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tv   Beyond 100 Days  BBC News  October 9, 2018 7:00pm-8:01pm BST

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you're watching beyond one hundred days. the face of america at the united nations is changing. nikki haley has announced her resignation. as she leaves she praises president trump for giving her the honour of a lifetime. at the united nations haley has walked a careful line — she's seen as a bulwark against the white house's america first agenda — but she's also stayed very close to her boss. turkish authorities will search the saudi consulate in istanbul for signs of a missing journalist. the saudis deny killing him but the turks are mounting a full investigation. also on the programme... the salisbury poisoning is turning into an embarrasing failure for the kremlin. the second member of the spy team they sent to britain has been unmasked as a former navy doctor, decorated by the russian president in 2014. and just how long did it take the kansas city police force, before they finally relented — and called in the fire service to get them out of a hole. hello and welcome.
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i'm katty kay in washington. christian fraser is in london. almost three dozen people have left the trump administration over the past 19 months. what was remarkable about today's announcement that nikki haley is leaving, was how normal it was. she wasn't fired, she doesn't seem to be leaving under a cloud, she hasn't resigned in protest — the president's ambassador to the un is leaving, as far as we know, on good terms. which in this administration, makes it unusual. ms haley is known to be an ambitious, smart political operative. at the un she's walked a careful line between staking her independence from the white house while keeping good relations with the president. no easy feat and one that earned her an affectionate send off this morning. it has been an honour of a lifetime. you know, i said i'm such a lucky girl to have been able to lead the state that raised me and to serve the country i love so very much. it has really been a blessing and i want to thank you for that.
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she has done a fantasticjob and we did a fantastic job she has done a fantasticjob and we did a fantasticjob together, solving a lot of problems. our un correspondent nada tawfik joins us now from new york. it must‘ve been the talk of the town. any speculation as to why she was leaving? absolutely, even staff at the un just found out this morning and the bromance are speculating on just that question, why is she leaving. really taken at face value saying that you is taking time to plan her next move but they've always seen nikki haley as a politician. she was of course governor of south carolina before coming here. for them governor of south carolina before coming here. forthem it governor of south carolina before coming here. for them it was a matter of a politically opportune time for herod to step down. and though she had vertical ambitions,
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whether it be, she said not for president but perhaps beyond 2020. she will be missed by theresa may because she was a trusted ally for the british prime minster on many things and particularly when it came to russia. absolutely, nikki haley is popular in the republican party, she came you wanting to push the conservative agenda at the un, wanting to reassert american sovereignty and she did that when it came to protecting israel at the un, getting china and russia to agree to more sanctions against north korea, to get to the diplomatic step whereat now. and when it comes to the allies here at the united nations, she broke from president trump and that was a tough line that she took on russia in the security council and she was unapologetic about that when she was caught announcing sanctions before the white house was ready to do that. they said that she was confused and
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she said with respect, i do not get confused. so very much an independent voice at the un. one of my favourite nikki haley moments! and joining us now is john negroponte — who served as us ambassdaor to the un during the administration of george w bush. you know what it is like to be the american ambassador to the un at a time when the world has some reservations about un policy committee with during the george bush administration and the invasion of iraq. do you think she has done a good job? i do, she is good on the repartee, she is well spoken, she is a people person and she reaches out to others and gets along well. she has had an interesting blend of toughness on the un secretariat in particular but also has shown compassion for the beneficiaries of un assistance in africa, either
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through peacekeeping missions or the volu nta ry through peacekeeping missions or the voluntary humanitarian agencies. so i think she has racked up a pretty good record in that two—year period. ido good record in that two—year period. i do not know if you had political ambitions after leaving the un, do you think that she has increased chances of national political office if that is what she wants?” chances of national political office if that is what she wants? i do not know but people have stepped from the un eventually to political office. daniel moynahan staged a run for the senate afterjust six months asa for the senate afterjust six months as a representative of the un and of course george w bush became president of the united states and eddie stevenson ran a failed campaignfor eddie stevenson ran a failed campaign for the presidency so nine politicians serving as us representatives to the un since the end of world war ii, since the founding of the organisation. she has been a base for the administration around the world, i wonder how they will react to her leaving because she was quite close to theresa may on russia but on iran
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of course she was the hawk at a time whenjim of course she was the hawk at a time when jim matters of course she was the hawk at a time whenjim matters was pushing for them to keep the deal, she was pushing the other way. them to keep the deal, she was pushing the other waylj them to keep the deal, she was pushing the other way. i think her antenna there were more in line with the president and george pompeo. recalling my own experience, it is almost inherent in the job because france in the uk are part of the permanent five members of the security council so you deal almost daily with them. and with the british representative. and ends up obviously understanding very well uk position and i think that is what happened in the case of nikki haley. ido happened in the case of nikki haley. i do not think that the uk has much to worry about with regards to its going to be the next ambassador to the un as far as sensitivity to uk position is concerned. with that in mind and given we do have a stake in it, who would be your preferred
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candidate for the job? someone with the confidence of the president, i think that is important. i kind of doubt that it will be a career person just doubt that it will be a career personjust given doubt that it will be a career person just given the circumstances, so person just given the circumstances, soi person just given the circumstances, so i think he is going to want to select from available political appointees and that could present a pretty broad range. perhaps even people currently in the administration. ivanka trump? well the president is free to choose whoever he wishes to be ambassador to the un. thank you very much. i was wondering if we were going to get a name out of you and we did! another name being flooded around is gina powell who also left on good terms and is also close to nikki haley. they were photographed together on a lake in south carolina
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recently enjoying life together so you may wonder if that is one possibility. but the name that would ruffle most people would be ivanka trump. my scenario, iwill give ruffle most people would be ivanka trump. my scenario, i will give you even money on this so close to the midterms, the attorney general is fired after the midterms, lindsay graham, a staunch supporter of the president, is appointed as attorney general, senatorfor south president, is appointed as attorney general, senator for south carolina a former governorfor general, senator for south carolina a former governor for south carolina nikki haley already been given the wea k nikki haley already been given the weak and she stands for the job, she gets thejob weak and she stands for the job, she gets the job and that gives a free run at the presidency in 202a. gets the job and that gives a free run at the presidency in 2024.” think there's a chance of that and i think there's a chance of that and i think she also wants to go and make some money, one thing she said this morning because of course it is the question everyone is asking, does she want to run against donald trump. here she is. some of you are going to ask about 2020. no, i'm not running for 2020. i can promise you what i will be doing is campaigning for this one. so i look forward to supporting the president in the next election. so your scenario of 2024! think is
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more likely. in the meantime i'd ta ke more likely. in the meantime i'd take that she makes an excellent target for donald trump, obviously she is a woman comic he has a problem with female voters, she is well liked by the base but also has the potential to reach out to independent voters so not a bad person for the president to send out on the campaign trail for 2020. when you and i will still be on air! it is remarkable how easy it has been for the investigative website bellingcat to uncover the true identities of the men sent to poison sergei skripal. having unmasked the first one a few weeks ago, they have now named the second. the kremlin said he was alexander petrov. in fact bellingcat says he is alexander mishkin a 39—year—old navy doctor, recruited by russian military intelligence. he was apparently decorated by president putin in 2014 and this is the man who exposed the story. eliot higgins is the founder of bellingcat which for the last six years has run an investigative operation, with a handful of volunteers, from the living room of his home in leicester. there are reports from russia that
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vladimir putin is less than happy with the performance of the gru, none too surprisingly. 0ur security correspondent gordon corera has more. alexander mishkin as a young man, and more recently, alexander petrov, two names but one person, a russian spy. arriving as alexander petrov he was spotted on cctv in salisbury in march and accused by police of poisoning sergei skripal, himself a former russian spy, and his daughter yulia. a discarded perfume bottle used in the attack would later kill dawn sturgess. now petrov has been named as alexander mishkin, so what do we know about him? he was born injuly 1979. he trained as a doctor at a military medical academy and in 2014 he was awarded the title hero of the russian federation.
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why might a doctor have been involved ? this is the most deadly chemical warfare agent known to man, they were handling it and taking it on aeroplanes and he would have made sure they did not become casualties and also importantly making sure skripal got a dose that would kill him and hang around to see the symptoms took place before they got on the plane back to moscow. along with the other man previously revealed to be anatoliy chepiga, mishkin went on russian tv saying he was a tourist in salisbury, there to see the cathedral spire. how did researchers from the group bellingcat manage to prove that petrov was really mishkin? they firstly surmised that, like some other operatives, he might have kept his real date of birth and first two names. databases revealed a possible match which tallied with an individual link to russian intelligence, the gru. next they got hold of
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passport details and carried out image analysis to see if there was a visual match and there was. finally they went to his hometown where people confirmed his identity and said his grandmother had proudly showed a picture of him receiving a medalfrom vladimir putin. what does this say about the gru, based in this building, that it is possible to identify their spies? i think they are doing it as a mass—market product already. they have so many spies that they are not able to protect everyone's identity well and, for me, it is my personal opinion, even though they have amazing hackers and computer departments, that knowledge has not flowed through to the old—fashioned hitjob departments. with its missions now exposed vladimir putin, here pictured inside the gru,
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will now have to decide whether to fundamentally change how it operates. gordon corera, bbc news. we're joined by newsnight‘s diplomatic editor and author of the skripal files, mark urban. it is remarkable what elliott higgins has done at elinor kirk, using open source tools on the internet to find this information. asbos an indictment of how poorly the gru has been run. exact day right in the second part of the question because on this particular point, the daily telegraph and another russian organisation also identified alexander mishkin. it makes precisely the point that you've got to which is that other people using the same car insurance, database, people using the same car insurance, data base, and people using the same car insurance, database, and other things, hackers tools ofjuly, database, and other things, hackers tools of july, have database, and other things, hackers tools ofjuly, have been able to also come up with this identification. it is pretty
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extraordinary. cars registered to the country headquarters and things like that. 305 of them. they choose to have their card that because they do not want a speeding fine! lets go from that technology of this to the story you uncovered about the skripals and the degree to which vladimir putin for him sergei skripal was a personal issue and this was more than just needing to get rid of someone, it was about a personal sense of grievance? absolutely and it goes back i think to the wild days of the mid—19 90s when people like putin are becoming more powerful. and he and those people around him, they really thought something had to be done, they western agencies were doing what they wanted and recruiting people right, left and centre. and in 1995 they new. boris johnson signed away the death penalty and they felt something had to be done
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to restore that to stop people buying for the west. and lo and behold people started dying. —— yeltsin. 0ne one other spy was murdered in prison and that happened in a few cases but in this particular incidents would seem in this particular incidents would seem to have happened is that sergei skripal, hejoined the ranks, quite a small group of senior intelligence officers living in the west, and those people generally are under fbi style witness protection measures in the us and hard to find. and of course doing something like that in the us is more politically risky. so this seemed to fit on sergei skripal is someone easy to find and the fact that they were regularly travelling in and out of russia, that gave them a start point to intercept their communications to identify when and
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where they could find them. thank you very much. the reports of what saudi authorities may have done to one of their most prominent critics are — if proven — chilling. the journalist jamal khashoggi has not been seen for a week. there is film of him going into the saudi consulate in istanbul. but so far no pictures of him leaving. the turkish president has now challenged the saudi authorities to produce the evidence that he is safe. the saudi ambassador to the us — a younger brother of the crown prince — says reports that mr khashoggi was murderered inside the consulate are false. but the journalist had spoken about threats to his life and he was concerned that mohammed bin salman was cracking down on dissenting voices. mark lowen is our correspondent in istanbul and gave us this update. a week sinice jamal khashoggi entered the saudi consulate in istanbul and seemed to disappear saudi arabia has given turkey the authorisation to enter the consulate building
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and its investigative team will be able to search the building for any trace of mr khashoggi. that comes after the explosive allegations leaked by the turkish investigative team over the weekend, which are that they believe that mr khashoggi was killed inside the consulate in a premeditated murder involving a saudi hit squad of some 15 individuals who flew in from riyadh on the same day last tuesday. and then left by plane back to saudi arabia that night. this has all been fiercely denied, of course, by the saudi authorities. the brother of the crown prince mohammed bin salman, the brother currently saudi arabia's ambassador to the us, has given a statement saying that all the allegations of mr khashoggi's detention or murder inside the consulate are completely false and baseless. we are getting reports in the turkish pro—government media that the investigation's focus is on black vans that left the consulate building that evening. and on two planes that
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flew to saudi arabia, one stopping in dubai, the other stopping in egypt. there are also reports that the turkish staff in the saudi consulate were given a day's holiday last tuesday. and another report as well that the 15 individuals who flew in and out of istanbul that day to saudi arabia are thought to have ta ken cctv footage from inside the consulate with them. so it is all looking rather bad for the saudis. they are maintaining that mr khashoggi left the consulate building the very same day. but president erdogan has now said, if they are claiming that, they need to provide video footage to support that claim. and at the moment the only still of cctv footage that we have is of jamal khashoggi, this famous saudi dissident, entering the building, but not leaving. for more on this, joining me now is rula jebreal, a middle east foreign policy expert,
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who knows mr khashoggi personally. you have spoken to his fiancee this morning, that is why he had gone to the consulate, to get documentation so they could get married. what has she been saying? actually i spoke to friends because his fiancee is really shaken by this, she's not eating, she was distressed and depressed. what they are saying is that jamal khashoggi felt he was threatened, he actually wrote about that multiple times and even in the washington post he said that he was considered an enemy because this crown prince cannot tolerate criticism. by the way jamal khashoggi was a journalist, he wa nted khashoggi was a journalist, he wanted to disagree, his last column in the saudi newspaper was, i am a saudi are allowed to disagree, i would like to disagree. he loved his country, he really wanted this crown
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prince to succeed and he was waiting for him but wanted him to take a different route that is open to criticism, two people speaking out. people are in prison for using twitter, friends in turkey thinks that turkey believe that he was killed because the embassy and consulate is bugged. this is how they know what you said you think they know what you said you think they will get to the bottom of the case. i'm sure that we will sooner or later, you cannot hide the truth and sooner or later they will have to provide evidence of some kind. the saudi crown prince is used to these kind of tactics, he did at last year with the prime minister of a country, he summoned him and then basically bullied him and asked him to resign. so he could confront iran directly. this has been an unmitigated disaster for the saudis and also the americans who are his backers. now we need to stand up and forster this guy to tell us what
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exactly happened. if he disputes what the turkish police are saying, that they basically kidnapped him inside, they lure him in and dismembered him, put him in boxes and took the body out, then they have to prove that it is not true. somehow or other. i think that this crown prince has been engaged previously in war crimes in yemen and he will continue to do this until he is forced to say something. and not other public statement from the president, although he said he is not happy about what he's hearing but i wonder, if he would condone something like this, i'm not saying that, but constantly talking about the media being the enemy of the people, does that send a message to other brewers around the world that this kind of behaviour is ok? you are spot on, i think i'll statement is disgraceful, it is like looking at people being killed in america
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through gunshots and this carnage in america and saying, our thoughts and prayers. this is not enough for the leader of the free world, a country that enshrined free—speech in its first amendment. you're right, he is waging waron first amendment. you're right, he is waging war on the truth and president trump is basically triggering the worst impulses of these tyrants around the world. yesterday by the way a journalist was killed, i think the day before, in bulgaria, she was raped and killed because she was investigating and it is becoming our profession is becoming the most dangerous one because if the leader of the free world is giving a green light to these thugs and tyrants to come after us then what is left and who will stand up to mohammed ansar man and others. thank you very much. -- mohammed bin salman and others. we have been reporting on this story
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and also briefly the journalist murdered in bulgaria which is still being investigated but it sends a chill to the profession when you see this happening. also we reported last year on the journalist killed in malta. and attacks on journalists seem in malta. and attacks on journalists seem to be at a high the moment. of course the president is never going to condone this kind of behaviour against journalist, to condone this kind of behaviour againstjournalist, that is not what he has ever suggested, but i have had human rights activist saying me the world that they are concerned that there is less protection for people who are critical of the ca nyon people who are critical of the canyon regimes because of the language that has come out of things like enemy of the people. of course turkey ironically has not historically treated its journalist well either but of course turkey has backed saudi arabia in a stand—off with other gulf states. —— backed qatar.
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there seems to be a lot of data with flights leaving, and i think this is one story that we will get an answer to unlike some others. there is a longstanding — good natured rivalry — between the emergency services. and sometimes the fire fighters are the butt of the jokes. but not this time. here is a picture taken at the kansas city police academy in missouri where 12 — yes 12 — police officers found themselves stuck in a lift. and if you are stuck in a lift who do you call — the fire service. who were more than happy to help. after they had taken their pictures. "we dream of moments like these!" said one of them who tweeted this photo. ican i canjust icanjust imagine i can just imagine that. i canjust imagine that. we are going to be right there, just hang tight! give me that phone. i want to know which of those policeman was at
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that finally after they had been stuck in this elevator for two hours said ok, we will have to call the fire service. we will have to do it. and then of course the police service also send out this photo. an embarrassing day. i hope they will not stop to take a photograph if they ever come to rescue me! this is beyond 100 days from the bbc. coming up for viewers on the bbc news channel and bbc world news — a vintage crop, perfect weather and a bumper year for wine. you may have have heard it all before — expect this time it's in the uk. and what hopes for a blue bounce in the final weeks before the midterms as the democrats fight to win more seats in congress and curb donald trump — we'll look at their strategy. that's still to come. increasing sunshine today for wales
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and england. northern ireland and scotla nd and england. northern ireland and scotland joined the party tomorrow early cloud in the sky the afternoon. temperatures tomorrow in the sunshine will be higher than today but it is still raining in the north west of scotland. we have had some flooding and landslides as well and that rain finally begins to push away through the night. problems caused by public —— by flooding may continue however. tomorrow that front has gone, the rain moves away from the north of scotland, warm air for the time of year. some early mist and fog especially in england, some low cloud in scotland which also is clearing. cloud free into the afternoon put up blue skies across almost all the uk. a warm
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colour showing up on the map, widely into the high teens and low 20s. five 8 degrees above normal for the time of year across the board. into the evening across the channel islands and parts of wales, eventually some outbreaks of rain. this weather front pushing north during wednesday night and into thursday morning. then a gap and then another moving in during thursday. so the first clears away quite quickly on thursday morning, leaving some sunshine and this coming into the west will move east with many eastern parts having an early chance of a shower but again warm sunshine into the afternoon. it is still breezy but stronger wind on thursday, even stormy conditions arriving at the end of the week at this area of low pressure. still
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something to play for and how close this is going to come to us especially across northern ireland and scotland, we could see the strongest wind here is friday begins. then an area of rain starting to move in to northern and western parts of the uk. even into saturday that remains. and the rain could also be disrupted. we will keep you posted. this is beyond 100 days with me katty kay in washington, christian fraser is in london. our top stories... america's ambassador to the un, nikki haley, has resigned after less than two years in the role. the white house says she'll leave at the end of the year. a british investigative website names a russian military doctor — alexander mishkin — as the second spy behind the poisoning of the former russian agent sergei skripal. coming up in the next half hour... there's a warning as many as 40 tory brexiteers will resist attempts to coerce them into supporting theresa may's chequers plan, potentially making the deal much harder to get through parliament. plus, as the us midterm campaign season enters the home stretch,
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is the democratic party speaking with one voice? we look at their strategy for this year and beyond. what wouldn't we give to be a fly on the walls of the supreme court today where the newjustice, brett kavanaugh, was at work hearing his first cases? last night the president declared him innocent and offered this apology. on behalf of our nation i want to apologise to brett and the entire kavanaugh family for the terrible pain and suffering you have been forced to endure. justice kavanaugh pledged to be impartial, after testimony which was criticised as too partisan. 0n hand for the swearing—in ceremony were the other eightjustices he will now serve beside. greg stohr covers the supreme court for bloomberg and he joins us now. what are those eight colleagues
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thinking today? they will be thinking today? they will be thinking all sorts of things but will be not the same. clarence thomas faced sexual allegations before he was sworn in. bruce bailey gives bove has made it her mission in life to fight for gender equality. in the courtroom today they were all peace and harmony but no doubt there are some hard feelings behind the scenes. the chiefjusticejohn feelings behind the scenes. the chiefjustice john roberts wants feelings behind the scenes. the chiefjusticejohn roberts wants to keep the court as nonpartisan as possible. do you think now with brett kava naugh possible. do you think now with brett kavanaugh coming onto the court in the way that he is that thatis court in the way that he is that that is a bigger challenge?m court in the way that he is that that is a bigger challenge? it is a bigger challenge and he will be a fascinating figure because he is open to conservative guides and they would probably like to see the court moved to the right that he has also recognised, particularly in the 0bama care case a few years ago, the court's institutional integrity could be at stake and he may put the bra kes could be at stake and he may put the
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brakes on anything looking like a british art move to the right. here isa british art move to the right. here is a quote from anotherjustice who was nominated to the court back in 2010. she was talking at princeton and said that an incredibly important thing for the court to rip protect... in mind of what you just said about that impartiality, what happens the next time judge kavanaugh is asked to rule on sexual abuse, the instance? that'll be a very interesting situation. the court doesn't have many of those sorts of cases but there are a lot of things that brett kava naugh cases but there are a lot of things that brett kavanaugh said in his confirmation hearings which may come around, his comments about partisanship and how democratic members of the committee were portrayed by him as being unfair to him. when he gets a case that involves some kind of partisan issue, congressional districts or voting rights, there will be
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questions about whether he can be impartial. would he have to recuse himself? he would have to recuse himself? he would have to recuse himself in the sense that those decisions are generally up to the individual justices. decisions are generally up to the individualjustices. it is not a case where he has a financial interest in the case. as a general matter, justices haven't recused even when someone on matter, justices haven't recused even when someone on the outside says that there is an appearance that they cannot be impartial. last night of the white house, he said he wa nts to night of the white house, he said he wants to be a force for civility and unity. i guess that is all very well trying to be nonpartisan until the case comes before him which is very partisan. what cases do you see coming up that will test whether brett kava naugh is coming up that will test whether brett kavanaugh is going to be truly nonpartisan? it may take a few months. the cases that the court has scheduled for october and november are scheduled for october and november a re pretty low profile. scheduled for october and november are pretty low profile. anything comes out of the probe into the robert mueller probe could be high
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profile. next year they will be talking about gerrymandering which isa talking about gerrymandering which is a big political issue. and titus, nation law covering sexual orientation and gender identity, that'll be a divisive issue. 0bese in cases where we will start to see the true colours of brett kavanaugh, one way or the other. thank you very much for coming in. i think what we will see is the chiefjustice trying, as greg is suggesting that, but this is a court which doesn't rule on everything 5—4, strictly on party lines. that is easier to do on some of the non—political cases, the test will come when it is a ho profile, social, cultural or political case and that everybody suspects that we are looking at a 5-4 suspects that we are looking at a 5—4 court that is fiercely partisan as the presidents who appointed those individualjudges thought they would vote. and what happens if there is anotherjudge that stands down or dies? we talk about
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ginsberg, there is the potential that you would have another republican. if donald trump serves for another six years in the white house, the chances of him getting one more justice's seeks to fill are reasonably high. of course, that would be a huge bonus to him and a big victory to the conservative movement. theresa may has told her cabinet that britain will not accept an eu will not accept an eu withdrawal deal without a "precise" outline on the future of the trade and security relationship. in nine days time the pm will be at a crunch brussels summit at which the withdrawal deal was supposed to have been finalised. it's hard to see now how that will happen in time. the big sticking point is still the northern irish border. the eu wants a cast iron guarantee that whether or not future trade talks succeed, there will be no hard border on the island of ireland. but the dup leader arlene foster — who was in brussels today — says she will never accept
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a solution whereby northern ireland remains in the customs union, aligned to the single markets on goods. look, we've always said that there's only one red line in these matters and that is when we are treated differently from the rest of the united kingdom in terms of customs, in terms of regulatory alignment. and that is to protect, not just the constitution of the united kingdom, but also the economy of northern ireland which of course is vital from where i sit. we're joined from westminster by the economist's anne mcelvoy and here in the studio by the spectator‘s political correspondent katy balls. we get the word today that michel barnier is tinkering with the plan, trying to make it more palatable to the british side. what you get from arlene foster is not this idea that there can be some compromise around there can be some compromise around the edges, it is the very concept of keeping northern ireland in a customs union that she opposes. how do they get around that?“ customs union that she opposes. how do they get around that? if you listen carefully to arlene foster, she has a quite minimal but very
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firm requirement, she won't see northern ireland, as she emphasised there, for constitutional reasons, because that is very bitterly entwined with the division of ireland in its history separated from the rest of the uk. she also uses an economic argument there. i think as long as there is a solution which does not say, as a requirement, but northern ireland has to be in the customs union as currently described and laid down in the letter of the law, i think there is actually some wriggle room about that. michel barnier, he is a different kettle of fish. i suspect that he is quite irritated that these negotiations are driving on, they are perhaps hoping that if they we re they are perhaps hoping that if they were going to come to some resolution, that they might see a bit more movement by now. don't forget that there is a back—up meeting, the next big meeting is in november so there's still some time ahead. it is just angela november so there's still some time ahead. it isjust angela merkel particularly is keen to see the negotiators get a move on. she only
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likes to ride in at the last moment. the later it gets left, the longer you leave it until someone can come in and wavered over magic wand. i'm familiar with those nights in brussels. i suspect you're going to have more of them coming up, christian. let me ask you about the report that there are 40 conservatives who are prepared, possibly even to vote against the government to vote if they try to stick with the chequers plan and they are not happy that it is a hard enough exit from the eu. you think that number sounds about right and would they really, when push comes to shove, vote against the government if it meant possibly triggering another election and a labour victory? former europe minister has reiterated this today. i don't think it is a surprisingly. presuming it stays on the same course in terms of checkers it will
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be more like 20. i think there is a numberthat, no be more like 20. i think there is a number that, no matter what the government do, unless they completely pull something new out of the bag which no one is expecting, there will be a rebellion. there is also a chance that it gets higher whichjust also a chance that it gets higher which just depends on what concessions theresa may makes because we know that the whole plan was to have an ok conference and survive that and see what was left. if she tries to make any unpopular concessions then it could go up. what is your upper number of where it goes to? if freedom of movement started to move on the table then i think that would go up.” started to move on the table then i think that would go up. i think we are all agreed that checkers now, given that the conservatives and the eu are against it, it is a negotiating position and what matters is which way it goes now. if it goes towards norway, russian problem grows. if it goes towards canada, may shrink. it is a bit alice in wonderland, isn't it? i think she is absolutely right to say
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that if freedom of movement becomes what this argument is about and the terms around that, if there is a sense on the brexit side that they didn't get somewhere on constraining freedom of movement, i know some people don't like the sound of it and there are reasons to defend the principle of freedom of movement. if you had a vote which you believe with some evident which was spurred by objections to low—wage immigration, this is pretty fundamental to your position. at some point, there has to be the kind of fudge that we have seen the eu plot before and there are various ways, transitional arrangements, the danes have also got different arrangements there around some aspects of immigration and welfare. 0ri aspects of immigration and welfare. or i think those numbers of rebels go or i think those numbers of rebels 9° up or i think those numbers of rebels go up as katie pointed out. how long isa week go up as katie pointed out. how long is a week in politics? because we we re is a week in politics? because we were reporting last week about how great a conference she had. she came out of it better and danced her way onto the stage. york lord younger even copied her which is perhaps the
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greatest flattery. is this actually that was a moment in time where she came off the height of the co nfe re nce came off the height of the conference and things seem to be better than they were? does she still stuck basically where she can't get the two side of the party to agree? i think this is the problem of where her premiership is that she may have want good week that she may have want good week that her problems are so great that one good speech isn't going to fix it. her conference speech board has more and boosted morale at the brexit problem was not going to go away and this week has been dubbed hell week. a lot of the decisions have been put off until next week so actually it is hell fortnight and may even be hell month. looking at the timetable, in nine days' time that was supposed to be the signing of time but there will be a special summit in november. we then have another vote in november and there we cancel our christmas plans for a
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general election, is that what we do? there would be a general election before christmas at! i may be back and have to eat humble pie that i think there is a timetable which is very tight. i think the eu likes to get stuff done by the end of the year. yes, it is difficult and there are aspects of it which still that intractable unless there is going to be a no deal arrangement or no arrangement, then something is going to have to by christmas. with article 50 being triggered in march, christmas and the new year are taken rather slowly in brussels and strasbourg and some aspects of bureaucratic europe doesn't fully come back untiljanuary. i would say that something would have to move before christmas. i have a feeling, more of a hunch than anything, that a lot of things which seem to be in the way now will miraculously be swept off the table and perhaps traded away, little bits of funding
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and ill will will be traded away as we get towards christmas. perhaps i'm too reliant the yuletide spirit. long nights, plenty of fudge and yuletide spirit. i laugh her optimism that it will get sorted out at the last minute! enough movement, perhaps, to give us all a christmas holiday. this is beyond 100 days and still to come... still to come — it's ‘cheers‘ for the british wine industry as it reaps the rewards with what promises to be its best—ever grape harvest. a firm has been stripped of nhs contracts after hundreds of tonnes of clinical waste from hospitals were allowed to pile up at its sites. health care environmental services was responsible for removing waste, including body parts. a backlog of medical waste including body parts which should have been disposed of.
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questions about who knew what and when. the company blaming a lack of facilities to incinerate hospital waste. today the government gave its response, with a new contractor brought in. throughout, mr speaker, our priority has been to ensure measures were put in place so that the nhs can continue operating as normal. no gap in service provision has been reported and we're working to ensure that this remains the case. but labour went on the attack. mr speaker, this is an absolutely horrific scandal where a private contractor has failed in their responsibilities to a quite staggering degree. 350 tonnes of waste including human body parts, amputated limbs and infectious fluid, substances from cancer, left effectively stockpiled and not safely disposed of. it's an absolute scandal. mps have branded it a scandal partly because parliament was not told sooner. 0njuly the 31st, the environment agency informed the government. in september, ministers discussed it at a meeting of the cobra
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emergency committee. but it was only last week that the issue was uncovered by the health service journal. there will be continuing questions here at westminster about the more than 30 hospitals which still have contracts with the company hes. what contingency plans have been made, and whether there are still long—term problems with medical waste disposal which need to be tackled. hes itself strongly denies it has ever stockpiled body parts and says only about 1% of what it processes is anatomical waste. none of the company's contracts with scottish health boards have been terminated. hugh pym, bbc news. on this programme we talk a lot about the republican party and the president's agenda, today we are taking a closer look at the democrats. as the midterms approach, they are looking for an opportunity to win more seats in congress and so put a check on donald trump.
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there's a lot of energy among democratic voters but there are also splits in the party and no obvious leader for the 2020 presidential election. the washington post has taken an in—depth look at the issues facing democrats and we are joined now by scott clement, the post's director of polling. i read this poll as a kind of washingtonjunkie, i i read this poll as a kind of washington junkie, i read i read this poll as a kind of washingtonjunkie, i read this poll with interest and saw the gap between republicans and democrats, there is about four point in terms of enthusiasm. it didn't strike me as very big. we are hearing about a democratic wave that i thought the democrats would be far ahead in the national poll. we have been looking at national polls all year which showed democrats with a lead but where the action is for congress is really in battle ground states. 63 are held by republicans. even running even full publicans across
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those districts but many republicans ina lot those districts but many republicans in a lot of danger. we are getting closer to wet areas matter but it also means that democrats have more opportunities for picking up the 23 seats they need. a truism of american politics like british politics, what is local is true. i wonder also if there aren't supra— local things, big wonder also if there aren't supra— localthings, big nationalthings that could affect its like donald trump himself. how important is he in these midterms? the is critical. in our survey, nine out of ten voters who approve donald trump support the reporting candidate in their district. if you look at people who disapprove of trump, around 90% support the democrats. that kind of alignment really is extraordinary and shows that it is a referendum on trump in the congressional races. but you need a standard— bearer and congressional races. but you need a standard—bearer and someone who will carry the party and i see a lot of
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original canada the 2020. 0verhear people talk about joe biden. original canada the 2020. 0verhear people talk aboutjoe biden. looking atjoe biden, people talk aboutjoe biden. looking at joe biden, it people talk aboutjoe biden. looking atjoe biden, it will be 77 when he runs. that is the age that reagan retired at. isn't he too old? well, it is tough to say. i mean, you're right, democrats are pretty scattered in terms of the number of candidates who are interested. what joe biden has wisdom of the democrats don't is a national reputation. that is one thing that democrats are looking to 2020. he doesn't need to do that among democrats. he has one leg above some others but it is a very long way away. does he undermine the democratic image when you talk in your polls if you don't know which way the party is going to go at the presidential election? when it goes the liberal left or will it go to the liberal left or will it go to the centrist established order?”
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don't think it matters a great deal for 2018. when we look back at 2010 and 2014, ba rack for 2018. when we look back at 2010 and 2014, barack 0bama's approval ratings were in a weak spot but no one had confident in the republican party in congress. they still won in big ways at the ballot box in 2010 at 2014. i think that is happening again this year with a real motivating factor is trump and how republicans are leading in government. democrats can hurt themselves more or less on the margins but really trump is the centre show. they give very much, it is what we have been saying, christian, it is all about club. it is all around the world too but you go around the country and usually people are talking about these hyper local issues. it is astonishing that local issues. it is astonishing that local politics has become national politics, fiercely divided between red and blue and it really is about whether you like or don't like trump. it is hard to see what democrats can do in that setting to
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try to win over people who are undecided. i'm surprised there are many undecided voters left in the country. can 2020 really be about 270—year—old men? country. can 2020 really be about 270-year-old men? 270-year-old white guys! the amount of money you have to raise in american politics, it would suit them to get that standard—bearer sooner or later. forecasters in the united states say hurricane michael is gaining strength and is expected to become a category three storm. it's expected to make landfall in the us on wednesday. a state of emergency has already been declared in parts of florida and thousands of residents in the gulf have been evacuated. over 300 miles of coastline are currently at risk. france and italy are working to contain an oil spill spreading in the mediterranean near the island of corsica. the slick is over 20 kilometres long, following sunday's accident when two vessels crashed. specialist teams are trying to pump up the oil at sea before
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it reaches the coast. a washing up bottle — at least 47 years old — has been found on the shores of a beach in somerset in the uk. it's thought to be the oldest item to have been discovered washed up... ..showing how long plastics take to disintegrate. the price indicates it was sold before the change in uk currency in 1971. after one of the hottest summers on record, the british wine industry is now reaping the rewards with what promises to be their best—ever grape harvest. there's been a steady increase in wine production in the uk over the past few years. jon kay reports from one vineyard in devon. 0n the banks of the river dart, it is a vintage year. today alone they picked six tonnes of grapes on the sharpham estate. that's four times more than normal. anna's secateurs hardly stop. filling as many boxes as she can in these last
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few days of the season. between 20 and 28 crates. a day? a day. i'm not a very fast picker, either. some of the other guys, they do 30, 40 crates. so i've got a long way to go. we're going to be picking these in about a week's time. duncan schwab is the head winemaker on this estate. try one of these. really sweet. you have incredible sweetness in there. incredible punchiness of flavour. he says it's also a record year for red grapes, which they normally struggle to grow here in devon. we've had the perfect year. it's been absolutely fantastic. nice early start. we had some snow, actually, in april. so a lot of bugs and diseases got killed. the vines went very dormant. then a wet spring which got them all growing really well and from then onwards, the sun has been out, it has beenjust absolutely perfect. the grapes picked here today should produce 6,000 bottles of wine. and it's a similar story this year at other uk vineyards. even before this summer's
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crop, britain's wine industry was flourishing. just under six million bottles were produced here in 2017. sales have increased by more than 30% in the last couple of years. and that is set to continue, with 1.7 million new vines due to be planted this year. but it's notjust about quantity. uk producers will also have to make wines of quality, at a good price, if they are going to compete around the world. cheers! and what if next year's weather isn't quite so perfect? jon kay, bbc news, devon. a beautiful vineyard, you see the river dart back there. they make a very nice cheese at sharpen as well. when i was the paris corresponded, i used to go to these blind wine—tasting days and i used to love
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it when these french connoisseurs, i know nothing about wine but enough to know that i know nothing, these wine connoisseurs from france with their blindfolds on now and again have been picking out these english wines which really gets them in the gut. they really don't like that! with another 45 seconds, do you want to fill the rest of it with stories about your tour of europe! this is the cheese and wine segment brought to you by beyond 100 days!m the cheese and wine segment brought to you by beyond 100 days! it is about warmer climates, you see.” don't like this story at all, however good the wine is, it shouldn't be. we shouldn't have a fantastic wine coming out because these lines are getting too much sun in the england countryside. i know it is good for them but i look at this story and feel nervous. you just look at it and think, "how will that go with my cheese?" they wouldn't be known for their red wines but they have red grapes this
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year so 2018 they will have some good wine. there is a plug for them. what did you have for dessert afterwards ? what did you have for dessert afterwards? a pint of guinness in the dartmouth arms. by by the afternoon tomorrow not a cloud in the sky. here is a view from west yorkshire tomorrow. temperatures will be a touch higher. it is still raining in north—west scotland, several days of soapy rain and landslides. but rain finally in the night starts to push away northwards. the rain is coming to an end. problems caused by flooding will continue for longer. some spots in single figures. tomorrow look at
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this, that front has gone and the rain has gone from northern scotland. there is a flow of warm aircoming from scotland. there is a flow of warm air coming from africa. there will be some early patch is of mist and fog. some low cloud, a great start in scotland. look at the land, that means cloud free into the afternoon, a blue sky across newly all of the uk before cloud brings make showers to the south—west and the channel islands. widely high teens into the low 20s, warm spots around 23—24dc. 5-8d low 20s, warm spots around 23—24dc. 5—8d above normal for the time of year. that this into the channel islands and south—west england into parts of wales, there will be thick cloud eventually some outbreaks of rain moving in. look weatherfront as it pushes northwards during wednesday night into thursday morning. another one starts to move on from the south—west during thursday. the first one phase away
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quite quickly during thursday morning then we get some sunshine and this coming into the west will push its way eastwards for many eastern parts that a chance of a shower. we will see some warm sunshine into the afternoon. philly will will get some rain on thursday. it is breezy still but stronger winds, even stormy conditions arriving at the end of the week as this area of low pressure winds itself up to the north—west of the uk. still something to play for in how close it is going to come to us but especially into northern ireland, scotland and north—west england, they will see the stronger twins as friday begins. the potential for destruction. twins as friday begins. the potentialfor destruction. in twins as friday begins. the potential for destruction. in an area of rain starting to move in which for more than and western parts of the uk will be around, even into saturday. the rain to could be disrupted. this is bbc news. i'm carole walker. the headlines at 8pm: theresa may faces growing calls from seniorfigures in her own party to change course on brexit or face dire electoral consequences. in a suprise move, the us ambassador
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to the united nations nikki haley is another casualty from president trump's cabinet. she gives no reason for stepping down after two years. the second russian suspect involved in the salisbury chemical poisoning is now identified as alexander mishkin, a military doctor who works for the intelligence agency the gru. they are a military outfit that is very aggressive and ambitious in doing things. and they don't necessarily care as much about consequences as your more traditional secret agencies would. a waste disposal company is stripped of some of it's nhs contracts
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