hello, you're watching afternoon live — i'm simon mccoy. today at 2.00pm. the chancellor switches to defence. philip hammond faces budget criticism amid claims that tax cuts will benefit the better off and leave others disappointed. we might be at the end of cuts but we're not going to be offsetting the cuts that have happened over the last seven or eight years. if i was a prison governor, if i was a headteacher or running a local authority i wouldn't be breaking out the champagne just yet. is a 32—year murder mystery about to be solved? forensic teams searching for missing london estate agent suzy lamplugh start digging up a garden in the west midlands. germany's worst post war serial killer, a nurse, admits being responsible for the deaths of 100 patients in his care. coming up on afternoon live, all the sport with hugh. hello. we will have the latest from the king power stadium with the club has opened a book of condolence for the five people including leicester city's owner, who lost their lives ina city's owner, who lost their lives in a helicopter crash over the weekend. thanks, hugh.

and darren has all the weather. we have got some rain around today. it isa we have got some rain around today. it is a chilly day but over the next few days it mate turn milder. later on in the programme, i will pander to the wins of afternoon live. you have given it all away! thanks, darren. also coming up — italy has been battered by fierce winds and rain which have left at least ten people dead across the country. venice hasn't seen flooding like this for ten years. hello everyone, this is afternoon live. i'm simon mccoy. the leading think tank, the institute for fiscal studies, says it believes yesterday's budget is a gamble with the public finances and is warning the chancellor may have to borrow more in future. after analysing the figures, the independent research group says

the big winner of the budget is the nhs but other public services will continue to feel the squeeze. the ifs also highlighted big gains for two and a half million families on the government's new flagship benefit — universal credit. some will be £600 better off a year. 0ur political correspondent leila nathoo reports. out on the factory floor this morning, the chancellor philip hammond keen to hear how yesterday's budget has been received. he's lifted the brakes on public spending, insisting poorer households would feel the greatest effect. if you look at the whole package of measures that we delivered yesterday — notjust personal income tax cuts, but all the other measures — and you analyse how they affect people across the income scale, it's people at the bottom end of the income scale that benefit the most, and the analysis clearly shows that. out of his red box came more money for the health service, for defence and for those on universal credit. he needed to fulfil the promise

of his downing street neighbour. the prime minister, this morning in norway, maintaining a new economic era was approaching. what we saw in the budget yesterday was, yes, austerity is coming to an end. what those that mean? we will continue to ensure that debts falls and give more support to our public services and we'll set out our new approach in the spending review next year. but austerity coming to an end isn't just about more money into our public services, it's about more money in people's pockets, as well. the budget yesterday was an attempt to redraw the dividing lines in westminster, to reposition conservative economic strategy. but labour have dismissed the claim that it truly heralded the end of the squeeze. it wasn't even a start. as i said, in key areas of public services, like schools, like police, local government — nothing for local government whatsoever. it's not the end of austerity for them. and on the departmental budgets, he said they will be protected. no, they won't.

some will, others will then get bigger cuts. and speaking to the bbc the head of a leading independent research institute had this assessment. the big winner yesterday was the health service. for other public services, there wasn't much extra money at all. we might be at the end of cuts, but we are not going to be offsetting the cuts that have happened over the last 7—8 years. if i was a prison governor, a headteacher, if i was running a local authority, i would not be breaking out the champagne just yet. so the government has loosened the purse strings, but the forecasts in this budget assume a smooth brexit and, if no deal is done, there would need to be a set of whole new economic plans. leila nathoo, bbc news, westminster. 0ur political correspondent chris mason is in westminster, but first, let's speak to our economics correspondent andy verity who is in central london. he's been at a post—budget briefing by the institute for fiscal studies. it is pretty scathing in parts.

it is pretty scathing in parts. it says if the chancellor hadn't announced any new spending measures by 2022 he would have achieved this goal that we have been told about for more than ten years, the goal of eliminating the budget deficit, the gap between the government spending and his income. he could have achieved that if he had announced spending measures. instead, he has given it all away. the ifs i said, you've got but that in perspective. the increase is 3.4% a year. the increase before the recent squeeze on nhs spending was 3.7%. those tax cuts that are going to come one a year early, what is the effect of bringing forward one year early? the amount you would be able to earn before you started paying tax were going to rise any weight with inflation so bringing it forward isn't very much. the average for a

basic taxpayers £24 a year. for a higher rate taxpayer it is more than that, £176 a year. thank you for that. let's go to chris maize on. the chancellor would have liked the headlines this morning but the day after the budget day, the devil is in the fine print. it is dave the eyebrows because when people look at this, the redbook which is the budget to detail and start drilling down into the members and specifically of the health expenditure and allocations, we've seen lots of headlines around that, a lot of analysis. let's look at some of the detail. i was chatting this morning to sarah woollaston, who chairs the health committee. she pointed me to a paid number 24 which divides up the money and when it is going and how stuff is being

shuffled around. in essence, she suspected and it has been proven right that the money allocated to health includes some shuffling within the health budget which means there are some areas such as public health and the training of doctors and nurses which are going to see a real terms cut in the next year. here she is. well, of course i welcome the extra money into health but we need to look into detail of whether that is going into nhs england at the expense of other spending budgets within the total health spending. so what we have seen in the past sometimes has been transfers from public health budgets and really important training and education budgets into what is called nhs england. there is a considerable discrepancy between the day—to—day spending that has been announced for the total health budget and nhs england. we just need to be sure that we are not going to see further transfers as we have seen in previous years because those are really important for health as well, our workforce and developing the workforce in particular is really crucial. the health foundation think tank

reckons that quote around public health amounts to about 12% or about £1 billion. it is things like programmes to try to encourage you to pack up cigarettes, sexual health, that kind of stuff. it looks like it or get a squeeze. it is subject to discussion in the house of commons where the budget debate is under way with a focus on health and questions for the health secretary. we will try to bring you have them a little later. as far as the prime minister is concerned, she is in oslo, norway, and she has been asked about this question of austerity of what stirs austerity mean? particularly given the government is saying end all come to an end and for a lot of government departments, funding is flat in real

terms. is keep up with inflation but not go beyond that. indictments from the government is getting rid of austerity isn't just about the government is getting rid of austerity isn'tjust about pumping more money into government departments but ensuring people have more cash in their pockets. pointing to about cut in income tax. chris, thank you very much. so with tax cuts, assistance for businesses and the announcement that austerity is coming to an end, how are the chancellor's words being greeted by those who are benefiting from this year's budget? 0ur correspondent victoria fritz has been finding out in sheffield. amidst the shops and offices is a city regenerating. sheffield's winter garden may be a refuge as the days grow colder but did the chancellor do enough to prevent a chill spreading through the business community? categorically no, but it's a start. the business rate savings is saving me £900 a month, i'll be investing that into two part—time staff, it's a start but retailers have to start helping themselves. it's nice to know the government are waking up to the long—term issues but it's been

a long time coming. this really helps, in the last 12 months we've invested £850,000 in new manufacturing machinery, we have bigger plans for next year. what this is liable to do means the longer term plans will be pulled forward to 2020 to take advantage of the capital allowances. the prime minister promised an end to austerity. for students here the budget hasn't heralded a new age just yet. i guess you can't say really until you actually know and see the result. i was born in 1997, my living memory is of, you know, financial uncertainty in the uk. in terms of austerity, i have to see it to believe it quite frankly. i've sadly grown up and lived with a disabled mother and our incomes have been slashed and it's got to the point of relying on other resources and other people, until they are concrete results i do not believe a thing he says. who are the real winners in this budget? the resolution foundation argues it could be higher earners.

the chancellor has announced fairly substantial tax cuts happening this april and running into future years. the big winners from those cuts are higher earning and higher income families, 90% of the benefit of those tax cuts will go to the top half of income distribution and half will go to the top 10% of families. all spending plans are based on a smooth exit from the eu and that's something that neither the prime minister nor the chancellor can guarantee at this time. there was barely any mention of the elephant in the room, but without a deal on brexit, it could be back to the drawing board for spreadsheet phil. victoria fritz, bbc news. and you can find out how the budget will affect your finances with our budget calculator — you'll find it at — forensic experts have

begun digging up a garden in the west midlands 32 years after the disappearance of the estate agent suzy lamplugh. she went missing in 1986 after going to meet a client in fulham but her body has never been found. the metropolitan police are leading the search at the semi—detached house in birmingham which used to belong to the mother of the prime suspect. our home affairs correspondent danny shaw reports. 32 years after she went missing, could this be where suzy lamplugh‘s remains are buried? at the back of a house in sutton coldfield, specialist police officers are trying to solve one of the country's most notorious murder cases. the owner of the property is not a suspect, but he bought the house from the mother of the man who is. we are associated with the story by default. but it is a possibility — maybe an outside possibility, but there is always a possibility. suzy lamplugh was 25 when she disappeared. the estate agent left her west london office to meet a client known as mr kipper.

detectives began a murder enquiry. eight years later, suzy was officially declared dead. the man named by police as the prime suspect was john cannan. he is serving a life sentence for another killing, but has denied murdering suzy and has never been charged. police have excavated other sites in the hunt for her remains, but they have never extensively examined the house they are searching today. certainly we didn't dig up the garden or search the garden during my reinvestigation, because there was no intelligence or evidence to suggest that john cannan had secreted the body there. suzy lamplugh‘s mother and father set up a trust in their daughter's name to support victims of stalking and violence. both parents have since died, but the organisation lives on. we are obviously very shocked to hear the news. we are really hoping

that there is going to be some sort of a resolution and our thoughts are predominantly with the family today. the search in sutton coldfield began after police received new information. but it will be some time before they know if suzy lamplugh‘s body is buried here. danny shaw, bbc news. we can now speak to rachel griffin, chief executive of the suzy lamplugh trust, which was set up after suzy‘s disappearance to campaign for greater personal safety protections. just on this latest is, most people those of us who were around at the time would remember this, will be feeling the dreadful shame her pa rents feeling the dreadful shame her parents never knew her fate, even if we do now. her father only passed away in june so we do now. her father only passed away injune so it is incredibly sad that he died without knowing what happened to suzy. both paul and

diana really focused throughout their lives, after suzy disappeared on the work of the trust and making sure something positive came out of it. what was it about this particular case that caught everybody‘s imagination at the time? it was headline news for so long. why this particular case? it is hard to say. i've heard people say that suzy was every woman. many people, particularly young women who were starting up their careers at the time, related to suzy because she was just time, related to suzy because she wasjust doing herjob. she time, related to suzy because she was just doing herjob. she went to visit a house with a client and sadly never came back. she wasjust doing herjob. also, what is different about this case was the way diana, her mother, grabbed hold of it and approved... she was a remarkable lady. she did a tour of the studios whenever she was asked. she was a force of nature. what has

been achieved as a result of the work of the suzy trust? you have then various things. we still train over 4000 front—line workers every year. in 2010, lost the national stalking helpline and since then we have supported over 20,000 people worried about being stalked. we have campaigned on everything from stalking protection to save minicabs. the licensing of minicabs is one issue that is close to your heart. in 1998, the trust successfully campaigned for licensing of minicabs in london. we are still calling for improvements and greater consistency across licensing authorities to ensure it isn't possible for someone to be refused a licence in one area of the country and get one elsewhere. we're talking about the development in the hunt for suzy‘s body. what would it

change if it is her? for the family, i hope it will bring some resolution. it has been 32 years. she has siblings. for the work of the trust, what we know from our work in the front line is our work is still there to equip people to be safer and feel safer. our work will go on. the prime suspect who is linked today bosworth said for her body, do you believe suzy‘s body we re body, do you believe suzy‘s body were sure what happened to her?m is hard for me to say. i never knew diana, she passed away before i joined the trust. i spent some time speaking to paul. i know he was named by the metropolitan police some time ago as the main suspect that it some time ago as the main suspect thatitis some time ago as the main suspect that it is hard for me to speculate on what diana felt about it. as far

as the work of the trust continues, it does continue. very much so. we support, as i say, people through the national stalking helpline. stalking affects one in five women in their lives. in the workplace, every day, we talk to employers who are trying to put things forward for their staff. one of the scissors came up their staff. one of the scissors came up as a their staff. one of the scissors came up as a result of this was estate agents making appointments to meet people, that is a process that has been tightened up. in many cases, yes. there is still an awful lot of work to be done. 0ne cases, yes. there is still an awful lot of work to be done. one of the things we think is important about her disappearance is checking who you are meeting before you go out and meet them. mr kipper was a false name as we now know. there is a generation for whom this is a case thatis generation for whom this is a case that is history. but for those of you to remember it, that name, mr kipper, it is ingrained on it was, i

don't know... it can judge kipper, it is ingrained on it was, i don't know... it canjudge up everything that was wrong with this case. it was premeditated, clearly. suzy was alluded to that address and i think that is partly why diana, when she was approached by victims of stalking much later, she took up their case because there were parallels between suzy‘s case and some of the experiences by those being stalked. thank you very much. you're watching afternoon live, these are our headlines. the chancellor switches to defence. philip hammond faces budget criticism amid claims that tax cuts will benefit the better off and leave low and middle—income families facing a squeeze. forensic teams searching for suzy lamplugh — the london estate agent missing since 1986 — start digging up a garden in the west midlands germany's worst post war serial killer, a nurse, admits being responsible for the deaths of 100 patients in his care. what effect do our lifestyles have on the numbers of wildlife species?

the conservation charity wwf blames a fall in wildlife on our consumer habits. we'll have the full story, later in the programme. in sport, supporters of leicester city and football fans from across the country have been making their way to the king power stadium to give their condolences after the club's own and four others were killed in a helicopter crash outside the ground at the weekend. england captain is in line to make a 100th cap after being named in phil neville's friendlies. after three successful matches at wembley this day, the nfl have announced they will stage for american football matches in london next year with two to go to wembley and two more at the new stadium of tottenham hotspur. i will be back with more though

stories just after half past. the lawyer for a man accused of murdering two nine—year—old girls has pointed the finger at one of theirfathers, saying police spent "32 years building a case against the wrong man". former roofer russell bishop is on trial for the second time for the 1986 murders of karen hadaway and nicola fellows. 0ur correspondent richard lister is at the old bailey. richard. the qc spent time talking to the jury the qc spent time talking to the jury today about he would defend russell bishop over because of this trial. he made the point clearly to them russell bishop is the only person on trial here but he also said the law allows him to implicate somebody else if they are presented with the fax to support that argument. he said he would bring in witnesses to show that at the time the girls went missing there was in his words, somebody close to them who had no alibi. somebody who comments after the killings that are

far more incriminating that anything russell bishop said, he said. namely, he had been complicit in the sexual abuse of nicola fellows. he told the jury, that person is sexual abuse of nicola fellows. he told thejury, that person is her father. barry fellows is not on trial here and the jury has not been told whether he will be called as a witness. the prosecutors said. he is said to thejury, witness. the prosecutors said. he is said to the jury, once they had looked at the facts he had intended to produce they should accept the police and the prosecution has spent 32 years building a case against the wrong man. with that, he sat down crying karen hadaway bullseye mother stood up to be the first witness. she was composed as she talked about the hours after she became aware

that her daughter wasn't where she should been. she talked about increasing frantic efforts to find the two girls once it became clear they were missing, talking to neighbours, going to local parks and so on. enlisting the local cb radio clu b to so on. enlisting the local cb radio club to see if they could call out and find out if anybody has seen them. these are the days before mobile phones have been introduced. she became tearful once so far today when she described the moment of the police search intensified with the discovery of her daughter's body. it seemed russell bishop in the dark became emotional. he denies both cou nts became emotional. he denies both counts of murder and the trial continues. it's the biggest serial killing case in germany's post war history. 0n the first day of his trial, a 41—year—old male nurse has admitted killing 100 patients in his care. detectives say his motive was to impress colleagues by trying to resuscitate the very patients he had given overdoses to. niels hoegel is already serving a life sentence for the deaths of other patients.

0ur correspondentjenny hill reports from berlin. hiding his face, post—war germany's most prolific serial killer. niels hogel preyed upon the elderly and infirm. he is now known to have killed more than 100 people, and investigators say we will never really know the true scale of his crimes. hogel found his victims on the wards of two north german hospitals. he systematically administered fatal doses of medication before trying to resuscitate the very patients he had attacked. among the victims, this man's grandfather. christian told us he wrote to niels hogel in prison to ask why. he just said that he lost the contact of people, to human beings lying there. it was just bodies for him. he was killing everyone he could get. just playing with them, like someone who is using something mechanical, like a computer.

he switched the body on and off. in court for the confession, the families of the dead. many had no idea their loved ones were murdered until investigators exhumed their remains. they have accused the hospitals of turning a blind eye to high death rates. by doing so, they say, managers facilitated the murderous ambition of a man whose crimes have shocked this country. we are going to be talking to simon george later. following yesterday's body. if you've got a question about yesterday's budget and education you might want to put to us, you can tweet me. now, time for the weather. darren betis here and looking

cuddly. not you! animals and weather area cuddly. not you! animals and weather are a perfect combination. what could go wrong? i'm going to show you this. i will step out... you don't see me laughing. this is in china. we have got some lovely panderers that. not quite mastered the tire trek yet. when we watched this in the office we thought we had to show it. there is a point in this clip where it looks like a bit like you. it is just about coming clip where it looks like a bit like you. it isjust about coming up. i think that is brewed. i think that panda is quite cute. there we go. that is you eating at your desk! i am trying to find a weather element in here. they are with me. it is 0

degrees and that is the perfect weather temperature for pandas to play. it wasn't my idea! are you in the right studio? i am serious meteorologists. i was once! do you know why they are so excited? it is nothing to do with afternoon light. it is the smell. they have sniffed all over this playing area and the snow comes down and it masks the smell. so they go sniffing again and get so excited about fresh smells. who knew? well, you know now! unless we find something else. there's talk about the weather. go on then. i thought we'd done that bit! seamlessly, moving into our weather

from the pander to a car in rain. we have had a bit of rain across the east coast of england and it has been a different world and the south west of england and here in pembrokeshire where the sun has been shining. across the board that has been chilly. you can see we've got the rain in the east coast, some showers in north—east england. 0ne or two for north wales. the cloud is building and increasing across northern ireland. i need to take you away from that and look at this cloud we have here in central part of europe. we were talking about this yesterday and the potential impact. here is one of them. this is venice, this is saint marks square. we have had about six inches of rain the last 24 hours. that has led to flooding scenes like this. flooding across the parts of europe as well. notjust across the parts of europe as well. not just heavy rain across the parts of europe as well. notjust heavy rain but also some heavy snowfall. this is france. they have had travel chaos. the car stuck

in the snow. as much as 40 centimetres fell. the reason i'm showing you this is because we were very lucky. we didn't get any of this. the same area of low pressure that brought the flooding and snow is sitting here, just to the east of the uk. it is bringing in the rain. that low pressure is going to move to scandinavia and it will take the rain away from the west coast. we will see clearing skies. i am worried because he is standing off shot! he is going to say something! we've got some blue on the charts so there is some frost there. iam there is some frost there. i am starting to sweat! keep going, darren! in the west tomorrow we've got showery outbreaks of rain across ireland. showers clipping eastern pa rt ireland. showers clipping eastern part —— western parts of england and

wales. some early mist and fog perhaps particularly through the midlands and those temperatures should be higher because we haven't got the easterly breeze, it is coming from the south. i continue. across eastern parts of england we've got more rain. this is where the rain is coming to a halt on thursday. it could get stuck across east anglia. not a good day. in the west, moored sunshine chasing. temperatures eight online degrees. the most important bit is to come. we got up big area of low pressure. this has got remnants of hurricane 0scar. it will bring outbreaks of rain, the winds will strengthen just in time for the weekend and talking of hotair,... in time for the weekend and talking of hot air,... he will be back a bit later! a

this is bbc news, our latest headlines. chancellor philip hammond defends yesterday's budget amid claims that tax cuts will benefit the better off and leave others disappointed. police are digging up the garden of a house in sutton coldfield as part of an investigation into the disappearance of london estate agent suzy lamplugh, who went missing more than 30 years ago. a former nurse admits to a german court that he systematically administered fatal doses of medication to 100 patients in his care. niels hoegel is post—war germany's deadliest serial killer. and conservation charity wwf blames human overuse of natural resources for an average sixty per cent fall in four—thousand wildlife populations since 1970,

with elephants, tigers, orangutans and koalas among the species affected sport now on afternoon live with hugh. still a very sad time in following that helicopter crash at the weekend. indeed, good afternoon. we have seen so weekend. indeed, good afternoon. we have seen so many weekend. indeed, good afternoon. we have seen so many tributes over the past few days from all over the world for leicester city and their chairman and the four others who died ina chairman and the four others who died in a helicopter crash outside the ground on saturday. today the clu b the ground on saturday. today the club thanked supporters for what they say is their overwhelming support and kind wishes. they have open a book of condolence today outside the stadium and they say it will be outside for the foreseeable future. there is an online version also available for people to keep on giving their condolences. we have

seen many giving their condolences. we have seen many people going to leave their condolences for a man who had such an effect on many of them, not just on his local community in thailand, but also in leicester. the players at the club have said they described him as a father and it will take them some time to grieve for him. some people had no idea of the importance of figures like this and a club like leicester. what is next for the players and the fans? the scheduled efl cup match against southampton last night was postponed and the youth game postponed for today. it has been reported in some of the newspapers today that the players will take time to decide whether they will appear in their premier league match against cardiff at the weekend. the former striker for the club, gary lineker, has spoken to us about what he thinks might be next. well, obviously it is

so early after the tragedy to know what this means for leicester city asa what this means for leicester city as a football club. first and foremost, i am sure the board and the supporters and the players will need to mourn. hopefully things will not be too disastrous for the foot ball not be too disastrous for the football club. but at the moment i think the important thing is the grieving particularly for the family and of leicester. england captain steph houghton looks set to win her 100th cap after being named in the squad for the upcoming friendlies against austria and sweden. she made her debut in 2007 and is one of seven manchester city players in the squad, including the key to paris and georgia stanway, the 19—year—old yet to play for the senior side. there is a call—up for the under 21

player who played for the united states, but she was born in london and is eligible to represent england. ellie roebuck could also win herfirst england. ellie roebuck could also win her first cap. england. ellie roebuck could also win herfirst cap. in england. ellie roebuck could also win her first cap. in the england. ellie roebuck could also win herfirst cap. in the men's side, dele alli has signed a new deal to stay on at tottenham hotspur for the next five and a half years. the 22—year—old has scored 48 goals in 153 games for spurs after moving from mk dons just in 153 games for spurs after moving from mk donsjust over three in 153 games for spurs after moving from mk dons just over three years ago. he has twice been named as the pfa's young player of the year and he says he is excited to find out what the future holds. striker steven naismith will miss scotland's nation league matches against albania in israel next month with a knee injury. he picked up a tear in his cottage and will be out for about eight weeks. he has scored 11 goals already this season since joining hearts on loan and was brought back into the scotland squad last month. after three successful matches at wembley this year, the nfl have announced they will stage four

american football matches in london next year. sunday's match between the philadelphia eagles and the jacksonville jaguars provided a record crowd of over 85,000. wembley is set to host two games next year with two more to be held at the yet to be completed new stadium of totte n ha m to be completed new stadium of tottenham hotspur. it has been a tough toil for england's bowlers on their first day of their warm england's bowlers on their first day of theirwarm up england's bowlers on their first day of their warm up match in the sri la nka of their warm up match in the sri la n ka test of their warm up match in the sri lanka test series. they wrapped up injust 90 overs in columbus. england are likely to bat all day tomorrow in the hope of finding form head of the first test which stars a week today. that is all for now. you can find more on all of those stories on the website. we will be back with more in the next hour. see you then. more now on our top story as mps resume debateing yesterday's budget. with labour dismissing the government's claim that "the era

of austerity is coming to an end". the chancellor's announcement that schools are to receive a one—off payment of £400m to "buy the little extras they need" has caused particular anger. shadow education secretary angela rayner said mr hammond's choice of language was "utterly insulting to parents and teachers". steven george is a spokesperson for the union naht which is the national association of head teachers. he is with me now. just picking up on that point, welcome. save our schools uk they have tweeted, how patronising, you have pledged more to potholes. there is anger there. yes, there is and it is right. the picture forfunding yes, there is and it is right. the picture for funding for schools is we have seen about 2.8 billion cut in real terms to school budgets since 2015. £400 million goes nowhere near to addressing that. that 400 million is for a little extras. it sounds a lot, 400

million. but that is £50 per pupil when you break it down, so that is not really very much money at all. it sounds generous. that is the thing. somehow the chancellor has made himself in offering 400 million look like quite a stingy fellow actually. pledging more on potholes is something that others have pointed out. but this is the difficulty the chancellor has. with all the money going to the nhs, and all the money going to the nhs, and all the money going to the nhs, and all the surveys suggest that is where the public wanted to go, something has to give. to an extent. no politician would want to set up one public service against another. but the thing about the 400 million, when you have got schools that are asking parents to contribute for glue sticks and paper and pencils and increasing those parental contributions, all the government is doing is passing the cuts onto

pa rents doing is passing the cuts onto parents themselves by only funding schools at the level that they are proposing. what does £50,000 in real terms mean for school? will they be thinking we can have another whiteboard, or will they be thinking this can plug a hole somewhere? all money is welcome because school budgets are at breaking point. £10,000 for a primary school, which is the figure the chancellor quoted yesterday, will buy you have a teaching assistant for a year. but that money is not going towards staffing costs or any of the other costs that schools incur. he made it clear it is not what he wants it for, it is for those little extras. to ta ke for, it is for those little extras. to take it on a bit, everyone is very angry today that in a fairly dismissive way the chancellor has misled public opinion and miss read what schools have been saying for a couple of years now, that their budgets are at breaking point. the idea that little extras will fix

things is completely wrong. we have got the comprehensive spending review coming up and that is where the game is now. the comp rent of spending review will be where the funding is set for all public services for the coming years and we really would encourage ministers and the department for education to stand up now and make a very strong case for schools, as i am sure all the other ministers will do. when you say a strong case for schools, what you really mean is you want more teachers. is that the number one priority? there are a bunch of priorities in schools. the issue to think about is you can do anything in education if you have the money. it is very difficult to do anything if you do not. the recruitment targets for schools have been missed year on year by the government. they do not have a national plan to deal with recruitment, although they are working towards that. workload is a huge issue. we have heard damian

hinds talk about how he wants to reduce workload. but funding will be the big one for school leaders up and down the country. 29,000 members of our union who i speak for will also say fun as properly and we will get thejob done. also say fun as properly and we will get the job done. fun as properly, ifiam get the job done. fun as properly, if i am the chancellor sitting at my desk, do you have a figure in mind that would make a real difference? we set six tests along with the other unions for the budget. i didn't expect you to do it any other way. we wrote to the chancellor in march and it was about getting round the table and talking to him to help him understand. i get that politicians in whitehall have this helicopter view of how schools are funded. but if you get them to individual schools i am sure all your audience would tweet you like mad about all the little extras and how they do not go far enough. we

wrote to the chancellor in march asking if we could meet him and we have not had a reply. nothing at all? nothing at all. is that from the education secretary or the chancellor? from the chancellor. we know damian hinds would want more money for schools. but it is really only new money from the treasury that will solve the funding crisis. if you have set the chancellor various tests, if you were giving him a martyr out of ten for yesterday, what would it be? gosh, thatis yesterday, what would it be? gosh, that is very difficult because it was such a dismissive way that he talked about schools. this is the budget before brexit. how else will we guarantee the future stability and prosperity of the nation if we are not funding the education of young people who are going through schools right now? it will be on their shoulders that our police brexit success is determined. no

mark, but pc is now? absolutely. thank you for coming in. dasher please see us right now. in indonesia, an underwater search has begun for the wreckage of the lion air plane which crashed into the java sea yesterday. there were 189 passengers and crew on board — but there's been no sign of any survivors. relatives of those on board have gathered at a hospital building being used for victim identification. the way some of our food is produced is devastating the environment and communities according to a new report by the world wide fund for nature. farming is partly responsible with more land being deforested to meet the global demand for soybeans, a cheap protein used in animal feed. the cerrado savannah in brazil is the size of western europe and one of the most bio—diverse places in the world. wwf says that at one point an area of the cerrado the size of greater london was disappearing every two months. 0ur correspondent adina campbell has been to the region to meet some of the people affected. as we make our way through a secluded spot of central brazil, a 12 hour drive away from the country's capital, we come to this remote village.

just 46 families are part of the community, descendants of african slaves. the land here is their lifeline, but more and more is being sold off to meet growing global agriculture needs. this woman, the voice of the community, is worried they could all lose their homes. this is your home? brazil is one of the world's leading soy bean producers, and the uk highly depends on exports, primarily for animalfeed. it's the main source of protein in all ourfood. it has the exact balance of amino

acid we need for feeding people and feeding animals. it is the cheapest source of protein we have. so we have very little time to stop the destruction of cerrado, and we can do it without significant impact on the cost, actually, because there is enough space to expand soy available on already destroyed or converted land. the cerrado is overshadowed by the more famous amazon rainforest, but this part of brazil is the most threatened and overexploited area. only 3% of land here is legally protected, despite being the world's most biodiverse savanna. and what's putting this area at risk is the surge in soy production caused by the rising demand for cheap food. and it's the local communities who suffer. are more and more families being driven away from their homes here? have some people lost their lives

because they simply refuse to leave what they say is their home? these lives matter. people here are just about hanging on to their homes, but for future generations, all this could soon look a whole lot different. adina campbell, bbc news, in brazil's cerrado savanna. we will bring you all the business

news in a moment, but first the headlines. philip hammond faces budget criticism. the influential ifs think tank says the chancellor is taking a gamble with the public finances. forensic teams searching for suzy lamplugh — the london estate agent missing since 1986 — start digging up a garden in the west midlands germany's worst post war serial killer — a former nurse — admits being responsible for the deaths of 100 patients in his care. here's your business headlines on afternoon live. the influential institute for fiscal studies has issued its analysis of the budget, which takes a rather sceptical stance. it says the chancellor's spending plans are a bit of a gamble given that it was based on lower borrowing forecasts. growth in the eurozone has slowed to 0.2% in the third quarter after recording 0.4% growth in the second quarter, missing expectations. its thought that the stagnation in the italian economy is dragging down growth. profits at oil giant bp more than doubled in the third quarter, boosted by stronger oil prices and higher production

from new oilfields. so, lots of financial results in new york. we have heard from some big names already. we have heard from general electric that has had a bit ofa general electric that has had a bit of a tumultuous year, a powerhouse of a tumultuous year, a powerhouse of us economy. his fortunes have turned around this year. let's hear from him in new york for us. those results were out and they were disappointing but largely expected ? they were largely expected. they have been struggling recently with a turnaround in its core power business, they tried to shed some of its businesses like health care to focus on core manufacturing concerns. the newly installed chief executive and a probe into the

company's executive and a probe into the compa ny's financial executive and a probe into the company's financial practices. they had $1 billion loss this quarter because it was forced to write down some of the power business assets, something that is known as in accounting terms and now with the securities and exchange commission is looking into that. one of them is a criminal probe to try and figure out what went wrong. that will not help the ceo as he tries to turn around the country. it has been a difficult year for general electric. it was removed from the dowjones industrial average, the 30 leading industrial average, the 30 leading industrial companies in the us. the owner said removing it meant it will be better reflected in the overall us economy. that has put them in a difficult position because it is no longer the style work for wall street than it once was. how did we get here? how did a powerhouse of the us economy get to the point where it is now not even in the dow jones? it is a company that is

synonymous with american innovation, responsible for everything from the washing machines in our homes to the first radio broadcasts. but the problem with the company started in the depths of the financial crisis. it had this capital arm were a lot of issues were born out of financial practices that put the company in a difficult position. it has since shed much of that and other assets, but it has not come up with a plan to figure out what the future holds for general electric. it used to be in so many businesses that investors said they were not quite sure of what general electric was in the business of doing. we have seen the ceo and his predecessor tried to streamline the company and focus on its core profitable businesses. in the aviation field it makes many of the aviation field it makes many of the engines in the planes will fly in and that is quite profitable. if it can focus on those areas of its

business and shed some of the less profitable areas, it might once more be the darling of wall street. we have got one more quarter of results to find out if it has managed to do that. thank you very much. things from the eurozone economic growth, it is down, but all the fingers are pointing towards italy. italy registered no growth. economists are saying it has had an impact on the growth figure for the eurozone. eurozone growth in the third quarter was 0.2%, down from 0.4%, a considerable fall. italy has had its budget rejected from the european commission because it is not complying with european union law. it wants to spend his way out? do not exactly and phil hammond is not the only minister in europe who is against austerity, or the idea of ending it. this is something the

european union has a problem with because it needs to implement austerity plans in italy, that is the european view of how they should progress forward. how much longer does this go on? at some point they have to do something. in italy they are saying if we do go forward with the european view of austerity plans, implementing tougher measures and cuts to public spending, a rise in the political right, a eurosceptic feeling, will happen and thatis eurosceptic feeling, will happen and that is something in brussels that they fear. 0ver that is something in brussels that they fear. over the next few months we will see lots of changes and chewing and throwing. and lots of two and throwing. bp reported its results today, very positive, an increase in profits, partly due to higher oil price. that

has not helped the ftse either. it is interesting to see if europe is being a bit negative partly because brexit concerns. we are edging closer to march and we have seen the market is a bitjittery. the euro has got problems, but the pound is still struggling. it is weak against all the benchmark currencies and thatis all the benchmark currencies and that is partly to do with brexit because the brexit concern is overshadowing the budget, which has been dubbed as a giveaway budget. investors are concerned and that is why we are seeing sterling weakness against the euro and the dollar and other currencies. thank you, i will p0p other currencies. thank you, i will pop to you again later. the duke and duchess of sussex have gone head—to—head in the first sporting competition of their southern hemisphere tour — welly wanging.

and it was meghan who emerged triumphant. jonny dymond was watching and sent this report from new zealand. which way? this way? 0h, this way. a lesson he'll never forget. this is welly—wanging. then it was meghan's turn. first, advice from expert wangers. and... oh, dear. i declare the red team the winner! still he was graceful in defeat as she took the unusual trophy. the build—up to the city centre appearance drew onlookers from every quarter. 0n the ground, even the smallest fans got face time. this is the last big city of their four—country tour but despite the distinctly mixed weather there is an impressive turnout. enthusiasm for the royal family, headquarters 11 and a half thousand

miles away, remains high. so, what is that draws the crowd? my grandmother and my mother always used to bring me out to see the queen or prince charles when they came to visit. we've done it with our children and kept up the tradition really. just exciting for someone to come to new zealand. come over here for once. enjoy the beautiful place. join the party. just the willingness to engage with new zealanders from all walks of life, particularly standing up and using... speaking maori at the beginning of speeches and at the end, that shows, i think, a level of respect for new zealand that hasn't gone unnoticed here, and really appreciated. singing. quite a song and dance has been made of this royal tour, harry responded with heartfelt thanks and a bit of a joke. we are meeting little kiwis,

we're meeting big kiwis are being treated to your fantastic food, culture and sporting activities. well, if you can call welly—wanging or gumboot throwing a sport. perhaps we should have a three test series and see who comes out on top. laughter. and then talks with some younger kiwis. the royal embrace of new zealand's future. jonny dymond, bbc news, auckland. and — not to be outdone, the duke and duchess of cambridge have been having some fun of their own. prince william and kate middleton showed their competitive sides in a ball rolling game of boccia. the royal couple joined in with coaching sessions at a social enterprise in essex which aims to engage the local community with sport. it consists of a series of ends,

singles and pairs. 13 balls being propelled onto court with jack, six red and six blue. nor do i, but that is what the rules say. they were enjoying it, that is the main thing. they were enjoying it, that is the main thing. time for a look at the weather. here's darren bett. there is still a risk of pockets of frost and rain moving across the country. by the end of the week it will be windy and wet as well. most of the rain today continues to be near north sea coasts. it has been quite a gloomy picture, windy and cold in lowestoft. sunny skies in south—west empires of england and wales. if we look into europe, this cloud has brought severe weather across central europe, some very heavy snowfall and flooding rain. it all comes from the same area of low

pressure that is sitting close to our shores and that is why we are seeing the rain along the north sea coasts. that will push its way up into scandinavia and it will take the more persistent rain and showers away. further west there will be more cloud and rain. it will not be so more cloud and rain. it will not be so cold. however, we are looking at frost in central and eastern scotla nd frost in central and eastern scotland and eastern areas of england. further west and the need the cloud and rain it will not be cold as it was last night. a mixed picture on wednesday with mist and fog central parts of england. cloud and patchy rain moving into scotland, northern ireland and wales and at times in the south—west of england. further east there is sunshine and it is largely dry. more ofa sunshine and it is largely dry. more of a south westerly wind and the temperature should be higher. by the time we get to thursday the rain is

on the eastern side of england and it could linger all day. but away from that as you move further north and west it will be slightly cooler and west it will be slightly cooler and fresher with lower temperatures. the north west of scotland should be dry and sunny as well. i promised you windy weather by the end of the week. first of all we need to get rid of that weather front which will be gone by friday. then in the atla ntic be gone by friday. then in the atlantic this deep area of low pressure is coming our way. it will be bringing strengthening winds and later on in the day some rain. hello, you're watching afternoon live. i'm simon mccoy.

today at 3.00pm — the chancellor switches to defence. philip hammond faces budget criticism amid claims from a respected think tank that tax cuts will benefit the better off and leave others disappointed. we might be at the end of cuts but we're not going to be offsetting the cuts that have happened over the last seven or eight years. if i was a prison governor, if i was a headteacher or running a local authority i wouldn't be breaking out the champagne just yet. is a 32—year murder mystery about to be solved? forensic teams searching for missing london estate agent suzy lamplugh start digging up a garden in the west midlands. germany's worst post war serial killer. a former nurse tells a court he was responsible for the deaths of 100 patients in his care. coming up on afternoon live, all the sport with hugh. good afternoon. the sports minister, and the murder of london have given their support to more nfl matches to

be played in london next year. we will have more later. it has been some atrocious weather across europe. we mist most of it but that isa europe. we mist most of it but that is a bit more rain to come over the next few days. they shouldn't feel quite so cold that there might be a touch of frost. i will explain later on. italy has been battered by fierce winds and rain which have left at least ten people dead across the country. venice hasn't seen flooding like this for ten years. hello, everyone. this is afternoon live — i'm simon mc coy. the leading think tank, the institute for fiscal studies, says it believes yesterday's budget is a gamble with the public finances and is warning the chancellor may have to borrow more in future. after analysing the figures, the independent research group says the big winner of the budget is the nhs, but other public services, such as education,

will continue to feel the squeeze. the ifs also said the better off would gain most from the rise in income tax thresholds. and while some claimants of the new universal credit would gain, many others could be up to £1,000 worse off. 0ur political correspondent leila nathoo reports. out on the factory floor this morning, the chancellor philip hammond keen to hear how yesterday's budget has been received. he's lifted the brakes on public spending, insisting poorer households would feel the greatest effect. if you look at the whole package of measures that we delivered yesterday — notjust personal income tax cuts, but all the other measures — and you analyse how they affect people across the income scale, its people at the bottom end of the income scale that benefit the most, and the analysis clearly shows that. out of his red box came more money for the health service, for defence and for those on universal credit. he needed to fulfil the promise

of his downing street neighbour. the prime minister, this morning in norway, maintaining a new economic era was approaching. what we saw in the budget yesterday was, yes, austerity is coming to an end. what those that mean? we will continue to ensure that debts falls and give more support to our public services and we'll set out our new approach in the spending review next year. but austerity coming to an end isn't just about more money into our public services, it's about more money in people's pockets, as well. the budget yesterday was an attempt to redraw the dividing lines in westminster, to reposition conservative economic strategy. but labour have dismissed the claim that it truly heralded the end of the squeeze. it wasn't even a start. as i said, in key areas of public services, like schools, like police, local government — nothing for local government whatsoever. it's not the end of austerity for them. and on the departmental budgets, he said they will be protected. no, they won't. some will, others will then get bigger cuts.

and speaking to the bbc the head of a leading independent research institute had this assessment. the big winner yesterday was the health service. for other public services, there wasn't much extra money at all. we might be at the end of cuts, but we are not going to be offsetting the cuts that have happened over the last 7—8 years. if i was a prison governor, a headteacher, if i was running a local authority, i would not be breaking out the champagne just yet. so the government has loosened the purse strings, but the forecasts in this budget assume a smooth brexit and, if no deal is done, there would need to be a set of whole new economic plans. leila nathoo, bbc news, westminster. 0ur political correspondent chris mason is at westminster. chris, there's a lot of talk about whether this budget is just preparing the way for a general election. yes. that talk that leaves is almost as excited here as you up when you

hear the news of a royal birth. the prospect of another general election, blimey, here we go again. that is that kind of talk here. it is the kind of budget that you might expect prior to a general election where a chancellor tries to do that economic defying think of cutting taxes and raising spending. he has concluded, looking at the projections around the economy, there is little bit more headroom than was the case beforehand. whoever is asked within government about prospects of a general election, the answer comes back, no, no, no, it won't happen. the problem is, i recall that exact answer a couple of years ago immediately before the last snap general election. within the conservative party, that is a sense, to put it mildly, of once bitten twice shy. i don't think they will be racing towards that prospect. such is the

turbulent nature of politics at the moment with the brexit negotiations, people like me have given up making solid predictions about the future because anything can happen. you mentioned that the word, the immigration minister has been talking about immigration is. immigration minister has been talking about immigration ism immigration minister has been talking about immigration is. it is an interesting hearing. westminster is obsessed about the budget but down the corridor the home affairs select committee ‘s meeting. the former labour minister is internet and they've got the immigration minister in front of them. lots of scrutiny in questions about what happens in the event of a no—deal brexit. there was an exchange about 50 minutes ago in which they had of hmrc directly and publicly intervened to contradict the head of the border force about what would happen in the event of a no deal in terms of the drop in the amount of

scrutiny and information the border force officers would have in terms of the people attempting to get into the uk. the only thing that was striking was the right of obscure obvious creation. you get a real sense and just how much uncertainty swirls around the question of a no deal. as far as immigration is concerned, very striking this from the immigration minister, suggesting they would be a huge burden on employers to try and work out who had a legitimate right to be here in the uk in the event of a no—deal brexit. so many european citizens wouldn't have paperwork either way to prove whether they could be here. take a look at this. employees will be able to evidence whether people have been, if somebody has been the system they will be able to evidence that. if somebody hasn't been here before the

end of march next year employers will have to make sure they go through adequate checks. it is a very fair point that we do not wish to discriminate against people who have every right to be here, who we wa nt have every right to be here, who we want to stay and who we have said clearly are welcome to stay and we recognise they have played an enormous part in our economy and communities. we want to make sure we don't discriminate against them which will indeed pose a challenge to government and employees in different ancient link between those groups. —— differentiating. different ancient link between those groups. -- differentiating. a new verb there to evidence. gives you some sense that ofjust how much will change very quickly if there is a no—deal brexit the government repeat over again it expects to get a deal at expects to get a good deal. the months are counting down,

the deal is not done. that is that big sudden change at the end of march. thank you. ithink, big sudden change at the end of march. thank you. i think, thank you! talk to you later. if you enter find out more about the budget. go to our budget calculator. forensic experts have begun digging up a garden in the west midlands 32 years after the disappearance of the estate agent suzy lamplugh. she went missing in 1986 after going to meet a client in fulham but her body has never been found. the metropolitan police are leading the search at the semi detached house in birmingham which used to belong to the mother of the prime suspect. our home affairs correspondent danny shaw reports. 32 years after she went missing, could this be where suzy lamplugh‘s remains are buried? at the back of a house in sutton coldfield, specialist police officers are trying to solve one of the country's most notorious murder cases. the owner of the property is not a suspect, but he bought the house

from the mother of the man who is. we are associated with the story by default. but it is a possibility — maybe an outside possibility, but there is always a possibility. suzy lamplugh was 25 when she disappeared. the estate agent left her west london office to meet a client known as mr kipper. detectives began a murder enquiry. eight years later, suzy was officially declared dead. the man named by police as the prime suspect was john cannan. he is serving a life sentence for another killing, but has denied murdering suzy and has never been charged. police have excavated other sites in the hunt for her remains, but they have never extensively examined the house they are searching today. certainly we didn't dig up the garden or search the garden during my reinvestigation, because there was no intelligence or evidence to suggest that john cannan had secreted

the body there. suzy lamplugh‘s mother and father set up a trust in their daughter's name to support victims of stalking and violence. both parents have since died, but the organisation lives on. we are obviously very shocked to hear the news. we are really hoping that there is going to be some sort of a resolution and our thoughts are predominantly with the family today. the search in sutton coldfield began after police received new information. but it will be some time before they know if suzy lamplugh‘s body is buried here. danny shaw, bbc news. it's the biggest serial killing case in germany's post war history. 0n the first day of his trial, a 41 year old male nurse has admitted killing 100 patients in his care. detectives say his motive was to impress colleagues by trying to resuscitate the very patients he had given overdoses to. niels hoegel is already serving a life sentence

for the deaths of other patients. 0ur correspondentjenny hill reports from berlin. jenny hill is in berlin. he said from childhood he wanted to become a nurse, to follow his grandmother into the professor bass profession. his patience trusted him with their lives. in this confession to date which has horrified germany, he admitted to a five—year killing spree in which he targeted both of the vulnerable and the elderly. hiding his face, post—war germany's most prolific serial killer. niels hogel preyed upon the elderly and infirm. he is now known to have killed more than 100 people, and investigators say we will never really know the true scale of his crimes. hogel found his victims on the wards of two north german hospitals. he systematically administered fatal doses of medication before trying

to resuscitate the very patients he had attacked. among the victims, this man's grandfather. christian told us he wrote to niels hogel in prison to ask why. he just said that he lost the contact of people, to human beings lying there. it was just bodies for him. he was killing everyone he could get. just playing with them, like someone who is using something mechanical, like a computer. he switched the body on and off. in court for the confession, the families of the dead. many had no idea their loved ones were murdered until investigators exhumed their remains. they have accused the hospitals of turning a blind eye to high death rates. by doing so, they say, managers facilitated the murderous ambition of a man whose crimes have shocked this country. 100 people dead, was there at no

point somebody thought, there is something wrong here? bearin something wrong here? bear in mind, it is likely to be a far higher numbered because a lot of that the people who died in those hospitals were cremated, that is no way of going back to see whether they might decide died at the hands of niels hogel. you are quite right, this is a question to which many, many people, not least the relatives of the dead are demanding urgent a nswe rs. of the dead are demanding urgent answers. it is worth pointing out the death rate at one of those hospitals, in one particular department, doubled during their time niels hogel was working there. in another clinic, it has been widely reported managers gather staff and doctors together to say they have noticed a significant increase in the number of people dying. what is going on? yet,

nothing was done. in one of the most disturbing details, niels hogel was caught, this is what led to his initial arrest, he was caught red—handed by a colleague as he was administered drugs to the 63—year—old. it was reported to management and this is what is circulating in germany, despite that he was allowed to work for another two days during which time he killed another patient, before he was finally stopped from working and arrested and convicted of several charges. you can only imagine the relatives despair. the man you saw in my report is leading efforts on behalf of the families to try and find some answers. he is interred with niels hogel, they are writing to each other. niels hogel in his prison cell. he believes, of all the people who might finally tell the truth, niels hogel will give the best indication of how he was able

to get away with so many crimes in what should've been a sick you are environment. thank you very much. you're watching afternoon live, these are our headlines — philip hammond faces budget criticism, the influential ifs think tank says the chancellor is taking a gamble with the public finances. forensic teams searching for suzy lamplugh — the london estate agent missing since 1986 — start digging up a garden in the west midlands. germany's worst post war serial killer — a former nurse — admits being responsible for the deaths of 100 patients in his care. italy has been battered by fierce winds and rain which have left at least ten people dead across the country — venice hasn't seen flooding like this for 10 years. in sport, the nfl has announced it will increase the number of american football matches to be held in london next year to four, with two to be held at wembley and two more at the yet to be completed new stadium of tottenham hotspur.

totte n ha m stadium of tottenham hotspur. tottenham have had good news after last night's defeat at manchester city. dele alli has signed a new deal to stay with the club until 2024. supporters of leicester city, football fa ns supporters of leicester city, football fans across the country as well, have made their way to king power stadium to give their condolences after the club's own and four others were killed in a helicopter crash outside the ground at the weekend. i'll be backjust after half past. let's return to our main story — the budget. the chancellor promised tax cuts, assistance for businesses and the announcement that austerity is coming to an en but how are his words being greeted by those who are benefiting from this year's budget? 0ur correspondent victoria fritz has been finding out in sheffield. amidst the shops and offices is a city regenerating. sheffield's winter garden may be a refuge as the days grow colder but did the chancellor do enough to prevent a chill spreading through the business community? categorically no, but it's a start. the business rate savings

is saving me £900 a month, i'll be investing that into two part—time staff, it's a start but retailers have to start helping themselves. it's nice to know the government are waking up to the long—term issues but it's been a long time coming. this really helps, in the last 12 months we've invested £850,000 in new manufacturing machinery, we have bigger plans for next year. what this is liable to do means the longer term plans will be pulled forward to 2020 to take advantage of the capital allowances. the prime minister promised an end to austerity. for students here the budget hasn't heralded a new age just yet. i guess you can't say really until you actually know and see the result. i was born in 1997, my living memory is of, you know, financial uncertainty in the uk. in terms of austerity, i have to see it to believe it quite frankly. i've sadly grown up and lived with a disabled mother and our incomes have been slashed and it's got to the point of relying

on other resources and other people, until they are concrete results i do not believe a thing he says. who are the real winners in this budget? the resolution foundation argues it could be higher earners. the chancellor has announced fairly substantial tax cuts happening this april and running into future years. the big winners from those cuts are higher earning and higher income families, 90% of the benefit of those tax cuts will go to the top half of income distribution and half will go to the top 10% of families. all spending plans are based on a smooth exit from the eu and that's something that neither the prime minister nor the chancellor can guarantee at this time. there was barely any mention of the elephant in the room, but without a deal on brexit, it could be back to the drawing board for spreadsheet phil. victoria fritz, bbc news. for more on that ifs budget analysis were can now speak

to the institute's director pauljohnson, who has just finished delivering the ifs's initial response to phillip hammond's fiscal plans. a slight change of tone from everybody was reacting yesterday. you were critical. you think he is gambling with the finances. i'm not at all surprised with what he has done. he had more money to play with because the borrowing numbers came in lower than expected and he has spent all of it and spend it on the nhs. that follows what the prime minister promised back in the summer. the issue for the chancellor is now that he and the prime minister has said austerity is over, he has made use of this money, what happens if the numbers turn the other way? i don't think he's going to re—announce austerity. what will happen is we will get more borrowing

than expected. that is fine in the shoreham but at some point we are going to have to move away from that. you are saying it doesn't look as if austerity is coming to end? as with all these things it matters what you mean by the end of austerity. spending is rising over the next five years do if you are thinking of austerity doing to do with total level of spending, yes, it is coming to an end. however, most of that increase is going to the health service, for other public services that are no increases on the horizon. no doubt, for some, there will be small cuts. that is after eight years of significant cuts. if you are looking at things outside the health service, not lots money around, it isn't going to feel like a great few years. hopefully, better than the last few years. looking at the additional spending on the nhs, given the projections of how much more this will mean in real

terms, where does that all end? i we re terms, where does that all end? i were going to speak spending more in the nhs than all public services combined? we are moving in that direction. back in the early 2000, a bit less than a quarter of public service spending was going on health. it is now nearly 40% of public service spending. it is rising fast. it is partly because of the service areas have been cut over recent yea rs the service areas have been cut over recent years and partly because spending on health is going up so fast. that reflects our insatiable demand for health care, the fact the population is ageing, it is becoming more expensive to treat more and more expensive to treat more and more different sorts of diseases. if you look into the future, we would expect those cost to continue rising. my guess is what we'll have to happen over the next decade as we will pay more tax in order to increase the size of the state as a

whole to accommodate that additional health spending. it answers my next question, is he going to be on target to eliminate the deficit in the mid—20s? i think it is no longer a top priority for understandable reasons. there's a lot of uncertainty around. there's a lot of uncertainty around. the public services are beginning to suffer. there are problems in prisons, problems with local government, problems with social care. the rather than prioritising getting the deficit down even further, and remember, it is low level now, it looks like the priority is to put more money into those public services. that is contrary to the manifesto commitment from just a year ago to get rid of the budget deficit by the mid—20 20s. my sense is, with no majority in parliament and given the pressures on spending, it is no longer his priority to get down to that budget balance. with better

mentioned the elephant in the room, brexit. if that is no deal none of this will work. i think if there is no deal there is huge amounts of economic uncertainty around. my guess is, if that is what happens, there will be some kind of a hit to the economy. the chancellor will respond in the short run by increasing spending or reducing taxes, to support the economy. then of course we will have to go through the process of unwinding those increases particularly if the economy is in doing so well. what we might get as a short run boost in spending. we might have appeared the hostility again as we move from the extra spending that made put into place to support the economy. you can feel hearts sinking around the country is up we're notjust ending this austerity but he could be getting into a new one. that'll be

ina getting into a new one. that'll be in a world of unpleasant no—deal brexit. the chancellor and prime minister are genuine when they say thatis minister are genuine when they say that is not what they are expecting. i hope that is not where we end up. ina i hope that is not where we end up. in a world which we get either a prolonged transition period on a smooth brexit or some kind of deal, hopefully we will avoid that. always good to talk to you. i'm sorry i made you stand out in the cold! thank you. the lawyer for a man accused of murdering two nine—year—old girls has pointed the finger at one of theirfathers, saying police spent "32 years building a case against the wrong man". former roofer russell bishop is on trial for the second time for the 1986 murders of karen hadaway and nicola fellows. i spoke to our correspondent richard lister who gave this update from the old bailey. joel bennathan qc spent time talking to thejudy

joel bennathan qc spent time talking to the judy about how joel bennathan qc spent time talking to thejudy about how he would defend russell bishop over the course of this trial. he made the point clearly, russell bishop is the only person on trial here but he said the law allows him to implicate somebody else if they are presented with the fax to support that argument. he said he will bring in witnesses to show up at the time the girls went missing, there was, in his words, someone close to them who had no alibi. someone, he said, who made comments after the killings that are four more incriminating that are four more incriminating that anything russell bishop said. somebody, he said, had a guilty secret. he had been complicit in the sexual abuse of nicola fellows. he told the judy that person sexual abuse of nicola fellows. he told thejudy that person i'm afraid is her father. barry fellows told thejudy that person i'm afraid is herfather. barry fellows is not on trial here, the jury hasn't been told whether or not he will be called as a witness. joel bennathan made it clear he comments should not be regarded as evidence. this is

evidence he hopes to bring out over the course of this trial. he said to the course of this trial. he said to thejudy, once they had looked at thejudy, once they had looked at the fax he intended to produce they should i accept the police have spent 32 years building a case against the wrong man. with that, he sat down and karen hadaway‘s mother stood up to be the first witness. she remained composed as she talked about the hours immediately after she became aware that her daughter wasn't where she should have been. she talked about the increasing frantic efforts to find the two girls once it became clear they were missing. talking to neighbours, going up and down the street, going to local parks, in listing the local cb radio club to see if they could find out if somebody had seen them. these were the before mobile phones. she became tearful one so far today when she described the moment when the police search intensified with the police search intensified with the discovery of her daughter's

body. it seemed that russell bishop in the dock became emotional. he denies both counts of murder and the trial here at the old bailey continues. at least ten people in italy have died, following gale force winds and heavy rain. the majority of the floods hit venice and authorities banned tourists from the picturesque st mark's square. the bad weather is set to continue and dozens of schools across the country remain closed. now it's time for a look at the weather with darren bett. we've got more broken cloud arriving across the uk the most of the rain continues to be near the north sea coast with showers and eastern scotla nd coast with showers and eastern scotland and the rain towards the coast of eastern england, the whole lot will move away into the north sea. clearing skies and many central pa rt sea. clearing skies and many central part of the uk. it is out towards the west that will see more cloud, it won't be as cold as last night. frost likely across scotland, parts of wales and into eastern england.

as we move into tomorrow, a bit of a mixed picture. cloud, showers, outbreaks of lorraine. north—eastern scotla nd outbreaks of lorraine. north—eastern scotland meets the hague drive. driver while in wales. sunshine for the midlands and eastern parts of england. we've got more of a south—westerly wind and shouldn't feel so cold. 0n south—westerly wind and shouldn't feel so cold. on thursday, the rain is in eastern england where it may linger all day. fresh air following from the west. they should be tried. this is bbc news. our latest headlines... chancellor philip hammond defends his budget amid by the institue for fiscal studies that the better off will benefit most from the raising of tax thresholds. police investigating the murder of london estate agent suzy lamplugh, who went missing more than 30 years ago, are digging up the garden of a house in sutton coldfield. a former nurse admits

to a german court that he administered fatal doses of medication to 100 patients in his care. niels hoegel is post—war germany's deadliest serial killer. sport now on afternoon live with hugh woozencroft. the nfl has just finished its latest run. three successful games this year and the nfl has said that will increase to four american book for matches next year. —— football. sunday's match between the philadelphia eagles and jackonsville jaguars provided a record crowd for the international series of over 85,000. wembley will host two games again next year, with two more at the "yet to be completed" new stadium of tottenham hotspur. the only question mark at this stage is over spurs stadium with plenty of eyebrows raised in jest at this. of course we do expect spurs to be in their new home well before then. the sale of wembley falling through may have curtailed hopes of a permanent move for one of its teams

to london but i think this shows a commitment to keep growing the sport in europe and of course the uk. lots of people say the pictures really being torn up. three games we re really being torn up. three games were held at wembley this year. —— the pitch is really being torn up for that many saw the game on monday nightand, of for that many saw the game on monday night and, of course, it was not in perfect condition. the third match was not meant to be played at wembley this ship is meant to be in the new home at tottenham hotspur. —— this year. the pressure is now on those builders to get it completed. great question and a good answer. some good news for spurs fans. dele alli has signed a new deal to stay at tottenham hotspur for the next five and a half years.

costs will have been criticised in terms of that football. they did not signa terms of that football. they did not sign a single player in the transfer window. there have been reports that they took out a loan to complete the stadium. harry kane and eric dyer, they have all committed their futures to the club this year. the signature of dele alli is the latest positive. the 22—year—old has scored 48 goals in 153 appearances for tottenham after moving from mk donsjust over three years ago. he's twice been named pfa young player of the year in that time and says he's excited for what the future holds. a book of condolence has opened at leicester city for its owner and four others who died in a helicopter crash. the club say it will be in a marquee outside the club "for the foreseeable future", with an online version also available. leicester's scheduled efl cup match with southampton tonight has been postponed.

as for the club's leadership an idea on who will take charge will soon be apparent. former striker gary lineker has been telling the bbc about what the club might do next. well, obviously it's so early after the tragedy to know what this means for leicester city as a football club. i think, first and foremost, i'm sure the board and the supporters and the players will need to mourn. hopefully things won't be too disastrous for the football club. but at the moment i think the important thing is the grieving, particularly for the family and also the fans of leicester. england captain steph houghton looks set to win her 100th cap after being named in the squad for the upcoming friendlies against austria and sweden. houghton — who made her debut in 2007 — is one of seven manchester city players in the squad, including nikita parris, kiera walsh and georgia stanway.

the 19—year—old yet to play for the senior side. there's also a call up for uncapped chioma ubogagu. she won the under 20 world cup playing for the united states but was born in london, so is elligible to represent england. she currently plays in australia. manchester city goalkeeper ellie roebuck could also win her first cap. that's all the sport for now. there's been a mixed response to the announcement that president trump will visit pittsburgh later today following the killings at a synagogue there. nearly 50,000 people have signed an open letter from one jewish organisation, saying that the president should not come until he denounces white nationalism. but the rabbi of the synagogue, where 11 people were shot dead, has said mr trump is welcome. the man accused of the killings, robert bowers, has made his first court appearance, in a wheelchair yesterday. eliza philippidis reports. in times of tragedy the head of state is usually

welcomed by those affected. but not this time. on sunday, members of an organisation for progressive jews penned an open letter to mr trump calling the shooting the direct culmination of the president's influence. it says, "for the past three years your words and policies have emboldened a growing white nationalist movement." the letter calls for the president to stop targeting minorities. since sunday, thousands have signed it. they wrote exactly what i feel. i think he would cause more strife and ill feeling and sadness. we don't need him for his thoughts and good wishes. i agree with the letter and even if he denounced it i wouldn't believe him because he is a liar. the killing rampage has divided views of the americanjewish

community, with some saying president trump has allowed an atmosphere that allows hate and anti—semitism to florists. —— to flourish. but the white house press secretary has pushed back at critics. the first thing the president did was condemn the attacks in pittsburgh and the pipe bombs. the first thing the media did was blame the president and make him responsible for these acts. that is outrageous that that would be the first reaction of some money people across this country. —— so many people. sarah sanders did not specifically detail where the president will visit or with whom he will meet, but he is expected to make a visit to the site of the shooting. and there will be many welcoming him.

the first burials of the victims of the attack is scheduled for tuesday. several of my congregants shot dead in my sanctuary. my holy place has been defiled. words of hate are unwelcome in pittsburgh. the families say they want to grieve in private and in peace. 0ur correspondent, jane 0'brien, joins us from pittsburgh now. the itinerary of the president, he would have thought it would be so controversial? it clearly will be a problem. we know there are several protests planned across the city. i have to say there are a lot of very mixed views here. a huge number of people i spoke to yesterday and today said they do welcome the president, he is the president and it is fitting that he comes to a city that has just experienced a tragedy of this magnitude. a lot of

them also say they wish he had come later. what they do do not one is for his visit to distract from the funerals that are getting under way will stop there are four starting today. cecil and david rosenthal, two brothers with learning difficulties. their whole life revolved around this building behind me. very friendly, they welcomed people to their services and they did not have a bone of hatred in their bodies. then the doctor, a hero of the lgbt community during the aids epidemic. he would give his ceuphone the aids epidemic. he would give his cellphone to people in case they needed him out of hours. use are the people, the victims, the city wants to focus on at the moment and it is very difficult when you have president trump and all the controversy that follows him arriving in a matter of hours. what

focus on the man accused of the killings who has made his first court appearance? he was shackled in a wheelchair in a blue shirt. the contrast between the chaos and the brutality and this seems that took place here and then the calm and the bureaucracy of justice place here and then the calm and the bureaucracy ofjustice is taking place in the courthouse was quite extraordinary. his hands were unshackled in order to sign his name. he said it is ok, i can scribble. we know he was wounded by police as he was trying to leave the building that he was still considered fit enough to make an appearance. we know that he was reacting on social media, espousing anti—semitic views. there are reports that when he allegedly went through this building indiscriminately shooting, he was shouting anti—jewish statements and

calling for genocide. it is such a peaceful community, such a vibrant and inclusive and integrated community. we have seen buddhist monks here, catholic priests, people from all walks of life. i have heard time and again from the people in pittsburgh that this was notjust an attack on thejewish community, it was on the entire city and america itself. the singer, pharrell williams, has told donald trump to stop using his music at his political rallies. the warning comes after the us president attended an event in indiana on saturday where the song "happy "was played just hours after the shooting at the synagogue in pittsburgh. a letter issued through pharrell‘s lawyer said there was nothing "happy" about the tragedy and "no permission was granted" to use the song. other musicians who have forbidden trump to use their music include adele, neil young, the rolling stones and queen. in indonesia, an underwater search has begun for the wreckage of the lion air plane which crashed into the java sea yesterday.

there were 189 passengers and crew on board — but there's been no sign of any survivors. relatives of those on board have gathered at a hospital building being used for victim identification. the way some of our food is produced is devastating the environment and communities, according to a new report by the world wide fund for nature. farming is partly responsible, with more land being deforested to meet the global demand for soybeans — a cheap protein used in animal feed. the cerrado savannah in brazil is the size of western europe and one of the most bio—diverse places in the world. wwf says that at one point an area of the cerrado the size of greater london was disappearing every two months. 0ur correspondent adina campbell has been to the region to meet some of the people affected. as we make our way through a secluded spot of central brazil, a 12—hour drive away from the country's capital, we come to this remote village.

just 46 families are part of the community, descendants of african slaves. the land here is their lifeline, but more and more is being sold off to meet growing global agriculture needs. this woman, the voice of the community, is worried they could all lose their homes. this is your home? brazil is one of the world's leading soy bean producers, and the uk highly depends on exports, primarily for animalfeed. it's the main source of protein in all ourfood. it has the exact balance of amino

acid we need for feeding people and feeding animals. it is the cheapest source of protein we have. so we have very little time to stop the destruction of cerrado, and we can do it without significant impact on the cost, actually, because there is enough space to expand soy available on already destroyed or converted land. the cerrado is overshadowed by the more famous amazon rainforest, but this part of brazil is the most threatened and overexploited area. only 3% of land here is legally protected, despite being the world's most biodiverse savanna. and what's putting this area at risk is the surge in soy production caused by the rising demand for cheap food. and it's the local communities who suffer. are more and more families being driven away from their homes here? have some people lost their lives

because they simply refuse to leave what they say is their home? these lives matter. people here are just about hanging on to their homes, but for future generations, all this could soon look a whole lot different. adina campbell, bbc news, in brazil's cerrado savanna. vishala is here. first a look at the headlines on afternoon live

philip hammond faces budget criticism. the influential ifs think tank says the chancellor is taking a gamble with the public finances. forensic teams searching for suzy lamplugh — the london estate agent missing since 1986 — start digging up a garden in the west midlands. germany's worst post war serial killer — a former nurse — admits being responsible for the deaths of 100 patients in his care. here's your business headlines on afternoon live. as we've been hearing, the budget has been branded "a bit of a gamble", by the institute for fiscal studies. it says that although the chancellor was able to promise more spending in his budget afterforecasts for tax collection were raised, those forecasts could easily change for the worse. growth in the eurozone has slowed to 0.2% in the third quarter after recording 0.4% growth in the second quarter, missing expectations. its thought that the stagnation in the italian economy is dragging down growth. profits at oil giant bp more than doubled in the third quarter, boosted by stronger oil prices

and higher production from new oilfields. we're going to hear more about the budget now. lots of measures that will affect the money in your pocket have been announced in the speech, including the tax threshold. a total of 31 million people pay income tax in the uk. some 25.6 million of these taxpayers pay income tax at the basic rate. the amount you can earn each year before this basic rate of income tax is paid — called the personal allowance — stands at £11,850 at the moment. in april, this will change so the first £12,500 of earnings. a bit ofa a bit of a windfall for people who come under that category. joining us now is sarah coles, personal finance analyst, at hargreaves la nsdown. details of what will happen on lower earning brackets, what about higher

earning brackets, what about higher earning individuals? they will benefit as well. the threshold at which people start paying higher rate tax is increasing as well. it was set to go too good to bounce by 2020 but what philip hammond announced yesterday was it would get there a year earlier. higher rate tax payers would be more than £800 a year better off but something he sneakily hidden away in the big red book was there would be a change in national insurance, which would eat into that game. in terms of premium bonds that is something that was mentioned. more friends and family will be able to buy premium bonds for children. how is that? they are such a hugely popular product. basically, they have changed it so that first of all you do not have to bea that first of all you do not have to be a parent or grandparent you can be a parent or grandparent you can be family or friends and by four

children put it is a great present to buy for a young child. there is a chance for a prize. there is also the lower—level which has been reduced with the you can save as little as £25 in two premium bonds. —— and you can save. credit unions are exploring whether they should be are exploring whether they should be a lot to run their own version of premium bonds. they have savings accounts linked to prize draws. it is capitalising on a huge success of premium bonds to see of credit unions can take advantage of that. not much mention a pension tax relief in the budget yesterday. that isa relief in the budget yesterday. that is a bit odd. that is something we we re is a bit odd. that is something we were all talking about yesterday. it was widely expected after philip hammond talked about the eye watering rates of tax relief for higher rate taxpayers. we were expecting there to be a change to the annual allowance, the total

amount you can put in each year and get tax relief on it. also some talk about how it would be cut dramatically and how it would affect the degree people working in the public sector who have final salary pensions. —— affect those people working in the public sector. we definitely know there are bones on the table. they love to go back and dig into pensions to see they can make more money but now the annual allowa nce make more money but now the annual allowance is safe. sarah talking to us allowance is safe. sarah talking to us about budgets. you can find out more on the website. adel named the richest uk celebrity and 30. she is looking happy there. —— adele foot of a she seems to be raking in the profits. 0nce —— adele foot of a she seems to be raking in the profits. once again she has been named richest celebrity

for the second or third year in a row. how much do think she is worth? 147 .5 row. how much do think she is worth? 147.5 million. i have read my notes! she got around £50 million the last year. how much is ed sheeran worth? 94 million. brilliant, yes. that is not ed sheeran. that is harry stiles, who is also very rich as well but he is the richest member of one direction. he is the richest member. he is the leader. ed sheeran, who is not in front of us, is second in another person who has announced he will leave music for a while and not release any songs and chill out with the family life. he has a nice £4

million. he can, can't he? some newcomers. who are they? that is daisy ridley. joint 28th with £4.6 million each. star wars is coming back into the frame in terms of merchandise. lots of children are into star wars. the whole branding is back in fashion and it has made both of them very rich. is back in fashion and it has made both of them very richlj is back in fashion and it has made both of them very rich. i was on a flight with both of them very rich. i was on a flight with her. she went one way andi flight with her. she went one way and i went the other. i saw her briefly. shall we have a look at the markets? the ftse100 is up a little bit but is basically flat. bp is the share price which is doing well today. it

has reported a doubling in profits thanks to the high oil price. brent crude is down slightly. bp profits have been boosted. it is a big feature in pension funds. so, bp stands for boost profits. thank you very much. see you later. the duke and duchess of sussex have gone head—to—head in the first sporting competition of their southern hemisphere tour — welly wanging. and meghan emerged triumphant in the unusual skill. jonny dymond was watching and sent this report from new zealand. which way? this way? 0h, this way. a lesson he'll never forget. this is welly—wanging. then it was meghan's turn. first, advice from expert wangers. and...

oh, dear. i declare the red team the winner! still he was graceful in defeat as she took the unusual trophy. the build—up to the city centre appearance drew onlookers from every quarter. 0n the ground, even the smallest fans got face time. this is the last big city of their four—country tour but despite the distinctly mixed weather there is an impressive turnout. enthusiasm for the royal family, headquarters 11 and a half thousand miles away, remains high. so, what is that draws the crowd? my grandmother and my mother always used to bring me out to see the queen or prince charles when they came to visit. we've done it with our children and kept up the tradition really. just exciting for someone to come to new zealand. come over here for once.

enjoy the beautiful place. join the party. just the willingness to engage with new zealanders from all walks of life, particularly standing up and using... speaking maori at the beginning of speeches and at the end, that shows, i think, a level of respect for new zealand that hasn't gone unnoticed here, and really appreciated. singing. quite a song and dance has been made of this royal tour, harry responded with heartfelt thanks and a bit of a joke. we are meeting little kiwis, we're meeting big kiwis being treated to your fantastic food, culture and sporting activities. well, if you can call welly—wanging or gumboot throwing a sport. perhaps we should have a three test series and see who comes out on top. laughter.

and then talks with some younger kiwis. the royal embrace of new zealand's future. jonny dymond, bbc news, auckland. and, not to be outdone, the duke and duchess of cambridge have been having some fun of their own. prince william and kate middleton showed their competitive sides in a ball rolling game of boccia. the royal couple joined in with coaching sessions at a social enterprise in essex which aims to engage the local community with sport. time for a look at the weather. here's darren bett. we are going to see a few changes over the next few days and we will lose the easterly breeze. you're not feel as cold. still the risk of pockets of frost. rain moving across the country at times. in time the weekend it will be windy and quite wet as well. most of the rain today

continues to be near the north sea coast. quite a gloomy picture, windy and cold near lowestoft. more clout as you head west. this cloud is moving towards northern ireland. 0ver europe there has been severe weather in central europe with heavy snowfall and flooding rain. all from the same area of low pressure that is sitting close to our shores. that is sitting close to our shores. that is why we have seen rain on the north sea coast. the rain will push its way away into scandinavia and ta ke its way away into scandinavia and take the more persistent rain and showers away from eastern scotland. skies will clear across many central and eastern parts of the uk but in the west there will be more cloud and rain. we're looking at a frost in central and eastern scotland. temperatures down to —2, —3 in the countryside. further west underneath the cloud and rain not as cold as

last night. morning mist and fog in central parts of england. it will see the cloud and patchy rain moving into scotland and northern ireland, later into wales and the south west of england. further east some sunshine and largely dry. we do not have an easterly winds but more of a south—westerly course at temperatures higher, up to 13. by thursday the rain is in the eastern side of england. it could linger in east anglia and the south east. away from that as you move further north and west, some cooler and fresh air coming in. away from the north west of scotla nd coming in. away from the north west of scotland it should be dry and sunny as well. i promised you some windy weather by the end of the week. no need to get rid of the weather front in the east of the uk which will be gone by friday. in the atla ntic which will be gone by friday. in the atlantic the deep area of low pressure is steaming our way. it will bring strengthening winds. later in the day. some rain in the

northwest. hello, you're watching afternoon live. i'm simon mccoy today at 4. the chancellor switches to defence: philip hammond faces budget criticism amid claims from a respected think tank that tax cuts will benefit the better off and leave others disappointed. we might be at the end of cuts, but we're not going to be offsetting the cuts that happened over the last seven or eight years. if i was a prison governor, if i was a headteacher, if i was running a local authority, i wouldn't be breaking out the champagne just yet. is a 32—year murder mystery about to be solved? forensic teams searching for missing london estate agent suzy lamplugh start digging up a garden in the west midlands. germany's worst post war serial killer: a former nurse tells a court he was responsible for the deaths of 100 patients in his care. coming up on afternoon live all the sport with hugh. at afternoon. we will have the latest through leicester city fc cloud continues to digest the news of the death of its much loved

owner. we will also have news of a new dealfor owner. we will also have news of a new deal for dele alli and more touchdowns coming to london in more ways than one. we will have that and more at around 4:30pm. pretty as a picture as ever. absolutely. the re st of picture as ever. absolutely. the rest of europe not so. severe weather in the last 24 hours across europe from flooding and heavy snowfall, and we just missed out on it. we will take a look at that and the forecast later. thank you very much, devon —— daryn. thanks, also coming up — we head to birmingham for news nationwide to find out what happened after a volunteer group in warwick made an appeal for donations of handmade poppies. that is to come here on afternoon live. hello, everyone. this is afternoon live. the leading think tank, the institute for fiscal studies, says it believes yesterday's budget

is a gamble with the public finances — and is warning the chancellor may have to borrow more in future. after analysing the figures, the independent research group says the big winner of the budget is the nhs, but other public services, such as education, will continue to feel the squeeze. the ifs also said the better off would gain most from the rise in income tax thresholds. and while some claimants of the new universal credit would gain, many others could be up to £1,000 worse off. 0ur political correspondent leila nathoo reports. out on the factory floor this morning, the chancellor philip hammond keen to hear how yesterday's budget has been received. he's lifted the brakes on public spending, insisting poorer households would feel the greatest effect. if you look at the whole package of measures that we delivered yesterday — notjust personal income tax cuts, but all the other measures — and you analyse how they affect people across the income scale,

its people at the bottom end of the income scale that benefit the most, and the analysis clearly shows that. out of his red box came more money for the health service, for defence and for those on universal credit. he needed to fulfil the promise of his downing street neighbour. the prime minister, this morning in norway, maintaining a new economic era was approaching. what we saw in the budget yesterday was, yes, austerity is coming to an end. what those that mean? we will continue to ensure that debts falls and give more support to our public services and we'll set out our new approach in the spending review next year. but austerity coming to an end isn't just about more money into our public services, it's about more money in people's pockets, as well. the budget yesterday was an attempt to redraw the dividing lines in westminster, to reposition conservative economic strategy. but labour have dismissed the claim that it truly heralded the end of the squeeze. it wasn't even a start. as i said, in key areas of public services, like schools, like police, local government — nothing for local

government whatsoever. it's not the end of austerity for them. and on the departmental budgets, he said they will be protected. no, they won't. some will, others will then get bigger cuts. and speaking to the bbc the head of a leading independent research institute had this assessment. the big winner yesterday was the health service. for other public services, there wasn't much extra money at all. we might be at the end of cuts, but we are not going to be offsetting the cuts that have happened over the last 7—8 years. if i was a prison governor, a headteacher, if i was running a local authority, i would not be breaking out the champagne just yet. so the government has loosened the purse strings, but the forecasts in this budget assume a smooth brexit and, if no deal is done, there would need to be a set of whole new economic plans. leila nathoo, bbc news, westminster. in addition to that, just hearing that the shadow chancellor has

refused to back down after supporting the tax cuts. for the middle pic —— classes in the face of intense scrutiny from his own labour ranks. let's speak to our deputy political editorjohn pienaar. as ever, you have all the analysis on the budget they'll it felt but it a lwa ys on the budget they'll it felt but it always this day that is crucial. yes, it is and at the following have been fascinating to watch. it is true that the day after the budget is traditionally the day when things start to unravel and at the following have been fascinating to watch. it is true that the day after the budget is traditionally the day when things start to by the institute for fiscal studies and one or two members on the tory side also, about how durable this package is. is it really the end of austerity? is it more perceived than real? but for the most part the chancellor seems to be having a pretty fair day, and one of the reasons for that among others is we have seen a split on the labour side. quite extraordinary and in a rather ironic way we have seenjohn mcdonnell, certainly the most proudly left—wing shadow chancellor and labour‘s history being attacked

from its own side by his own mps for accepting tory tax cuts. he said he will go along with the bringing forward of the race and tax thresholds which certainly benefits the lower paying, but to a greater degree benefits the better off, and that confession byjohn mcdonnell has enraged some on his own side. ironically again, some of them centrist labour mps in one or two cases former blairites. attacking john mcdonnell now from the left. that must give philip hammond some satisfaction. does it also mean that all of this talk, and i know you as well, hang on, looks as if they're gearing up for some general election, is that getting traction? i struggle to believe that. you have to ta ke i struggle to believe that. you have to take exit into account in every clinical and economic calculation. imagine there is a brexit deal, because there could be one and imagine that brexit deal, because there could be one and imagine that brexiteer was seeing an uptick in the economy, public finance and also in the fortunes of the tory party,

maybe a viewpoint on top of the tory pa rty‘s maybe a viewpoint on top of the tory party's bull racing. can you than imagine may standing up in front of her cabinet, in front of her party at westminster and in the country and saying i know that last snap election last year did not go terribly well, should we try it ain? terribly well, should we try it again? i struggle with that idea, and a former cabinet mr i was speaking to earlier on was saying between snap elections, there were about 40 years and he said he'd be very happy if there with another 40 yea rs before very happy if there with another 40 years before it happened again. of course, we are looking into the future and we can't even believe that through this rather dense fog. it's possible that anything could happen, as we cannot see through this rather dense fog. it is also possible after that there could be a change of leader. in more propitious circumstances it's possible the idea ofa snap circumstances it's possible the idea of a snap election might rear its head again and if there's no deal anything becomes possible, including the demise of theresa may, politically. it is all speculation and all depends on brexit. it always has, and that is pretty much where we started. that is why politics is

so we started. that is why politics is so exciting, everything is possible. if you are excited by these things, i guess it is fascinating. if you are excited by these things, i guess it is fascinatinglj if you are excited by these things, i guess it is fascinating. i am, and you are also, i know. thank you, john had west minster. ——john, in westminster. and you can find out how the budget will affect your finances with our budget calculator — you'll find it at bbc.co.uk/budget. forensic experts have begun digging up a garden in the west midlands 32 years after the disappearance of the estate agent suzy lamplugh. she went missing in 1986 after going to meet a client in fulham, but her body has never been found. the metropolitan police are leading the search at the semi detached house in birmingham which used to belong to the mother of the prime suspect. our home affairs correspondent danny shaw reports. 32 years after she went missing, could this be where suzy lamplugh's remains are buried? at the back of a house in sutton coldfield, specialist police officers are trying to solve one of the country's most notorious murder cases. the owner of the property is not a suspect, but he bought the house from the mother of the man who is.

we are associated with the story by default. but it is a possibility — maybe an outside possibility, but there is always a possibility. suzy lamplugh was 25 when she disappeared. the estate agent left her west london office to meet a client known as mr kipper. detectives began a murder enquiry. eight years later, suzy was officially declared dead. the man named by police as the prime suspect was john cannan. he is serving a life sentence for another killing, but has denied murdering suzy and has never been charged. police have excavated other sites in the hunt for her remains, but they have never extensively examined the house they are searching today. certainly we didn't dig up the garden or search the garden during my reinvestigation, because there was no intelligence or evidence to suggest that john cannan had secreted the body there. suzy lamplugh's mother and father

set up a trust in their daughter's name to support victims of stalking and violence. both parents have since died, but the organisation lives on. we are obviously very shocked to hear the news. we are really hoping that there is going to be some sort of a resolution and our thoughts are predominantly with the family today. the search in sutton coldfield began after police received new information. but it will be some time before they know if suzy lamplugh's body is buried here. danny shaw, bbc news. it's the biggest serial killing case in germany's post war history. 0n the first day of his trial, a 41—year—old male nurse has admitted killing 100 patients, by giving them fatal drug overdoses. detectives say his motive was to impress colleagues by trying to resuscitate them after they went into cardiac arrest. 0ur berlin correspondent jenny hill reports. hiding his face, post—war germany's

most prolific serial killer. niels hogel preyed upon the elderly and infirm. he is now known to have killed more than 100 people, and investigators say we will never really know the true scale of his crimes. hogel found his victims on the wards of two north german hospitals. he systematically administered fatal doses of medication before trying to resuscitate the very patients he had attacked. among the victims, this man's grandfather. christian told us he wrote to niels hogel in prison to ask why. he just said that he lost the contact of people, to human beings lying there. it was just bodies for him. he was killing everyone he could get. just playing with them, like someone who is using something mechanical, like a computer. he switched the body on and off.

in court for the confession, the families of the dead. many had no idea their loved ones were murdered until investigators exhumed their remains. they have accused the hospitals of turning a blind eye to high death rates. by doing so, they say, managers facilitated the murderous ambition of a man whose crimes have shocked this country. the lawyer for a man accused of murdering two nine—year—old girls has pointed the finger at one of theirfathers, saying police spent "32 years building a case against the wrong man". former roofer russell bishop is on trial for the second time for the 1986 murders of karen hadaway and nicola fellows. i spoke to our correspondent richard lister who gave this update from the old bailey. joel bennathan qc spent time talking to the jury about how he would defend russell bishop over

the course of this trial. he made the point clearly to them that russell bishop is the only person on trial here, but he said the law allows him to implicate somebody else if they are presented with the facts to support that argument. he said he would bring in witnesses to show that at the time the girls went missing, there was, in his words, someone very close to them who had no alibi. someone, he said, who made comments after the killings that, in his words again, are far more incriminating than anything russell bishop said. somebody, he told the jury, who had a guilty secret. namely, that he had been complicit in the sexual abuse of nicola fellows. he told the jury, that person i'm afraid is herfather, barry fellows. barry fellows, again to underline, is not on trial here, the jury hasn't been told whether or not he will be called as a witness. mr bennathan made it clear his comments should not be regarded as evidence. this is simply evidence he hopes to bring out over the course of this trial. he said to the jury,

once they had looked at the facts he intended to produce they should accept the police and the prosecution have spent 32 years building a case against the wrong man. with that, he sat down and karen hadaway‘s mother stood up to be the first witness in this trial. she remained composed as she talked about the hours immediately after she became aware that her daughter wasn't where she should have been. she talked about the increasing frantic efforts to find the two girls once it became clear they were missing. talking to neighbours, going up and down the street, going to local parks, enlisting the local cb radio club to see if they could call out and find out if anybody had seen them. these were the days before mobile phones. she only became tearful once so far today, when she described the moment when the police search intensified with the discovery of her daughter's body. at that time, it also seemed that russell bishop in the dock became emotional. he denies both counts

of murder and the trial here at the old bailey continues. richard reporting there. you're watching afternoon live, these are our headlines: philip hammond faces budget criticism — the influential ifs think tank says the chancellor is taking a gamble with the public finances. forensic teams searching for suzy lamplugh — the london estate agent missing since 1986 — start digging up a garden in the west midlands. germany's worst post war serial killer — a former nurse — admits being responsible for the deaths of 100 patients in his care. and in sport, the nfl has announced it will increase the number of american football matches to be held in london next year to four, with two set to be held at wembley and two set to be held at wembley and two more of the yet to be completed new stadium of tottenham hotspur. good news for spurs well, after last night's lost to manchester city their star midfielder dele alli have signed a new deal to stay at the

cloud until 2024. and if the borders of leicester city and football fans across the country have made their way to the club's king palace stadium to give their condolences after the club's owner and four others were killed in helicopter crash outside the ground at the weekend. i'll be back with more on those stories just after half past. more now on brexit and the immigration minister says employers will face a "huge challenge" to establish which european union citizens have the right to work in the uk, if there's a "no—deal" brexit. giving evidence to the commons home affairs select committee caroline 0ur political correspondent has been fallen —— following this at westminster. the home affairs select committee has been meeting this afternoon, hearing from the border force, the hmrc, the tax people, the immigration minister and senior civil servant at the home office and frankly, none of them could offer a very clear a nswer frankly, none of them could offer a very clear answer as frankly, none of them could offer a

very clear answer as to much any of the questions that came their way about no deal preparation, how the uk would deal with immigration in five months‘ time if we don‘t get a deal with the european union, specifically on caroline‘s point suggestions that employers could ta ke suggestions that employers could take ona suggestions that employers could take on a huge burden of administration, very awkward question for european employees. something already described for the joint councilfor the something already described for the joint council for the welfare of immigrants asa joint council for the welfare of immigrants as a terrifying and durable from the government this afternoon, but take a look at this. an exchange between yvette cooper, the labour mp who chairs the committee and as senior civil servant to the home office about how things would be as far as immigration and our borders are concerned if there is a no—deal brexit. you've only got five months left. if there is no deal, surely you will have done... surely if one of the top priority to do a security assessment of what the consequences are of no deal at the border. absolutely. the home secretary has already said he thinks there'll be

elements of this that if we were to lose them there would be some... i think my point is your question about precisely what elements of that will be replaced and precisely whether we will have a complete match, i think that's a very difficultjudgement match, i think that's a very difficult judgement stop looks so, you don't know what the level of security downgrade is going to be at the border if there is no deal. i think this is extremely difficult for us to say at that believe at this point what the precise match would be of any content of the mothers that would be put in place. this is really hard to have any confidence in your processes of planning and contingency planning for no deal if you don't know as a sort of basic question what is the scale of security downgrade, because it seems to me if you are going to have to do to find a separate nation out to other routes or you will have to do additional check at the border, you may need presumably additional staff to do these extra text at the border. how are you going to reassure the british public that the borders have not become less secure as a result of no deal?

we have a range of medications that we will consider —— mitigation, and ta ke we will consider —— mitigation, and take as we deal with that situation. final question, the home secretary says the is suboptimal. are you saying that we will have less security information on people arriving at our borders if there is no deal, yes or no? i think that depends on the circumstance we have at the time. a clearly exasperated he that cooper there, concluding and it was impossible not to come to this conclusion watching the whole exchange, that those who were giving evidence were very rich in obfuscation, a lot of nonanswers and certainly as far as yvette cooper was concerned not allowed to reassure the committee. chris, thank you very much. chris mason in westminster. breaking news, we are hearing sports direct has announced the accusation

of evans cycle, the bike retailer from the administrators thatjust went into administration. the chief executive of sports direct mike ashley has said we are pleased to rescue the brand, however in order to save the business we only believe we will be able to keep a 50% of the stores open in the future. some stores open in the future. some stores he says will have to close, so stores he says will have to close, so there are 62 stores, this suggest 31 of them would have to shut down, 1200 jobs in total. so there‘ll be priority there but we will bring you that as we get to it. more on the budget. the chancellor‘s also announced that schools are to receive a one—off payment of £400m to "buy the little extras they need" — a comment that has caused particular anger among those campaigning for more schools funding. labours shadow secretary of state for education angela rayner joins me from our studio in salford. what did you make of that comment when you heard it? i was absolutely astonished the chancellor made that

comment, because i think people have been really frustrated by the lack of funding that has gone into our schools at the moment, and to say it‘s about little extras. schools are having to ask parents to provide cool books, to provide pencils, and things that really schools desperately need for out of their co re desperately need for out of their core funding —— schoolbooks. to say very little extras is an absolute insult actually. is a problem with language because £400 million is still a considerable amount of money. 400 million if you put it in the context of 3.5 billion the government has removed from capital funding, then actually 400 million really is a little extra, nothing compared to the amount they have taken out of school budgets. i think it was rather offensive to everyone who‘s tried to campaign for extra resources into our schools and classrooms. the government have had their head teachers marching on parliament, which is an extraordinary step, they don‘t normally do that. parents having to give money to their schools to provide the core funding, and this government really is not listening

to the concerns and they seem to have their head in the sand and not really seeing what‘s going on in school up and down england‘s. really seeing what‘s going on in school up and down england's. what is the priority as far as you understand it? is it technically just more teachers? the priority has to be about making sure that as part of the funding formula, which they call the fairfunding of the funding formula, which they call the fair funding formula, that the money is there to ensure it is because schools have faced an 8% cut, not my figures. the ifs have said that and the government need to put that money into our education system because if we want an economy that works for everyone, and we want to do well into the future, we‘ve got to provide those bills for businesses and at the moment we are not doing that. we are failing to provide our schools with the basics, and to say we will provide a whiteboard when we got not enough teachers in our classrooms is really insulting. on the wider issue, do you support the shadow chancellor john mcdonnell who‘s refused to back down? he‘s supporting philip hammond‘s tax cuts for the middle classes, but he says that those are needed. e bacc him. are you

surprised by that? the tax allowance is that the chancellor announced when i what we would have prioritised, but we‘ve also said that they were the only bits of income that was going to working people in the uk, and therefore it was not a priority for us to remove that. what we did say, and we were very clear... it was a specific question. do you agree withjohn mcdonnell that philip hammond was right to do that? i think all was the wrong priority for philip hammond. but he was right to do it? what we said we would truly do is tax the top 5% more, ask them to pay a little more and make corporation tax more so that therefore we can fund our schools, fund our nhs, and ensure that the hard—working people whose country do get the support and the services they need, and that the priority for the labour party. the services they need, and that the priority for the labour partylj will try one more time. do you agree withjohn mcdonnell but it was the right thing to do and he‘s not going to back down from supporting philip hammond‘s move or do you agree with andy berman —— andy burnham who said it sent a shiver down his spine when

he heard it. john mcdonnell did not say it was the right thing to do. what he said if it was not a waiver priority, and we would not remove both. the only income that was given to hard—working families, and it‘s only a small amount when you look at the real terms wage decreases that people have faced over the period of austerity. the only money that was going to go into the economy with through those tax allowances, but we have been clear that those at the top, the top 5% and corporations would be made to pay their share, and that is the priority for the labour party so we can fund ours cools, our hospital and our public services. angela, good to talk to you. thanks forjoining us. thank you. in indonesia, an underwater search has begun for the wreckage of the lion air plane which crashed into the java sea yesterday. there were 189 passengers and crew on board — but there‘s been no sign of any survivors. rebecca henschke reports from jakarta. at the crash site, divers have been deployed to try to locate the plane‘s black boxes. finding that will help investigators

work out what went wrong. presidentjoko widodo inspecting the wreckage and promising a full investigation. this was the first boeing 737 max 8 to crash. a technical log obtained by the bbc shows that there were problems on a previous flight, but lion air insisting that those problems were solved and the plane was given a full clearance to fly. here, what‘s left of the plane, as well as people‘s possessions, are being laid out here at the port. for the families, it‘s another day of waiting. families have been told to come here to this police hospital where the remains that have been recovered from the wreckage of the plane have been brought. here families are being asked to give dna samples, pieces of clothing, anything that

can help officials here come to identify people. this woman‘s family has flown in in the hope of getting some closure. her little sister was on the plane. translation: we just desperately want some news, to give us a sense of peace. that is all. rebecca henschke, bbc news, jakarta. we will check in with the regions later in our nationwide spot to lead his flock but first the sport and also the weather. aaron has pictures to cheer up all up from china. from china. where the first snow has arrived, simon, and this is a panda that‘s been enjoying the first fresh snowfall. that is not a panda, that

the koala. this is a panda. snowfall. that is not a panda, that the koala. this is a pandalj snowfall. that is not a panda, that the koala. this is a panda. i don't know what you‘re talking about. the koala. this is a panda. i don't know what you're talking about. the reason they‘re so excited is because it‘s a different snow out there because the snow has come down and it‘s not all of the smells that they have already sniffed, but sometimes it becomes a bit too much and they had to have a lie down, and i think it‘s at this point where people in our office but it looked a bit like you. not very good core strength, that panda as it set up, did you notice that? not very good core strength. it‘s also been pointed out to me that this could be the highlight of my career. it could be the end of it. doesn't say much for the end of it. doesn't say much for the previous 20 years, does it? there‘s also been a lot of discussion, i don‘t know that‘s been out on twitter yet but certainly in our office, a lot of discussion about whether this panda looks a bit like you, but i think what we ought to do is leave it to the people home to do is leave it to the people home to decide. oh, my word. fortunately we are not on match—up so no one

knows why i‘m grimacing. now we are on that shot. it looked like mickey mouse. it does actually. right, i will tell you what, this has got to stop. you go down there. it certainly has. shall we talk about the weather, please let‘s talk about the weather, please let‘s talk about the weather. if you want i will give you a copy of this for you to take home with you and frame it. you auction it for children in need. excellent, we shall do that. let's have the weather forecast. you are not the only one that does not like this tie. please, move on. iwill because we do have serious weather around and! because we do have serious weather around and i do mean that. we have another picture of animals, this time calvin the sunshine in the southwest of wales, stop of england being the best of the sunshine today going down of course now. we have this rain in norfolk there and that has been a pretty wet sort of picture. you can see that rain still close to the east coast, shower and

northeast england, east of scotland. further west the dying sunshine really, but more cloud is coming into northern ireland. that will push its way further eastward. we need to look at this crowd here. i mentioned severe weather. we were talking about this yesterday, the potential for severe weather across central part of europe. there‘s been a lot of wedding and rain, and obviously this is venice, saint marks square, the loop is not unusual to get flooded, but there‘s been about six inches of rain in the last 24 hours of soap —— or so. not only have been very wet in terms of rainfall but also an awful lot of snow, as much as 40 cm in places. this is in france, and there‘s been major trouble, travel chaos around there. we have been lucky to miss all of this, really, because it‘s the same area of low pressure that brought the rain and snow that is sitting just to the east of the uk that bringing that rain along the east coast. as the low pressure moves away, pushes away into scandinavia, it will take the rain and showers away with it, so we will

have clearing skies across central and eastern parts of the uk. this time it is western areas that will be more cloud and a little rain so it will not be as cold here as well last night. we have the blue frosty conditions there across central and eastern scotland, east wales, the midlands and eastern england and these are temperatures, the members income in cities and rural areas and will be equally down to —2 or —3. we will be equally down to —2 or —3. we will be equally down to —2 or —3. we will be a little bit of a mixture for wednesday, showery rain effecting northern ireland across western scotland. also be showers running up from the southwest, flipping coastal areas, as clipping coastal areas running into seven scotla nd coastal areas running into seven scotland and cumbria. retrieved that should be dry and sunshine, a welcome change region for thinning win and we have more of a southerly wind it should be a little less cold, temperatures 12 or 13. moving onto thursday the rain of the rain of across evening when the time but it may hang around all day across lincolnshire, east anglia and the southeast those boarding thing here. —— spoiling things here. after that cooler and fresher air, but much more sunshine following on behind some showers in the northwest of

scotland. now, we had to push that rain away and it will eventually get taken away with that weather front as we head towards the end of the week, all eyes on the atlantic because this area of low pressure thatis because this area of low pressure that is our way contained the re m na nts of that is our way contained the remnants of hurricane 0scar, that is our way contained the remnants of hurricane oscar, and that will bring rain in from the atla ntic that will bring rain in from the atlantic on friday, it‘ll start to strengthen the winds and those will really pick up overnight and into the start of the weekend. this is bbc news. our latest headlines... chancellor philip hammond defends his budget amid claims that he‘s gambling with the public finances and his tax cuts will mainly benefit higher earners. police investigating the murder of london estate agent suzy lamplugh, who went missing more than 30 years ago, are digging up the garden of a house in sutton coldfield. a former nurse admits to a german court that he administered fatal doses of medication to 100 patients in his care. niels hoegel is one of the world‘s most prolific serial killers. sport now on afternoon live with hugh woozencroft. the nfl has announced it‘s

returning to london next year, and with more games. it will be back bigger and better. there will be more american football in london. after three successful matches at wembley this year, the nfl have announced they will stage four american football matches in london next year. sunday‘s match between the philadelphia eagles and jackonsville jaguars provided a record crowd for the international series of over 85,000. wembley will host two games again next year, with two more at the "yet to be completed" new stadium of tottenham hotspur. the only question mark at this stage is over spurs stadium of course we do expect spurs to be in their new home well before then. that may lead to further talk about

the jacksonville jaguars and the owner of fulham may one day purchase wembley. totte n ha m tottenha m fa ns could tottenham fans could do with some cheering up after the defeat to manchester city. totte n ha m tottenham are beaten on monday night and queries over whether club is going. they did not buy any players this summer but there was good news because they have secured a number of big names for long—term contracts. the latest is dele alli who will be staying at tottenham hotspurfor who will be staying at tottenham hotspur for the next five and a half yea rs. hotspur for the next five and a half years. the scrutiny that has fallen over tottenham hotspur having never —— having not signed a player, comes to an end now. the manager, star

striker harry kane even erik lamela, they are all the names i have mentioned who have committed their long—term future. dele alli the latest u p long—term future. dele alli the latest up to 48 goals in the last three or so years with tottenham. a book of condolence has opened at leicester city for its owner and four others, who died in a helicopter crash. the club say it will be in a marquee outside the club "for the foreseeable future", with an online version also available. leicester‘s scheduled efl cup match with southampton tonight has been postponed. former striker gary lineker has been telling the bbc about what the club might do next. well, obviously it‘s so early after the tragedy to know what this means for leicester city as a football club. i think, first and foremost, i‘m sure the board and the supporters and the players will need to mourn. hopefully things won‘t be too disastrous for the football club.

but at the moment i think the important thing is the grieving, particularly for the family and also the fans of leicester. england captain steph houghton looks set to win her 100th cap after being named in the squad for the upcoming friendlies against austria and sweden. houghton — who made her debut in 2007 is one of seven manchester city players in the squad, including nikita parris, kiera walsh and georgia stanway. the 19—year—old yet to play for the senior side. there‘s also a call up for uncapped chioma ubogagu. she won the under 20 world cup playing for the united states but was born in london so is elligible to represent england. she currently plays in australia. manchester city goalkeeper ellie roebuck could also win her first cap. simone biles has helped the united states team win women‘s team gold at the world gymnastics championships in qatar.

the victory gives biles her 11th world title and this achievement comes afte she was admitted to hospital with a kidney stone just prior to the event. that‘s all the sport for now. more in the next hour. now on afternoon live, let‘s go nationwide and see what‘s happening around the country in our daily visit to the bbc newsrooms around the uk. edward sault is in southampton where arij altai, an iraqi woman who has diagnosed with terminal cancer and has few weeks to live, but can‘t fly to iraq to see her eight—year—old son and her husband. we will find out more about that in a moment. and nick 0wen is in birmingham to tell us more about the warwick poppies 2018 project that had hoped to collect 11,610 poppies —

one for every soldier in the royal warwickshire regiment who died in the first world war. they have not done that but we will tell everybody why in just a moment. first, let‘s go to edward. this is a terrible story. tellers about arij altai and her family. it is heartbreaking. she came to southampton with her husband and son. the couple were studying for a phd in linguistics at the university in the city, supported by the iraqi government for that they were due to government for that they were due to go back after five years. in 2013 she found out she was diagnosed with breast cancer a complete shock for the families of that she had a treatment and carried on with the studies. in gregory of this year she got the news that cancer had come and it was all over her body. —— in february. the husband had finished

his doctor and had to go back with his doctor and had to go back with his son. she is too sick to travel. she does billy wants to go back to iraq to see her eight—year—old son. —— she desperately wants. i spent the morning with her at the university of southampton and this is what she told me. my husband has to go back because he finished his study and he cannot stay here. they will not allow him, so i have to go back because no one will be in with me. —— here with me. i don't want to die now before i see my son here and be with him here. there is a big fund—raising effort to try and get her home. there is. it was humbling to meet her. they made lots of friends during our time here. the parents made friends, like many parents right around the country, parents on the school

gates. a group of them have got together to try to raise much needed money for an together to try to raise much needed moneyforan air together to try to raise much needed money for an air ambulance to take her back from southampton airport to baghdad. it costs around £60,000. they have launched a go fund me page. they are desperate to try to meet their targets so that arij can be reunited with her eight—year—old son. at the moment she has told she has days to live but, as you can imagine, have family and community wa nt to imagine, have family and community want to get arij back to iraq. we are talking about the warwick p°ppy we are talking about the warwick poppy ‘s centenary appeal. we are talking about the warwick poppy 's centenary appeal. st mary ‘s church in warwick, a stone‘s throw from the magnificently preserved warwick castle decided in a special way to mark the 100th anniversary of the ending world war

i. they appealed for people to send in11,610 i. they appealed for people to send in 11,610 poppies of any description to commemorate each individual member of the royal warwickshire regiment who died during the terrible conflict. they were aiming for that precise figure. what did they get? well over 60,000 from all over the world, all handmade. absolutely staggering. some pillars in the have 9000 each on them. many have individual stories tributes to relatives. the resultant display was officially unveiled. it is stunning. members of the church set it all up are thrilled. we are totally overwhelmed. we could never envisaged the response that we got and it makes me wonder every day how people will pull together. it really is a fantastic tribute from the people of warwickshire, the community around warwick and nationwide. it does look stunning. notjust

poppies but remarkable stories as well. one assiduous woman, janet, crocheted 2000 poppies herself. it has taken her year to do it. some of the make up a huge banner which hangs over the altar. she suffers from arthritis in her hands. all that crocheting has been wonderful for them. another woman spotted the war memorial and sought tw andrews for that she knew that was a family name going back through the generations and she was intrigued and pursued it through the war g raves and pursued it through the war graves commission. she found he was her grandfather‘s brother, her great uncle and she never knew he existed. the family never mentioned him. he was killed aged 25 on the french— belgian border. suzanne found out where he was buried and visited the grave, left some roses and some

tea rs. we grave, left some roses and some tears. we promise that now we have found in we would never forget. tears. we promise that now we have found in we would neverforget. —— found in we would neverforget. —— found him. plenty more on that night? oh, yes, on midlands today. with u s a more on that story as well, —— will you let us know more on that story as well? we certainly will. if you would like to see more on any of those stories you can access them on the bbc iplayer. we go live to them each day at 4:30pm on afternoon live. the way some of our food is produced is devastating the environment and communities — according to a new report by the world wide fund for nature. farming is partly responsible, with more land being deforested to meet the global demand for soybeans — a cheap protein used in animal feed. the cerrado savannah in brazil is the size of western europe and one of the most bio—diverse places in the world.

wwf says that at one point an area of the cerrado the size of greater london was disappearing every two months. 0ur correspondent, adina campbell, has been to the region, to meet some of the people affected. as we make our way through a secluded spot of central brazil, a 12 hour drive away from the country‘s capital, we come to this remote village. just 46 families are part of the community, descendants of african slaves. the land here is their lifeline, but more and more is being sold off to meet growing global agriculture needs. this woman, the voice of the community, is worried they could all lose their homes. brazil is one of the world‘s

leading soy bean producers, and the uk highly depends on exports, primarily for animalfeed. it‘s the main source of protein in all ourfood. it has the exact balance of amino acid we need for feeding people and feeding animals. it is the cheapest source of protein we have. so we have very little time to stop the destruction of cerrado, and we can do it without significant impact on the cost, actually, because there is enough space to expand soy available on already destroyed or converted land. the cerrado is overshadowed by the more famous amazon rainforest, but this part of brazil is the most threatened and overexploited area. only 3% of land here is legally protected, despite being the world‘s most biodiverse savanna. and what‘s putting this area at risk is the surge in soy production

caused by the rising demand for cheap food. and it‘s the local communities who suffer. are more and more families being driven away from their homes here? have some people lost their lives because they simply refuse to leave what they say is their home? these lives matter. people here are just about hanging on to their homes, but for future generations, all this could soon look a whole lot

different. adina campbell, bbc news, in brazil‘s cerrado savanna. vishala is here. first a look at the headlines on afternoon live. philip hammond faces budget criticism. the influential ifs think tank says the chancellor is taking a gamble with the public finances. forensic teams searching for suzy lamplugh — the london estate agent missing since 1986 — start digging up a garden in the west midlands germany‘s worst post war serial killer — a former nurse — admits being responsible for the deaths of 100 patients in his care. here‘s your business headlines on afternoon live. evans cycles, the cycling retailer with 60 stores across the uk, has been sold to sports direct as part of a pre—pack administration. more on this in a moment. as we‘ve been hearing, the budget has been branded "a bit of a gamble",

by the institute for fiscal studies. it says that although the chancellor was able to promise more spending in his budget afterforecasts for tax collection were raised, those forecasts could easily change for the worse. wh smith has said it will buy us airport retailer inmotion for £155 million. the us firm sells things like iphone chargers and laptop accessories at 114 outlets across america. the deal is set to double the size of wh smith‘s international travel division, which has been one of the strongest parts of its business of late. a look at the markets now. and we‘ve had some news in the last half an hour that sports direct is buying evans cycles. evans cycles has 60 stores across the uk. mike ashley said half of them might have to close as part of this deal. they went into administration and were snapped up

pretty quickly after that by sports direct. it was similar with house of fraser. mike ashley now now owns debenhams, house of fraser and agent provocateur. joining us now is simon derrick, chief markets strategist, bank of new york mellon. in addition to the portfolio, an interesting move. 60 stores across the uk. not a huge amount of branches but it will add to his investment already. it builds a very diverse portfolio. i'm not sure i know the link between evans cycles and agent provocative that he is building up something within the retail sector, a believer in the high street. —— agent provocative. there has been recent bad news for

the retail sector. we had the other day about debenhams and today about evans cycles. in the us, about how sears is struggling. also some bad news. whether that is the changing face of retailer whether it has a something about the economy, it is ha rd something about the economy, it is hard to say. good news for mike evans but not so great about the uk or global economy. aye evans were not looking too great in terms of financial help. you can buy lots of cycles online and that was biting a piece of the pie for them as well. let‘s move on to the pound which has been low today, even against the euro. you are absolutely right to highlight the issue about the bad numbers. we had third—quarter gdp numbers for the eurozone which were in bad shape.

sterling continued to move low. easy to think that might be about the reaction to the budget yesterday. reality is that sterling has been moving steadily and lower. we feel what the market is saying is the uncertainty about the brexit outcome which is weighing on sentiment. here we are at the end of october and still no actual firm deal in sight. suddenly people are realising the clock is ticking down. it is that more than anything else which is starting to way. brexit overshadowing what has been called the giveaway budget by chancellor philip hammond. let‘s move on to bp. the share price has done very well for that they reported a doubling in profits. thanks to a higher oil price and new projects as well. new projects will only happen when you get a higher oil price and when new technology which comes along with higher oil

prices there to be used. it is a reflection of the fact that oil prices have been sustained in the $70, $80 a barrel range. will it be sustained in the coming months? we have around coming on with the sanctions and equally a slowdown taking place in asia and china which might weigh on prices. the saudis, the titley given its leisure ship with the us, might mean higher prices will stop —— given its relationship with the us. the markets are ending the day in positive territory in london. we talked about the higher oil price benefiting bp but it is lower duty tariff between china and the us trade tariffs. the big countries within the oil producing nations increasing production and lowering the price. the pound is still

dropping against the euro. the euro is doing badly against other benchmark currencies but the pound is lower over worries over brexit. more now on one of our top stories. forensic experts have begun digging up a garden in the west midlands 32 years after the disappearance of the estate agent suzy lamplugh. she went missing in 1986 after going to meet a client in fulham but her body has never been found. the metropolitan police are leading the search at the semi detached house in birmingham which used to belong to the mother of the prime suspect. earlier i spoke to rachel griffin, the chief executive of the suzy lamplugh trust, which was set up after suzy‘s disappearance to campaign for greater personal safety protections and she started by talking about how suzy‘s father would have felt if he had still been alive. suzie does with other only passed away injune, so it is incredibly sad that he died without knowing what happened to suzy lamplugh. both paul and diana really focused

throughout their lives after the disappearance of the work of the trust and on making sure that something positive came out of the disappearance. what was it about this particular case that caught everyone‘s imagination? at the time it was headline news for so long. why this particular case? it is hard to say. i have heard people say that suzy lamplugh was every woman for the many people, particularly young people who were starting out in their careers at that time, could relate to her. she was just doing herjob. she went to visit the house with the client and sadly never came back. she was just doing herjob. was different about this case was the way her mum just grabbed hold of it and proved herself... she did a tour of the tv studio whenever she was asked. people say she was a force of nature. there was no opportunity she would let mr talk

about the work of the organisation. what has been achieved as a result of the suzy lamplugh trust question what you have done various things, practical and other? —— trust? what you have done various things, practical and other? -- trust? we train people in personal safety at the workplace. in 2010 we launched the workplace. in 2010 we launched the stalking helpline. many people we re the stalking helpline. many people were worried about being stalked. we campaigned on many things from stalking protections to save her minicabs. licensing on many counts is very close to your hearts. definitely. —— minicabs. there were campaigns for licensing of minicabs in london and we are still calling for improvements and greater consistency to ensure it is not possible for someone to be refused a licence in one area of the country get one elsewhere. you're talking about the development of the hunt

for her body. what would it change if it were her? for the family, i hope it would bring some resolution after a ll hope it would bring some resolution after all this time. it has been 32 yea rs. after all this time. it has been 32 years. she has siblings. absolutely. from the work of the trust, what we know is the need is very much still there to equip people to be safe and feel safer. so that work very much will go on. the prime suspect is linked to today‘s search for her body. do you believe that her pa rents were body. do you believe that her parents were pretty sure what had happened to her? it is really hard for me to say. i never knew diana. she passed away before ijoined the organisation by did spend time talking to paul. we are looking at john now. i know he was named by the metropolitan police some time ago as the main suspect but it is hard for me to speculate about what the pa rents felt

me to speculate about what the parents felt about this. as for the work of the trust, it does continue, doesn‘t it? work of the trust, it does continue, doesn't it? very much so. we support people through the national stalking helpline thought of it affects one in five women and one in ten men at some point in their lives. there is a huge need for that. in the workplace every day we talked to employees who are trying to improve things for their staff but very much need our help. one issue that came up need our help. one issue that came up as need our help. one issue that came upasa need our help. one issue that came up as a result of this is the state agents making appointments to meet people, that has been tightened up asa people, that has been tightened up as a result of this. in many cases coming yes but there is still a lot of work to be done. one thing which is really important about her disappearance is checking who you are meeting before you go out and meet them. mr kipper was a false name, as we know. there is a generation for whom this is a case thatis generation for whom this is a case that is history. but those of us remembering at the time, that name, mr kipper, it was ingrained honours,

wasn‘t it? it was a very... i don‘t know. —— ingrained on us. it can deduct everything that was evil, that was wrong about this case. deduct everything that was evil, that was wrong about this casem was premeditated. suzy lamplugh was lowered to that address and that is partly why diana, when she was approached by victims of stalking much later than she really took up their case because she could see there were a number of parallels between this case and some of the experiences of stalking victims. that‘s it from your afternoon live team for today. next, the bbc news at five with huw edwards. time for a look at the weather. here‘s darren bett. more broken cloud arriving across the uk. showers in eastern scotland and rain towards coasts of eastern england. the whole lot will tend to move away into the north sea. clearing skies in many central and eastern parts of the uk. it is out

in the west we will see more cloud. not as cold as last night. as we move into tomorrow, a bit of a mixed picture. more cloud, showers and outbreaks of rain in western parts of the uk. north—east got stay dry with sunshine and dry for a while in wales was sunshine. sunshine for the midlands and eastern parts of england for time to time some mist and fog. it should not feel so cold. by and fog. it should not feel so cold. by thursday the rain is in eastern england were mailing all day and spoilt things somewhat. cooler and fresher air following in from the west but it should be largely dry and sunny. today at 5pm: was the budget a gamble with the public finances? we examine the verdict of an independent research body. chancellor philip hammond might have to borrow more in future, according to the institute of fiscal studies, because he‘s ‘painted himself into a corner‘. there‘s also a warning that while the nhs

is the big budget winner, some public services will continue to feel the squeeze for some time to come. we might be at the end of cuts but we are not going to be offsetting the cuts that have happened over the last seven or eight years. if i was a prison governor, a headteacher, running a local authority, i wouldn‘t be breaking out the champagne just yet. we‘ll have the latest analysis and focus on what the budget means for schools. the other main stories on bbc news at 5pm. forensic teams start digging up a garden in the west midlands 32 years after estate agent suzy lamplugh