hotter summers, wetter winters, rising sea levels — the met office issues a stark warning for the future, if greenhouse gases aren't cut. summer temperatures could soar more than five degrees celsius above current levels by 2070, according to their latest projections. there really is no time for delaying action and we need to both reduce emissions and make sure that we can adapt to the fact that the climate is changing. sea levels around the uk could also rise by up to a metre. also on the programme tonight: a presidential pardon — the british academic matthew hedges is released just days after he was jailed for life in dubaiforspying. the prime minister tries to sell her brexit deal to mps — saying it's the best deal possible and rejecting it would take the uk back to square one. an inquest into the death of the welsh politician, carl sargeant, accused of sexual misconduct — is told he left a note for his family apologising for letting them down. i'm live at nasa's mission control

in pasadena as the team wait anxiously to see if their space mission makes it safely onto the surface of mars. and coming up on sportsday later in the hour on bbc news, a clean sweep for england's cricketers in sri lanka, with bigger challenges coming up in 2019. good evening and welcome to the bbc news at six. british summers are likely to get hotter and drier over the next 50 years because of the effects of climate change. that's according to the latest projections from the met office, which says without action to cut greenhouse gases, summers could be more than five degrees celsius hotter than current levels by 2070 in the most extreme scenario. and there are stark warnings about sea levels, which could rise

by around a metre, affecting cities like london, cardiff and edinburgh. here's our science editor david shukman. global warming threatens different countries in different ways and scientists have spent the last few years trying to work out what it means for us. wild weather is nothing new for britain, but this latest research says more extremes are likely, as the climate changes. the study says floods are set to become more frequent, as the level of the sea rises and storms deliver more rain. and a worrying conclusion. we have a key role in defending communities, but we know we can't protect people from every flood event, and therefore we're going to need to make hard choices about where we live in the future, where we work. as temperatures are set to rise, the scientists have produced different scenarios for the future climate. these are based on computer simulations of how things may unfold. what this report shows is that climate change will affect everyone,

wherever they live. so, for people on the coasts, the level of the sea could go up by more than a metre. that's probably manageable for london, protected by the thames barrier, but very threatening for many other communities. summer temperatures could go up by more than five degrees. think of the implications for heatwaves and the need for air conditioning. and the chances of a summer like the one we just had earlier this year, could go up to 50% by 2050. now, if these projections are right, what else could change by the end of the century? in a worst—case scenario, england could see summer rainfall dropped by 35%. the same could happen in wales. in winter in scotland, rain and snow could increase by a fifth, as in northern ireland. but some scientists say climate change poses real dangers but we can't yet forecast them in such detail. the knowledge of climate change comes from really

basic science and this, the uk climate projections, are really at the edge of new research. and they shouldn't be taken with the same confidence that we have that climate change is a threat. predicting exactly when and where extreme heat will strike in future is clearly a challenge and scientists are working on it, but there is a consensus about the trends that we are heading for a warmer world. david is with me now. these are worst—case scenarios, how worried should we be? it is quite alarming to cvs numbers but worth bearing in mind these are not like weather forecasts with accuracy about what will happen tomorrow. they are more like guidelines for possible futures in the decades and centuries ahead. what is striking is that scientists have, not more confident about their work over the last ten years since

they last did this exercise. they have got better satellites, better computers and a better understanding of how every thing works in the atmosphere. particularly about sea—level rise, which it threat in towns and cities as we heard. that raises a difficult set of political choices because the government is spending billions on flood protection, but as we had, it can't protection, but as we had, it can't protect everywhere. there will be difficult choices in the years ahead. —— as we heard. difficult choices in the years ahead. -- as we heard. thank you, david. the british student, matthew hedges, who just days ago was sentenced to life in prison in dubai for spying for the british government has been freed after a presidential pardon. the 31—year—old is expected to fly home tonight after being held in jail for the last six months. united arab emirate officials still claim mr hedges was a british agent. but his wife, who's led the campaign for his release, insists he was not a spy. paul adams reports. matthew hedges' six—month ordeal is almost over. five days after being handed a life sentence, he's preparing to come home. mr hedges will be permitted to leave the country, once all the formalities

are complete. the hoped—for announcement came this morning. but with it, a sting in the tail, the authorities in the united arab emirates still accuse matthew hedges of spying. he was part—time phd researcher, part—time businessmen. but he was 100% a full—time secret service operative. matthew hedges knows the uae well, he worked there for several years before starting his phd on aspects of the country's security policy. sensitive subjects. but, says the government here, perfectly legitimate. we've made it very clear, for a number of months, now that we see no basis in these allegations. they've reflected on that, they've taken the action that they can, which means that matthew hedges is going to be reunited with his family. the uae remains convinced that matthew hedges was indeed a spy. he was certainly researching some sensitive areas, including the country's military capabilities and its role in the war in yemen. but what he, and most academics, would regard as heavily legitimate, would regard as perfectly

legitimate, the uae clearly saw as suspect. matthew hedges' wife has campaigned for months to secure his release, maintaining his complete innocence throughout. in my heart, i know what matt is, he's a phd researcher. his colleagues know it, his family know it, and hundreds of academics around the world know it. and that's all that matters. i mean, the most important thing, really, is that now we'll have him back home safely. and he'll be able to finish his thesis. matthew hedges will be on his way home in the coming hours. his family says the ordeal has taken its toll. his life and career put on hold, six months ago, about to resume. paul adams, bbc news. the prime minister has been trying to sell her brexit deal to mps. she told the commons that she'd secured the best deal possible and that rejecting it would risk more division and would take the country back to square one. she faced criticism from her own party as well as the opposition. mps will vote on the

deal next month. so how many members of parliament does she need on her side to get the deal through? there are 650 mps, but only 320 votes are required for a majority in the commons. theresa may currently has a working majority of 13, which relies on the support of the ten democratic unionist mps. but already those dup and between 80 and 90 tory backbenchers have said they will not support the prime minister's deal. the labour leadership has said it won't back the deal either, but there may be groups of labour mps who do get behind the government. the scottish national party also say they won't vote for the deal. 0ur political editor, laura kuenssberg, looks at the task ahead for theresa may and her brexit withdrawal agreement. she is in a hurry. after nearly two yea rs of

she is in a hurry. after nearly two years of talks, theresa may has 15 days to get parliament on her side. she has to convince enough of them her brexit compromise is worth it. the prime minister. there is a choice, which this house will have to make. we can back this deal, deliver on the vote of the referendum, or this house choose to reject this deal and go back to square reject this deal and go back to square one. reject this deal and go back to square one. the british people want us square one. the british people want us to get on with the deal that honours the referendum and allows us to come again together allows us to come together again as a country, whichever way we voted. as you can hear, the trouble for theresa may, she's surrounded by people who've made their minds up to reject her deal. this deal does not have the support of either side of this house or the country as a whole. mr speaker, ploughing on is not stoic, it's an act of national self—harm. the prime minister now needs to repaira plan b —— prepare a plan b

for some it's been hard enough getting the cabinet behind a deal for, mice that keeps close economic ties to the eu, certainly not all as enthusiastic as this. that's my concern, enthusiastic as this. that's my concern, that's why want to back this agreement and urge all my colleagues to do the same. in the event that is a dispute... that is organised resistance right around westminster. meet some of the eurosceptics vowing to vote against. this is not the brexit deal that the majority of the people voted for. i'm not going to support it. is there anything be prime minister can say to change your mind? absolutely not. this is a 585 page surrender document. and that's why many, many conservative mps will never vote for our country to surrender to... anybody. unfortunately, she has caved in. that is a sad note on which to begin this debate but the

debate that has got to be had is meant to be uncompromising. debate that has got to be had is meant to be uncompromising]! debate that has got to be had is meant to be uncompromising. is there any chance as a group this will actually go through parliament? not actually go through parliament? not a hope. not anyway. it is highly unlikely. around the corner a different group from different parties who will vote against as well. with some familiar faces they are arguing for another referendum, releasing independent forecasts that suggests we will be much poorer if we leave. the country has absolutely a right to a final say. there is no sign at all that theresa may is listening to your request. it will come to the point that parliament instructs and it may come to that. she doesn't need to change her mind. the overwhelming weight in parliament is that this deal is no good and it will be voted down.“ you think about the future of the country, because people are bored of the subject is not the basis upon

which we should take a decision like that. parliament right now is made up that. parliament right now is made up of many different flocks. they can move fast, support can shift in moments but loyalty to downing street is in very short supply. talking to mps in recent days about whether or not they will back this deal has been so striking, had dog—eared, how done in people seem to be against this deal. 0n dog—eared, how done in people seem to be against this deal. on all sides in parliament it seems sometimes number ten mac is trying to pour a gallon into a pint pot, so impossible the task seems. how fast products with this country. 1000 miles an hour sometimes. this time last week the prime minister was trying to fight off a challenge to her leadership that never actually materialise. things are not as certain as they may seem tonight in westminster. we now know when the vote will be on tuesday the 11th of december. but, frankly, we won't know until that day the f of when whether it can pass. —— the if whether it can pass. —— the if whether it can pass. the united states has described russia's seizure of three ukrainian navy ships an outrageous violation of sovereign territory.

the ships were sailing off the coast of crimea , ukrainian territory of crimea, ukrainian territory which was annexed by moscow four years ago. russia insists the boats had entered its waters illegally. the ukraine parliament is considering a proposal to declare martial law. an inquest into the death of the former welsh government minister, carl sargeant, has heard that he left a note for his family apologising for letting them down. mr sargeant, who'd been sacked following accusations of sexual misconduct, was found dead at his home in north wales last november. 0ur wales correspondent sian lloyd reports. carl sargeant was a well—known figure in the welsh assembly. his death, last year, left his family grief—stricken and sent shock waves through the welsh political establishment in cardiff bay. his body was found at his family home, four days after he'd been sacked from his post and suspended from the welsh labour party amid allegations of sexual misconduct, which he denied. walking arm in arm, mr sargeant‘s wife, bernie, and son, jack, came to his inquest today, where the note that she'd found close to her husband's body

was read to the court. directed to family and friends, it said... "i have let you down badly. you deserve none of this adverse publicity because of my acts. i have failed you. that aside, i love you more than you'll ever know and i'm sorry i've taken the easy way out. please forgive me. i love you. carl." the inquest heard that carl sargeant had suffered from depression and had been prescribed medication on a number of occasions. a former colleague, leighton andrews, said he was concerned about the impact that tv interviews given by the welsh first minister, carwyn jones, about the alleged complaints, had on his state of mind. he considered it to be irresponsible. the coroner reminded mr andrews that was his opinion, and the inquest will hear from the first minister carwynjones later in the week. sian lloyd, bbc news, ruthin. the time is 6:15pm.

our top story this evening. the met office issues a stark warning for the future of the uk if greenhouse gases aren't cut — with hotter summers, wetter winters and rising sea levels. and we'll be live at nasa mission control in pasadena, as the team waits anxiously to see if their insight spacecraft will make it safely onto the surface of mars in the next two hours. and coming up on sportsday in the next 15 minutes on bbc news, some big boots to fill. andy farrell will replace joe schmidt as ireland head coach after next yea r‘s world cup. a liverpool fan who was viciously attacked before a match against roma in april still can't sit up and has problems speaking six months later. sean cox's wife says he will never make a full recovery. the 53—year—old from county meath in ireland was injured as he and his brother made their way to the stadium. our sports editor dan roan spoke to his wife, martina cox,

and has this report. they were the scenes that shamed football. crowd disturbances outside anfield in april. the violence which overshadowed liverpool's champions league semifinal against roma resulted in one man fighting for his life, sean cox, the victim of an attack which left the irish father of three with severe brain injuries. at her home just outside dublin, his wife martina told me just how tough the last seven months have been. sean went to a match in april and he never came home. i miss sean, the children miss their dad, you know, everyday life has completely changed. it was horrific looking at him, absolutely horrific. your husband just sitting there, lying there, lifeless. it's all so senseless, you know? having been brought out of a medically—induced coma, sean is now being treated in a local rehab centre. he can't sit up on his own, he can't talk. there are certain words,

and there are more words coming since he started to eat, that does help, but it is a very, very long, slow process. he's not going to make a full recovery. they say you don't get back the same person and we know that. but the only way that he will reach his maximum potential is if he gets the therapies that he needs. liverpool's fans have led the fundraising efforts for sean's future medical care. roma have donated £130,000 with liverpool's manager, jurgen klopp, also making a contribution of his own. the fans have been absolutely amazing. even when we stayed in liverpool, the letters, you know, people wanting to drive us round in their taxis, not charging us. the attack on sean cox led to support across the game, support that he and his family still need as they continue to deal with its devastating impact. dan roan, bbc news, dunboyne.

questions are being asked about the future of england's worst performing mental health trust, norfolk and suffolk nhs foundation trust, after growing concern about the number of patients dying unexpectedly — including suicides, neglect it's the only mental health trust to have been placed in special measures and it's thought later this week it could fail an inspection for a third time. our health correspondent sophie hutchinson has been investigating the trust. the norfolk and suffolk mental health trust has been in trouble for a number of years, rated inadequate for patient safety and leadership. in 2012, following a merger, it faced deep cuts of around 20%. it redesigned its services and, since then, it has lost 51 permanent doctors, a quarter of the doctors at the trust. 163 permanent nurses,

thatis the trust. 163 permanent nurses, that is about one in eight, and the trust's most recent annual report shows that 50% more patients are dying unexpectedly. families have told us again and again about their desperation, trying to access urgent services, saying things like crisis lines just services, saying things like crisis linesjust go to services, saying things like crisis lines just go to boy smile and saying that patients have lost their lives. —— to voice mail. all the signs say that the trust has not improved and it is about to fail a further inspection report. if that has happened, and we can't say for sure, then very serious questions will be asked about the future of this mental health trust and whether in fact it should be shut down. it has only happened twice before. viewers may remember the mid staffordshi re viewers may remember the mid staffordshire nhs trust. it is unprecedented for a mental health trust and, just to reassure patients, services would continue but they would be moved under the control of a different part of the

nhs. sophie, thank you. hundreds of people have attended a candlelit vigil for a teenager from coventry who was stabbed to death on saturday night. 16—year—old jaydon james, known as j], died from his injuries in hospital. police say, this year alone, there have been more than 280 incidents of knife crime in coventry. from there, sima kotecha reports. jaydonjames had just turned 16. described by his family as sweet, caring and funny. last night, a candlelit vigil to remember him. his family say they are heartbroken afterjaydon, known as j], was stabbed to death in coventry. he had the biggest heart, he was shy, he would never take any photos, he would always have his hand over his face. he would never do anything to harm anybody. i just don't even know what to say, i don't believe that he's gone. the attack happened on saturday night, while jaydon

was out with friends. his grandfather says the teenager had gone out to get some food. the two friends were seriously injured and remain in hospital. it's really sad isn't it, that, you know, whenever we have any violent crime or anything involving a child or young person, the conjecture starts around gangs and postcodes. what we won't do is sort of fuel that conjecture. every single line of inquiry will be focused on, will be driven, but what we won't do is jump to any conclusions at this stage. it happened just before midnight in this area of wood end, a deprived part of this city. police say there have been 284 knife crimes in coventry this year alone. knife crime in the west midlands is at its highest levels since 2011. the region has the highest rate of knife offences in the country after london. now another life lost too soon, in the most brutal of circumstances. sima kotecha, bbc news, coventry.

a look at some of today's other stories. a convicted paedophile declined to continue giving evidence in court today during his cross—examination. russell bishop is on trial for the second time for killing nicola fellows and karen hadaway, in light of new forensic evidence. the friends were sexually assaulted and strangled in brighton in 1986. mr bishop denies the charges. the trial continues. a court has heard that a feud between two rival gangs in the north—west of england led to the deaths of two men. 55—year—old paul massey was gunned down in 2015 and his friend and associate 53—year—old john kinsella was shot dead in may this year. mark fellows and steven boyle both deny the murders. the trial at liverpool crown court continues. it has travelled more than 300 million miles on a six—month voyage through deep space. in less than two hours' time, nasa's spacecraft that's been built

to explore mars is set to land on the red planet. once there, it will carry out a series of experiments. but the landing is going to prove nerve—wracking for those at mission nerve—wracking for those at mission control in pasadena — the spacecraft has to slow from 12,000mph to just 5mph in the space of a few minutes. 0ur science correspondent victoria gill is there. they call it seven minutes of terror. at this last stage of its journey to mars, nasa's insight lander will need to slow itself down from more than 12,000mph to a safe landing speed. so this is the full—sized model? full—size, life—sized model of the insight lander. these are our beautiful solar rays, just gorgeous, i love them. they will power everything? they will power everything on the lander. insight‘s doing amazing science on the surface of mars. we like to say that we're giving mars its first checkup in four billion years. before any martian science

can begin, though, the pressure of a safe touchdown will trigger a beacon to be sent back to earth. insight‘s first call home. once we land, we'll get a message back from the spacecraft that says it thinks it's safe and then we obviously have to check up on our spacecraft as well, and make sure that it really is in a safe state, but, man, when we get that first indication, my heart's just going to explode. it'll be really exciting. insight‘s robotic arm will carefully put down a seismometer, detecting any vibrations from martian earthquakes, or mars—quakes, and this will be the first robot to drill deep into mars' surface, in an effort to understand the structure of this planet. it's kind of like a meditative spacecraft, right? we have to sit there zen—like and listen for mars—quakes. so all these other instruments have set the stage but now we're going beneath the surface. we've only scratched the surface previously. ok, you guys ready?

here we go. back in the 1970s, astronauts drilled into the moon to take its temperature and study its structure. and that beauty is going right in. almost 50 years on, now the same analysis can finally be carried out on mars. as the insight lander studies the deep interior of mars robotically, it will be sending its data back here to mission control at nasa, in california, and people here will use that data to work out exactly how rocky worlds like earth, mars and the moon actually formed 11.5 billion years ago. they lovingly call this "the centre of the universe". for now, though, there's a nervous wait as the spacecraft tries to plant its feet safely on a planet more than 90 million miles away. well, there is just well, there isjust over an hour and a half to go, you can actually see a full—sized model of the lander

behind me and one of those mind—boggling things about today, for me, because there is an eight minute delay to send a signal from mars to earth, it means by the time the team here gets the signal to say it has entered the atmosphere, it will already be on the ground. but that it will be watching and waiting and following every step and nasa's chief scientist said he won't be celebrating until the solar arrays have unfurled and the mission can really start. and you can watch it on bbc news at about 8pm. time for a look at the weather. here's chris fawkes. well, the weather was kind of chilly today but it was also very quiet and still. many of us had a cloudy day but some sunshine coming through over the cumbrian lakes early on, a beautiful weather watcher picture. that was the quiet before the storm. the storms are lining up in the atlantic, set to bring a big change to our weather conditions. it will turn much milder but wet and windy weather on the way. tonight, a few

showers coming and going near to the east coast of england and scotland and over the hills, some wing trimmer is for a time. quite a bit of cloud and a cold night and temperatures into low single figures but where cloud breaks, we could be looking at frost and one or two icy stretches. tuesday, the first signs ofa stretches. tuesday, the first signs of a change in the weather comes into south—west england, across wales and northern ireland. a band of rain works in and the winds turn toa of rain works in and the winds turn to a south—westerly direction in the afternoon, bringing milder weather. 12 degrees in plymouth but ahead of the weather front, we are into the same cold airas the weather front, we are into the same cold air as today, so the weather will fill similar, a few sunny spells, a few showers for eastern scotland. the middle part of the week, low pressure is firmly in charge, tightly packed isobars targeting the uk, it is going to be a windy day, they could reach 70 mph around exposed coasts and hills in the west. we could see disruption from those winds and heavy rain moves from those winds and heavy rain m oves a cross from those winds and heavy rain moves across northern ireland into scotla nd moves across northern ireland into scotland and could cause a few

issues. the south—westerly winds will also drag in very mild air, so as we go through to friday afternoon, look at the temperatures, up afternoon, look at the temperatures, up to 15 in belfast and london. there may well be another bout of windy weather moving into wednesday night and into thursday. we will keep a close eye on that but for some of us, the weather certainly not just some of us, the weather certainly notjust milder over the next few days but it could turn out to be pretty wild as well. a reminder of our top story... the met office issues a stark warning for the uk if greenhouse gases aren't cut — with hotter summers, wetter winters and rising sea levels by 2070. that's all from the bbc news at six. 0n bbc one, we nowjoin the bbc‘s news teams where you are. hello, this is bbc news. the headlines... british summers could be five degrees hotter by 2070 if greenhouse gas emissions aren't cut — that's according to new met office projections. pardoned and freed by the united arab emirates — the british academic matthew hedges — who'd been sentenced to life in prison for spying. after getting her deal signed off by the eu's 27

member states yesterday, theresa may heads to the house of commons to persuade mps to back it. ukraine's parliament is considering declaring martial law after russia seized three of its nazy ships in a move the united states called an ‘outrageous violation of sovereign territory‘ the first spacecraft designed to study the internal structure of mars is set to attempt a difficult landing on the planet tonight. in a moment, it will be time for sportsday but first a look at what else is coming up this evening on bbc news... we'll be live in pasadena from about ten to eight, to see if the nasa insight mission spacecraft can make