relationship, what our relationship will be with the single market and customs union many years hence. and also it will talk about security foreign policy and quite a lot of progress has been made on those issues. whatever it says in the declaration nothing can be guaranteed because formal negotiations on all of those long—term future issues can only begin after brexit takes place. if you thought we were going to hear less about exit from march of next year it is probably time to think again. time for a look at the weather. here's mel coles. mild and warm the order of the day today with some spells of sunshine for much of the uk but there are some exceptions to the rule. north—west of england, the north of ireland and western parts of scotla nd ireland and western parts of scotland where we had some heavy rain to this morning and some blustery wind. that will gradually eased with the rest of the day. and we're bringing this mild airfrom

the south—west giving those temperatures a boost especially through north eastern parts of scotland. we could see a rise of around 17 celsius. good spells sunshine elsewhere across england and wales and the wind gradually easing. temperatures are well across the board in mid—teens. so for most it will be a fine and to the day. certainly initially for the next area of rain starts to move into parts of northern ireland and western fringes of scotland. clear skies elsewhere giving way to increasing amounts of cloud from the south and some mist and low cloud dance towards the south east. once again not particularly cold. so tomorrow we still have this rain through parts of northern ireland and the fringes of scotland. away from that there will be some brightness for northern england and

down into the midlands. down towards the south that allowed could be quite stubborn put up any mist and hill fog could lingerfor much of the day. if we get some decent brea ks the day. if we get some decent breaks in the cloud in the south—east that is where we will have the best of the temperatures tomorrow, highs of around 16 or 17 degrees celsius. as we head into thursday night, pressure continues to build from the near continent. that will block this big area of low pressure from sending this rain our way. so through friday there will be a lot of bright weather. most places remaining dry through friday, there will be quite a bit of cloud around but that should lift and break to allow for some bright spells to emerge from time to time. once again temperatures above average. perhaps a little bit lower than they were on thursday but a change to come heading into the weekend. the wind

becomes more easterly so although we have good spells of sunshine on saturday and sunday, it will feel noticeably cooler by day and by night. a reminder of our main story this lunchtime. theresa may prepares to face her cabinet — amid calls from her party to reject her brexit deal with the eu. that's all from the bbc news at one — so it's goodbye from me — and on bbc one we nowjoin the bbc‘s news teams where you are. it's 1.30pm and here's your latest sports news... we've had the first sacking of the premier league season...and it's fulham who've removed slavisa jokanovic, with the club bottom of the table. our football reporter is simon stone, he says it was only a matter of time before fulham's owner took action... this britain hundred million pounds,

a record for a newly promoted team in the summer, they have gone main games without a win. they lost the last six and that the bottom of the table. they have a game with southampton larmour three points better off than them and i think the owner thought he had to do something. it is almost an error of inevitability about this. a bit of a surprise who they have rotten, claudio ranieri. i think fulham will be patting themselves on the back with the speed they did this and yes claudio ranieri is the man who delivered the amazing premier league title to leicester but remembered within nine months of that he had been sacked and had a less than impressive time and the french

league last year. he has to hit the ground running and deliverfrom to safety. fulham to safety. england posted a decent score on the first day of the second test against sri lanka. they were in a bit of trouble earlier this morning, giving away some easy wickets. but a thoroughly enjoyable half—century from sam curran pushed them towards the 300 mark. england all out for 285, sri lanka 26 for1 in reply — jack leach with the wicket. and former england bowler ryan sidebottom says the visitors are on top. i think they will be pleased with the score, 285 is a serious score on that wicket. the spinners bowled in the last few overs spinning profoundly, turn and bounce, cbs spent and the delivery as serious. england's jadon sancho says more young players should follow his lead and play football abroad. he's at borussia dortmund in germany's bundesliga — the team he left manchester city for last year. the 18—year—old's done so well

there that he's expected to make his first start for england at wembley tomorrow, and says that moving away from the premier league has given him new opportunities. personally i think if you feel you are ready then i think you should ta ke are ready then i think you should take a shot at it, try something different. if english clubs are not giving you a chance then abroad is a lwa ys giving you a chance then abroad is always an option and always open to see your ability and hopefully if you are good enough you will get your chance. that is how i felt. a referee in the women's super league has got himself into bother over a game of rock, paper, scissors. david mcnamara made the captains of man city and reading play the game to decide who kicked off...because he left his coin for the toss in the dressing room. he's been suspended for three weeks. scotland have made six changes for their test against south africa at murrayfield this weekend. head coach gregor townsend has brought hquones back into the side at centre — even though his performance was criticised after the loss to wales earlier this month. prop gordon reid and lock jonny gray will also start. one other line of

rugby news for you — new zeland will host the women's rugby world cup in 2021. they beat competition from australia — and will be the first southern hemisphere country to stage the women's tournament. and before we go, we need to pay tribute to the end of an era... of one of the great footballing haircuts is no more... manchester united's marouane fellaini has got rid of his trademark curls...for a much closer, and some might say tidier cut. i'll have more for you in the next hour. in a moment we'll have all the business news, but first the headlines on bbc news... theresa may is trying to secure cabinet backing for a brexit withdrawal agreement —telling ministers the deal she's secured from brussels is the best the uk can get. 50 people are confirmed dead and rescuers in california are still searching for hundreds of people reported missing,

amid the worst wildfires in the history of the state. prince charles is celebrating his 70th birthday today. the heir to the throne will mark the occasion by attending a private party hosted by the queen, at buckingham palace. in the business news. uk inflation remained unchanged at 2.4% last month with the cost of living increase held back by falls in the price of clothing. we'll have more on this injust a moment. the uk airline flybe has put itself up for sale just weeks after it issued a profit warning. it released its financial results earlier which show that pre—tax profits for the six months to september fell by 54% to £7.4m. energy firm sse has admitted there is "some uncertainty" that its merger with rival npower will go ahead. the comments follow ofgem's decision to cap the default electricity and gas bill atjust over £1100 a year, forcing the energy firms to redraw their merger plan.

the company also reported losses of £246.4m for the six months to september — a 40.9% drop compared to the same period in the previous year prices paid by consumers are contining to rise at a steady rate with falls in food and clothing offset by rising utility bills and petrol, as crude oil pushed upwards. figures from the office for national statistics show the consumer prices index held steady at 2.4% in october. so what next for inflaton? well many economists believe the long term outlook is now dependent on the outcome of the uk's withdrawal from the eu. the pound dips and falls along with optimism or pessimism surrounding the brexit negotiations, and that has a big impact on how much uk consumers pay for imported goods. another example of how the outcome of today's cabinet meeting — with the the draft withdrawal agreement on the table — could be crucial for the direction of the uk's economy

here's russ mould, investment director, a] bell. we didn't expect the rate of attrition would stay the same, there was an expectation that would push off once but that has not happened with prices fluctuating all the time. it is a difficult job to forecast that and i'm glad i do not have to but there are lots of moving parts, clothing has been a key trend on the downside, fuel prices have been up, doyle has begun to weaken so been up, doyle has begun to weaken so lots of different moving parts and one of the biggest is the pound, rallied to around $1.3,10% and one of the biggest is the pound, rallied to around $1.3, 10% below what it was two years ago before the referendum. if the worst case was to come through from financial markets, they do not like the idea of a no deal because they do not know what

it means, you might expect the pound to go down and that could increase import costs and theory. but added to this, the price of oil is linked to this, the price of oil is linked to global demand and how many pubs are operating around the world. there are lots of other factors come into play. i don't like forecasting currencies and oil prices even less. opec yesterday cut its 2019 oil demand forecast citing weaker growth around the world, uncertainty over italy and brexit, rising interest rates in the us and captains demand forecasts at the same time as american output through its shale field has gone through the roof. that is one of the reasons oil have started to take flight and pricing loyal even though america has imposed sanctions on a major producer and around. —— imposed sanctions on a major producerand around. —— iran. imposed sanctions on a major producer and around. -- iran. let's

talk about the withdrawal plan, theresa may said this is going to be good for the economy and protect it, what do you think businesses want to see from this plan? i think that depends on who you are, lots of business say remain camp is looking for a soft brexit, a deal on trade and services. the pub chain wetherspoon is a fierce brexiteer and things brexit will be a good thing, bring prices down for uk consumers. it depends on who you talk to. one thing we have discussed, most pure investors are frightened of an ordeal simply because they do not know what it means. even if mr martin thinks some good would even come from that. thank you. the ftse 100 isjust keeping its head above water today — as the pound retreated from early highs today — fluctuaring with ongoing uncertainty about whether the draft withdrawal

agreement will be approved by cabinet i've put oil on the board as prices have dropped to their lowest level in over eight months amid fears about a slowdown in demand. that's come from a forecast from the oil cartel opec. germany's economy contracts for first time since 2015 — due to weaker exports. that's all the business news. let's return to downing street where ben brown can bring us up to date with what's happening on this crucial day in the brexit process. it is the most important cabinet

meeting... ministers are arriving and they have been coming in over the last few minutes. michael gove who could be absolutely crucial in this cabinet discussion, the most important cabinet meeting of theresa may's premiership. one of the most important cabinet meetings of recent political times. other ministers arriving in the last few minutes, including penny james brokenshire arriving. coming thick and fast. what has been happening ahead of this cabinet meeting as ministers have been into number ten last night and this morning, a steady stream

for one—to—one meetings with the prime minister but also any special reading room to study the proposed withdrawal agreement, the draft withdrawal agreement, the draft withdrawal agreement. it is several hundred pages long so they wanted some key time to look and study the details of the agreement, not the whole agreement because a lot of it as we have been hearing has long been agreed, 95% of it but the key details leading to northern ireland and the backstop management for that. those are the details cabinet members have wanted to study last night and this morning ahead of the meeting. theresa may came back here few minutes from the house of commons that she was at prime minister's questions, looking relatively confident and the mood from downing street has been one of confidence. the question is can they get through this cabinet meeting this afternoon without any

resignations either during the cabinet meeting or afterwards. there has been speculation that people like the international developer secretary or other members of the cabinet could go but we will have to wait and see. it'll be about three hours altogether, starting at 2pm and last for about three hours at pretty much all the cabinet will have their say and the prime minister will hearfrom have their say and the prime minister will hear from each minister one by one. that will take about three hours for them to make their contributions, to have the debate and by about 5pm we will now the prime minister will know whether she has been successful in getting cabinet agreement. the indications are that she probably will, it is really a question of whether there will be any resignations at the end of it. liam fox and chris grayling,

two more crucial ministers than the prime minister will be very keen to have one side and these discussions. neither of those look like they will resign but a lot of people have been focusing on under letson and penny as members of the cabinet to men of like what they see once they have read it and like what they see once they have read itand might like what they see once they have read it and might resign afterwards. our chief political correspondent vicki young is outside the houses of parliament mrs anne obstacle the prime minister has to overcome... there is the brexit secretary, crucial to the prime minister, will he support this agreement? the assumption is seen at westminster that he must have talked this through with the prime minister

and that he must have signed off on it but other people have been speculating that he is not entirely happy with all the details of the d raft happy with all the details of the draft eu agreement, we will have to wait and see. sabine all speculative you could be one of the resignations and that he was that be pretty disastrous for theresa may. chief political correspondent vicki young is outside the houses of parliament theresa may has to overcome this cabinet meeting but then getting it through parliament as the bigger obstacle. it is certainly the case that downing street are concerned about possible resignations although they seem pretty confident she is going to get the cabinet backing. they have been concerned about dominic rab brexit secretary and others. as the majority including the more seniorfigures others. as the majority including the more senior figures were to back her then she will think she has

enough to go to that next stage. we know what argument will be, she has rehearsed it at prime minister's questions centres in the national interest, seem to have cabinet and to mps on all sides that this is about the national interest and she will be with the advantage that most mps have not read this document saying we have managed to achieve with newell and freedom of movement, protects jobs because of being in this customs arrangements, leave the common fisheries policy and agricultural policy, leave the eu. they are the winds, that will be how she tries to sell it to her cabinet and mps. there are others we have had from harassing saying again and they have not read the document and they have not read the document and the as feeling being any customs arrangement will not end up being temporally, it will end up being

permanent and the basis of our future trading relationship and will mean we cannot say now on trade deals and will have to take rules and the actually concerned about northern ireland being treated differently. that has knock—on consequences because. . . home secretary sajid javid arriving. someone on the them inside, if she can keep people can one side even though he had concerns about all this at cabinet yesterday then i think she will be pretty please with all that but there are other concerns. we know in the conservative leader in scotland and the scottish secretary of very worried about northern ireland be treated differently because they think that will fan the flames in scotla nd think that will fan the flames in scotland with the snp calling for independence. another island can stay virtually any single market then why can't scotland? that there are so many fronts she is fighting

looks like the odds are stacked against us but i think people feel she will get the backing of the cabinet by earlier this evening. this idea getting it through parliament is another problem and thatis parliament is another problem and that is because the dup and she relies on it clear that if it is as it looks to them and they have not read the document but editors as they to be worth what they see as a division between northern ireland and the rules it would have to follow and the rest of the united kingdom they say they cannot back it will stop that this majority gone so she will have to persuade people on and says, the dup artificially some labour mps. and says, the dup artificially some labourmps. —— and says, the dup artificially some labour mps. —— potentially some labour mps. —— potentially some labour mps. —— potentially some labour mps. good questions from jeremy corbyn today putting doubts to her but she seemed to be pretty confident, back against the wall but she certainly at this point now is this is the moment for her to make sure her premiership is very much

stabilised and secure. she can get cabinet behind her. othersjust arriving now, some people have speculated she may not be very happy with the draft agreement. the international development secretary with an earlier, she did not look very happy at all. you cannot read too much into the look on a cabinet minister's face. most of the cabinet are now in, the meeting begins in just about eight minutes. we are expected to last for three hours. vicky, let me ask you, although the meeting starts at 2pm the prime minister has been talking to her cabinet one to one individual briefings last night and this morning, clearly trying to get them

onside and those personal meetings where she was face—to—face with them. someone should she was trying to pick them off individually rather like going round the table and having a momentum building up against plans and one cabinet minister i book to only a set which is likely to do today is go around and let everyone have your say but will decide who speaks so visitors looking negative she will want to bring in someone who has more supportive. last night she had the advantage that some of them going and had not read the document so a bit like today she is able to put across her side of the story without people seeing the details. what will be crucial to date is that legal advice from the attorney general, what he says about the mechanism, review mechanism about the uk having the ability to get out of this arrangement of a customs union, what

he says about that and how much strength it has behind it mccann the uk do that unilaterally or not, that'll be important. that could sway the opinions of some and the cabinet and when the document comes out, i found pages cabinet and when the document comes out, ifound pages of it, it will cabinet and when the document comes out, i found pages of it, it will be the protocols attached to it, annexes attached, that is where the details will be that'll probably upset the dup. theresa may will point to a big one saying the uk can stay any customs arrangement rather than just northern ireland stay any customs arrangement rather thanjust northern ireland but stay any customs arrangement rather than just northern ireland but it means than just northern ireland but it m ea ns lots than just northern ireland but it means lots of questions about what rules exactly northern ireland will have to adhere to as opposed to the rest the united kingdom. the prime minister would say if you want to end freedom of movement and protects jobs you need to have this deal and the alternative she will say as an ordeal at all and that is pretty clear that is not anyone who thinks the uk is ready for that scenario, march. the health secretaryjust

arriving for this meeting. i suppose the worst that could happen to the prime minister is that the resignations, to offer the, and she could survive that do you think? then take this on to parliament? it does depend through the are, and to make a difference of that group not to be the foreign secretary and home secretary, then that is clearly going to be a problem but if it was morejunior going to be a problem but if it was more junior member then she could wear that, given she has already lost a foreign secretary and brexit secretary david davis as she carried on regardless. at this point there are enough and the cabinet who will back her loving heart to take it to the next dip with the chief whip was seemingly confident he can get it through the house of commons. we don't know what he is basing that on but by the people we have spoken to looks at it will be tricky. thank

you. we will wait and see what unfolds. the cabinet meeting beginning at the top of the other, we are expected to last until 5pm and the cleverness that the successful and getting particle support —— if the prime minister is successful and getting political support... no one has given us any indication of whether they will support this draft agreement. the meeting should end of 5pm and we will bring you full coverage throughout the afternoon here on the news. let's look at the weather. as bottom edges towards the end the temperatures are refusing to follow suit. remains mild certainly in the short term with glorious bells of sunshine for much of the uk. as is often the case, some exceptions to

the rule. northern ireland, north—west england and scotland seeing heavy downpours through this morning, gradually easing through the afternoon and the blustery wind through irish sea coasts will also start to ease. when is helping to lift temperatures through north—eastern scotland will be expected to see the highest temperatures today, 16 or 17. across the board temperatures doing well, mid—teens, well above average. most places finishing the day on a train note, the next area of rain pushes and from northern ireland and into north and western parts of scotland. away from that clear skies gradually giving way to roll cloud, mist and fog towards the south of the uk. another mild night, temperatures not dropping to file. the rain clipping western parts of northern ireland and western fringes of scotland through tomorrow and in some parts will remain fairly persistent, good spells of sunshine through northern england and down into the midlands

through the day but some of this low clouds, mist and fog will be quite stubborn and may take quite a while to left heading through thursday. ra rely to left heading through thursday. rarely get to see some good breaks particularly towards the south and east, that this will be expected to see high steps just tomorrow, potentially 16 or 17 celsius. another mild day once again across the board. into friday, high pressure continues to dominate cock the split rain will not succeed. cloudy on friday mostly dry breaks in the clouds allowing for some sunshine, temperatures are not doing quite so well on friday but still looking fairly decent, with teams at best. a change at cal ‘s and do weekend, the

wind more easterly. good spells of sunshine through saturday and sunday but it will start to feel noticeably cooler not only by day but also some chilly nights to come as we head into next week. hello, you're watching afternoon live — i'm simon mccoy. today at 2. the prime minister is meeting her cabinet at downing street as she seeks their backing for the draft agreement which she says will deliver on brexit. we will take back of the control of our money, laws and borders. we will deliver brexit and the united kingdom is leaving the european union on 29th of march, 2019. does the prime minister still intends to put a false choice the parliament between her botched deal or no deal. as the cabinet meeting gets underway, there's speculation that it could last up to three hours.

ministers have been arriving in the last few minutes for that cabinet