this is bbc news. i'm vicki young. the headlines at 11pm: the chancellor is warned over his budget — an influential research group says he's taking a gamble, and that many public services will continue to feel squeezed. we might be at the end of cuts but we are not going to be offsetting the cuts that have happened over the last seven or eight years. if i was a prison governor, a head teacher, running a local authority, i wouldn't be breaking out the champagne just yet. the president and first lady arrive in pittsburgh, ignoring appeals to stay away days after a gunman killed 11 people at a synagogue. 32 years after estate agent suzy lamplugh went missing in london, forensic teams start digging up a garden in the west midlands. the search is taking place at a house once owned by the mother ofjohn cannan, the prime suspect in suzy‘s killing. a warning that exploding human consumption has caused a massive drop in wildlife populations in recent decades.

and at 11:30pm, we'll be taking an in—depth look at the papers, with our reviewers, steven swinford, from the daily telegraph, and ayesha hazarika, who writes for the london evening standard. good evening and welcome to bbc news. the chancellor has taken a bit of a gamble with his budget — that's according to the economic think tank, the institute for fiscal studies, which says it could lead to higher borrowing and debt in coming years. and despite his claim that austerity is coming to an end, philip hammond has acknowledged there will be no real terms increase in public spending apart from on the nhs. our economics editor kamal ahmed has been looking at the likely impact of the budget.

any bowl, a pound! picking the best fruit and veg in leeds, the day after the budget. and who, if anyone, is looking forward to those tax cuts the chancellor announced just a day earlier? he promised to leave people with a little more to spend. i'm a teacher, i'm on £29,000 year so it'll help me by about £10 a month. but overall, i think with the cost of food and whatever, it'll probably mean that i'm no better off. i think it's a good thing, you know, the more the lower paid don't have to pay before they pay tax, the better it is. i'd rather see it go towards schools, the national health service, all the things that we all benefit from, because little amounts like that really have very little effect on me, anyway, and i suspect on several others. the institute for fiscal studies said the better off would gain more from the tax changes. people earning over £50,000 a year would be on average £156 better off.

people earning between £12,500 and £50,000 would gain £21 a year. hello, nice to meet you. meeting apprentices in lincolnshire, phillip hammond insisted that increases for things like universal credit meant poorer people were being supported. if you look at the whole package of measures that we delivered yesterday, notjust the personal income tax cuts but all the other measures, and you analyse how they affect people across the income scale, it's people at the bottom end of the income scale that benefit the most. the analysis clearly shows that. two fascinating figures in today's ifs report. in the year 2000, less than a quarter of all spending on public services went on health. by the year 2024, that figure will have risen to a0%. in the league table of public spending, all other departments have fallen way behind.

what is five multiplied by... like education. £400 million of new spending announced for schools, slightly less than the money set aside to fix potholes. it's not good enough for the governmentjust to throw us a few thousand pounds and say, "be happy with that". i think that they are trying to say that everything is fine in schools and just be content. well, we're not content and it's not good enough. but it's nhs, nhs, nhs. the chancellor's pledged that nearly all the money provided by the better borrowing forecasts will be spent on hospitals. the ifs said he was taking a gamble. the worry for him is if borrowing goes up again next year, if tax revenues don't come in as expected, and there's a good chance of that, then what's he going to do? he's painted himself into a corner. he can't un—announce the end of austerity. i don't see him cutting spending again. i think what we will see is borrowing ratcheting up. prisons have seen spending falling, and the police, and this budget has

done little to reverse departmental cuts already announced. well, the prime minister promises the end of austerity only four weeks ago, and it certainly wasn't that. i don't even think it's much of a start, either. and on the departmental budgets, he said they will be protected. no, they won't. some will, others will then get bigger cuts. mr hammond will need the economy to perform well. he'll need that brexit deal to come good if he's to hit his target of ending austerity over the next five years. kamal ahmed, bbc news. president trump has visited the synagogue in pittsburgh where 11 people were killed in a shooting on saturday. the white house has rejected the suggestion that mr trump's rhetoric could be to blame for emboldening racist attacks. 0ne localjewish group has told him he is not welcome in the city. 0ur north america editorjon sopel reports from pittsburgh. awaiting donald trump's arrival, members of pittsburgh's jewish community gathered outside the tree of life synagogue to sing and to say kaddish, the prayers

for those in mourning. the president flew into pittsburgh accompanied by the first lady, but also his daughter ivanka, who converted tojudaism when she married her 0rthodoxjewish partnerjared kushner. they first went to the synagogue were the 11 worshipers were gunned down, and in the entrance lit a candle for each of the 11 victims. next, they came outside to lay a small pebble from the white house grounds, and white roses at each of the stars for the victims. the rabbi accompanied them, saying a prayer. and then to the hospital to speak to medical staff and survivors, among them four policemen who were shot and injured as they tackled the heavily armed gunman. in the wake of saturday's massacre, donald trump was unequivocal in his condemnation of anti—semitism. and he said "we must

unite to conquer hate". but his visit is sowing some division in this community. civic leaders and a few left—wing dues are saying he should stay away because of his divisive rhetoric. the rabbi of the synagogue welcomed the president, as did many in the community. but not one group. he has victimised immigrants. he has victimised refugees, he has victimised muslims, lgbt community, women, people with disabilities, the list goes on and on. we cannot stand idly by. shots fired, shots fired! there are terrible stories of tragedy from saturday's shooting, incredible stories of bravery and luck, too. judas samet survived because he arrived late and was parking his car when he heard gunfire. the second narrow escape of his life. in 1945, as a small child, he was on a train heading to a nazi concentration camp when it was liberated by the allies. it never stops, at least

for me and my family. it never stops, itjust keeps going. but we are survivors. i'm 80 years old, i told my daughter that i am ready whenever. you know, i am not afraid of death. today, the first funerals were held for three of the congregants who were gunned down on saturday, two brothers and a local doctor. families mourning loss, a city in grief and a country wondering where it is heading. jon spoke to us from outside the synagogue in pittsburgh and gave us this assessment of the mood in the united states in the light of this latest mass killing. they tell us that america is deeply polarised. now, hate crime has happened before donald trump and they will happen long after he has gone. i think one of the things that has really changed in america is that far out ideas that were the preserve of chat rooms and the

darkest recesses of the internet are migrating into the mainstream and being spoken about at trump rallies and by trump surrogates, whether it is the caravan and allegations it has been affected by isis supporters, no evidence whatsoever for that, but that's what's being spoken of, and the pipe on the tax last week, people saying that was all a hoax got up by democrats to change the tone of the political debate. that is what has changed in america and that is what is toxic in america. even here today we had people arrive with trump make america great again banners and people shouting saying this is a place of morning, this isn't a trump rally. america is deeply divided and seems to be heading in an uncertain direction. with each masse shooting you think maybe this will be the turning point. and each time we find ourselves back outside and other place like this where another mass rigging has taken place. jon sopel in pittsburgh. —— place like this where another mass shooting has taken place. 32 years after the disappearance

of suzy lamplugh, an estate agent in south—west london, forensic experts have started to excavate a garden in the west midlands. suzy was 25 when she went missing after going to meet a client. her body has never been found. police are now searching a property which used to belong to the mother of the prime suspect. sima kotecha reports. it was one of the biggest crime stories of the 1980s — the disappearance of estate agent suzy lamplugh. but could this be where her remains are buried? more than three decades on, specialist police officers have been searching the garden of this house in sutton coldfield. it's a really surreal, bizarre world for a normal person who is not used to the media to be part of. it's like you've got your own private paparazzi on the doorstep. it once belonged to the mother of the man suspected of killing her, john cannan, already serving a life sentence for the rape and murder of another woman. specialist police officers arrived here first thing this morning,

after receiving new information. but it's not the first time they've come here to search the premises. the homeowner says they came here 15 years ago and searched the garden over several months. the estate agent went missing injuly 1986. she left her west london office to meet a client known as mr kipper. detectives began a murder enquiry. eight years later, suzy was officially declared dead. john cannan has always denied having anything to do with her murder. her parents, who have both died, launched a trust in her name to support victims of stalking and violence. it played an instrumental role in the protection from harassment act. we are really hoping that there's going to be some sort of a resolution, and our thoughts are predominantly with the family today. police have excavated other sites in the hunt for suzy‘s remains. this case gripped the attention of the nation.

now the question is whether a 32—year—old mystery will finally be solved. sima kotecha, bbc news, sutton coldfield. the lawyer for a man accused of murdering two nine—year—old girls over three decades ago says the police have spent 32 years building a case against the wrong person. he instead pointed the finger of blame at the father of one of the girls. karen hadaway and nicola fellows disappeared in 1986 near brighton. former roofer russell bishop is on trial for the second time for the murders. the american organised crime boss, james "whitey" bulger, has been found dead in his cell at a prison in west virginia. the 89—year—old inspired the films black mass and the departed, which won the best picture 0scar. reports in the united states say a fellow inmate with mafia ties is now under investigation for bulger‘s killing. the immigration minister has said

that a no—deal brexit would pose a huge challenge to employers. caroline nokes told mps that firms would be required to carry out checks on eu citizens to establish if they are permitted to work in the uk. and she admitted that the uk border agency would not be able to tell which eu citizens had the right to settle here. 0ur political correspondent chris mason reports. from baking cakes in somerset, to trading financial products in the city of london, some three million eu citizens live and work in the uk. today, the government said explicitly employers would have to check whether they had a right to work here if there is a no—deal brexit. and that would not be easy. something this french restaurant manager is worried about. it's difficult, to be honest. it's difficult. i'm scared for the future, to be honest. the immigration minister

acknowledged this would be an enormous challenge for employers and workers who have not yet applied for what's called settled status. you are absolutely right to point out somebody who's been here for ten years and simply not yet been through the scheme, it would be almost impossible for an employer to differentiate between them. the exchanges with the immigration minister would just be the beginning. the chair of the committee, yvette cooper, became more and more exasperated with what she saw as the evasion and waffling of those giving evidence. they contradicted each other and again and again failed to give clear answers. you've only got five months left! if there is no deal, surely... surely it's one of the top priorities to do a security assessment of what the consequences are of no deal at the border? absolutely. the home secretary has already said

he thinks there would be elements of this, if we were to lose them, it would be suboptimal. to say precisely what elements of that would be replaced, and precisely whether we would have a complete match, that would be difficult at this point. so you don't know. yvette cooper still wasn't finished. are you saying we will have less security information on people arriving at our borders if there is no deal? yes or no. i think that depends on circumstances we have at the time. the government maintains it is confident it will get a deal with the european union. today showed how difficult things could be if they fail. chris mason, bbc news. the headlines on bbc news: philip hammond is warned over his budget. the influential institute of fiscal studies says he's taking a gamble with the public finances. the president and first lady arrive in pittsburgh,

ignoring appeals to stay away days after a gunman killed 11 people at a synagogue. forensic teams start digging up a garden in the west midlands, 32 years after estate agent suzy lamplugh went missing in london. indonesia has ordered inspections of all boeing 737—max 8 planes as the lion air plane recovery operation continues. drones and sonar technology are being used to search for the plane which crashed into the sea yesterday, with 189 passengers and crew on board. details of the flight log show the plane experienced technical problems the day before the crash. rebecca henschke has more from jakarta. this is now the grim ritual that is taking place here at the port. this

coastguard boat coming in, bringing back what they've been able to recover from the wreckage. it's then laid out on the concrete. it's pupil's property at, clothes. amongst it also children's items, shoes and toys and the wreckage of the plane they've been able to retrieve from the ocean. also coming off these boats are body bags filled with passengers that were on that plane. from here, they are rushed to a nearby military hospital, where the families of loved ones are desperately waiting there for news. some have flown in from bangka island, where this plane was headed. they're being told to give dna samples and items of clothing, anything that will help doctors there identify what they're being able to recover from the wreckage.

presidentjoko widodo recently visited the site, and the government is promising a full investigation about what took place here. a fact that a new plane crashed in daylight and in good weather, there are many questions about the technical health of that plane when it took off and lion air is under enormous pressure 110w. lion air is under enormous pressure now. rebecca henschke, bbc news, jakarta. a former nurse in germany has admitted that he murdered 100 patients, making him one of the world's most prolific serial killers. niels hogel, who's 41, administered fatal doses of medication to the people in his care at two hospitals in northern germany. his motive, prosecutors say, was to impress colleagues by resuscitating the very patients he'd attacked. 11 people are now known to have died in italy as fierce storms batter the country, leaving roads blocked and thousands without power. in venice, flood waters have risen

to near—record levels, 1.5m above sea level. officials say nearly three—quarters of the city is submerged, and there's been widespread flooding and destruction across the region. the future of hundreds ofjobs at the retailer evans cycles is in doubt. the company, which has 62 shops and employs 1,300 staff, has been bought by sports direct. the deal happened shortly after the firm went into administration today. mike ashley, who owns sports direct, said he believed only around half the evans stores would stay open. a terminally ill iraqi woman, separated from her family, is trapped in the uk because she's too sick to fly home. 38—year—old areej altai, who has been here for five years, was studying for a phd at southampton university when she was diagnosed with cancer. she was due to return to iraq in september

but her condition deteriorated. her friends are trying to raise more than £50,000 needed for a specialist medical flight to get her home. edward sault has the story. for areej altai, this is everyday life. in her hospital room, in a gown and with a jew to help her breathe. every breath and every word 110w breathe. every breath and every word now a struggle —— a jew. i got my treatment. it is warrawong 110w. i got my treatment. it is warrawong now. areej came to the uk in 2013, with her husband, ahmed, and son, ali. both parents studied for a phd in linguistics at the university of them, something supported by the iraqi government but areej's studies we re iraqi government but areej's studies were cut short one year later.|j iraqi government but areej's studies were cut short one year later. i had a lump in my breast. i had a

surgery. a lump in my breast. i had a surgery. i had radiotherapy. areej got better but then in a cruel twist of fate this year, she discovered the cancer had aggressively comeback. they said you might have cancer again, so they checked me in the lungs, the front parts of the bones, and the spine and pelvis, the legs, the ribs. it is making me unable to breathe well all the time. it's horrible now. yeah. husband, ahmed, had to go back to iraq with a couple's, ali, when he finished his doctorate but areej is too sick to travel home. her husband just wants to take his son back to iraq so his son can see his mother for one last time. so far he is fine, but it's his mum, it's going to be difficult for him. we hope we

can to be difficult for him. we hope we ca n fly to be difficult for him. we hope we can fly back to iraq to be able to see his mum again. areej, ahmed and ali made friends in southampton. now those same friends are trying desperately to reunite this mother with her eight—year—old son. no parent wants to be separated from her child, and areej has heard a lot of people say no to her in the last few weeks, not in a mean way but no, there's no future treatment, no you can't go back to iraq. the family have nothing but praise for the treatment and cad they've had from southampton general hospital. if areej isn't able to go back to iraq, she faces going into a hospice this weekend. the family hope that they are successful so this family can be together in her dying days. i want to see my son before i die. growing demand for cheap food is being linked to a huge loss of wildlife and deforestation

across the planet according to the world wide fund for nature. one such place is the vast cerrado savannah in brazil. deforestation there is being partly blamed on soybean production intended for global consumption. britain imports over 75% of soybeans it uses from around the world. it's mainly fed to animals providing our chicken, pork, milk, cheese and eggs. according to the wwf, over a two—year period, an area of the cerrado the size of greater london disappeared every two months. that's because it was being converted to farmland to grow crops including soybeans. 0ur correspondent, adina campbell, reports from brazil. it's as ancient and important as its neighbour, the amazon. brazil's cerrado savannah is often overlooked and undervalued. this is one of the world's oldest and most diverse eco—systems,

home to thousands of plant and animal species. but as each day passes, they're in danger from this. as fires burn, blighting swathes of vegetation, more and more of this precious land is being wiped out at an alarming rate. the fire over there is an example of the problem in the heart of the cerrado. the land has been deliberately been set on fire, and there's a good chance the land is being cleared for soy production in the future. legally, 80% of land in brazil is supposed to be for public use. but as more space is needed to grow soybeans, the law is being ignored, leading to land grabbing on a vast scale. this farming company prides itself on producing soy in a sustainable

way, by reusing land that's already been spoiled. valdoni menezes manages the farm. but most farms aren't like this. others will obtain land by any means. and that's because countries such as the uk highly depend on soy. it's a key ingredient in animal feed, used to produce chicken, pork, milk, cheese and eggs. brazilians say they're the breadbasket of the world, and this is why. these soybeans have come from the land here. this farm alone produces a million sacks of soybeans every year. a sack is about the equivalent of how much i weigh, and in the uk, the average person will consume a sack

of soybeans every year. but then there's the human cost, families who've had their lives ripped apart. for four generations, the gomez—lopez family lived off open land in the cerrado. mariene says they were forced to leave, their home burned down and their land sold. what message do you have to people in the uk who benefit from the price they pay for food because of the land and the resources here in cerrado? people and land under pressure,

fuelled by the way our food is produced. they need to know notjust how theirfood's being produced, but where it comes from. the head of wwf in the uk says there is a solution. just in this region alone where soy is produced, soy production could be tripled without cutting down a single tree. so let's use the lands we have more responsibly and ensure that we're also able to feed a growing world population. conservationists say we have ten years to save south america's most valuable savannah. otherwise, all this

could soon disappear. adina campbell, bbc news, in the cerrado, brazil. and we'll be taking an in—depth look at the papers with our reviewers steven swi nford from the daily telegraph, and ayesha hazarika, who writes for the london evening standard. that's coming up after the headlines at 11:30pm. now it's time for the weather with nick miller. hello. coming up, i've got news of milder weather but first, let's reflect on how cold it's been for the time of year. a frosty view from wales on tuesday morning, and parts of wales and england, —7 on monday night, their coldest 0ctober night since 1997, 21 years ago when the spice girls were number one with spice girls were number one with spice up your life and i was just leaving primary school. well, one of

thoseis leaving primary school. well, one of those is right! we're about to change the weather pattern with the assistance of a harry kane. this cloud in the atlantic is hurricane 0scar, not affecting land and beginning a journey a journey that leads close to our shores by the weekend. it will become an ex—hurricane as it loses its tropical characteristics as it moves over colder night ocean water but it holds itself together on the way to the british isles, clearly bringing wet and windy weather our way. the flow of air around it will mean a milderflow of air to flow of air around it will mean a milder flow of air to the south—west. right now, though, we're still in the cold air. frost for many as wednesday begins but already some changes in our weather, as we see week rain bearing weather fronts into western parts of the uk from the atlantic and ahead of these, a milder sunny breeze coming in to england and wales, bringing temperatures back into double figures for some. trick—or—treaters maisie raine in the west and south east on monday evening, and in thursday —— trick—or—treaters may

see you aim in the west and south east on monday evening, —— may see rain. temperatures where they come up rain. temperatures where they come upa bit rain. temperatures where they come up a bit come down again on thursday. in fact, up a bit come down again on thursday. infact, on up a bit come down again on thursday. in fact, on thursday night and into friday morning, under clear skies, another widespread frost, one 01’ skies, another widespread frost, one or two mist and fog patches. things going downhill on friday after a glorious start, from, remember, i ex—hurricane 0scar glorious start, from, remember, i ex—hurricane oscar and the rain will come to northern ireland first, england and wales with the strengthening wind. the milderflow ofair strengthening wind. the milderflow of air already lifting temperatures and even more so into saturday. looks like 0scar will pass us just do the north—west, the closer you are too if you will see the stronger winds. windy across the board on saturday, but northern scotland, could see gusts in excess of 60 mph, could see gusts in excess of 60 mph, could bring disruption and