the be very happy, if they lose the house, they will be completely and nicely crushed, because everything that they point to has been wrong with the america is in body din donald trump in their eyes, and if they don't win the house, then it suggests that america wants donald trump ina suggests that america wants donald trump in a way that they did not envisage. that is right, clive. these are possibly the biggest midterm elections of our lives. even political nerds like us sort of me that the midterms were going on, but we would not be covering them in this detail, because they are essentially local elections in the us, rather than presidential elections, yet they are seen as a referendum on trump's first two years in office. they got the seeds of the representatives at the graph, 35 of the 100 seat in the senate. id —— agree with dawn, it will be close. i think trump will gain seats in the senate. the democrats are desperate to win the house of representatives. i think it is too close to call. if the democrats do

win the house of representative, expect lots more subpoenas of evidence, lots of investigations into donald trump, a cramping of his style on domestic policy, and that old term, gridlock happening, but they can't stop him on his foreign policy and on his trade policy, because that is very much within the presidential mandate. so, i think it is an incredible situation that we have got, and i actually think that the democrats will lose the house. all right, 0k. the democrats will lose the house. all right, ok. i don't think they will get it. there are too many fights silent trump supporters out there that aren't captured in the opinion polls. even though the democrats are ahead in the opinion polls, i think the polls are too focused on e—mail and phone calls, rather than real people. trump will have the kind of congress that obama had for six years, basically a congress that did not want to work

with him, and donned everything up, but you are saying you don't think thatis but you are saying you don't think that is going to happen. it is interesting. you heard it here first. to be honest with you. i did not hear it here first. i have heard that it'd might not be be disaster that it'd might not be be disaster that the republicans thought it might be. there will be a real crisis of confidence for the democrats. i think barrett obama is a real superb campaigner. this reminds us all of 2000 and eight. —— 2008. -- reminds us all of 2000 and eight. —— 2008. —— barack obama. where is the new democrat coming forward chris for the democrats should be bloodied bloodied and broken into proper international exposure. that isjust not happening for the party. well, obama did not come forward until eight or nine months before the election. sarah is still time for those democrats out there who want to win this thing. we are going to move on. the death tax on the front

of the mail. new death tax to hit grieving families. so, just over a week after the budget, philip hammond sneaks out a new tax, in many ways. a stellar death tax, the mailare many ways. a stellar death tax, the mail are calling it. the ministry of justice expect this to bring in 185 million, but a lot of people are quite unhappy, because busy, the last thing that you want when you are grieving, is —— obviously, the last thing you want on your grieving is an extract charge across of everything. they could have been in the budget, but it has come out of nowhere, he truly thought if he moved it this week, he could control the headlines. already, a lot of people are struggling with the cost of funerals. it is the absolute last point when you want to suddenly find a lot of extra costs, when you are

tried to get over the death of a loved one. big mistake? it does seem pretty punishing. probate is the right to take over the affair is of your loved ones. at the moment, it isa your loved ones. at the moment, it is a flat fee of about £215 for the german 80,000 families on average that are grieving each —— for the 280,000 families. it will be a sliding scale now, so if you have got an estate, i think it is open £2 million, some lucky people, they will pay six grand. if it is between 1,000,001.6 million, it is four grand, but everybody is going to pay more than the flat fee. it is going to raise hundreds of millions of pounds extra for the treasury, but in typical treasury style, there we re scare stories in typical treasury style, there were scare stories of a few months ago of particularly large estates, this could be up to £20,000. this is

oi'i this could be up to £20,000. this is on top of cause of inheritance tax. a lot of people, it will seem really tough, because the government isn't providing anything for this. this is just an administrative charge for reading the will of somebody who you love who has just reading the will of somebody who you love who hasjust died. so the extra moneyjust go to the treasury? absolutely. dawn. clive is going on his high horse now. i am acting on behalf of the viewer. it is my role. explain to me, then. four orfive days ago, you have a budget which sets out staff that set out economic —— stuff that set out economic stats, ford is it you have a newspaper that set it more economic stuff. is that allowed? four days

later? it is allowed. and it is clearly designed to actual control the headlines. we were talking briefly about inheritance tax, but people would be hit by that, but people would be hit by that, but people don't like to think about it, so people don't like to think about it, so when people see this front page on the daily mail, when they read about inheritance tax going up, most people would be affected by it, but in their heads, they think that they might be in the future, they think there might a windfall, they might become rich and it might affect them. that is why it affects people. i have nothing against people with more money paying a bit more towards it, but the majority of people, if you look at it, when you look at stamp duty rises, people will see the headlines and think, what if i suddenly and more? sol the headlines and think, what if i suddenly and more? so i think it is a very clear attempt to control the headlines. not sticking it in the headlines, just is forcing it

through later... beep day before midterms? let's move on to a family that frankly, if it proves to be true, is pretty appalling. front pages of the metro. these figures bonfire party in britain. this is a really awful story. some people think it is bonny to make fun of the over 70 people who died in the g re nfell tower over 70 people who died in the grenfell tower in june 2017, over 70 people who died in the grenfell tower injune 2017, their families of course will never forget it. dill grieving. they have put out oi'i it. dill grieving. they have put out on their youtube, a particularly nasty picture of a skyscraper, a cardboard model that is obviously supposed to be the grenfell tower, literally with figures of people being burned up on you tube. the prime minister has rightly condemned this as completely unacceptable. the home secretary has condemned it as disgraceful. sadiq khan has

rightfully condemned it, the housing secretary, too. there are no words to describe the people that do things like this, and we can only give our hearts and thoughts once again to the families of the victims. i wonder, dawn, again to the families of the victims. iwonder, dawn, what again to the families of the victims. i wonder, dawn, what could be charge be if the police are investigating? i am not sure. i have looked into it. i can't see, it is difficult to know, there were some races difficult to know, there were some ra ces ta nsey difficult to know, there were some races tansey is within the video. 0k, races tansey is within the video. ok, so hate speech? yeah. i don't know what the charges would be. what is clear is people laugh out raged, it is not clear charges would be —— people are outraged. but also to put it on social media, so it was shared through whatsapp, and that is how it came on to social media, and it says a lot about what is wrong with our

society, that we have a lot of people coming out and volunteering for the people of grenfell, but similarly, a very tiny minority will happily spread rumours about them and do this sort of thing. that is true. the vast majority sees this and it makes them sick to the stomach. that is something, i suppose. the independent. let's go back to it. brexit environment risk, liam? part of the brexit process, of course, is what was called the great repeal, bringing eu claw—back on to the british statute. in large part, that happened quite smoothly. there is some areas and aspects of our law where it has not happened completely. environmental campaigners are pointing out rightly, i think, campaigners are pointing out rightly, ithink, as campaigners are pointing out rightly, i think, as well as mps, on the environmental audit committee, that some of those laws, that need to stick to our statute books, still haven't been rewritten and tweaked

and updated. i am sure michael gove, who is very keen to associate himself with the green brexit, the environment secretary, of course, these days, will be out there trying to close this story down. shell. very briefly, then. 30 seconds, and being told. we have got to get onto this, dawn. spice girls. apparently they are back? they are. tie is that what you really want? well done, clive. laughter. i think the... i run the sleepovers with a seven or eight and listening to them. everybody was very excited. you're going to go in your pyjamas, right? i'm not going. interesting to see if its people my age i bit older. people of my generation? hamer old folk. were you into them? not really. 25 years on, it's not the first time they have got back together. is it a new five-year

yea rs ? together. is it a new five-year years? 1994, 23 years. they got together to play at the 2012 olympics, but it is a shame, i think, that friendship never ends, hashtag, posh spice would be there. she would be there. well, she is going to be in milan, doing a fashion show or something like that. laughter that's it for the papers for this hour. don't forget you can see the front pages of the papers online on the bbc news website. it's all there for you — seven days a week at bbc.co.uk/papers and if you miss the programme any evening you can watch it later on bbc iplayer. thank you to my guests dawn foster and liam halligan. we'll all be back for a longer look at the papers at 11:30pm. but that's it for now. good evening. it was not exactly a bonfire night, for wrapping up against the cold. it has been quite mild, and murky, as well. we have

got some for developing, in places, and generally quite a lot of cloud streaming in. what we have got at the moment is a flow of air from the south, that's what's bringing mild air in ourdirection. south, that's what's bringing mild air in our direction. temperatures jamie day—to—day, but as high as 80 degrees, would not be surprised to see similar temperatures tomorrow. -- 18 see similar temperatures tomorrow. —— 18 degrees. tomorrow, quite windy. it is weathering the west, but that does not mean these will be dry. central and eastern areas could catch the odd light shower or spot of rain. rain more likely further west, especially western isles and scotland. overnight temptress, eight, nine, 1011 degrees. a mild start tomorrow. there could be some mist and fog to content with. as we go on through the day, central and eastern areas will hold onto dry weather. still the chance that the odd shower, or spot of rain, but further west, we certainly will see some rain. that rain will turn heavier through the afternoon. with that, strong winds which could gust

to 40 mph worked as an irish sea coastal areas. temperatures doing nicely, 16—18d. this rain in the west really setting in, as we had through the latter part of the afternoon. here is a look in a bit more detail, the rains lashing across england. this is turning 5°99y across england. this is turning soggy across wales. this rain will bring strong and gusty winds, as well. more wet weather in ireland, and into the western side of scotland. and the bundles is the responsible for that rain will continue to go eastwards, as we move through wednesday. these will see a bit of rain on wednesday. a soggy start in london, birmingham and norwich. but it should ease through the day in this eastern areas. some heavy and thundery showers bring in towards the south, but all the while, rain is likely to keep falling across western ‘s scotland

and northern ireland. it stays mild through the rest of the week, windy at times, and there continue to be outbreaks of rain. this is bbc news. i'm clive myrie. the headlines at 11pm: on the eve of the crucial mid—term elections, president trump makes his closing rallying call across three states, in the first big electoral test of his presidency. the future direction of the united states of america is at stake in these mid—term elections. and a a prediction on what the outcome will be, we were here two years ago and it didn't work out so well. after four stabbings in five days, police say they'll step up patrols on the streets of london. east sussex becomes the latest council to cut key services to avoid a budget crisis. also coming up: preparations for the armistice centenary.