tonight at ten — the bank of england warns of a major recession worse than the crash of 2008 if the uk leaves the european union without a deal. the governor says sterling would crash, house prices would fall and more people would be unemployed. for a period of time, if we reduce the degree to which we can trade with our largest trading partner, the economy has to and an adjustment. the news comes on the day the government released it's own brexit forecast, saying the uk will be poorer compared to staying in the eu. also tonight... a teenager is to be charged with assault after footage showing a 15—year—old syrian refugee being attacked goes viral. a survivor of child exploitation in rotherham claims the local council offered her rapist a role in her son's life. i keep hearing about his rights. well, what about my rights? what about our rights? what about the right for my son to be safe, to be protected and not have to deal with this on a daily basis? in a special report,

how one the smallest countries in africa is turning electronic waste into a thriving business. and it's christian eriksen! and tottenham leave it late for a win to keep them in the champions league. and coming up on sportsday on bbc news, all the build—up to the big fight as tyson fury and deontay wilder prepare to go head—to—head with the wbc world title in los angeles. —— for the wc world title. good evening. the bank of england is warning of an immediate economic crash if the uk leaves the european union without a deal. the bank's forecast is of a shock to growth more damaging than the financial crisis of 2008, with the economy shrinking by 8%.

the governor, mark carney, says interest rates would rise, house prices would fall, and unemployment would increase. the warning comes as the government publishes its own economic analysis, suggesting britain will be poorer under all brexit scenarios than if it remained in the european union. in a moment the view from westminster, but first here's our business editor, simonjack. enter brexit centrestage. a man with a warning. leaving the eu without a deal could trigger an economic crash worse than the one that followed the financial crisis. we have constructed a worst case no deal, no transition brexit scenario with a series of events including friction is at the border, difficulties at ports, sharp falls in financial

markets would costs more for people and businesses to borrow, a series of events happening at the same time. this is not a prediction or forecast, merely a possibility in the bank's worst—case scenario. gdp is down 8% in one year, house prices down 30%, unemployment almost doubles to 7.5% and prices are up by 6.5%. economists look into their crystal balls to see what might happen in the future and some scenarios are grim, but the bank says it is not here to scare us but is there to reassure us here to scare us but is there to reassure us that if we get a no deal, no transition brexit creating a financial emergency, the bank will be ready. but is the real economy ready? the bank says 80% of small businesses have done no planning for a no deal scenario, an outcome this high wycombe furniture maker would like

to avoid. for us, we would like to get on with it, so no deal would be difficult because i think it would increase the damage to consumer confidence, presumably damage the strength of the pound which makes our life more expensive. and i think itjust... simplicity would be good for us. the worst cases only one scenario, others analysed include the orange line at the top, staying in the eu, a trade deal similar to the one proposed by the prime minister is underneath and the no deal disorderly brexiters at the bottom. this report was requested by mps who asked a simple question, does the bank of england think the uk will be better or worse off than it predicted before the referendum? in some respects it is very simple, for a period of time, if we reduce the degree to which we can trade with our largest trading partner, the economy has to undergo an

adjustment. cheering that period of time, all things being equal, it is likely the economy will grow less rapidly —— during that period. the government's analysis reach a similar conclusion that says that delivering brexit requires and is worth economic compromise. the government has also released an economic analysis of what leaving the european union could mean for the economy, and it claims the uk will be poorer under any form of brexit compared with staying in the eu. the review suggests a deal similar to the agreement negotiated by theresa may with brussels would leave the economy over the next 15 years 3.9% smaller than if the uk stayed in the eu. but the analysis shows a no—deal brexit would see growth hit by 9.3% over the same period. here's our political editor, laura kuenssberg. this isn't a general election, even though it looks a bit like it. the prime minister's brexit deal is the candidate, mps are the voters. she's hopeful the government's numbers today show her compromise is better than nothing.

it shows that the deal we have negotiated with the european union is the best deal available forjobs and the economy, that also delivers and honours the referendum. there are lots of possibilities that today's statistics just don't and cannot include. but the brexit campaign certainly didn't say the economy would slow down on the side of a bus. the chancellor this morning was remarkably clear. if we are only looking at the economic benefits, remaining in the eu, is a better economic outcome than the prime minister's deal. but the prime minister's deal gives an outcome remarkably close to the benefits of staying in. it might seem bizarre to hear a chancellor admit the government's own policy would see the country poorer, but what number 11 is saying is what most calculations have always said — the economy will still grow after brexit, but a bit more slowly than if we stay in the eu. what number ten is arguing is that under the deal they have brokered,

the economy would see much less turmoil and disturbance than if we walked away with no deal and no agreement. but brexit itself has always been about much more than the cash. there were clear warnings during the referendum about potential costs to the economy, and for brexiteers today's numbers needed a giant bucket of salt. in a desperate attempt to reverse the result of the 2016 referendum, we are undoubtedly going to hear the most hair—raising stories and improbable forecast. let us remind those that might waver that we have heard this before. along with the brexiteers, labour right now is committed to trying to stop the prime minister's deal. not stopping brexit — at least not yet. are they tiptoeing to another referendum ? the numbers just aren't there, and it is causing insecurity and division unnecessarily. do you accept, though, that by voting down the deal,

that you will be creating more turmoil, even if only in the short—term? i don't accept that. we want a deal that will protect jobs and the economy. if we can't achieve that, the government can't achieve that, we think we can. if the government can't achieve, that we should have a general election. —— then we should have a general election. if that is not possible, we will call on the government tojoin us in a public vote. that is the sequence i think that we'll go through over this period. now, within that... if a vote of no confidence didn't bring down the government and general election, it is inevitable, to use that word you have just used, that would be another vote? that is right. our policy is if we can't get a general election the other option we have kept on the table is a people's vote, a public vote. nothing seems inevitable round here right now. more than two years since the referendum, getting parliament and the public on side for any one plan is far from easy. laura kuenssberg, bbc news, westminster. while theresa may was in scotland, the first minister nicola sturgeon

was criticising her brexit deal, saying the prime minister cannot promote opportunity when economic analyses suggest her proposals will make everyone poorer. the scottish government published its own projections yesterday, saying brexit would cost every person in scotland more than £1600 by 2030, when compared with eu membership. here's our scotland editor, sarah smith. the edinburgh beer factory is a small, young company with big ambitions to rapidly expand their exports. at the moment, they don't yet know if brexit is a problem, or if it could provide new opportunities. actually, some of our early sales have been to japan, hong kong, and canada, so we're not entirely tied to the eu. that said, the eu is the single biggest exporting bloc. if theresa may is to convince scottish business her deal will work for them, she needs to persuade people like these brewers. new opportunities to sell beer or anything else to the rest of the world beyond the eu is what the prime minister wants to sell to scottish businesses.

but if the economy here slows down, then that will really affect companies like this one, which sell most of their product in the uk. visiting a leather factory outside glasgow, theresa may insisted her deal does take scotland's interests into account. and she tried to reassure some of the factory‘s employees she met that it will protect scottish jobs and business. but scotland's first minister says that is simply denying reality. i'm struggling to believe that the prime minister is in scotland or anywhere else in the uk today talking about economic opportunities, when her own government has published modelling showing that every outcome of brexit will make the whole country poorer. i mean, itjust beggars belief. it is hard to convince businesses like the beer factory that they will benefit from brexit, when the treasury's own analysis forecasts a slowing economy. and the scottish government predicts leaving the eu could hit scotland harder than the rest of the uk.

sarah smith, bbc news, edinburgh. our business editor, simon jack, is here. these are incredible figures from the bank of england, how credible are they? i can't stress enough, these are not predictions all forecasts, they are just possibilities, lots of possibilities, lots of possibilities, of all the possibilities, of all the possibilities you could look at, this is the worst. the governor did say today that having said that, the probability of this outcome has gone up probability of this outcome has gone upa probability of this outcome has gone up a little because of some of the parliamentary gridlock laura talked about. other people say they are a lwa ys about. other people say they are always wrong, these are very difficult things to model, they are very complicated with lots of moving parts, but the bank of england has hundreds of economists, data, historical experience, the fact they are not always right does not mean they are pure guesswork, it is serious work that people put everton

and say these are some of the likely outcomes. people will say before, during and since the referendum we have had read warnings about what will happen. will this make any difference? it will be interesting to see whether these latest and rather scary figures, a worse recession than one after the financial crisis, will get any traction with mp5, who it is down to now to vote. thanks, simon. and you can get more information on all things brexit on our website. that's at bbc.co.uk/brexit. a teenager is to be charged with assault after footage showing a 15—year—old syrian refugee being attacked was shared on social media. the father of the refugee has told us his daughter has also been assaulted at her school. tonight a fundraising website set up for the family has raised nearly £100,000. judith moritz reports. this video was filmed on school playing fields last month. one pupil approaches another student. he appears to head—butt him, grab him by the neck

and wrestle him to the ground. then he pours water over the pupil's face whilst other students look on. after pulling himself up, the boy walks away. the video has now been shared and viewed online millions of times. the teenager who was assaulted is a syrian refugee. today his father told me that his other child had also been targeted by different pupils. translation: i have my daughter in school. we are muslims. after one yearfrom being in the uk, she grown up and decided to put hijab like her mother. we are surprised that in school her friends beat her up and take hijab. this new footage is said to show that attack. the family have told us that the girl in the pink hijab is the sister of the boy in the first video. you came to the uk for sanctuary, do you feel safe here? translation: in the beginning i thought that we are coming to sanctuary and safety, but when i saw what happened to my children, i don't know what to say.

the footage was filmed at almondbury community school in huddersfield. relating to the first video, the police say a 16—year—old boy will appear before a youth court for an offence of assault. the head teacher has written to parents to tell them that the school is working with the police and taking the situation extremely seriously, that they don't tolerate any sort of unacceptable behaviour here and that it's business as usual so that there is no disruption to pupils' education. all day, donations have been pouring into a fundraising account for the family of the boy who was assaulted. the videos continue to be shared online. the family of the boy say that, despite their situation, they respect britain as the country which has given them refuge. judith moritz, bbc news, huddersfield. at least ten people have been killed in an attack on a compound run by the british security company gas in kabul. the interior ministry said another

19 were treated in hospital, including several children after a car bomb was detonated outside and gunmen stormed the complex. the facility offers training for the afg ha n facility offers training for the afghan security forces. the taliban claimed responsibility for the attack. the uk's worst—performing mental health trust has been told it has only weeks to improve safety. inspectors have rated the norfolk and suffolk nhs foundation trust as inadequate, keeping it in special measures for an unprecedented third time. the care quality commission says managers have repeatedly failed to protect patients who were harming themselves due to a lack of care, and the problems date back years. here's our health correspondent sophie hutchinson, and a warning, her report contains flashing images. the suffolk coast. across this county and in neighbouring norfolk, mental health care is in deep crisis. i know people that have literally lost their lives because the services aren't good enough. there's still people out

there who're in the same circumstances as what i was, how richard was, and they're still taking their own lives. the health regulator has said the risks to patients are unacceptable and given the trust weeks to improve, but questions are being asked about why more radical action isn't taken. i thought now was the best time to tell you because, you know... 20—year—old alana regularly self—harms and overdoses, but she and her partner andrew have stopped calling the crisis line run by the trust because they say no one answers. in the absence of help, alana says drew is her lifeline. drew's saved my life a few times now. i just feel so bad for those who don't have anyone and still can't get the help they need. alana didn't even have a care coordinator. the health regulator the coc has said more than 2500 patients here are without this basic support. otherfailings included emergency referrals being downgraded to routine and a dangerous

lack of staff. it said... after the trust faced budget cuts in 2012, it lost more than a quarter of its permanent doctors and a quarter of its nursing posts are vacant. there are now 50% more mental health patients dying unexpectedly. he could not wait five weeks... karen was devastated when her husband richard took his own life. he had severe anxiety and depression. one day she called the crisis team over 30 times. the day before his death, he was told the only available appointment was five weeks away. how badly let down was he by the mental health services? totally let down. you don't look at a desperate man who is telling you he is going to commit suicide,

who's crying all the time, he was anxious, he was on a high dosage of anxiety tablets, of antidepressants, to turn round and say to him, "no, you can wait five weeks." and you feel they could have saved his life? oh, totally. today the health secretary responded to calls from charities, local council leaders and mp5, who say he must consider the possible closure of the trust. there are very significant issues that need to be sorted out. i think we need to look across the board at what the solutions might be. there's already work under way. the trust says it is already taking action. shortly after we met alana, she was told she was no longer eligible for mental health support. days later, she self—harmed again. for her and those like her, improvements cannot come quickly enough. sophie hutchinson, bbc news. russia's president, vladimir putin, has accused ukraine

of orchestrating the naval confrontation, which has led confrontation which has led to a sharp increase in tensions between the two countries. the ukrainian government has condemned sunday's incident off the crimean coast as an "act of aggression". russian ships fired on and then captured three naval vessels, and took 2a sailors prisoner. a victim of child exploitation has called for a change in the law, amid claims a man who raped her was contacted about the chance to play a role in her son's life. sammy woodhouse, who's waived her right to annonymity, waived her right to anonymity, says rotherham council approached arshid hussain, even though he's in prison for raping her as child. fiona trott reports. a survivor of child sex abuse who says she still fighting for her rights. i think it's disgusting, and i always find that the rapists always get, you know, more protected and have more rights than what we do. sammy woodhouse gave evidence in care proceedings connected

with her son which ended last year. she says that she was told his father could ask to be involved. i have to wake up every morning and have to fight for something, and what it all boils down to is just to be treated like a human being. you know, i keep hearing about his rights — well, what about my rights? what about our rights? what about the right for my son to be safe, to be protected and not have to deal with this on a daily basis? on these streets, sammy and hundreds more like her were groomed and abused for years. arshid hussain targeted her when she was just 1a. he is serving a 35—year sentence. that's why mps are also calling for a change in the law. how can a dangerous man whose child was conceived through rape still have a right to be involved in that child's life? rotherham council says it was just trying to follow it was just following national guidelines, but has apologised to sammy for what happened.

clearly we have caused some difficulty, some heartache here, that perhaps we should not have done. so i'm sorry about that, but all i can do is say that we're going to go back, we want to learn our lessons, were going to get it right and were trying to prevent the people from enduring the same kind of things that you could. people should just use their common sense. if they used their common sense in this situation and others around the country, they would not have written what they think they have to do. doing something by tick boxes is what happened here, but if we need clarity, then the law needs to change. sammy woodhouse not only wants the children's act to be changed, but she also wants an investigation wants an investigation into how councils have been interpreting it. every year the uk produces more than a million tonnes of electronic rubbish, known as e—waste, including tvs, computers and houshold appliances. as our appetite for gadgets grows, the problem of what to do with discarded items, grows as well. much of it is shipped abroad, ending up in africa, and in togo a growing number of entrepreneurs are putting e—waste to good use. waihiga mwaura has sent this report

from the capital lome. a child's toy, from an unlikely source, made from other people's u nwa nted waste. this is plastic, so we print it with a 3d printer. ok, and you made this 3d printer? yeah, we made the 3d printer from e—waste material. so, we recycle old printers, conventional printers, and we take parts that we use to make the frame. this is one of a growing number of young entrepreneurs who sees the potential of e—waste as an emerging business in togo. his vision is to empower children through science. our hope is that we produce and sell the science set that will help students, mostly kids and girls, be interested in science and solve the problem we have in our community.

it's estimated nearly half a million tonnes of used electrical goods arrive here through the port here through the port of lome every year, from old mobile phones and laptops through to tvs and generators. there is a rising demand for the latest secondhand electronics at bargain prices. but we've been told that 80% of imports that are sold at markets like these no longer work. despite international conventions that ban the movement of non—working electronics, they find their way to these shores, hidden inside vehicles that have been shipped from the west. this market wouldn't let cameras in, so we filmed what we could on our phones. where are the tvs from? germany and holland. germany and holland? wow. how many do you have? 130. 130 tvs...? and if these electronic goods don't work, they will likely end up here in landfill

sites across the capital. and just look at this, the cover of a slide projector. and if you look closer, you can actually see that it was made in west germany. almost three decades after the fall of the berlin wall, this ended up here, a sobering example of how togo is fast becoming a dumping ground for the world's unwanted e—waste. for those dismantling discarded electronics come serious risks. toxic materials like mercury and lead can be contained within them. there are people here who are trying to reprocess this material safely in recycling centres. but even this man, whose business depends on discarded technology, is concerned about the long—term environmental cost. translation: there are lots of people who make a living from the fact that e—waste is coming into the country, and regulating it would

reduce the amount of money that can be made. but a lot of the waste which arrives here is dangerous, so we should really think about the impact it could have on our environment. despite these challenges, initiatives are cropping up across the capital, including here, where children as young as ten are learning ways to recycle electronics safely. in a country with limited job opportunities, start—ups like these could provide togo with some of the answers to a sustainable technological future. waihiga mwaura, bbc news, togo. the duke and duchess of cambridge have paid tribute to the five people killed in a helicopter crash at leicester city football club last month. they laid flowers and met the family of vichai srivaddhanaprabha, the club owner, who died in the accident, along with four others. the first minister of wales, carwynjones, has given evidence

at the inquest into the death of the former welsh government minister carl sargeant. mrjones was heavily criticised for his handling of the sacking of mr sargeant, who'd been accused of inappropriate behaviour towards women, allegations he denied. he was found hanged four days after being dismissed. our wales correspondent sian lloyd's report contains some flashing images. arriving to give what he has described as his side of the story, and two weeks before stepping down after nine years at the top of welsh politics, the first minister, carwynjones, came to the inquest into the death of his labour colleague carl sargeant to face questioning about the circumstances around his decision to sack him. around the decision to sack him. the former welsh government minister and father of two was dismissed during a cabinet reshuffle four days before his body was found. mrjones has described it as the darkest of times. he explained today that the allegations that had been made against mr sargeant meant there was no choice but to sack him. the first minister told

the inquest, "it was awful. i remember the feeling of dread. i had lost sleep over it, but it had to be done." during the course of the inquest, the coroner, john gittins, has made several enquiries about what support or pastoral care was offered to carl sargeant, who had suffered from depression. he has indicated that it's part of his role to investigate whether lessons can be learned to prevent further deaths. carl sargea nt‘s family have been critical of the way the first minister handled his sacking. they heard carwynjones tell the court that he wasn't aware of mr sargeant‘s mental health issues at the time. the coroner asked him whether anything has changed in relation to the support offered to departing ministers, to which he responded, no. any regrets, first minister? carwyn jones has finished giving his evidence. as he left the inquest, he was remaining tight—lipped. an independent inquiry into how

he handled carl sargeant‘s sacking has yet to begin. sian lloyd, bbc news. tributes have been paid to the veteran labour party activist harry leslie smith, who has died in canada at the age of 95. iam harry i am harry leslie smith, i am the world's oldest rebel. . the world war two veteran came to prominence four years ago, after giving a speech to the labour party conference about life growing up in south yorkshire in the 19205, before the advent of the nhs. harry leslie smith, who died today. a pre—fight press conference between boxers deontay wilder and the british fighter tyson fury descended into a brawl this evening.

fury, who recently took two and a half years out of the sport, is bidding to win the world council boxing heavyweight title, from undefeated american in los angeles on saturday. it's been another big night in football, as tottenham hotspur beat inter milan to stay in the champions league, but it will be an uphill battle for liverpool to qualify for the knockout stages, after they lost to paris st germain. natalie pirks was watching the action. at wembley, tottenham's job couldn't have been clearer. only a win would do. the londoners were throwing everything at survival. but in an all or nothing game, it looked like spurs would have to settle for the latter. he wouldn't be down for long, though. a driving run lead to a deft flick from dele, all super sub eriksen had to do was finish. now that was what they came to see. it was by no means vintage, but spurs are hanging in there. now there is just the small matter of barcelona to get past. over in paris, jurgen klopp told his liverpool team to be brave. a win against psg could be enough.

but you can't always get what you want. and when liverpool made a hash of the clearance, juan bernat‘s shot deflected into an open net to give psg an early lead. just how do you stop some of the most expensive, skilful footballers ever assembled ? well, that's one way. but you can't hold back an express train. mbappe, cavani, neymarto finish. the highest—scoring brazilian in champions league history had reason to dance, but his celebrations were short—lived thanks to angel di maria's wayward limbs. the challenge was rash. james milner‘s penalty on the stroke of half—time was perfection. but it was 2—1, the final score. psg celebrating like they'd won the thing. liverpool still have work to do.