today at five — with six months to go until brexit, we're live in salford to speak to students and local businesses about their predictions for the future. the prime minister insists the only alternative to her plan for brexit is to leave the eu with no deal. we'll get a good deal, will bring that back from the eu negotiations and put that the parliament. i think the alternative to that would be not having a deal. the international monetary fund warns that a "no—deal" brexit on world trade organization terms would entail "substa ntial costs" for the uk economy. i m in brexit burnley, where the economy is booming. so with their vote for leave affect — or not — those positive steps forward? i'm julian worricker. the rest of the day's other main stories on bbc news at 5: details emerge of how the mp tobias ellwood battled to save police officer keith palmer,

who was stabbed to death in the westminster bridge attack. and — a race against time, as rescuers in the philippines dig through mud to try to find dozens buried by a landslide after typhoon mangkhut battered the country. it's 5:00, i'm vicki young at the university of salford. in an interview for the bbc‘s panorama programme theresa may says the only alternative to her approach to the brexit negotiations would be leaving the eu without a deal". the prime minister also criticised plans by brexit—supporting members of her party to try to resolve the irish border issue. in response, the former foreign secretary boris johnson criticised her approach

to the border question and said it could lead to brexit being a "total write—off". well, throughout the day we've been asking local people and the business community here in salford whether they feel ready for brexit. and in a little while we'll be talking to a group of students about how optimistic they feel about the future. but first let's get this report from our political correspondent — iain watson. a brief moment of semi—relaxation for the prime minister and her husband at chequers, her country retreat. that's the very place where the cabinet, or most of it, agreed a proposal to put to the eu on our future relationship. in case you wondered, they are watching chase, a game show which requires teamwork to outwit an opponent and come away better off. but there is also a high risk of walking away with nothing.

but it was another game show that she was channelling her panorama interview, deal or no deal. she was channelling her panorama interview, deal or no dealli believe we will get a good deal, we'll bring that back from the eu negotiations and put that the parliament. i think the alternative to that would be not having a deal. naturally that hasn't gone down well with opponents of brexit who want a new referendum. i think it is a deep disservice to our democratic tradition to have a prime minister now saying we have no choices left, it is my fudge or the abyss. that is not true, we always have more choices. one of the biggest barriers to getting a withdrawal agreement from the eu is the issue of the irish border. the prime minister was dismissive of that put forward last week by some because yours. these other plans are based on is moving the border. you don't solve the issue by having a hard order 20 collectors inside northern ireland

we re collectors inside northern ireland were 20 countries inside ireland. it is still a hard border. sorting the issue out with the eu is taking a long time and talks have been far from harmonious. reports in this morning ‘s times suggest european commission is reconsidering its position, avoiding the prospect of custom between northern ireland and the rest of the uk. a car crash, that's how the former foreign secretary has described the brexit talks but now he says if he eu changes direction on ireland, a disaster could be averted. in brussels they are now discussing actively some of the technical ways of dealing with this, but i think will allow for a breakthrough and a is to doa will allow for a breakthrough and a is to do a proper free trade deal, a bus to take back control of our regular treat framework but also to doa regular treat framework but also to do a proper brexit. if a deal is moving closer, what would it look like the secure good access to

markets, could there be preferential treatment eu workers? we're going to be putting our immigration proposals forward later this autumn and showing people the plans. do you route out special deals? we will put oui’ route out special deals? we will put our proposals forward when we put them forward. while the prime minister is clear that free movement would end, as i understand it, liver ability could be part of any trade deal. the return would argue this would not amount to special treatment for the eu because the same thing could be on offer to other countries but the real challenge for theresa may would be to get any deal at all. 0pposition parties are gearing up to vote against the prime minister and they could bejoined by some of her against the prime minister and they could be joined by some of her own mps so whatever she does agree with brussels, it is not a done deal. and you can watch the full interview with theresa may on panorama — inside number ten: deal or no deal tonight on bbc one at 8:30.

the leader of the liberal democrats, vince cable, is at his party's conference in brighton. he was asked whether he accepted mrs may's assessment that there was no alternative to her brexit plan. well, she is posing the question in the way she wants to close it and she is trying to intimidate a lot of her own backbenchers who are deeply unhappy about the way brexit is going but from the point of view of the country, there is a growing demand that we have people's vote on the outcome. in other words, we take the outcome. in other words, we take the government ‘s proposals, whatever they are, and we choose that, or we stay within the european union. that is the way public opinion is moving and it is also moving in the direction of saying that we would be better off if we stayed in europe because the deal on offer is pretty bad. the international monetary fund says that if britain leaves the eu without a deal, it would inflict substantial

costs on the uk economy. the imf‘s managing director, christine lagarde said that all brexit outcomes would entail costs — but a disorderly departure would lead to a reduction in the size of the british economy. and we can speak now to our economics correspondent, andrew walker, who's in our business studio in central london for us. a pretty gloomy outlook there are? yes indeed. the columnists in their written report and when she was big yin london this morning to say that any outcome is going to involve costs compared to where we are now inside what they call the friction of the single market prevails. they are now forecasting economic growth this year and next of 1.5% which is somewhat slower than in the last couple of years. even that is based on the assumption that there will be a free trade agreement concluded with the european union in a timely

manner. even that would be less advantageous than the arrangements we have now. this is even more concerning about the indications of a new deal brexit. it would inevitably have a series of consequences in terms of reduced growth going forward, increased deficit, most likely, depreciation of the currency and in reasonably short order, it would mean a reduction of the size of the uk economy. that is the view that is widely shared by economists, that it would be very disadvantageous to leave without a deal on what is sometimes called wto terms. most would say this should be a priority for britain to ensure the best possible access to the european union market for british exporters and with regards to warnings about

the failure to do that, have clearly been taken to heart by the chancellor. the imf are clear today that no deal would be extremely costly for the uk, as it would also for the costly for the uk, as it would also forthe eu. costly for the uk, as it would also for the eu. and despite contingency actions are taking, even without a deal would put at risk the substantial progress the british people have made over the past ten years in repairing our economy. but the british government is seeking is more of a free—trade agreement and on the other side it must be said that there are people especially on the conservative backbenchers who think the imf judgment the conservative backbenchers who think the imfjudgment about the consequences of a new deal are seriously exaggerated, some would there is nothing to fear. let's cross over to our brussels reporter adam fleming who's in brussels for us. it does feel as if the mood music

has shifted a little bit but is it words? they are still stuck on this issue of avoiding a hard border in aaron? the irish issue is an interesting example of what is going on in the eu at the moment and it is all about making things easier for the uk to sign up to so take the northern irish border issue. let's remind everyone that the eu wants in a brexit treaty a back—up plan, the backstop that means northern ireland would remain in elements of the single market in the customs union if there is no other way found to prevent a hard border, to prevent checks being reintroduced between northern ireland and ireland. the uk has said, we cannot sign up to that because that would carve out a part of the uk from the rest of the country. what michel barnier‘s team have been doing in the last few months, they call it the deed rams his is in strategy and they say rather than looking at this as a constitutional problem or drawing a

new border between one part of the uk and another, look at it as a technical problem that needs to be sold and start talking about what checks would be needed and what kinds of goods in what place on the delivered by what sort of people using what sort of systems? that is a tactic to make it all look less dramatic. however the problem is for the uk side, the drama is not about how you deliver the backstop, the drama is the fact that the backstop exists at all because it would affect the constitutional integrity of the uk. you can see the strategy on the eu side is to talk warmly and find ways to make things were good but some of it for the uk is still very ha rd to but some of it for the uk is still very hard to swallow so it seems to me that there is lots of going on behind the scenes about on the northern irish issue. i don't think we will see anything on paper or anything tabled by the eu as any kind of compromise until after the party conferences. everyone here in brussels has got their eye on the uk political party conferences,

particularly the tory meeting in belgium, birminghami particularly the tory meeting in belgium, birmingham i should say, at the end of september. then we may see some movement on this irish issue. we have heard from michel barnier today. another contentious issue is theissue today. another contentious issue is the issue of gibraltar? yes he is doing what he often does when he is not negotiating with the british, he is travelling around the other 27 eu member states, keeping up—to—date with how the negotiations are going. today he is in madrid seeing seeing the spanish prime minister and you are right, a big issue there, what about gibraltar, which is a british 0verseas territory which obviously has a land border with spain and spain has been given permission by brussels to carry out its own bilateral negotiations with the uk about how to solve a lot of issues, either it is access to the airport, how taxes and duties are paid

integral to versus spain. there's a p pa re ntly integral to versus spain. there's apparently been six rounds of negotiations between the uk and madrid. it doesn't sound like they are getting anywhere but what we've heard in the last three days, spain very clearly saying they do not want gibraltar to be the final outstanding issue that holds up the whole brexit talks and also a geeky point for those who love their fa cts , point for those who love their facts, there looks as if there will be another chapter in the brexit treaty about gibraltar and we didn't know that was going to happen, so sooner know that was going to happen, so sooner something else will be written down in black and white. in the eu referendum, the town of burnley in lancashire was one of the most pro—brexit areas in the uk. two thirds of the residents of the former mill town voted in favour of leaving — but how do they feel about brexit more than two years on? christian fraser is there. this probably is a moment for full

disclosure because i am from the town of burnley, i am a long suffering burnley fan but in that respect i am a little bit part of the burnley story because this is a town that over the years has suffered from high and implement an over those years, lots of young people left the town looking for opportunity and employment outside. the publishing of the town sank below 80,020 years ago and still it isa below 80,020 years ago and still it is a place that has been recognised for its poverty and lack of opportunity. that is changing because the business enterprise groups been working very closely with the people here in the town hall and i hope the report we are about to show you may change some of those preformed ideas about these northern industrial towns and why they voted for brexit. an integral pa rt they voted for brexit. an integral part of the town is the football club, it is the beating heart of burnley and yesterday felt like a very good time to come and test the mood. burnley were on their way

towards, and other brexit boating area. what do they think with six months to go about the negotiation ina months to go about the negotiation in a constituency where two out of three people voted leave? is one of the oldest stadiums in england and the smallest town ever have been the premier league team. this burnley squad loves to upset the established order with players that seem to reflect the same stubborn character as the men and women who follow them around the country. this time, it's a trip to wolverhampton wanderers, another chance to defy the odds and with football, so it is with brexit. chance to defy the odds and with football, so it is with brexitm we don't leave now, it will raise its head again. our children will have this in years to come. we've spoken, that's the end of it, now get on with it and bigger best of it. i agree that we voted to leave and that's what we have to do, we just can't keep changing our minds.

ido just can't keep changing our minds. i do have worries about what will happen but it isjust the fear of the unknown. does that uncertainty leave some here to reconsider? those who voted for brexit, keep your hands up if you still think it's a good idea. he had not changed her mind at all? no one is telling me what to do! they think they've been forgotten about. immigration is the big thing in burnley. the reasons are complex. immigration, sovereignty, and yes, this town has some of the poorest wards in the country. in terraced houses by the relics of the cotton industry, the mills that long ago power the industrial revolution. following the canalfrom industrial revolution. following the canal from the old mill chimneys to the gleaming new business parks on the gleaming new business parks on the edge of town, you find that for all the brexit uncertainty, burnley‘s economy is in fact booming. they have embraced

aerospace, digital innovation, telecoms and at 80%, there is now record employment. burnley is one of the fastest growing tech towns in britain. they tell me businesses here are as bullish about brexit as the fans. yet the longer the uncertainty continues, the greater the risk that progress comes unstitched. i went to all the european games and 60 from the people came up to talk to me about brexit and four of them were saying, we got to stay, this is crazy. to them said, get on with it. my argument was, what is it? were jubilant brexit again? i would like to think we have more information, the population would be better informed. the eu are going to have two show their cards at some point so two show their cards at some point so it will bubble legal to the wire.

some are anxious, some have turned, some are impatient for progress, both on and off the pitch. after a 1-0 both on and off the pitch. after a 1—0 defeat, burnley remain without a win in the clearly. it has been tough since the summer. sound familiar? they say that you can build an entire aircraft in lancashire. these towns have attracted these specialised companies and aviation and digital technology and burnley is one of the towns that have lured more than most. why are they bullish about brexit? simply because they have a specialised workforce here which is growing and developing, wages are a little lower than in nearby cities and of course there is plenty of space here in burnley, and they are in direct competition with chinese companies, so they feel that operating under new british tariffs and already used the world trade

0rganisation rules because they are trading already with america, there is opportunity in brexit. however, when you look at those investors looking to come to burnley right now, russians and the swiss, they wa nt now, russians and the swiss, they want a horizon that stretches five yea rs want a horizon that stretches five years from now, they want that certainty, and still burn it will not want to take a step back by their are all these questions about where the brexit moshi asian is going. also, there is that persistent poverty in the centre of burnley and we know that when structural funds are cut and there is more austerity, it is those people who have nothing to lose out when budgets are cut, so that our anxieties here in burnley. i don't sense any appetite for most people i is butcher yesterday for a second referendum or a people's vote. let's turn to the constant because around 1 turn to the constant because around i million people have left britain to go to europe and 10,000 of 1 million people have left britain to go to europe and 10,000 of them have gone to bulgaria. 0ur european correspondent has been to bulgaria

to find out what they make of the negotiation and whether they have any anxieties. it is happy hour. saturday party night. brits and bulgarians mixing in the pub. almost 2000 miles from the uk, brexit seems1 million miles away. a former train driver opened this place just a fortnight ago. he and his partner have sunk their savings into it. what has brought them here? a life in the sun that is cheap, so are they anxious about brexit? i wanted brexit. yeah, cheap, so are they anxious about brexit? iwanted brexit. yeah, bring it on! we are brexit years. what do you think the impact it will have a new? it's not going to have any impact. there's a lot of fear mongering going on. i think, yes,

those fears are being fuelled. darren, who voted for brexit, is now worried. i voted leave and i left! how do you feel about that but now? i would change my mind without any hesitation. the main concern is my pension. i get a private pension, i'm away from state pension age but there is a risk that i may not be able to draw that order page that living abroad as an expat. darren and more than 1,000 other expats have been drawn to live here. the area around the ancient capital. bulgaria is the poorest country in the eu. for around £2000, you can buy a house in a village near here. 0ne sunday a month, there is a british car—boot sale. if the uk feels to make a brexit deal, each eu country will apply its own rules to brits so it's no wonder that some are anxious. in all, it's perhaps1

million brits who have made their lives here and other countries across the eu, more when you count those who split their time between places. but what we hear again and again or specific concerns because nobody knows how they will be affected in just six nobody knows how they will be affected injust six months' nobody knows how they will be affected in just six months' time. felicity lives of her uk state pension and earned a little extra selling her cakes and jelly. pension and earned a little extra selling her cakes and jellylj pension and earned a little extra selling her cakes and jelly. i value of the pound has gone down since brexit. i am on a pension and that makes a great difference. so, easily you are 20% drop in income? yes, which you are 2096 drop in income? yes, which does affect what i can do. already i've got regular customers, lovely bulgarian ladies who come and buy my clothes and i wonder if they are going to be quite so friendly to meet next year. i would give up my passport tomorrow if it meant that i became a european citizen of the re st of became a european citizen of the rest of my life. rather than being

linked to a little island but doesn't seem to be want to be part of it. but they are not worried about the future here. they are learning bulgarian. brexit supporters who like bulgaria because they say life here is how the uk used to be. it is like england was maybe 50 years ago. it is wonderful. wonderful. even on the furthest side of the eu, you find brits waiting to see what brexit will bring. have bought property, made live here, and few wa nt bought property, made live here, and few want now to leave. iam sure few want now to leave. i am sure damien found out, as i did here yesterday, that people are more informed about brexit than they were about the time of the vote. 0ne person spoke to me about the fears of the housing crisis, reiterating the point that the bank of england

governor has made that in the worst cases scenario, house prices might drop by 35%. my straw poll on the bus was highly irregular but i don't sense yet but those anxieties are changing their positions. most brexit ears i spoke to were solidly where they wear at the time of the referendum about. just to say that we will be talking to the burnley mp julie cooper later tonight and also speaking to the chamber of commerce who have been instrumental around the economy. interesting to get over their perspectives on where burnley might be going after this brexit negotiation. with me now are three students, sara heritage who voted to remain in the eu. priya matharu who also voted to remain

and ben ibson who voted to leave the eu. what are the most important factors when you think about which side of the debate you are on and leaving or staying in the ee, what are the things you think about?|j staying in the ee, what are the things you think about? i just think it's better to remain as part of a bigger thing like the eu. is a really thing to be a part of in terms of making laws. we had a voice and a platform to see how we feel and a platform to see how we feel and now i feel like if we leave, it is just and now i feel like if we leave, it isjust taken and now i feel like if we leave, it is just taken away from us. and now i feel like if we leave, it isjust taken away from us. do you think there's too much gloom around all of this? we've been hearing from the imf and lots of economists and the imf and lots of economists and the chancellor, philip hammond, talking about fears about what might happen? not necessarily because the way is being dealt with is quite pooh way is being dealt with is quite poor. got me to vote leave was the

amount of money we would save every week that we could give to fund the nhs and things like that and how howard has been dealt with is overly and if! howard has been dealt with is overly and if i had the chance again, i would probably vote to remain. that is because of the has been handled rather than the issue itself? yes, definitely. what about you when you think about staying in the eu were leaving, what is it you focus on for your generation? i will be the first to admit that i don't know a lot about politics. i think the thing that concerns me primarily is not the biggest issue out there but what really concerns me a lot is that i voted to remain because a lot of what i saw online, there was a lot of sentiments surrounding the leave vote rs of sentiments surrounding the leave voters in particular that concerned me because they were not in line with my beliefs. i'm not saying that

all remain voters are racist, that's not what i am saying, but to me, if you voted to leave, you are not racist, you should almost be smart enough to understand that you might not be racist but you are in fact supporting a system that normalises these beliefs and that is not something i am comfortable with at all. but there were people who were worried about immigration, that was a big part of the referendum debate? definitely, we can see in other countries they have struggled a bit and a lot of people who voted leave didn't want those problems but people who voted remain. they could be dealt with but it needs to be sorted. to get back to how politicians are handling this, there are politicians are handling this, there a re lots of politicians are handling this, there are lots of arguing over watch it happen next. we are six months away from the date, what do you think about when you look at politicians and westminster and how they are handling all of this?” and westminster and how they are handling all of this? i think it's a bit of a mess. we cannot even agree

with the eu, let alone our own government. it isjust with the eu, let alone our own government. it is just completely torn apart and i think it's chaotic, it should be dealt with better. when you look at it, that's the impression you get, one of chaos? what about theresa may and how she is handling it was much do have sympathy for her position? especially as she was originally pa rt especially as she was originally part of remain, she has taken over the country with trying to leave the eu,i the country with trying to leave the eu, ido the country with trying to leave the eu, i do sympathise with that. i think she is trying her best but her own party don't even agree with her, it isa own party don't even agree with her, it is a bit confusing and chaotic. do you accept is going to be a compromise or should there be a second referendum ? compromise or should there be a second referendum?” compromise or should there be a second referendum? i support the sector and —— the second referendum, if we were going to have a second referendum, i think the terms need to be laid out so clearly and the whole vote, nobody knew, it was just

this motion of we could leave, i guess. you didn't feel it you had enough information? not at all and i know that a lot of people do feel that perhaps the terms are not set out, we don't know what's happening, there is this big notion that we can leave and go there to be a second referendum, we need those terms laid out and that's what the government is failing to do. what you think of the idea of a second referendum on a given that the first one was pretty decisive as mark 28% of the population didn't vote in the referendum so it would be interesting if there was another one and a lot more people voted, which i'm sure they would, it would be an interesting result. definitely not such a spread minority either. what if it ended up being a close but the other way, where would that leave the country? in probably the same situation. you will end up leaving the eu and the fact that it has become a new deal situation says a

lot with how we have dealt with it. do you think we will leave, ultimately, it will happen or do you think something will turn up. it? i think something will turn up. it? i think we will leave, yes. ijust think we will leave, yes. ijust think it is too far down the process now and it will cause more problems if we don't go through with what the vote was. there is an issue that if that referendum was to be ignored would you be concerned about how people would react to that? it was such a minority vote. with the terms laid out, i am almost convinced that there would be an overwhelming majority for either side. i think people have overwhelming majority for either side. ithink people have now settled in their opinions and are very settled. i think we would definitely have to consider the first thought in that as well. thank you very much for speaking to us. maybe we will come back in six

months once we have gone past that deadline. with six months to go until the uk leads the eu, how will brexit affect business and the economy? that is tomorrow at 5:30pm. now let's get the latest weather. thank you. some are returned to some parts of the uk today. in the south—east of england, temperatures at 26 degrees. that is an advance of the storm that will arrive from the south—west overnight. still rain for scotland, northern ireland. the winds strengthening in the southwest and wales. pushing the rain in, winds picking up across england and

wales. the strongest of the winds heading into tomorrow. a warm night on the way. rain moves away fairly quickly, pushed on by strong and gusty winds. the highest number is likely around west coasts. rain early in the morning, not last long in wales, not too long as it sweeps its way across northern england. bit longer lasting in scotland. pushing a few showers from the west. the strongest of the winds in england and wales. still some warm air around. temperatures possibly into the mid—20s. 18 or 19 degrees likely across scotland and northern ireland. this is bbc news. the headlines... with six months to go until brexit —— the eu with no deal. we will get a good deal and we will bring that back from the eu negotiations and put that to

parliament. i think that the alternative to that will be not having a deal. the international monetary fund warns that a "no—deal" brexit on world trade organization terms would entail "substa ntial costs" for the uk economy. details emerge of how the mp tobias ellwood battled to save police officer keith palmer, who was stabbed to death in the westminster bridge attack. and a race against time, as rescuers in the philippines dig through mud to try to find dozens buried by a landslide after typhoon mangkhut battered the country. now time for the sports news. the calzaghe family have announced that the boxing trainer enzo calzaghe has died at the age of 69. enzo calzaghe, is the father of the former world

boxing champion joe, and had guided his son to becoming a world champion in two different weight classes in an undefeated 46—fight career as a professional. he was self taught as a trainer and won the bbc‘s coach of the year award in 2007. enzo also went on to lead gavin rees and enzo maccarinelli to world titles in the sport. enzo clazaghe who has died at the age of 69. england women's rugby union players will be given full—time professional contracts from next year. contracts were controversially scrapped after the 2017 world cup as the rfu focused on sevens rugby. but now — there will be 28 contracts available plus seven elite player agreements. the sport's govering body said it demonstrates their commitment to growing the women's game and their ambition to be the world's number one team. it is the direction we planned

coming out of the 2017 rugby world cup. we decided to take the sevens route whilst we contested for our rugby world cup in sevens and also the commonwealth games. as visinia new competition in place to build our player pool to enable us to have a larger player pool. elite pool we could choose from the best players to ta ke could choose from the best players to take into the 20 to 20 21 world cup. we are going into contracts for the 15th game as well as the sevens. liverpool begin their champion's league campaign tomorrow night at home to paris st—germain. .. where they will face this man... neymar is just one of psg's riches in this team full of superstars — the brazilian is the world's most expensive player but he plays alongside the equally talented french teenager and world cup winner kylian mbappe up front. liverpool managerjurgen klopp says tomorrow's opponents have all the qualities needed to be the best side in europe. this team is built for winning the champions league. they won the championship in france anyway. and

look so for quite easy for them because of the unbelievable quality they have. but all the work they are going for is winning the champions league so, yeah. it will be an interesting game, for sure. they are really good. the players they have, the manager they have, it is all, they all brought together. to go as far as possible. england and great britain goalkeeper maddie hinch is taking a break from international hockey. hinch has won gold medals at the olympic games and european championships, with more medal success at two commonwealth games. but the 29 year old says — she needs time out of the sport both physically and emotionally, although she isn't ruling out a return for the tokyo 2020 olympics. we'll have more for you in sportsday at 6:30pm. now back to vicky young in salford. so with just over six months to go until britain

is due to leave the eu — a report from a political research group, the institute for government, has warned that — deal or no deal — the government is running out of time to implement a successful brexit. and the report — comissioned by bbc news — warns that the proposed transition period could be too short to finalise a future trade agreement. 0ur reality check correspondent, chris morris has more. the road to brexit. remainers want to slam the brakes on, but for the government the biggest challenge — deal or no deal? either way, according to a new report, time is running short to implement a successful brexit. when it comes to no—deal plans, ministers say they are "far advanced", but the institute for government, an independent think—tank, says the government has left its no—deal preparations too late to help many businesses. they've used a traffic light system to assess progress. only one policy area, eu programmes and funds, is green. nine others are given a red light, suggesting the government won't be able to avoid major negative impacts of no—deal next year. even if a deal is reached,

which is what the government wants, implimenting brexit on the 21—month transition period, which would, among other things, mean agreeing and ratifying a future trade deal, looks completely unfeasible. for example, the ifg says more than 140,000 businesses will need to be ready for changes at uk borders and new custom systems won't be ready, despite the government hiring 9,000 extra staff and spending £2 billion on brexit preparations by march 2019. the ifg compared the brexit transition with other major uk government projects. the automatic pension enrolment programme and preparations for the london olympics both took more than a decade. digitising tax took five years. implimenting brexit will be very, very tight. the clock is ticking in parliament, too. if a deal on a withdrawal agreement is reached this autumn,

possibly in november, there'll only be about 70 sitting days in parliament before brexit is due to happen. some of that time will have to be devoted to other issues, such as the budget. the government will also need to win a meaningful vote on its deal with the eu in the house of commons, and then pass legislation giving the withdrawal agreement effect in uk law. as for those traffic lights, if there's a deal, they're green for legislation, except for the withdrawal agreement bill, which needs to be passed, flashing amber, with no deal against some green but plenty of uncertain amber, and red on citizens' rights. so, an awful lot depends on the next few weeks, as negotiations with the eu on a withdrawal agreement, the terms on which the uk will leave, which theirfinal phase. they also need to agree a political declaration on the future relationship and persuade the uk and european parliaments to accept it all. the ifg's negotiation traffic lights have a lot in green.

officials say the deal‘s 80% done. but there are amber issues, and the toughest part of all, avoiding a hard border in ireland. that's still flashing red. 0ptimism that a withdrawal agreement can be reached may be rising. but, as everyone says, nothing is agreed until everything is agreed. and getting any deal approved by mps in westminster is still a high—risk red light. we can speak to the conservative mp and chairman of the pro—brexit european research group rees mogg who is in our westminster studio. thank you forjoining us. let's start with the reports from the institute for government saying that whether —— whether it is a deal or no deal, the government is running

out of time on the practical side of things. do you agree?” out of time on the practical side of things. do you agree? i agree in some areas that it will be a short time to implement any of the necessary legislation. it took many months to get the withdrawal act through and there will be little time for the implement station of that bill. in other areas, i think the government is making rapid strides. and that a number of things will be ready that aren't yet ready. cani will be ready that aren't yet ready. can i ask you about the suggestion from michael gove, your colleagues, one of the leading campaigners for brexit, he says now that the best strategy is to practice checkers arrangements put forward by theresa may, and that a future prime minister could alter the nature of the relationship the uk will have with the eu. do you agree?” the relationship the uk will have with the eu. do you agree? i think it is classically brilliance of him to come up with this scheme to suggest that checkers is not permanent. i don't think that is the prime minister's policy, i think she

thinks it is permanent. and then a new prime minister, conceivably michael gove, ijust don't new prime minister, conceivably michael gove, i just don't think new prime minister, conceivably michael gove, ijust don't think it is realistic. we have had two years of negotiation, and those discussions. does he really think there will be an appetite in the eu or the there will be an appetite in the eu orthe uk to there will be an appetite in the eu or the uk to continue negotiations onceit or the uk to continue negotiations once it has been settled? if checkers is approved, but i hope it is not, i think it will be a solution for many, notjust is not, i think it will be a solution for many, not just for is not, i think it will be a solution for many, notjust for a short period. —— a solution for many yea rs. short period. —— a solution for many years. do you agree with your prime minister's characterisation of what she is putting on the table, that you have a choice of backing that is, parliament will have the choice, or of no deal whatsoever? : m no, is, parliament will have the choice, or of no dealwhatsoever? : m no, i think that is spin. it that was the choice i would go for trading on world —— choice i would go for trading on world -- no, ithink choice i would go for trading on world -- no, i think that is spin. it is really interesting that de use has advanced on its proposals for the border between great britain and

the border between great britain and the republic of ireland to allow much of the solution to be technological. if that works for great britain, it would work for northern ireland to the republic. we made some suggestions in the paper last week as to how this could be donein last week as to how this could be done in accordance with the eu's existing practice. if you can unlock the irish question, you can go back to free trade. i think that is realistic and the prime ministers should examine that option. the spinning is unhelpful. do you think even at what most people think is a relatively late stage, it is how possible to effectively start again and start now by looking at a canada type deal, even though we only have six months? six months in the context of eu negotiations as a lifetime. the eu managed to bailout greece over a weekend, making many of its own internal rules. necessity is the mother of invention. the eu is the mother of invention. the eu is good at running things up to the last moment and finding there is a

deal that can be done. it is part of the brinkmanship of negotiation. many predicted that the negotiations would go late in the day because thatis would go late in the day because that is simply how the eu operates. it does not focus on a problem until it is immediate. what about the warnings we have heard today from christine lugg had from the imf, and we have heard from the chancellor, philip hammond, sounding pretty gloomy about the prospects for the british economy if there was to be no deal? what do you think philip hammond should be focusing on now? do you agree with any of his assessments? might there be a bumpy ride or do you still think that actually the chance, the opportunities are out there and they can be seized ? opportunities are out there and they can be seized? the imf and the chancellor have consistently come out with gloom and doom. the end of the world is nigh. they have been wrong consistently. i expect they will continue to be wrong. we should

be talking about our great opportunities, cheaper food, clothing and footwear were not subject to the high tariffs. we can increase trade with the rest of the world, reduce the cost of goods coming into this country, improve the standard of living, particularly of the least well off. this is rarely exciting and i'm afraid the chancellor never wanted brexit. he was foreign secretary when his side of the argument lost and he has done nothing but moan ever since. some people have called him you are because of this and that may have been fair enough. should theresa may sack him? i am a backbench mp, it is not for me to say who the prime ministers should ask to hold high office. what about those warnings from jaguar land rover that your colleague bernard jenkin said they had a bad company was making up the suggestion that actually a no deal brea ks suggestion that actually a no deal breaks it could lead to thousands of job losses? it was an odd thing for

jaguar land rover to say. just—in—time delivery happens outside the european union across international boundaries. i think 2196 international boundaries. i think 21% of car components coming to this country from outside the youth on a just—in—time basis. jaguar land rover does the majority of its sales outside the eu and its fastest growth has been to countries like china and india. it has been doing much better there than in a stagnant european markets. i think the supply chain issue is one that is a question of how a fish and the uk ports are. it's come through southampton from outside the eu in six seconds. —— a question of how efficient. it is unduly nervous. thank you very much forjoining us. tomorrow our economics

editor kamal ahmed will be here taking your questions. to take part you can text your questions to 61124 —— to take part you can text your questions to 61124 email to ‘askthis at bbc dot co dot uk‘ or tweet using the hashtag bbcaskthis. that's tomorrow at 5.30. and that's all from me here at the university of salford, back to you in london. some breaking news for you. in the world of scallops, according to the south—west fish producers 0rganisation, uk and french fishermen have agreed a deal to end the so—called scalloped waters in the so—called scalloped waters in the wished channel. you will remember the events that took place in august. —— scallop wars. i have

made an agreement that will see uk boats larger than 15 metres leave the scallop fishery off the normandy coast at midnight tonight, and that will happen for the next six weeks until november the 1st. fishing representatives say that smaller uk boats are not restricted and can go back. into that lucrative fishery off normandy. 0ne back. into that lucrative fishery off normandy. one other piece breaking news relates to syria, particularly with reference to the leaders of turkey and russia who said they had agreed to create a demilitarised buffer zone in syria's italy the province once described as the last rebel stronghold. this is to separate syrian government troops from rebel forces. there will be patrolled by both turkish and russian soldiers to ensure that that buffer zone is respected. this is coming about as a result of talks that have taken place between vladimir putin and the turkish president. the headlines on bbc news...

her way or no way: theresa may says mps will have to choose between her approach to brexit and leaving the european union without a deal. details emerge of how the mp tobias ellwood battled to save police officer keith palmer, who was stabbed to death in the westminster bridge attack. rescuers in the philippines are digging through mud to find dozens buried by a landslide after typhoon mangkhut battered the country. an update on the market numbers for you — here's how london's and frankfurt ended the day. ba rely barely any movement today. trading continues on the dow and nasdaq. the rest of the day's news now. the mp tobias ellwood has told the inquests into the deaths from the westminster bridge attack that he ignored his fears of a secondary attack, as he tried to help resuscitate one of the victims. mr ellwood said his main concern had been helping pc keith palmer, who'd been stabbed.

helena lee reports. tobias ellwood came to court today and described how he ignored fears of a second terror attack as he tried to help save pc palmer. he told the inquest how he saw two bodies on the ground. the officer was one of them. he went to help, medically trained from a previous army career. he describes to the court how he started cpr on pc palmer. an emergency medical team then arrived and operated on the officer. as he described what happened next, tobias ellwood said, "forgive me. it's sometimes easier to do the helping them to talk about it afterwards." the court heard how nothing more could be done for pc palmer. when the doctor told tobias ellwood he could stop helping, he told the inquest "that's when i said, sir, you're going to have to tell me to stop, to order me to stop." tobias ellwood then said this at the end: we both tidied up the body as best we could.

he went on to say it was a very silent end, being left completely alone in an eerily silent palace of westminster. the coroner thanked tobias ellwood for all his efforts to try to save pc palmer. 0ur correspondentjenny kumah is at the old bailey. what else has emerged particularly during the afternoon today? this afternoon it emerged that there were no armed officers near carriage gates for 45 minutes before the attack. the two officers on patrol when the car crashed near parliament remains in an area called the colonnades, an arched area in the corner of new palace yard. a cctv

put —— there is footage showing them moving towards pc palmer after they heard three shots. the court also heard three shots. the court also heard that the gates opens when the assistant met commissioner was leaving his vehicle. that was when the attacker drove in. it also emerged that the officers on duty that day were unaware of guidelines which said that they should be near the gates when they were open. we also heard that there was a misconduct process against pc ashley, one of the men on duty when the armed officer asked mike one of the armed officer asked mike one of the armed officer asked mike one of the armed officers on duty, but no formal action was taken. they did find that the two officers should have been near the gates when they we re have been near the gates when they were open. thank you. the grenfell inquiry has been hearing from 999 operators who handled dozens of calls from residents trapped in the

building on the night of the fire. the inquiry heard the control room was overwhelmed with calls as operators desperately tried to reassure the trapped residents help was on its way. 0ne call handler told the inquiry a "stunned silence" fell over the london fire brigade control room as calls from people trapped in the tower went quiet. rescuers in the philippines are using shovels and their bare hands to try to find survivors buried by a landslide triggered by typhoon manghkut. the storm hit the north of the philippines and at least 65 people are now known to have been killed in the country. large scale casualties appear to have been averted in hong kong and southern china, where nearly 2.5 million people were told to leave. the storm has now weakened as it passes over mainland china. robin brant reports from hong kong. the typhoon is no more. mangkhut has been downgraded as it continues its journey west. but in its trail, a massive clean—up for some. for others, a more urgent a desperate search for survivors. in the philippines,

rescuers are trying to find dozens of missing miners, buried beneath a landslide that engulfed their emergency shelters in the town of itogon. no—one has yet been pulled out alive. translation: my hopes are that they're fine and someone finds them but even if they are dead at least we can retrieve them and make our peace. others have been saved though. emergency workers facing the twin threat of water and mud know that fresh landslides are still a threat. farmers have seen their rice and corn crop wiped out under a surge of water. they're used to the threat of typhoons in the philippines but many of these people live in communities least able to protect themselves. hong kong's high—rises took a battering. some swayed. windows shattered. the sea surged around low—lying areas. but no—one died here. hong kong got off fairly lightly. they've got to clean up shattered

glass and some rubbish. the biggest challenge now for the authorities is this, fallen trees blocking pavements and still some roadways. it's going to take a few days to make these safe and move them out of the way. otherwise it's back to business as usual. the city's schools will stay shut another day while they make sure it's safe for the children. 0ne hong konger i spoke to on a flooded street yesterday told me mangkhut was bad but not as bad as the year he saw boats on the streets. 0n the mainland, they very likely averted an even worse disaster. more than 2 million people were moved out of the path of the oncoming typhoon. still though some experienced it up close. translation: we were really scared. i'd already barricaded the door. i didn't dare open it. me and my wife didn't dare go outside. mangkhut hit three places in three days. it was the strongest storm of the year. now it's heading west

across southern china, losing strength by the hour. the cost to life and to asian economies is still not quantifiable. robin brant, bbc news, hong kong. and in the united states, authorities in north carolina have residents are being told to stay off the roads as the threat from flash floods remains high. at least 17 people have been killed. thousands remain in emergency shelters without power. some warm sunshine coming through in some areas. the calm before the storm because storm helen is under way. this was earlier on, the swirl of cloud here. that was a hurricane

some time ago. we have seen some very warm tropical air drawn up from the south ahead of that system which is why we are seeing temperatures in the south—east of england up to around 26 degrees. for a while, not around 26 degrees. for a while, not a cloud in the sky. 0ne sunshine. waking up the cloud further north. temperatures probably hit the low 20s even here. looking to the south—west to see the cloud increase and the wind is picking up. the south—west england and then wales later in the night will see a spell of rain. more rain for northern ireland, turning wetter here. some for west of scotland and eastern areas likely to be dry with clear skies. another warm night. tomorrow, these are where we expect the strongest winds. most of england and wales. highest gusts around exposed western coasts and hills. a windy day across england and wales. the

rain in wales won't last long. shouldn't last long in northern england. lingers a bit longer in scotland. then blown out of the way. funny spells arriving and some showers pushing in from the west. strong south—westerly winds primarily across england and wales. still drawing up warm air so those temperatures likely to be into the mid—20s in the south—east and he is now clear. further north, around 18 or 19. scotland and northern ireland as well. it may be that the strongest winds are yet to arrive. deepening area of low pressure picked up by a strong jet stream. that will be driven towards the uk. strongest winds in the north west. 60 to 70 mph. a much when your day for scotland and northern ireland. heavy rain before that pushes away. raining western parts. towards the south—east where it won't be as windy. temperatures could get up to

23 or 24. it is cooling down for scotla nd 23 or 24. it is cooling down for scotland and northern ireland. that trend will continue towards the later part of the week. a windy wig ahead. spells of strong two goals —— gale force winds. some warmth today, tomorrow and for some of us into wednesday. my deal or no deal says the prime minister — with six months to go until the uk leaves the european union. theresa may warns mps that if they don't accept her proposals the uk could leave with no deal, but critics say her chequers plan is a car crash. we'll get a good deal, we'll bring that back from the european... from the eu negotiations and put that to parliament. i think that the alternative to that would be not having a deal. it's not really fulfilling the mandate of the people and you're not really coming out of the eu. and that's... that would be a real, real shame and i think a bit of a political disaster, as i say. today, a warning for the uk

economy — it will shrink if there is no deal, says the international monetary fund. closing a deal with the eu will be critical to avoid a no—deal brexit, which would impose very large cost on the uk economy.