tried to help resuscitate one of the victims. mr ellwood said his main concern had been helping pc keith palmer, who‘d been stabbed. helena lee has been following the case at the old bailey and has this report. tobia ellwood told the inquest how he saw two bodies on the ground and the officer was one of them. he went to help, medically trained from a

previous army career. he described to the court how he started cpr on pc,, and to the court how he started cpr on pc, , and emergency to the court how he started cpr on pc,, and emergency medical team then arrived and operated on the officer. as he described what happened next, tobias ellwood said... the court heard how nothing more could be done for pc palmer. when the doctor told tobias ellwood he could stop helping, he told the inquest, that is when i said, you are going to have to tell me to stop, to order me to stop. tobias ellwood then said this at the end... he went on to describe how he was left alone with pc palmer ‘s body in an eerily silent palace of westminster. the coroner thanked tobias ellwood for all his efforts to try and save pc palmer. our correspondentjenny kumah is at the old bailey. a very emotional day. yes, this

afternoon, we have been hearing about the movements of the two armed police officers who were on duty that day. the court was shown footage of their movements and it showed in the moments before the attack, there had been no armed officers at the carriage gates. at the time, when the car was crushed, the time, when the car was crushed, the two armed officers were positioned in the corner of the palace yard. they remained there when the attacks happened. the footage shows the two officers moved towards an area where masoud had collapsed after three shots rang out. they arrived at the scene at

around 1442. one of those officers on duty that day has been giving evidence this afternoon and he is expected to continue giving so tomorrow morning. we have just seen some evidence that has been given to the grenfell tower enquiry and some remarkably emotional evidence that has been heard there. this has been coming from one of those people operating in the control room for the fire brigade. she was at a control room based in stratford east london and she took around 80 calls to 909 on the night of the fire injune last year. now, she has said in a statement that she had been relu cta nt to statement that she had been reluctant to advise tenants to remain inside a building would like a burning building and she said a friend of hers had given similar

advice in a previous incident. she describes the utter shock in the control room as they realised what was happening. there were colleagues who were going online and putting the television onto see pictures from grenfell tower and she is a 37—year—old veteran of the london fire brigade and she described the feeling of feeling useless as she fielded calls from those without an escape route. they included a father of five, who had frames coming through the walls of his flat and she wrote, i told him there was nothing i could do and he was better off with his family. she said, i ended the call by saying i would make absolutely sure they knew where he was. she said it was just horrible. four hours, hundreds of calls flooded into the control room, prompting other bases around the country to take on some of the workload and she was referring to

the trapped residents who had rung 999, she said you could not help but thinking they had all gone, their relatives started calling and asking about family members. they feared the worst and that was why they were calling us. the lack of calls from inside made it clear what was going on. she said it was easily in the control room. someone said, what does this mean? but we all knew what it meant. she said the atmosphere was one of stunned silence. emotional evidence to the enquiry at g re nfell tower, emotional evidence to the enquiry at grenfell tower, as you can see. that enquiry is continuing. this was a written piece of evidence from one of those in the control room and describing, as i say, the stunned silence as people in the control room and study severity of the g re nfell tower room and study severity of the grenfell tower blaze. 72 people losing their lives in that last year. any more points on that, i will bring them to you.

about 1,000 workers at jaguar‘s castle bromwich plant in birmingham will move from a five—day to a three—day week from october until christmas. jaguar land rover said it was making "temporary adjustments to our production schedules" at the factory. jack dromey, the labour mp for erdington, blamed what he called "brexit chaos" for the move. jlr said in a statement it was standard business practice to "regularly review its production schedules to ensure market demand is balanced globally". jack dromey, the labour mp for birmingham erdington hasjoined me now from our westminster studio. how concerning is this? very. growing uncertainty over brexit and the mishandling by government of the transition from diesel poses a mounting threat to jaguar land rover and that is why it was right to speak out last week. this is a great company, he is an outstanding chief executive, the factories have doubled in size in the last eight yea rs doubled in size in the last eight years under his leadership. i worked with him back in 2010 to turn around

the jaguar plant from closure. it doubled from 20,000 to 40,000, transforming the lives of tens of thousands and it is painful now to see the mounting problems that the company faces. let me just take those points individually. you talk about the mishandling, as you describe it, of the diesel demand issue. jlr itself has said it is making serious changes to adapt to a hybrid electric future and this is pa rt hybrid electric future and this is part of that, isn‘t it? you have to start taking down some of your production. the company has been planning for the future. the problem is the transition because it will ta ke is the transition because it will take some time to transfer to production of all electric vehicles. in the meantime, the way that it has been handled by government over diesel is to send a message that somehow if you buy a diesel car, there will —— they will be worthless. in circumstances, we are

—— they are ultralow emission. there has been a real problem there. what jaguar land rover are doing and they are very jaguar land rover are doing and they are very good at doing it, together with the workforce and the union, is to plan for the future. these steps are to plan for the future. these steps a re necessary to plan for the future. these steps are necessary in the interim, in that process of transition, but it comes back to this then big threat overhanging the company and that is why the chief executive spoke out last week and this is a man normally cautious about what he says in the public arena. what he said was absolutely right. if the government get it wrong and we have a hard brexit or we crash out without any deal, it poses a real threat to the future of the company. that is in the future. let‘s just look at some fa cts . the future. let‘s just look at some facts. it made a £264 million pre—tax loss. how much of that is down to uncertainty question mark how much of that is down to the fact the chinese market has all but collapsed in this particular arena? there are a series of growing

problems, that there is no doubt. but then you boil it down and you say, what needs to be done at the next stages? it is fundamentally two things. first of all that brexit is handled by government in a way that avoids disaster for our automotive industry. and jaguar land rover is the jewel in ground of the automotive industry. and secondly, it is then about the transition to a new generation of electric vehicles, that will take many years. the government has given the wrong impression and so in the meantime, what we have seen is the sale of diesel cars collapsing by a third and that has really hurt the industry. bernard jenkin talking today about brexit and saying it is very easy to blame brexit. many people are just scaremongering over it. no. they are not a company that scaremongers. when the chief executive said what he said from the heart, this is a man passionately committed to this country and to jaguar land rover. what he said was

absolutely right and four then him to be accused by bernard jenkin this morning of somehow making it up, i find absolutely extraordinary. how much does bernard jenkin know about the manufacturing of cars? i suspect very little. good of you to join us. thank you for your time. don‘t forget, you can letters know about any thing you think about the stories we are bringing you today. time for the weather forecast. yes, this is the last time we will really have a round—up of what has been happening with the storms that have been battering the world. they have faded away and they are much weaker and they have pretty much gone. over the weekend we had typhoon mangkhut

striking northern part of the philippines. this is where the winds we re philippines. this is where the winds were at their peak. it was more the rainfall that led to the severe mudslides and landslides that cause the devastation and the loss of life of course. then the typhoon went out into the south china sea. it did not make a direct hit in hong kong but looking at these pictures, you would think it did. you can see the inundation in the streets. they are more catered, if you like, built for the sort of things and storm surges and you can see what happened to it. the buildings were shaking and wobbling because of the strength of the winds and a lot of windows were blown in as well. and then we had a secondary landfall. not far away. all the casinos were cut because of the wind and rain. and now the system, what is left of it is moving away and it is pretty much fading away. we are probably not good to see any more huge impacts from but

obviously, still a lot of mopping up to be done and obviously hoping to find the survivors from the mudslides in particular. yes, this was a much slower hurricane. we don‘t have the rotation and you can see the cloud has been pushing northwards into virginia and will be pushing into pennsylvania as well. there are still some peaks to come in the river level so the water that has flooded the area won‘t go anywhere very quickly at all and we had record rainfall across this part of the united states. those we were tracking last week along with helene. nearly said something i shouldn‘t have... the back end of

that. yes, goes over the other side of the atlantic. we pick up this area of cloud which was hurricane helene. it has been working northwards, as it moves away from the warm waters it loses the energy and weakens and we have the tail end... that is the one! the tail end heading our way. not really ridiculously strong winds at all and will bring some rain to some areas. lovely weather for others though. yes, because we are drawing in tropical air it feels like summer in some parts of the uk. this is east sussex, hardly a cloud in the sky. the other different story up towards the highlands where there‘s more cloud and outbreaks of rain. we have

most of it in the far north—west of scotland. temperatures not quite so high but there is sunshine across england and wales with sunny skies to end the day. we have got our weather system to arrive, this is what‘s left of hurricane helene. it will be moving initially into south—west england this evening and then into wales. some rain getting blown in later in the night. still some rain in northern ireland and in the north and west of scotland. obviously quite a warm night with the tropical air around. up to 14 degrees perhaps. it‘s not quite the whole of england and wales and those top gusts are more likely around exposed hills and coasts in the west. we will see the rain quickly blown away into northern england, lingering more in northern scotland.

we have some showers coming in from the west where we have the strong south—westerly winds, primarily across england and wales and that‘s where we will see the highest temperatures. further north, scotla nd temperatures. further north, scotland and northern ireland against 18 or 19 degrees. some windy weather around tomorrow but it could be that the worst of the winds are still too, actually. this is a deepening area of low pressure, picked up by a strong jet stream and that will work into the north—west of the uk so it will be a much windy day on wednesday for scotland and northern ireland. for a while we will have heavy bursts of rain before that eases away with rain heading into england and wales. again towards the south—east no rain inside and still warm for the time of year. notice it is getting cooler in scotland and northern ireland, and temperatures will be ebbing away across the whole of the uk later in

the week. the winds by then probably not quite as strong. this is bbc news. the headlines... theresa may insists the only alternative to her plan for brexit is to leave the eu with no deal. the international monetary fund warns that a "no—deal" brexit on world trade organization terms would entail "substantial costs" for the uk economy. tobias ellwood says he had tobias ellwood says he had to tobias ellwood says he had to be tobias ellwood says he had to be ordered to stop first aid efforts to save a life of pc keith, after it was determined he could not be resuscitated. rescuers in the philippines are digging through mud to find dozens buried by a landslide that hit as typhoon mangkhut battered the country. and a campaign is launched to stop drivers on england‘s roads tailgating as new analysis shows more than 100 people are killed each year due to people driving too closely to the car in front. we will

have more on that shortly. let‘s get the sport now. some sad news first. yes, that‘s right. the calzaghe family have announced that the boxing trainer, enzo calzaghe has died at the age of 69. enzo calzaghe is the father of the former world boxing champion joe, and had guided his son to becoming a world champion in two different weight classes in an undefeated 46—fight career as a professional. he was self taught as a trainer and won the bbc‘s coach of the year award in 2007. enzo also went on to lead gavin rees and enzo maccarinelli to world titles in the sport. so sad news as you said. enzo clazaghe, who has died at the age of 69. plenty of tributes to come for him, i‘m sure. let‘s move on to england‘s women‘s rugby team because they have had some good news.

yes, england women‘s rugby union players will be given full—time professional contracts from next year. that‘s after they had been controversially scrapped after the 2017 world cup as the rfu focused on sevens rugby. but now there will be 28 contracts available plus seven elite player aggrements. we can speak to the director of professional rugby at the rfu. nigel, why has the rfu decided to go in this direction now with these co ntra cts ? in this direction now with these contracts? coming out of the 2017 rugby world cup we decided to take the sevens route while the contested for the commonwealth games, at the same time put a new competition in place that could build our playable to have a larger player paul —— pool to have a larger player paul —— pool. so now we are going into contracts for players with the 15 schemes as well as the sevens. where

is the money coming from? we had some money this year for these contracts, it was a case of how we could schedule it and move it forward. does it provide more stability and more of a long—term strategy now for the women‘s rugby union side? absolutely. in the past we have flip—flopped from sevens to 15, i have also given contracts building onto a big tournament and pulled back and this time we can keep things moving as we go forward. 0k, keep things moving as we go forward. ok, thank you for your time this afternoon. simon yates is on the back pages of most of the newspapers today. but the new vuelata a espana winner insists he‘s not a star. he will though, return to britian knowing he has made history. yates win at the vuelta means that three different cyclists from the same country have won the three grand tour titles in the same year for the first time. in fact, british cyclists have now won the last five gran tour titles.

and yates believes we‘re starting to see the resujlts of the investment in the sport at the turn of the century. i came through the national system with a huge increase in funding from the lottery and that sort of stuff, so for me i've always been looked after in that sort of way and direction until obviously i turned professional and now it has just been our team here. that's the only thing i can really think about, the funding increase, the focus is much more on the grassroots and bringing talent through from a young age. i think you are seeing that now. i started many years ago. england and great britain goalkeeper maddie hinch is taking a break from international hockey. hinch has won gold medals at the olympic games and european championships, with more medal success at two commonwealth games. but the 29—year—old says she needs time out of the sport both physically and emotionally, although hinch does hope to return for the toyko olympics in 2020. that‘s all the sport for now.

i‘ll have more for you in the next hour. thank you. now let‘s go nationwide and see what‘s happening around the country in ourdaily what‘s happening around the country in our daily visit to the newsrooms around the uk. rachel is in tunbridge wells, they will be looking at the effect of brexit on dover so we will be with her in a moment, and in birmingham and nick owen where a campaign has been launched to determine tailgating and aggressive driving. not for you, other drivers. but first rachel because over is the closest of our ports to the continent so they have good reason to be concerned about what brexit holds. the busiest roll

on, roll off port in britain so they are concerned about what might happen to traffic if the lorries gets stopped for long customs. a report showed just one minute on customs checks could lead to a whole 20 mile delay on the motorways. that‘s one of the things they are very worried about but less well known is they are worried about what will happen with food safety checks. at the moment they don‘t have to do many because most of the food is coming in from the european union but they may have to become a border inspection post. felixstowe already yea rs inspection post. felixstowe already years because 75% of the goods coming into felixstowe come from outside the european union. this means they have to do far more safety checks on food because it cannot be assumed the same standards have been met. the same would have

to be done with food arriving in dover. the feed worry for dover council is that they may have to provide the staff. at felixstowe they currently have around 50 inspection and support staff and nine trained vet. i very much doubt if i've got 50 environmental health office rs if i've got 50 environmental health officers sitting around the district looking for the job. how much of the problem is it likely to be? they are concerned about where they would find these environmental health officers. trained vet i‘m told are thin on the ground so it is a worry for them. there is also the question of space because these border inspection posts take up quite a lot of room and there isn‘t much room at dover itself so there has been some talk of moving that facility if it has to happen somewhere like manston airport. others are saying that could lead to problems. you cannot

have food which has to be inspected in case there is some sort of health issue going outside the port before it is inspected. craig mckinley, the conservative mp for south thanet, says there‘s nothing to worry about and he‘s on the brexit committee. says there‘s nothing to worry about and he's on the brexit committeem makes me wonder what they are inspecting for. the rules after brexit will be the same as before. are we really going to be checking spanish leftist or dutch bacon the day after brexit? it is a nonsense. plenty more on inside out tonight, is that right? yes. let's go to nick owen. when you see drivers going right up the backside of another car, it makes your blood boil and it is quite a problem, isn‘t it? car, it makes your blood boil and it is quite a problem, isn't it? yes, i have to say i was quite shocked by

the statistics on tailgating, apparently one in eight road casualties have been caused by people driving too closely to the car in front and more than 100 people are killed or seriously injured ina people are killed or seriously injured in a crash caused by tailgating. small proportion do it deliberately which is aggressive but as faras deliberately which is aggressive but as far as the vast majority is concerned it is unintentional. because of the figures, highways england commissioned a survey amongst 1100 drivers and nearly 300 of those admitted driving too closely to the car in front in the la st closely to the car in front in the last three months to the extent it would have been difficult to stop in an emergency. those specimen figures would imply millions of motorists across the country could be intentionally or unintentionally driving too close to the vehicle in front. it can be intimidating to have a car breathing down your neck. these statistics show exactly why

you have every right to feel threatened. just to explain exactly what tailgating is, it is basically following the car in front too closely and therefore being unsafe. you should allow at least to microsecond gap on roads, double that on wet roads. basically you need to be able to stop in an emergency without hitting the vehicle in front. highways england launching this campaign so what are they hoping to achieve? they are using the space invader video game character to highlight it. also leading the campaign, nigel mansell, who is president of the institute of

advanced motorists who says tailgating is a habit he deplores. not only is it aggressive and intimidating but it can lead to a crash with a tragic outcome. he is urging people not to do it. you aren‘t getting your destination any faster and you are putting innocent people at risk. we went out on the road with motorway police and his sentiments were echoed by this traffic officer. just a bit of consideration for other road users could eliminate a lot of the incidents we have to go to. we see people injured and their lives ruined because people have been driving too close to each other. nick, great to see you. plenty more on that tonight on bbc one at 6:30pm. inside out in the south—east for more on that story about dover. rachel and nick, thank you. if you

would like to see more on any of those stories you can access them by the bbc iplayer. jamie is here bringing the business news in a moment but first let‘s bring you the headlines. have we all know we, theresa may says mps will have to choose between her approach to brexit and leaving the european union without a deal. the international monetary fund is warning that a no—deal brexit would lead to a "significantly worse" outlook for the british economy. in the philippines, rescuers are digging through mud to find dozens buried by a landslide that hit as typhoon mangkhut battered the country. here‘s your business headlines on afternoon live.

jaguar land rover workers at the company‘s solihull plant have been put on a three—day week until christmas. the uk‘s largest car—maker said it was making "temporary adjustments to our production schedules" at its castle bromwich factory. as we‘ve been hearing, the international monetary fund has warned that a no—deal brexit on world trade organization terms would entail substantial costs for the uk economy. such an outcome would affect "to a lesser extent" other eu economies. one of the top shareholders in unilever has said it will vote time magazine is changing hands once again, nearly eight months after it was sold to us media group meredith corporation. the co—founder of salesforce.com, marc benioff, and his wife are personally buying time for £145.3 million.

there is buying time and buying time! the imf... yes, you look at what they said about the referendum, they forecast before the referendum 2016 and said after this referendum we shall see the economy go into recession. agreed growth slowed but it didn‘t go into recession. on the other hand they are not the only people who get it wrong. there was a brexit group of economists who were forecasting higher growth... christine lagarde was looking at you with not great approval! in mitigation i would say that a lot of people get these things wrong. britain did get it wrong as well and forecasting growth or recession is a

very difficult thing to do. it is a mug‘s game. very difficult thing to do. it is a mug's game. mostly to the chief economist at world first. what do you think of the imf‘s prediction? economist at world first. what do you think of the imf's prediction?” think it's obviously based in the belief are no deal is so much worse for the uk economy than any semblance of a bad deal. while the imf and some economists predicted the uk would fall into a recession post the vote, nothing really changed. we are still members of the european union, with free movement of people. with no deal scenario that all ends. the shock would induce some negative economic effect, whether it is recession or not we will only see in the future. looking at the way companies have

reacted to brexit recently, we have these announcements from unilever and deutsche bank today, are they comparable? unilever wants to move over to the netherlands, deutsche bank is moving more people it thinks over into europe. is this part of the same deserting? rats leaving a sinking ship? both companies are looking to shore up their business, but costs and simplify things. brexit gives them some cover around this. do you mean this isn't the real reason? i'm sure brexit forms pa rt of real reason? i'm sure brexit forms part of the reasons why they are doing it but for example deutsche bank probably want to bring much more back into the european union as a result of the greater regulations they will be under as a bank moving forward. unilever have this dual ownership structure in the

netherlands and the uk, simplifying that make cut costs for shareholders and boost profits. the uncertainty around brexit isn't going to bring people into the uk so it may be and multiplying factor. what about jaguar land rover. there has been a lot of stuff on social media saying this is because of brexit. now they are cutting jobs to three—day weeks. there have been chasers —— changes around diesel manufacture. the change is towards electric vehicles. we may have seen production moved out of birmingham into their slovakian planned as well but as their ceo said slovakian planned as well but as theirceo said a slovakian planned as well but as their ceo said a couple of weeks ago, if we see changes in the customs union and the single market which means that factory has to shut

down because apart hasn't arrived on time, it is £60 million lost every single day. something breaks in this just—in—time process, moving the production away from birmingham into the european union makes sense from a cost and shareholder value point of view. thank you. a quick look at the market. we have unilever's share price. no we don‘t... yes we do. worries about that move, shareholders are opposing it saying it is not good for the company. largely because it would drop out of the ftse100 index and then a whole lot of investors who naturally by that stopped because it is in the ftse100 index and that is the way they operate as an investor would no longer be buying it. that is one of the reasons why the share is down.

the pound looking fairly strong at the moment. thank you. the duchess of sussex is supporting the publication of a cookbook to help those affected by the grenfell tower fire. family recipes are produced by cooks in the initiative raised near the site of grenfell tower. the proceeds of the book are going back to the kitchen. that visit from your afternoon live team. let‘s get a weather update. it looks like being a really windy week ahead this week. this afternoon is what you would call the calm before the storm. we saw more sunshine pushing up from the south—east lifting the temperatures after the misty

start we had this morning but in the northwest the cloud is picking up all the while, rain moving in too so it will be turning wet through the rest of today, across scotland some rain pushing into northern ireland. for england and wales, the warm southerly winds giving more sunshine, really warm for this time of year. highs of 26 in the south—east of england. this evening we start to see the winds picking up in the south—west around this area of low pressure, that contains remnants of hurricane helene. this will impact mainly england and wales. the wind is picking up later this evening as the rain arrives into the south—west and wales. we still have some rain to come from northern ireland and northern and western parts of scotland. for many eastern parts of the uk it will be dry with clear skies, and a warm night up to 16 degrees. but the winds are going to be key overnight and into tomorrow, gusts of wind reaching up to 60 mph in hills and coasts in the west. the rain sweeps away into northern england,

turning wetter in scotland before moving out into the north sea. sunny spells with showers coming in from the west but it will stay windy across england and wales. but it is still a warm wind, temperatures again as high as 25 degrees in the south—east. some warmer conditions for a while in eastern scotland. the band of showers comes in later in the day on that weather front but this is the next big feature developing, the deeper area of low pressure sweeping in quickly on the atlantic, from a strong jet stream and if anything wednesday could be even windier, especially in the north west of scotland with gusts up to 70 mph. wet and windy in scotland and northern ireland. always windier out towards the west.

not quite as warm probably on wednesday, still good for the time of year. those temperatures will be tempered by the strength of the wind. today at five — with six months to go until brexit, we‘re live in salford to speak to students and local businesses about their predictions for the future. the prime minister insists the only alternative to her plan for brexit is to leave the eu with no deal. we‘ll get a good deal, will bring that back from the eu negotiations and put that the parliament. i think the alternative to that would be not having a deal. the international monetary fund warns that a "no—deal" brexit on world trade organization terms would entail "substantial costs" for the uk economy. i m in brexit burnley, where the economy is booming. so with their vote for leave affect — or not — those positive steps forward?