today at 5pm: was the budget a gamble with the public finances? we examine the verdict of an independent research body. chancellor philip hammond might have to borrow more in future, according to the institute of fiscal studies, because he's ‘painted himself into a corner‘. there's also a warning that while the nhs is the big budget winner, some public services will continue to feel the squeeze for some time to come. we might be at the end of cuts but we are not going to be offsetting the cuts that have happened over the last seven or eight years. if i was a prison governor, a headteacher, running a local authority, i wouldn't be breaking out the champagne just yet. we'll have the latest analysis and focus on what the budget means for schools. the other main stories on bbc news at 5pm. forensic teams start digging up a garden in the west midlands 32 years after estate agent suzy lamplugh went missing in london. germany's worst serial killer since the war — a former nurse admits being responsible for the deaths of 100 patients in his care.

a warning that ‘exploding human consumption‘ has caused a massive drop in wildlife populations in recent decades. and welly—wanging in new zealand, as the duchess of sussex takes on her husband in a sporting competition. it's five o'clock. our main story is the independent assessment that yesterday's budget was a ‘gamble‘ with the public finances. the leading research body the institute for fiscal studies, in its first analysis of the chancellor's plans, warns that the government might end up having to borrow more in the years ahead. but the ifs said that the budget was less of a gamble with the nhs, especially mental health services, which saw extra invesment, but other public services will continue to feel a spending

squeeze, despite the prime minister's assertion that the age of austerity is over. our political correspondent leila nathoo has more details. out on the factory floor this morning, the chancellor philip hammond keen to hear how yesterday's budget has been received. he's lifted the brakes on public spending, insisting poorer households would feel the greatest effect. if you look at the whole package of measures that we delivered yesterday — notjust personal income tax cuts, but all the other measures — and you analyse how they affect people across the income scale, it's people at the bottom end of the income scale that benefit the most, and the analysis clearly shows that. out of his red box came more money for the health service, for defence and for those on universal credit. he needed to fulfil the promise of his downing street neighbour. the prime minister, this morning in norway, maintaining a new economic era was approaching. what we saw in the budget yesterday was, yes, austerity

is coming to an end. what those that mean? we will continue to ensure that debts falls and give more support to our public services and we'll set out our new approach in the spending review next year. but austerity coming to an end isn't just about more money into our public services, it's about more money in people's pockets, as well. the budget yesterday was an attempt to redraw the dividing lines in westminster, to reposition conservative economic strategy. but labour have dismissed the claim that it truly heralded the end of the squeeze. it wasn't even a start. as i said, in key areas of public services, like schools, like police, local government — nothing for local government whatsoever. it's not the end of austerity for them. and on the departmental budgets, he said they will be protected. no, they won't. some will, others will then get bigger cuts. and speaking to the bbc the head of a leading independent research institute had this assessment. the big winner yesterday was the health service. for other public services, there

wasn't much extra money at all. we might be at the end of cuts, but we are not going to be offsetting the cuts that have happened over the last 7—8 years. if i was a prison governor, a headteacher, if i was running a local authority, i would not be breaking out the champagne just yet. so the government has loosened the purse strings, but the forecasts in this budget assume a smooth brexit and, if no deal is done, there would need to be a set of whole new economic plans. leila nathoo, bbc news, westminster. so how is the chancellor's budget being received now that the details are becoming clearer? our correspondent victoria fritz has been finding out in sheffield. amidst the shops and offices is a city regenerating. sheffield's winter garden may be a refuge as the days grow colder but did the chancellor do enough to prevent a chill spreading through the business community? categorically no, but it's a start. the business rate savings

is saving me £900 a month, i'll be investing that into two part—time staff, it's a start but retailers have to start helping themselves. it's nice to know the government are waking up to the long—term issues but it's been a long time coming. this really helps, in the last 12 months we've invested £850,000 in new manufacturing machinery, we have bigger plans for next year. what this is liable to do means the longer term plans will be pulled forward to 2020 to take advantage of the capital allowances. the prime minister promised an end to austerity. for students here the budget hasn't heralded a new age just yet. i guess you can't say really until you actually know and see the result. i was born in 1997, my living memory is of, you know, financial uncertainty in the uk. in terms of austerity, i have to see it to believe it quite frankly. i've sadly grown up and lived with a disabled mother and our incomes have been slashed and it's got to the point of relying

on other resources and other people, until they are concrete results i do not believe a thing he says. who are the real winners in this budget? the resolution foundation argues it could be higher earners. the chancellor has announced fairly substantial tax cuts happening this april and running into future years. the big winners from those cuts are higher earning and higher income families, 90% of the benefit of those tax cuts will go to the top half of income distribution and half will go to the top 10% of families. all spending plans are based on a smooth exit from the eu and that's something that neither the prime minister nor the chancellor can guarantee at this time. there was barely any mention of the elephant in the room, but without a deal on brexit, it could be back to the drawing board for spreadsheet phil. victoria fritz, bbc news. philip hammond also pledged to give schools across england £400 million more this year

to spend on equipment and facilities. the chancellor said the money was to fund the ‘little extras‘. his language has been criticised by teachers and parents, who have been calling for much more funding for schools. but mr hammond defended his decision, saying that the money would help headteachers ahead of the spending review next year. i understand perfectly well the issues around schools funding and we will have that discussion as part of the spending review. what it shows is that i had some money available andi is that i had some money available and i thought a nice way of using it would be to give every school a small grant, which it can use for the priorities of that individual school, whether that be buying computers, perhaps a whiteboard, in the case of a secondary school perhaps even a minibus, something like that. to discuss this,

i‘m joined from westminster by the former schools minister, david laws, now executive chairman of the education policy institute. yes, in fairness, yes, infairness, he yes, in fairness, he did say that this was for little extras, so in that sense, the £400 million is to be welcomed? leaving aside that it was a slightly odd choice of words, i think it is to be welcomed compared with a scenario where schools had no additional money at all, but i think there are two separate concerns. firstly, this money is only for capital expenditure, essentially on school buildings, usually, and it is quite a strange way of allocating capital expenditure. it has all the hallmarks of something that has been dreamt up relatively late in the budget planning. the department for education recently has been trying to allocate extra capital money to the schools which have got the biggest needs, in other words

buildings in the worst condition, and the department for education has quite a lot of information on what those schools are. this allegation —— allocation, cobbled together at the last minute, by the looks of it, i suspect will be distributed by the number of pupils rather than with the needs are. the biggest issue is because this is the capital expenditure rather than revenue, which is the majority of what schools need to spend on school teachers, books and other day—to—day items, it doesn‘t really do anything for the concerns amongst parents, teachers, headteachers, about some of the pressures on the school budget, which clearly are not as much of a priority at the moment for the government has extra money for the government has extra money for the nhs, and that is where the bigger debate is going to be as we head towards the spending review. bigger debate is going to be as we head towards the spending reviewm what are the pressure points? give viewers a sense of where those pressure points are really having

practical measurable results on the quality of services that schools offer. there is a gulf in the perception of spending environment between the schools and the government at the moment. the government at the moment. the government is failing schools have done quite well over the last 15 or 20 years, they are claiming they have protected schools compared to other public services, and there is some element of truth in that. but when you look at all school spending, notjust on primary and secondary schools, but on sixth forms, the money that comes through local government for schools, since 2010, there has been quite a squeeze on school spending and spending per child in the schools system is down by about 8% since 2010, which is quite a significant pressure for schools to have to soaker. schools are now beginning to see the government acknowledging some of the financial pressures in areas like the health service and the problem

with that is that a lot of the extra money the government plans to spend over the few years ahead has already been gobbled up by the extra money that will go to the nhs, so the government is going to find quite a challenge to deal with some of these spending pressures within the schools system over the next few yea rs, schools system over the next few years, because it has allocated most of the extra money to the nhs, and particularly if there are problems with brexit, that may mean the government really struggles to find the money to protect the schools system, to avoid cuts in staffing, and schools going into deficit, which is a trend we are seeing over the last couple of years. brexit is the last couple of years. brexit is the great unknown and absolutely right to put that in context. i am just going to press you a little bit on the spending review. let‘s say the brexit process doesn‘t produce some great fiscal crisis, let‘s take that as read for the moment, did you detect any hint of what the chancellor said yesterday and today that he will look favourably in the

spending review on schools spending? not really. when you look at the small print, he probably doesn‘t wa nt to small print, he probably doesn‘t want to see the schools budget reduced in real terms. in other words, he is going to keep the schools budget with cost of living increases, perhaps extra pay, but for areas such as school sixth forms, which have seen significant increases in funding over recent yea rs, increases in funding over recent years, about 20% cut in funding per pupil, years, about 20% cut in funding per pupil, that doesn‘t really offer much hope, and we know that schools have also got big increases in the cost of pensions for teachers coming in over the next few years, so i think for the school system there is a real worry about with the additional money the chancellor is promising we‘ll keep pace with some of the pressures we have seen not just this year and next year but over the last couple of years, where there has been a much less favourable environment for the schools system. thank you very much for coming in. quite a few things are being said

about the credibility of some of the budget plans. the ifs saying there isa budget plans. the ifs saying there is a gamble with the public finances, less of a gamble with the nhs, but public services also feeling the squeeze. 0ur political correspondent iain watson is at westminster. this sense that there is a gamble going on, how has that gone down in terms of a conclusion there? you have mentioned it, the ifs has mentioned it, and implicit in what they are saying is that this is a budget driven by politics rather than economic. effectively, the government is finding more money for public services because it is taking a gamble that some of the forecasts about future tax revenues will be accurate. far more positive than they were six months ago, but again

they were six months ago, but again the ifs is warning that perhaps they can go in the opposite direction as well so the chancellor taking a big risk by putting most of his headroom into public expenditure at this stage. but the institute for fiscal studies said two other things which are very interesting. we have got a lot more money going into the nhs, a big political priority for the government, but they are seeing other government departments may not necessarily see any increases and some may be facing cuts. we asked the prime minister‘s spokesperson about this and they would not quite put it like that but they did make it clear that these decisions will be taken in the spending review next year, so it is not a case that other areas will necessary see such a great bounty. and the nhs on course for swallowing up £4 out of £10 spent on public services in the future, something the ifs as is unsustainable unless there are tax rises further down the line. the other area of controversy is what

prostitutes austerity and the end of austerity. the prime minister said today that she sees ending austerity not just by putting today that she sees ending austerity notjust by putting more money into public services but by putting more money into people‘s pockets, in other words justifying tax cuts. but also the shadow chancellorjohn mcdonnell has come in for some criticism from his own side because he said it was not a priority to reverse these tax cuts, raising the tax threshold for the basic rate, the higher rate, and some people regarded as being on his political right in the labour party, not least andy burnham, has criticised back and suggested labour should be voting against these tax cuts when the mps come to do so on thursday. u nless the mps come to do so on thursday. unless the government is willing to put more money into welfare and public services at the same time. many thanks. by many thanks. by the way, you can find out lots more about the budget. and you can find out lots more about the budget

and you can work out how you are affected by using the budget calculator at bbc.co.uk/budget. the headlines on bbc news. philip hammond is warned over his budget. the influential ifs think tank says he‘s taking a gamble with the public finances. forensic teams start digging up a garden in the west midlands 32 years after estate agent suzy lamplugh went missing in london. germany‘s worst post—war serial killer, a former nurse, admits being responsible for the deaths of 100 patients in his care. and in sport, dele alli has become the latest .net player to commit his long—term future to the club after the likes of harry kane and eric dyer. he has signed a new deal to stay until 2024. fullback mike brown has been left out of the england squad to play

south africa at twickenham on saturday. number eight ben morgan has also been released. courtney lawes is out with a back problem. and simone biles has won her 11th world title after helping the united states to win women‘s team gold at the championships in dover. —— zohar. i will have more on those stories just after half past. forensic experts have begun digging up a garden in the west midlands32 years after the disappearance of the estate agent suzy lamplugh. she went missing in 1986 after going to meet a client in fulham, but her body has never been found. the metropolitan police are leading the search at the semi—detached house in birmingham, which used to belong to the mother of the prime suspect. our home affairs correspondent danny shaw reports. 32 years after she went missing, could this be where suzy lamplugh‘s remains are buried?

at the back of a house in sutton coldfield, specialist police officers are trying to solve one of the country‘s most notorious murder cases. the owner of the property is not a suspect, but he bought the house from the mother of the man who is. we are associated with the story by default. but it is a possibility — maybe an outside possibility, but there is always a possibility. suzy lamplugh was 25 when she disappeared. the estate agent left her west london office to meet a client known as mr kipper. detectives began a murder enquiry. eight years later, suzy was officially declared dead. the man named by police as the prime suspect was john cannan. he is serving a life sentence for another killing, but has denied murdering suzy and has never been charged. police have excavated other sites in the hunt for her remains, but they have never extensively examined the house they are searching today. certainly we didn‘t dig up

the garden or search the garden during my reinvestigation, because there was no intelligence or evidence to suggest that john cannan had secreted the body there. suzy lamplugh‘s mother and father set up a trust in their daughter‘s name to support victims of stalking and violence. both parents have since died, but the organisation lives on. we are obviously very shocked to hear the news. we are really hoping that there is going to be some sort of a resolution and our thoughts are predominantly with the family today. the search in sutton coldfield began after police received new information. but it will be some time before they know if suzy lamplugh‘s body is buried here. danny shaw, bbc news. a former nurse in germany has admitted killing 100 patients in his care. 0n the first day of his trial,

niels hogel admitted administering fatal doses of medication to his victims. detectives say his motive was to impress colleagues by trying to resuscitate the very patients he had given overdoses to. niels hogel is already serving a life sentence for the deaths of other patients. 0ur correspondentjenny hill reports from berlin. hiding his face, post—war germany‘s most prolific serial killer. niels hogel preyed upon the elderly and infirm. he is now known to have killed more than 100 people, and investigators say we will never really know the true scale of his crimes. hogel found his victims on the wards of two north german hospitals. he systematically administered fatal doses of medication before trying to resuscitate the very patients he had attacked. among the victims, this man‘s grandfather. christian told us he wrote to niels hogel in prison to ask why. he just said that he lost

the contact of people, to human beings lying there. it was just bodies for him. he was killing everyone he could get. just playing with them, like someone who is using something mechanical, like a computer. he switched the body on and off. in court for the confession, the families of the dead. many had no idea their loved ones were murdered until investigators exhumed their remains. they have accused the hospitals of turning a blind eye to high death rates. by doing so, they say, managers facilitated the murderous ambition of a man whose crimes have shocked this country. the immigration minister has admitted employers will face a "huge challenge" to establish which european union citizens have the right to work in the uk,

if britain leaves the eu without a deal. caroline nokes said eu citizens who live here already will be allowed to carry on as they are, while new migrants from the eu won‘t automatically have the right to work. she was speaking in front of the commons home affairs committee, alongside the second permanent secretary at the home office, shona dunn. 0ur political correspondent chris mason is at westminster. we have outlined who was taking part in this session. what was notable about it? it was really quite striking on every level about the lack of willingness from all of those giving evidence to offer firm and definitive answers on what would happen under a no—deal brexit. we hear a lot about preparations for a deal and the government makes the argument that it still thinks it will get a deal but the reality is there are big questions which are

becoming more important, given the timeline, about what would happen if there isn‘t a deal. caroline nokes was saying it would be a big burden on employers to check the immigration status of eu nationals in the event of a no deal. there was a withering response from one charity working for immigrants, saying it would be a hostile environment. the word the government has run away from in relation to immigration in recent months. but beyond the exchanges involving caroline nokes, also very striking exchanges involving that senior civil servant that you referred to, but also the head of the border force and the head of hmrc, the tax authority. at one point the head of hmrc intervened on the border force head to say in public that he was wrong about a particular aspect of no deal planning. but take a look at this exchange between yvette cooper

and that senior civil servant. you get a sense of the scale of exasperation. you have only got five months left. if there is no deal, surely you will have done, surely that will be one of your top priorities, to do a security assessment of what the consequences are of security assessment of what the consequences are of no deal at the border. absolutely. the home secretary has already said he thinks that if we were to lose, they would be suboptimal, but i think it is a very difficult judgment. be suboptimal, but i think it is a very difficultjudgment. so you don't know what the level of security downgrade is going to be at the border if there is no deal? security downgrade is going to be at the border if there is no deanm is extremely difficult for us to say at this point what the precise match would be of any contingency measures that we could put in place. it is impossible not to conclude, watching the whole testimony, that

there was again and again evasions, non—answers, waffling, from those taking part. clearly they are hoping, as is the government, that there will be a deal. if there isn‘t, there is going to be very radical change very quickly and big questions asked about what state our borders will be in injust a matter of months‘ time. borders will be in injust a matter of months' time. thank you very much. the lawyer for a man accused of murdering two nine—year—old girls has pointed the finger of blame at one of the girls‘ fathers, saying police spent "32 years building a case "against the wrong man". former roofer russell bishop is on trial for the second time for the 1986 murders of karen hadaway and nicola fellows. 0ur correspondent richard lister is at the old bailey. yes, thejudge spent yes, the judge spent some time outlining to the jury this morning how he would defend russell bishop. he made the point that russell

bishop is the only one on trial here but he said that the law allowed him to point out any evidence which might implicate someone else in this crime. he said he would bring in witnesses to show that at the time the girls went missing, there was someone very close the girls went missing, there was someone very close to them who had no alibi. someone he said who made comments after the girls‘ murder, which in his words with far more incriminating them anything russell bishop said at the time. someone he told the jury had a guilty secret because he had been complicit in the sexual abuse of nicola fellows, and he said that person was her father. he is not on trial here and he has not yet had the opportunity to a nswer not yet had the opportunity to answer these allegations in court, but thejudge said answer these allegations in court, but the judge said to the jury that once they had seen the evidence, they should accept that the police and the prosecution have spent 32 yea rs and the prosecution have spent 32 years building a case against the wrong man. the first witnesses in this case were in fact the mothers of the two girls. we heard from

nicola fellows‘s mother. she remained very calm, very composed, as she went through the events of that awful day back in october as she went through the events of that awful day back in 0ctober1986, but she was also asked about a rumour that her daughter had been seen rumour that her daughter had been seenin rumour that her daughter had been seen ina rumour that her daughter had been seen in a sexually explicit video, and she said she had been unaware of that rumour until informed by police. earlier, karen‘s mother had talked about her frantic search for the two girls and she also remained largely composed, up until that point she spoke about the police putting up the tape after they found her daughter‘s body, and the body of nicola. at that point she appeared to become emotional in the dock. russell bishop has insisted he is not guilty of these murders and the case will continue tomorrow. many thanks. a book of condolence has been opened at leicester city‘s king power stadium for people wishing to pay their respects to those who died in

the helicopter crash on saturday. the club‘s chairman and four other people were killed when the aircraft came down moments after taking off from the pitch. a british academic who‘s been held in the united arab emirates on charges of spying has been released on bail. matthew hedges, a phd student at durham university, denies the allegations but has been told he must remain in the uae until a further court hearing next month. time for a look at the weather. here‘s darren bett with the forecast. good evening. it has been a chilly day today. it probably won‘t feel quite as cold tomorrow. we have seen some rain along the east coast of england and some showers ahead of that. that is moving away so we will find skies clearing for many parts of the uk but there‘s a bit more cloud coming into some western

areas. where we keep the clearer skies, wales, the midlands, eastern england, we are going to have a frost, whereas further west it won‘t be as cold as last night. some further showery rain across northern ireland, western scotland, and maybe some showers clipping wales, running into cumbria and south—western scotland, but many areas enjoying every bit of sunshine. because we have got more of a southerly breeze, it would be quite as cold either. a different story for thursday. we have got this band of rain getting stuck across eastern england, particularly lincolnshire, east anglia and the south—east. behind that they should be a fair bit of sunshine. this is bbc news. i will bring you up—to—date with the headlines. there‘s criticism of the budget from the respected think tank the institute for fiscal studies. it says the chancellor is gambling with the public finances and his tax cuts will mainly benefit higher earners. police investigating

the murder of london estate agent suzy lamplugh, who went missing more than 30 years ago, have spent the day searching the garden of a house in sutton coldfield. a former nurse admits to a german court that he administered fatal doses of medication to 100 patients in his care. niels hoegel is one of the world‘s most prolific serial killers. in indonesia, an underwater search begins for the wreckage of the lion air plane, which crashed into the java sea yesterday. 189 people were on board. there‘s been no sign of any survivors. elephants, tigers, orangutans and koalas are affected by an average 60% fall in wildlife populations since 1970. conservation charity wwf blames human overuse of natural resources. let‘s catch up with all of the

sports news and we join azi farni. thank you. wayne rooney says he‘s enjoying the pressure of playing in major league soccer. the former england captain joined washington‘s dc united in the summer and has been a huge success. when he arrived, the club were bottom of the table but his 12 goals so far this season have played a big part in helping them reach the play—offs. there was pressure for me to come out here and perform. i‘m enjoying having that pressure, i‘m enjoying playing the games and obviously helping us get to the play—offs. bringing some more success in the next couple of weeks for the team. but i‘m really enjoying it, i think the team are playing really well and playing great football and hopefully that continues. and you can see more of wayne rooney‘s interview with our sports correspondent natalie pirks in sportsday from six thirty here on the bbc news channel. chelsea coach marco ianni has been fined £6,000 after he admitted an fa improper conduct charge. ?the punishment is a result of his celebrations after ross barkley‘s

equaliser against manchester united earlier this month, which sparked a scuffle between players and staff of both teams. ianni and manager maurizio sarri apologised to united boss jose mourinho after the game. england midfielder dele alli has signed a new deal to stay at tottenham until 2024. he‘s the latest player to commit his future to the club. manager mauricio pochettino, star striker harry kane, son heung—min and eric dier have all signed new deals in recent months. alli has scored 48 goals in 153 appearances for tottenham since moving from mk donsjust over three years ago. leicester city have thanked fans for "their overwhelming support and kind wishes." the club have opened a book of condolence at it‘s king power stadium for its owner, vichai srivaddhanaprabha and four others who died in a helicopter crash outside the ground on saturday evening. the book will be in a marquee outside the club "for

the foreseeable future", with an online version also available. leicester‘s scheduled efl cup match with southampton tonight has been postponed. england captain steph houghton looks set to win her 100th cap after being named in the squad for the upcoming friendlies against austria and sweden. houghton, who made her debut in 2007, is one of seven manchester city players in the squad, including nikita parris, kiera walsh and georgia stanway — the 19—year—old yet to play for the senior side. there‘s also a call up for uncapped chioma ubogagu. she won the under 20 world cup playing for the united states but was born in london so is eligible to represent england. she currently plays in australia. manchester city goalkeeper ellie roebuck could also win her first cap. full—back mike brown has been left out of the england squad

by eddiejones for saturday‘s autumn series opener against south africa at twickenham. he will return home from the training camp in portugal this evening. ? number eight ben morgan has also been released, leaving bath‘s zach mercer in position to make his debut against the springboks. lock courtney laws has been ruled out with a back problem. simone biles has helped the united states team win women‘s team gold at the world gymnastics championships in qatar. the victory gives biles her 11th world title and it comes despite the fact that she was rushed to hospital with a kidney stonejust four days ago. we‘ll have more for you in sportsday at 6:30pm. thank you. members of thejewish community are gathering in pittsburgh

to bury the first victims of the synagogue shooting. eleven people were killed in what is believed to be the worst anti—semitic attack in us history. the attack has intensified a national debate about president trump‘s political rhetoric, which critics say has contributed to a surge in right—wing extremism in the united states. this evening, some protests are planned as president trump visits the city to meet police officers in hospital. let‘s go to the tree of life synagogue in pittsburgh now where we can speak to rabbi chuck diamond, who was the rabbi at the synagogue for seven years and knew the victims of the shooting. we are very honoured to have him with us. thank you forjoining us. i am wondering first of all how you would characterise the response of the community in the past few days and what is notable for you about

that response. pittsburgh is a very special place. i grew up here and i live in a house i grew up in am i raise my kids see up and it is just a close—knit jewish raise my kids see up and it is just a close—knitjewish community but also jews and non—duties—macro, people of all colours and faiths, we get together. the support has been overwhelming from this community. i came from one of the first funerals of the brothers who were killed. the outpouring of support for the families and the community is very special. we are very moved by it. they have been an outpouring of support from around the states and around the globe really and it is very comforting. there are a lot of good people out there and we‘d appreciate it. can i ask you about the political climate as you see it, and to what extent that is contributing to an atmosphere in

where division and bitterness seem to be more and more present? there isa to be more and more present? there is a lot of hate and division in this country. there is rhetoric that should not be happening. i think people feel emboldened to express their hate. i would not blame anybody for this act apart from the person you did it but he was obvious the hate filled, anti—semitic, anti—immigrant. when you put hate with guns together, the results, we have seen the results. it is interesting. the texted me today because i have asked the president to wait a week before he came and somebody said i was contributing to the divisiveness in the country. i sort of shook my head. i‘m contributing to the divisiveness? there is a lot of divisiveness, i

believe the president is coming in a few hours. there is a protest planned and the focus this week should be on the victims and comforting the family in the community. your view on the bit at the president is that it is valid but mistimed? —— on the visit.|j would say is, there was a letter so clicking that demanded certain things of him. i disagree with his politics and rhetoric but if he comes and it is not about him and it is not political, which obviously when the president comes, it is political, but i don‘t have the problem with him coming. i wish she would have come next week and not been a distraction —— he would have gone. any president coming now would bea gone. any president coming now would be a distraction and we have seen that. i will add be a distraction and we have seen that. iwill add more be a distraction and we have seen that. i will add more comments after the visit and we will see how it goes but that is my feeling. some people feel very strongly about it him and have come out and said he‘s

not welcome here. pittsburgh is a welcoming city and i hate to hear that stuff, but it is sort of the world we live in. i was about to you, what extent your views chime with the rest of the jewish community and i am assuming you are properly reflecting the views of most members of that community?” hope so. i think the divinity here, the majority in the city would have problems with the president, his policies and his rhetoric. i suggest that the other day, we should be going down to the border to welcome the immigrants with open arms and perhaps the war we could build would bea perhaps the war we could build would be a wall of people who would stand between the soldiers there and the refugees. —— the wall. that is our value as a due and as an american and many people in this community

feel strongly about it —— as a jew. iam sad feel strongly about it —— as a jew. i am sad that is happening today on the first day of the funerals where the first day of the funerals where the focus should be on the victims and their families. in all of your yea rs and their families. in all of your years in charge of the synagogue, i am wondering if you felt at any stage that your community could be under this kind of threat or not? well, you never hope it happens but certainly we experienced it all over the world and we experienced it here in sandy hook, parkland, las vegas to namea in sandy hook, parkland, las vegas to name a few so you always have that thought it could happen in your community. as a rabbi leading services, i always had that in the back of my mind, if somebody walked in wearing a long coat, i did not know, looked suspicious in my mind this was my greatest fear and i a lwa ys this was my greatest fear and i always run through scenarios of what imight do. always run through scenarios of what i might do. our always run through scenarios of what i might do. 0ursynagogue always run through scenarios of what i might do. our synagogue is open and the door is not locked. during the week it was locked and you had

to buzz yourself in. on the other hand, this is a quiet community. we had felt very secure here as a jewish community. rabbi, a great honour to talk to you, thank you for joining us. i appreciate what you quys joining us. i appreciate what you guys do, i have said over and again, keep doing it and we appreciate it. thank you so much for your words. rabbi chuck diamond, very good with him tojoin us on the day of rabbi chuck diamond, very good with him to join us on the day of all based on a very difficult day in pittsburgh. let‘s return now to our main story and the reaction to the chancellor‘s budget. the institute for fiscal studies says philip hammond is taking a gamble with the public finances, warning he may have to borrow more in future. the ifs director pauljohnson has been explaining his analysis to the bbc‘s economics editor, kamal ahmed. there was only really one big winner yesterday and that was the national health service. that‘s clearly the government‘s priority. the government is spending in excess of £20 billion,

as announced back in the summer, on increased spending on the nhs. there‘s not actually that much for the rest of the government departments. it may be that cuts are just about coming to an end but there‘s not a whole lot of extra money for anything other than the health service. is what the chancellor outlined yesterday sustainable? he seems to be borrowing more and not so focused on this idea of balancing the books. the chancellor has clearly decided that, with a bit more wiggle room, a bit more money to spend, he is going to use it all. he is not looking to get the deficit down. if he continues to be lucky, if he continues to have tax revenues coming in a bit better than expected, then he will be fine. he will be in a bit of trouble, he has painted himself into a corner, if things turn the other way. because i don‘t think he‘s going to turn back to austerity. i think what we will have is just more borrowing going forwards if we end up with the tax revenues

not coming in. and has he given enough, has he provided himself enough security if the brexit negotiations end up with no deal? i think if we end up with no deal we will have some kind of economic shock. we don‘t know how big that will be. my presumption would be that, in that circumstance, he would actually increase spending, or reduce taxes in the short run, to cushion the economy. but if he does that, then i‘m afraid we‘re going to have another few years of rowing back from that as growth is a bit less and as we‘ve had more spending in the short run, so i‘m afraid, if we do end up there, not a punishment budget initially but then more austerity later on. with me is our economics correspondent andy verity. can we talk winners and losers because there has been a lot of debate today. more money for mental health services and the nhs so is that the principal game? yes, the nhs is the big winner but it is

relative, you have to look at it competitive how it has been in austerity for the last few years. the spending boost for the nhs amounts to about 3.4% a year which sounds good but it is less than the historic average before it started being squeezed in recent years which is more like 3.7%. there will be money to do more than just catch up with the demands of an ageing population, they will be able to do other stuff according to the ifs but it is in perspective. the other winner is taxpayers, 30 million. tax allowa nces, winner is taxpayers, 30 million. tax allowances, the amount you can earn before you start paying tax, that is going up faster than we thought but it is only slightly faster. when you get down to the numbers, the ifs reckons because of the measures, it is an extra £24 a year for the basic rate taxpayer. 50p a week is not much. higher rate taxpayers, £176. you look at the general squeeze from the lifting of austerity we are talking about. 0utside the lifting of austerity we are talking about. outside the protected

departments, looking at transport for example or the justice system which has been really squeezed, they will be squeezed again, especially ona will be squeezed again, especially on a per capita basis. you look at the public spending per person, that will go down again in a couple of yea rs‘ will go down again in a couple of years‘ time. the other big loser is deficit reduction, this bold goal we have had for years of trying to reduce the deficit so we are not spending any more than our income as the government. that has been kicked into the long grass with the ifs ta ke into the long grass with the ifs take the chances of that being reduced to zero and the budget being balanced by the middle of the next decade is for the birds. so to go to the heart that sensitive political issue, whether austerity is come to an end, for several government departments, you could argue that it has not gone. no, it has eased for a couple of years but if you take a wider definition of austerity, cuts not just for wider definition of austerity, cuts notjust for government departments but for welfare spending, there are several million people for whom austerity will go on and get harder

for the people specifically to receive the universal credit. what they did three years ago, george 0sborne, data bilic at the amount you could earn the port you started losing your benefits —— they severely cut. philip hammond wrote back on that, saying you can earn £1000 or more before we start taking it away but it still means people are worse off than they were envisaged to be three years ago so it is the row back from a cut as opposed to a real improvement and they are starving benefit frozen so ever down inflation goes up they lose the spending power in real terms. thank you very much, andy. it is 13 minutes to six. the way some of our food is produced is devastating the environment and communities, according to a new report by the world wild fund for nature. farming is partly responsible, with more land being deforested to meet the global demand for soybeans — a cheap protein used in animal feed. the cerrado savannah in brazil is the size of western europe and one of the most bio—diverse places in the world. wwf says that, at one point, an area of the cerrado the size of greater london was disappearing every two months.

0ur correspondent adina campbell has been to the region to meet some of the people affected. as we make our way through a secluded spot of central brazil, a 12—hour drive away from the country‘s capital, we come to this remote village. just 46 families are part of the community, descendants of african slaves. the land here is their lifeline, but more and more is being sold off to meet growing global agriculture needs. this woman, the voice of the community, is worried they could all lose their homes. this is your home?

brazil is one of the world‘s leading soybean producers, and the uk highly depends on exports, primarily for animalfeed. it‘s the main source of protein in all ourfood. it has the exact balance of amino acid we need for feeding people and feeding animals. it is the cheapest source of protein we have. so we have very little time to stop the destruction of cerrado, and we can do it without significant impact on the cost, actually, because there is enough space to expand soy available on already destroyed or converted land. the cerrado is overshadowed by the more famous amazon rainforest, but this part of brazil is the most threatened and overexploited area. only 3% of land here is legally protected, despite being the world‘s

most biodiverse savanna. and what‘s putting this area at risk is the surge in soy production caused by the rising demand for cheap food. and it‘s the local communities who suffer. are more and more families being driven away from their homes here? have some people lost their lives because they simply refuse to leave what they say is their home? these lives matter. people here are just about hanging on to their homes, but for future generations,

all this could soon look a whole lot different. adina campbell, bbc news, in brazil‘s cerrado savanna. nato is holding its biggest military manoeuvres since the cold war with a joint exercise around a mock invasion of norway. the operation, called tridentjuncture, started last week and involves all 29 nato members as well as finland and sweden, and it‘s taking place a few hundred miles from norway‘s border with russia. 0ur defence correspondent jonathan beale reports. it is a rehearsal for war. 50,000 military personnel from 31 nations on land, on sea and air. all converging on norway for the next few weeks in nato‘s largest military exercise since the end of the cold war. the scenario — the defence of a nato member that has come under attack.

we are facing the most challenging security environment in a generation. and nato has responded with the biggest adaptation of a collected defence in a generation. because, when the world changes, nato has to change. it has notjust been a test of military power, but also of the speed of response to rush to the aid of an ally under attack by sea, road and rail. a british military convoy travelling across the channel through germany, denmark and sweden before arriving in norway. today, nato forces combined to carry out a simulated assault on an enemy position with landing craft backed by naval and air power. nato insists this is not evidence of a new cold war. but the reality is the alliance is relearning the same military skills that were used during that era. and while the enemy in this scenario is meant to be fictitious, it is no secret that this

is happening amid rising tensions with russia. moscow has already responded, calling this an anti—russian exercise. but it follows hard on the heels of russia‘s own biggest war games — vostok — which moscow says involved 300,000 troops. nato insists its exercise is not a provocation, taking place hundreds of miles away from norway‘s border with russia. but it wants to send a message that the alliance is ready to defend any ally. jonathan beale, bbc news. the duke and duchess of sussex have gone head—to—head in the first sporting competition of their southern hemisphere tour — welly—wanging. 0ur correspondentjonny dymond sent this report from new zealand. which way? this way? 0h, this way.

a lesson he‘ll never forget. this is welly—wanging. then it was meghan‘s turn. first, advice from expert wangers. and... oh, dear. i declare the red team the winner! still he was graceful in defeat as she took the unusual trophy. the build—up to their city centre appearance drew onlookers from every quarter. 0n the ground, even the smallest fans got face time. this is the last big city of their four—country tour but despite the distinctly mixed weather, there is an impressive turnout. enthusiasm for the royal family, headquarters 11 and a half thousand miles away, remains high.

so, what is that draws the crowds? my grandmother and my mother always used to bring me out to see the queen or prince charles when they came to visit. we‘ve done it with our children and kept up the tradition really. just exciting for someone to come to new zealand. come over here for once. enjoy the beautiful place. join the party. just the willingness to engage with new zealanders from all walks of life, particularly standing up and using... speaking maori at the beginning of speeches and at the end, that shows, i think, a level of respect for new zealand that hasn‘t gone unnoticed here, and really appreciated. singing. quite a song and dance has been made of this royal tour, harry responded with heartfelt thanks and a bit of a joke. we are meeting little kiwis, we‘re meeting big kiwis being treated to your

fantastic food, culture and sporting activities. well, if you can call welly—wanging or gumboot throwing a sport. perhaps we should have a three test series and see who comes out on top. laughter. and then talks with some younger kiwis. the royal embrace of new zealand‘s future. jonny dymond, bbc news, auckland. the bbc news at six is coming up in a minute. time for a look at the weather. here‘s darren bett with the forecast. it has been a chilly day. a few changes in the next couple of days. it will not feel as cold for a couple of days but still the risk of some pockets of frost. there will be some pockets of frost. there will be some rain moving across the uk at times and by the weekend it could be quite windy as the storm moves in from off the atlantic. we have a

mixture sunsets across the uk. this is in devon where there was a lot of sunshine and hardly a cloud but very different towards the east coast in norfolk where we have had thick cloud and it has been called in the wind. that cloud has been brushing the eastern parts, we have had a narrow escape because it is the same area that brought all the flooding into europe and heavy snowfall as well, the same area of low pressure which has been sitting to the east of us, bringing that rain close to the east coast earlier. as the low pressure m oves the east coast earlier. as the low pressure moves towards scandinavia, it will take away the rain and the shower was we have had in the east and the skies were clear. further west, with clearer skies, the cloud will increase and there will be some areas of showers and rain. the frost is more in central and eastern parts of scotla nd is more in central and eastern parts of scotland and england. perhaps in parts of wales as well both in rural areas, temperatures lower than

numbers in the cities. in the west, not quite as cold. some showery outbreaks affecting northern ireland and western scotland, a zone of showers coming up from the south—west through wales and cumbria and south—west scotland but for many central and eastern parts of england, eastern scotland, it will be drivers with more welcome sunshine and a bit of a treat for halloween also —— it will be dry. temperatures higher because we have more of a southerly wind. 0n thursday, the rain in the east of the uk is a change of fortunes again. it could hang around all day in lincolnshire, east anglia and the south—east. elsewhere, with the north—westerly breeze, cooler and fresher but away from the showers in the north—west, it should be dry and sunny. then we changed again going to the end of the week with that weather front moving out and we look to the atlantic because we have a deep area of low—pressure sweeping across towards the uk some remnants

of ex—hurricane 0scar also be winds will be picking up, the rain moving in from the north—west later on friday, just in time for the start of the weekend. the chancellor is accused of taking a gamble with his budget despite an uncertain economic future. the institute for fiscal studies suggests philip hammond may have to increase borrowing and says many public services haven‘t benefited. if i was a prison governor, if i was a head teacher, if i was running a local authority, i wouldn‘t be breaking out the champagne just yet. we‘ll be taking a closer look at who benefits and who‘s losing out. also tonight... 32 years after suzy lamplugh disappeared, police start digging up a garden in the west midlands. the trialfor the murder of two schoolgirls — drama in court as the father of one of them is suddenly accused. it's it‘s the size of western europe but this rare landscape here in brazil

is increasingly at risk because of our need for cheap food.