let's see if we can predict the weekend weather with ben rich. sunshine and showers for the weekend, but before we get there, is a really wet and windy weather to contend with. this guys have turned increasingly threatening across western parts of the uk, and on the satellite picture this lovely looking hook of cloud has spun into quite a deep area of low pressure, now hurtling in our direction. if you have travel plans for the rest of today, likely to encounter some very heavy rain and gales, particularly in the west, there is the risk of disruption. your bbc local radio station will keep you updated. this is the radar picture, you can see patchy rain in places and then here comes the really heavy rain pushing in towards northern ireland, parts of the south—west into wales, eventually south—west scotla nd into wales, eventually south—west scotland through the rest of the afternoon. with the strengthening southerly winds, more dry weather and it will be mild. for rush hour

this afternoon across the south—west of england and wales, we will see heavy rain, strong and gusty winds and for the south—west of wales there is a met office amber warning, the potential the rain could cause significant disruption and further flooding. the rain clipping into northern ireland, north—west england, south—west scotland, the black wind arrows show the wind gusts which could reach 60 or maybe 70 mph in exposed spots. really rough weather to come, eastern areas staying dry, through the evening and overnight we will see rain and strong winds sweeping eastwards. some clear spells behind it, a fair rash of showers packing in towards the west. it will not be a cold night, six to ii the west. it will not be a cold night, six to 11 degrees. tomorrow, the start of the weekend, tonight's rain will essentially clear by tomorrow morning, some hanging around across shetland for retirement briefly across the south—east of england, but with low pressure in charge this takes us into sunshine and showers. lots of

sunshine and showers initially towards the south—west become more widespread through the day, some of them will be heavy, there could be them will be heavy, there could be the odd rumble of thunder and flash of lightning. still breezy but not as windy as it will be later today. into sunday, armistice day, a similar story. some spells of sunshine, is an heavy showers. the problem with showers is predicting exactly where they will be owned when they will turn up, but across the country you can expect the odd shower to pass through at times and some of those could be heavy. spells of sunshine between the showers, temperatures between ten and 14. it isa temperatures between ten and 14. it is a mixture of sunshine and showers for the weekend, is in very wet and windy weather could cause disruption, warnings are in force from the met office which you can check on the bbc weather website. a reminder of our main story this lunchtime... the prime minister lays wreaths to remember the first and last british soldiers to die in the first

world war , marking the hundredth anniversary of the end of the conflict. that's all from the bbc news at one — so it's goodbye from me, and on bbc one we nowjoin the bbc‘s news teams where you are. hello, good afternoon. i'm holly hamilton. here's your latest sports news. england's cricketers have won an overseas test match for the first time in two years — and with some style, beating sri lanka inside four days in galle. they'd set the home side an unlikely a62 to win in the opening test, and moeen ali was the best of the bowlers — taking 4—71 as they won by 211 runs. it's always hard to win that first

game when you've had such a period away from home not winning. now they've won the game, and all of the players on the team should be very confident. from one to ii, players on the team should be very confident. from one to 11, every player on the team contributed somewhat. england were under a huge and of pressure, and it's a tremendous innings in the state of the game. england should look at this week and say, right, park that, try and produce a similar performance. if they do that, i'm pretty sure they will be 2—0 up in a week or so‘s time. there's been a big blow for england's women ahead of the world t20, which starts today — all—rounder katherine brunt has been ruled out of the tournament with a back injury. she has a recurring problem that flared up again during a warm—up game against india on wednesday. she'll be replaced by fran wilson, who was in last year's world cup—winning squad. england's first match is against sri lanka tomorrow in st lucia. the hosts west indies begin the defence of their title later against outsiders bangladesh in guyana, with three—time winners

australia also in action today against pakistan. england won this tournament back in 2009, and their captain, charlotte edwards, is expecting a great contest. every tea m every team has that matchwinner, they have that person who could get 100 off 60 balls and the one and so forth. every team for me has that matchwinner, but for me it is australia. they have the strength and depth, it is some warder. and they have got real variety with the ball as well. australia are my tip, but i wouldn't write off any of the other teams. west indies at home, i have a free link they could do something special. —— i have a feeling. the touranment starts at 3pm, with new zealand up against india. there's commentary on radio five live sports thra of all three of today's games. football, and chelsea women have been drawn against paris saint germain in the quarterfinals of the champions league. they're the only super league side left in the competition,

and they're looking to reach the semis for the second year in a row. if they do, they could come up against defending champions lyon, who take on wolfsburg in their quarterfinal. the first legs are on the 20th or 21st of march, with the return games a week later. ahead of the manchester derby on sunday, united manager jose mourinho says his side need to "grow up". they've come from behind to win both of their last two games, against bournemouth in the premier league and away atjuventus this week. but mourinho says they can't keep conceding first. it's easy to feel that we are not a team that gives up, we are team that always finds a way to fight back — sometimes changing results, other times not. but we are a team that has that collective spirit to fight back. but it's not always possible. so, if we keep conceding goals before the opponents, we will arrive at the day where we cannot come back.

that's all the sport for now, but there's much more on the bbc sport website, including text commentary from first practice for the brazilian grand prix — that's bbc. co. uk/sport. and i'll have more for you in the next hour. bye for now. studio: thanks, holly hamilton with the sport. as we approach the centenary of the end of the first world war this sunday, this year will have a double meaning for the people of poland. november the 11th also marks 100 years since the country's independence, after more than a century of foreign rule. with me now in the studio is poland's ambassador to the uk, arkady rzegocki. thank you forjoining us, mr ambassador. first of all, talk us through what this means for poland

and for polish people, this 100th anniversary? it's amazing, it's one of the most important dates in our history, we gaining independence after 123 years of foreign occupation of the country. so, in 1918, we read game our independence, and nowadays we celebrate —— reading oui’ and nowadays we celebrate —— reading our independence. we celebrate empowerment and all over the world where polls and friends of poland live. what state was poland in at the end of the first world war? europe had been through a terrible conflict. that is true, the only positive thing about the conflict was that the three main powers which occupied poland, pressure, russia and austria, were fighting each other. that was the chance for pollen to regain independence. so, that's why we celebrate. but it is important that the celebrations are

going all over central europe. and all of the nations free gain freedom at this time. then fast forward through history from 1918 when you read game independence to 1939 and the nazis and hitler and the invasion of poland, a nightmare for the polish people. it was a very difficult century for us because of the totalitarian regimes. nazi germany, we fought with them from the first day of the second world war. but also we were invaded by the soviet russia. in fact, for us the second world war was finished in 1989 when we read game our freedom and independence once again. staying with the second world war briefly, polish fighter pilots were a key pa rt polish fighter pilots were a key part of the battle against the nazis in the air, when they? there was an amazing contribution of polish

fighters fighting together with british pilots against nazi germany, and especially yesterday i was invited for the premier of the film, a new film about the best squadron during the battle of britain. there isa during the battle of britain. there is a second film this year. the previous one was made by our british friends. and i'm so glad that the two films remind us about this huge contribution of more than 20,000 polish airmen and are women who were fighting together with the raf. and after the second world war, gradually, the somme and market was formed, the european union and so on —— the common market was formed. what are your thoughts now on brexit, as the polish ambassador here to the uk? i suppose i have to ask you that question! you have to remember that london was a centre for polish people in the second

world war, the government in exile and the polish prime minister was here until the 1990s. there is a huge common link throughout history, going back to the second world war. we are very sad that britain is leaving the european union. as our close ally, britain and france, we are working hard to have close links also after brexit. there are so many polish people living in britain. i don't know how many exactly. probably more than 1 million. don't know how many exactly. probably more than1 million. polish is the second language after english in britain nowadays. are you worried that with brexit there is uncertainty surrounding polish citizens living in the uk? of course there is uncertainty, you know, among every citizen living in britain add european union citizens. but i have to say, weak or operate very closely with the british authorities to challenge that —— week will operate. it is very important to keep our relations as

close as possible after brexit. mr ambassador, thank you very much for being with us, that is arkady rzegocki, i think i pronounced that they —— vaguely correctly. rzegocki, i think i pronounced that they -- vaguely correctly. i'm very impressed! thank you! the new head of the parole board says the release rate for prisoners has fallen since the high court's decision in march to block the parole granted to the serial sex offenderjohn worboys. in herfirst interview, caroline corby told the bbc that her organisation had lost the confidence of the public. our home affairs correspondent, danny shaw, reports. thejohn worboys case has had a profound impact on the parole board. the man known as the black cab rapist was set to be freed from prison earlier this year after a parole panel decided it was safe to let him out. but the high court blocked his release and the case is being looked at again. the head of the board, nick hardwick, stepped down under government pressure. his successor told me it was a very difficult period. we saw the departure of our previous chair in difficult circumstances.

the board was subject to unprecedented amount of publicity, the like of which we had not experienced before, and i think there was a loss of confidence amongst ourselves a little bit, perhaps a loss of confidence in the wider public, and that was something that i am very keen to repair. since then, the parole board has made changes. it has sent summaries of its decisions to 500 victims of crime and appointed an in—house lawyer, while the prisoner release rate has dropped to 46%, a sign it has become more cautious about letting offenders out. but none of the 240 parole board members making decisions about the release of prisoners is black. 13 are from other ethnic minority groups. the new chair says that is a significant concern which must be addressed when new members are recruited next year. danny shaw, bbc news. us president donald trump has stepped up his efforts to clamp

down on immigration, with a new proposal to restrict asylum claims. migrants entering illegally across america's southern border with mexico will no longer be eligible for asylum. the american civil liberties union has described the move as illegal, and it's almost certain to be challenged in court. chris buckler reports from washington. securing america's long border with mexico has become one of president trump's greatest concerns. he believes that the asylum laws are being abused by those who cross illegally and, as a result, he says he intends to change them. currently, anyone can claim refuge within a year of entering the country by whatever means. but in future, the president intends to restrict that right only to those who queue up and cross at one of the official ports of entry. in a statement, the department of homeland security said: hi, papi! in a statement, the department of homeland security said:.

hi, papi! and they insisted the president had the right to change the rules because it was in the national interest. but civil liberties groups say the policy will be challenged in court. he absolutely doesn't have the authority from congress — in fact, congress made it very clear that what the law provides in this country is that you can apply for asylum whether you're at a port of entry or not at a port of entry. what he's doing is trying to erase the law with the stroke of a presidential pen. the president has raised many fears about a caravan of migrants slowly making their way from central america to the us border. many in the group say they are trying to escape poverty and persecution, but ahead of america's midterm elections, donald trump portrayed them as invaders and a threat. a vote for democrats is a vote to liquidate america's borders

and it's a vote to let meth, fentanyl, heroin and other deadly drugs pour across our borders. his angry rhetoric at political rallies led many opponents to claim he was scaremongering, but he has followed the words with actions, first deploying thousands more troops to the border and now changing the asylum rules in an attempt to close down some of the routes that migrants have used to enter america. chris buckler, bbc news, washington. in a moment, we'll have all the business news. but first, the headlines on bbc news: the prime minister has laid wreaths at the graves of the first and last british soldiers killed in the first world war to mark the armistice centenary. a car bursts into flames in melbourne after a terror attack in which a somali man stabs three people. the dup accuse the prime minister of breaking her promise over plans to avoid a hard irish

border after brexit. i'm jamie robertson. in the business news: the uk economy grew by 0.6% in the three months to september. that's a good number, about what the bank of england had been expecting, and it's thought to be boosted by people out shopping in the warm weather. however, within those three months, there is a slightly worrying trend — the economy grew fast injuly, and then started to slow down in august and september. although over three months the word the numbers. so all the world good numbers. the high street may well have been the first to feel the slowdown. the accountancy firm pwc says about 1k shops are closing every day. it says it's the toughest trading climate in five years. over 1,100 stores disappeared from britain's top 500 high streets in the first six months of the year. cash machines, you may be surprised

to learn, pay rates. but who pays those rates? since 2010, it was thought to be the premesis they were attached to — a shop or office. but a ruling by the appeal court has decided the bill will be shared by government and the local authority. the shops and supermarkets will be refunded what they've been paying over the last eight years — around £300 million. as you've been hearing, about 1k shops are closing every day, as uk high streets face their toughest trading climate in five years. and today, another high street chain, gourmet burger kitchen, is meeting to get approval from its creditors and landlords to restructure its property portfolio. the upmarket burger chain says it's going to close 17 of its 85 restaurants after tough competition has affected its chain. this could affect 250 jobs. some people believe the whole nature of the high street is changing, as chains in particularfight for survival, and this could mean

quite profound changes for towns and local communities. clare bailey is founder at the retail champion. just talking about this particular company, i suppose it's the old story — high rents, high rates, high cost, and falling consumer numbers and changing eating habits? yes, they are asking a lot of research says that consumers are spending more time at home which has affected the casual dining and public restau ra nt the casual dining and public restaurant sector over the last year 01’ restaurant sector over the last year or two, but then the last year has had the compounding effect of the increases to business rates, particularly in higher value locations, after the business rates revaluation, along with people and a great deal of pressure with the move from the minimum wage to the living wage, the increasing cost of food and transport. it is a perfect

storm, lower spending from consumers who have less confidence and want to watch the penneys, whilst also seeing all of the underlying cost of doing business going up. the goverment‘s helping councils on the high street on rates, isn't it? is that going to help? as i and others have said, it feels like tinned rate around the edges, it is not actually the degree helpful to high streets. small businesses already have discounts. when you have a single store retailer you can have is small business rates release, but when you become a multiple retailer you lose that. that increases the disparity ofa that. that increases the disparity of a multiple retailer who would employ a lot more people and contribute more tax, versus the smaller businesses. what really needs to be addressed is the disparity between selling space for online only retailers and on the channel retailers, who are both

represented on the high street and online, to bring the cost of what is technically retail space, the distribution centres that churn out the online sales, bring out the cost of those spaces up to a par with the high street and make it a level playing field so the reason the competition between online and physical. at the moment it is much easierfor me, i could go and set up an online store in the middle of wales with tiny rates and that could compete with a high street retailer. exactly, the same square metre of selling space can cost up to 100 times more in a high—street than it would do in a warehouse environment. the underlying issue to a lot of the problems we have seen have been the rates revaluation which has put prices up in more popular areas coupled with drops in consumer confidence and increases the cost of doing business, especially

internationally because the country is devalued. not many people have much sympathy for landlords, it used to bea much sympathy for landlords, it used to be a very easyjob, cut up rents each year! but they are being squeezed quite ugly as these companies say, no, we are going to pull out unless you bring that the rents. i think it is very difficult. private landlords are able to react to that and say, i would rather have a good occupier in ensuring my premises and keeping it gave and paying business rates. when a property goes they can, the liability for business rates passes to the landlord. but then you have got institutional landlords, massive investment houses owning swathes of property, and the rent on themselves as pension funds. they are really difficult they have an obligation to keep friends as high as possible to deliver on investments on pension funds, but they don't want to see the properties become vacant. we are going to see a lot of pragmatic

conversations between landlords and occupiers to get to the best solution so that all of those stakeholders are protected. really interesting, thank you. next, the retailer, has been accused of copying. a fashion brand called scamp & dude over claims that next copied an animal print top design for children, which, crucially, included a signature logo they use. they have actually come to a settlement. next said it would pay the profits from any sales of a contested design to the label, which will donate the proceeds to charity. some a0 companies, including leading banks, are taking part in a one—day "war—game" exercise designed to assess their resilience in the face of a cyber—attack. it's been organised by the bank of england to test the uk's ability to withstand a major cyber attack on financial institutions. that is going on today. and if you're a renter, this is might be of interest — our data team here has mapped rents by postcode district in britain to help you explore the best value parts of your area.

rent can swallow more than half of young people's salaries. as i'm sure many of you know! yet the difference in cost between neighbouring postcodes can be as high as 50%. so get on it and see if you can save some money by moving a couple of blocks — bbc.co.uk/business and the markets, just before i go. the ftse taking a bit of a breather, the dax doing likewise. doyle—price is interesting, below $70 per barrel. —— oil price is interesting. that is quite a sharp fall, but good news for anybody ordering oil for the winter. the pound looking strong against the euro. that's all the business news. i'll be back with more in the next hour. thanks, jamie. the way hospitals run outpatient clinics is stuck "in the 18th century", according to leading doctors. every year millions of people travel to hospitals, where doctors check up

on their health and discuss their care. the royal college of physicians says many of these appointments are unnecessary, and they're calling for the health service to make more use of telephone and video consulations. our health correspondent, nick triggle, reports. outpatient clinics are the busiest departments in hospitals. they see 127 million people across the uk each year. that's five times as more than come to a&e. but the services don't always run smoothly according to a review by the royal college of physicians. in england, one in five appointments are cancelled or mr. over half of appointments finished late. some of the problems are unavoidable, the college said, because of sickness or emergencies requiring staff to be deployed elsewhere, but many are unnecessary. doctors gave evidence about how test results and notes were frequently missing or scans had not been done. there were also examples of patients trying to alert hospitals to the fact they could not attend, but finding it impossible to get through.

we're using what is really an 18th—century solution to delivering care outside of hospitals for 21st—century problems, and we're demanding patients attend hospital in person to receive what could be communicated to them in other ways, and that engenders huge amounts of cost to the person and society in general in the way that we're delivering our care. some doctors believe as many as a fifth of appointments are unnecessary. they say more in use of remote monitoring and telephone and video consultations could save the nhs and patients time and money. the report says senior nurses and other health staff could also be deployed to see patients closer to home. nhs england said it was looking to act on the findings. nick triggle, bbc news. now, it's time for a look at the weather. julian warrican is waiting in the wings waiting to bring you afternoon live. but now here is by rich with

the weather. good afternoon. sunshine and showers but turbulent weather to come this afternoon. threatening out west, this is in falmouth or because of this — this beautiful book of cloud, watch the way it has developed and spun itself up way it has developed and spun itself up into quite a deep area of low pressure. this is going to bring some very heavy rain through the rest of today coupled with gales in places, a combination that could cause travel disruption on a friday afternoon. your bbc local radio station will keep you up—to—date. patchy rain in places. this wet weather sliding in towards the west gives cause for concern. rain across northern ireland into the south—west of wales, where we really don't need any more rain, working in across southern and western scotland by the latter pa rt southern and western scotland by the latter part of the afternoon. if you

are driving around 4pm or 5pm, very heavy burst the rain. the black winged arrows show the gust. this is a met office amber warning affecting south wales, particularly pembrokeshire, where there has already been flooding. there could be more disruption. north—west england, northern ireland, south scotland, gusty and strong winds. as we go through this evening and overnight, the wet and windy weather sweeping eastwards. all of us having a dose of rain and wind for a time. behind that, the sky is clear, we see showers pushing tin. temperatures will not fall far, 7-11d. temperatures will not fall far, 7—11d. tonight buzz rain, still hanging around across the far south—east are time. and across shetland for the morning. even once that has cleared, low pressure is in charge, feeding showers are we. showers across the south—west of england becoming more widespread through the day, some of them heavy

and thundery. it will be raining all the time, there will be some sunshine in between. still quite breezy but not as windy as it will be through the rest of today. sunday, armistice day, we will see some sunny spells but the potential for some heavy showers. the problem with showers is that it is difficult to predict exactly where they will turn up and one, at wherever you are across the country there is a chance ofa across the country there is a chance of a downpour, equally, some spells of a downpour, equally, some spells of sunshine and temperatures ranging 10-14d. wet of sunshine and temperatures ranging 10—14d. wet and windy weather through the rest of today. hello, you're watching afternoon live —

i'm julian worricker. today at 2. music: last post the prime minister lays wreaths at the graves of the first and last british soldiers killed in the first world war in belgium, to mark the armistice centenary. a car bursts into flames in melbourne after a terror attack in which a somali man stabs three people. the dup accuses theresa may of breaking promises over plans to avoid a hard irish border after brexit — while the irish prime minister, leo varadkar maintains it will not happen. the most important thing for me is the objective and that is to give eve ryo ne the objective and that is to give everyone in northern ireland and ireland the assurance that a hard border will not develop between north