tonight at ten, the budget was a gamble with the public finances — the independent verdict of a leading research organisation. as the chancellor philip hammond defended his strategy, he responded to claims that the continued squeeze on most public services would hit the most vulnerable. we're very clear that it is people at the bottom end that benefit proportionately the most from the overall package of measures. even the extra spending on schools in england was dismissed as too little, as experts pointed out that apart from the nhs, public services were struggling. if i was a prison governor, if i was a head teacher, if i was running a local authority, i wouldn't be breaking out the champagne just yet. we'll have more detail and reaction as the likely impact of yesterday's budget is being measured. also tonight. the president and first lady arrive in pittsburgh, ignoring appeals to stay away, days after a gunman killed 11 jewish people at a synagogue. police investigating the unsolved murder of suzy lamplugh more than 30 years ago have

been digging up a garden in the west midlands. a report from brazil, where massive deforestation and loss of wildlife are the result of growing demand for cheap food. a bit more relaxing for us as a family, i think. and we talk to wayne rooney about his new life and football success in the united states. and coming up on sportsday on bbc news, as leicester open a book of condolence for their owner, the club confirm that saturday's premier league match at cardiff will go ahead. good evening. the budget was a "gamble" with the public finances, according to the leading independent research body, the institute for fiscal studies. in its first analysis

of the chancellor's plans, it warns that the government might have to borrow more, in the years ahead. but the ifs said that the budget was less of a gamble with the nhs, especially mental health services, which saw extra investment, although other public services would continue to feel the squeeze. our economics editor kamal ahmed has been investigating the likely impact. any bowl, a pound! picking the best fruit and veg in leeds, the day after the budget. and who, if anyone, is looking forward to those tax cuts the chancellor announced just a day earlier? he promised to leave people with a little more to spend. i'm a teacher, i'm on £29,000 year so it'll help me by about £10 a month. but overall, i think with the cost of food and whatever, it'll probably mean that i'm no better off. i think it's a good thing, you know, the more the lower paid don't have to pay before they pay tax, the better it is. i'd rather see it go towards schools, the national

health service, all the things that we all benefit from, because little amounts like that really have very little effect on me, anyway, and i suspect on several others. the institute for fiscal studies said the better off would gain more from the tax changes. people earning over £50,000 a year would be on average £156 better off. people earning between £12,500 and £50,000 would gain £21 a year. hello, nice to meet you. meeting apprentices in lincolnshire, phillip hammond insisted that increases for things like universal credit meant poorer people were being supported. if you look at the whole package of measures that we delivered yesterday, notjust the personal income tax cuts but all the other measures, and you analyse how they affect people across the income scale, it's people at the bottom end of the income scale that benefit the most. the analysis clearly shows that. two fascinating figures

in today's ifs report. in the year 2000, less than a quarter of all spending on public services went on health. by the year 2024, that figure will have risen to a0%. in the league table of public spending, all other departments have fallen way behind. what is five multiplied by... like education. £400 million of new spending announced for schools, slightly less than the money set aside to fix potholes. it's not good enough for the governmentjust to throw us a few thousand pounds and say, "be happy with that". i think that they are trying to say that everything is fine in schools and just be content. well, we're not content and it's not good enough. but it's nhs, nhs, nhs. the chancellor's pledged that nearly all the money provided by the better borrowing forecasts will be spent on hospitals. the ifs said he was taking a gamble. the worry for him is if borrowing goes up again next year,

if tax revenues don't come in as expected, and there's a good chance of that, then what's he going to do? he's painted himself into a corner. he can't un—announce the end of austerity. i don't see him cutting spending again. i think what we will see is borrowing ratcheting up. prisons have seen spending falling, and the police, and this budget has done little to reverse departmental cuts already announced. well, the prime minister promises the end of austerity only four weeks ago, and it certainly wasn't that. i don't even think it's much of a start, either. and on the departmental budgets, he said they will be protected. no, they won't. some will, others will then get bigger cuts. mr hammond will need the economy to perform well. he'll need that brexit deal to come good if he's to hit his target of ending austerity over the next five years. kamal ahmed, bbc news. 0ur deputy political editor john pienaarjoins me now from westminster. the chancellor is accused of taking

a gamble with the finances. what is your reading of the reaction there to date? the day after the budget is when it sometimes starts to unravel and we saw some of the doubts and questions in that report. but labour has been falling out with itself over the budget tax cuts. john mcdonnell is the most left—wing shadow chancellor we have seen but he has been criticised for accepting some of what his labour mp collea g u es some of what his labour mp colleagues are calling tory tax cuts, even though he is saying he would tax be better off more heavily when and if he gets the chance. the chancellor may well be enjoying that split. 0n the tory side, the budget will be plastered over leaflets, be pushed through thousands of letterboxes, in marginal constituencies up and down the country this weekend. there is now a new dividing line on the end of austerity, tax and spend between the main parties. will that help the government with brexit? some mps may 110w government with brexit? some mps may now be less inclined to vote against

the brexit deal if there is one. for all that i have seen and heard, the really ha rd—core brexiteers all that i have seen and heard, the really hard—core brexiteers will still line up against a brexit deal if they think it is too soft. the thing is moving along in very much the same kind of direction we have seen and as for this being a pre—election budget, look, if there isa pre—election budget, look, if there is a deal, if it is good for the tories, can anyone see theresa may standing in front of the party and saying the last snap election did not go terribly well, let's have another one? the tories i've been speaking to don't think so. if there's no—deal brexit, all bets are off, theresa may could be a casualty, all speculation, but so is the outcome of brexit itself which is pretty much where we started the budget. thank you, john pienaar in westminster. president trump has visited the synagogue in pittsburgh which was the scene of the deadly mass shooting on saturday, in which 11 people died. the white house has angrily rejected the suggestion that mr trump's rhetoric could be to blame for emboldening racist attacks. the president is also set to meet the families of victims, but one localjewish group

has told him he is not welcome in the city. 0ur north america editorjon sopel reports, from pittsburgh. awaiting donald trump's arrival, members of pittsburgh's jewish community gathered outside the tree of life synagogue to sing and to say kaddish, the prayers for those in mourning. the president flew into pittsburgh accompanied by the first lady, but also his daughter ivanka, who converted tojudaism when she married her 0rthodoxjewish partnerjared kushner. they first went to the synagogue were the 11 worshipers were gunned down, and in the entrance lit a candle for each of the 11 victims. next, they came outside to lay a small pebble from the white house grounds, and white roses at each of the stars for the victims.

the rabbi accompanied them, saying a prayer. and then to the hospital to speak to medical staff and survivors, among them four policemen who were shot and injured as they tackled the heavily armed gunman. in the wake of saturday's massacre, donald trump was unequivocal in his condemnation of anti—semitism. and he said "we must unite to conquer hate". but his visit is sowing some division in this community. civic leaders and a few left—wing jews are saying he should stay away because of his divisive rhetoric. the rabbi of the synagogue welcomed the president, as did many in the community. but not one group. he has victimised immigrants. he has victimised refugees, he has victimised muslims, lgbt community, women, people with disabilities, the list goes on and on. we cannot stand idly by. shots fired, shots fired! there are terrible stories of tragedy from saturday's shooting, incredible stories of bravery and luck, too. this man survived because he arrived

late and was parking his car when he heard gunfire. the second narrow escape of his life. in 1945, as a small child, he was on a train heading to a nazi concentration camp when it was liberated by the allies. it never stops, at least for me and my family. it never stops, itjust keeps going. but we are survivors. i'm 80 years old, i told my daughter that i am ready whenever. you know, i am not afraid of death. today, the first funerals were held for three of the congregants who were gunned down on saturday, two brothers and a local doctor. families mourning loss, a city in grief and a country wondering where it is heading. let's go live to pittsburgh. can we talk about these very deep divisions about the president's visit, what do they tell us about the political climate? they tell us that america

is deeply polarised. hate crimes happened before donald trump and they will happen long after he has gone. 0ne they will happen long after he has gone. one of the things that has really changed in america is that far out ideas that were the preserve of chat rooms in the darkest recesses of the internet are migrating into the mainstream and being spoken about at rallies and by some of trump's surrogates, whether it is the caravan and allegations it has been infected by isis supporters, no evidence for that whatsoever but that is what is being spoken of and the pipe bomb attacks last week, people saying it was a hoax got up by democrats to change the tone of the political debate. that is what has changed in america and that is what is so toxic and even at the moment, we had some people today arriving with make america great again banners and people shouting at them, saying this isa people shouting at them, saying this is a place of morning, not eight from raleigh. america is deeply divided and seems to be heading in an uncertain direction. with each mass shooting, we think maybe this

will be the turning point and each time, we find ourselves back outside another place like this where another place like this where another mass shooting has taken place. jon sopel, our north america editor, in pittsburgh tonight. 32 years after the disappearance of suzy lamplugh, an estate agent, in south—west london, forensic experts have started to excavate a garden in the west midlands. suzy was 25 when she went missing, after going to meet a client, and her body has never been found. police are now searching a property which used to belong to the mother of the prime suspect, as our correspondent sima kotecha reports. it was one of the biggest crime stories of the 1980s — the disappearance of estate agent suzy lamplugh. but could this be where her remains are buried? more than three decades on, specialist police officers have been searching the garden of this house in sutton coldfield. it's a really surreal, bizarre world for a normal person who is not used to the media to be part of.

it's like you've got your own private paparazzi on the doorstep. it once belonged to the mother of the man suspected of killing her, john cannan, already serving a life sentence for the rape and murder of another woman. specialist police officers arrived here first thing this morning, after receiving new information. but it's not the first time they've come here to search the premises. the homeowner says they came here 15 years ago and searched the garden over several months. the estate agent went missing injuly 1986. she left her west london office to meet a client known as mr kipper. detectives began a murder enquiry. eight years later, suzy was officially declared dead. john cannan has always denied having anything to do with her murder. her parents, who have both died, launched a trust in her name to support victims of stalking and violence.

it played an instrumental role in the protection from harassment act. we are really hoping that there's going to be some sort of a resolution, and our thoughts are predominantly with the family today. police have excavated other sites in the hunt for suzy‘s remains. this case gripped the attention of the nation. now the question is whether a 32—year—old mystery will finally be solved. sima kotecha, bbc news, sutton coldfield. the lawyer for a man accused of murdering two nine—year—old girls over 30 years ago says the police have spent 32 years building a case against the wrong person. he instead pointed the finger of blame at the father of one of the girls. karen hadaway and nicola fellows disappeared in 1986 near brighton. former roofer russell bishop is on trial for the second time for the murders. leicester city fans and well—wishers have been paying their respects

to the victims of last weekend's helicopter crash. among those leaving tributes were jamie vardy, the club's striker, who laid a wreath and paused for reflection with his wife. five people including leicester's chairman died in the accident. the immigration minister has said that a no—deal brexit would pose a "huge challenge" to employers. caroline nokes told mps that firms would be required to carry out checks on eu citizens to establish if they are permitted to work in the uk. and she admitted that the uk border agency would not be able to tell which eu citizens had the right to settle here. 0ur political correspondent chris mason reports. from baking cakes in somerset to trading financial products in the city of london. 3 million eu citizens live and work in the uk. today, the government said employers

would have to check whether they had a right to work here if there is a no—deal brexit. that would not be easy. something this french restau ra nt easy. something this french restaurant manager is worried about. it's difficult, to be honest. it's difficult. i'm scared for the future, to be honest. the immigration minister acknowledged this would be an enormous challenge for employers and workers who have not yet applied for what's called settled status. you are absolutely right to point out somebody who's been here for ten years and simply not yet been through the scheme, it would be almost impossible for an employer to differentiate between them. the exchanges with the immigration minister would just the beginning. the chair of the committee, yvette cooper, became more and more exasperated as what she saw as the evasion and waffle of those giving evidence. they contradicted each other and again

and again failed to give clear a nswe i’s. and again failed to give clear answers. you've only got five months left! if there is no deal, surely... surely it's one of the top priority is to doa surely it's one of the top priority is to do a security assessment of what the consequences are of no deal at the border? absolutely. the home secretary has already said he thinks if we were to lose them it would be suboptimal. to say precisely what elements of that would be replaced, that would be difficult at this point. so you don't know. yvette cooper still wasn't finished. are you saying we will have less security information and people arriving at our borders if there is no deal? yes or no. i think that depends on circumstances we have at the time. the government maintains it is confident it will get a deal with the european union. today

showed how difficult things could be if they fail. chris mason, bbc news. growing demand for cheap food is being linked to a huge loss of wildlife and deforestation across the planet according to the world wide fund for nature. one such place is the vast cerrado savannah in brazil. deforestation there is being partly blamed on soybean production intended for global consumption. britain imports over 75% of soybeans it uses from around the world. it's mainly fed to animals providing our chicken, pork, milk, cheese and eggs. according to the wwf, over a 2—year period an area of the cerrado the size of greater london disappeared every two months. that's because it was being converted to farmland to grow crops including soybeans. 0ur correspondent adina campbell reports from brazil. it's as ancient and important as its neighbour, the amazon. brazil's cerrado savannah is often overlooked and undervalued.

this is one of the world's oldest and most diverse eco—systems, home to thousands of plant and animal species. but as each day passes, they're in danger from this. as fires burn, blighting swathes of vegetation, more and more of this precious land is being wiped out at an alarming rate. the fire over there is an example of the problem in the heart of the cerrado. the land has been deliberately been set on fire, and there's a good chance the land is being cleared for soy production in the future. legally, 80% of land in brazil is supposed to be for public use. but as more space is needed to grow soybeans, the law is being ignored, leading to land grabbing on a vast scale. this farming company prides itself on producing soy

in a sustainable way, by reusing land that's already been spoiled. valdoni menezes manages the farm. but most farms aren't like this. others will obtain land by any means. and that's because countries such as the uk highly depend on soy. it's a key ingredient in animal feed, used to produce chicken, pork, milk, cheese and eggs. brazilians say they're the breadbasket of the world, and this is why. these soybeans have come from the land here. this farm alone produces a million sacks of soybeans every year. a sack is about the equivalent of how much i weigh, and in the uk, the average person will consume a sack of soybeans every year.

but then there's the human cost, families who've had their lives ripped apart. for four generations, the gomez—lopez family lived off open land in the cerrado. mariene says they were forced to leave, their home burned down and their land sold. what message do you have to people in the uk who benefit from the price they pay for food because of the land and the resources here in cerrado?

people and land under pressure, fuelled by the way our food is produced. they need to know notjust how theirfood's being produced, but where it comes from. the head of wwf in the uk says there is a solution. just in this region alone where soy is produced, soy production could be tripled without cutting down a single tree. so let's use the lands we have more responsibly and ensure that we're also able to feed a growing world population. conservationists say we have ten years to save south america's most valuable savannah.

otherwise, all this could soon disappear. adina campbell, bbc news, in the cerrado, brazil. in germany, a former nurse accused of killing 100 patients in his care, has confessed to the murders, on the first day of his trial. it is the biggest serial killing case in post—war german history. detectives say his motive was to impress colleagues, by trying to resuscitate the very patients he'd poisoned. niels hogel is already serving a life sentence for the deaths of other patients, as our correspondent jenny hill reports. hiding his face, but exposed as a serial killer — niels hogel preyed upon the elderly and infirm. he is now known to have killed more than 100 people, though investigators say we'll never really know the true scale of his crimes. his victims — defenseless on the wards of two german hospitals. hogel administered drugs in fatal doses.

his apparent motive — boredom and an apparent desire to impress colleagues by trying to resuscitate the very patients he'd attacked. among his victims, this man's grandfather. translation: today, he looked like a vulnerable little mass murderer. he didn't look arrogant or aggressive or dangerous. earlier, he spoke to the bbc. he wrote to hogel, who's already serving a life sentence over the deaths of six patients, to ask why. he just said that he lost the contact to people, to human beings lying there. it was just bodies for him. he was killing everyone he could get, just playing with them, like someone who was using something mechanical, something like a computer. you swich a body on and off. in court for the confession, the families of the dead.

many had no idea their loved ones were murdered until investigators exhumed the remains. what's troubling the relatives, what's troubling germany is how this could've happened. we now know that two hospitals ignored unusually high death rates. we also know that even when hogel was caught trying to kill a patient, he wasn't immediately removed from hisjob. failures which helped to facilitate the murderous ambition of postwar germany's most prolific serial killer. jenny hill, bbc news, berlin. in italy 11 people are now known to have died, as strong storms batter the country leaving roads blocked and thousands without power. in venice, flood waters have risen to near—record levels, a metre and half above sea level. officials say nearly three—quarters of the city is submerged, and there's been widespread flooding and destruction across the region.

the bbc will this week launch its biggest new product for a decade. the app, called bbc sounds, will replace the iplayer radio app, and it's a response to the growing demand for podcasts. figures from 0fcom, the indutsry regulator, show significant growth, and advertisers are paying more attention to commercial podcasts, as our media editor amol rajan reports. welcome to the wanna be podcast. i'm your host, imrie. catch a brand—new 30 minute episode every wednesday this month. deep within the innards of a third—floor south london flat, a radio revolution is finding its voice. oh, my god, i am screaming inside about this week's guest. my darlings, i got to sit down with amandla stenberg, who played... it's from here that the shout0ut podcast network is recorded and shared online. the network reaches thousands every week and it's attracting advertising. is podcasting now a viable career? i think it can be for some people.

i think at the moment, we are still trying to figure out how to make it sustainable for us. it has really democratised media and i think that's what's really scary for massive production companies. we are seeing more and more people just pick up their phones, create something, gather an audience and a community around them and then it becomes this lucrative thing for them. you find the same pattern right across the media. technological innovation changes consumer behaviour by making consumption more convenient and then gradually, the editorial offer evolves. so while the kitchen radio had the quality of a village pub by bringing whole communities together, podcasts filter out the world and make us silent participants in often niche conversations. the best estimates suggest weekly listeners to podcasts in the uk have almost doubled in five years, from 3.2 million in 2013 to 5.9 million this year. the steepest growth is among young adults, with nearly one in five listening to podcast each week. and whereas almost three in ten listeners to traditional radio

are under 35, for podcasts, that figure leaps to almost half. so bright that we can clearly see the... dark side of the moon? this is a classic. now the bbc is making a big play for this growth market. the bbc sounds app is the biggest product launch from the corporation for a decade and combines live, local and national radio with music mixes, recommendations and podcasts. but the brains behind the launch says the lack of rigorous and independent audience data in podcasting is a problem. the main industry standard is the apple chart, but it's not transparent. it's not based purely on numbers. there is a mixture of taste and numbers in there. we are talking to them and indeed the whole industry about how we can get a robust measure for podcasts, but then also, a measure for the listening that people do. for advertisers, this new market is exciting. podcasts are a medium that's really redolent of trust. so once you find your tribe on the podcast, you trust the podcast host. that's a really valuable ingredient.

something remarkable is staring in the world of radio. a new generation is tuning in and turning up the volume. amol rajan, bbc news. six months ago, wayne rooney moved to the us and joined the football team dc united. since then, the club, which was at the bottom of the league, has experienced a remarkable turnaround, and is now in the major league soccer play offs. wayne rooney spoke to our sports correspondent natalie pirks, about how life has changed, and what it's like living in washington. this was the moment fans say wayne rooney turned dc united's season around. this is it, our season is done. we're gone. it isjust done. and then i see the streak going across the field and i'm looking, trying to figure out, who is that? i just remember thinking, that was great, he's slowed down the play, now our defence can get back, but the foul's not called. i was, like, oh.

he puts the ball up in the air, lucho back there, little man, fifve three, and i said, "oh, my god, this ball‘s going to find him." and that was definitely the turning point of our season. it was the turning point of fans really believing. there is the rebirth of our club. they realised he wasn't simply in america for a vacation. of course you have people who maybe compare you to other players who have come over here and not done so well. people can make their opinion on you after they see you play. i couldn't really play and take my foot off the pedal. he was the spark they needed to go on a major run and reach the play—offs. with total earnings with reportedly £5 million a year, he's the highest paid player in the club's history. shirt sales are up, but so are his expectations. we had won a game, and it wasn't our best performance by any means and he came in and said it wasn't good enough and